Regional changesEthnicity Gender Adult learnersLearning styles

Nadine Stern The College of New Jersey

NCES National Center for for Education Statistic– IES: Institute of Education Services of the Department of Education

WICHE- Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education: “Knocking at the College Door- March 2008”

“The College of 2020: Students” – Chronicle Research Services- June 2009

“contraction in the national supply of high school graduates as it begins to gradually decline after 2008”

“greater competition for fewer traditional age students”

Peak year of high school graduations was 2007-2008, gradual decline through 2013-2014, slow recovery to highest level by 2017-2018

The location of a college, and the geographic spread of its influence and recruiting area, will be the most significant factor in determining its flow of enrollees in the next decade.

Between the peak year of 2005-06 or 2007-08 and 2018-19 or 2021-22, high school graduate numbers:

the Northeast’s will shrink by 3-13 %

the Midwest’s will drop by 2-7 % the West will see growth of 5-16% the South will see growth of 10-23%

Rhode Island: -21.0% District of Columbia: -19.4% Vermont:-15.9% Maine: -12.7% New York: -11.5% Maryland: -6.9% Massachusetts: -6.2% Connecticut: -3.9% New Jersey: -0.9% Delaware: +17.1% Pennsylvania: +10.4%

Between 2007 and 2018 total enrollment is projected to increase between 9% and 17%

Largely due to increased age of college enrollees

Between 2007 and 2018, enrollment is projected to increase:

■ 9% for students who are 18 to 24 years old

■ 25% for students who are 25 to 34 years old

■ 12% for students who are 35 years old and over.

Between 1990 and 2007: growth rate of more than 20% in the total number of working adults who participated in adult-education courses.

In just the nine years between 2007 and 2016, the number of adult learners is projected to increase another 18%

For adult students, convenience and support are critical for success.

All four regions will see increasing student diversity

In the West, the Class of 2010 is projected to be the first “majority minority” class (with less than 50% of graduates being White non-Hispanic), while the South will see its first majority minority graduating class in 2017.

Individual states like California, Texas, Hawaii, and New Mexico are already there, and more are expected to follow in their path in the near future.

Between 2007 and 2018, enrollment is projected to increase:

■ 4% for students who are White ■ 26% for students who are Black ■ 38% for students who are Hispanic ■ 29%for students who are Asian or Pacific

Islander ■ 32% for students who are American Indian or

Alaska Native ■ 14% for students who are nonresident aliens.

High school graduation rates in 2005: African-Americans was 69.1 % Hispanics was 72.3 % Caucasian was 80.2 %

6 year College graduation rates: 59% of Caucasian students complete a bachelor’s

degree within six years of enrolling, 47% of Hispanics, 41% of African-Americans 39% of American Indian students

Colleges will have to pay more attention to what factors will allow members of different ethnic groups to succeed, especially because the fastest-growing group (Hispanics) has historically low rates of college attendance.

Between 2007 and 2018 enrollment is projected to increase:

9% for men 16% for women

Chronicle Research Services in January and February 2009 surveyed 192 admissions and enrollment officials

More than two-thirds of the respondents said that at least 80% of their current students were full time.

Fewer than half of the respondents think that at least 80% of students will be full time by 2020.

The for-profit sector in higher education is growing at a pace that far outstrips that of higher education as a whole.

In November 2008, a study by the Sloan Consortium, “Staying the Course: Online Education in the United States, 2008,” found that more than 20% of all U.S. college students were taking at least one online course in the fall of 2007.

Today’s high-school students, the so-called New Millennials, see their educational futures built almost entirely around technology.

Educators are increasingly finding that students want to design their own curricula and find ways to learn in their own style.

“The students of 2020 will demand an education on their terms and will be seeking a technology-based customized approach. The bottom line is they will want it all: a plethora of learning options that they can mix and match to play to their strengths. They will be looking for educational opportunities that take into consideration the fact that they may want remedial education in some areas, college credit for work and life experiences, and practical courses that will clearly delineate the skills and practices that will enhance a student’s chance at entering a chosen career.”

IS YOUR COLLEGE READY FOR THE NEXT GENERATION OF STUDENTS?