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© Robert G Parker & UWCISA S - 1July 17, 2014 V-3
Economy
Province of Ontario
August 28, 2013
RBC- $181,965 Billion at March 31, 2014
© Robert G Parker & UWCISA S - 2July 17, 2014 V-3
Annual Inflation Rate – Major Canadian CitiesEconomy
The Annual Rate of Inflation Has Been Less that 2% for Most of the Last Decade
© Robert G Parker & UWCISA S - 5July 17, 2014 V-3
Economy
Richest 20% (highest taxable income) paid 75% of the Personal Income Taxes
Richest 1% accounted for 11% of total personal income and paid 20% of the Personal Income Taxes
© Robert G Parker & UWCISA S - 7July 17, 2014 V-3
Economy
The population does not appear to understand the consequences of out of control and ever expanding government spending
“A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover that they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, with the result that every democracy will finally collapse over loose fiscal policy." Alexander Tyler 1887
We need to educate people about taxation
Starting at an early age
43.8%
© Robert G Parker & UWCISA S - 8July 17, 2014 V-3
Economy
Impact on Business and Society
Risks and Impacts
Canada and the Provinces will have to increase business and personal tax rates to fund an ever increasing debt
Canada will become a more expensive country in which to operate a business
Canadian made products will become uncompetitive in the global marketplace
Worsening relative economy
Increased unemployment
Difficulty in attracting capital investment
Loss of Canadian entrepreneurs and expertise to other countries
Inability of private sector to compete with public sector for employees
© Robert G Parker & UWCISA S - 9July 17, 2014 V-3
Pensions
With overly generous defined benefits plans governments and the private sector are faced with restructuring their pension plans.
© Robert G Parker & UWCISA S - 10July 17, 2014 V-3
Pensions
Some Private Sector Organizations also have Defined Benefit Pension Plans
© Robert G Parker & UWCISA S - 11July 17, 2014 V-3
Pensions
Ontario’s municipal pension plans - OMERS is currently at $7.3-billion deficit. Ontario’s Workplace Safety and Insurance has an unfunded liability of $12.3-billion. The Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan had an unfunded liability of $17.2 -billion as of Jan. 1, 2011, totalling $36.8 billion.
Source: Globe & Mail and Financial Post 2012Source: Canadian Federation of Independent Business. 2008
Public Accounts do not include Hospital, Municipal, Regional or Other MUSH sector Pensions
© Robert G Parker & UWCISA S - 12July 17, 2014 V-3
Pensions
Impact on Business and Society
Risks and Impacts
Canada and the Provinces are engaged in pension plans that are massively underfunded and ultimately unsustainable
Funding expensive public sector pension plans when many Canadians do not have a plan will generate increased public backlash
With a significant portion of Canadian society relying on “government” as their employer, scaling back the pensions of this group will have significant economic impact
Less disposable income as employee pension contributions are increased
Less future disposable income as pension obligations are scaled back
Demand for additional assistance from those without adequate pension plans
The Canadian “worker pyramid” model may become unsustainable
Increased focus on automation and robotics as businesses encounter significantly increased payroll taxes