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1Presentation prepared forPublic Finance Headquarters
1400 Wewatta Street, Suite 800 • Denver, CO 80202 • (800) 722-1670
Single-Family Financing Essentials, Part 2: Securing the Best Price
MRB, Mortgage Market or Both?
January 2015
JIM STRETZSenior Vice [email protected]
2Presentation prepared for
Who is Doing What?
U.S. Bank MS – 3rd Party Hedge
U.S. Bank MS – Self Hedge w/ 3rd Party Advice
U.S. Bank MS – Non TBA
Idaho MS – 3rd Party Hedge
Idaho MS – Self Hedge Alabama MS – Self Hedge
Alabama MS – 3rd Party Hedge
Self Servicing – Self Hedge
Multiple Servicers – Non-TBA
Rhode Island
Connecticut
New Jersey
Delaware
Maryland
Washington, D.C.
Self Servicing – Non-TBA
3Presentation prepared for
Reserve Requirements
Lower Requirements (0% - 3%)
Higher Requirements (5% - 7%)
Ratings Rating Higher thanWhole Loans with Similar Parity
Rating Influenced by PMI Providers & Reserve Investments
Risk No exposure to PMI Credit Exposure to PMI Providers’ Credit
Cash Flow Timing
Predictable, Scheduled/Scheduled
Less Predicable, Actual/Actual
Optimal Structure
Lowest Cost Possible with Pass-Through Structure
Pass-Through is 50 to 100 bps Higher in Rate
Portfolio Data
Information Standardized & Available by Third Party
Information Produced by HFA and Different from Issuer to Issuer
Mortgage Costs
Higher Costs with GSE Guaranty& Adverse Market Fees
NoneNone
MRB Cost Considerations
M B S Whole LoansConsideration
4Presentation prepared for
HFA Mortgage Market Cost Considerations
Different HFA strategies listed from lowest estimated net cost to highest.
1) In-house hedging, using TBA or window
2) In-house hedging, using Broker Dealer as Advisor
3) Hedging using Financial Advisor to run the program
4) Third Party Hedge Provider for a fee less any shared profits on the back-end for benefits received by early delivery, specified pools and CRA motivated investors
5) Third Party Hedge Provider for a set fee
Defined: MBS Sale to Third Party or Whole Loan Sale to GSE Window, Hedging Rate Risk in TBA Market or GSE Window
Note: In 1 – 3, the HFA takes
all the risk.
5Presentation prepared for
MRB or Mortgage Market
Comparison using rates as of Jan 5, 2015. Assuming $20 Million Portfolio 4% Ginnie Mae MBS
Estimated Net Return after Down Payment & Expense Reimbursement
Structure 100% PSA 200% PSA 300% PSA
Pass-Through 105.4 103.8 102.9
Traditional 104.3 102.7 101.7
MBS Sale 105.0 Paid Upfront at SaleMortgageMarket
Mortgage Revenue Bonds
6Presentation prepared for
2006 2015(estimated)
Whole Loan 30 6
MBS 18 29
Mixed 3 16
MCC 14 33
Changing HFA Strategies
HFA’s switching to (or including) MBS’s are also selling into the cash or TBA market using their balance sheets, “zeros” or TBA as a rate hedge.
7Presentation prepared for
0.000%
0.500%
1.000%
1.500%
2.000%
2.500%
3.000%
3.500%
4.000%
4.500%
5.000%
5.500%Ne
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Mai
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D M
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Mex
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North
Car
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M*Il
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*Miss
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*Wes
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inia
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North
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*Ala
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aryla
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Isla
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M*S
outh
Car
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LCa
liforn
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MCo
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M L
Kent
ucky
D M
Mich
igan
D M
New
Ham
pshi
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M L
Verm
ont D
M*U
tah
D M
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*Ten
ness
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MG
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LNe
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rk D
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*Flo
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*Wisc
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rsey
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D*N
evad
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M*W
ashi
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*Ariz
ona
D M
L*T
exas
D M
HFA Rates as of January 9, 2015
Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Rate 3.73%
Rates shown above are for unassisted loans. HFAs that do not have a posted rate on their website include: Arkansas, Hawaii, Indiana, Massachusetts Pennsylvania, and Virginia. (*) denotes HFAs with no difference between the DPA and no DPA rate,
(D) denotes a DPA program, (M) an MCC program and (L) a local premium priced DPA program as competition.
8Presentation prepared for
0.000%
0.500%
1.000%
1.500%
2.000%
2.500%
3.000%
3.500%
4.000%
4.500%
5.000%
5.500%O
rego
n D
Conn
ectic
ut D
MId
aho
D M
Neb
rask
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Nor
th D
akot
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Calif
orni
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Mai
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Mon
tana
Sout
h D
akot
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MW
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aska
DM
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D M
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.C. D
Del
awar
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D M
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Ham
pshi
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MN
ew Y
ork
D M
Nor
th C
arol
ina
D M
Ohi
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MPe
nnsy
lvan
ia D
MU
tah
DVe
rmon
t D M
Geo
rgia
DM
isso
uri D
MRh
ode
Isla
nd D
Tenn
esse
e M
Alab
ama
D M
Flor
ida
DIll
inoi
s D
MM
aryl
and
Nev
ada
DW
est V
irgin
ia D
Wis
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in D
MAr
izon
a D
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ky D
Loui
sian
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oma
DW
ashi
ngto
n D
MSo
uth
Caro
lina
DTe
xas
D M
New
Jers
ey D
New
Mex
ico
D
HFA Rates as of January 13, 2014
HFAs that do not have a posted rate on their website include: Arkansas, Hawaii, Indiana, Massachusetts, Mississippi and Virginia. (D) denotes rates that include DPA, (M) denotes HFAs advertising an MCC program on their website.
Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Rate 4.510%
9Presentation prepared for
Minimize Rate Risk with Third Party
No Opportunity with 3rd Party except forward
swaps or TBA
TBA & GSE Window Hedge
Reserves Reserve Requirements per Indenture Minimal
Hedging Balance Sheet Hedging and TBA TBA & GSE Window
Revenue Annuity Paid Upfront
Tax Status Tax Exempt Taxable
MRB v Mortgage Market Cost Considerations
M R Bs Mortgage MarketConsiderations
11Presentation prepared for
Mortgage Rates and MRBs
The Mortgage Market
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00
7.50
8.00
Traditional MRB Fixed Mortgage Rate* Fannie Mae 60 Day Forward Rate**
Traditional MRB Mortgage Rates vs. FNMA 60 Day Forward
*Based on 20 year housing insured rates provided by Thomson Reuters, assumes full spread of 1.125**Includes 50 bps for guaranty fee
Fed Purchases at Zero (see prior slide)
12Presentation prepared for
• Both MRB and Mortgage Markets offer executions that provide excess revenue.
• With Bond Counsel approval you can hedge rate risk execution with TBA and execute MRB.– Example: Minnesota HFA this week, $60 million pass-through MRB
• In today’s market, MRB execution forces HFA to use excess revenue for Homebuyer subsidy.
• Mortgage Market programs can be sponsored by any government entity without financial investment, creating competition. HFA’s must do more than “sponsor” to be competitive.
• The more the HFA can do in-house – the lower the costs.
• Non-Economic reasons for MRB Execution include:– Build Assets, Use Volume Cap, Keep Excess Revenues targeted to Homebuyers
Summary
What’s the Best Execution?
It Depends!
13Presentation prepared for
This report was prepared from data believed to be reliable but not guaranteed by us without further verification or investigation, and does not purport to be complete. It is not to be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the securities of the entities covered by this report. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. George K. Baum & Company may act as a principal for its own account or as agent for another person, in connection with the sale or purchase of any security which is subject in this report.
Disclaimer