© 2003 H.S. Dent Foundation Movers to Different Region: Young vs. Old 1995-2004 Source: US Census Bureau 8x

© 2003 H.S. Dent Foundation

Movers to Different Region: Young vs. OldMovers to Different Region: Young vs. Old1995-20041995-2004

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

20 - 29 60 - 69

in T

ho

usa

nd

s

Source: US Census Bureau

8x8x


Movers to a Different Region by AgeMovers to a Different Region by Age1995-20041995-2004

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,0005

- 9

10 -

14

15 -

19

20 -

24

25 -

29

30 -

34

35 -

39

40 -

44

45 -

49

50 -

54

55 -

59

60 -

64

65 -

69

70 -

74

75 -

79

80 -

84

85+

in T

ho

usa

nd

s



The Migration WaveThe Migration Wave 25- to 27-Year Lag for Peak Movers 25- to 27-Year Lag for Peak Movers

The Migration WaveThe Migration Wave 25- to 27-Year Lag for Peak Movers 25- to 27-Year Lag for Peak Movers

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

4,500,000

5,000,000

5,500,000

1959 1969 1979 1989 1999 2009 2019 2029

Imm

igra

tio

n-A

dju

ste

d B

irth

s


Average Immigrants per Year by AgeAverage Immigrants per Year by Age1945-20001945-2000

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70

Age

Nu

mb

er o

f Im

mig

ran

ts



Immigration to the United StatesImmigration to the United States1820-20061820-2006

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,00018

20

1835

1850

1865

1880

1895

1910

1925

1940

1955

1970

1985

2000

Source: U.S. Department of Homeland SecuritySource: U.S. Department of Homeland Security


Migration FlowsMigration Flows


Top 10 Outbound States2003-2007

Source: United Van Lines

StateState 5-year Average5-year Average

North DakotaNorth Dakota 66.4%66.4%

MichiganMichigan 63.3%63.3%

New JerseyNew Jersey 60.9%60.9%

IndianaIndiana 60.0%60.0%

New YorkNew York 59.5%59.5%

IllinoisIllinois 58.5%58.5%

PennsylvaniaPennsylvania 56.3%56.3%

OhioOhio 55.2%55.2%

WisconsinWisconsin 54.6%54.6%

MassachusettsMassachusetts 54.5%54.5%


Top 10 Inbound States2003-2007

StateState 5-year Average5-year Average

North CarolinaNorth Carolina 62.0%62.0%

NevadaNevada 61.7%61.7%

OregonOregon 61.0%61.0%

South CarolinaSouth Carolina 59.8%59.8%

IdahoIdaho 59.3%59.3%

AlabamaAlabama 58.3%58.3%

ArizonaArizona 58.3%58.3%

TennesseeTennessee 55.3%55.3%

DelawareDelaware 55.2%55.2%

New MexicoNew Mexico 54.6%54.6%



Migration into South Atlantic States% of Interstate Migration that is Inbound

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003

FloridaN. Carolina

S. Carolina



Migration into Inland Southeast States% of Interstate Migration that is Inbound

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003

AlabamaGeorgia

Tennessee



Migration into Southwestern States% of Interstate Migration that is Inbound

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003

NevadaArizona

Texas



Migration into Western States% of Interstate Migration that is Inbound

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003

CaliforniaOregon

Idaho



Migration out of Upper Midwest States% of Interstate Migration that is Outbound

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003

IllinoisMichigan

Wisconsin



Migration out of Midwest States% of Interstate Migration that is Outbound

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003

IndianaOhioPennsylvania



Migration out of Northeastern States% of Interstate Migration that is Outbound

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003

MassachusettsNew JerseyNew York



Migration by Size of Metro AreaMigration by Size of Metro Area1995 to 20001995 to 2000


Total Total MetroMetro <250k<250k 250-1,000k250-1,000k 1-2mm1-2mm 2-5mm2-5mm >5mm>5mm

Net Domestic Net Domestic MigrationMigration -510k-510k 142k 142k 218k 218k 714k714k 527k527k -2,111k-2,111k

% Change% Change -2.5%-2.5% 8.0%8.0% 5.3%5.3% 21.7%21.7% 14.8%14.8% -27.4%-27.4%

ImmigrationImmigration 6,876k6,876k 318k 318k 881k881k 898k898k 1,438k1,438k 3,342k3,342k


Migration by Size of Metro AreaMigration by Size of Metro Area2000 to 20032000 to 2003


Total Total MetroMetro <250k<250k 250-1,000k250-1,000k 1-1-

2.5mm2.5mm2.5-2.5-

5mm5mm >5mm>5mm

Net Domestic Net Domestic MigrationMigration -0.1%-0.1% 0.3%0.3% 4.8%4.8% 2.1%2.1% 1.2%1.2% -5.2%-5.2%

Net International Net International Migration Migration 5.2%5.2% 4.0%4.0% 6.3%6.3% 3.8%3.8% 5.5%5.5% 8.8%8.8%

Total Net Total Net MigrationMigration 5.1%5.1% 4.3%4.3% 11.1%11.1% 5.9%5.9% 6.6%6.6% 3.6%3.6%


Cities in the Sweet SpotCities in the Sweet Spot1 Million – 2 Million1 Million – 2 Million

Source: Population Division, U.S. Census BureauSource: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau

Metropolitan statistical areas July 1, 2004Salt Lake City, UT 1,018,826Rochester, NY 1,041,499Birmingham-Hoover, AL 1,082,193Oklahoma City, OK 1,144,327Richmond, VA 1,154,317Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY 1,154,378Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT 1,184,564Louisville, KY-IN 1,200,847Jacksonville, FL 1,225,381Camden, NJ 1,237,773Memphis, TN-MS-AR 1,250,293Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN 1,395,879Austin-Round Rock, TX 1,412,271Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC 1,474,734Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI 1,515,738Indianapolis, IN 1,621,613Providence-New Bedford-Fall River, RI-MA 1,628,808Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 1,644,250Las Vegas-Paradise, NV 1,650,671Columbus, OH 1,693,906San Antonio, TX 1,854,050Orlando-Kissimmee, FL 1,861,707Kansas City, MO-KS 1,925,319


Cities Approaching the Sweet SpotCities Approaching the Sweet Spot750,000 – 1 Million750,000 – 1 Million

Source: Population Division, U.S. Census BureauSource: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau

Metropolitan statistical areas July 1, 2004

Raleigh-Cary, NC 914,680

Tucson, AZ 907,059

Honolulu, HI 899,593

Tulsa, OK 881,815

Fresno, CA 866,772

Lake County-Kenosha County, IL-WI 851,330

New Haven-Milford, CT 845,694

Dayton, OH 845,646

Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY 845,269

Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA 803,801

Albuquerque, NM 781,447

Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ 779,816

Worcester, MA 779,488

Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI 767,539


U.S. Metro Areas With Highest GrowthU.S. Metro Areas With Highest GrowthApril 1, 2000-July 1, 2006April 1, 2000-July 1, 2006


Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, Ga.Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, Ga. 890,211890,211

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TexasDallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas 842,449842,449

Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TexasHouston-Sugar Land-Baytown, Texas 824,547824,547

Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz.Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz. 787,306787,306

Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif. 771,314771,314

Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, Calif.Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, Calif. 584,510584,510

New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa.New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa. 495,154495,154

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, D.C.-Va.-Md.-W.Va.Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, D.C.-Va.-Md.-W.Va. 494,220494,220

Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach, Fla.Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach, Fla. 455,869455,869

Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, Ill.-Ind.-Wis. Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, Ill.-Ind.-Wis. 407,133407,133

© 2003 H.S. Dent FoundationSource: US Census Bureau

Fastest-Growing U.S. Metro AreasFastest-Growing U.S. Metro AreasApril 1, 2000- July 1, 2006April 1, 2000- July 1, 2006

St. George, Utah St. George, Utah 39.80%39.80%

Greeley, Colo. Greeley, Colo. 31.00%31.00%

Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla. Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla. 29.60%29.60%

Bend, Ore. Bend, Ore. 29.30%29.30%

Las Vegas-Paradise, Nev.Las Vegas-Paradise, Nev. 29.20%29.20%

Provo-Orem, Utah Provo-Orem, Utah 25.90%25.90%

Naples-Marco Island, Fla. Naples-Marco Island, Fla. 25.20%25.20%

Raleigh-Cary, N.C. Raleigh-Cary, N.C. 24.80%24.80%

Gainesville, Ga. Gainesville, Ga. 24.40%24.40%

Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz. 24.20%24.20%


By the Texas Transportation Institute's reckoning, the By the Texas Transportation Institute's reckoning, the cities having the worst traffic problems are:cities having the worst traffic problems are:

1. Los Angeles, Long Beach, Santa Ana, Calif. 1. Los Angeles, Long Beach, Santa Ana, Calif.

2. San Francisco, Oakland, Calif. 2. San Francisco, Oakland, Calif.

3. Washington, D.C. 3. Washington, D.C.

4. Atlanta4. Atlanta

5. Houston5. Houston

6. Dallas, Fort Worth, Arlington, Tex. 6. Dallas, Fort Worth, Arlington, Tex.

7. Chicago7. Chicago

8. Detroit 8. Detroit

9. Riverside, San Bernardino, Calif.9. Riverside, San Bernardino, Calif.

10. Orlando, Fla.10. Orlando, Fla.

11. San Jose, Calif. 11. San Jose, Calif.

12. San Diego 12. San Diego


Migration into Southeastern StatesMigration into Southeastern States1995 to 20041995 to 2004


Domestic Net Domestic Net MigrationMigration

Immigration Immigration From AbroadFrom Abroad TotalTotal

FloridaFlorida 1,766,342 1,766,342 825,388 825,388 2,591,730 2,591,730

GeorgiaGeorgia 726,879 726,879 212,590 212,590 939,469 939,469

North CarolinaNorth Carolina 650,103 650,103 146,627 146,627 796,730 796,730

TexasTexas 997,634 997,634 930,539 930,539 1,928,173 1,928,173

South CarolinaSouth Carolina 217,445 217,445 34,954 34,954 252,399 252,399

TennesseeTennessee 296,101 296,101 56,045 56,045 352,146 352,146

VirginiaVirginia 242,715 242,715 179,965 179,965 422,680 422,680

ArkansasArkansas 85,836 85,836 22,908 22,908 108,744 108,744

KentuckyKentucky 85,998 85,998 27,937 27,937 113,935 113,935

AlabamaAlabama 47,333 47,333 26,299 26,299 73,632 73,632

MississippiMississippi 19,450 19,450 9,729 9,729 29,179 29,179

LouisianaLouisiana (145,247)(145,247) 26,061 26,061 (119,186)(119,186)


Migration into Southwestern StatesMigration into Southwestern States1995 to 20041995 to 2004




NevadaNevada 512,330 512,330 90,824 90,824 603,154 603,154

ArizonaArizona 794,827 794,827 190,931 190,931 985,758 985,758

CaliforniaCalifornia (286,775)(286,775) 2,330,1742,330,174 2,043,3392,043,339

UtahUtah 31,521 31,521 59,093 59,093 90,614 90,614

New MexicoNew Mexico 12,784 12,784 42,911 42,911 55,695 55,695


Migration into Northwestern & Rockies StatesMigration into Northwestern & Rockies States1995 to 20041995 to 2004




ColoradoColorado 347,179 347,179 129,329 129,329 476,508 476,508

IdahoIdaho 103,694 103,694 22,372 22,372 126,066 126,066

OregonOregon 225,298 225,298 96,219 96,219 321,517 321,517

WashingtonWashington 298,538 298,538 194,100 194,100 492,638 492,638

MontanaMontana 24,099 24,099 2,623 2,623 26,722 26,722

WyomingWyoming (8,523)(8,523) 2,223 2,223 (6,300)(6,300)

Documents

© 2003 H.S. Dent Foundation Movers to Different Region: Young vs. Old 1995-2004 Source: US Census Bureau 8x