47
Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document Description No Date Subject 15 8 10/24/1972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: campaign advertising. 1 pg. Campaign 15 8 10/24/1972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: ratings for Connally's television spots. 1 pg. Campaign 15 8 10/24/1972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the results of a Sindlinger Poll. 1 pg. Campaign 15 8 10/24/1972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a press conference involving MacGregor and Bob Dole, an idea opposed by many White House figures. 1 pg. Campaign Friday, February 11, 2011 Page 1 of 6

 · Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document

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Richard Nixon Presidential LibraryContested Materials CollectionFolder List

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10241972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE campaign advertising 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10241972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE ratings for Connallys television spots 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10241972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of a Sindlinger Poll 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10241972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE a press conference involving MacGregor and Bob Dole an idea opposed by many White House figures 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 1 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the latest National Telephone Survey 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 12231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE information on Davies breaking down voting trends among key demographics in the latest Gallup Poll 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Magruder MacGregor and Daileys recommendations for campaign advertising 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10211972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE political advice and reactions to advertisements provided by John Davies as well as information on the Gallup organization 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10211972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE whether or not to run television spots involving Tom Kuchel in California 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 2 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10201972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE whether or not to have Teeter brief Chapin and Parker on the Rolling Wave polls 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE television spots based on a Connally speech Handwritten edits added by unknown 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Chapins advice that the November Group purchase radio spots 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE state and Senate races in 1972 Handwritten notes on same subject attached 4 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10131972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE key states in the 1972 campaign List of close state and Senate races attached 7 pgs

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 3 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Boggs Congressional district 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE Boggs district Handwritten notes added by unknown 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE endorsement letters for California and New York Republican candidates 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE John Davies election season observations 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nofzigers report on a California Field Poll 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 4 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic television ads 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo Copy of a memo from Strachan to Haldeman RE television plans of the November Group and the Democratic Party Handwritten notes on original added by Haldeman and Higby 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE reactions to a documentary on RN 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the third National Telephone Survey 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10141972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE polling information from Teeter on Delaware Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota and Rhode Island 2 pgs

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 5 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6

-

00 r 24 1 72

I bull

10 bull GORDO CHAN

SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq

C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d

qinning to rr night

oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial

apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the

of Conn lly an po itiv c1

GSjb

I

IAL

Oct r 24 1972

I

I H bull

Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B

h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305

bull Los 210 on

r 1 bull

CN might

for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin

4 7 Th c bull wieh

GSjb

Oc r 24 1 72

ROM ROO

us CT Sindling r Poll

Dick How d a

-Oct

lIed with th

0-23 72

dlinq r

61 2

data

to-235

On-153

Th

1

drop XO th pr v10u

s-act 17-19 72

1e th 2 bull

r ult

-06

c-215

un-179

GSjb

ADMINI TlVELY C

Octob r 4 1972

ORa B

I GORDO

UB CT

a th

gru r Pr

Confer n could batt r

Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115

GSjb

rlVELY CO tAL

o ~ 23 1 72

MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull

uuI~ I 12

917

p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T

1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll

3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of

4) T D i an

5) tn

GSjb

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the latest National Telephone Survey 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 12231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE information on Davies breaking down voting trends among key demographics in the latest Gallup Poll 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10231972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Magruder MacGregor and Daileys recommendations for campaign advertising 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10211972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE political advice and reactions to advertisements provided by John Davies as well as information on the Gallup organization 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10211972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE whether or not to run television spots involving Tom Kuchel in California 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 2 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10201972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE whether or not to have Teeter brief Chapin and Parker on the Rolling Wave polls 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE television spots based on a Connally speech Handwritten edits added by unknown 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Chapins advice that the November Group purchase radio spots 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE state and Senate races in 1972 Handwritten notes on same subject attached 4 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10131972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE key states in the 1972 campaign List of close state and Senate races attached 7 pgs

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 3 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Boggs Congressional district 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE Boggs district Handwritten notes added by unknown 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE endorsement letters for California and New York Republican candidates 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE John Davies election season observations 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nofzigers report on a California Field Poll 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 4 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic television ads 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo Copy of a memo from Strachan to Haldeman RE television plans of the November Group and the Democratic Party Handwritten notes on original added by Haldeman and Higby 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE reactions to a documentary on RN 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the third National Telephone Survey 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10141972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE polling information from Teeter on Delaware Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota and Rhode Island 2 pgs

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 5 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6

-

00 r 24 1 72

I bull

10 bull GORDO CHAN

SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq

C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d

qinning to rr night

oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial

apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the

of Conn lly an po itiv c1

GSjb

I

IAL

Oct r 24 1972

I

I H bull

Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B

h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305

bull Los 210 on

r 1 bull

CN might

for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin

4 7 Th c bull wieh

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Oc r 24 1 72

ROM ROO

us CT Sindling r Poll

Dick How d a

-Oct

lIed with th

0-23 72

dlinq r

61 2

data

to-235

On-153

Th

1

drop XO th pr v10u

s-act 17-19 72

1e th 2 bull

r ult

-06

c-215

un-179

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ADMINI TlVELY C

Octob r 4 1972

ORa B

I GORDO

UB CT

a th

gru r Pr

Confer n could batt r

Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115

GSjb

rlVELY CO tAL

o ~ 23 1 72

MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull

uuI~ I 12

917

p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T

1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll

3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of

4) T D i an

5) tn

GSjb

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10201972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE whether or not to have Teeter brief Chapin and Parker on the Rolling Wave polls 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE television spots based on a Connally speech Handwritten edits added by unknown 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10191972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Chapins advice that the November Group purchase radio spots 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE state and Senate races in 1972 Handwritten notes on same subject attached 4 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10131972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE key states in the 1972 campaign List of close state and Senate races attached 7 pgs

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 3 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Boggs Congressional district 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE Boggs district Handwritten notes added by unknown 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE endorsement letters for California and New York Republican candidates 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE John Davies election season observations 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nofzigers report on a California Field Poll 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 4 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic television ads 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo Copy of a memo from Strachan to Haldeman RE television plans of the November Group and the Democratic Party Handwritten notes on original added by Haldeman and Higby 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE reactions to a documentary on RN 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the third National Telephone Survey 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10141972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE polling information from Teeter on Delaware Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota and Rhode Island 2 pgs

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 5 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6

-

00 r 24 1 72

I bull

10 bull GORDO CHAN

SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq

C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d

qinning to rr night

oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial

apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the

of Conn lly an po itiv c1

GSjb

I

IAL

Oct r 24 1972

I

I H bull

Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B

h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305

bull Los 210 on

r 1 bull

CN might

for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin

4 7 Th c bull wieh

GSjb

Oc r 24 1 72

ROM ROO

us CT Sindling r Poll

Dick How d a

-Oct

lIed with th

0-23 72

dlinq r

61 2

data

to-235

On-153

Th

1

drop XO th pr v10u

s-act 17-19 72

1e th 2 bull

r ult

-06

c-215

un-179

GSjb

ADMINI TlVELY C

Octob r 4 1972

ORa B

I GORDO

UB CT

a th

gru r Pr

Confer n could batt r

Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115

GSjb

rlVELY CO tAL

o ~ 23 1 72

MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull

uuI~ I 12

917

p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T

1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll

3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of

4) T D i an

5) tn

GSjb

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Boggs Congressional district 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Higby to Strachan RE Boggs district Handwritten notes added by unknown 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10181972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE endorsement letters for California and New York Republican candidates 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE John Davies election season observations 2 pgs

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nofzigers report on a California Field Poll 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 4 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic television ads 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo Copy of a memo from Strachan to Haldeman RE television plans of the November Group and the Democratic Party Handwritten notes on original added by Haldeman and Higby 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE reactions to a documentary on RN 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the third National Telephone Survey 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10141972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE polling information from Teeter on Delaware Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota and Rhode Island 2 pgs

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 5 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6

-

00 r 24 1 72

I bull

10 bull GORDO CHAN

SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq

C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d

qinning to rr night

oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial

apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the

of Conn lly an po itiv c1

GSjb

I

IAL

Oct r 24 1972

I

I H bull

Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B

h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305

bull Los 210 on

r 1 bull

CN might

for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin

4 7 Th c bull wieh

GSjb

Oc r 24 1 72

ROM ROO

us CT Sindling r Poll

Dick How d a

-Oct

lIed with th

0-23 72

dlinq r

61 2

data

to-235

On-153

Th

1

drop XO th pr v10u

s-act 17-19 72

1e th 2 bull

r ult

-06

c-215

un-179

GSjb

ADMINI TlVELY C

Octob r 4 1972

ORa B

I GORDO

UB CT

a th

gru r Pr

Confer n could batt r

Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115

GSjb

rlVELY CO tAL

o ~ 23 1 72

MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull

uuI~ I 12

917

p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T

1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll

3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of

4) T D i an

5) tn

GSjb

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic television ads 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo Copy of a memo from Strachan to Haldeman RE television plans of the November Group and the Democratic Party Handwritten notes on original added by Haldeman and Higby 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE reactions to a documentary on RN 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10171972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE the results of the third National Telephone Survey 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10141972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE polling information from Teeter on Delaware Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota and Rhode Island 2 pgs

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 5 of 6

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6

-

00 r 24 1 72

I bull

10 bull GORDO CHAN

SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq

C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d

qinning to rr night

oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial

apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the

of Conn lly an po itiv c1

GSjb

I

IAL

Oct r 24 1972

I

I H bull

Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B

h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305

bull Los 210 on

r 1 bull

CN might

for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin

4 7 Th c bull wieh

GSjb

Oc r 24 1 72

ROM ROO

us CT Sindling r Poll

Dick How d a

-Oct

lIed with th

0-23 72

dlinq r

61 2

data

to-235

On-153

Th

1

drop XO th pr v10u

s-act 17-19 72

1e th 2 bull

r ult

-06

c-215

un-179

GSjb

ADMINI TlVELY C

Octob r 4 1972

ORa B

I GORDO

UB CT

a th

gru r Pr

Confer n could batt r

Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115

GSjb

rlVELY CO tAL

o ~ 23 1 72

MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull

uuI~ I 12

917

p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T

1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll

3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of

4) T D i an

5) tn

GSjb

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE Nielsen ratings for a documentary on RN compared to those for McGoverns speech 1 pg

Campaign

15 8 10161972 Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE White House and Democratic televised campaign material 1 pg

Campaign

Friday February 11 2011 Page 6 of 6

-

00 r 24 1 72

I bull

10 bull GORDO CHAN

SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq

C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d

qinning to rr night

oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial

apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the

of Conn lly an po itiv c1

GSjb

I

IAL

Oct r 24 1972

I

I H bull

Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B

h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305

bull Los 210 on

r 1 bull

CN might

for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin

4 7 Th c bull wieh

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Oc r 24 1 72

ROM ROO

us CT Sindling r Poll

Dick How d a

-Oct

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0-23 72

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to-235

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1

drop XO th pr v10u

s-act 17-19 72

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un-179

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ADMINI TlVELY C

Octob r 4 1972

ORa B

I GORDO

UB CT

a th

gru r Pr

Confer n could batt r

Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115

GSjb

rlVELY CO tAL

o ~ 23 1 72

MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull

uuI~ I 12

917

p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T

1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll

3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of

4) T D i an

5) tn

GSjb

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

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19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

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C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

-

00 r 24 1 72

I bull

10 bull GORDO CHAN

SO cr C~CUlCJr1 Advertt inq

C Z08goJ 9 d th1 ttack d - Turnaround d

qinning to rr night

oart 1 cl18 on hittingork1ng out ~ financial

apo s will not b 1 Cona 11y c r or i ng th ul ill d oi 1 t r on the

of Conn lly an po itiv c1

GSjb

I

IAL

Oct r 24 1972

I

I H bull

Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B

h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305

bull Los 210 on

r 1 bull

CN might

for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin

4 7 Th c bull wieh

GSjb

Oc r 24 1 72

ROM ROO

us CT Sindling r Poll

Dick How d a

-Oct

lIed with th

0-23 72

dlinq r

61 2

data

to-235

On-153

Th

1

drop XO th pr v10u

s-act 17-19 72

1e th 2 bull

r ult

-06

c-215

un-179

GSjb

ADMINI TlVELY C

Octob r 4 1972

ORa B

I GORDO

UB CT

a th

gru r Pr

Confer n could batt r

Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115

GSjb

rlVELY CO tAL

o ~ 23 1 72

MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull

uuI~ I 12

917

p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T

1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll

3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of

4) T D i an

5) tn

GSjb

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

IAL

Oct r 24 1972

I

I H bull

Conn 11 OV might a 1n9B

h w York 0 1 t 19 t wu of 305

bull Los 210 on

r 1 bull

CN might

for th Conn 11y 12 hour with Priday r tin

4 7 Th c bull wieh

GSjb

Oc r 24 1 72

ROM ROO

us CT Sindling r Poll

Dick How d a

-Oct

lIed with th

0-23 72

dlinq r

61 2

data

to-235

On-153

Th

1

drop XO th pr v10u

s-act 17-19 72

1e th 2 bull

r ult

-06

c-215

un-179

GSjb

ADMINI TlVELY C

Octob r 4 1972

ORa B

I GORDO

UB CT

a th

gru r Pr

Confer n could batt r

Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115

GSjb

rlVELY CO tAL

o ~ 23 1 72

MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull

uuI~ I 12

917

p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T

1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll

3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of

4) T D i an

5) tn

GSjb

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Oc r 24 1 72

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Dick How d a

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GSjb

ADMINI TlVELY C

Octob r 4 1972

ORa B

I GORDO

UB CT

a th

gru r Pr

Confer n could batt r

Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115

GSjb

rlVELY CO tAL

o ~ 23 1 72

MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull

uuI~ I 12

917

p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T

1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll

3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of

4) T D i an

5) tn

GSjb

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

ADMINI TlVELY C

Octob r 4 1972

ORa B

I GORDO

UB CT

a th

gru r Pr

Confer n could batt r

Y u ay want to cover this with gor tomorrow at 115

GSjb

rlVELY CO tAL

o ~ 23 1 72

MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull

uuI~ I 12

917

p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T

1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll

3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of

4) T D i an

5) tn

GSjb

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

rlVELY CO tAL

o ~ 23 1 72

MEJN01~D bull R BALDbull F middot bull

uuI~ I 12

917

p incl trial from th fourth Nation 1 T

1) crab A 1a the rand 2) lab B poll

3) gr phic a includinq bull cond of

4) T D i an

5) tn

GSjb

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

AD I IAL

Octo J 2 1 72

R bull

bull RDON

s 11 urve

bull to iqht riz I

bull r 1

1) Thurad y

1 h at 011 varnDer 2shy for

- 2 shy

7) Althou in

U8 111 i Gallup

ing t

ia w

) vibullbull 1 pr

a

d to t t ident will win -42

A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

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  • HR Haldeman 15-8

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7) Althou in

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A transcript is attached

GSjb

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

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Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

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19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

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--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

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ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

l

I

001 r l3 1972

I I R BALD

RDO STRACHAN

S JECTa c

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

-bull

n itt ok

t the of

e vi nq t 10 a

11 30 (Pr ting

10 ri 18

d cla1o d

____________________~--______--------------~- Other

Con 11y ill ~

t

c In 10 ~l

Loaa1

GSjb

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

October 21 1972

n HALDEMAN

FROU GORDON STRACHAN

SUBJECT~ Gallup Survey

Di ellS ion with John D vics toda ve10p d v ral interesting ita s To ummariz J

1) The next Gallup trial heat release is ch dul d for Thur day OCtober 26 The

polling dates wer Oct 14-15 standard 1500 pIe w s us d and tho r ult will be within one or two point of 60-34-6 the figur r leased on October 15 ba ed on the Sep 29- Oct 0 Gallup Poll

2) The next Gallup trial h at field survey is cheduled to be conducted Nov Dlber 2 3 and 4 The re ult ar soh dul d to be reshyported uovemb r 6 the nday b fore the

1 etion (Bob T ter h obtained conshyflicting information - that G llup is in the fi Id this w ekend - Oct 21-22 and will hav re ults on Tu sday Oct 24)

3) There will b more Gallup issue r lea originally planned Becau e Gallup 1 regular 1500 ampl there will not be th gr phio r le es b s d on th Oct 14-15 In t d G llu will con olid te three and r 1 a e tnformation on particular group such as Iri h Italian M1ddl European etc

4) Dr G llup Sri th ory is th t the i eu qu tion - which political party is better abl to handl pe c and prosperity - Read the trail heat fiqur bull This hoed Dr G llup in 1968 that llum hray was moving up Ho v r in 1972 the only ~ve-

nt is in our favor~

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

-2shy

5) D vies believe th Conn lly 10 minut wa one of the oat dev tating politic 1 show that I have seen in long time H thinks th t it cov r d all bas a and th t 1 do not ne d to do anything on the economy Ih only chan e Davi s would Bugge t iamp re- mphasiz th t Connally is a IgtEmyengtcr t at th nd Thi will help hold the 321 mocrat who have leet McGov rn for the President Many Democrats are under pr ure to return to th fold but s long s the b 11ev that they have comp y they will stay with the Presid nt

6) Davi thinks the Connally pe ch should be run in segment bull think we should void the sarCAsm of the Democrats for nixon ttack spots bee it will look like th Pr id nt i nitshypicking and kicking th guy vh n he 16 down

7) H could not say wh th r the Pr ident was helding hi position with C tholias booaus the samples are too m 11 to perm t tatistiolllly significant comparismiddot bull

8) He beli v s th rank Ri zao contact i xc llBnt becau8 of theppa itive ffect on Italians v rywh r bull However he thinks th venue Sh ring Signing C r ny as a dud

9) Davies believe th Pre idont hould p nd more t in controll d TV tuation to prev nt the news shows fro u ing uncomp1 ntary terial from tump vants He 01 t s th TV news film of th Pre ident jerking gn around to t hi 0 camera

10) Althoug he reoo iz the political f ct that it would b rang to d bate McGov rn D vie ugqe t that it be consid re b caua ~ho r aident ould cream McGovern and th people ant d b t

A transcript of the conversation is att ch d

GS car

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

I

OotObor 21 1 72

MEMORAtIDUM FOR = H R HALDEMM~

GORDON STRA

SUBJECT Kuohel Radio and TV Seot In cll1lornl

ury STan r c iv d information from California peopl th t radio and TV ads by former S natar Tom Kuch 1 would be effeotive among th liberal Ie t in C lifomi bull

Dob Finch does not think Kuch 1 fOuld be ff otlv KUcheuroir docan I t an uch an ore

in California

Herb Klein thinks r dio d T V pots byKuOb 1 would b eff ctiv in Northern California and th San Joaquin Valley

red I 1ek thinks uoh 1 ould h va a positive o fr ct How v r he does not think the Kuobe 1 pot would be worth ending new mon y into

C lifornia to pay for the in light of th strict budget itu tion tal k doe not think it would b worth hiftinq 0 of the oney lr ady lloca~d to California to the Kuchel pot Mal ys hi view auld b upport d

by No zigar who wa not personally contacted

RECOMMENDATION I

That Kuch 1 radio and TV spots not be prcpar d and run in California to ap a1 to tEe liberal el mente

AGREE DISAGREE

co T

ill advise Stane of your decision

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

---

middotUJJ~Dm O H It

FRO I GORDO CHAN

ion

ar lng th 111ng no d1ecu sio fc

pro D1 ro _- co nt

GSjb

8

in P ch lin Itbullbull

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

--- ----------------

- ---- - - --- ---- shy

19 1912

o I HALDE

f G RDON T

-=---=II

C J Co

of re pot to 0 Von Oct B

i to e- CUUlaA y

Oth r

GSprn

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

--------------------------------------------

---

--------------------------------------------

TIVELY CONFID UTI1L

october 19 1972

MEMORAlfDUM FOR I H R HALD

FRO 11 GORDO STRACHAN

SUBJEC bull R 10 UYS

Chapin lndioat d th t th Nov mb r Group (Joanou) hou1d buy two lS-minute radio qmente on Saturday October 11

t 12 noon and Sunday Oatob r 22 t 10 am

Saturday at 1202-40 CBS NBC and tu 1 can olear me t of ~h ir t tions at a total co t of 18000 Thi i lmost iden~c 1 with th October 7 buy

-M____ Buy S turday 12106z40 on CBS NBC Mutual

Oth r

sunday at 10 a only CBS will c r tation Be and tutual will not pre- ~t their r ligiou programmdnq

Be v r at 12115 CB and NBC will clear their stations utu 1 could run d lay t 12135

Proc d with CB 10 a bull buy

Proce d with C and NBC 12115 and ----- utual t 12135

Oth r

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

------------------------------------------

- 2 shy r )

Two question r maina whether th spe ch B will b live and from Camp David

turd y and Sunday pc ch live fro C David

Oth r

GSjb

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

LY CONFIDE TIAL

Octob r 1 1972

~Jv~lCDUM FOR I bull R HALDEMAN

F GORDO shy ST CRAll

SUBJECT

C1 k cGr gar approv d list of K y Stat includ th crucial area for the Presld nt loc 1 candid t Th do t tt ch d at T divld the Pr ident y Stat into four lev 1s indioating th amount of ffort

s

Presid

I - California Ma sachus tt Miohiqetn ew J r ey N York and W t Virginia

II - Illinoi Ohio Penn ylvania

CIIIII Maryland souri Or qen W hinqton 1 consin

IVmiddot nn ot

Loc 1 Race

ttached doc n us a key to d crib th i tu tien in tate wh r effort on behalf of lac 1 candi te is being dir ot dl

p =- ~o the Pr sident

- - incumb nt

( ) CII Houo r ae

xiraum sport shylG - t gain in Ho e or en t

00- publIcan Open

f

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

- 2 shy

Fax le th i~uation in Illinois iSI numb r II 1 vel of ctivity for th r sid nt Percy 1 th incamb nt Senator

digan i th publioan fious candId te in th 21st trying to k P publican at Young i the Republic n c didat who would ban t gain if he won the lOth sat

ces

Th updated chart of th s nate S ate with all val1abl poll1nq d t and co is attach d at Tab MacGr gorbull will r c iv a copy

You y want to di au Key State and the S n te at ton~rrow Politic 1 I tinge

GSjb

f

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

---------------------

TH E WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Dat e

TO

FROM GORDON STRACHAN

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 13 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR GORDON STRACHAN

FROM L HIGBY ~

We need to do a revised list of the states that we need to worry about or those that are close for Chapin Chapin needs thi s for redoing the surrogate schedule s

Also Bob should have the latest information available as to what our priority states really are In putting together the list we should look at those states that are close For example Texas where we are something like 40 points ahead should not be included although it would certainly be a key state

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Alabama NP

Blount (Dickinson - 2nd) Montsomery and S E Corner

Alaska NONE

Arizona NONE

Arkansas NONE I

I California

(Mailliard - 6th) San Francisco (Snider - 38th) NG San Bernardino - Riverside

Colorado NP

(Johnson shy(Armstrong (McKevitt shy

Connecticut

(Sarasin shy(Rittenband

4th) NG Fort Collins and N W Corner - 5th) NG Denver Aurora 1st) Denver

NP

5th) NG Waterbury Wallingford Meriden - 1st) NG Hartford

Delaware NP

Boggs

~

Florida NONE

Qeorgia NP

Thompson (Cook - 5th) RO Atlanta

h~waii NONE

Idaho NP

McClure

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Page Two ~

~

II Illinois

Percy (Madigan - 21st) RO Decatur Champaign Bloomington (Young - 10th) NG Cook County (Hoe11en - 11th) NG Cook County

Indiana NP

(Dennis - 10th) Muncie and Richmond (Hudnut - 11th) NG Kokomo and Marion

(Landgrebe - 2nd) Lafayette and North (not Gary or (Hillis - 5th) North of Indianapolis

S Bend)

Iowa-- NP

(Schwengel (Kyl - 4th)

1st) Iowa City Burlington Davenport Des Moines

Kansas NONE

Kentucky NP

Nunn (Jackson - 6th) NG Frankfort Lexington

Louisiana NONE

Maine NP

(Cohen - 2nd) NG Bangor Lewiston and North

III Maryland

(Holt - 4th) NG Annapolis

I Massachusetts

(Cronin - 5th) (Vleeks - 12th) (Linsky- 4th)

RO RO

NG

Middlesex County - Lowell Weymouth - Plymouth County

Newton Brookline Framingham

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Page Three

I Michigan

Griffen (Esch - 2nd) Ann Arbor and South

IV Minnesota

Hansen (Zwach - 6th) St Cloud and S W Corner (Haa1an - 7th) NG Moorhead and N W Corner

Mississippi NP

(Butler - 2nd) NG Columbus to Greenville (Cochran - 4th) NG Vicksburg and South

IIImiddot~ Missouri

(Sloan - 6th) NG St Joseph

Montana NPbull

Hibbard

Nebraska NONE

Nevada NP

(Towell - ALL) NG at large

New Hampshire NP

Powell

I New Jersey

(Maraziti - 13th) NG Phillipsburg Boonton (Dowd - 3rd) NG Long Branch Monmouth

New Mexico NP

Domenici

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Page Fourmiddot

I New York

(Gilman - 26tll) NG Newburg (Koldin - 32nd) NG Syracuse

(Peyser - 23rd) Bronx and Southern Westchester (Vergari - 24th) NG White Plains and Yonkers

North Carolina NP

Helms (Martin - 9th) RO Charlotte (Hawke - 4th) NG Raleigh-Durham

North Dakota NONE

II Ohio

Oklahoma NP

Bartlett (Hewg1ey - 1st) RO Tulsa

III Oregon

II Pennsylvania

Rhode Island NP

Chaffee

South Carolina NP

(Limehouse - 1st) NG Charleston

South Dakota NP

Hirsch (Abdnor - 2nd) NG Western two thirds

(Vickerman - 1st) NG Eastern Third

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Page Five-

Tennessee NP

Texas

Utah

(Beard - 6th) NG Clarksville - Columbia

NP

Tower (Price - 13th) Amarillo Wichita Falls

(Steelman - 5th) NG Dallas

NONE

Vermont NONE

Virginia NP

SCCI~ III Washington

(Bledsoe - 4th) NG Yakima and North

middotI West Virginia

III Wisconsin

(Thomson - 3rd) La Crosse Eau Claire (Froelich - 8th) RO Green Bay and North

Wyoming NP

(Kidd - ALL) NG at large

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

SENATE SEATS

STATE CANDIDATES POLLS COMMENTS

INCUMBENTS

Michigan Griffin (R) 1016 - 47-37-2-14 Lead still very soft Detroit area Kelley (D) 921 - 42-36-22 still key needs P visit

Texas Tower (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Tower pulling away as organization -Sanders (D) 912 46-41-13 improves ~- needs another showing of

P interest Still a lingering anti shyTow~r sentiment among voters

Delaware Boggs (R) 815 - 63-18-19 Biden very attractive and running Biden (D) 915

1015 - 41-29-31 - 46-40-14

well Boggs badly in need of P assist TV amp radio tapes will help

REPUBLICAN SEATS

Kentucky Nunn (R) 103 - 53-30-17 Field reports organization needs pickshyHuddleston (D) 912 46-41-13 up Nunn thinks campaign going well

Idaho McClure (R) 109 - 47-30-23 Field re~orts encouraging Davis (D)

South Hirsch (R) 81 - 38-44-18 _Needs $ and hel~ in western part of Dakota Abourezk (D) 106 39-44-17 state Also Butz amp Mrs N wanted

rgtl

~ ~ 0 cx Ilo4

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Georgia

Oklahoma

rgtl

~ H til til 0 Ilo4

North Carolina

Alabama

Domenici (R) Daniels (D)

Chaffee (R) Pell (D)

Thompson (R) Nunn (D)

Bartlett (R) Edmondson (D)

Helms (R) Galifianakis (D)

Blount (R) Sparkman (D)

NON-INCUMBENTS

39-24-37

922 - 49-34-17 1012 Chaffee +8

No good data

Due 1020

No good data

28-47-2-23

Organization closely tied into pIS Needs $ -- looks good

Needs rs N visit organization now working wpls

Field re~rts close race running poor campaign pIS visit a real boost

-Campaign improving still-needs identity wP

Running poor campaign -- too conservashytive organization now improving w tie-in to P Considered close enough to win

Well organized -- P coattails ~ill be strong wstraight ticket Needs more P involvement -- TV tapes

Montana

Louisiana

Virginia

New Hampshire

Hibbard (R) No good data Metcalf (D)

Toledano (R) No good data Johnston (D) McKeithen (I)

Scott (R) No good data Spong (D)

Powell (R) 1016 - 30-58-15 Mclntrye (D)

Needs $ but now very doubtful and our resources should not be wasted here

3-way race -- needs $ and organizashytional help

Poor candidate totally dependent on P landslide

Very conservative candidate but trying to tie race in wpls

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTZAL

October 18 1972

MORANDUM FORa H R ImLO

FROM GORDON TRACHAN

SUB Cla

Th r is no epublic n candidate for og9 di trict according to Dent In th r diatrictlng 099 d trict

ad 0 af that 0 vid Tr n who h d tri d to t Boggs previou ly d ci d to k th Conqr 8 ion 1

adjoining di triot

Ther will be a sp cla1 election h ld for Boqg at This would probably b held in ru Qr Maroh

GSjb

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 171972

MEMORANDUM FOR Ge1tDeN ST1tACHAN

FROM L HIGSY c

Find out if we have a candidate in Bogg s district and what his calibre is and get a report in to Haldeman by close of business Wednesday

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

------ ------

ADMINISTRATIVELY CON IDENTIAL

October 1 1972

FORI H R HALDE Wl

FROMe GOPJgtON ST CBAN

SUBJECT I N w York and California Leqial ture ~ndor nts

Th ew York d California GO and C P organizations h ve sk d for ndor ment lett re for sam of their stat 1 91 1 ture oandid t bull The g n ral rul e f ore d by Dent and Price is th t blanket 1 tt r of endorse nt do not go out to un 1 cted local oftic holder

In N w York 10 of the req at d 108 h ~ been don p cia appe 1 T bal e hould ree ve a s t andard ndor nt l ett r according to B rry nt th w York

GOP the New York CRP and the CRP glon 1 Dir ctor

In California Nofziger and the CRP qional ir ctor hay a k d for ndor nt Itt r for th 18 Cal Pl n-candidates According to ofzig r on octob r 17 9 n is actively pushing for these 1 tter bull

Becaus th re a only 19 days 1 ft teleqr would b tt r than 1 tter ightletters 0 t $320 e ch oneshy

third th t of a telegram

ternative language for th pear in the attaoh d One is a full w th oth r i a bull e t ish smiddot

Th t th -Be t ish bull nig-htl tter be nt to th York and Calilorn1 Btat 1 qi 1 tur oandidat bull

Approv Di pprove C nt

GSjb

tionl

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

ADMINI STRATlVELY CO

October 17 972

MEMORANDUU FOR I H R IlALDE

ROI I GORDON STRACHru~

SUBJECT Gallup Surv y John Davi s Discus ion

In a long oonv rBation with John Dav of Gallup h the following point I

1) Th r 1 som indic tion vot among Youth i soft ning but th 11 for a public r lea on th t oint

th th vet

2) llup will aontinue rel e ing inform t ion durinq campaign 9 rdinq 11k lihood of voting hieh indic t Pre id nt d s ch b tter than eGo rn among tho e rs ho will vot

3) 0 vi and thoa at th I w York Tim ~S using th Yank lovich urv y are in cont cpoundr garainq oompar tive r suIts

4) Dr llup Sr di trust t lphons polling In 1968 D vie dlr cted a political polling 0 r tion ~o run

i ultaneously with the f1 ld poll D vi say I would look axtr ly car fully t what th tel phon polls

how The re ult wa th ttl p on polling how d th Pre ld nt 5 abov th fi ld poll re ult J

5) Davies disreqrds Sindl1ng r ntir ly indioating that th Slndling r att mpt to piok up s j ctlve tr nd is lot of or p lih ther til co nts are coming from lxon or lcGov rn upport rs and wh ther the vot is

infl nc d i crucial and Sindlinq r doesnt show this

) Although the middot corru tion ll ch rq will IImak som dltf rca th public li 8 all politician are oorrupt- so it dosnt ha much tf ct

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

- 2 shy

7) Dr G llup Sr b 11 va th t th questions on handlinq pe oe and prosp rity le d trial h t change bull In 196 th De or t began improving in both of these cat gar b fore Humphr y began moving up in the tri 1 h ata

8) In 1972 th only dhlft on handling p aoo and pro perity has be n bull away trom the D f1IC)crat bull bullbull the Republicans for th fir t tim hav a r tty ub tanti 1 Ie d on both of tho e qu tion of keeping the country out of major ar and k epinq th purse trng8 in s nslble

h p -

9) 0 vi b Ii v s it cannot det rmined this arly wh ther it auld b helpful for a vy or a light turnout The qu tion is wh th r the Demoor t 0 now support th Pr ident might just sit ou~ th 1 etion rath r than vote for til Pr id nt or MoGov rn

Th r aidents oonomic policiee and MaGev m holding the D mocrats for the Pr sident

for th idents Democrat is not national For ev ry D or t G llup i tBrvl ad who opposed amI16l1ty th re w r 2 or 3 D IOOcrat who couldnt

Ifar plan and g1v w y progr

11) _ation 1 del ns 1a not burning i ue any r and

12) In Davi s opinion McGovern h B to convino the ople that th war 1s still going on t full t a in ord r

to win Fe al 0 bas to do s thing with hi po ition and p rc ption on the conomy

GSjb

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Octobr 17 191

iORAl DUM FOR ~ bull R LD middot1

FRm GORDO STR CImiddot N

SUBJECT Ca1iforni Poll

~ofzig r c 11 late 1 t night w th t e r ults of th ie16 Poll to b r 1 as d con in C lifor i

RN cG On

29-0ct 6 50 36 2 12

GS car

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

October 16 1972

1EMOPANDUM FO bull H R HALO

FROM a GOROO TRACHAN

USJECT TV Buys

P b r Dail y h d th an w rs this aft moon to the q tiona you sked on the attached m morandum To s ri at

Friday Oatcb I 20 1030-1100 pm- ABC McGav rn on Economic

W dne dy OctOb r 25 - 7130-8100 p bullbull - C McGovern on Unknown ubj at

ond y November 6 030-900 pbullbull - ABC wubj ct Unkno

Connally 12 hour

Frid y OotOber 20 - 730-800 p bullbull - NBC ABC and 34 cns local TV ark t

onday Oatober 23 - eqo~i ting nonti or n twork t

GSjb

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

i2THE WHITE HOUSE

WASH I NGTON tUMA is~ ADpound-lINISTPuTIVELY CONFIDEITIAL 6shy

October 16 1972 ~

HEHORAlfDUN FOR H R BALDE1JlAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT TV Buys

r f f~r1

rtp1 J iFy) ~Joanou reports that the Democrats have cleared 10 30- ( I]

1100 pm on Friday October 20 for McGoverns speech on Economics

The Noverr~er Group is buying Friday October 20 at 730 pm

for the Connally 12 houri tl~Laz4~)-)Uv~~ The Democrats have also cleared October 25730-800 pm ~ for a MCGOVer~ ~eech bull Subject and network are notret

known 117 b~r~ oA ~

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

ADMI ISTRATlVELY CONFID LlTIAL

OctOb r 16 1972

OR H R HALDEMAN

PRO I GO DO STRACIlAN

SUBJECT R action to th Prell1d nts 000 ntary

P ter Dail y r 0 1 d thre oal1 with co nts on th dooUIDenaary that ran on S turd y October 14

Bart C ng8 of C pton Adverti Ing ought th film xcel1ent I1is vi w w confi d by To Adams of ell

John Gavin Pr sldent of th So n Aotor Guild c 11 d Dall y and told h en t th viqn tt s on th Pr sident w r p rtJcu1arly tf otiv AI 0 Gavin id that th uae of the Pr sident everal tim with infr quent us ot lixon wa tfectiv

GSjb

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

ADltINISTRATrvELY CONFIOIDiTIAL

Oot b r 17 1972

1m~10RANDU OR H R HALDEMIN

PROM I GORDON S1 CHAN

SUBJECT _~ational T lephon Survey t 3 Poll 9 D te I Oct 13-15 72 Re pan nt I Tot 1 - 1056

Regi t r d ~ 922

hi P ckag inclu 8th r qu d material trom th third N tion 1 Tel phone Surveys

1) Tab A is th reo i vlng memor dum

2) Tab B i nh analysi of th poll

3) Tab c i the etailed demogr hie including breaks tabbed on th cond paq ot tion

4) Tab 0 is th compl t quest nna1re

The d mographic comparison of Pre id ntl 1 popularity hand1inq of Vietn and th trial he t h ju t be n co uted an will follow a oon as pos 1bl bull

GSjb

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

Octob r 14 1972

bull-IC_~Dtm FOR B R HALf)

FRO I GORDON STRACHAN

su Cl Teet r Polling Information

Bob T tar c l1ed with polling information from s v ra1 tate

f-1i chigan

Th Detroit Jl ews will re1e s their MO poll on Ootober 15

+RN MeG Schmitz Un

R - Oct 8-11 SO 37 1 12 ORe - Spt2S-octS 63 26 11 IoI)R - Spt17-21 52 37 11

R - Spt 1 54 38 8

A review of previou Michigan el otions ho that the De oo~tic oandidat will pick-u 6-8 point from th un old d

1middot sachusetts

1 arn d that B ok r e poll tomorrow -41rM_g th Presid nt ith a 4 point 1 ad 1n assacbu etts

do not ha any more in ormation

middot innesota

cGr qor told T ter at tomorrow ~~aQQot s poll ill how th Pr 1dent ith a 22 Ie d No more

info tion 1s availab1 bull

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

- 2 shy

Delaware

OR j t did a urvey which how S n tor oqq in troubl in Del w re Th final fiqure will be av ilabl lat tonight The Pre i nt i8 doing well in D 18 are

Rho 1add

A Beo er poll oonduc d 1 t w ekend whOWB Ch f e with an 8 point 1 ad No o~ler fiqures r av liable 1 pa er poll h v hewn Chaff with an 8-12 point lead Chaff i anxious to hav Mrs taxon vi it the state

GScar

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

TIAL

Octob r 16 1972

lreMORANom FOR I H R HALO

RO I GORDON SlRAC

SUBJECT I l Y and LA

Pr

NY

L bull

cGoverns

Y

L bull

GSjb

1015

86

peech

59

5

96

77

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8

ADMINISTRATIVELY CO FIn NTIAL

October 16 1972

MO DUM ORa n R lIALDEMAl-l

RO bull GORDON STRACH q

SUBJECT TV Buy

Joanou reports tilat the Democrats h ve cle red 1030shy1100 pm on Friday Ootob r 20 for oGoverns peach on conomic bull

Th ovember Group is buying Fri ay October 20 at 7 30 p m for th Connally 12 hour

The Democr ts have also 01 ar d Ootob r 25 730-800 pm for a icGovern p ch Subj ct and n twork are not y t known

GSjb

  • 8pdf
  • HR Haldeman 15-8