52
" " ᪥ᮏᑗ᮶᥎ィே" 㸫ᖹᡂ4;ᖺ᥎ィゎㄝ᮲௳᥎ィ㸫" " ࡌࡣ" ᅜ❧♫ಖ㞀ேၥ㢟◊✲ᡤࠊࡣᖹᡂ4;ᖺ㸲᭶ᖹᡂ49ᖺᅜໃㄪᰝ⤖ࡢᯝᇶࠕࡓ᪥ᮏᑗ᮶᥎ィேබ⾲ࠋࡓࡋ᪥ᮏᑗ᮶᥎ィேࠊࡣᑗ᮶ฟ⏕Ṛஸ࡞ࠊᅜ㝿ே⛣࠸ࡘ௬ᐃタࡇࠊࡅᑗ᮶つᶍ࡞ࠊᖺ㱋ᵓᡂ➼ேᵓ㐀᥎⛣࠸ࡘ᥎ィ⾜ࡓࡗ ࡢࡑࠋ᥎ィ⤖ᯝ࡞ࠊ᥎ィᡭἲᇶ♏➼ࢱ࠸ࡘࡍࠊࡣห⾜ࡓࡋሗ࿌᭩ ࠸࠾ 3+ ࡇࠋ ࠊࡋᮏሗ࿌᭩➨ࠊࡣϨ❶࠸࠾ ᑗ᮶᥎ィே⏝㝿᭷⏝⪃ゎㄝ㘓➨ࠊϩ❶ ࡑࡣᚋᐇࠊࡓࡘࡃ࠸ᛂ⏝ⓗே᥎ィ㸦᮲௳᥎ィ㸧⤖ࡢ࠸ࡘ ሗ࿌ "ࠋϨ㸬᪥ᮏᑗ᮶᥎ィே㸫ᖹᡂ4;ᖺ᥎ィ࠸ࡘ" 㸯㸬ᑗ᮶᥎ィேᇶᮏⓗᛶ㉁ぢ᪉" *3㸧᪥ᮏᑗ᮶᥎ィேᴫせ" ᅜ❧♫ಖ㞀ேၥ㢟◊✲ᡤ㸦ᪧேၥ㢟◊✲ᡤ㸧ࠊࡣᡓ๓᪉㠃せㄳ ᪥ᮏᑗ᮶᥎ィ⾜ࠋࡓࡁᡓᚋ࠸࠾52ᖺ௨㝆ᐃᮇⓗ ࠺࡞㏆ᖺᅜໃㄪᰝ⤖ᯝබ⾲㸳ᖺ ᅜே㒔㐨ᗓ┴ேୡᖏᑗ᮶᥎ィ⾜ᅜே࠸ࡘ ࠊࡣᖹᡂ4;ᖺ㸲᭶ᡓᚋබ⾲➨ࡓࡋ37ᅇ┠ᑗ᮶᥎ィேࡓ࠶᪥ᮏᑗ᮶᥎ィே 㸫ᖹᡂ4;ᖺ᥎ィබ⾲ "ࠋࡓࡋ᪥ᮏᑗ᮶᥎ィேࡇࠊࡣᨻᗓ♫ࡢಖ㞀ไᗘタィጞ⤒῭♫ィ⏬ᇶ♏㈨ᩱࠋࡓࡁࠊࡓᆅᇦேୡᖏࡌࡣປാຊே㐍ᏛᑵᏛே᥎ィ࠶ࠊࡣ࠸⟇ᑐ㇟ே᥎ィ ᗈ⠊ᛂ⏝ศ㔝࠸࠾ࡢࡑᇶ♏ "ࠋ᪥ᮏᑗ᮶᥎ィே㸫ᖹᡂ4;ᖺ᥎ィ᥎ィᑐ㇟ࠊࡣእᅜே᪥ᮏᖖఫ⥲ேࡇࠋᅜໃㄪᰝࡅ࠾⥲ேᐃ⩏᥎ィᮇ㛫ࠊࡣ""""""""""""""""""""""""""""" 3+" ᅜ❧♫ಖ㞀ேၥ㢟◊✲ᡤ㸦4239㸧᪥ᮏᑗ᮶᥎ィேᖹᡂ4:*4238+㹼99*4287+ᖺ㝃㸸ཧ⪃ ᥎ィ"ᖹᡂ9:*4288+㹼349*4337+ᖺ㸦ᖹᡂ4;ᖺ᥎ィ㸧ேၥ㢟◊✲㈨ᩱ➨558 "ࠋ

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(1) 26.3 28.6 28.2 29.0

(2) 50 12.0 % 18.8 % 13.2 % 24.7 %

(3) 1.96 1.79 1.91 1.68

(4) 0.959 0.955 0.955 0.955

1.59 1.21

1964 2000

1.63 1.40

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1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035 2045 2055 2065

29

24

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1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035 2045 2055 2065

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20,000

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1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

H29

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40

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160

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1990

1995

2000

2005

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2015

2020

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2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

-TFR

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2015, 1.4%

2030, 2.3%

2065, 4.7%

2015, 3.1%

2030, 4.7%

2065, 6.9%

0.0%

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2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065

0 1718 3435 5960

2015, 1,775

2030, 2,746

2065, 4,169

2015, 702

2030, 933 2065, 915

0

500

1,000

1,500

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2,500

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2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065

0 1718 3435 5960

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1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

0.0

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0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

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2010

2015

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1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

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1970

1972

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1980

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1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

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2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

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1.45 1.49 1.50 1.51

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1.60 1.50

1.58 1.74 1.75

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0.0

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91.4 91.6 91.6 90.8 92.4

90.2 88.3

89.5 89.7 90.7 89.9

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65

70

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95 2015 2065

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8.59.4

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12.0

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2016

2018

2020

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2034

2036

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2048

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()

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84.3 88.5 88.9 93.1

106.9 113.2 114.1 118.1

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80

100

120

140

160

180

200

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0

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2018

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