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Folder Title: The Initial Feasibility Study Report on Comprehensive Developing Projects of Agriculture in Shandong Province, China - The Planning Committee of Shandong Province - January 1988

Folder ID: F28491

Dates: 1/1/1988

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.. ,, . -. ·:. - .. ~ . '

; /

Th~ Comprehensive Dcvclupingl '

Project of Agriculture in 1·

Shandong Province, China

Tllf-: INITIAi. 1:1·:/\SIBll. f'l Y ~T l ) DY REPORT ON

COMP RElll:NSIVE Dl-:'.' ::I.OPIN<..i PROJECTS

OF AGRICULTURI: IN Sl! 1\ .'' :'lONG PROVINCE. CIIINA

Cf! ,v11

THF. PLANNING COM 1\IITTf-:E OF S!-1,\NOONG PRO\'INCE

--

Project Name:

The Unit in

Charge of the

Projects.

The Person in

Charge of the

Projects:

The Person in

Charge of the

Technical Com­

munication:

The Project

Unit:

The Comprehensive Deve­

loping Projects of Agri ­

culture in Shandong Pro­

vince

The Planning Committee

of Shandong Provinc e

Wang Yu- yan

Pan Yong- ke

The Water Products Bureau

of Shandong Province

The Agriculture Burea u of

Shandong Province

The Water Convany Bureau of

Shandong Province

• l •

... ,

The Initial Fea ­

r; i li ty Study Re-

The Forestry Bureau of Shan­

dong Province

port Prepared by: The World Bank Loan Projec t

Office of the Planning Com­

mittee of Shandong Province

• 2 •

w .,

The Initial Feasib i lity Study

Report On The Comprehensive De veloping

Projects Of Agriculture In Shandong Pro­

vince , Chi na

Contents

I . Background of the Project

1.Preface

page

2 . A Survey of Shandong Province • • • • • • 3

3 . The Present Status of Agriculture 7

4 . Service in Support and Help ••.....•• 10

5 . Forming of the Pro ject .• •. .• . .• • ... • 17

II . The Information of the Project Area •• 22

1 • Lo ca ti on • • • . . • • . . • . . . . • . • • • • . • • . • • • 2 2

2 . C 1 i mate • • . . . • . . . . . . . . . . • . • . . . . • • • • 22

3 . Topography ••. .. .. . ... .. .••. . ..•..... 22

4.Population , Land and Village ..•..•.. 27

. 3 •

; ...

5 . Resources and the Present Condi ti 0 n .. . 27

6.Basic Installation ••• ..... . . . . ...••. 38

7 .The Situation of Science and Technology39

8. water, electricity and Traffic .....•• 39

III. The Plan of Project •.••.••.•••••••.• 42

1.Project Description •.••••• •••• . ..••• 42

2 . Projec t Contents .•••••••.•....••••• 45

3 .Installation of Project • • •••••• ••••• 48

4 . The Conditions of Engineeri ng Design. 61

5 . Estimation of the Engineeri ng Volume

and Cost . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62

6 . Purchasing of the Goods and Materials •. 63

7.The Environmental Influence • • •...••• 68

IV . The Organs and Management · · · · · · · · · 69

1 • The Organs · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · 6 9

2 . The Duties of Organs in Different

Levels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .... 70

• 4 •

)

3 . Servoce in Support and Help ... .. ......

4 .Management and Maintenanc e

v. The Estimated Aim of Project

1. The Reformation of Low-yield Lands in

the Tuha i River Valley

2 . The Development of Animal Husba ndry

3.The Farming of Prawns and Va l ua bl e

Marine Products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

VI. Marketing Prospec t . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

77

83

85

85

87

88

90

1. The Market within Shandong Provinc e ••• 90

2 . The Domestic Market

3 . The I n ternational Market

4.Plan f or Product Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . VII . Progress Schedule of the Project , ....

1. Construction Schedule

• 5 •

93

93

98

98

98

2.Annual I nvestment Scheme · ···· ·· ········1 00

VIII. The Raising and Paying-back of the

Capita l •. .. .... • • • • • • .• ••• .•• • • • • • • 102

1. The Method of Raising • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 102

2.Suggestions for the Usage of the Loa n

from the World Bac k • • • t •••• • •••••••• • 1 04

3.The Me thod of Inve s tment and the Plan

for Raising Ca pital in Each Year • •. .. 109

4 . Loan and Paymen t •••••• •••••••••• • • • • • · 1 09

5 . Accountants and Auditors ••••••••.•.•. 109

IX. Financial Ana lysis and Business

Evaluation • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • l 1 1

1. Financial Analysis of the Project • •• •• 111

2 . Business Analysis of the Project ······1 33

3 . Financial Contribution of the Project .. J 34

4 . Ana lysis about the Risk in the Project .J 35

. 6 •

,

X. Conclusion ••••••••••••••••• •• ••••••• 1 38

1 .Technical Feasibility ••. ••• •••• •• •••••• 138

2.0rganization Feasibility ... ............ 138

3.Financial Feasibility •••• , . •. • . • ••••••• 139

4. Economical Feasili ty ••• • • • . •.. ....•.• 139

5. Social Feasibility ••.••.••.••.•.....• 1 40

6.Proposals ••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 1 4 1

• 7 •

,

The Comprehensive Developing ProJect of Agri ­

culture in Shandong Pro vince, China

I. Background of the Project

1.Preface

1.01 This project will be the first comprehensive

developing project of agrtculture in a oig scale

supported by the World Bank and will pro vide typi­

cal experience for comprehensive and total de velop­

ment of agriculture in Shando ng Province and even

for that of the whole country, which will push for­

ward the comprehensive development of agriculture .

1.02 The national econom~ of Shandong Pro vince has

developed rapidly in recent years . In 1986 the total

output value of the provincial national economy

reached 32 .7 billon U. S . dollar, which increased

by 11 .4 ~ th~n that of the year before ; the national

income was 13.3 billion U. S. dollars, which increa ­

sed by 7. 6~ than that of the year oefore; th e total

social ou tput value in the countryside reached 18.5

billion U. S . dollars , which increased by 19. 4% -.nan

that of the year before. lhwever , the potentiality

of the a~ri cultural devel opmen t is still quick big .

-1--

•

1.03 The focal point of the de veloping strategy of

agriculture in Shandong Province , in the future , is

to do a good job on the agricultural development of

the big three stretches of land. The first stretch

is the existing 4. 7 million hactares of middlea and

lbw yield land which needs a good job totranform.

The second s tre tch is the 2 .7 million hactare of ·

wast land centered in the Yi meng mountain area whiah

needs development. Th.rough the developmw .. of live -

stock , forestry and fruit , the production will be

opened up widely and deeply and the products of li­

vestock and forestry will be increased in a big sca­

le . The third stretch is the t wo million hactare of

S hallow S da and seabeach and t he 240 , 000 hactares

of in land water which need de velopment to increase

aquatic products in a large way.

1.04 T~is proj ect includes three sub- projects . 7 h ey

are the breeding of power and valuable sea products

; the transformation of middle and lo w yield land

along the Tu hai River Va lley , and the development of

livestock . ~ hese th re e sub-projects were made out

based on t he a g ricultural development strategy in

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Shandong Province and they are located separately .

at the three stretches of land that have the largeat

potentiality for development . They are the most imp \

ortant parts in the three stretches of land for de­

velopment.

•1.05 This project shall have comprehensive develo ­

pment and contruction in aquatic products , livestock

, forestry, planting and water conservancy in twen­

ty- four countries . When the project is put into full

production, the agricultural output value will be

increased by over two hundred and seventy million 7 ~

U.S. dollars in a normal year. This will make bene -

fits to a population of 14,390, 000 in the project

areas.

2. A SPrvey of Shandong Province

1.06 Shandong P-avince is located on the eastc

of China and the lower reaches of the Yel low River ,

at 114° 50 ' - 122° 50 ' E and 34° 30 '-38° 15' N. It con­

sists of a peninsula and the inland.Th e peninsisula

i s extended out between the Yellow Sea and the

Bohai S~a, facing the Liaodong P~ninsula across the

Bohai Sea,I ts i nland borders on Hebei, Henan , Anhui

-3-

and Jiangsu Provinces. 1he Yellow Ri ver flows

through provinces. with six hundred and seventeen ki­

lometers and six hundred and thirty kilometers of the

Jinghang Great Canal. The whole province is more than

seven hundred kilometers from the east to the west

aad over four hundred kilomters from the south to the

north. The coastline is more than three thousand ki­

lometers making up the one sixth of the national coa­

stline. The sea beach area is about 2,000,000 hactr

tres. Its total land area is 156 , 700 square kilo­

meters occupying 1.6% of the country . Among them, the

\ plain is 55%, the mountain region is 20%~ tJie hilly

l area is 1.1 %. By the end of 1986, the population of

the province is 77 , 760,000, ranking the third place

in the country. The agricultural population is

67,970 , 000 87 . 4% ~f the provincial population.

1. 07 A~ministrative Division

~handong Province has ten prefectural level cities

which are governed directly by the provincial go­

vernment,and 5 prefectures, 135 counties, cities ans

districts .

-4-

1.08 Natural Climate

Shandong Province is at the zone of ~arm mon­

soon climate. It has an annual average temperature

of 11 uc - 14°c, increasing from the peninsula to

the inland. The hottest month is July inwhich the 4 0

average temperature is 24.5 C - 27.5 C. The coldest

month is January inwhich the average temperature is O 0

-1c - -4 C. The annual frost-free peroik is between

180 and 220 days The annual rainfall is 550 - 950 mm

and the variable rate is between 12% and 25%, 60 -

70% of the rainfall concentrates in Summer. The an­

nual average water flow on the surface of · the earth

is 26,400,000,000 m3, and the water that can be used

is 6,450,000,000 m3. The annual average flow of the

Yellow River is about 47.000,000,000 m3 and the an­

nual average flow is 6,500,000,000 m3. The water re­

source under the earth is about 16,300,000,000 m3

and the qauntity that can .be opened up is 13,500,0

00,000 m3. Due to the proper temperature, enough

sunshine, rich hot energy, good water resource and

the rain-warm period, the condition is good for many

plants.

1.09 Communications

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. ,

B11,1lc Conditions of !';hnndong l'rovince

Ta~l~_ 1-=--1 ..

Description Qty Description Qty l)esc rl ptlon Qty

Total area 15 , 670 , 000 hP.ctares Total cotton output 940 , 700 tons Sh1llow sna beach area 1, 933 ,100 hectares

Cultivated are1 6 , 964 , 400 hr.ctares Total oil c rop out-put 207 , 600 tons Length of cvas t line 3 , 000 km

Population rn , 763 , 600 Total moot output 1 , 41 7 , 800 t ons Grain Unit output 3 ,8110 k~/hec t Are

Among them : Total poultry~ eggs 696 , 6110 tons Cotton unit output 930 kg/hect1-1re

Agricultural -- . population G7 , 971 , ?00 Total milk output 170 , 050 tons

Fa rm Labour,.!'. ?3 , 53G , 300 Cot ton, ~ool output 10 , ?24 tons

No • of villagE a Tot al output of & towns ? , 119? aquatic pr oducts 9111 , 1\10 tons

No - of ad.mini-strative villE ges 89 , 188 Total output of frui sl , 9-i1 , 3!>0 tons

Total value of a;sriculturE USi9 , 7D9 ,000 , 000 Irrigated area 4, 5116 ,800 hcctnres

Among i t: Among it:

Crop-grow USS6 ,879 , 000, 0'Xl by surfnce watcr 2 , 6111 , ?00 ru etnrcs

Forest USS 34 1 , 001) , 000 by under0 rounl wntur 1, 93? , 600 huctnres

AnlmaL Husbandry UsS>1 , 6h9 , 010 ,010 No - of r,W'lpe-1 walls 6?? , 610

Fishery l)!;SI 435 ,000 ,000 Area suiLnble for '} , 7 .n , 300 h<?C La res " I\Vt: u~~ 11.._: 1.o

hr us,; 1?'J . 77/y¥•r V ....... V

income ·ier f1rn 3rass1 ·tr, I ·trea 3 , 48'> , 9'l0 hN: t,1 res

Total ~r:lin out S, ?S') , l':l) t.ons • np t

!lot,1: t"irtt:i•1l·,n l :,r,~:• inc.lo it!!' ;r~S!il•tnd in f or,?!l t•

-6-

,

The province is convenient is communication.

By the end of 1986, it had had over 2040 Km of

mileage of railway, excluding the main raiways

such as Jinghu and Jiaoji, it also has Lanyan,

Yanshi and so on. Highways radiate in all :;direc­

tmons and the mileage stretchs 3700 Km. The in­

land river line is 1840 Km. Along the coast there

are Qingdao, Yantai, Longkou, Weihai and Shijiu,

the cities and ports that opened to the foreign

countries. Among them Qingdao and Yantai are im­

portant ports of foreign trade in our country

with annual handling capacity of 26,000,000 and

7,000 , 000 tons respectively.

3. The Present Status of Agriculture

1.10 Since the establishment of the People ' s Re­

public of China,especially since the year 1978,

the agricultureal economy of Shandong Province

has developed greatly. Calculated on the price of

1986, the social gross output value of the coun­

tryside in the whole province was18.49 billion

US dollars and increased by 19.4% than that of

the year before; among it the gross agricultural ~V~n

p or 7, b

·-7'-

I • ,fl/fllltllllllt•

output Talue was 9. 71 billion US dollars and in-

c1reased by 7. 7 % than that of the y ear before.

'1 • 1 1 Agriculture is one of the most i mportant

enomic department of Sha ndong Province . The gross

africultural ouput value occupies 1/3 of the gross

social output value of the whole provinc e. After

1978 , the main a gricultural production and operatin

form in Shandong Province is contracted operation

in connection with the output by the farming house­

holds. In recent yea rs, a lot o f spe cial agricul­

t ural households and new economic associated units

have been formed. I n 1986 the Pro vinc e has 344600

of various kinds of speial houseijolds and 48000 of

new economic associated units . During the recent

years, the commercia l economy of agriculture in

Shandong Provinc e is developing very fast , the com

mercial rate of agricultural products of the whmle

y ear in 1986 reached 57 . 3%. The deta ils of Sha ndon

Province see Chart 1-1.

·-8-

1

I 1.12 Crop Growing

The crop growimg in the province is mainly

food cr op growing. Of about 7000000b..ectares of

J-rable land, the food cr op fields take 6? per

cent.

Food crop mainly refers to wheat, maize

and sweet potato, their outputs are listed be­

low:

Unit: 10,000 ton&

Time 1949 Varity 1978 1986

wheat 2. 21 8 .03 1 , . 62

rnaiz,e 0 .88 6.1 2 10.16

sweet 1,1ota to 1. 31 6. 61 4

Th,e production of cash crop and others in the province 5 ets a ra.1,,id devel0.1,Jlllent . The plant­

ing area. and the output of cotton , 1,eanut and fruit i1n Shandong both take the fi rst place in

the cou1ntry. '£heir outvut can be seen in the

table b1elow:

·-9-

l y'

Unit· thousand tons . Time varity 1949 1978 1986

Cotton 81 154 941

1

Peanut 541 939 2047 - -- ---- - · 250 1530 2000 Fruit

1.1 3 Forestry

The area of afforestation has expanded r a ­

pidly in recent years . For example, the afforest­ed area of 223000 hectares was made in 1986. So i t totally gets to 1823000 hectares . ~he rat e o! forest covering arrives at 13.2 per cent in 1986 from 9. 2 per cent of 197~. The stor age of wood goes to 43999 thousand cubic meters from 23199 thousand cubic meters. The gross forestry out­~ut is 3400 million dollars, taking 3. 5 ~er cent

of the gross agricultural out~ut value . But there is still much land suitable for affor est­ation waited to be utilized. Wood supplies can ' t

meet the need by far. 4. Service in Support and Help 1.1 4 Animal husbandry

The animal husbandry in the province for a long time is mainly household raising of domestic animal and poultry, such as ho5 s and so on. In last few year ~eople took note to raise sheep, rabbit , and so on, but this is only at beginning.

-1 0-

1 There are 5rea t 1-1otentiali ties waited to b.ring out. The gross aniwal husbandry output value

in 1986 gets 1688?60 thousand dollars , the inform­ation is listed helow:

Calculated at end of the year.

Unit: thousand Time varity 1949 1986 198b to

1949 + %

Draught aniI.Oal 3907 4801 22.9

Shee1-1 1403 9853 602.3

Rabbit 1403 17758

Hog 2700 1 b689 518. 1

1.15 Fishery

~he output of aquatic product in 1986 is

914 thousand tons , increasing 23.? per cent over <' that of 1978, and gets the third place in the

country, of which aea fishing takes 65 . 6 per cent ,

f sea cultivation, 22.6 per cent and fresh water fishery , 11 . 8 1-1er cent. The gross fishery out1-1ut value is 43470 thousand dollars in 1986 , increas­

ing 47.5 ~er cent over that of 1978 , taking 4.5

per cent of the gross agricultural out~ut value

in the 1-1rovince.

1.16 water Conservancy

. - 1 1 -

By 1986 in the yrovince, there ~re 5489 reservoirs with the total ca~acity of more than 151000 million cubic metres, about 62 thousand tube wells with total pumping amount of 82.5 billion cubic meters. And along the Yellow River, there are 41 culvert s luices, 26 sites

•of siphon, and 33 pumping stations with annual average amount of 70 billion cubic meters. The irrigated area in the province expands to more than 4500 thousand hectares in 1986 taking 65 per cent of total cultivated area in the pro­vince, of which 2614 thousand hectares is water­ed by surface water and 1933 thousand hectares,

by groundwater.

1.17 Farm Machinery

RJ 1986, the total ~ower of farm machinery. reaches more than 25000 thousand kilowatts, increas­ing 72 per cent over 1978. There are 136 thousand tractors of large-size and medium-sized, and 321 thousand small tractors, 40 thousand trucks for farm use, and 1137 thousand ~ower manchines.

1.18 Auxiliary Service

Education of agricu1tural technology and science There is an agriculture academy in the province in charge of key research. The de~artments of such as agriculture, forestry,

-12-

water conservancy and aquatic product, all have their own special units of science research, which preside over and harmonize science reseach. The scienti.fic and technical personnel in the field of agriculture increases every year.

The rank of technique spreading has b,een enlarged continuously in the province. Service in vari.ous ways and at different levels, such as experiments, demonstration, technical training and consultation, is undertaken. But there is much room to improve in technical service. Remarkably, it is short of hands, lack of apvara­tus and backward method of s.1:,>reading the service.

Education makes steady progress in the reform­ation. In 1986, there are universities, colleges, polytechnic schools of 276, and graduates of 52 ----- -t housand. These colleges and school sup1,1ly much .t1ersonn.el in S.1Jecial field to agriculture every year. Besides, there are 2500 colleges, poly­technic schools, skill training school and middle school for ~easants, which training 330 thousand ~easants with special skilL every year.

1. 19 Production of im1-roved vari ty of seedling and breeding

There are about 140 farms for fine breed in the ~rovince , which can annually su1>.1:,>ly ?924 tons of im.1:,>roved seed . There are 30 state studs

-1 3--

r

which can annually supi,,ly 16 thousand breeding

stocks, and 6 poultry farms for fine var ity , which can annually sui,,ply improved ~oultry of

2127 thousand. There are 1 ,3 grounds for nur ser y

of young !Jlants , which can annually supply sa pling of 50000 thousand. And ther e are sapings of

· 1 5000 milliom b.y individuals . And there a re

kept areas of 95 thousand cubic meters for faising of prawn fries and some other things which can

annually turn out fries of 20 billion. The

production of breeding and varity improving needs

enlarging with development of production.

1.20 Production of feed

In the ~rovince, the materials from which

the 1,ilant feed is made are maive , bran and so on,

the total amount of its resource can he ~600

thousand tons. The bait materials needed in br eed­

ing are mainly mussel and low-valued fish shrim!J and shellfish. There is a ra,l)id i,,rogress in the

product~on of mixed and appostioned feed . The

output of the mixed feed is 1,30 thousand tons in 1986 ..

1. 21 Pirevention and care of seasonal Febrile D:Lsease

ThE~re are S}'ecial unit of i,,revention and

-J 4 - .

cure in agricul t ura l branches at all levels for reducing the harm Ula.de by ~lant disease and in­

sect peists. 'vie took 1,1ains to S!'read saft and quick-a.cting farm chemicals, and got a good re­

sults. But the demant of such kind chemicals exceeds the su1'1'1Y in the country, and quite a

, lot of thew are de.Pendent an im1,1ort.

1.22 su~plying of Goods and Materials

The goods and Ula t erials needed in a~ricul­ture are in planned su1,1yly linked with the ad­justment of market nowadays.

-1 5-

I !

.1 I

evince go vernment increases 22 .4 per cent over

that of 1985. The funds allocated as supparting

a griculture funds and operating experses, in

1986 , increases 17 . 5 per cent over 1985. The ag­

ricultural loan supplied by banks of all levels

a nd credit cooperatio n is big increased, two.

5. Forming of the project

1. 25 The development of the middle and lo w yi­

eld land in the basin of Tu Hai River is a follo w

up item to The I tem of Agriculture in H~a bei

plain . And the follow-up item is set up in 1983,

and the i tern of developing a nin::11 a nd breeding

of sea cucumbe r are set up 1985 a nd 1986 respec­

tively .

1. 26 Twenty- four cou nties (cities , regions) ,

where the project Will be carried , are chosen .

Of which 12 counties f citiesl a re involued in

the item of transformation of lo w-yi eld land in

'Pu Hai Hiver basin , 8 counties (cities) a r e in­

valued in the item of de veloping animal husban­

dry , and 6 counties and regions (o f which t wo

counties , Wudi and Zhouhua are also co nce rned i n

the item of Tu Hai ~i verl .

- 1 7-

Why the 24 counties are chosen? The reason is:

(1) The low-yield land in Tu Hai River basin

takes about 20 per cent of the middle and low

yield land in the province. The area there is

alluvial plain by the Yellow River with rich wa­

·ter and land, and there are some bas.ic installa­

tcion.s there. Besides the experience of "The I tem

of Agriculture in ffoabei Plain" has been obtain­

ed . Production will be raised by transformation.

(2) Yi meng mountain region is one of the eight­

e en poor regions in the country . I n recent years,

the central government and the province go vernme­

nt go ve it the priority to support . The area, ta­

king more than 30 per cent of the total unculti­

vated land in the province , is rich in feed res­

ources. ~f'he peo ple there have the ex perience of

raisi ng livestock. ,· he loan of t he World Bank

used to develop animal husbandry will be sure

t o spee d up the pace in helping people there

ob tain a well-of f life from the poor.

(3) Laizhou bay and the delta of be Yellow R~­

ve r take more than 70 per cent of the coastal

-1 8-

shallous in the province . The area, where the Hu­

ang sea and the Bohai sea join, is very favoura­

ble for breed high-valued aquatics and has great

potentiabilities. The local government and people

there consider the development of coastal shall-

~ws as a way to make economy thrive . So the deve­

lopment of breeding p~awn and high- valued aquati­

cs in the six counties Will give a pash to the

development at all the shallows.

1. 27 The ~r e j ect is planned and prepared by us

with the people.in the counties cou aerned. It is ~

under the guidence of the Programme Commettee of

China , the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of

A&riculture Animal Husbandry and Fishery and un­

der the direct leadship of the province government,

organized by the Programme Committee of Shandong

Province , participated by the Finance Department,

the Agriculture Department the Water conservancy

Deprsment the Fo restry Depastment , the Aguatic

Produi t Bureau , and the Animal Husbandry Bureau.

P. very county co ncerned has made the plan With data ·

means of engineering and charts.

- 1 9-

1.28 Some people engaged are organized to do

the work of dividing agricultural area and terri­

tory progr amme from 1979 on the basis of that in

~he pr ovince . The long-term and middle- term plans

of agricultu ral development, such as "programme

ab0ut the transformation of middle and low- yield

land of 40000 thousand mu along the Yellow River",

"Programme about the Development of Animal husba­

ndry in Shandong Province", " Programme about De­

velopment of Forestry in Shandong Pro'lince 11, "Pr­

ogramme about Development of Coas tal Region of

Bohai sea" , "Programme about the Development of the

Del ta of the Yellow River", "Overall plan of the

Development of Island" , "Plan of five years about

the sea Breeding".are formed successively . The

Projec t of Agricultural Comprehensive Developme­

nts is founded on the basis of the programmes a nd

plans mentioned above , and is accepted in the de­

veloping plan of national economy.

The project was discussed with the representive

of the World Bank and the person in charge of the

pro ject held the first. talk on Decemb e r 1st to .3nd

-2 0-

~· '~" ·~,

Dintribution of Agricul turHl r.omproh1w:1i ve ·i,?velopment

i'rojoc ts :li:itricts in Sha,,1on..: :>ro·, incc , r.111nn

Table 2-1

Location in ltem ~ity Loca tlon in Cou11 ty & District

Total in tho Provine, 9 ;>4

Yn11tai city I'englai County , Ch11nu<1ao r.011nty

Pruwn ~ Sea foo1s

Url"e.!in5 Jaif'ani: city Han ting l)i.!' tri .;t

Donjying city Hokou District

Huirnin~ '.>istrict 7.hiwh ,a r:o,1n t:, , /uli County

Development ,)f lluiming ,JLs trict llinzhou '!i ty, lluimlnt: • v,rn xin t: , ~hnnhua nnrl Wuli r.oun ties

Mi clHc t Low output

fie 11 in ttl•' Tuhn i I 1)1),\hOU

:Hstrict Jlyan County , Sh'\n~11<) '!o•m ty Hi ,·Pr r~ ~ion

r.1,1ochP.11.J ')i:itric t Chiping , r.·1ot,1n~, ')onu,!r , v"ln~d'I un I Xinxl'ln Coun ties

,\nim·tl Hush·111'1r:, , ~RO/..hUftntl

Ci ty Tcn~ xi'ln 1·011nt:1

lnv~ lo ;imcn t i'11i An city I.aiwu City

Lin3yi i'lnyi •1n•I 1·'Pi xian Coun tics 'H!l trict Yishui , y in·rn, v1yu·111 , M'ln;;:1in ,

-2 , _

1987, in Beijing. The people from the Programme

Committee of China, the Ministry of Finance and

the Ministry of Agriculture, Animal husbandry a­

nd Forestry were present. The representive of the

World Bank confirmed the project and at the same

·time put forward some valuable proposals. The

project has been revised and complemented accord­

ing to the proposals. Some of the minor items in­

cluded in the project have been read1~sted.

]:. The lnformation of the areas where the project

is to be carried out

1. Location

2.0 1 The project revolves 24 counties (cities

r egions ) , see Table 2-1.

2. Climate

2 . 02 The areas concerned with the project, all

belong to the monsoon climate of temperate zone.

The detailed information of precipitation, and

s ome other things ca n be found in Table 2-2.

3. Topography a nd Soil

2. 03 The twelve counti es in t he basin of the Tu

-22-

Hcd River are all si tnn ted on the alluvial plain

with an elevation of 0-45 meters. The height reduce

successinely from south-west to north-east up to

the Bohai Sea . The average slope fall is 1/10000

( basic level of the Huang Sea, the same below),

it marked at 3 meters of land elevation. The to­

pography of hillock alternating with depression

has been formed because of influence of the Ye­

llow River, which had many times busted the banks

and changed its course. According to the statis­

tice, highland covers 25 . 9 percent of the total,

hillside field , 54 . 5 percent, depression, 14.9

percent and seabeach, 4. 7 percent. The soil in

the basin is mostly saline-alkali . Observed from

the surface soil , loam takes 69 . 4 percent of the

total, clay, 18.2 percent, and sandy soil, J2.4

percent . I n the cul ti va ted soil la.yer , nitrogen

is less than 60 ppm, quilk-acting phosphorus is

less than 5 ppm , organil matter is usually less

than 1 per cent, quick-acting potassium is be­

tween 50-1 50 ppm . Of the total area of kilometers,

containing cultivated land of 750 thousand hec-

·-2 3-

tares i n the counties concerned , there is 213

thousand hectare which is subject to harm of sa­

lini zation at di ffere nt degr ees a nd 105 tho usand

hectaresis often hit by flood . Besides , ther e is

discarted land of 130 thousand hectar es . The im­

formation can be fou nd in Table 2- 3.

2 . 04 The eight counties concerned with develop­

me nt of animal husbandry are in Yim.eng mountain

region , with an elevation above 500 meters . The

region concerned, with various landforms , can be

devided into mountain area , hillside , slope , and

small pieces of plain. The total area of the pro­

ject in the eight counties is 139 . 52 thousand

hectares of which there is cultivated land 480

thousand hectares , and grass land of 450 thousand

hectares . There are great potentiabilities of the

development of animal husbandry . The imformation

see Table 2- 4.

2 .05 The four counties, concerned by the item

of breeding prawn , are situated in the d3lta of

the Yellow River and the coastal area of Laizhou

BAy , with an elevation of 0- 8 . 4 meters. The ter-

(}._) V) l

Table 2-?

~ , -J.4

Average temperAtur e 1'C )

The Tuhai River Project -3.'f-

District - ... • - n ... -.-:1 , , ,,-... o Y'J-,:-",.,,-~,:- -l•J

.

. ~5-:r-8 9./

n It sJ.~ .r3.7

,J:d ; f) J, )..

~I / .\ ~ • \

n., trl c t

Avo,..r, -ro

. 1 l , J .., •

MeteorologicAl DAtA of VArious l'rojnct llist ricts ,,.,,, .... . ,.,.

I 10

11\nnual Pro~t lt>S

? 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 11 I 1? lr\ver11ge pcri oti 1, I

- 0-7 ,. i; JJ.t _,)J,t .:i )- 'l. 2,U .z..)·.)" Jo.> I 11/-. .:i ( . c i -/. C 1~.J }- - .

i. c-J ! tit, J -d 1-.r /1) ,6+ J.J,.:, ~r.t :t.r; I f s't , -c. e ;~-/.I

- ,.2- ,.3 /J.'f /? t .:14-, 2. 2,l .c 2, )'', 11 :i.•.? ; 11.1 . / .~ - C, J I J. .?J I I

! 3\r r I

t-; A

I /JI. t 11]7'3

j

7,7 / <>./ ;>J-} I .30.J 7;./ rJ.J , ,- I 14- /.I i11. 0 I >;,, )) I / • ,

?./ I 1o. I 3,;,.S ''t-· j

I

Jl.'/ n . .:.i ,171 i-1-4 ??) : n.5 'l· ') {22 ." i

/.:l.) I P,1 I

I•.'j 41-7 ,'•o.J ;i,1/.5 ,rs .:l I s1. -t ~q · / l l ·t J) 2 ~·5· t :

I I

I I j I

i I

7Y,} ,n.7 ;Jl /.:, IL,)·'t rrt;.1, l-3';./ i ,11 j I ,Pt.6 ,; )..'\ J '· ~ j 2. q- 2.<'rt,.J

'l'r) 1f? Y ;z.}7 ~ ,.).4 1-4},7 '2J7 .t I tJ·o. 41 /1, ;)•7 ;l/,J I "'J./ 6J• 'r 1,Jz,S I

'J.J·J I J /. / 2-17,) i.Sl·" ! 1 l, 0 2•2·Y ' 17,.; I 1t0 .4- I ~. f.7 H} rJ.Y ,7.s) ! I . .

i I

,1-~·1' ·· -'~.1 :, 2 ?.It ,s ;.~ ,711 ~;,., ~,;/ ,, ;.I ,,;.J I 1<:d ,.,..; j,1/•.J i !~'1·3 i 19?.'S 24 o. J

).?/. I • 17• 1t 2}f.1 .J ?.) · J I .> 4c.1 ! I ,) ,) 1 /) /,/ / 1/ ) l.J)4-. \ I I . I .

I lb, Y" ~,!./ _, /.) 1 • /0./ •)', ,} :,~).j .<·l.J • .~/.J ./i .,,U j ,., .' I /j ,.;, ) 1.,>l,7t,,?

( I • • .,. 25-

lo' t • ~ ,,. .... --

.

hasic t;und i t1on~ o f l'rojec t Counties for he f orming Midrlle & Low uu tput Farmland in the Tuhui lti ver ttegi on

-Table 2-3 IJ r,i t: u (/)

·, .. I ., : , ; - Cl> +' Q)

De scrip- "" C 8 .... ,.. as ~ .... .... ::, I I I •• C C

Q) 'O 0 I.> ..... II, h ..-< h Ill .... .., UI .., I\Oh ..... 0 +' ::, I l\() h

tion +' I.> ... .c > ti)+> .... r,o..-< > .• :,, ol ::, ., g::,., al ., m .., cl 0.. ~ ~. 'O al .,

.... cl +' .... +' ., ,8 Cl) UJ ..... a, ., +' 0 > 0::, 0::, ha. h .., Q) ~+' ::, 0 C 1-, 0.

~ Ill Ill > Ill a, Ill .... ., 1-, ... ,.:.~> h+' ..... h ....

... >,~ ., "° 0 E ::, fl)~ ... Ill "'

+' ., ..... ., "° Q) a, +' "° ::, 0 t.? '1) ... ::, ::, t>D+' +> ,o > ... h +' u ... ... co (/) .... <\l > Q) h

0 h +i ... ..... h ... ::, CE o 4l C : .... Q) 00 ... 0. I\() I ::, (/) > ., h > a, E o, rl ::, ::, .... ::, 0 .... ....., ., Q) Cl! E o,

' E-< Ill ,... en ~. cl 0 0. Oh..0 • tl())< e > .., .... +' C 0. 0. ., E 'd o e oJ a. .... 0. " a.

.., .... lllrlh V) ;.. o e

::, ... E-< 0 E al al 0 al 0 !;'!~~ 0::,::, 0 0 +> h +' ~ c~ +' 0 S.., +' +> a, +' +' +' ... 0 +' ..00 a, a, +' 0 h

~ t.) .... p. cl r.. .... ;.-!; ,-t +> I,-< 0 0 fl h ::, 0::, a,::, Q) C: Ct1 0::, .., ::, 0::, 00 0~ h 4l C a,

a, t.) 0 ... a. ..0 a. ;:. ..... '-'-. &-'O 00 e-<0 t.) :,, E-< +' (!) Z·rt ~ E-<

Unit 10000 hOOOO 10000 10000 10000 ~OOmil 100mi l 100mil100mil . Yuan110000 10000 1000D h00001000010000Yuan hec . hec . hec. uan Yuon I Yua n Yuan year tons tons tons ton ton j hec .

1 hec. yea/'

Total 144. 46 74.11 .r.i.o3 5'ff. 37 ,.to. ?J '°'-l~ ;i;;iJ- ra.-is-- ~J.88 ~1-1 a 0·il 3.1,7 2eo.36 I

::z::i .32 ,.ol 1047 9-1 011.2.1 z4. ~

' Xinxian County 1!3. 88 8.67 7, 00 li,S-6 74-17 2t. 67 28 113 7 4.S? 3.7.r 0.07 ().42 43S.82 :37-os 2,11 0.$8 ()/!9 o.J!, I, t .3 t.J

~ 0--

Yanggu County Io . .t/8 6.85 £1.J 64. /{} {,oJO 19. I (} 2/ 8rc .JJ7 ~- ,,{, 0.0 9 o.H· 3f.i-3! .n.1° .?.16 /. •4 ,21 0. 67 o-7i' °.? ,

I Denger County 1.14 4 . fS 3.65' .)7.71 34.?6 /~.Jo 14 .f,fc 2 .Z2 1.11 0.12 O.Z8 3 '!6.'2 20.37 1.48 0.43 119 o.52 (). 71 0.71

Gaotang County r.'fs 6f{ 5.fh 41. 63 3f: 73 14. 71 If 746 3. 76 /) . 99 o. ,s 0.50 4?7. 51, 20.41 2.78 o.U 174 056 0. 09 0.73

Jiyang County /0, ?{, 6-~r 3.64 47, /6 4"1. 73 I'/. '19 2o 94/ 3. f4 2.88 0.17 ()_lj" 3g£.1!> 23.2S 1.14 0,60 IJ o.J6 , .02 t.4Y

Shanghe County I/. fJ 7-16 4,74 S3. 16 S-<>.4-1 21. 71 22 H8 2. iS 2. 4l I>. 06 l> .28 3'Jt}o 3/.46 2.IS o.76 21 o.H J. le 2.}'f

Huimin County 13.t{, 7. 4'f ,4,l6 57_ ,7 j).91 23.2f i? I 12S2 3.59 3_28 o. Io o. 34- 413.94 .?J.1j c.4G o.6~ 16 <>_61> , . 2/ 1-42

;

Yangxin County S. 11 4_6G 2.30 3'/.12 )7.47 14,Jh 13 817 ,.a, I. 40 o. o; 0. 25 2'/?. IPi l'/.78 0. 9 i! 0.43 20 o.?1 o.ar / .lf

B1nzhou City 9.6f 4.32 ). 40 4j. 33 33.7° / 3. 41 (6 857 2 .31 ,.p o.o3 0. 17 46f.8? 17. 7( /. 6<> o.2 / 34. o.t'I 0./2 l.5i

Wuli Coun ty 17.n $.46 2.rr 3?,24 37.26 ,,.gs ,8 s8r I .Sf; /./b 0. o4 a27 370. fo I J. 67 o.s 7 o.42 ~/ 2.ob , . 82 b () . .

Zhanhuo County 17, 63 5. 37 2. 72 3S.52 3,.43 I I. 16 IS- H 3 2.fl I . 'if 0 . 02 o.2z 281_ 10 JI. 54 o. 89 o.3o I 1r 0.3! O.b5 f. ) j

- . -' ' - ~~ ' , .1

rain there slopes gently , and somewhere hollo wl ,

the fall of slope is 1/7000-1/10000 . The soil th­

ere is mostly saline . The seaheach of th e typ e o f

sand and silt there is the largest tract in the

pro vince , are especially favo u rabl e i n breeding

• pro wn, fish and shellfish in beach . Cha ngdao coun-

ty and Penglai County face each other across s~a .

The r e is a very large sea area near the two coun­

ties which is favourable in breeding high- valued

aquatics. Please see Ta ble 2-5 , if for more imfor­

mation .

4. Population, Land and Villages

2 . 06 In the regions concerned , there are 464

small towns, 1880 administrative villages and the

population of 13600 thousand , of which agricultu­

ral population of 12600 thousand takes 92 . 5 per

cent of the total . There is cultivated land of

1330 thousand hectares , 9ne person averages 0.11

hectare of land , and one household, 0 . 49 hectare .

5. Resources and the Present Condition

2 . 0 7 The Area concerned by the Item of Hu Hai

-27-

..

l!Bs!c Con:H Uo:1,i of Various i'rojoct " ounti•is for !'rnwn ~ S•lafood Br<'et!ini<

Teble 2- 5

~ Total Cultivated Totttl ·. ·non~ it : Farm No . or No . of Totnl

,,;ricultural villages /lclmini:itrA- ngriculturn nrea nr" ~ population ~opulntion labourer & towns tivo village output

, ~lu

Unit 10 •000 10 , 00:> 10 000 10 000 10 000 100 million 9-) hectnres h<lctares ' ' ' yusin

Totol 75 , 05 ?1 . 34 174 , 7 157 . 9 51 .1 9 80 ??61 10 ,4 ? 'f Wuli County 19 .75 13, ,4 6 39 , ?4 37 , ?6 11 , 85 18 'i89 1,86

Zhanhua Coun ty 17 , 63 5 . 37 35 , 52 33 . 43 11 . 16 1'i 443 ? , 1?

Hant!ng District 8 , 38 3 ,85 33 . 3a 30 . 10 9 . 60 1? 417 ? , 40

Hekuo County 16 . 16 1 ,89 14,59 9 . 85 1. 63 , 176 0,40

Changdao Coun ty 0 . 53 0 . 02 3 . 94 ? . 95 0 , 76 10 40 0 . 97

Penglai County 12 , 10 ,1.75 l!'l . !l'S t. ,1 . 31 1(, . 19 ?O 606 ? . 67

-? "-

.. . ~

I I Among it: Ne t a verAge AquAt ic Length of Area o f llench Userl are11

f ishe ry income per pr oduc ts coast line ShRllow s ea Ar eR of hcach out put

ou tput value f a rme r

' 19 million yunn/y11Ar 1 ,ooo tons km 10 , 000 10 , 000 10,000

yuan hect a res hectares hectares

~ 1,82 1?2 ,1 2 775,93 48 , 96 33 , 6? 7 , 47

Cf 0 , 18 390 . 90 19 , 80 102 10 8 , 06 1, 20

0 , 24 289 , 90 21 . 50 170 , 5 6 17 , 14 1. 00

0 ,1 6 550- 70 4 , 26 20 ? , 5 1 ,87 1. 00

0 , 03 365 -50 0 , 76 254, 37 ? , 13 6 , '1'> ? -67

0 , 88 1636- 14 4'> ,49 142.8 24 0 , 02 0 , 67

0 . 33 496 , 88 30 , 31 86 , ?6 2 . 33 O, Ofl 0 . 93

-2 9-

·------------------~--------------------~--. 7

I,, . . - . ~ - ...... "- ... 0.., -Grassland Ar aA 10,000 hectar es

.,., ..... ~ ~ '6 .,.,, - .,_

~ ..,; .,; ""<, <"': :..; <.~ ,,,:.. C) <\:. Are11 su.1 table for forest - "' "' - "' .... " "-,._

<>-- ~ "' Q - ~ ... ·-10 , 000 hectares ..; ~ "' .;..

"' -..; ~ <::- ~., ..:. TotAl cotton ~ \1001 output (tonl ~ '<>

~ - - ~ ,._ ..... ~ ..,, -l- ·-.. "" 'C - ..

---.... N - S), ... -. " "' "' ·- .,._ Tot!ll milk output 1, 000 tons

,._ ... - ~ ,... - " ... -~ ..:. .,;

~ .. ~ ..... .,; ~

.., C a, E Q.

Tot11l poultry & eggs output '-<> "' "' -. ':2, "" ~ ..,, - " ...

"· Q "' ....

1, 000 tons ..;. ~ ...;, . ..; .,..., <, .,., ,..._

"' .... ·- ' -. TotRl meat output10 , 000

.... ..... .... .,. ~ ==

.., tons ... - -: :: .,. .::;

"' ~ ..; .... ..:. ..:. ~ - ..; ..,.; -0 .... a, > a,

TotAl grain output 'l§" .... ,... .... ...... ,; ...., .!! "' ' "' -=>. - "" " 10 , 000 tons ....; .. .,: ~ .,.; '> ...;_ ~ :?." ... - "' "' ~ ,.. ... "' C:

>, ... 'O C

"' .c ..,

~ ~ ~ .: .; ~ ~ "' ~ AverAge income per farmer .... .. "' ~ 'j <>,; -:,:. ..; ~ "'-'<> ( yuan/yeAr ) ...

~ ...., r--.. Q .....

" '"' ... - .... ~ .... <, "' .... " ..... """ "' .... ..... -<> <.., Among it : anim11l hush11ndry ...., '> ,..._ <>- .,.., s:,. <>- " -+

outout value ( 10 million vu11n l r..:.. .-. .; c,; " cs C) ..:. ..:. :s :,:

.... <t E .... C <

Total agricultural output value ..... - - .. .,., - ';.' " .,._ .,_ .... ... ~ <>:- "' " ....

( 100 million yu11n} ...:. . .; ... ,.:. .,; .;: ,.,. "' - -No . of admini s trative villages () "' ""' ,..__ \_,., - ,... "' -"' - " " "' ~ "' . " ...... :: <:,.. - "' ~ " ~ - -... 0 ....

No, of village s ,t t o•.ns .... - - " .,,., :.,.. ~ .,., ..... '!:- "' ..... - "'

.., ,, ....

"' <!) .... .., C :s 0 t: .., <> <!) ..... 0

i ... p.,

rn :s 0 .... ... a:

Far m ... ,.._ ..... ~ ~ .:; ~ .:::. -labourers 10 , 000 .... <)

~ " ~ ~ i ~ ,.; ..: ~ "" ... "'I ....

1Amon6 it : agricultural ~- ;;: <>- ~ ~ ':'.;' ~ : / ..,. - .,_ "' populat ion 10 , 0 00 .;.

v.; ....; ,,.:. ~ ...; .. -~ .,_ ...... ~ " ....., "'"' -...,; ....., ,.. ,

"' .... V\ trotal population 10 , 000

.... - "", "" ' "' - ... "'O ..; , i ~! ~ I ~ ~ """ ~ 2 -~· ..... -Cultivated area 10, 000 hectares "" ~ " ~ I .. - -- ~ ~ ..... '"" "" - ..... ~. ,...:_ ,..:.. ..._I ...: '<>' .,; .;.. ,...:. . .... - ..

lrot11l '.2 .::; ..... - ... "' '5 V, area 10 , 000 hect11res I ._, .... .. - 0-, .... ~ ~ .,;. · · ' ~ i ~ - <:) . f

,...., " ' ..... -'"::' . .. ;-;,.. . . :--. ,:-,, > .... 0

rn C 0 .... .., ..... C 'O C

0 ..... 0

<..>

<>

... I Q. .... ... .... <> ..,

"' ., a, cQ c:,

>, .., CY ~~ j >, :,. .. ...

j ... C >, .... C C :s .... ,.... I ::, :s 0 C ,.. ..,

('\j 0 0 <..> c; :s .., C c; <..> 0 ...

0 Cl> ... C C C <..> <: .... <> ::,., Cl> ~ .,... Q) C • .' p a, .., .... :s

i >, .. . ... :s "' .,.., C .., al ..c ~ t:O >< >, :> ~ e-- 0 :s .... ... rn C i C .... C 1-, 0 C 0 .... ·--<

1 .... CJ <!) p., c.> ::, e-- >- >- C. ,-1 f--

~

Water resource is rich in the area, but only the

cultivated land of 520 thousand hectares from the

total of 750 thousand hectares can be irrigated.

Of the watered field, 370 thousand hectares is ir­

rigated by surface water.

· The precipitation there is 611 mm, most of wh­

ich flows into the Bo hai Sea . The irrigation is

mainly depent on the water dra wn from the Yellow

Ri ver. Means of the Yellow Ri ver can be found in

Apprendix 1.

fresh basin of Tu Hai River, the area of sha­

llow groundwater of 500 thousand hectares, takes ~

34. 9 per cent of region's area . The l evel of gr-

oundwater is usually at 2-6 meter. The changing

range in the spared season is between 1-4 meters.

The total amount of gro undwater there is 32000

millo n cubic meters, of which 17000 million cubic

meters is available. The degree of mineralization

is 2 g/1 . There are 48 thousand motor- pumped we­

lls , which can irrigate fields of 150 thousand

hectares. That is to say, 20 per cen t of the cul ­

tivated land there is watered by the motor- pumped

wells .

-31-

From 1965 to 1974, people harnessed the mains­

tream and major tributaries of the Tu Hai R~ver,

according to ·the expectation of f.lood every 20

year, and of flood drainage every 5 year . No w the

Tu Hai River has drainage capacity of 11 50 cubic

meter/sec~nd. Many drainage ditches in the fields

are made. A p~eliminary drainage system appears.

But because the project don 't form a complete

set , ditches and rivers are seriously silted up ,

c~d the standard Qf the project is lo w, the capa­

~~ -Y of drainage is weakened, arod 105 thousand

hectares of cultivated land is subjected to flood .

· ··.I n 12 counties in the basin of the Tu Hai River,

there is area favourable for forest of more than

110 thousand hectares . There are some produ~ts

renowned at home and abroad, for example, littie

date of Leling, big date of Chaping, pear of Yang~ :

xin . But now there is forest of only less than 60

thousand hectares . One person average only 15 ki­

logramme of fresh and dried fruit , far below the

level of the province . It is so,

much the worse with storage, processing and tran-

-3 2-

sport of fruit.

The re are about 160 thousand hectares of saline­

alkali waste land in the region cGncerned. There

is a very large tract of natural meado w, rich in

grass of feed. There,. i5 fine vari ty of livestoc­

le in the region, such as Luxi ox, Buhai black

cattle and Dezhou black Do nkey. At the moment,

the output of animal husbandry is lo w, the amount

of livestock raised in 1986 is only less than 650

thousand vattle units , there is a potenliality

of 400 thousand cattle units there.

2. 08 The Region concerned with Dev elopment of

Animal Husbandry

The area are rich in feed resouraes . The feed

resources is estimated more than 2123, thousand tons

in the 8 counties in 1986 , of which 1684 thousand

tons was actually consumed by the livestock, a po ­

tentiality of 478 thousand tons is left.

There is natural meadow of 223 thousand hectares ,

subsidiary mesdow of 236 thousand hectares . The

amount of fresh grass resource is 3840 thousand

tons which can hold 810 thousand cattle units . In

-33-

1985 , 404 thousand cattle units kept in the eigh t

counties, there is still a potentiality of 407 th­

ousand cattle units.

2.09 Th e Areas where prawn and high- valued aq­

uatics were breeded

In the counties concerned with the prawn breed­

i ng there is coast line totally 547 kilometers,

the shallow sea of more than 220 thousand hectares,

shoal of tide belt and tide-free belt, more than

335 thousand hectares, of which 110 thousand hec­

tares is favourable for prawn. The sea water near

Hekou , the nitrate is 31 mg/1 nitrogen , 9 mg/1.

The plant life of 54 10000 piece/cubic meter , and

swimming arimal life of 250- 500 mg/1 are found th­

ere. The temperature of sea water annually changes

between 0 -27 °c , and the annual surface temperature

is 12 °c a veragely. The temperature is between 15-

250c during the growing period of prawn . Dissolved

oxygen is about 6 mg/1 , and trahsparency is 0.5-1 .5

m. The area with fine water quality and without po-

-34-

llution is favourable for prawn. In 1986, the area

of prawn- breeding is less than 3400 hectar es i n

the four counties and districts concerned , area

of more than 95% which is favourable waits to be

used , so there is a great potentiality .

Nitrate i n the sea water there is 20 . 83 mg/1 ,

the ammonia and nitrogen contained is 27 . 84 mg/1

and planleton is 168X10000 piece/cubic meter. The

annual. average temperature . is 11.8°c , and in sea

water 10- 12°c. The transparency is 3-8m meters,

dissolved oxygen , 5 . 5- 6 . 8 mg/1 . The area , with

fine water quality and without pollution , was

famous for high- valued products in the history.

This is a promising fature because of the culti-

vated area so little.

-35-

Cl.)

O>

I

-1£. -

Grass Resources & AnimAl /\mount of Project Distr1ct3

- .... - -.., Amount o Ar.iount

Description , resh ~nimal Ab e raised Raising Qty Grass to be in 1985 potentia Remark

) r a ised ( ) ( ) ~ounty (10 , 000k~IS . ' "Aatl ) hP.ad head

Tota l of B :?~~-384160 J l o~q/ 4o.37t,7 4ct~ l8

Yis hue ~7,11~ g'.; 166 4~Ml 33')68 I I

YiyuAn 4Jj12_ ... 7~12.§_ 4Ii/60 35~18 I ____ _

~lengyin 332fl ~li •3 3•S00 21103 I ,

Lai wu 3•'fl1 81214 21!8.5 5l4•1 1rota.L 0 1 1, ~ -· ... , - '.... I I ies Along the ,nsb ,w:&_i 'l1 I/..:/, 31115 I ! a. u a1c.il. ' ""'- '¥• I

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~

'

Tahle ?.-7

lfaturAl AttAched TotAl

GrR!'lS Gr~ss-

FRrm l~ncl

(hectare) (h0ctare) (hectar e)

Yishui 27221 26872 54093

Yinyan 40718 40?.40 80958

Yinan 40270 19071 5934 1

Mengyin 274 16 18284 45700

Pinyi 36660 21593 58?53

Fei xian 20998 35749 56747

Teng Xian 3321 6377 9698

Laiwu ?.6407 67367 93774

Total ?23011 ?.35553 458564

-3 7-

6 . :3·· r:~.c I: .stallations

2 . 10 There are totally twenty-one gates for drawing

water fro m the Yellow Ri ver , twenty irri gated dis­

tricts, and three hundred and sixteen i r r igation cha­

nnels of 1660 kilometers in the counties concerned by

the item of Tu H~i Ri ver. Besides , ther e a r e nursery

gardens which can supply saplings of sixty- six

million , while its capacity of thi rty- three million

; there are five farms for breeding stock which can

supply stud stock of t wo thousand~seed-breeding stations .

2 . 11 I n the region concerned with the development of

a nimal in the project , there a r e ten processing fac ­

tories with annual capacity 97 , 500 T. ; ~ fur pr o c ,•iJsi n r

f:1ct.ori~i , witr1 ; :j,) , OUU ? ruaucts ann ua lly ; j f eeds pliJ.r.t ~

w.i.Ln .~·, );~ T . aonua l.l J ; ,., s -.ua sto_;,~ f;;.rms v.. iL:l c..:. Y·. r .

2 . 12 I n the area of pra wn and high- valued aquatic s ,

there are prawn nursery water bodies of 7800 cubi c

meters , with t he capacity 1700 t ons . Ti,e proc essi ng

capacity of feed is twenty- t wo thousand tons . Th e re

is a nursery water body o f 14720 cubic me ters f or

hi gh -va lued aquati cs , which has the capacity o f

16700 mil l i on, twe nty processing freezer s , wi th t he

-3 8-

capacity 7030 tons .

7. Th e Situation of Science and Trchnology

According to the project of agricultural compre­

hensive development in ::5handong Pro vince . Ther e will

be agricul tural technique stations for population

of forestry technique , returinary stations for popu­

lation of fishery technique in every county . TGchni­

cians will get to more than 250 . A~d the station for

improving sali ne-alkali soil and the station for re­

search of prawn and high-valued aquatic also will be

set up . he counties with institutes and colleges.

8. Water, Elec tricity and T~affic

2 . 14 Water

1~ the basin of the T•· H i. Ri ve r , the flow of

sur f ace wate r is seven hundred a nd ninety million

cubic meters , averaged from years . 7wo hundre d mi­

llion cubic meters of water can r etai ned by the riv~r

course . 'P:ie ground water available i s 1690 million within Shandong Provinc e

c ubic me t ers . ~~e flow of the Y~llo w Ri ver~is 47,000

million cubic meters averagely. The water needed in

the project wi l l be out of question . he -amount of

gro und wat e r i n the eight counties conc erned with

-3 9-

the development of animal husbandry is 6 129 million

cubic met ers usually at o.9-19 meter from the earth

surface , of which 2353 million cubic mete rs is avai­

lable . Water nee d for irrigation in the counties

concerned is 1890 · 11ion cubic met e rs, therefor e . supply exceeds demands The areas of prawn breeding

are rich in surface water, among which H~nting Dis­

trict is also rich in ground water , the water supply

is out of question . The fresh water needed by the

project is not much . The fresh water in the areas

concerned to meet the need.

2 . 15 Slectricity

Sufficient electricity is supplied. The electric

energy production is 299955 million ~w . :,ew gene­

rating sets ace being under construction. All the

twenty- fou r couties concerned are supplied by ~han,­

don6 Province . Additional sixty thousand KW ~sex­

pected after the accomplishment of the project, and

the province government will give the areas priori ­

ty. ~he electricity network and electricity supply in

all the items areas is fully thought over .

-40-

2.16 Traffic

~he traffic is easy in the areas concerned. As the

railway is mentioned, Beijing-$hanghai line goes thr­

ough the regions concerned with the item of the Tu

H~i River ; Jinan- Qindao line through the area con-

cerned with the development of animal husbandry,where

the Yiaanzhou-Shijiu line goes straightly to the open

past ~hijin Karhoub.

In the areas of prawn-breeding are near the item

counties. 7hangdong line and Yiyang line reach the

coatal developing districts. The areas concerned with

breeding of high-valued aquaties have less than sev­

enty kilometer s to go from the Lancun-Yantai line .

Besides, roads radiate t he counties . 1-iost of the i tern

counties have a conveninent sea transportation.

2 . 17

The suppiy of oil a nd coal ne eded in the project

is ensured, because famous Jhili oilfi eld and coal ­

field in Yanzha n,

-4 1-

II I Plan of the Item

1. Description

3.01 This item will be the first project of ag­

ricultural comprehensive developme~t on a large

scale in Shandong. It will play an exemplary role

to the other agricultural comprehensive develop­

ments in the future. The important points of th­

is project read asfollows:

The transformation of the low-yield land i n Tu

Hai Riverualley.

The wat er Co nsevancy: The main task is the de­

velopment of irrigation, form the set of orriga­

tion and drainage , bring the control to drought wa­

terlogging a nd alkali. Five leading-Yello w irri­

gation regions would be built at Tao Cheng Pu,

Guo - ko , Buo-Qi- Li, Han Dun, Xing Jia Du . Th e lead­

ing water channels would be built or prolonged .

The key effort is on treating mud and sand and

setting up water distribution construction work.

Fie ld distribution would be done by masses them­

selves.

-42-

The Forestry: The main task is the development o f

famous , special a nd high- grade fruits . The fast­

gro wing high- yield forests would be planted pro­

perly . The fruit processing factory would be built .

Accordi ng to the project the i ntercrop forests da-' te sahd grains, taking Le Ling little date and Chi

Ping big date as main tree seeds , would be plant­

ed at 11 counties Wu Di county , Zhan Hua county,

YA ng Xin county, Hui Min county , Shang He county ,

Goo TA ng county, Chi Ping county , Do ng E county ,

Yang Gu county , Chen county, drawing on the ex­

perience in planting fast - growth high- yield for­

est at Chen county and ~uan county by U.N. We wo­

uld plant fast- ero wth high- yield forest in the

old course of s a ndy river through Chi Ping and

G2-o T2- ng counties, set up fruit processing fac­

tries at Chi Ping county, Chen county, Shang He

co unty , Wu Di county and Hui Mi n county.

Planting ~rade: It is important raise the fer­

tility of soiland set up se eds base . i e plan to

import c hemical fe rtilizer 44 th~~~ana tons,

y

-4 3-·

increase the fertilizer applied to the lo~-yield

land in these districts of the items. At the mean

time, 12 counties concern,ed with the items would

enlarge seeds bases in order to popularize good

seeds rapidly.

Livestock Husbandry: Making full use of past­

ures sources and the supeiriori ty of good breed

of livestocks of item districts. We would remake

pastures of 28.7 thousand ha, set up . 5 husbandry

bases.

3.03 Development for husbandry

Taki ng breeding as prerequiste , taking original

processing enterprises as basement, we carry out

serialized development of breed, processing, tr­

ansportatio n and sale. We plan to use the good

conditions ric h in fudder grass organize a lot

of local people to develop the breeding of lives­

tocks and fowls, in which meat rabbits,lean-meat

pig and chicken are prenci.pal. We would mainly set

up livestock farms, feed factories, meat-rabbit

processing factories and feathe r processing fac-

-4 4-

tories as necessary accessories.

3.04 The Br eeding of pra wns and mari ne produ­

cts

Putting the cultivation first , cultivation, pro­

cessing, sal e would form a complete set a nd would

be managed unifiedly . We will develop the beach

sources of Han Ting , Wu D1 , Zhan Hua , He Ko . We ' ll

centralize the construction of high- yield bases

to cultivate prawm.s, develop the shallo w- sea sour­

ces of Chang Dao and Peng Lai, centralize the

cultivation of sea proclucts will fan shell as

main product .

2 . Co ntents of the Project

3 . 0_p The Development of the lo w-yield land i n Tu

Hai Ri ver Valley Water Conservancy:

(1) To make 36 main channels of more than 500 km,

and 249 principal branches of 700 kilometers;

(2) To dredge some of river courses for drainage

in order to raise the capacity of drainage .

(3) To build ~rit chambers of rearly 6000 kilo ­

metres .

(/~) To build 3 large pumping stations with ins-

-45-

talled capacity of 5000 horsepowers , and pumping

capacity of 42 . 2 cm/s.

(5) To build a project of inversed siphon thr­

ough the Tu"i. Hai :River a nd 8 project of water-keep­

ing, with annual capacity of 7000 m3, of which are

'3 reservoirs. Forestry

(6) To plant intercrop forests of date and grain

of 100 thousand ha, fast - growing forests 3667 ha;

( 7 ) 5 fruit processing a factories will be built.

Planting

(8) To buy 44 thousand tond of high-efficacious

chemical fertilizer.

(9) To enlarge 12 seeds bases.

Husbandry

( 10) To remake pastures of 2870 thousand ha , to

feed oxes of double- uses ~50 thousand, sheep of

double - uses 400 thousand, meat chicken lOC thou­

sand.

( 11) To set up a system of breeding good strains ,

of epidemic prevention, of feed processing , of pr­

oducts- processing, products-storage-transportati-

on.

(12) To set up a system of breeding good strains,

of epidemic prevention , of feed processing , of

prlducts- processing , products- storage- transpor­

tationo ·-4 6-

3.06 Development of Husbandry

( 1) To set up a chicken f3rm which supplies stud ch

icken of 24 thousand chicken and chichs of 2800

thousand annually, a marketable chicken moldel

farm which produces 100 thousand annually .

(2) To set up a pig farm which has one hundred

·sows of 100, provides 650 stud pigs.

(3) To set up six good breed of meat rabbit farms

and provide nearly 400 thousand good breed of ra­

bb,i ts.

(4) To set up a goose farm which provides 25 thou­

sand geese annually.

(5) To set up eight hybrid feed processing fac ­

tories which process 66 thousand tons of mixed

and proportional feed annually.

(6) To set up 8 processing factory of meat with

capacity of 22.6 tho~sand tons annually.

(7) To s e t up 3 processing factories of r abbit

fur and made - up acticles,and 3 eitherdown factories .

(8) To set up 8 service centres of technology .

-4 7-

3.07 Aguatic prodcet breeding

( 1 ) To set up prawn pools 0 f 6667 hectares .

( 2) To set up .38 cansls.

( .3) To built 4150 bridges, culverts, floodgates

a nd relevant installations of pumping and damp-

proof.

(4) To build 4 cultivating prawn chambers of 15

thousand cubic metres .

(5) To set up a feed processing factory whic h pro­

cesses .30 thousand tons of feed annually.

(6) To build a freezer of 5000 tons/time .

(7) To develop 533 ha. for fan shell, 67 ha. for

abalone 1333 ha. for sea cucumber .

(8) To erect high voltage line of 100 thousand

metres length, to build distribution roo m.

( 9) To dig 10 deep motor-pumped wells , and to

build leading- water pipeline about 30 thousand me­

tres .

(10) To build simply-built highway of 100 Km.

( 11) To set up 6 service centres of technolo gy .

Besides some goods, machine and apparatus are

needed in every item .

3 . I~stallation of the Project

3 . 08 r,emake the 1ow-yie1.d 1'ie1.a in _·u ,,ai .. iver

-4 8-·

Valley Water Consevancy:

Tao- Cheng- Pu Irrigating Area lies Yang Gu

County and Chen County , which are in the Liao­

cheng Region . It was irrigated by the water from \

Jin Ti River in He Nan Province. The systematiz-

ed irrigating area is about 36 thousand ha. Ac­

cording to the project, water from the Yellow

River is drawn. The first gate of the leading­

Yellow canal has been finished on July , 1987 ,

with capacity of 50 m3/s: . 3 grit chambers , 1

general canal , 2 branch canals need to be built.

They would be connected with original irrigating

area. 41 .4 thousand ha. land would get irrigated .

Guo-Kou Irrigating Area situates at Dong~

county in Liaocheng region . In 1983 , leading­

Yellow gate , which has capacity of ?2 . 7 cubic

metres per second has b~en built . But no grit

chambers are made , t l1e cansl system is very bad ,

and is difficult make the benefit . We plnn to

build a grit cha mber , tc• perfect the system of

branch canals , l a teral canals and the lining of

-49-·

was built in 1959, re-built in 1968. It has ca­

pacity of 60 cubic metres per second. Irrigated

area is expected to get to 73 . 3 thousand ha . Be­

cause the canal is not systemRtized , irrig~ted

area is only 33 thousand ha . in fact specially ,

the northern ~ ey transporting-water engineering

passing through Tu Hai River ha~ not been built ,

a lot of land in 7.han Hua cRn't he irrigated.

We plan to build grit chamber pools, to enlarge

main canals general main canals , to dredge the

waterways , to built a engineering passing through

Tu Hai River and a water-storRge engineering .

By doing so , we can enlaree irrigated area 30 . 3

thousand ha, improve the irrigated areR 20 thousRnd

ha , remake akali lAnrt 20 thousand ha , and open up

waste land of 500 hectares .

Xin Jia Du Irri1at8d area lies between Ji

Yang County and Shang in Dezhou Region . He Coun­

ty . In 1973 , a leading- Yellow gHte wAs built ,

which has a leading capacity of 50 cubic metres

per second. It controls irri~ated area 99 thou­

sand hn . But the main :-rn·i b1·nnc h cHnals a~ea

-5 o-

not systematized , there is al~o an unsolved prob­

lem of de9ositing sand , it is difficult to make

the benefit . We plan to build a grit chamber

and systematize main canals and bran9h canals .

• Meanwhile, we would dredge the waterways of the

region. It will enlarge irrigated area of 26

thousand ha, improve the area of ?.2 thousand ha ,

remake akali land of 45 thous~nd ha . Details a­

bout the five irrieated regions can be found in

Chart A, B, C, D.

Forestry

Among the 12 counties of Tu Hai River Valley ,

the original intercroping f orests of dates and

grains is 47 thousan1 ha, output of date product

is low. We plan to 1evelop 100 thousand hectares ,

of which Le Line Golden Silk small date is 53-

thousand hectares , r,hi Ping Yuan Ling big iate ,

55.3 thousand hectar~s . The planting standa rd

of small Da t es is 22? trees per hectare , spacing

in t he row~ of 3 . 15m. The plantinJ method of the

small 1ate s and the big dat es is to get land cave­

like 111m , get lan belt-lik~ wi<leneR ~. one metrA ,

de pth, or18metre c:;o, we c;:rn f ul ly u~~ the l'1nri ·,r.i

-5 1 -

I

I

the space, to get the double harvests of dqtes and

grains .

The area of Yellow River's old course, from

He Nan province to Shandong Province , is almost

100 thousand hect ares . It is waste. We plan to

plant concentratedly rapid- growth forests 3667

hectares , tree seed is choserl to he white popular,

paulownia , Europe- American popular , locust and

Balizhuang popular. Planting standard for fast ­

gr0wing high-yield forests is 285 , 249 , 435 , 840 , 500

grains per ha .

AmonG Chi Ping County , Chen Cowity, Sheng He

Cowity , Wu Di County, Hui Min :":ounty , after the

yield of intereroping forests da te s and grains

reaches the output of npmal years , the output of

fresh anrt dri~d f ruit is 21 , 9 tons , arl<ling th8

origi nal fruit yield. We plan to build ·a pro­

cessing f~ctory in eRch of the five counties

with the total cap:,ci ty of J800 tons .

Plantine Indus try:

-5 2-

44 thousand tons of chemical f ertilicer will

be bought to r a ise the soil fertility we plan to

enlarge 12 bases of improved varity on the origina l

basis; stressing on the addition of seeds- chosen

and transporting- storaging equipments, in order

to raise the ability of supplying fine varieties.

Husbandry

Pasture of ?.8 . 7 thousand hGctares will be

transformed and enlarged , cattle of 25 thousand

and sheep 700 t housand will be raised, and ins­

tallations for breeding , eoidemic processing

husbandry products storage- transportqtion wi ll be

also built.

3 . 09 The Development of Husbandry

1. Stud stock f qrm

The proportion of the bre Gdin6 rRhhi ts , mal e

and fema le is 1 : 10, each femAl e rAhhi t su99lies

qualifi ed bree<iing rHbbi ts fll)out ?O ann ua l ly . c~..-

. V The prolueti on on 2 6 rR<l.e c:n n produ~(~ ma r kn,ta hlc

-53-

rabbits 40• It is only needed to supply ablut

thousand rabbits for feeding 18680 thousand rab­

bit5• In order to manage eadily and concentrate

the supply of new rahhits we plan to set up 6

. breeding rabbit farms in which 20 thousand breed­

ing rabbits are feeded . The rahbit shed is the

type of " rtouble-row open-type"; Drinking water is

automatically supplied , feeding materials is given

by people , people clean t he excrement. The breed­

ing is artificial fertilization .

The proportion of the stud pigs , male and

female is 1 : 15. Rach female pig c~n supply 6- 7

sows in second gene ration of the varity . The

sows of the seconrt generation of 100 t housand

can give the birth of 10 piglets each sow . A

farm of 100 bre~1ing sow is to be built .

The Stud Chicken ~Hrm: It is huilt in Ping

Yi County. There would be stud chicken for gencra­

tions3 o f about 900 , for gener ations 2 of about

240 thousand . lt would proiuce 2800 thousand chicks.

The Stud Geese Farm : to set up a stud

Geese f:.'l.rm of 850 female geese , it would provicte

-54-

stud geese of 25 thousand annually .

2. Feed Factory

For growth of fine stu<l stock, facto.ries of

f eed a re to be built in each of the eight counties

concerne<l , and a processing factory of feed mainly

in mixed feed which has capacity of 66 thousand

tons annually .

Mea t: A processing factory for each of the six

counties is to be built , their total capacity is .

rabbit butchering of 18 million and rabbit

meat of 18 thousand tons . In Lai Wu city we

plan to set up a processing fact ory which process­

es pigs of about 100 thousand , produces the ment

of 18900 thousand tons annually . In Ping Yi Coun ­

t y , we would set up a processing factory whi ch

processes chickens of ?4')0 thousand annually .

In Yi Nan , we up lann to set up a processing fa c­

tory which processes gGese me~t of ahout 3'520 tons .

Fur : We plan to set up 3 rahhit h~ir spinne r-

-5 5~

ies in Yi Shui County , Meng Yin County, Fei County ,

each one has a producing ability of 400 tons of

rabbit spin , of 280 tons of rabhit yarn, of 400

thousands of rabbit hair sweaters annually. In

Teng County and Yi Yuan County, we plan to set

up 2 processing factories of rahbits fur of 14000

thousand , 60 thousands of fur coats , the products

of rabbit fur about 340 thousand. We plan to set

up a feather processing factory which produces

geese fine hair of about 45 tons, fur ahout 180

tons, products of eiderdown of about 160 thousand .-

3.10 The Cultivation of Prawns

(1) Dam against flood : In four cultivating­

prawn area counties , the highest level of the

tide is 4.6m.(1938), the biggest tide drop is

3 .1 m. Three dam are built fo~ prawn breeding.

The dam top height should be with an elevation

of 6m , the top, 6m , inner slope 1 :3, outer slope

1 : 2 , the dam ' s side against wRter should be huilt ·

with hricks of 3 . 5 metres hig h fr om the bottom.

-56-

They are totally 35 km .

(2) Cultivating- prawns pools: The standard

of per pool is: the area of 3.3 ha , depth of more

than 2. 5m , water :lepth of more than 1 . 5m , and

pool should be 450m (length) 75m ( wideness).

The proportion of length to wideness is 6 to 1

or 8 to 1 . There should be cirde ditch or central

ditch. We plan to build prawns pools 2000 , the

water area is 6667 ha . ~ach region is 667 ha .

(3) The Canals of Intaking water and drainage :

Such kind of canal of main canals and 30

branch canals are to be built . They are totally

21 km .

(4 ) P1unpinB Station: At the place chosen to

be as a prawn pool , the tide is half-day tide •

The time of pumping water can last within ?.O

hours in every day . 4 pumping stations are to be

built with the total capacity of 300 m3/s.

(5) Bridges anri Floodgates :

Sv0r1 prawn pool need a floodgate . It needs

to build some simple bridges 11n·i controling eate.

57-

The total of bridges and gates is ahout 5000 .

(6) Cultivating- prawns Chamber

150- 200 thousand prawns can be feeded in 1

cubic metre. In a prawn pool of one hect~re ,

300 thousand prawns can be feeded. 4 such kind

of chambers are to be built with 15 t housand m3

of water.

(7) Feed Processing Factories: The feed co­

efficient for prawns is 4, in which there is ?.S -

50% of fresh feed. 1 . 5 ton of prawns can be feeded

in one hectare , an1 four such facto r ies are to be

built with capacity of 3?. thousand tons.

(8) Freezer: According to the yield , each

667 hectare s need a cold storage of fast - freezing

30 ton a day , cold- storaging 500 tons/every time .

We need to build a freezer of 5000 tons/every time.

(9) ·The Facilities mf transimitting and trans ­

forming dectricity . The power line of 100 km a~d

dist~ibution facilities of 25 thousand kw are set

up . In Wu Di r.ounty , 7.han Hua C:ounty , He Ko r.oun­

ty, we plan to build about 30 thousand metres long

-58-

pipeline to lead water on earth• In Han Ting

we plan to dig 10 deep wells.

2 . The Cultivation of the sea Treasures

(1) Fan Shells: Fan shells are cultivated

artificially by rafts . In those sea regions

which have ability fan shells and kelps should

be cultivated hybridly in rows.

(2) Abalone : Abalone is cultivated artificial­

ly by rafits . The total is cultivated together

with kelp , in order to use the kelp for abalone.

Us area should be chosen in those with rapid cur­

rent and low temperature . The ,breeding area is

66 . 7 hectares .

Sea region should be chosen in rocks, ender

the area of cultivating kelp in order to make n

good envienment for sea slugs to live. About

10 thousand sea young slugs c~m be cul ti va te<i

in each hectare. In late years, we plan to catch

.breed hy turns. for totally 133 hectares.

-5 9-

. 3 . 11 Machinery Instrument and Equipment

This project will purchased some advanced

agricultural machines, instruments and equipments

at home and abroad , including:

Equipments for plant protection, equipments

for fruit processing, and 600 aquatics , equipernts

for animal and fowls processing machines for

construction. Tools for vehides and ships;

instruments for test soil properties of physical

chemitry , and the other machines , instruments and

equipments .

3 . 12 Technical Service:

For this project , each county has the technical

service organization, but which is seriously back­

ward . If we put the project into effect , every

county ' s organization get the needed ins t ruments

and improve the instrument that are in hand , much

better service will surely be offered.

Thi s project will gi ve priori t y to counties

-60-

..

and towns . Every year, they will hold training

group by step. The time and the forms for training

is in various ways . The contents of training in­

clude seedling breeding determining of soil and

water character , plant protecting prevention and

treatment of disease , operating and repairing the

machines , processing technique , management and

administration , etc. The technical staffs will

done from the province take part in the workin~

of training , and some experts of collage and aca­

demies are invited to give lecture about the de­

sign of the project.

4. The Conditions of Engineering Design

3 . 13 On the basic of the peperaing project, in

which we have collected a plP.nty of data and have

prospected and investigated on the spot . Some of

technical staffs , have been organized in a s pecial

group for the projGct design. mainly by a unit

of a county . Up to now, the initial design of

5 irrigated districts by water from Huang He Ri­

ver , forestry plant , animal husbanrtry and aquatic

_products industry have been finished . And the

-6 1-

. '

area dispersed chart, production flow diAgram and

technological process diagram for the projActs

have been drawn. Thedesign of other brAnch item

will be finished before 19s9 .

a . Estimate the volume of the project an<l cost:

3. 14 This project is system project hoad in scale.

Estimate the volume of whole projects :

Build every kind of intallations , use~ cubic

met re of earth m3 man/days , the volume of project

on 3- 2 di~gram, see No . 1 annex . ·' .

3. 15 The total costs of this projec t will be

271000 thousand US dollar , in which foreign ex-

change dollar, for %, becuase of the local workers

will take the project work such as diging cubic

meter of earth mHny of contruction mnteri als and

equipments are made in local area a nd at home .

So the foreign exchange will occupy be 100 million

dollars , taking 36 . 9~ . See Table 3- 2

3 . 16 Above- mentioned prices , according to the

-6 2-

price in December 1987. The cost of the three

fiel d : include rising price possible , taking 2 •4%

of the total cost.

b· Purchase good and materiqls:

3.17 The materials and goods needed in the project

of plan of purchase, see Table 3- 3:

3 . 18 Goods of steel , wood, chemical ferti lizer,

low persure polythene , and others will be partly

resolved in our country, but it can not be satisfi­

ed the needs of the project and the inadequate

part will have to buy from abroad .

Cement , feed, oil crops, coal and other

material will be in our province~

Water conservancy machinery, aquatic product

machinery and agricultural machinery are ~ade

by home factories , and bought at home by the unit

contracted.

Some of the vehided will be purchased from

abroad . The ships wil l be macte by the unit contract­

ed • The instruments will mainly be purchased from

international market .

-6 3-·

7. About environmental inf . uence

3.19 In the preparing

ing , this project were

prevention

design­

environ-

We will put the

s ess on reform low- yie d land and improving

irri ation , comprehens· / ely develop forest , field ,

animals. only reduce saline

the harm droueht and excess­

environment of crops , but

b<:antify

land and

of area , afforest and

That will be raised farm­

an~ increased the

power of s o· 1 by deve opment of ani rrial. In a word ,

the projec/ can not ma a unfavourable influence

for envir nment . The "thee wastes" from process-

ing

of hieh-valuP.d

of ecology .

The breeding

distroy the

.. . ,,

Cost or Some I t ems ChArt } - 2 Unit: 10 thousAnd S

~ The reforming Livestock : rawn And other

Total projec t or the neve lop11en t 'I 1uat1c pro- RemArk low-yield lAnrl i~ t TUhAi RivP.r VAl lt?y luc ts breeding

' The Total Cost 27100 9140 4166 . 7 13793. 30

~ \

Earthwork 5754 . 2 3276 5478. 2

Construction projec t 6292 . 9 1747 11c;9 . 9 3386

~nstallation project 499. 7 36 ,3 11 1.2 352 . 2

Goods Mechanical 3quipment 4925 . 9 2464 . 5 1396•7 1064 . 5

Study , spreAd , t r ainning 82 , 4 16-1 40 ,8 25 . 5

Other projects 1252 .a 698 . 9 553 . 9

Circulat ing fund 4?06 , 9 145 ,8 747 ,7 3313 . 4

Cost of three items 656,9 326 ,9 156 ,5 17} •5

Others 428 ,5 428. 5

-6 4-

J

~ \

1 ·

--r:quipment ~ Bnd Goods Purchas1nt5 Progrnm

Chart }- } l ~ USP Name I Unit Qunnti t (10 thou

snnd)

Total s240.26

Steel Meterial ton 25}09 816•4}

Wood m} 28959 311 · 37

Cement ton 25067'} 809 · 16

Chemical Fertilizer ton 4}000 1092. 74

Boiler unit 16 21. 11

154 68.85 Pump

Electric DiBlyzator 1 0 .01

Genera ting Set 10 13 . 20

Transformer 31 22 . 39

Refrigerator Cnr , Car , Truck , Forklift.

1 I Truck 1001 134 . 41

Cooling Tower 12 3 . 64

Small ~Ail boat , sampan- boat Sampan

2?20 86 •42

Microcomputor 3 2 . 14

Heavy fcuba 10 Q.}8

Rcf r i 0e r ~tor , Bi o-l 0Ric•1l Br eeding Box 4 0 .30:

!

4 161. 291 Di t:;~e r

Bull lozer ?4 3? . ?.E

Soi l Nu tri ment ,h;.,i ,1 I 31 Tes t i ne r.n r .. , c, .,

RemBrlc

Among the totAl dollars of

52 , 402,600 (unit: 10 thousand) ,

110,638 , 700 ls used for the livestock

developing progrnm of tho province

which is not specifically filled out.

-65-

I ~

~

Chnrt 3-3 (r.ontinuo_l

Name

Concrete Paver

High-pressure ,Sprnyer

Breeding Stock Purchnsing

Epidemic Prevention Instrument for Livestock

Breeding

Seed P.dulcornter

Pruit Process ing Equipment

Cold s torage Equipment

Forage Pr ocessing ~quipment

Slaughtering Equip-ment

Meat Rabbit Proces!l-1

1

ing Equi pment ,

Goose Processing Equipment

Mea t Chicken Proces ~­ing l',quipment

Rabbit Skin Process ing F.quipment

Rabbit Fur Process­ing E'1 uipmer.t

Fe•1th·'r Proconsln,: •,q ui µmcnt

..

~quipruents nn1 Goons Pu~r~c~h~a~s~i~n~g;_:P~r~0~8~r~A~m~~~~~~~~~-

Unit jcluanti tyl USO

unit

HeFl<i

unit

set

·. 1

I .. I

I i

10

11

5

8

11

5

6

3

3

53 .76

2 , 69

13.44

13 . 44

13.17

73 . 49

40 . 95

,40 . 32

, 27 . 53

-66-

•.. 1, ,, ..

. >I! , w

I

rg; . '

Cha rt '}-3 (Continue)_

Nnme

Monitoring end ChernicB Examination Instruruent

Instrument F.quipment for Breeding

Soil Physical and chemical Analysing Instrument

Seed Checking Ins trume~ t

Equipment for Forest and Fruit Trees

Aquatic F.quipment

Other Mechanical Equipment

Unit

s et

.. .r

r:,,ulpments ond Goods i'urcha:iln,1 J'r,10 rarn

·,luan tl ty

8

,o

12

105

60

i

USP

2. 69

13.44

15 . 05

15 -72

51 .99

-6 7-

7. About environmental influence

3.1 9 In the preparing stage and programme design­

ing , this project were considc~ red about environ­

mental prevention and ecology. We will put the

stress on reform low- yield land and improving

irrigation, comprehensively develop forest , field ,

domestic animals . We won ' t only reduce saline

proportion, slow sown the harm drouGht and excess­

ive r a in , impro vement envi ronment of crops , but

also through afforestation can prevent sandy waste ,

improvement the wenther of area , afforest and

b ~antify environment. That will be raised farm­

land a nd orgAnic f e rtilizer an~ increased the

power of s oil by development of ani rrial. In a word,

the proj ec t can no t make a unfavourable influP. nce

for environment. The "three wastes" from process­

ing will be utilize~ comprehensively . Thebreeding

of prawn of hiGh-valued aquatics won ' t distroy the

balance of ecology.

68-

IV. ORGANS AND MANAGEMENT

1. Organs

4. 01 The organs to execute the programme are t wo

closely related systems . One of them is the Pro­

gramme Committes of the People' s Goverments at di­

fferent levels from provincial to county , which is

responsibl e to the higher l evel at different l e­

vels. In order to ensure the implement of programme

successfully , the Agriculture Department , the Fores­

try Department and the Aquatic product Bureau of

t he Provinc e set up a special unit to help the pro­

g r amme committee in the administrative management .

The other one is a system of business bodies from

th e Rural Economic Development Investing Company

of Shandong Province, which belongs to Programme

Committee of Province to the counties concerned

including the County Rural uevelopment Company,

-69-

Industrial and Commercial Company of Forestry ,

Industrial and Commercial Company of Husbandr y ,

Aqutic Pr oduct and Breeding Company. , which is

in char ge of item car rying , managemen t and dis­

t ributing and retri eving of funds . They exerci-

se their function of business guiding in accor­

denc e with the i r . own levels . The Fi nance Depart­

ment of the Province and Rural Bank of Shandong

Br anch will take par t in t he implement and mana­

g ement as wel l . The other concerned units wil l

try their best to support the progr amme ' s implen­

t i ng . The programme ' s chart of organs of the ne t ­

work and the Cha rt of concerned organs of the Peo­

ple' s Goverment of Shandong Pr ovinc e as indica-

ted in the chart 4- 1 and 4- 2 .

2. The Duty of Or gans i n Diffent Levels

4 . 02 The Pr ogramme Commi t t ee of Shandong Pr ovince

·-70 -

(PCSP). The PCSP represents the Provincial Peo-

pl e' s Government as the unit in g eneral charge .

As the e xecutive leading organ of the total

programme , PCSP is in charge of planning and

arranging in general to bring the proj ect into

line with the plan of Shandong economic develop~

ment; to harmonize the works among departments a

and other units concerned , to provide th e en­

surement of foreign exchanges for th e programme,

and finally , to be responsible forth e National

Programme Committee.

The Programme Committee of Cities and Pre­

fectures

They r epre sent the people ' s governmentt or

prefedture' s committee to lead and d esign the

Project programme. As a connecting organ, it is

not only responsibl e to th e Provincial Programme

Committee but also for guidance of County pro-

gramme comittees . ·- 7 1-

County and District Programme Commitees

They represent county peopl 's Government as

a organ in charge of plan ion, and harmoni-

zing works and other organs

concerned •

• 03 The Rural elopment Investing

Province.

U der the leadership of the PCSP , as a le­

gal rep esentative of/ / he programme, it is in

general c ange of th project's irnpementing and

business's uiding '/ Includ ing:. account of the

projects , ~ig ing !oreign contract~ in Union, I

checking plan's i fuplementing and annual budget I

of , compiling the applications ,

I of paying money to the World Bank and annual

budget , and distribu ing funds to the item

counties. Besides it

nancia l acc l unting of

th e use

s also in charge of fi-

e programme , managing

retrieving the

-~

"nart 4- 1

~

i; · ' ... ..

The Network r.hart for the Organization of the Comprehensive Developing Project of Agriculture in Shandong Province, r.hina

The State PlanninG Commission

The Prov .. ,cial Government

'!'he Proviaciol -lannin6 Comrnissio~.~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~--~

City or ?r ... fecture Governm,mt

The Provincial A~~icultural Bconomic Develop~ent Invcstmen~ "o .

City or ?rcfoctu~e Planning ~ommission

County , ;1 "~ District ~overnmPn·

6i ~ . , ....

0 g .., ·1 ,...c; Q (') 0 (0

c:, s: s: rt C C: ,-,::, .., s I .., ..... ., '< (1) C: '< ., ... ,, Cl) .., '< s: Q

"ounty ~cono~ic ,r.

.. , .. 0 (') ;,,.

C. C: '1 n <1>'-. Cl)

C C-

~ II ~ ~. -i ~ = ::T _::, .3 :0 , > '1 <"""t1 ~ .., .., ., '< ...

} ; ,,-.. ., (1)

- <11--

..,I n~~ .. ")-~ .., 0 ::, ::T 0 ::, ::T 0

~ .:>.(I) fl .:>.Q

~ s: s: :., '9 Q :.0 ::"' .., .. ~ .., rt .... .. .., .., , n .., < :.,

-~ '< t Q...,: ., "' . - "" 1 . • ; ·1 ~-::-c. ... _.._ •

$;

0

.·

I ChiDA ABriculttlrAl BAnk , Sh11ndong Br;inch

I_ '-'·l'1nghe WAte~ C:onservancy Comrni t tee , Shandong Bureau

" C ..... --- '!'he Provincial Foreign 'l'r-'lrle ilureau .s:: c..:

ix: 0:. The Provincial Meteorology Hurequ

... C C, E C .. Cl)

-T'le Provincial Blectricttl Power Industry Bureau > 0 C

r' ,t 7he Provincial Auditing Bureau

s ..... > 0

The ?rovincial Finance Dopa~tment .. 0..

"° C 0 s ..i::

~--- The ProvinciAl AquAtic Prorlacts Uureau ,~

' C: .s:: .., The ProvinciAl 'Jlater C:onservancy Dept, ~ 0 ... ... C .. Cl)

.2 E C i u I..

The Provincial Forestry Dept , Cl)

C > 0 0 ..... :., "' ,. .....

a: Provincial Livestock BureAu

..... ..... C 0 al C

"° ..... I.. >

The Provincial Agriculturnl Dept . 0 0 .. C: .c "· f...

·rhe Provincial Science Anrl Technolo.gy r.ornmi ttee

The Provincial Foreign P:conomic RelA tions and Trade ":om:~it tee

The ProvinciAl Planning Commission

The Provincial Government AdministrAtive Office

County and District Programme Commitees

They represent county people's Government as

a organ in charge of plan in union, and harmoni ­

zing works of bureau , comittee and other organs

concerned.

4.03 The Rural Economic Development Investing

Company of the Provinc e . {

Under the l eadership of the PCSP , as a le­

gal representative of the progr amme , it is in

general change of the proj ect ' s impementing and

business's auiding , Including: account of the

projects , ~igning forei gn contract~ in Union,

checking plan ' s implementing and annual budget

of the item coun ty, compiling th e applications

of paying money to the World Bank and annual

budge t , and distributing funds to th e it em

counties . Besides i t is also in c harge of fi ­

nancial accounting of the pr ogr am~ e , ma naging

t he use of th e pr o ject ' s fund , re t rieving th e

-7 4-

• I

credits and interests . On the basis of stipulations

of the World Bank, it is in charge of b,ying goods ,

machines and instruments, compiling the semi-an­

nual report of programme's process and the report

on the programme's completing.

The Economic Entities of the Counties Con­

cerned

The entities qf 300 in the countities con­

cerned are in charge of implement of items in

their own counties, including the compiling of

design budget of the items, the organizing con­

structions of items arranging of engineering's

schedule, and compiling of annual buget, finan­

cial, accounting of item. It would report the

progressive status to the Provincial Rural E­

conomic Development Company regularly . They

are in charge of purchase work of goods and

materials, machinery, instruments and equip­

ments . They woul retrive loans with principal

and interest on time, make accomplishing re­

port of items.

-75-

4.05 Provincial Agriculture Bureau and the Other

Bureaus

Agricul tural Departments in the Government

of the Province

Provincial Foresty Bureau , Provincial Water

Conserva ncy Bureau a nd Provincial Aquaculture

Bureau, Projects Office or cor responding organi ­

zations are responsible for the project together

with Provincial Rual Economy Developing and i n­

vesting Company . It includes: harmonizing imple­

ment of projects in their own trade, checking te­

chnical design, construction, management and

maintemance; directing the counties to write ex­

ecuting plan and annual budget ; to assist the

checking of the projects ; monitoring the quali ­

ty of the projects; providing technic and busin

ess direction; urging recovor and return of

loans.

Provincial Finance Department: It provides

financial guarantee of required funds for the

projects , takes charge of handling everything

associated with state Ministry of Finance , hold

-7 6-

responsible for raising part of domestic funds.

Provincial Audit Department . It is in charge

of examing finance accounts in all- round way .

Bank is charge of raising a part of domestic con-' . ! • )

structing and circulating funds , on the basis of

' stipulations concerned.

4. 06 By carrying out t wo sets of organization

structures in double- track system, it is not only

to make the Project , get great support on adminis­

tration from departments concerned , but also to

strengthen business dir ection and internal mana­

gement of the projects . In this way, a good re­

sults of business can be maa e with the economic

entities as the backbone, and hundreds of thou­

sands people can be organized to get well off

life . In one word, it is favourable to combine

agricultural development with ru~al r e formation ,

creation and deve lopment, and to strengthen fur­

agricultural development.

3. Service in support and he lp

4.07 Agricultucal servi ces can help t he r egi on

·-7 7-

I\

concerned and make peasants, ecomic entities a nd .

state get the benefit .

4;oa Agricutural resear ch is paid great attention

to. There are the instectes at the level of pro­

vince municipality a nd county , support ted by Na­

tional Agriculture Research Institutes . In re­

moulding mi ddle and low yield land , the research

organizations of Provincial Academy of Agr icul­

ture Sciences and Agriculture Bureau, Provincial

Water Conservancy Bureau as well as other units

have worked for many years in the item regions.

They provide many achievements of scientific re­

search and reasonable proposals . The test sta-

tion for improving salire- alkali soil was set up

in the Dezhou District , the Water Conservany A­

cademy of Science and the Water Conservany of

Committee of the Yellow River have made geolo­

gical prospecting of the Tuhai River. The test

spot of rapidly - growing forest is set up in Guan

County and Shen County by the U. N• Organization

of Grain and Agriculture. The experience of "The

Item of Agriculture in Huabei Plan" and improvement

of salire- land in Yucheng, Lingxian supported by

the World Bank can be drawn.

-7 8-

..

The science research of animal is paid more

and more attention to . The Veterinary Science

Institute of Shandong Province, together with

the research units in the regions concerned have

studied mainly on the raising of domestic ani­

mal and poultry , prevention of seasonal bebrile

disease , and the proportion in making feed. Many

of the achieve ents are popularized. The experts

and students from the Science Acsdemy of China.

Animal Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture~

Animal - Fishery , Shandong Universities, Laiyong

Agronomy Academy have got much fruit inthe field

of animal research . The people in Yimen Mountain

area have raised domestic animal and poultry for

a long time , and mastered the technology from

stud breeding to processing, accumulated a ripe

experience .

--79-

I

The Marine Cultivating Institute is

Brish in human

4.08 Study work has been carried out by

the Marine Cultivating Instute. Sea Aquaculture

Research Institute Aquaculture School, have

studied for many years subject item regions, six

aquaculture research are set up. Besides, v~st

amount of research and experiment work has been

done on the key problems in seawater breed

productions by several national research organiza­

tions in our province, such as the Huanghai Sea

Aquatis Breed Institute, Marine Research ins­

titute of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Fishery

Engineering Institute, Marine College and Sea

Treasures Breed Station . Scientific and technical

strength in the marine aquatic research of

Shandong province which include national scie ntific

research instruction in our province, occupy

first place in China and a great many achievements

in scienfitic research have been made .

4 . 09 A number of stations for technical popu ­

larity have been set up i r1 the item regions.

-80-

The five-grade technical popularity networks

have been formed including general station,

substation or site and group for technical

popularity under the supervision of province,

city under subprovincial region or county, town

and village ·respectively. There are studests ·

graduated from university, college and poly­

technical scho~l in the technical popularity

stations mentioned above. Sometimes , some

qualified farmer technician are engaged in

popularity . Farmer technicians are in charge of

this work is at level of village. These organi7,a~

tions need to be provided much, especially the

station of counties, towns and villages which

are short of necessary experiment and training

equipme~t. These problems will be resolved step

by step with the rtems put into effect.

4.10 Breeding Seedling

Seedling breed supply system has been set

up all over the item regions . These departments

include: agriculture seeds company which is

in charge of breed, storage and supply of crops

fine variety; breeding stock and fowls farm

-81-

which is managed by county animal husbandry,

industry and commerce company; fruit nursery

farm which is ran by the forestry department .

At present, the supply

capacity of seedling breed is not sufficient,

it will be resolved during the performenance of

the items.

4.11 Feed

In the items regions concerned with

livestock and fis hery, there are number of

feed process ing factories (or workshop) in

most counties, where it is necessary to build

and expand the factories because they can

not meet the needs in the items. The feed proce­

ssing will adopt advanced technology. Most of

raw material needed can be purchased in the

item regions and the inadequate part will be

replenished by adjustment in our province .

4.12 Refrigeration, process, transportation

and sales

County economi c entities engaged are in

cha r g e of purchese refigaration, pro c e ss a nd

-82-

trans portat i on and sales . This ki nd of

purc hase method will conn e cted with seedling,

feed supp l ies as well as technical services ,

sign i ng contracts in advance and flxing

prices reasonably. Since bus i ness households

and other producers, can g et many benefit from

technical service and supply of s eedling and

feed, therefore, they are wil l ingty to sell

their products to the above companies so tha t

b o th sides can benifit from each other .

4. Management and Maintenance

4.13 Principly , the item engineering is

managed and maintained by th~ county economic

entities which performs the ~terns. Those

decentralized in vanrious villages will be managed

and maintaised by the villages under the ins­

truction of county economic entities. For

those implement contract and management inside,

they will be run and maintained by the contractors.

County economic entities and villages will

check up on them regularly . Irrigation works

administrative departments and county water

-83-

:

conserv ancy bureau are res ponsible for

i r rigotion facilities such as the Yello w

River diversion floodgate, grit chamber, water

storage project, c hief diversion ditchs ,

ditchs a nd subditchs . Except special time

the necessary fund will be raised by

managerial personnels.

-8 4-

v. The estimated a im of the Projec t

1. The transformation of low-yield lands in the

tuhaihe River valley.

5 . 01 Water Conservancy

Af ter five irrigating districs diverted wa­

ter from the Yellow River are set up, the am­

ount of water supply will increase 338 million/

m3 . The irrigating area will enlarge 143800 ha.

including drought- relief irrigated area of 43800

ha .• The sandy-saline-aldali land of 40000 ha.

will transformed . In this way, the low- yiel~

land of 233000 ha . will be changed into land wi­

th high, stable yields. Meanwhile, 300000 peo­

ple in the seaside area could nave fresh water.

5 . 02 Forestry

After the project is accomplished, the area

will have forest of 100000 ha. with dates and

·-85-

grains in terc ro1 ·ping in and fas t-~rc,w ing woods

of 3667 ha .• 30 years is th8 productive cycle

of the fo r est wit h dates and gr~ins in. ~e

begin to calculate the output value from th e

5th yeat. From the 10th year comes into har­

vest . The output of dry fruit is 1 . 15 ton per

ha .. The dry f r uit will increase 115000 ton

each year. 15 years is the productive cycl e of

fast - growing woods . The log is 192 m3. Frewood

is 7 . 5 ton. Wood will increase 700000 rn3 and

firewood will increase 27000 ton . That will re­

lax the tension of fuel and wood in the area

and make more straw of crops back to the land.

In the same time , enough processing materials

will have and more incomes wil l increased in

the countryside of the region.

5 . 03 Animal Husbandry

After the gr ass land of 28700 ha . is im­

proved, 25000 oxen , 300000 sheep and 1000000

-8 6 -

'\

('. r

chicr.ens can be fed per year. l"lu t t on of 10800

ton, c;;.ltlehide and sheepskin of 676000 pie-

I ces and sheep ' s wool of 500 ton ( c leaned

wool ) wi ll be got.

5 . 04 Farming

After the i tem is carried out, the middle

and low yield land of 233000 ha. will be trans­

formed into land with stable, high yields, 44 -

000 ton. Chemical fe rtilizer will spread in the

farm land of 320000 ha •• The crops will have

fi qe improved varities . The output of grain in

th~ region wil l increase f r om 2900000 ton to

3060000 ton. It will increas e by 5%. The out-

put of cotton will inc r ease f rom 220 , 000 to 230 , 000

tons with an increase by 4.5%.

2 . The Development Of Animal Husbandry

5 .05After the item of developing animal hus-

87-

bandry in Yimeng mauntain a:eas comP.s to be true ,

56 , 000 famili es wil l become specialjzed poultryraisers.

Over 70,000 peasar;t familiers wi ll become con -

current poultry r aisers. We shall have 18680000

rabbits, 2400000 chickens , 1800000 geese, 100000

pigs and 23000 ton meat eac h year .

In this way , r abbit ' s wool will increase 230

ton . 680 ton r a bbit wool yarns, 400000 rabbits­

weaters, 18200000 rabbit's skins and 340000 pro­

ducts made of rabbit's skins will be processed.

45 ton goose down , 180 ton wool top and 160000

products of down wi ll be processed. The output

value of animal husbandry in the propo tion of

total output value of farming in the region will

rise from 25.4% to over 35%. The a rrangement s of

80000 idle farmers wil l be made . Over 50000 fa­

milies will become wealthy families of poor ones.

3. The breeding of prawns and precious marine

products . -88-

5 . 0 6 Th~ r:1·inar::e•::er.ts of intensive, meticul ous

8.!'id hi,::h- yield breedirg wi ll be t·1ken in fr9.wn

breeding . The per unit area yield of breeding

wil l be hi gher than present. The brePding cy­

cle of prawns is one year. After it is put in-

to pr oduction , per ha . wil l r ise by 15000 ton .

The t otal output will rise by 10000 ton in th e

6667 ha. prawn-breeding pond .

Advanced technology will be taken in sca­

l l ops brePding . Its breeding cycle is 14 mon­

ths . The! arvest season i s four times in six

years . 5 .5 ton scallops will be got each time

per ha . that is 35 ton eac h year . 20000 ton

scallops will be got f r om 533 ha . each y ear.

Abalone and kelp can be inter c r opped . The

breeding cycle is t wo years . 15 ton a balone will

be got eac h t ime per ha ., that is 7 . 5 ton each

-89-

/

: r. . .

The bre ed in;~ c:;c Le o:' ~·: ·1 .... · ·.:::!. !' '· · • '1 1· ·· "· :1~ -

::.ach year we could n·.tV·"' i !''q· ... ·:s ·u:'l rrec i c us

ver 10000 i dle fa rmers c o~:i be ~&Je i~ the r e-

g i on .

VI . Marketing ~r osfect

1. The markets with provi~ce

6 . 01 In recer.t years, wi th the deei development

of reform and o~en policy , the l iving standa1d

of chinese people h~s bee:; 1 .. 1iseri c .;r.siderably ,

and domestic consumption h3s be e~ recreas ed r a ­

pi dly . The agricultural ar.d sid eljre ~roduct s

are not only t he rec.pliremer.: of peop le ' s daily

life , but also the 1·:-rn 'i'lt - 1·i·1.ls rf ir:dustrial

-9 0-

production . So they ahve a big m~rket.

6 . ')2 Pure hase

With the average annual 6 growth r~te of 12.

8,./_ d) ' the t otal product income of state-operated

commerce ard marketing cooperative of our pro-

vince in1 9H6 , ( excluding foreign trade) in-

creased 1 33 4 compared with that of 1 978 . A.mong

those , the purchase from agricultural and side-

line products increased by 14 . 7 % each year. The

t ot·d purchased products of the main agriculture

and sideline of the society are : 7882 thousand

ton gr ain , 823 . 5 thousand ton cotton, 419 thou­

sand ton vegetable oil , 11660000 pigs , 20000 ton

aquatic products .

6 . 03 Retail

The total volume of retail sales of soci al

commerce of our province in 1986 increased 195 .1 %

-9 1-

'

;fl' 0 W ~ ..-. l '' l. ._ 0 1· " 1 A C:, ~ C""' t, ' I • .., ..... • •, • t • / •

180000 ton A.qua tic pruri ·~c ~s .

6 . 04 As described ~bove , jud~ed by ~hR ins~ec-

t i on of prov inc i ·1 l ;1n :::· v. e t , t :1 R !- e o l :. e ' s pur-

chasing power i s ri si~g r ~pi1ly , an cl their de-

mands for agricul tural 8.nd sideline J..-roduc ts

are bec oming lar~eb and lar¥er . ;ccor1i~g t o

the projection , when the pr ogram completely

went into oper~ti)n, the net increased popu-

la t ion of our province wil l be 6 400 t housand by

the year of 1994 . Because of higher d ema nd for

goods , the farm and sideline market wil l be lar-

ger . Fi r st of all , the products of the programme

will take the n eed of new adJed people into con ­

sider ation. For detai ls , seP Table 6 - 1 . The es-

-9 2-

I

2 . ,Jor:H: '.3tic mnrket

(, . r)r, Ch in;1 has the l:ffgest nati onal popul :1 t i on

qnd is~ big agr icultural c ountry. Comp~red wi ­

th the developed c ount r ies , the level of agr i ­

cu:t ur9l ~nd sii r line pr oduc ts ow ni ng by a per ­

son is still ver y l ow. Bas ed on s ome relative

e~ti ~a tion , the demand fo r agr i cul t ur al and s i ­

deline pr oducts i s qui te pot ential in domes t ic

market , and i ncrea ses year after year.

Fo r deta i l s , see Table 6- 2 .

3 . Inter national Market

6 . 06 I n internati ona l market the demand for agr i ­

cul tural and s i rt eline products , especially those

famous , s pecial , high quality pr oduc ts , a lso sh­

ow a tendency of increasing. Take aquatic pr o­

duc ts a s an example, in the past uear s , the ave­

r age volume of trade for prawn remained a t the

-9 3-

leve l o f 500 tn ou~cind ton per year, bu t now

which has increas ed to 670 thousand ton . The

total consumption of prawn for onl y Jap~ne s e

m~rke t is 200 thousand ton every year. Theo-

riental pr awn in our count ry is not only in

short supply in China, but also is merchanta-

ble in the international market. However, be-

cause of the shortage of supply at present , the

export of prawn onl y takes 20 thousand ton per

year . According to t he chemical examination , th e

content of murcury of scallop produced in our

province , is lower by 90% than the intern, tion­

al ' s level . Because they are good and cheap ,

merchants try to order . Clothes and products ma­

d e of rabbir fur are welcome in the internation-

al market , especially i:n European market where

they become one of the tight commodities. The

trade of the meat of rabbit and date etc. have

sold well in the international markets.

-9 4-.

..

T·.t,J P •,-1

•-•· <>!Jtlm·,t:.;n of dPr:i-u ,•llr.1; for Sh·111,toni; ' s ·,1<ricultur·,l 11·.,1ucl~

lot>tl out~·ut : tf'r1 tnouu,n·i tor

·1ver atte ownir·R fln,l cvr.sumir.,t of :-t • ·"r ! -.C..~~: ,:~·

} 1 '/tl'i 1 ';'JU ,! 0,1

c..9 t~ ~·d ·iV~!"1./'P •wer<iPi! total J"~1-~,1--!t? uver&.ge • ~ t:1 .... ~J" t l' .. ,_~, •,V('l "1(e

~ ,:u•.

1 qt o.rnir.6 corsn:r.t:-, C.L:~ i II f )\ff ! r ,g cori !H..;r, 1 r.g J..l ' -t Ut owni1i; con!J1;1:.i!.r

grain 3140 406 212 3350 414 2 10 3850 437 20',

cott<m 106 . i i3 .8 i25 i 5 . 4 , c;n OJV 17

peanut 262 .1 34 . 1 10 . 2 322 . 5 39 . 8 14. 3 375 42 . 6 17 .8

fruit 2 12 27 . 6 400 49 . 4 750 e; . 2

aquatic l roduct 8 1.4 10 . 5 125 15 .4 250 28 . 4

among wh ch p r a wn 2. 0 0 . 2E 0 . 03 10 1.23 0 . 25 20 2. 27 0 . 57

total output

of meat 128 . 5 16. 7 9 .1 166 20 . 5 12 . 0 295 . 5 44.9 30

meat. o f pig beef

and mutto n 11 9 . 5 15 . 5 8 . 2 139 17 . 2 11 300 34 . 1 24

I chicken r abbit 9 1. 7 0 .9 27 3 . 3 1 95 . 5 10 .8 6

egg 72 . 5 9 . 4 4. 9 100 12 . 3 8 . 0 160 16.2 14

milk 16 . 5 2 . 1 0 . 8 56 7 . 2 2 . 5 160 18 . 2 y

- 95-·

1

~

Table · - :>

g rai~

cotton

oil

sugar

meat

. ,

The estimated Olltput of al}ricul tural produc ts in our c ountry

t<, tal ou tput: t~r. thousand t on

:n·"'r'lge owning and consuming of a person : ~

1984 - 1990 2000

total output average own i ng total outpu· a ve rage owni, 0 total ou~pu•

40730 395 . 5 42500 386 . 4 51600

625 . 85 6 . 1 600 5. 45 'i50

1190 . 5 11.6 1825 16 . 59 2300

4780 11 . 57 6825 62 . 05 7500

2275 20. 68

among which: prok,beef I

m:.ittor> 1540. 6 15 2000

I 1!3 . 18 3270

meat of rabbit 20 0.18

l a quatic product 619 6 900 ! 8 .1 8 1200

egg 431 .6 4.16 875 7, 95 1800

i-- I milk 259 . 6 2 . 52 625 5 . 68 2400

fruit 984 . 5 9 . 6 2000 18 .1 8 3000

· .

·iverage owing

430

6 . 25

19 . 17

62 . 5

27.2J

10

15

20

25

-96-

.. • ..

'l'able 6-3

Average person output of mair. farm and side-line products in t.hP world in 1';184

unit: Kt,/per son

product grain converting Oil meat aqua tic egg fruit

J country

crops into oil product

~ \

total amount 429.7 6. 5 30 .2 16 . 5 6 . 2 62 . 9

Japan 146.4 0 . 5 27.9 94. 5 17 . 6 47.0

Ga!"!a.da 1782,9 56 .0 97 .2 53 , 5 13.0 28. 5

U.S . A 1564. 9 32 .5 108.3 17.5 17 . 1 96. 1

France 1088 .3 11. 5 101. 7 14.5 I 16 .3 251 .8

Hungary 1472.4 14.5 164.3 4.0 17 . 8 239 . 7 I

Yugoslavia 824.1 4.5 70 . 9 I 3 . 5 10 .4 145.3t

u .s.s.R. 679.o 6.5 61. 2 36.0 15.3 66.9

Australia 1873. 4 6. 5 148.5 11.0 12 . 7 136.7

Remark: 1. Seven kinds of oil crops can be converted into oil , such as peanuts , rape seeds,

s esames , sunflower seeds and cotton seeds .

2 . Aquatic products mentioned here is the output of 1983 .

_;

-9 7-

For details , see Table 6-3 The main agri ­

cultural and side l ine products owning by a per-

son in some countries.

4 Plan for Product Sales

6 . 08 According t o the d escription above, the pro­

duct s of the program have a huge market both in ­

side and outside of the province and both at ho­

me and abroad . After the program has been taken

out, the products, first of all, will be used in

promating the living standard of the mass in pro­

gramme area, and then in supplying for the needs

of the provincial and national markets . It also

will export a small amount of the products on

the requirement of the international market.

VII . Progress schedule of the program

1. Constructive schedule

7.01 The condtruction of the prograrne will start

in 1989, and finish by the end of 1993. It will

-98-

t ~ke five-year period. Every cou~ty h~~ dra wn

l up its annual construc:tion schedu l e. Because of

the va ri ous content of the program , the progres~

of the construction can not be expected to be

the same . It will take five years for the trans­

f orm program in Tuhaihe River vall ey with middle­

and-low-yield land. It will take t hree year to

fi r. ish the basic construction for the develop­

ment of animal husbandry, breeding of prawns

and precious marine products.

See Table 7-1 for the progress rate of the

program. I 7 . 02 There are a treme.ndous amount of work in

the first year when the program start. As there

are three priorities, one is planting seebed,

forage processing plant in the subsidiary pro-

grams , the secon one is the large amount of

earthwork, the third one is bridge and culverts

and water gate which close related with earth-

-9 9-

~ork . O:her structure shall be arranged a ­

ccording to the need of the whole project . a­

fter the signing of the program, every year ,

on 31 , August , our province will have the next

year ' s project scheme examined by World Bank .

2. Annual investment scheme

-100-

{

.. •. ~

7 . 03 According to the arrangement of the project's progress , annual investment schame of this program

see Table 7-1.

Table 7-1 Annual investment scheme of program unit ten thousand US dollars

- ~ transform the low- development of animal breeding of prawns and

total yield land of Tu- husbandry acqua tics products

haihe River valley 1 ~ 0

total 27100 9140 4167 13793

1989 11601 1827 2676 7088

1990 9091 2742 1270 5079 I

1991 4534 2742 176 1616 l 1992 1417 1372 45 -

1993 457 457 - -I

-101-

VIII . Th e Raising and Paying- back of the Ca pital

1. The Me thod of Raising

8.01 In the total of 271 milli on dollars of the

items, 100 million dollars aski ng f or the loans

of World Bank occupies 36 . %. The internal serial

funds is 171 million dollars which is a bout 63 .1 %,

(se Table 8-1 ) .

( 1) The items funds for culti vating the Prawns

a nd Marine Treasures . It is 137933 thousand do­

llars, in which the loans of application for

World Bank is thousand dollars, occupying 36 .2%;

the internal seria l fun ds 87933 thousand dollars,

occupying 63 . 8%.

(2) It is 9 1408 thousand dollars for remaking

~he middle-yi eld and low-yi eld fields in the Tal ­

ley of Tuhai River, in which the loans for World

Bank is 32000 thousand dollars, occupying 35%;

the interna l serial funds 23656 thousand doll ars,

occupying 56 .8%.

-~ 8 . 02 The internal serial funds o! 171000 thoue

v sand dollars is shar ed by pr ovince, municipality,

county a nd village. The plan of raising internal

seri a l funds is on the Table 8- 2 .

-102-

·. .. _.,.

Hate of the Credi t from t he .~or lcl bank and the <.:oenpleted :se ts a t !lome

Chu rt 8 - 1 t!nit: u:.;s 10 , 000

Money provid ed by Total ~redi t from the World !lank I ~ ney of t he compl eted s ets at h na

Item I I Amount o f money I ,el ,. I :.mount of mone~· I &

·:· ·~: • ' ! I ?.7 100 I 1 :;OOO I I 171(\/~ I r,~ . j

Prawn and aquatic

products project I 13793 , 3 I 5000 I 36 . 2 I 8793 . 3 I 63 .8

The r eforming project

of low-yi eld land in

Tuhai Hiver valley 9140 . 8 ~200 35 . 0 5940 .8 65 . 0

Livestock developing

t pr oj ect 4165 . 6 1800 43 . 2 2365 . 6 56 . 8

- 103'-

2 . Suggestions for the usage of th e loans from the World !:lank .

8 , 03 The credit from the World Bank will be used as following:

Chart 8- 3

Suggestions for t he Us age of the Loans from the World Bank

Unit : USS 10 ,000

I~ 'The rerorming 1

of the low-yield Prawn and other Total l'lnd int the .,i vestock de-•ruhai River aquatic products e

vall ey velopment breeding

Total 10000 32000 1800 5000

Construction proj ect 5309 ,1 1333. 3 510 . 8 3465 . 0

Installation pro j ect ~ 70 215. 9

Goods equipment 3364 . 7 1792. 7 1155 . 9 416 . 1 ( including

f ertilizer)

Others 3 . 3 3 . 3

Circulating fund 903 . 0 903 . 0

Cost of ins pecting

Cost of study , spread and trainning 18 . 0 18 . 0

Cost of administation

price rising and un-

prdiction 116.0 74 . 0 42 . 0

Chart 8- 2

Proj ec t

Total

1. The r eforming pr ogr a

of the low-yield

l a nd in Tuhai River

valley

2 . Lives t ock develop­

men t

3 . Prawn and other

aquatic products

breeding

..

~lon ey kaising Chart

Total

investment

271QO

9141

4166

13793

'Aorlrl Credit f r om Bank

mount of

money

1000

3200

1800

5000

7, pe rcent

36 . 9

35 . 0

43. 2

36 . 2

. '

Unit : U~i 10 ,000

~·unds of the completed sets nt home

money Amount l> f % l c ent t·al ~overnt .TProvincer

per-, - -cent A.mount o:r

money

., I Amount of

pe1·centl money

~

EH tie~coun tie s

mount (j f ,

percen ti money perce nt

17100 f 63. 1 3285 19 . 2 2855 16 . 7 ~0960 64 . 1

5941 65 .0 891 15 . 0 891 15. 0 4159 70 . 0

2366 56 . 8 1075 45 . l 645 27 . 2 646 27 . 3

8793 63 .8 1319 15 . 0 131 9 15 . 0 6155 70 . 0

-105-

..

J·1un 1:h·,r t of :1·,ising 1•loney l~v»ry y,,i,;r

<.:h·,rt e -1\ Unit : USS 10 ,000

1s t year I 2nd year 3rd y P'l r

Construction Tot,; l 'l'o tr1 l <.: r edi t fro,, Completed Tot'il 'redi t fr- ComplE'tf't:l 'l'otal Cr ,,•lil. f r Complf,te•l

rro,iect in\'estment World Bank ·it 1,ome )1~ .,orl'1 'l t r o•,P 01n '1.orld . , t ' IO''le

~ank ·,·

Total cost of all i terns 27100 11 601 503U . 4 6562 . 6 9091 31 69 .1 5921 , 9 ~543 1176 . e 2757 . 2

<.:onstruction project 15047 . 1 6920 2443 . 3 4476 . 7 5422 . 6 1910 3512.6 2704 .5 855 . 8 1748. 7

Jnst3llation pro. 499 .7 299 .8 131 . 5 98 . 3 180.1 103 77 . 1 89 . 8 5 1. 4 38 . 1\

uoods mechanical I I

equipment 4925 . 7 2865 . 3 1957 . 3 908 1175. 1 802 . 7 372 . 4 885 . 3 604 . 7 280 . 6

Study , spread and trai:1ning 82 . 4 29 . 2 6 . 4 22 . 8 22 . 9 5. 0 17 . 9 11.4 2. 5 8 . 9

Other project 1252. 8 443 .8 2.0 441 . 8 347 . 8 1. 3 346 . 5 173. 5 173. 5

Circulating fund l 4206 . 9 1785. 6 451 . 5 1334.1 1041 31 2 .3 728 . 7 519 . 2 139 . 2 380 .0

Cost of three item 656 . 9 232. 7 46 .4 186 . 3 182 . 4 34 .8 147.6

I 91.0 23 . 2 67 .8

Others 428 . 5 151.8 151.8 11 8 . 9 118 . 9 59 .3 59.3

· 100-

. .,.

4t h year 5th yeor ·~otal Credt for~ ~ompletei Total Credit fror.- complet,,·1

\ ,:orld Ban,. 11. t home ',.,.; ,·ld llank ,1 t home

-0 1417 15 . 7 1401 . 3 457 457

t

16 . 9 4.1 14 . 6

267 . 7 267 . 7

661. 1 661 .1 457 457

150.6 11. 6 139. 2

96 . 5 96.5

- 107 -

0 °F

fltt ... <r'"

l

Money Heturn • nrl JntP rest pMyment llRn of ~gr i cul t ur al Comprehensive Developing Items

Ch1.1rt 8- 5 Unit: USS 10 , 000

Yea r

Items 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Hemark - -- ---- - ----

1. The borrowed money a t th beginning of the ye·n 11949 20971 24263 23022 20723 15092 8624 140 1 1. The cacula t ion i s a -

2 . Usage of the money bor- ccordi ng t o compound rowed thi s year 11 601 9091 4534 1417 457

in t eres t and the yea r 3. Interes t .paylReR4; of the

year 348 631 765 770 704 622 453 259 42 interest r 3te i s 3% .

4. Interest paymen t of the 2 . The i nterest is calcu-

y ear 631 765 770 704 622 453 259 42 lat ed f or the money bor-

5. Capital payment of t he

t year 69 1242 2658 2756 5631 6468 7233 rowed in t he same year.

1401

6 . The total money borrowed 3. From the beginning of the

at the end of the e ar 11 j ect,80% and the interest among it 348 0

of the depreciation in the 7 . Total of source to re-

turn capital and pay first f ive year is used

interest 1032 2007 3428 3460 6253 6921 7482 7268 to pay money and then pay

1) profit 875 1708 2929 2961 594 1 6609 7170 6956 at 50% until clear off .

2 ) Deprec£ation t hat can used to return capita 157 299 499 499 312 312 312 312

- 1nP-

3. The method of inves t ment and the plan of

raising funds year after year.

8 . 04 According t o the progeessi ve status of the

items, the plan of rai sing funds ye~r after year

is seen on Table 8-4.

4 . Paying- back of the Loa n 8 .05 At the 6th year o f the item's loans, we would

pay the capital and interest of World Bank's loans

year by year in the period of 15 years. The pro­

f i t o f items units would be firstly used to pay

the loans, the depreciations and other benefits

can also be used as paying funds. The plan of

paying l oans year after year is seen on the Ta­

ble 8-5.

i. Accountant& and Auditors

8 . 06 There are qual ified accounts in Provincial

Rural Develo pment Investment Company and the

economic bodies in charge of executing the i­

tems of each county. The accounts of the eco­

nomic bodies of the counties should be in char­

ge of the expenditure on the constructions by

-109-·

-

-- -----.. _ - -

selves and other expenditure, openning ac­

counts independerthy, recording detailedly.

The Rural Economical Development & Investment Company

' Of Shandong; . according to the class of ac-

count, would compile a half-yeat report.

After the audith of the Provincial Auditing

Bureau and the end of financial year, the ac­

counts auditted would be sent to the World

Bank within 6 months.

\.

-110-

IX. Financial analysis and business evaluation

9.01 The analysis about this project lays particular

emphasis financial affairs. On principle we

clarify some main points about business analysis,

but no elaborate quantitative analysis -about it here.

1. Financial analysis of the project

9.02 The determination of the financial price of

specific products bases on the first - time sale price

or producer price.

Grain and cotton price. Grain and cotton is one

of the main products in Tuhai River project. According

to the Chinese present price systems of purchasing

grain and cotton and exchanging in the market, grain

price, by equilibrium, is about 215 do~lard per ton,

grinned cottoi, 2150 dollars per ton.

Livestock price is calculated roughly basing on

the actual price which has happened most frequently

in recent years.

Aquatic price has commonly adopted the selling

price of breeding links. It is consi dered that part

of the aquatic speeific items belongs to

preserving and. manufacturing investment. So the

·-111-

final price is determined by 110 percent of

the first - time selling price. Now the first -

t i me selling prices of prawn, sca llop (fresh

with shell),abalone(with shell) and sea cucumber

are given in order; 4032 dollars, 1075 dollars ,

11828 dollars and 76200 dollars per ton. And

their final price are 4435 doll a rs, 1183 dollars ,

13011 dolla rs and 73925 dollars per ton in order.

The prices of chip date big in size a nd

Luoling golden sliver date small in size are 538

dollars and 430 dollars per ton . Its determinating

principle of price is j ust the same as that of

the livestock products.

The ~eterminating principle of other products '

prices (including the price of manufac turing

products) is also the same as that of the livestock

products.

Labour day price. It generally counts on the

principle of 3 yuan for each labour day.

9.03 The output of the specific products. The

production ability and quality of the manufactoring

items are both estimated on the standard of the

same kind of ente r prises present in our

country. Both the increase of livestock

breeding and technical parametres are --112-

estimated on the practi cal investgatio ns and technical

data concerned given by the science and rese&rch dep­

artments of livestock husbandry .

The beneficial results of water cGnservancy show

briefly on the expansion or improvement of the irri ­

ga~ion areas , on the improvement of saline- alkali so ­

il and on providing conditions for reclaim of the ~a­

ste and alkaline land. The refore the products base

mainly on the raised outputs of the farm products r e­

sulted from the expansion of irrigation and something

like this . According "The Project of H~bei Plain . Chi­

na" and investigated materials from 150 peasant house­

holds in QiHe , Yu Town and Ling County project distr­

ict of our pro vince and combining that with the cir­

cumstanc~ of their distr1ct , we have determined six

beneficial parametres of water conserrancy . They are:

1). expanding irrigation area by which the output of

grain increases 1, 350 kilogrammes per hect@ re and the

output of grinned cotton increases 250 kilogrammes

every year; 2) . harnessing saline- alkali soil ( above

middle degree) by which the output of grain increases

1,100 kilogrammes per hectare and the output of grin­

ned cotton increases 170 kilogrammes every year ; 3) .

-113-

I

reclaiming waste and ilkaline land by which the out­

put of grain increases 1,880 kilogrammes per hectare

and the output of grinned cotton increases 188 kilo ­

grammesevery year; 4 ) . the profits of improving, dr­

ought-resisting and irrigating areas occupy one third

ad the profits by expanding irrigation areas; 5) . the

profits from harnessing saline-alkali soil should be

calculated on 50 percent of the general profits.in

the first year and the general profits must be realiz­

ed in the second year; 6). the first year's profits

from reclaimi~g waste and alkaline land are calcu­

lated on 50 percent of the general ones and the sec­

ond year8s on 75 percent, the nomal profits will be

realized from the third year.

The nomal output of date-grain production in the

tenth year is as following: 990 kilogrammes per hec­

tare for the date ( dry) big in size and 1350 kilo­

grammes per hectare for the date ( dry) small in

size . The profits of intercrop are calculated from

the sixth year. And the prosperous period will begin

from the tenth year.

The order of the 9utput ( dry date) from the six­

th to the ninth year is: 198, 396 , 594 and 792 kilo ­

grammes per hectare for big date; 270, 540 , 810 and

-114-

1, 080 kilogrammes per hecta re for small date.

The prosperous period begins from the tenth year .

The output of the big date of Yuanling is 999 kilo ­

grammes per hectare , and the golden small date, 1350

kilogrammes.

The output of prawn breeding is calculated on

1 , 125 kilogrammes per hectare in the first year,

1,275 kilogrammes per hectare in the second year and

J , 500 kilogrammes per hectare from the third year.

If scallops can be produced four times every six

years, 52 .5 tons per hectar i;. :)i' fresh scallops with

shell will be gathe red every time, that is, 35 tons

per unit area yield of the year. I f abalones are

fished for every two years,fifteen tons fresh aba­

lones per hectare can be gathered every time, amount

to 7.5 tons per unit area yield of the year. If sea

cucumbers are caught every three years, 337.5 kilo­

grammes dry sea cucumbers will be gathered every ti­

me, equal to 112.5 kilogrammes per unit area yield

of the y ear.

The plan of outputs in other specific products

are consulted about that of the outputs in the same

-115-

I

kind of products as well as the technical para­

metres given by the technical departments.

9.04 Project profits.

Project profits are received from the unit

price of the specific products which multiplies the

numbers of its outputs. Because of erences of

accounting methods between various enterprises in

this project, some manufacturing enterprises only

record the increasing value income of manufacture,

but others record not only that but the value of

manufacturing objects. So condering the factors of

recalulating the profits, we think that it is most

valuble to investigate the profits or net cash flow.

9.05 cost of the profit. The project cost in this

\'Report' is divided into financial cost and business

cost. The former which includes interest and depre­

ciation charge is the whole material consumption of

the project. While the latter includes neither in­

terest nor depreciation charge. Here is the illus­

tration for the estimation of business cost.

The business cost of manufacturing enterprises

is determined basing on the practical consumption of

the same kind of enterprises present in our country.

-116-

The business cost of breeding industry depends on

the practical co nsumption of the mo st livesto ck ra­

isers and on the technical data given by the depar t ­

ments concerned .

The business cost of da ta- grain production serves

as th e charges for fosteri ng management such as f er­

tilizer , farm chemicals , labourers and so forth eve­

ry year. Big date of Yuan ling fosteri ng charges are

arranged like this : 12 dollars per hectare from 2 to

5 years , 40 dollars per hectare fro m 6 t o 9 years

and 80 dollars over 10 years . The charges for gold­

en small date are arranged like this: 16 dollars

per hectare from 2 to 5 years , 56 dollars per hec­

tare from 6 to 9 years and 11 2 dollars per hectare

over 10 years.

The bus iness cost of co nservancy works in

this project consists of the charges fo r mud-clean­

ing, charges for drpreciation of equipment, charges

for transportation, charges for expanding irriga­

tion areas and the growth labour charges ( chiefly

refer t o the harvest l ink ) dependi ng on the rais­

ing ou tput of the products in the project of leading

the Yellow River water for irrigation. The charges

-117-

-

for mud-cleaning, maintenance and management of the

project, renewal of equipment as well as transporta­

tion of the project are all calculated on ten percent

of the original value begining from the third year.

The charge for expanding irrigation is one hundred

yuan per hectare a year. The charge for increasing

the numbers of labourers and for harnessing various

kinds of areas (still converting improvement, drou­

ght--resistant and irrigated ares into three parts)

is calculated on 7.5 labour days per hectare, as it

were, 6.05 US$ per hectare a year.

The determinating principle of other business

cost is similar wit h that of the manufacturing

enterprises and livestock breeding.

9.06 Business life-span of the project.

Business life-span of a project is determined by

how long i~ can be used and how much it can affect

its inside reward rate. In this project wate·r co­

nservancy works and date-grain production can be

brought into play for a long time. Because its in­

side reward rate is higher, its business life-span

(life-span of hydraulic engineering) is determined

-118-

as 30 years. Which it is able to reach in 31 years

in the dynamic analysis. The available period of

chief fixed assets of other projects is, on the wh­

ole , about 20 years~ So its business life-span can

be defined as 20 years ( i ncluding the 22 years for . construe tion ) •

9.07 The datum profit rate.

I t refers to the discount rate which reflects the

cost of the investment in a project. That is deter­

mined in this <<Report >')as 8.4 percent, which is eq­

ual to the annual interest rate of the practising,

loans of our country.

9 .08 The establishment of cash flow table of the

project. The deficient value of fixe.d assets.

Because the available limit of th1 fixed invest­

ment in this project is different, such kind of

method dis utilized in this (<Report>), that is, if

the lifetime of the assets is less than 20 years,

the calculation for renewal cost during their av­

ailable period is omitted. Instead, if the lifetime

of the assets is longer than 20 years, the reco­

very for the deficient value and the land price is

-119-

omit t ed also.

Current assets. Current ass ets form the business

cost of a project. They are re covered by way of

deducting the business cost from the project, so

current assets are not listed in the cash-out in the .

cash flow table.

The time di ff erenc,e bet ween pro j ect profits and

i ts business cost. The time difference between cost

and profits is the premise and foundation of the

dynamic a nalysis. The time difference exists not

only between project profits and its construction

cost, but also in its business cost. Report is

based on the turnover rate of current ass ets of

different projects. If current assets turn. over

twice a year, their profits should happen half year

l ater than that of the business cost from the an­

gle of time. If current assets turn ov.er four times

a year, their profits shouid happen three months

later. The rest is on the analogy of this.

Fixed investment. In this project any investment,

which is put in all at once and acts continously

for many years, is considered as fixed investment.

-120-

1·l r ,:oursc , her,~ there! nre ::;o me special situ;i ti. o nH

tiuct1 ;is bre e <.iinr, f1quipm<H1t for Liea treasu r es ( whi­

::il , ·:1n be USPd i·or thre~ ;1nd :, h,df ye;i r on an aver­

:1,: ,· ';, nd p:ir-L of t h e inv (•t;tm1~ nt i.n impro v_i n~ grass­

l:1n1! ( i n ves lm e nl v.hi c h i s c;e nc rcd ly pul in perio­

di.c:: I ly Avery fi v e ye;l rS ) • Tn th'i.s proiect t he me­

thoci of periodic r,• ne V1al o r invt=:r; Lment is adopt ed

fo r ciec1lin~ with those spe r.j ;:1l fixed inv1:-stm~nt .

Ar. co rding to the Rbove-mentioned ;ipproach t he tota­

l cash flow table of thi s project is referring to

Table 9-1.

-121-

The Total Cash Flow Table of Agricultural Coapre­

hensive Development of the Pro jects

T~~ 9-/ Unit: 10,000 yuan

Cash out Net cash Age Cash

fixed in-Busine- Flow in Total vestment t T;:ix ss cos

1989 ·-- --2814 48086 __ 36460 11620 5 ~45272 I

1990 22707 45824 ... 20 175 25241 108 i-22817 199 1 47052 55632 6829 46973 1830 - 8580 1992 70318 57493 432 54821 2241 12825 1993 81178 68463 4579 59635 4249 12715 -1994 ,85439 63335 48 58999 4288 221ou . . --- -· ..

. 1995 r:- 88573. 6398.7. 0 59697 4290 ~4586 1996 91773 65 101 0 6076 1 4340 26672 -·· . --- . -1997 95660 69783 4424 60984 4375 2587? ... 1998 99585 65864. 0 . 61444 442.0 .. -. .3372..l - · -

; 19.99.. 10.68.Q4 .. 66,320.. 48 6_1837 ~ - - l10L1BL1 - - ·-

2000 11_9394 6_6Z29. 0 C. ") --./',... +~ 10 .. _ \ 4358.5. _ L .• . l.

4534 37037 .2001 108554 .. 7}5_t7 · ~1:rl-4 62559 - ... - - . - ·- ·-···-· -2002 108388 67187 · O : 62632 4'55 1+2201

I ... _ ... - .. .

:2003 109640 67265 ~o !

1 62710 !

4555 42375

:2004 _1_1 ac; 1 c; 67172 ~8 ~ - J-6~f>9_. -·- 4555 513ll - · .

2005 109661 71 ~? 1 4424 .. , 6257~ \ 4549 ?~ 110 .:. ... 2006 109661 67127 , 0 i 62572 4555 42534

~ . ·-- i6?.J,if . ' 62572 4555 42534 2007 109661 0 ·-.. ... ·- -: ~008 . _ 1-096.6.l .. 67J 27 . _Q. __ : 52522 Li...'i5'- IJ.;;,5_34-_

109061 64180 0 59631 4549 454"8"1 f-ZOQ.Q.. - - . - .

"741 13 r2010 109661 .35548 0 32539 3009

j 20 1 1 - 20 ~ ~ 3 l l 90 7498 0 02?7> 225 1?7>6Q2 ·225 / ·l,Q9ti5

.. a:> 19 I 31190 225 1) o ·

-·.

-122-·

9.09 The chief financial analysis index for three branches of this project is

1bl e 9- 2 referring to th e followi n~ table. ( tabl e ')- 2, 9- 3, 9-4 , 9---~ ~ _9- 6, 9- 7, 9 -8 )

To tal Aquatj Among lli ves•11uhai Among c · - ~ tocfil River i tem seat Pro

t dategrainJ l ivestock fruit tpra- -1.rea-i tern .1 t wn I · ec wa er

" oro due tionma nu f ac- manu f 2- c --itmret conser- · ture va ncy tu~e

Static inve-After 7.2 6 •. 4 .6.6 6.1 7. 7 6. 8 6. 7

stment reco- tax 7. 8 ?.O 9. 1 very period ...

( "Jfear) Bf fore tax ' 6 ... 7 6.1 6.1 7. 4

I Dynamic in- ~fter 8 •. 7 7. 8 8.3 7 • .0 9. 9 8 . 8 7. 9 9. 5 8. 3 8. 6 vestment re- tax : ~o very peri-B-efor~~ o d ( year) - tax

7•7 7.3 7 ... 1 8. 4

•'

J Net spot After : ' 135-tax 2050395 1749-- 5251 650( 18264 026 38599 78080 6621.J. 16i:,c; value

-r,o,ooo dol~~fore - n are : tax 240106 64612 33587 ·-7

i:'i nancial After 17. o(j 27 .8i c:::65 1 34. 53 2 1. 74 l 'j • U 4 recovery tax 23. 38 1.20 . 76 9. 74 24. ·-00 rate(%)

Betore 23. 00 l25.4 1 29 . 02 tax 25.92

·- - ·

-123-

9.1 0 The financial analysis of the households

which breed aquaties , can be fou nd in T8ble 9- 9 ,

9- 10 .

9- 10 The sensitive analysis of this project is

referring to the following table.

T'a bl e ( 9- 9 )

Change R~ nge Fina ncial Lower than the facto r s for change r ecovery expact fina ncial

rate (%) - .. :..'ecovery rate Financial recovery - 23. 38 -rate (%)

Sale price do wn 10% 17.05 - 6. 33

·~ Business

cost up 10% 18. 82 - 4. 56

... ... -

Post po ne-

ment for production a year 20.98 -2.40

-124-

I )? I

J

Th e Anal ysis Chart after TAx !orthe Total

Investment of the Aquatic Products Proj ect

Cha r t 9-3 Unit: RMB V 10 ,000

he!ere nce orofi t rate 8 . 4"

Year lnves troen t Profit Ne t profit Present Present Net Present Internal value of value of value revard rate ---~ ___ .. +

I I ~ r . ... ,,.,. ?. ... -, ... ?. "i?O"I ~ r ... 1 f. '4 ,: -. ·,!. I - I I · I - --- I -I 2 I Z IHl % 8 I ., ., 1..., ,.,

I - t :J M r,!> I I 4-.J2 ff "f

-, 1 ~- "" f- ··-- l ---- 1 -··----!-· -----,. - - - ··-I :, I t 4q ?.7 I 1 .. ,.c. ... l ?.6::> I .1 ?. 7 8 3 1 ?.. 4 "'('J

I ·· - I - - I I --- --I 4 I ')£,29 ?.lU7UI 1 22 1 9f 7S 6 e l 171 761 1---1- ·--+----·I··--- - - ----+ -· 1 s I 14871 I 23 1 7 0 I H3 fl ? I 18 77 8 1 167061

; ----4---- --·+ --f-----t -I & I 11647 1 ?."'t 4 ?.f, I 11779 1 77 A ZI 15651 1

I --- t I 7 I l··-·--1 I e I

-- -i- ---1-- ·---1 - - --1--------1-- -1 I 6 4 7 f % :ct 1 7. 6 I 1 1 7 7 9 I 7 I 7 q I 1 4 4 :-1.. f

-·--- -i-·· ·--·--!-·--- +-----~----- -·-l 11647 f 23 1 261 1 1 779 1 6 6 ?.?. I 1. 33?. H I

I --- ~ I 'J I 1---1 I 1 e I

t

1&t17 1 I - -· ·I

11 ,.4 7 I ~

I t 1 1 t ,, 4 7 I I -+ I 1 z 1 t r,4 7 I I I I 1 3 tf, M 7 t I I·-- I

%3 4 ?.r. f "l3SS I - -·. - ----1----

7.:J 4 7. 6 t 1177!1 I

~- ·- -·· ·-· ?.3 .. ?.r. I 1 t 77 '> I

-+--- - - 1· z:t 4 zr, t 1 1 77•J I

--1- . ---·--· - --, 2 · 14 7.t, I 73S!, I

-·I-- --l-

... -·+· --·-. ·-I 114 3 8 1 1?. ?.1111 1

- - - ,-·-------+··· 56 :-t,-,1 1 1 :t:tsl

--· I- -··- 1 "•, q419 I

I 4 7qr, f

- ··- ··- I 6 111 :-0 f

- -1- -

1tt4'>7 '

-- I •> r--. 4 ·, I

•.. t tHl'"t•) f - - _,

I 1 .. 1 lf,4 "1 1 Z"t 4 7.6 I 1177') I 4MII Z I 117.1M I

.,. ... ._, .... I % H", t I

1 %% 1 l

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., ~ .. .., r, ,, .., .,

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.., I ;,,ou

I t I - I I I I I S I 1 1.647 1 23 1 Z61 11.7791 376!.f 7573f "I UMII

1----t ---- - + - - ---+- -----+ ----- I --1- - -· I 1 6 I 11 6 4 7 I 23 4 2& I 11779 f 3 4 7 .. I 6906 f i5t3

l-+---- 1--·----lf------ , 1----;----I 1 7 I t6 t1 7t I 23 4 26 f 7355 I 41221 6 14 5 I

I-- - I ---1 - - f1------i-- --- l-· I JU I I 1 6 1 7 f 23 1 26 I 11779 I 2956 I 59 1 6 I 1-- I --1- ·---; ·I-· I ,., I 1, ,, .. 7 1 2 :1 4 2t, I

1-- I ·· - -i 1177<:1 I 277.7 I

+--- --·I·- ----i

5 4 05 1

I 7. H 111', .. 7 1 z:t 4 ?.6 I 11779 1 2S t 6 I .. .. ,. .. , I- ~ --+-------1------- l ·----·--1--f % 1 ll "I HH I

I I %%

I

14 7Z(, I 1 7::> 4 1 .. ,.,,n 1 t-- -- ·--1 . - --·- ,_

1 R 4 ., 6 I ..... f 4 : 111,, f ---··-I - -- - ···-I- - - - I

%H 21 -I

Z !J~ H I

I Z?SH I

I ;.: ·~., 4 I

· I %•> ">1 I

- I I t "l 1, I

I I f't 11 ;: 111, t tit I

% ·,1:t.:r, I --1-

1 '•" ' •) % I 1 "('l t1r.1 1 1 ?,~._, ., ... ,, I~..,,,.,, .... . t l I •, 1 '( 1 fl I I

-- _,J

' ., t1 r.'"' . ,. I I

1t•f !, U . ( I I

, ... .. . ·1 1 I

t, ·, fi q . : , I

I :-1 :>. :1 -, . ·, I

: .. 7~;-:,, . h I ., , .. .. ., I

I .,. , ... 4 . " I ' '"''• .., I

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Profit and cost r ate = 1. 334 Inve stment r ecovery peroid 7.8 years

LL)-

!

I -~ I

Th~ Analysis Chart be!or Tax f o the Total

Investment of the Aquatic Products Projects

Chart 9_-_4 __ _ _Unit : RMB V 10 ,000

Ref erence profit r ate 8 . 4~

Profit Net prof! t Present Present f" prm,t Internal

Year Cost value of value of value reward rate

cost profit 23 % 1 1 ?. #i 1 61 ?. 175 ~ -.... ,., ~ ,;4h1 % 1 .. ., •• ....... , .... ... ' I -· - ,__ __ . __ - ----- ---·- I

I ?. ?. HR Zfl I 77 SS 1 1 q?. "' '" 1 ., 1 '•" I

I ------1 -I· · I 1 · , I 11q ,:7 I 111",,., 1 I ..:r, · 1 I 1,: 7 M :J I • % .., • ., •• . I - I - - -l - -- • -- •· I- I 1 I " I ' If, .! ') I ?. 111 ·,11 1 1 ?.7. 1') I ·rc;r-H I ' ... . "· I ·I - -1 ---· --1 I I ... I , .... ...... 1 ?.:J17H I 1 .. 1 .... 1 •t..,7% I 1 f, (' flt . . I - - - 1 ·- -~- -- ·-··-·-1 I - I I 6 I 981A I ?.3 1 26 1 1 ::ts7 11 I h5H H I ' •• , ••• 1

1---··+-----t-- ---- -t I I 7 I 9 tt18 I Z::'1 1 Z6 1 1357A I 6 ft 7 H I 111 ,•1 1

I- ·---f- ---+ ---+- -- I I O I () 848 I Z::'1 1Z6 I 13578 I 5599 I 133>:H I 1---1--------+------+----t- ---t I I 9 I 11Z7B I 231Z6 I 9 110 I 7109 I lZ?.IIH I 1----t-·----! ·-· ---1- - ---1- I I 11'1 I ~n10 I Z3 1 Z6 I 1 357A I 1765 I 11 r-1-. I I - --1 - ··--1----"4- ---1 -i I I 11 1 9A1B 1 Z3 1 Z6 1 13570 1 1 396 1 I R1 ~'l l I -·I · -··1--·---·1 -· ---1 ·---1 I l Z I 90 48 1 23 1 ?.6 I 13S78 I 11'1 55 I I · ·-- - I ··-1- ·---1--· -----1 1 I 1 3 I 11?.7a I ?.3 1 ?.6 I <> 110 1 5 1 2 1 I

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135711 1

·---1

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9818 I ?.3 1 Z6 I 1 3570 I 23 H f, I ----+-----------1--·- -1

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1----·I ·---··--i-------1----· -l-···---1376 I

I·-. 1 zz I 315 7 I Z3 1 Z6 I ?.8269 I 5 tlM I

---1---------- --< -- --- I

f,"1.., '• I I

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' 5 4H "• I

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Profit and cost rate ~ 1.454 Investment recovery peroid 7 . 3 years

t '1..lo--

I -~ I

Tb.e A.nal.J(ai.s Chari for the Investment of the Processing Portion of the Livestock Project

Chart 9- 5 Unit· RMB¥ 10 000

~~nee profit rate 8 . 4 %

Year Investment Profit Net profit Present Present Net pre- Internal value of value of sent reward rate cost ---#i+ uo l n •

,., ~~ .,_

I 1 86111 6 1 - 0 5•41S I 06H 1 I 6 111

1--··--- - 1--- .. - ·- ' i 2 ' 111 939 5916 - S B 23I 1 1n1•11 I t. 4 r. u I -1-

- 100 0 1 f 3 I 237 'H J 1·- - 1·-

?. 8 9 ot 6 t C)390 I 1 7-,q1 I ... - ·· I

I 4 I 29S 4 7I 3 11'13S 14 AO f 2~ 1 qT f K 4 ~fiG I 1---1----t------- -----1- ·I - I· f S I 3384 3 I ~5q3 4 2 8 9 t f ?. 3'J :1 I I ?.C, K ?.•, I

1- · ----- - ·1--- · - - ·I 6 3329 1 37289 3990 1 %2% 4 21 Z 4 'J1~ l

·-1--- 1 7 33291 37 418 1 11 1 9 I 2 8 5 1 9 ) 23 0 s ·, I

t---+------------t------t-------+------1--I B I 3111231 3 81118 1 3 907 1 1 93 4 51 2 1 f",1 2 I

ll !"o1 H I I

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2 884 21 I 9 I 3 411 231 3 0 2 111 I 1 187 I 1 78 4 6 1 - I

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11 3411 231 38 2 111 1

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17 8 561 t---------+--------1------+------4------1-I 1 2

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----+-------1 3111 2 3 I 3 92 111 I

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'4 \ R7 I \ 1•, 23 f - -'- - I I

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'• • • t t ' (

Profit and cost ra t e = 1. 061 Investment r ecovery peroid = 9 . 9 years

Note : 1. The investment column is the sum of civil construction investment ,

operating, cost and tax .

2 . Profit is the income of sal es .

:} , The investment column excludes depreciation and interes t .

I

~ I

" Anal ysis Char t for tne Cost

Investment of Livestock Proj ect

. Unit: RMB Y 10 , 000

Ref erence pr ofit rate 8 .4"

'ie 'ir Investment Pr ofit Net profit Present Present Net pre- Internal

value of value of s ent Revard rat e

cost profit value

,----I I

I --1 7.

I -I :1 I-

I - ----

H6,.1 I +

I .. ') I') I -·-I

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f- --1- - --i-----t---~--·----4 I u 1 .l Z 1 !)9 1 :J uff1B I s e1.1 I 1u3eo l Z 16121

1-----i ·------:l t1 Zt 0 I 6811 I 16889 1 ?.8M42 I 1 ') I :JZ 1 99 I

1---+- - --t- ________ , ____ --t------·1-1 10 I ::12 1•>? I 30 2 10 1 6811 I 1 !i s ee I 10409 I 1--i . --t--1 11 I :t2 1<i <i l 3 u 2 10 1 6e11 I 14 aT3 I t7., 56 t l---1- ---1-·- - --l ----,-- - - -1 --- -+ I I 2 I :, % I •J ., I .• II 7. I K I GM 1 1 I 1 ·~ !_i,9 I 1 ~7 :--1•-. 1 I- -- I I ---t- ------< --I -- - ·-----1-I I :1 I :, % I ., q I :, "% I fl l 6 ft1.1 , .. s 1 •, t

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25.41:'

·-.... t1 ., .,,

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Note : 1 . The investment column is the sum of ci vil construction investment

and operating cost .

2. Pr ofit is the income of sales . -l1.f>-..

' I

' '

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I

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~

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I

Th~ A.naly,1s Chart f o the Total

Investment of the Tuhai River Or ojeot

Chart <,-7 Unit: RMB Y 10,000

-- Ref erence prof! t rate 8 . 4 %

Year Cost Prof! t Net pro!it Present Present Net pre- l r. t ernal value of vllue of sent rew&.rd r !!tP

cost pro!i t value 27 .81 ~ I 1 1 ~tHX 1 I ;.,:·111 I ?."( •1 : , I 1 :JHZ J I I·· ----1----· ---1-- --- i · ---- 1 I % 137CiSI !HI 3(, I " -, 7..., I , ;,:,;9 n I

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, _____ _ Profit and cost rate , .649 Investment recovery per oid = 8 .8 years

I ij I

Tbe Analy~is Chart befor e Tax f or the Tot al

Investment -ot the Tuhai River Pro j ect

Chart 9-8 Unit : RMB Y 10 ,000

it e! e i:,ence profit rate Year Cost Profit Net profi t Present

I • I

I %

I I -. I·

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value of profit

% .,, ft ' I II I fl, I

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sent va- reward r ate l ue 29 . 02 %

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•, 1 •1•1 I ; .. l'' l-1 •t I

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Profit and cost rate 1 . 700 Jnvp~trno .... t .,... ,..,..,., • .,... ..... a .... .... -t,.; - 0 >

!

\ ~u-

-, The Analy~ Chil.t...Jl!.t.el:: TaL fllr_ IaJ:m.e.I:. Househ.old.'.s investment of the

Chart 9-9 Livestock Project

Unit : R~9 I 10 ,000

lteference pr ofit rate 8 .4% Internal Year· Investment Profit Net profit Present Present

value of value of ""'-'°It:. n-"fi ~

I l 1-,, ( l ~7.3-; z. ., ',. I- ?.--·-1 --- ---+ - - -t-- - --I B"'I 1 ') j 7M :..!Z · 1 ?. •1 ·, 1--·-- --·-+- -·------ - -I 3 I I 81 7. 5 I 187 7 ') I :, !, 1 I 1--1 ---+- ---- + I 1 I 1M1 ?.S I 11'111 3 I 15 !,A I 1-- -- 1 .. -----1 - - --1- -I-I 5 I 18125 I l 1 9 U 3 I l 'ih ll I f--1 · I I G I 181 251 1191131 l S"'> II I

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-- + I 1 f, I 1 8 1 2S I 1 I 98:"I I , ssu I 1----1 ·-----, ---+-- 1--I 17 I IM1?. S f 11 903 1 1 !-. ~. 11 I 1---1 -·I ·-1- --- - I I 10 I 1 t,4 2!; I ' I 'Jll : , I t ' " 'i rt I 1-- - -- I 1 - I I I 1 9 I 1M1 7.S I , , •, 0 3 I 1 ...... ,

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'--~··--

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t 1..., I

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Profit and cost rate= 1, 094 Investment recovery peroid ~ 6, 3 years

,.11

'• I

I I . , I

:, .. ..... .., '•

,,.

1 % ' I ... .. I

... H I

... ....

Note: 1, The investment column is the sum of civi l construction investment ,

operaiing cost and tax.

2. Pr ofit is the income of sales .

3. The investment column excludes depreciation and interest.

-

..

Tbe Analysis Chart befor Tax f or Farmer Household' s

Investment of the Livestock Project

Chart 9 10 - Unit: RMB Y 10,000

Refer ence Pro!-1J; Rat.~ 8.4;. Internal Re-

Present value Pr.It~ ....N.e_t pr,eaen 1 ward Rate Year Investment Proti t Net prof! t of cost value of val11e 28.86"

. -

"1 I •••• ..

,-

,. 7 I

I I I n I I ·--- I I 'l I I -l I ,., I

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Total

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Pr ofit and cost rate=l,102 Investment r ecovery period•5,9 years No te : 1. The Investment Column includes includes civil construction

inves t ment and operating cost.

2. Pr ofi t is t he i ncome of sales.

3. The investment column excludes depreciation and int erest.

!

' '

9.12 Financial analysis of livestock raisers. Whe­

ther the peasant households joining in the project

can stand to gain is one of the major conditions

which decide whether the project is practicable or not .

The financial recovery rate of the households' invest­

m'ent is 27 .2 percent basing on the financial analysis

of raisers in the livestock raising item. While in the

TuHai River project the investment financial recovery

rate mf the cattle and sheep raisers is 25. 6 percent.

2. Business analysis of the project.

9.13 Comparing With the financial analysis,

several important factors are going to make the bu­

siness recovery rate of the project much higher than

that of the financial recovery rate.

9.14 Labour price.

The proportion of the labour investment in this -

project:.is great, but the labour requirements almost

concentrate on two slack seasons in farming, winter

and s pring. But nearly 40 percent of the labourers

in this district have nothing to do. Therefore the

business price or occasional cost of the needed labo­

ur is 0.5 dollar or so. In this way the business co­

st of the project will go down greatly .

-133-

9.15 The price of grain and cotton used in the fi­

nancial anal ysis is a c tuatly lower than the business

pri ce .

9 .1 6 As part o f the out-fl owing cash in the finan­

cial analysis, tax revenue, however, is placed in

the co st i n the business analysis. And its effect on

reward rate can be felt in the table .

9 .17 This project will push effect on the social

economy of this district without either profitlessne­

ss or reaction.

3. Financial cmntribution of the project .

9 .1 8 I t shows clearly in the table that the financi­

al profit rate is 2.54 percent of the total invest­

ment in this project ( difference between financial

recovery rate before tax and after tax ) •. That means

that during the business life-span the project will

directly provide the financial l incollle about .. 228730

thousand dollars . In another words, the project will

supply by an average of 7624 thousand dollars a year.

If it's indicated by using the discount va.lue of 8. 4

percent, the project will provide the financial in-

·-134-

• I

come about 94270 thousand dollars, that is, the pro­

ject will supply by an average of 3142 thousand doll­

ars a year.

9 .19 After the implement of this project . the output

of grain and cotton in TuHai River district will rai­

se on a large scale. The farmers of this area will

sell more grain and cotton to the state. Thus the

state can get some indirect financial income by ma­

king the lowerprice than market or business price.

Besides , it is quite sure that the growth outpat of

all products in the area concerned is the financial

contribution of the project, whether serving for ex­

port or not.

9.20 The practical price of the financial expence

in thiJ project is cheap~r, so the resistant effect

is the same .

4. Analysis about the risk in the project.

9 •. 21 Water conservancy works in TuHai Riv.er proj­

ect. !tis probable that there are some dangers be­

cause of the water shortage from the Yellow River.

~ But the problem is not so serious. For details, see

the appendix material I •. But even if such a problem

as the water shortage can also have influence on o­

ther areas outside the project district, resulting

-135-

in the reduction of occasional or comparative costs

of the project , that is, even if such a risk really

existed , a project would be better than nothing .

9 . 22 Ri sk of price fluctuation of the products in

the project. The sale for the products produced in

this project bases mainly on domestic markets. And

the products are tending to a great demand for a

long term. So it is impossible to have the risk of

the price reduc tion .

9 . 23 Strong wind and tide mainly threaten the aqu­

ati c breeding. I n the project district the highest

tide level in histo ry was 4. 67 metres high recorded

in 1937 . The greatest tide difference was 3.1 metres,

but nomal one is about 2 metres. All such things are

considered in the construction plan of the prawn

project. Prawnfon.d built on the shoal over the tide

i s usually about 1 metre above sea level. A tidal

barrage 'Nit h th e t op :r.eis:1 : 1 Y r. ~: :-.er than ~h~ :r.~x . > ·

l evel in h.istory is set up. For pr otec tion, it is

so sturdy and durable that it can withstand the most

t empestuous tide attack. Sea treasures are breeding

in the shallow seawaters where the top tide level

in histo ry was 5 . 2 me tres high and the tide differ-

-136-

ence is l ess than 2 met r es , though the strongest

tidal current is 4 kilometer/hour . The strongest

wi nd is 34 metre/seco nd in the hi story , but the

loss o n a large scale is rarely made .

-137-

X. Conclusion

10.01 The conclusions obtained from analysis

above are as follows.

1. Technical Feasility

10.02 The technology problems of the item are

researched and demonstrated carefully. In the te­

chnical scheme drawn the seed, freeding

stock, feed, production, sale, transport and technical

service are included. It meets the needs of

the serial production of the synthetical development.

Based on the reality of the item area, the

technology adopted is advanced and applieable,

the scale is reasonable and economical. The

experience in developing and utilizing the natural

resources of wasteland and coastal zone are gained.

For examples, the Qi-he, Yu-cheng, Ling-xan have

successful pracitce in utilizing loan provided by

the World Bank to transform saline-alkali and the

people of Yi-mong mountain area to develope the

animal hustandry, the mariculture. therefore the

item is feasible in technology.

2. Organization Feasilility

10.03 The item has been supported and comfirmed

by the Programme committee, the Ministry of finace

and the ministry of Farming-animal-Fishery

-138-

of our country. People's governments at all levels

pay great attention to it, and one of leading

cadres takes charge of this work. The item has

been brought into the development plan of the national

economy. The departments of programme, committee,

finance, agriculture, water conservancy, aquatic pro­

duct and forestry at all levels act in close

cooperation, therefore the reliable administrative

guarantee for putting the item into ·effect will be

sure. There is a complete and reasonable organ for

the item, besides, many technicians and managers

who are competent at this job are engaged. The

organ of this item will contact and cooperate

closety with administrative and research units.

From this point tf view item will be going smoothly

toward the prede erminrl target.

3. Financial Feadilility

10.04 The farmer .>: · .. : ·. ·- in the item area

would gain profit. Additional of 14380 thousand egri­

cultural output value is expected every year.

10.05 The financial benefit of the item is remard­

able. Whthin 30 years, the current cash of the

item areas will be about S 3650 million, revenue,

S 230 million.

4. Econamical Feadilility

-139-

10.06 $ 3650 million will be coated in the

econamie life of the projects, while the

total benefit will get to 6150 million dollars,

caculated by discount rate of 8.4%

The rate of cost-benefit will be 1.38.

The period of investment recovering will

be 7.7 years. The item will not only made direct

benefit, but also a lot of indirect benefit.

10.07 The item will play an improtant role in

the strategic development of agriculture in the

province, and will find a new way of agricultural

comprehensive development on a large scale, which

will be used for reference by other provinces. The

model experience will be obtained, and popularized

as a good example.

5. Social Peasilility

10.08 Our country is stable, and opening to

the outside world and activating in the interior

are basic policies of our oountry. In the premary

stage of socialism, the centre task is to develop

production. Especially the argriculture is

stressed. For making agriculture onto another

new stage, the more imvestment is needed. It is

clear the project is in line with the strategy -140- ':

of development in agriculture.

10 .09 The regions, concerned with the

development of animal husbandry in the project,

are backward areas. The preferential policy

will kept on by the goverment.

10.10 In brief, the project is feasible in

technology organization, finance, economy and

society.

6. Proposal

10.11 It is our suggestion that the project

should be remained under the guidance and

supervision of the leaders concerned in the

government. l It is our another sug estion that the

World Bank should help the preparation, and

certain should be appropriated in advance for

preparation; That delegation of the World Bank

should be sent for the investgation on-the-spot in

March 1988, in order to estimate in July and

start operation by the end of the year.

-1 41-·

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Appendix 1 . B

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