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“A VIEW FROM THE FIELD”
THE DEVELOPER’S APPROACH TO GEOTHERMAL PROJECTS
Daniel N. Schochet, Vice President Daniel N. Schochet, Vice President ORMAT Nevada, Inc.ORMAT Nevada, Inc.
January 20, 2004January 20, 2004
ORMAT -ORMAT - COMPANY PROFILE COMPANY PROFILE
• RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY SINCE 1965..DESIGN, ENGINEER, SUPPLY, INSTALL & OPERATE
750 MW OF POWER GENERATION IN 21 COUNTRIES, 25O MW OF GEOTHERMAL GENERATION IN USA.
FIELD PROVEN TECHNOLOGY
MODULAR POWER PLANTS FROM 0.3 TO 130 MW GEOTHERMAL, WASTE HEAT, BIOMASS & SOLARREPOWERING / REHABILITATION OF EXISTING PLANTS
OVER US$1B IN IPP PROJECT FINANCING
WHY GEOTHERMAL WHY GEOTHERMAL COST EFFECTIVE FROM 300 kW TO 0VER 100 MWCOST EFFECTIVE FROM 300 kW TO 0VER 100 MW
Modular power plants are easily expanded as needs increase
Power costs competitive with hydro, coal and diesel
RELIABLE, SUSTAINABLE & ENVIRONMENTALLY SAFERELIABLE, SUSTAINABLE & ENVIRONMENTALLY SAFE Many projects operating over 10 yrs at 98%+ availability
Geothermal is non-combustion - near zero emissions
MINIMAL SURFACE USE- INDEPENDENT OF WEATHERMINIMAL SURFACE USE- INDEPENDENT OF WEATHER
FIELD PROVEN TECHNOLOGY - 8,000 MW WORLD WIDEFIELD PROVEN TECHNOLOGY - 8,000 MW WORLD WIDE
EASY TO INSTALL, OPERATE AND MAINTAINEASY TO INSTALL, OPERATE AND MAINTAIN Plants constructed in 6 to 12 months- O&M by local staff
ORMAT GEOTHERMAL POWER PLANTSFang, THAILAND
1989 300 kW
Upper Mahiao, The Philippines
1996 125 MW
Zunil, GUATEMALA
1999 24 MW
Olkaria, KENYA
2000 8 MW
1966
Thailand The Philippines
KenyaGuatemala
GEOTHERMAL TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW GEOTHERMAL TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW RESOURCE TEMPERATURES FROM 250RESOURCE TEMPERATURES FROM 250O O TO 350TO 350O O FF
Binary Technology most appropriate Most untapped resources are in this category Air cooled condensers possible – 100% injection of all fluids/gases Lowest environmental impact
RESOURCE TEMPERATURES OVER 350RESOURCE TEMPERATURES OVER 350O O FF Flash technology produces steam for driving turbine Condensing steam cycle requires water cooled condensers Combined steam & binary system allows for air cooling
DRY HIGH PRESSURE STEAM PRODUCTIONDRY HIGH PRESSURE STEAM PRODUCTION Conventional steam turbine technology most appropriate Geysers (CA), Italy, Iceland, Indonesia & New Zealand Water cooled condensers needed Higher environmental impact
12 MW binary geothermal power plant, comprising 3 air- cooled ORMAT® Energy Converters (OEC)
The OEC units utilize two-phase geothermal fluid consisting of steam and separated brine
GENERATORTURBINE
CONDENSER
COOLED GEOTHERMALFLUID
INJECTION WELL PRODUCTION WELLINJECTION PUMP
MOTIVE FLUIDPUMP
PRODUCTION PUMP
ORMAT Air Cooled Binary Geothermal Power Plant
Kenya, 2000
Olkaria III Geothermal Power Plant, Phase 1
30 MW plant comprising 10 combined cycle OEC unitsUtilizes saturated steam and injects 100% of spent fluid to reservoir
1147
GENERATOR
TURBINE
CONDENSER
PREHE
COOLED GEOTHERMALFLUID
INJECTION WELLSTEAM PRODUCTION WELL INJECTION PUMP
MOTIVE FLUIDPUMP
NONCONDENSABLE(NCG)COMPRESSOR
ORMAT Geothermal Combined Cycle Power Plant
HOT GEOTHERMALFLUID
Geothermal Renewable Grid Connected Base Load Power
PUNA (Hawaii), since 1993
Consumes Water: Aquifer Depletion, Power reductionEffluents or Expensive AbatementPlumeVisual ImpactWater Treatment Needed: Use and Disposal of Chemicals
PROBLEMS: SOLUTIONS:
All Fluids Reinjected: Sustainable, No Power ReductionNo Emissions (No Abatement Needed)No Plume (Air Cooled Condensers)Low ProfileNot Sensitive to Quality of Brine & Steam
1584
Conventional Geothermal Conventional Geothermal Steam Power PlantSteam Power Plant
Combined Cycle Combined Cycle Geothermal Power PlantGeothermal Power Plant
Sustainable Geothermal
Water Consuming Sustainable
TECHNOLOGIES
Current Mainland U.S. Geothermal Power Production
Total Existing Capacity =2900 MW25,000 GWhs
Geysers2070 MW
NevadaProduction196 MW
COSO240 MW
Utah Production33 MW
Imperial Valley403 MW
Mammoth40 MW
GeothermalHigh Capacity Factor Resource
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Geothermal Gas Coal Nuclear Wind
Capacity Factor
11 21/04/23
Biomass - Energy Forestry Energy Crops
22000
Average Capital and Delivered Costs
Capital Cost (US$/kW)
Cost of deliveredenergy (US$/kWh)
Coal
Gas
Wind
0
1000
2000
3000
0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.14 0.16
Solar Thermal Power
Solar Photovoltaic
0.12
4000
0.86 0.880.18 0.20
Geothermal
Source: International Energy Agency & Others
Phase B of a 14 MW geothermal power plant comprising 4 air cooled ORMAT® Energy Converters (OEC)
The OEC units use two phase geothermal fluid, steam and separated brine
Phase A (5 MW) commissioned in March 1994 -Phase B commissioned in October 1998
1497
AZORES ISLAND (Portugal)
Geothermal Modular Development
Sao Miguel Geothermal Power Plant
60 MW Geothermal Power Plant60 MW Geothermal Power Plant
Combined cycle OEC power plant owned by Maori Trust 1656
MOKAI, New ZealandMOKAI, New Zealand
1999
IMPLEMENTING GEOTHERMAL PROJECTS
Credit Support for Project Financing:Credit Support for Project Financing:
1. Proven geothermal resource with bankable report.
2. Creditworthy purchaser for power payments.
3. Financible take or pay Power Purchase Agreement.
4. Credible developer with proven track record.
5. Site control & rights to geothermal energy supply.
EXPLORATION AND RESOURCE ASSESSMENT EXPLORATION AND RESOURCE ASSESSMENT “Greenfield Project”- “Greenfield Project”- High High risk - Financing Difficultrisk - Financing Difficult
Probability of success in exploration is about 50%Based on experience in developing Nevada prospects
Exploration, including temp. gradient wells, est. $0.5-1 MFederal grants or assistance may be available
Resource assessment, including drilling & flow testing 2 full size wells, est. $ 3 M for 15 to 20 MW project
Equity investment required, government assist may be available
Result to be “bankable” report on geothermal resource – “resource can reasonably be expected to support __ MW of electricity production for over 30 years”
EXPLORATION AND RESOURCE ASSESSMENTEXPLORATION AND RESOURCE ASSESSMENT
Permitting and development expenses add additional $0.5 M, for prelim design, feasibility study, resource
modeling, permit applications and PPA negotiation. These are equity investor expenses.
Timetable for exploration and resource assessment activities, is typically about 6 to 12 months
SUMMARY:
Exploration & Resource Assessment , approx. $ 4 - 5 M Overall timetable to Bankable Report & PPA 12 Mos
DRILLING AND WELL FIELD DEVELOPMENT DRILLING AND WELL FIELD DEVELOPMENT Medium risk – Investor Financing PossibleMedium risk – Investor Financing Possible
Production/injection wells $1.0 to $3.0M eachProduction wells provide between 3 MW and 30 MW
Binary wells typically 3 to 5 MW per production well
One injection well serves two or more production wells
Well drilling success averages over 70%
3,000 foot average depth - Assume $ 1.5 M per well
20 MW Binary project: 7 prod.& 3 inject. wells. Budget for 10 wells @ 2,000 feet depth is $ 12 - 15 M
Timetable including permitting would be 12 - 18 months
PROJECT RISK PROFILE PROJECT RISK PROFILE
PROJECT RISK MITIGATION
Exploration – Lack of heat/fluid Max use of surface technologies Go-No Go exploration steps
Resource Capacity Risk Drill & Test deep wells Develop resource model
Regulatory Risk Use experienced permitting consultant Apply early & take no short cuts
Drilling Risks (dry well) Use all data & resource model for drill targets(blow out) Use blow out protection &
control of well insurance
Plant Construction Risk Use credible supplier/contractor Get turn-key fixed price/date certain contract Use Field Proven technology supplier Get start-up performance guarantee
Financing Risk Execute financible take or pay PPA with utility Execute binding commitment with lender
PROJECT DEVELOPMENT BUDGET 20MWPROJECT DEVELOPMENT BUDGET 20MW
Exploration & resource assessment $ 5.0 M
Well field drilling and development 15.0
Power plant, surface facilities, & transm. 30.0
Financing “soft costs” including: 5.0o Commitment feeso Legal & Accounting fees o Consultants, and o Interest during constructiono Debt service and operating reserve
TOTAL FINANCED COST FOR 20 MW PROJECT $ 55 MTo be provided as construction phase financing
GOVERNMENTAL SUPPORTS GOVERNMENTAL SUPPORTS
1. PRODUCTION TAX CREDIT (PTC)
o Legislation in Senate-House Conferenceo Possible 5 or 10 year tax credit to developer/ownero $0.018/kwh tax credit for energy soldo Reduces cost of production by up to $0.018/kWho Depends on tax liability of developer/owner
2. RENEWABLE PORTFOLIO STANDARD (RPS)
o Utilities will need up to 20% renewable energy for saleo Native American Projects may get double RPS credito Renewable Energy Credit (REC) is worth:
Renewable Energy Price – Utility Avoided Cost In Nevada Typically [REC = $0.05 - $0.04 = $0.01/kWh]
CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS
GEOTHERMAL PROJECT DEVELOPMENT IS VERY CHALLENGING AND TIME CONSUMING.
(Prepare for the unexpected)
DEVELOPERS NEED INTERNAL RESOURCES TO COVER DEVELOPMENT EXPENSES.
(Double all your best estimates)
PRIVATE PUBLIC PARTNERSHIPS ARE POSSIBLE FINANCING SOLUTION BUT PROCESS IS LENGTHY
(The process will take twice as long as your hope it will)
FINANCING AND REGULATORY ACTIVITIES SHOULD START AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.
(The greatest challenge will be to your patience)1648