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0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 1: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 2: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 3: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 4: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 5: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 6: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 7: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 8: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 9: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 10: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 11: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 12: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 13: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 14: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 15: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 16: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 17: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 18: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 19: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

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Page 35: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

Figure 3: Tennessee 106th Congress Districting Plans, Actual v. Algorithm

Page 36: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

Figure 4: Idaho 106th Congress Districting Plans, Actual v. Algorithm

Page 37: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

Figure 5: Hawaii 106th Congress Districting Plans, Actual v. Algorithm

Page 38: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

Figure 6: Illinois 106th Congress Districting Plans, Actual v. Algorithm

Page 39: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

Figure 7: Massachusetts 106th Congress Districting Plans, Actual v. Algorithm

Page 40: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

Figure 8: Nevada 106th Congress Districting Plans, Actual v. Algorithm

Page 41: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

Figure 9: New York 106th Congress Districting Plans, Actual v. Algorithm

Page 42: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

Figure 10: Pennslyvania 106th Congress Districting Plans, Actual v. Algorithm

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Figure11: Texas 106th Congress Districting Plans, Actual v. Algorithm

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Figure 12: Florida 106th Congress Districting Plans, Actual v. Algorithm

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Actual Maximally Compact

Figure 13: Seat-Vote Curves for California, Actual v. Maximally Compact

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Figure 14: Seat-Vote Curves for New York, Actual v. Maximally Compact

Actual Maximally Compact

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Figure 15: Seat-Vote Curves for Texas, Actual v. Maximally Compact

Actual Maximally Compact

Page 48: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

Figure 16: Seat-Vote Curves for Pennsylvania, Actual v. Maximally Compact

Page 49: 0*($$ -1 2 -3'*'0#3 4 '$*&'0*'() 2 3#($gelman/stuff_for_blog/fryer.pdf · State Name RPI Max Deviation (Actual) Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

State Name RPIMax Deviation

(Actual)Max Deviation (Algorithm) Mean RPI

Standard Deviation RPI Percentile

Alabama 1.21 0.27 0.05 0.99 0.03 1.00Arizona 1.34 0.20 0.15 1.27 0.04 0.97Arkansas 1.08 0.14 0.05 0.78 0.01 1.00California 1.49 0.17 0.04 0.96 0.03 1.00Colorado 1.59 0.15 0.05 1.28 0.02 1.00Connecticut 1.36 0.02 0.01 1.09 0.35 0.78Florida 1.39 0.46 0.07 0.83 0.08 1.00Georgia 1.24 0.14 0.09 0.90 0.01 1.00Hawaii 1.59 0.09 0.04 1.48 0.02 1.00Idaho 0.97 0.10 0.02 0.80 0.02 1.00Illinois 1.43 0.29 0.11 0.98 0.07 1.00Indiana 1.49 0.20 0.06 1.05 0.02 1.00Iowa 1.38 0.06 0.05 1.29 0.01 1.00Kansas 1.11 0.08 0.05 0.95 0.01 1.00Kentucky 1.51 0.14 0.05 1.22 0.01 1.00Louisiana 1.15 0.13 0.05 0.79 0.43 0.80Maine 1.39 0.04 0.03 1.15 0.01 1.00Maryland 1.52 0.22 0.04 1.25 0.02 1.00Masschussetts 1.87 0.10 0.05 1.54 0.01 1.00Michigan 1.24 0.13 0.04 0.99 0.02 1.00Minnesota 1.05 0.16 0.05 0.90 0.02 1.00Mississippi 1.02 0.18 0.05 0.87 0.01 1.00Missouri 1.38 0.23 0.05 1.01 0.16 0.99Nebraska 1.01 0.05 0.04 0.89 0.23 0.70Nevada 1.38 0.08 0.05 1.19 0.01 1.00New Hampshire 1.10 0.01 0.00 1.09 0.00 0.95New Jersey 2.27 0.21 0.05 1.69 0.02 1.00New Mexico 1.23 0.06 0.04 1.14 0.01 1.00New York 1.83 0.21 0.10 1.45 0.45 0.80North Carolina 1.33 0.28 0.04 1.15 0.09 0.97Ohio 1.62 0.13 0.05 1.42 0.01 1.00Oklahoma 1.24 0.09 0.05 1.42 0.36 0.31Oregon 1.26 0.09 0.04 1.21 0.28 0.56Pennsylvania 1.81 0.25 0.22 1.27 0.05 1.00Rhode Island 1.18 0.03 0.02 1.18 0.01 0.55South Carolina 1.22 0.21 0.04 1.27 0.02 0.00Tennessee 2.91 0.25 0.04 2.59 0.04 1.00Texas 1.90 0.30 0.22 1.24 0.07 1.00Utah 1.46 0.06 0.04 1.40 0.01 1.00Virginia 1.38 0.22 0.07 1.14 0.04 1.00Washington 1.17 0.15 0.06 0.77 0.03 1.00West Virginia 1.68 0.06 0.05 1.61 0.01 1.00Wisconsin 1.40 0.11 0.08 1.22 0.58 0.62

Table 1: The Relative Proximity Index, 2000

Notes: RPI values were calculated using tract-level data from the 2000 Census. Max Deviation 1 minus the total population of the largest congressional district divided by the total population of the smallest congressional district. Mean RPI was calculated as the mean of 200 repititions of the RPI -- each having different starting values.

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StateBias (Actual)

Bias (Algorithm)

t-statistic on Difference

Responsiveness (Actual)

Responsiveness (Algorithm)

t-statistic on Difference

California .028 .007 .469 1.086 1.731 -4.327**(.010) (.045) (.069) (.132)

New York .103 .018 1.051 0.482 2.51 -6.540**(.014) (.080) (.036) (.308)

Pennsylvania -0.0027 .031 -.363 1.138 1.562 -1.800*(.021) (.076) (.128) (.198)

Texas .062 .039 .334 0.8872 1.305 -1.717*(.024) (.064) (.103) (.221)

Table 2: Partisan Bias and Responsiveness, Actual versus Maximally Compact Districtings

Notes: Estimates are based on voter tabulation district level election return data for the 105th and 106th congress.