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Where are we now? APNIC Technical Workshop

01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

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Page 1: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Where are we now?APNIC Technical Workshop

Page 2: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Agenda

• IPv6 End-user Readiness

• IPv6 Performance

• Industry Trends• Observations

Page 3: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv4 Exhaustion

http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/ 20190831

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Page 4: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Global IPv6 End-User Readiness

IPv6 Capable = 22.75 (20190831)245.74% increase in last 36 months!

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Page 5: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv6 Capable vs Preferred

• Uses scripted online advertisement – Over 7-10M measurements/day!!

• The Ad script fetches three URLs– IPv4 only URL, IPv6 only URL, Dual-stack URL

• If:– compare the number of end devices that can retrieve the V6-only

object to the number of devices that can retrieve the V4-only object (IPv6 capable)

– the number of end devices that use IPv6 to retrieve the Dual Stack Object (IPv6 preferred) RFC8305 (happy eyeballs) bias?

5

http://www.potaroo.net/presentations/2016-02-10-ad-measurement.pdf

Page 6: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Global IPv6 End-User Readiness

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Page 7: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv6 in Actions – in Google

https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html 20190831

Page 8: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv6 in Actions – in Facebook

https://www.facebook.com/ipv6/?tab=ipv6 20190831

Page 9: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv6 Economy League Table

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Economy IPv6 CapableIndia 67.98%

Belgium 57.33%United States 55.11%Mayotte 51.57%

Germany 41.81%Malaysia 40.19%

Vietnam 39.35%Greece 38.83%

Saint Barhelemy 37.71%

Taiwan 36.92%French Guiana 35.26%

Japan 34.12%

Finland 33.20%France 33.01%

Page 10: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv6 Traffic Volume Rank in Operators

http://www.worldipv6launch.org/measurements/ 20190831

Page 11: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

How About Asia Pacific?Economy IPv6 CapableIndia 67.98%

Malaysia 40.19%

Vietnam 39.35%Taiwan 36.92%Japan 34.12%

Thailand 28.69%

New Zealand 22.66%

Australia 19.91%

United Arab Emirates 18.33%

Sri Lanka 18.10%

Republic of Korea 17.15%

China 13.18%Saudi Arabia 12.19%

Singapore 12.18%

Macao SAR of China 9.77%

Myanmar 7.78% https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Page 12: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

India

India IPv6 Capable: 67.98%

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Page 13: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

India IPv6 Leaderboard

ASN Organization IPv6 Capable AS55836 Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited 93.90%AS38266 Vodafone Essar Ltd. 50.38%AS45271 IDEA Cellular Limited 50.04%AS45609 Bharti Airtel Ltd. 48.75%

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Page 14: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Malaysia

Malaysia IPv6 Capable: 40.19%

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Page 15: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Malaysia IPv6 LeaderboardASN Organization IPv6 Capable AS45960 YTL Communications 62.71%AS4818 DiGi Telecommunications Sdn. Bhd. 55.83%AS38322 WEBE Digital 43.00%AS4788 TM Net 41.03%AS9534 MAXIS-AS1-AP 40.42%

AS10030 Celcom Internet Service Provider 36.81%AS38466 U Mobile 28.03%AS9930 TIME dotCom Berhad 26.18%

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Page 16: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Vietnam

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Vietnam IPv6 Capable: 39.35%

Page 17: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Vietnam IPv6 LeaderboardASN Organization IPv6 Capable AS24086 Viettel Corporation 58.56%AS7552 Viettel Group 45.02%

AS131429 MOBIFONE Corporation 44.04%AS45899 VNPT Corp 41.19%AS18403 The Corporation for Financing Promoting

Technology29.07%

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Page 18: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Taiwan

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Taiwan IPv6 Capable: 36.92%

Page 19: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Taiwan IPv6 LeaderboardASN Organization IPv6

Capable AS17421 EMOME-NET Mobile Business Group 75.21%AS9674 Far EasTone Telecommnication Co., Ltd. 55.43%AS24158 Taiwan Mobile Co., Ltd. 34.01%AS131591 Ambit Microsystem Corporation 23.11%AS3462 HINET Data Communication Business Group 22.01%AS1659 Taiwan Academic Network Information Center 14.82%

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Page 20: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Thailand

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Taiwan IPv6 Capable: 36.92%

Page 21: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Thailand IPv6 LeaderboardASN Organization IPv6

Capable AS131445 AIS3G-2100-AS-AP Advance Wireless Network 83.56%AS133481 AIS-FIBRE-AS-AP AIS Fibre 57.53%AS45758 Triple T Internet 52.02%AS9411 Kasetsart University, Thailand 41.24%AS9464 Prince of Songkla University 17.64%

https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ 20190831

Page 22: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv6 Performance

• Is IPv6 as robust as IPv4:– Do all TCP connection attempt succeed?

• Connection failure = No ACK for acknowledged SYN

– IPv4 connection failure sits at 0.2%– IPv6 connection failure sits at 1.8%

http://www.potaroo.net/presentations/2016-02-22-ipv6-performance.pdf

Page 23: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv6 Performance

• Is IPv6 as fast as IPv4? (IPv6 unicast)– Comparison of RTT (e2e)

• Time since SYN till ACK (factors out any congestion issues)

– IPv6 is faster about half of the time • 45ms faster (36-90ms)• NAT? • IPv4 and IPv6 using different paths (different peering policies for IPv4 and IPv6)?

http://www.potaroo.net/presentations/2016-02-22-ipv6-performance.pdf

Page 24: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Routing Path & Performance

IPv4 RTT – 325msIPv6 RTT – 213ms

https://labs.apnic.net/?p=850

Page 25: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv6 Performance

• Testing HTTP Traffic

– TechArk Network Operat or Measurement Activity (NOMA) conducted preliminary tests of IPv6 performance for HTTP traffic using RIPE Atlases.

– Found performance of IPv6 is better when measuring to a “near” target

https://blog.apnic.net/2017/09/29/network-operator-perspective-ipv6-performance/

Page 26: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv6 in Action: Performance

• IPv6 at LinkedIn

– For some select networks in Europe, LinkedIn is seeing up to 40% performance improvements over IPv6, and in the US, up to 10%.

– TCP timeout on IPv4 over mobile carrier networks is as high as 4.6% and IPv6 timeouts are on a much lower side at 1.6%.

https://blog.apnic.net/2016/05/13/linkedin-ipv6-measurements/

Page 27: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Motivation for Early Market

• Simplify network design

• Commitment to Internet Tech Evolution

• Government Encouragement• Capability to support growth, IoT, Smart Cities, future

services • Reduce load on CGN

• Lower CAPEX

Page 28: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Three-stages of IPv6 Growth• Fast growth driven by single, early

market driver– Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea

• Initial roll-out followed by spread to other Internet Service Providers– Incld. India, New Zealand, Sri Lanka, Thailand,

Viet Nam, Taiwan

South Korea

• Mature IPv6 market with rich availability from access providers and deployment by providers of Internet services (incld. content, cable TV, cloud)– Incld. Japan, Malaysia, Singapore

India

Malaysia

Page 29: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Industry Trend: Content-Top 1000 Websites IPv6

http://www.worldipv6launch.org/measurements/ 20190831

Page 30: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Industry Trend: Devices Worldwide

Mobile

Desktop

Tablet

http://gs.statcounter.com/platform-market-share/desktop-mobile-tablet/ 20190831

Page 31: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Industry trend: Who is in control?

• Mobile is driving the internet

• However, born and raised on NAT!– Still heavily based on CG-NAT

• The true driver for IPv6 adoption is mobile internet!

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Page 32: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv6 in Action: Mobile Networks

32

Carrier Economy Deployment

Verizon Wireless USA Dual-stack (2011)

T-Mobile USA 464XLAT (2012)

SK Telecom Korea 464XLAT (2014)

Telstra Australia 464XLAT (2016)

Reliance Jio India Dual-stack (2016)

AIS Thailand Dual-stack (2017)

Bhutan Telecom Bhutan Dual-stack (2018)

Chungwa Telecom Taiwan Dual-stack (2018)

Page 33: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

IPv6 and Mobile devices

• 464XLAT:– Android (4.4 - KitKat)– Windows Phone (8.1+)

• IPv6-only:– iOS

• since iOS 9 (supported Ion WiFi for a long time)

• since June 2016, apps in App Store must support IPv6 https://developer.apple.com/support/ipv6/

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• DHCPv6:– Windows– iOS

• Dual-stack:– KaiOS (Jio handsets)– iOS: reports for dual-stack

since 11.3 (through carrier update)

Page 34: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial
Page 35: 01 Where are we now - wiki.apnictraining.net · Three-stages of IPv6 Growth •Fast growth driven by single, early market driver – Incld. Australia, Bhutan, South Korea •Initial

Questions?