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Richard Nixon Presidential LibraryContested Materials CollectionFolder List
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10241972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE campaign advertising 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10241972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE ratings for Connallys television spots 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10241972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of a Sindlinger Poll 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10241972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE a press conference involving MacGregor and Bob Dole an idea opposed by many White House figures 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 1 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the latest National Telephone Survey 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 12231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE information on Davies breaking down voting trends among key demographics in the latest Gallup Poll 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Magruder MacGregor and Daileys recommendations for campaign advertising 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10211972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE political advice and reactions to advertisements provided by John Davies as well as information on the Gallup organization 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10211972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE whether or not to run television spots involving Tom Kuchel in California 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 2 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10201972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE whether or not to have Teeter brief Chapin and Parker on the Rolling Wave polls 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE television spots based on a Connally speech Handwritten edits added by unknown 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Chapins advice that the November Group purchase radio spots 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE state and Senate races in 1972 Handwritten notes on same subject attached 4 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10131972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE key states in the 1972 campaign List of close state and Senate races attached 7 pgs
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 3 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Boggs Congressional district 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE Boggs district Handwritten notes added by unknown 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE endorsement letters for California and New York Republican candidates 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE John Davies election season observations 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nofzigers report on a California Field Poll 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 4 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic television ads 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo Copy of a memo from Strachan to Haldeman RE television plans of the November Group and the Democratic Party Handwritten notes on original added by Haldeman and Higby 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE reactions to a documentary on RN 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the third National Telephone Survey 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10141972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE polling information from Teeter on Delaware Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota and Rhode Island 2 pgs
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 5 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6
-
00 r 24 1 72
I bull
10 bull GORDO CHAN
SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq
C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d
qinning to rr night
oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial
apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the
of Conn lly an po itiv c1
GSjb
I
IAL
Oct r 24 1972
I
I H bull
Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B
h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305
bull Los 210 on
r 1 bull
CN might
for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin
4 7 Th c bull wieh
GSjb
Oc r 24 1 72
ROM ROO
us CT Sindling r Poll
Dick How d a
-Oct
lIed with th
0-23 72
dlinq r
61 2
data
to-235
On-153
Th
1
drop XO th pr v10u
s-act 17-19 72
1e th 2 bull
r ult
-06
c-215
un-179
GSjb
ADMINI TlVELY C
Octob r 4 1972
ORa B
I GORDO
UB CT
a th
gru r Pr
Confer n could batt r
Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115
GSjb
rlVELY CO tAL
o ~ 23 1 72
MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull
uuI~ I 12
917
p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T
1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll
3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of
4) T D i an
5) tn
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the latest National Telephone Survey 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 12231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE information on Davies breaking down voting trends among key demographics in the latest Gallup Poll 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Magruder MacGregor and Daileys recommendations for campaign advertising 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10211972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE political advice and reactions to advertisements provided by John Davies as well as information on the Gallup organization 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10211972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE whether or not to run television spots involving Tom Kuchel in California 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 2 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10201972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE whether or not to have Teeter brief Chapin and Parker on the Rolling Wave polls 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE television spots based on a Connally speech Handwritten edits added by unknown 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Chapins advice that the November Group purchase radio spots 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE state and Senate races in 1972 Handwritten notes on same subject attached 4 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10131972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE key states in the 1972 campaign List of close state and Senate races attached 7 pgs
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 3 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Boggs Congressional district 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE Boggs district Handwritten notes added by unknown 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE endorsement letters for California and New York Republican candidates 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE John Davies election season observations 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nofzigers report on a California Field Poll 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 4 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic television ads 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo Copy of a memo from Strachan to Haldeman RE television plans of the November Group and the Democratic Party Handwritten notes on original added by Haldeman and Higby 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE reactions to a documentary on RN 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the third National Telephone Survey 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10141972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE polling information from Teeter on Delaware Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota and Rhode Island 2 pgs
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 5 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6
-
00 r 24 1 72
I bull
10 bull GORDO CHAN
SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq
C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d
qinning to rr night
oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial
apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the
of Conn lly an po itiv c1
GSjb
I
IAL
Oct r 24 1972
I
I H bull
Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B
h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305
bull Los 210 on
r 1 bull
CN might
for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin
4 7 Th c bull wieh
GSjb
Oc r 24 1 72
ROM ROO
us CT Sindling r Poll
Dick How d a
-Oct
lIed with th
0-23 72
dlinq r
61 2
data
to-235
On-153
Th
1
drop XO th pr v10u
s-act 17-19 72
1e th 2 bull
r ult
-06
c-215
un-179
GSjb
ADMINI TlVELY C
Octob r 4 1972
ORa B
I GORDO
UB CT
a th
gru r Pr
Confer n could batt r
Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115
GSjb
rlVELY CO tAL
o ~ 23 1 72
MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull
uuI~ I 12
917
p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T
1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll
3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of
4) T D i an
5) tn
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10201972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE whether or not to have Teeter brief Chapin and Parker on the Rolling Wave polls 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE television spots based on a Connally speech Handwritten edits added by unknown 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Chapins advice that the November Group purchase radio spots 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE state and Senate races in 1972 Handwritten notes on same subject attached 4 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10131972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE key states in the 1972 campaign List of close state and Senate races attached 7 pgs
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 3 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Boggs Congressional district 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE Boggs district Handwritten notes added by unknown 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE endorsement letters for California and New York Republican candidates 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE John Davies election season observations 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nofzigers report on a California Field Poll 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 4 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic television ads 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo Copy of a memo from Strachan to Haldeman RE television plans of the November Group and the Democratic Party Handwritten notes on original added by Haldeman and Higby 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE reactions to a documentary on RN 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the third National Telephone Survey 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10141972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE polling information from Teeter on Delaware Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota and Rhode Island 2 pgs
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 5 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6
-
00 r 24 1 72
I bull
10 bull GORDO CHAN
SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq
C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d
qinning to rr night
oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial
apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the
of Conn lly an po itiv c1
GSjb
I
IAL
Oct r 24 1972
I
I H bull
Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B
h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305
bull Los 210 on
r 1 bull
CN might
for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin
4 7 Th c bull wieh
GSjb
Oc r 24 1 72
ROM ROO
us CT Sindling r Poll
Dick How d a
-Oct
lIed with th
0-23 72
dlinq r
61 2
data
to-235
On-153
Th
1
drop XO th pr v10u
s-act 17-19 72
1e th 2 bull
r ult
-06
c-215
un-179
GSjb
ADMINI TlVELY C
Octob r 4 1972
ORa B
I GORDO
UB CT
a th
gru r Pr
Confer n could batt r
Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115
GSjb
rlVELY CO tAL
o ~ 23 1 72
MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull
uuI~ I 12
917
p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T
1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll
3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of
4) T D i an
5) tn
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Boggs Congressional district 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE Boggs district Handwritten notes added by unknown 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE endorsement letters for California and New York Republican candidates 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE John Davies election season observations 2 pgs
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nofzigers report on a California Field Poll 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 4 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic television ads 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo Copy of a memo from Strachan to Haldeman RE television plans of the November Group and the Democratic Party Handwritten notes on original added by Haldeman and Higby 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE reactions to a documentary on RN 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the third National Telephone Survey 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10141972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE polling information from Teeter on Delaware Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota and Rhode Island 2 pgs
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 5 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6
-
00 r 24 1 72
I bull
10 bull GORDO CHAN
SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq
C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d
qinning to rr night
oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial
apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the
of Conn lly an po itiv c1
GSjb
I
IAL
Oct r 24 1972
I
I H bull
Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B
h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305
bull Los 210 on
r 1 bull
CN might
for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin
4 7 Th c bull wieh
GSjb
Oc r 24 1 72
ROM ROO
us CT Sindling r Poll
Dick How d a
-Oct
lIed with th
0-23 72
dlinq r
61 2
data
to-235
On-153
Th
1
drop XO th pr v10u
s-act 17-19 72
1e th 2 bull
r ult
-06
c-215
un-179
GSjb
ADMINI TlVELY C
Octob r 4 1972
ORa B
I GORDO
UB CT
a th
gru r Pr
Confer n could batt r
Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115
GSjb
rlVELY CO tAL
o ~ 23 1 72
MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull
uuI~ I 12
917
p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T
1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll
3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of
4) T D i an
5) tn
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic television ads 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo Copy of a memo from Strachan to Haldeman RE television plans of the November Group and the Democratic Party Handwritten notes on original added by Haldeman and Higby 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE reactions to a documentary on RN 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the third National Telephone Survey 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10141972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE polling information from Teeter on Delaware Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota and Rhode Island 2 pgs
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 5 of 6
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6
-
00 r 24 1 72
I bull
10 bull GORDO CHAN
SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq
C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d
qinning to rr night
oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial
apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the
of Conn lly an po itiv c1
GSjb
I
IAL
Oct r 24 1972
I
I H bull
Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B
h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305
bull Los 210 on
r 1 bull
CN might
for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin
4 7 Th c bull wieh
GSjb
Oc r 24 1 72
ROM ROO
us CT Sindling r Poll
Dick How d a
-Oct
lIed with th
0-23 72
dlinq r
61 2
data
to-235
On-153
Th
1
drop XO th pr v10u
s-act 17-19 72
1e th 2 bull
r ult
-06
c-215
un-179
GSjb
ADMINI TlVELY C
Octob r 4 1972
ORa B
I GORDO
UB CT
a th
gru r Pr
Confer n could batt r
Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115
GSjb
rlVELY CO tAL
o ~ 23 1 72
MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull
uuI~ I 12
917
p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T
1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll
3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of
4) T D i an
5) tn
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg
Campaign
15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg
Campaign
Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6
-
00 r 24 1 72
I bull
10 bull GORDO CHAN
SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq
C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d
qinning to rr night
oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial
apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the
of Conn lly an po itiv c1
GSjb
I
IAL
Oct r 24 1972
I
I H bull
Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B
h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305
bull Los 210 on
r 1 bull
CN might
for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin
4 7 Th c bull wieh
GSjb
Oc r 24 1 72
ROM ROO
us CT Sindling r Poll
Dick How d a
-Oct
lIed with th
0-23 72
dlinq r
61 2
data
to-235
On-153
Th
1
drop XO th pr v10u
s-act 17-19 72
1e th 2 bull
r ult
-06
c-215
un-179
GSjb
ADMINI TlVELY C
Octob r 4 1972
ORa B
I GORDO
UB CT
a th
gru r Pr
Confer n could batt r
Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115
GSjb
rlVELY CO tAL
o ~ 23 1 72
MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull
uuI~ I 12
917
p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T
1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll
3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of
4) T D i an
5) tn
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
-
00 r 24 1 72
I bull
10 bull GORDO CHAN
SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq
C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d
qinning to rr night
oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial
apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the
of Conn lly an po itiv c1
GSjb
I
IAL
Oct r 24 1972
I
I H bull
Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B
h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305
bull Los 210 on
r 1 bull
CN might
for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin
4 7 Th c bull wieh
GSjb
Oc r 24 1 72
ROM ROO
us CT Sindling r Poll
Dick How d a
-Oct
lIed with th
0-23 72
dlinq r
61 2
data
to-235
On-153
Th
1
drop XO th pr v10u
s-act 17-19 72
1e th 2 bull
r ult
-06
c-215
un-179
GSjb
ADMINI TlVELY C
Octob r 4 1972
ORa B
I GORDO
UB CT
a th
gru r Pr
Confer n could batt r
Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115
GSjb
rlVELY CO tAL
o ~ 23 1 72
MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull
uuI~ I 12
917
p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T
1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll
3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of
4) T D i an
5) tn
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
IAL
Oct r 24 1972
I
I H bull
Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B
h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305
bull Los 210 on
r 1 bull
CN might
for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin
4 7 Th c bull wieh
GSjb
Oc r 24 1 72
ROM ROO
us CT Sindling r Poll
Dick How d a
-Oct
lIed with th
0-23 72
dlinq r
61 2
data
to-235
On-153
Th
1
drop XO th pr v10u
s-act 17-19 72
1e th 2 bull
r ult
-06
c-215
un-179
GSjb
ADMINI TlVELY C
Octob r 4 1972
ORa B
I GORDO
UB CT
a th
gru r Pr
Confer n could batt r
Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115
GSjb
rlVELY CO tAL
o ~ 23 1 72
MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull
uuI~ I 12
917
p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T
1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll
3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of
4) T D i an
5) tn
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Oc r 24 1 72
ROM ROO
us CT Sindling r Poll
Dick How d a
-Oct
lIed with th
0-23 72
dlinq r
61 2
data
to-235
On-153
Th
1
drop XO th pr v10u
s-act 17-19 72
1e th 2 bull
r ult
-06
c-215
un-179
GSjb
ADMINI TlVELY C
Octob r 4 1972
ORa B
I GORDO
UB CT
a th
gru r Pr
Confer n could batt r
Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115
GSjb
rlVELY CO tAL
o ~ 23 1 72
MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull
uuI~ I 12
917
p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T
1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll
3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of
4) T D i an
5) tn
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
ADMINI TlVELY C
Octob r 4 1972
ORa B
I GORDO
UB CT
a th
gru r Pr
Confer n could batt r
Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115
GSjb
rlVELY CO tAL
o ~ 23 1 72
MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull
uuI~ I 12
917
p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T
1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll
3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of
4) T D i an
5) tn
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
rlVELY CO tAL
o ~ 23 1 72
MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull
uuI~ I 12
917
p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T
1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll
3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of
4) T D i an
5) tn
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
AD I IAL
Octo J 2 1 72
R bull
bull RDON
s 11 urve
bull to iqht riz I
bull r 1
1) Thurad y
1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
- 2 shy
7) Althou in
U8 111 i Gallup
ing t
ia w
) vibullbull 1 pr
a
d to t t ident will win -42
A transcript is attached
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
l
I
001 r l3 1972
I I R BALD
RDO STRACHAN
S JECTa c
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
-bull
n itt ok
t the of
e vi nq t 10 a
11 30 (Pr ting
10 ri 18
d cla1o d
____________________~--______--------------~- Other
Con 11y ill ~
t
c In 10 ~l
Loaa1
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
October 21 1972
n HALDEMAN
FROU GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey
Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J
1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The
polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll
2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the
1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)
3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc
4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-
nt is in our favor~
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
-2shy
5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt
6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down
7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull
8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud
9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera
10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t
A transcript of the conversation is att ch d
GS car
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
I
OotObor 21 1 72
MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~
GORDON STRA
SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl
ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull
Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore
in California
Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley
red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into
C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d
by No zigar who wa not personally contacted
RECOMMENDATION I
That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente
AGREE DISAGREE
co T
ill advise Stane of your decision
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
---
middotUJJ~Dm O H It
FRO I GORDO CHAN
ion
ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc
pro D1 ro _- co nt
GSjb
8
in P ch lin Itbullbull
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
--- ----------------
- ---- - - --- ---- shy
19 1912
o I HALDE
f G RDON T
-=---=II
C J Co
of re pot to 0 Von Oct B
i to e- CUUlaA y
Oth r
GSprn
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
--------------------------------------------
---
--------------------------------------------
TIVELY CONFID UTI1L
october 19 1972
MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD
FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN
SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS
Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11
t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am
Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy
-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual
Oth r
sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq
Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135
Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy
Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135
Oth r
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
------------------------------------------
- 2 shy r )
Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David
turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David
Oth r
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
LY CONFIDE TIAL
Octob r 1 1972
~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN
F GORDO shy ST CRAll
SUBJECT
C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort
s
Presid
I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia
II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania
CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin
IVmiddot nn ot
Loc 1 Race
ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl
p =- ~o the Pr sident
- - incumb nt
( ) CII Houo r ae
xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t
00- publIcan Open
f
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
- 2 shy
Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator
digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat
ces
Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy
You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge
GSjb
f
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
---------------------
TH E WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dat e
TO
FROM GORDON STRACHAN
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 13 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN
FROM L HIGBY ~
We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s
Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Alabama NP
Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner
Alaska NONE
Arizona NONE
Arkansas NONE I
I California
(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside
Colorado NP
(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy
Connecticut
(Sarasin shy(Rittenband
4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver
NP
5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford
Delaware NP
Boggs
~
Florida NONE
Qeorgia NP
Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta
h~waii NONE
Idaho NP
McClure
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Page Two ~
~
II Illinois
Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County
Indiana NP
(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion
(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis
S Bend)
Iowa-- NP
(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)
1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines
Kansas NONE
Kentucky NP
Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington
Louisiana NONE
Maine NP
(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North
III Maryland
(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis
I Massachusetts
(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)
RO RO
NG
Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County
Newton Brookline Framingham
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Page Three
I Michigan
Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South
IV Minnesota
Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner
Mississippi NP
(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South
IIImiddot~ Missouri
(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph
Montana NPbull
Hibbard
Nebraska NONE
Nevada NP
(Towell - ALL) NG at large
New Hampshire NP
Powell
I New Jersey
(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth
New Mexico NP
Domenici
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Page Fourmiddot
I New York
(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse
(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers
North Carolina NP
Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham
North Dakota NONE
II Ohio
Oklahoma NP
Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa
III Oregon
II Pennsylvania
Rhode Island NP
Chaffee
South Carolina NP
(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston
South Dakota NP
Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds
(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Page Five-
Tennessee NP
Texas
Utah
(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia
NP
Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls
(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas
NONE
Vermont NONE
Virginia NP
SCCI~ III Washington
(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North
middotI West Virginia
III Wisconsin
(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North
Wyoming NP
(Kidd - ALL) NG at large
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
SENATE SEATS
STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS
INCUMBENTS
Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit
Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of
P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters
Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915
1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14
well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help
REPUBLICAN SEATS
Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well
Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)
South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted
rgtl
~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4
New Mexico
Rhode Island
Georgia
Oklahoma
rgtl
~ H til til 0 Ilo4
North Carolina
Alabama
Domenici (R) Daniels (D)
Chaffee (R) Pell (D)
Thompson (R) Nunn (D)
Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)
Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)
Blount (R) Sparkman (D)
NON-INCUMBENTS
39-24-37
922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8
No good data
Due 1020
No good data
28-47-2-23
Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good
Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls
Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost
-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP
Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win
Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes
Montana
Louisiana
Virginia
New Hampshire
Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)
Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)
Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)
Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)
Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here
3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help
Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide
Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL
October 18 1972
MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO
FROM GORDON TRACHAN
SUB Cla
Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict
ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1
adjoining di triot
Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 171972
MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN
FROM L HIGSY c
Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
------ ------
ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL
October 1 1972
FORI H R HALDE Wl
FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN
SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts
Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder
In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York
GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor
In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull
Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy
third th t of a telegram
ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot
Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull
Approv Di pprove C nt
GSjb
tionl
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
ADMINI STRATlVELY CO
October 17 972
MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE
ROI I GORDON STRACHru~
SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion
In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I
1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint
th th vet
2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot
3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts
4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run
i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls
how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J
5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is
infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this
) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
- 2 shy
7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata
8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble
h p -
9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn
Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident
for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt
Ifar plan and g1v w y progr
11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and
12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r
to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Octobr 17 191
iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1
FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N
SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll
~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i
RN cG On
29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12
GS car
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
October 16 1972
1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO
FROM a GOROO TRACHAN
USJECT TV Buys
P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at
Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic
W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at
ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno
Connally 12 hour
Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t
onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
i2THE WHITE HOUSE
WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy
October 16 1972 ~
HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN
FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys
r f f~r1
rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]
1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics
The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm
for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret
known 117 b~r~ oA ~
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL
OctOb r 16 1972
OR H R HALDEMAN
PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN
SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary
P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14
Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell
John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL
Oot b r 17 1972
1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN
PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN
SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056
Regi t r d ~ 922
hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys
1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum
2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll
3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion
4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re
The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
Octob r 14 1972
bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)
FRO I GORDON STRACHAN
su Cl Teet r Polling Information
Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate
f-1i chigan
Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15
+RN MeG Schmitz Un
R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11
R - Spt 1 54 38 8
A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d
1middot sachusetts
1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts
do not ha any more in ormation
middot innesota
cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more
info tion 1s availab1 bull
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
- 2 shy
Delaware
OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are
Rho 1add
A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state
GScar
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
TIAL
Octob r 16 1972
lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO
RO I GORDON SlRAC
SUBJECT I l Y and LA
Pr
NY
L bull
cGoverns
Y
L bull
GSjb
1015
86
peech
59
5
96
77
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb
ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL
October 16 1972
MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l
RO bull GORDON STRACH q
SUBJECT TV Buy
Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull
Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour
The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known
GSjb