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1 Eyewall Evolution of Typhoons Crossing the Philippines and Taiwan: An 1 Observational Study 2 Kun-Hsuan Chou 1 , Chun-Chieh Wu 2 , Yuqing Wang 3 , and Cheng-Hsiang Chih 4 3 1 Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan 4 2 Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan 5 3 International Pacific Research Center, and Department of Meteorology, University of 6 Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii 7 4 Graduate Institute of Earth Science/Atmospheric Science, Chinese Culture University, 8 Taipei, Taiwan 9 10 11 12 13 Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences 14 (For Special Issue on “Typhoon Morakot (2009): Observation, Modeling, and 15 Forecasting Applications”) 16 (Accepted on 10 May, 2011) 17 18 ___________________ 19 Corresponding Author’s address: Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, 20 National Taiwan University, 55, Hwa-Kang Road, Yang-Ming-Shan, Taipei 111, Taiwan. 21 ([email protected] ) 22

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Page 1: 1 Eyewall Evolution of Typhoons Crossing the Philippines ...typhoon.as.ntu.edu.tw/wu_paper/20110510-manuscript-final.pdf · 38 the Philippines between 2000and 20 10 shows that most

1

Eyewall Evolution of Typhoons Crossing the Philippines and Taiwan: An 1

Observational Study 2

Kun-Hsuan Chou1, Chun-Chieh Wu2, Yuqing Wang3, and Cheng-Hsiang Chih4 3

1Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan 4

2Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan 5

3International Pacific Research Center, and Department of Meteorology, University of 6 Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii 7

4Graduate Institute of Earth Science/Atmospheric Science, Chinese Culture University, 8

Taipei, Taiwan 9

10

11

12

13

Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences 14

(For Special Issue on “Typhoon Morakot (2009): Observation, Modeling, and 15

Forecasting Applications”) 16

(Accepted on 10 May, 2011) 17 18

___________________ 19

Corresponding Author’s address: Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, 20

National Taiwan University, 55, Hwa-Kang Road, Yang-Ming-Shan, Taipei 111, Taiwan. 21

([email protected])22

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Abstract 23

This study examines the statistical characteristics of the eyewall evolution induced by 24

the landfall process and terrain interaction over Luzon Island of the Philippines and Taiwan. 25

The interesting eyewall evolution processes include the eyewall expansion during landfall, 26

followed by contraction in some cases after re-emergence in the warm ocean. The best 27

track data, advanced satellite microwave imagers, high spatial and temporal 28

ground-observed radar images and rain gauges are utilized to study this unique eyewall 29

evolution process. The large-scale environmental conditions are also examined to 30

investigate the differences between the contracted and non-contracted outer eyewall cases 31

for tropical cyclones that reentered the ocean. 32

Based on the best track data of JTWC from 1945 to 2010, the statistical characteristics 33

of the eyewall evolution of tropical cyclones induced by the landfall process over the 34

Philippines and Taiwan are studied. On average, there are 3.0 and 1.3 typhoons per year 35

that were originated from the western North Pacific and crossed the Philippines and Taiwan, 36

respectively. An examination of the available microwave images of 23 typhoons crossing 37

the Philippines between 2000 and 2010 shows that most typhoons experienced this kind of 38

eyewall evolution, i.e., the radius of the eyewall for 91% of the landfalling typhoons 39

increased during landfall, while the radius of the eyewall for 57% of the cases contracted 40

when the typhoons reentered the ocean after they crossed the Philippines. For typhoons 41

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that crossed Taiwan, based on the microwave and radar images, 89% of the cases show an 42

expansion of the eyewall during the landfall. However, the reorganization of the outer 43

eyewall and subsequent contraction were rarely observed due to the small fraction of the 44

ocean when the typhoons entered the Taiwan Strait. In addition, the observed rainfall 45

shows an expansion in the rainfall area induced by terrain. Furthermore, the analyses of 46

large-scale environmental conditions show that small vertical wind shear, high low-level 47

relative humidity and sea surface temperature are important for the reorganization of the 48

outer eyewall and the subsequent eyewall contraction when the typhoons reentered the 49

ocean. 50

51

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1. Introduction 52

The eyewall of a tropical cyclone (TC) consists of deep convective clouds surrounding 53

the eye that on the contrary contains only light winds and almost no precipitation. The 54

most severe weather, such as maximum winds and torrential rains, occurs in the eyewall. 55

It is generally believed that the evolution of the eyewall is responsible for the intensity 56

change of a TC. Therefore, the evolution of the eyewall has always been an intriguing 57

issue in TC research. Recent studies have shed some new insights into the internal 58

thermodynamics and dynamics of TCs, such as the description of eyewall features and eye 59

thermodynamics (Shapiro and Willoughby, 1982; Willoughby, 1998); the replacement of 60

concentric eyewall (Willoughby et al. 1982; Willoughby and Black, 1996); asymmetric 61

mixing of the eye and eyewall in the formation of annular hurricanes (Knaff et al., 2003); 62

the formation of mesovortices and the polygonal eyewall structure which are linked to 63

barotropic instability and the potential vorticity mixing processes between the eye and the 64

eyewall (Schubert et al. 1999; Kossin and Eastin, 2001; Kossin and Schubert, 2001); and 65

the presence of convectively coupled vortex Rossby waves in the eyewall (Montgomery and 66

Kallenbach, 1997; Wang, 2002). 67

Another important factor affecting the eyewall evolution is the topography that a TC 68

encounters. Brand and Blelloch (1973) was the first to document the effect of the 69

Philippine Islands on the changes in the track, eye diameter, storm intensity and size of TCs 70

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during 1960-70 based on the Annual Typhoon Reports of Joint Typhoon Warning Center 71

(with aircraft reconnaissance available during that period). It was indicated that the 72

frictional effect of land mass and the reduction in heat and moisture supply by the ocean are 73

the primary causes of the above changes (Wu et al. 2009). 74

There have been limited numbers of studies focusing on the eyewall dynamics of 75

typhoons making landfalls at the Philippine Islands, whose terrain has horizontal scales 76

about equivalent to the size of the TC. The interesting eyewall evolution of Typhoon Zeb 77

(1998) before, during, and after its landfall at Luzon was documented from both the satellite 78

observation and numerical simulation (Wu et al. 2003). It is proposed that the terrain 79

plays a critical role in such an eyewall evolution: first the eyewall contraction just before 80

landfall, its breakdown after landfall, and then the reorganization of a larger outer eyewall 81

after the storm returns to the ocean. Further detailed numerical examination of this unique 82

eyewall evolution was documented in Wu et al. (2009). It was shown that the presence of 83

Luzon plays a critical role in the observed eyewall evolution. The eyewall replacement 84

occurred in Typhoon Zeb was triggered by the mesoscale terrain that has a horizontal scale 85

similar to the core of the typhoon. Furthermore, based on several sensitivity experiments, 86

it was shown that both diabatic heating and surface friction are key factors for the 87

maintenance and the reorganization of the outer eyewall when Zeb reentered the ocean. 88

Besides Typhoon Zeb (1998) over Luzon, similar scenarios have also been observed in 89

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other storms, such as Typhoon Dan (1999) over Luzon, Typhoon Talim (2005) over Taiwan, 90

and Hurricane Gilbert (1988), Wilma (2005) and Dean (2007) over Yucatan Peninsula 91

(Chou and Wu 2008). Figure 1 shows the topography of the Philippines and Taiwan. It 92

can be found that both the Philippines and Taiwan have terrain features with the horizontal 93

scales (several hundred km) similar to the size of TCs. In addition, it is shown that the 94

area of the Philippines is wider than the island of Taiwan, and the high mountains are 95

located in the northern Philippines (Luzon island) while similar topography is found in 96

central Taiwan. Since any changes in the eyewall structure would lead to or be 97

accompanied by change in the storm intensity, it is believed that a better understanding of 98

such terrain-induced eyewall evolution could improve our understanding of TC structure 99

and intensity changes, especially for TCs making landfall and interacting with mesoscale 100

terrains (Wang and Wu 2004). Furthermore, the issue on intensity and inner-core structure 101

change, and the associated precipitation pattern of a landfalling TC is very important for 102

operational forecasts. 103

The main objective of this study is to document the statistical characteristics of the 104

eyewall evolution induced by the landfall process and terrain interaction over Luzon Island 105

of the Philippines and Taiwan based on the advanced satellite microwave imagers and high 106

spatial and temporal radar images. The difference between the typhoons with and without 107

the reorganization of the outer eyewall when typhoons reentered the ocean will be examined. 108

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Furthermore, the differences in eyewall evolutions between the typhoons crossing the 109

Philippines and those crossing the Taiwan are also identified. The analyses data are 110

described in section 2. The statistical characteristics of the eyewall evolution of typhoons 111

crossing the Philippines and Taiwan are discussed in sections 3 and 4, respectively. The 112

overall findings are summarized in the last section. 113

2. The Data Descriptions 114

a. Best track TC data 115

The best track data including 6-hourly estimates of position and intensity are obtained 116

from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). The JTWC data are utilized to 117

document the overall statistics for TCs crossing the Philippines during the period 118

1945-2010. Since the eyewall structure is well organized only in strong TCs and that its 119

evolution can be depicted using the microwave imagers, this study will primarily focus on 120

the eyewall evolution of TCs with maximum sustained surface winds larger than 64 knots 121

(namely, “typhoons” as defined in this study). 122

b. Satellite microwave imagery 123

Microwave imagery allows for identification of rain and ice particle patterns within TC 124

rainbands that are normally blocked by mid- to upper-level clouds in the infrared and visible 125

imagery (Velden et al. 2006). Passive microwave digital data and imagery can provide key 126

storm structural details and offset many of the visible/infrared spectral problems (Hawkins 127

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et al. 2001). The microwave imagers used in this study include the Special Sensor 128

Microwave Imager (SSM/I), the Special Sensor Microwave Imager Sounder (SSM/IS), 129

Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager (TRMM/TMI), and Advanced 130

Microwave Scanning Radiometer - Earth Observing System instrument on Aqua satellite 131

(AMSR-E/Aqua). The advantage of these imagers is that the cirrus clouds are transparent 132

while using the 85-91 GHz channel. Therefore, an excellent view of the eye, eyewall, and 133

rainband structure of TCs can be provided by the 85-91 GHz brightness temperature, and 134

the size of the eyewall can be well captured and estimated by these microwave imagers. 135

The archived microwave imagers from 2000 to 2010 are obtained from the Navy Research 136

Laboratory’s Tropical Cyclone Webpage 137

(http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html). 138

c. Radar reflectivity 139

The composite radar reflectivity data are taken from the Central Weather Bureau 140

(CWB) radar network for analyzing the eyewall evolution when typhoons cross Taiwan. 141

The dataset has 0.0125o lat. by 0.0125o lon. horizontal resolution and 10 minute temporal 142

resolution. Currently, the only archived composite radar reflectivity data after 2005 are 143

available, thus only typhoons that crossed Taiwan during 2005-2010 are examined with the 144

radar reflectivity data. The locations of CWB radar stations are denoted by triangle 145

symbols in Fig. 1b. 146

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d. NCEP FNL global analysis 147

The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) final gridded analysis 148

(FNL) datasets are on 1.0o lat. by 1.0o lon. grids prepared operationally every six hours (00, 149

06, 12 and 18 UTC). The dataset is not a re-analysis product, but is obtained from the 150

NCEP Global Data Assimilation System, which continuously collects observational data 151

from the Global Telecommunications System and other sources. The analyses are 152

available on the surface and at 26 mandatory (and other pressure) levels from 1000 to 10 153

hPa. Parameters include surface pressure, sea level pressure, geopotential height, 154

temperature, sea surface temperature, soil values, ice cover, relative humidity, zonal and 155

meridional velocity, vertical velocity, vorticity and ozone concentration 156

(http://www.ncep.noaa.gov/). 157

In this study the environmental low level relative humidity and vertical wind shear 158

near the core of TCs are calculated based on the NCEP FNL for each typhoon that crossed 159

the Philippines or Taiwan during 2000-2010. The low-level (at 700 hPa) relative humidity 160

is averaged over a 5° latitude-longitude square, centered on the best-track location of each 161

storm. The vertical wind shear was estimated based on the vector difference between the 162

200- and 850-hPa winds, averaged within the 2-8 degree radius of the storm center. The 163

method of shear calculation is determined by referring to Knaff et al. (2005) to keep the 164

shear values from being corrupted by the bogus vortex in the global analysis. 165

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e. Sea surface temperature 166

The NCEP Real-Time Global Sea Surface Temperature analysis (RTG-SST) has 0.5o 167

lat. by 0.5o lon. horizontal resolution. The operational RTG-SST product uses in situ (ship 168

and buoy) and satellite-derived SST data (NOAA-16 SEATEMP retrievals) from the Naval 169

Oceanographic Office Major Shared Resource Center (Thiébaux et al. 2003). In this study, 170

the RTG-SST near the core of TC, i.e, averaged over a 5° latitude by 5o longitude square, 171

centered at the best-track location of each typhoon, is calculated for each typhoon that 172

crossed the Philippines during 2001-2010. Note that since the RTG-SST data are not 173

available until 2001, the RTG-SST calculation is not available for typhoons in 2000. 174

f. Automatic rain gauge data 175

The Central Weather Bureau (CWB) automatic rain gauge data are used for the rainfall 176

analysis for typhoons that crossed Taiwan during 2005-2010. More than five hundred 177

stations are deployed around the island during 2005-2010, and the rainfall data are recorded 178

hourly. The locations of CWB rain gauge stations are denoted by cross symbols in Fig. 1b. 179

3. The eyewall evolution scenarios for typhoons crossing the Philippines 180

Figure 2 is a histogram showing the number of tropical storm cases (with the 181

maximum sustained surface winds between 34 and 63 knots) and typhoon cases (with the 182

maximum sustained surface winds larger than 64 knots) with their centers passing through 183

either the Philippines or Taiwan from 1945 to 2010. It can be found that during this period 184

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on average about 26 TCs occurred over the western North Pacific per year, with 8.7 in the 185

tropical storm category and 16.9 reaching typhoon intensity. Figure 2a shows that among 186

all the TCs, on average each year about 2.2 tropical storms and 3.0 typhoons made landfall 187

at and crossed the Philippines, which accounts for about 20% of the total number of TCs in 188

the western North Pacific. Among all the TCs crossing Taiwan (Fig. 2b), about 0.7 189

tropical storms and 1.3 typhoons made landfall and crossed Taiwan respectively, which 190

accounts for 8% of the total number of TCs in the western North Pacific. As compared to 191

the results of TCs crossing the Philippines, the amount of lanfalling TCs in Taiwan is 192

roughly reduced by half. 193

It is our interest to examine the terrain-induced eyewall evolution as mentioned in the 194

introduction. The 85-91 GHz brightness temperature microwave images available from 195

2000 to 2010 are used to depict the eyewall evolution for storms prior to, during and after 196

landfall, after passing through the Philippines and reentering the ocean. During the 197

11-year period, 23 typhoons passed through the Philippines. Most of the storms either 198

recurved northward or continued moving westward after crossing the Philippines. Later 199

on, most of the typhoons affected Japan, Taiwan, China, and the Indochina Peninsula, 200

respectively. The information about the duration time (the time each storm crossed the 201

islands), intensity, and estimated radius of convective ring (eyewall) during the period when 202

each storm crossed the Philippines is listed in Table 1. 203

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Figure 3 shows the microwave images of the eyewall evolution before the storm made 204

landfall, when it left the island, and after the storm reentered the ocean. Different 205

characteristics are shown: three typhoons with reorganization of a larger outer eyewall 206

(Xangsane in 2000, Cimaron in 2006, Megi in 2010), and one typhoon (Mitag in 2007) 207

without reorganization of the outer eyewall. It can be found from these microwave images 208

that the radii of the eyewalls generally reached the minimum before landfall, with radii of 209

the eyewall ranging from 20 to 100 km (Figs. 3a, 3d, and 3g). After the storms left the 210

Philippine islands, the eye became unidentifiable since the original primary eyewall 211

convection weakened considerably due to the dissipation over the land/terrain and the 212

reduction of the surface moisture supply (Figs. 3b, 3e, and 3h). In most (91%) of the cases, 213

the outer eyewall reappeared when the storms were about to leave the land and to reenter 214

the ocean. During this period, the radii of the outer eyewall were roughly between 100 215

and 200 km. After the storm reentered the ocean, the inner eyewall vanished and the outer 216

eyewall was organized and contracted with radii between 50 and 150 km (Figs. 3c, 3g, and 217

3i). According to the microwave image analyses for 23 typhoons, 57 % of them 218

experienced reorganization of the outer eyewall. The estimated radii of the eyewall as 219

storms cross the Philippines are shown in the Table 1. 220

Considering the intensity evolution based on the best-track for typhoons passing 221

through the Philippines (Table 1), 82% of the typhoons influenced by the topography 222

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weakened during landfall, while four of them (18%) intensified because their tracks passed 223

through a rather small fraction of the landmass in the southern part of the Philippine islands. 224

When the typhoons left the islands and reentered the ocean, 11 of them (47%) reintensified. 225

Note that these reintensification cases are not exactly the cases with reorganization of the 226

outer eyewall depicted in the microwave images. Regarding both the intensity and 227

eyewall evolutions, 8 typhoons (35%) experienced both reintensification and reorganization 228

of the outer eyewall after they reentered the ocean. These cases are called the obvious 229

reorganization eyewall cases, while the others are called the non-obvious reorganization 230

eyewall cases. 231

Figure 4 shows the duration and environmental conditions of the obvious and 232

non-obvious reorganization eyewall typhoons. The duration is defined by the time 233

difference between the landfall of the storm and its exit from the island. The duration is 234

random in the two groups (Fig. 4a). The mean duration of the obvious reorganization 235

eyewall cases is 17.6 hours, which is slightly longer than the non-obvious reorganization 236

eyewall cases of 16.0 hours. This is likely not statistically significant. 237

Comparisons of the environmental conditions between the obvious and non-obvious 238

reorganization eyewall cases (Figs. 4b, 4c, and 4d) indicate that the former appears to be 239

embedded in an environment with smaller vertical wind shear, higher low-level relative 240

humidity, and higher sea surface temperature than the later. The differences in mean 241

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vertical wind shear, low-level relative humidity, and sea surface temperature between the 242

obvious and non-obvious reorganization eyewall cases are -3.0 m s-1, 6.8 %, 1.2 0C, 243

respectively. Note that the above results are based on 23 typhoons crossing the Philippine 244

islands in the past 11 years, thus making them statistically less significant. However, these 245

three environmental factors influencing the reorganization of the outer eyewall are rather 246

consistent with the necessary conditions of tropical cyclone genesis proposed by Gray 247

(1968), i.e., the favorable vertical shear pattern, moist mid-troposphere, and warm SST. 248

4. The eyewall evolution scenarios for typhoons crossing Taiwan 249

As shown in Fig. 2b, there are 19 typhoons crossing Taiwan during 2000-2010. The 250

same microwave image analyses are applied to these typhoons. Figure 5 shows six 251

particular typhoons (Talim in 2005, Sepat and Krosa in 2007, Jangmi in 2008, Morakot in 252

2009, and Fanapi in 2010) with smaller eyewalls before landfall and larger eyewalls after 253

entering the Taiwan Strait. Note that for typhoons crossing Taiwan, reorganization of the 254

outer eyewall is rarely observed because the storms generally pass through the Taiwan Strait 255

and make landfall over Mainland China within short periods of time (usually less than 36 256

hours). The information about the duration, intensity, and estimated radius of the 257

convective eyewall during the period of each storm crossing Taiwan are shown in Table 2. 258

The minimum and maximum duration of typhoons crossing Taiwan are 1 h and 46 h, 259

respectively, with an average of 12.7 h. For the intensity evolution, all typhoons weakened 260

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during the landfall, except in 2 cases (Nari and Lekima in 2001) the typhoon intensified 261

after entering the Taiwan Strait. For the evolution of the eyewall convection, except 262

Kaitak in 2000 and Mindulle in 2004, in about 89% cases the major convective ring was 263

shifted from the central area to the outer area of the storm. 264

Figure 6 shows the radar reflectivity evolutions of the same six typhoons crossing 265

Taiwan. Following the subjective definition of the outer eyewall by Kossin and Sitkowski 266

(2009), the major convective ring is identified and plotted in the figure when there is at least 267

75% of a complete circular band with 0.5 degree width. Taking Typhoon Talim in 2005 as 268

an example (Figs. 6a and 6b), the major convective ring before landfall and after the storm 269

reentered the ocean is located at the radii of 0.6 and 1.7 degree latitude from the storm 270

center, respectively. Based on these radar images, the convective rings are usually located 271

within 1.0 degree radius from the storm center before landfall, and they shift to the outer 272

area ranging between 1.0 and 2.0 degree radii from the storm center after reentering the 273

ocean. In the cases of Talim, Sepat, Kroa, Jangmi, Morakot, and Fanapi, the landfall of the 274

typhoons in Taiwan lead to increment of the radius of the major convective ring by 0.9, 0.7, 275

1.4, 1.2, 1.4, and 0.2 degrees, respectively. These results are consistent with the eyewall 276

evolution as depicted by the microwave images in Fig. 5, while the quantitative analysis is 277

preformed based on radar images with high temporal and spatial resolution. 278

Detailed evaluations of the eyewall evolution for typhoons crossing Taiwan are 279

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analyzed by the radius-time Hovmöller diagrams of the azimuthally-averaged radar 280

reflectivity as shown in Fig. 7. It can be found that most typhoons (53%) showed 281

contraction of the inner eyewall and the presence of concentric eyewall before landfall over 282

Taiwan (Figs. 7a, 7b, 7e, 7f, 7h, 7j, and 7l). The inner eyewalls in most cases are located 283

within 1.0 degree radius from the storm center, while the outer eyewalls are located at a 284

radius about 1.0-2.0 degrees from the storm center. Both the inner and outer eyewalls 285

obviously collapsed, and the convection areas shifted inward at the beginning of the landfall. 286

Hereafter, the inner eyewall gradually weakened and the outer eyewall reorganized several 287

hours later after the storms made landfall. The radii of the reorganized outer eyewall range 288

between 1.0-2.2 degrees, with the smallest and largest being in Pabuk in 2007 and Haitang 289

in 2005 (as shown in Fig.6d and Fig. 7a). Note that except for Sinlaku, Jangmi, and 290

Fanapi, the reorganized eyewall did not contract when the storms cross the Taiwan Strait. 291

Overall, results from these Hovmöller-diagram analyses are not only consistent with 292

those depicted by the microwave images, but also provide a high temporal and spatial 293

observational evidence in demonstrating the terrain-induced eyewall evolution when 294

typhoons cross islands as indicated earlier in Wu et al. (2003). Furthermore, the 295

contraction of the eyewall before the storms made landfall at Taiwan was also consistent 296

with the observational analyses (Willoughby and Black 1996; Chang et al. 2009) and the 297

numerical simulations (Wu et al. 2009). 298

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Figure 8 shows the radius-time Hovmöller diagrams of the azimuthally-averaged 299

(relative to the storm center) rainfall rate observed hourly for typhoons crossing Taiwan 300

during 2005-2010. The azimuthally-averaged rainfall rate is calculated from the storm 301

center to 5 degree radius with a bin size of 0.1 degree radius. It should be noted that since 302

the frequency of rainfall data is observed hourly, the distance between each rain gauge and 303

the location of the storm center is calculated every hour, while the hourly location of the 304

storm center is interpolated from 3-hourly CWB best track. It can be found that before the 305

landfall and first several hours during the landfall period, except for Pabuk in 2007 and 306

Kalmaegi in 2008 (Figs. 8d and 8g), the areas with larger rainfall rate were always located 307

within 0.5 degree radius from the storm center. Then, the rainfall rate in the storm core 308

gradually vanished and the locations of the maximum rainfall rate shifted outward to 1.0-2.0 309

degree radius from the storm center when the storms left Taiwan. These results are 310

consistent with the analyses of the radius-time Hovmöller diagrams of radar reflectivity. 311

Furthermore, these rainfall analyses indicate that the topography of Taiwan not only alters 312

the evolution of the eyewall, but also modifies the rainfall pattern of landfalling typhoons. 313

Note that the Pabuk passed through the southern part of Taiwan in just one hour. 314

Therefore, the modulation of the eyewall and rainfall pattern for Pabuk may not be as 315

significant as the other cases. The unique rainfall patterns induced by Kalmaegi and 316

Morakot are related to the confluent region associated with the storm circulation and the 317

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environmental southwesterly monsoon flows as proposed in Ge et al. (2010) and Hong et al. 318

(2010). However, the rainfall pattern expanding outward from the storm center caused by 319

the terrain effect is consistent with the process revealed in this study. 320

5. Concluding remarks 321

The statistical characteristics of the terrain-induced eyewall evolution when a typhoon 322

makes landfall, as in the discussion about Typhoon Zeb (1998) over Luzon Islandby Wu et 323

al. (2003, 2009), are examined based on the best track data, advanced satellite microwave 324

imagers, high spatial and temporal ground-observed radar images and rain gauges in this 325

study. Based on the analyses of JTWC best track from 1945-2010, it is found that 326

annuallyat least 3.0 TCs with sustained surface maximum winds larger than 64 knots passed 327

through the Philippine islands and 1.3 through Taiwan. During the eleven-year period 328

from 2000 and 2010, the eyewall evolution associated with the 23 and 19 typhoons 329

respectively making landfall in the Philippine islands and Taiwan, are detected by the 85-91 330

GHz brightness temperature satellite microwave imagers. Based on these available 331

microwave images for typhoons crossing the Philippine islands, the results indicate that the 332

radius of the eyewall increased during landfall in 91% of the landfalling typhoons, while in 333

57% of the cases the radius of the eyewall contracted when the typhoon reentered the ocean. 334

For typhoons crossing Taiwan, both the microwave images from satellites and the 335

reflectivity images from ground-based radar observations are applied to analyze the eyewall 336

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evolution. It is found that 89% of cases show an expansion of the eyewall during the 337

landfall period. However, reorganization of the outer eyewall is seldom observed due to 338

the limited time the typhoon spends over the Taiwan Strait before making landfall in 339

Mainland China. Furthermore, based on the observed rainfall analyses, an expansion of 340

the rainfall pattern due to the effect of terrain is also revealed. These results provide a 341

conceptual model that may help improve the forecast of severe weather associated with 342

such type of landfalling storms. It should be noted that the findings of this study could 343

gain more insights to the impact of terrain on rainfall caused by landfalling TCs. In 344

traditional view, the landfalling TC provides stronger wind on the windward side, which 345

then enhances the orographic lifting, hereafter produces more rainfall (Wu and Kuo 1999). 346

The large-scale environmental conditions are examined to investigate the differences 347

between the contracted and non-contracted outer eyewall cases. The results show that 348

small vertical wind shear, high low-level relative humidity, and warm sea surface 349

temperatures are important for the reorganization of the outer eyewall after the landfalling 350

typhoons reenter the ocean. 351

The eyewall evolution examined by the satellite microwave imagers is consistent with 352

the finding by Brand and Blelloch (1973), who indicated that the islands of the Philippines 353

affected the eye diameter of passing typhoons based on aircraft reconnaissance data. 354

Although this special eyewall evolution had been identified by Brand and Blelloch (1973), 355

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we have documented the climatological aspects of such eyewall evolution and also shown 356

that the advanced satellite microwave imagers can depict the eyewall evolution for almost 357

all cases selected. Furthermore, this study also shows that this special eyewall evolution 358

can also be found in typhoons making landfall in Taiwan from high spatial and temporal 359

radar images. 360

Although this terrain-induced eyewall evolution has been better documented, some 361

issues remain unsolved and are yet to be addressed in future studies. (1) How is such an 362

eyewall evolution influenced by the size of the land, the height of the terrain, and the size 363

and intensity of the landfalling storm? (2) What determines the timing for the inner 364

eyewall to break down after the storm makes landfall? (3) What is the relationship 365

between land with different surface roughness, latent heat flux supply, and topography? (4) 366

How does the environmental vertical wind shear affect this eyewall evolution? It is 367

expected that more physical insights can be obtained from more well-designed sensitivity 368

numerical experiments with high-resolution cloud-resolving models. 369

Acknowledgments: The authors would like to express their sincere appreciation to Dr. P.-L. 370

Chang for providing the CWB radar mosaic data. The work is supported by the National 371

Science Council of Taiwan through Grants NSC-98-2111-M-034-002, 372

NSC98-2111-M-002-008-MY3, and NSC-99-2111-M-034-004. YW has been supported in 373

part by U.S. NSF grant ATM-0754039. 374

375

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Table and figure captions 448

Table 1. Information for the 23 selected typhoons that crossed the Philippines. INTi (INTo) 449

represents the maximum sustained surface wind when the tropical storms moved in 450

(out) of the islands and INTm represents the maximum sustained surface wind within 451

48 h after the storm left the islands. REi, REo, and REr mean the size of the major 452

convective ring of the eyewall estimated by the satellite microwave images, for 453

typhoons before landfall, while leaving the islands, and while reentering the ocean, 454

respectively. Ring 1 indicates the area within 0.5 degree latitudes in radius from the 455

storm center, and rings 2, 3, 4 represent the distance ranges of 0.5-1, 1-1.5, 1.5-2.0 456

degrees in radius, respectively. Superscript “*” means that the major convective 457

ring expanded after landfall, and “**” denotes events in which the major 458

convective ring contracted after reentering the ocean. OEC means the obvious 459

reorganization of the outer eyewall when INTm is larger than INTo and REr is small 460

than REo. Value of“---”indicates that the scenario is not identifiable. 461

Table 2. Same as in Table 1, but for typhoons that crossed Taiwan. 462

Fig. 1. The terrain height of 30-minute USGS (United States Geological Survey) digital 463

elevation model data (unit: m) of the Philippines (a) and Taiwan (b), respectively. 464

The triangle and cross symbols in (b) represent the CWB radar and automatic rain 465

gauge data stations. 466

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Fig. 2. Histogram of numbers of tropical storms (TS) and typhoons (TY) from JTWC best 467

track from 1945 to 2010. TSI and TYI (TSO and TYO) indicate the tracks of TS and 468

TY (not) crossing the Philippines (a) and Taiwan (b), respectively. 469

Fig. 3. The microwave images of 85-91-GHz brightness temperature for three typhoons 470

(Xangsane in 2000, Cimaron on 2006, and Megi in 2010), one with the outer eyewall 471

reorganized and the other without (Mitag in 2007). Each case contains three 472

individual images, showing the inner-core structure when typhoons moved into and 473

away from the Philippines, and the reorganization of the larger outer eyewall when 474

the storms reentered the ocean. The four rings showed in (a) are each within the range 475

of 0-0.5, 0.5-1, 1-1.5, 1.5-2.0 degrees from the storm center. 476

Fig. 4. The duration (a), environmental vertical wind shear (b), low-level relative humidity 477

(c), and sea surface temperature (d) for TY cases which crossed the Philippines in 478

2000-2010. The vertical wind shear is averaged between 2 to 8 degree radius from 479

the storm center and averaged within 48h after the storm left the islands. The low 480

level relative humidity is averaged in a 5o x 5o box centered at the storm center and 481

averaged within 48h after the storm left the islands. The sea surface temperature is 482

also calculated as the mean in a 5o x 5o box centered at the storm center at the same 483

time before the typhoon made landfall. 484

Fig. 5. Same as in Fig. 3, but for six typhoons (Talim in 2005, Sepat and Krosa in 2007, 485

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Jangmi in 2008, Morakot in 2009, and Fanapi in 2010) that crossed Taiwan. Each 486

case contains two individual images, showing the inner-core structure changes when 487

typhoons moved into and away from Taiwan. 488

Fig. 6. The radar reflectivity evolutions of six particular typhoons (Talim in 2005, Sepat and 489

Krosa in 2007, Jangmi in 2008, Morakot in 2009, and Fanapi in 2010) that crossed 490

Taiwan. Each case contains three individual images, showing the inner-core 491

structure changes when typhoons moved into and away from Taiwan. Three solid 492

rings with 0.5 degree radius are shown for identifying the maximum convection 493

regions near the core of the typhoons. The locations of typhoons are interpolated 494

from 3-h best track of CWB. 495

Fig. 7. Radius-time Hovmöller diagram of the azimuthally-averaged radar reflectivity (dBZ) 496

for 12 typhoons that crossed Taiwan. The dotted (dashed) horizontal line indicates 497

the time when typhoons made landfall at (exited from) Taiwan. 498

Fig. 8. Radius-time Hovmöller diagram of the azimuthally-averaged (relative to the storm 499

center) observed rainfall rate (mm h-1) for 12 typhoons that crossed Taiwan. The 500

dotted (dashed) horizontal line indicates the time when typhoons made landfall at 501

(exited from) Taiwan. The observed rainfall rates are calculated from the CWB 502

automatic rain gauge. 503

504

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Table 1. Information for the 23 selected typhoons that crossed the Philippines. INTi (INTo) 505 represents the maximum sustained surface wind when the tropical storms moved in (out) of 506 the islands and INTm represents the maximum sustained surface wind within 48 h after the 507 storm left the islands. REi, REo, and REr mean the size of the major convective ring of 508 the eyewall estimated by the satellite microwave images, for typhoons before landfall, 509 while leaving the islands, and while reentering the ocean, respectively. Ring 1 indicates 510 the area within 0.5 degree latitudes in radius from the storm center, and rings 2, 3, 4 511 represent the distance ranges of 0.5-1, 1-1.5, 1.5-2.0 degrees in radius, respectively. 512 Superscript “*” means that the major convective ring expanded after landfall, and 513 “**” denotes events in which the major convective ring contracted after reentering the 514 ocean. OEC means the obvious reorganization of the outer eyewall when INTm is larger 515 than INTo and REr is small than REo. Value of“---”indicates that the scenario is not 516 identifiable. 517

TC NAME DT INTi INTo INTm REi REo REr OEC

XANGSANE(2000) 26 70 55 90 1-2 2-3* 2** Yes BEBINCA(2000) 25 65 65 65 1 2* 1-2** No IMBUDO(2003) 7 130 80 90 1-2 3-4* 2-3** Yes KROVANH(2003) 7 90 70 85 1-2 2* 2 No MELOR(2003) 11 65 65 65 1-2 2* 2 No MUIFA(2004) 18 115 60 90 1-2 4* 2-3** Yes NANMADOL(2004) 4 130 100 100 1-2 2-3* 4 No ROKE(2005) 20 80 40 40 1 --- --- No CHANCHU(2006) 36 75 75 125 1-2 2-3* 2** Yes XANGSANE(2006) 24 65 100 115 1-2 2-3* 2** Yes CIMARON(2006) 10 140 95 100 1 3-4* 2-3** Yes CHEBI(2006) 11 125 95 95 1-2 2* 1-2** No DURIAN(2006) 20 135 95 95 1-2 2* 2 No UTOR(2006) 23 65 90 90 1-2 1-2 1-2 No PEIPAH(2007) 9 60 55 75 2 3-4* 2** Yes MITAG(2007) 5 95 65 65 2-3 2-3 2-3 No HALONG(2008) 15 65 45 55 1-2 2-3* 2-3 No FENGSHEN(2008) 53 70 60 60 2 3-4* 3-4 No NURI(2008) 7 95 90 90 2 4* 2-3** No CHAN-HOM(2009) 10 90 45 45 1-2 2* 2-3 No PARMA(2009) 12 135 65 65 2 3-4* 2-3** No CONSON(2010) 19 70 55 75 1-2 2-3* 2** Yes MEGI(2010) 9 155 90 115 1-2 3-4* 2-3** Yes

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29

Same as in Table 1, but for typhoons that crossed Taiwan.. 518

TC NAME DT INTi INTo INTm REi REo REr OEC

KAITAK(2000) 5 65 55 55 2-3 --- --- --- BILIS(2000) 5 140 120 120 1-2 4* --- --- TORAJI(2001) 11 95 75 75 1-2 2* --- --- NARI(2001) 46 85 30 55 1-2 2* --- --- LEKIMA(2001) 28 90 25 35 2 4* --- --- MORAKOT(2003) 8 65 60 60 2 2-3* --- --- MINDULLE(2004) 11 65 45 45 3-4 2-3 --- --- HAITANG(2005) 11 95 75 75 2 2-3* --- --- TALIM(2005) 6 110 70 70 2 4* --- --- LONGWANG(2005) 5 115 90 90 1-2 2-3* --- --- PABUK(2007) 1 70 65 65 1-2 1-2* --- --- SEPAT(2007) 6 105 85 85 2 3-4* --- --- KROSA(2007) 3 115 90 90 1-2 4* --- --- KALMAEGI(2008) 10 90 55 55 1-2 3-4* --- --- FUNGWONG(2008) 17 95 70 70 2 3* --- --- SINLAKU(2008) 26 100 65 65 2 2-3* --- --- JANGMI(2008) 21 115 60 60 2-3 3-4* --- --- MORAKOT(2009) 11 80 45 45 2 4* --- --- FANAPI(2010) 10 105 65 70 2 3-4* --- ---

519

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(a) (b)

Fig. 1. The terrain height of 30‐minute USGS (United States Geological Survey ) digital elevation model data (unit: m) of the Philippines (a) and Taiwan (b), respectively.  The triangle and cross symbols in (b) represent the CWB radar and automatic rain gauge datastations in Taiwan. 

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35

40TYI TYO TSI TSO(a)

15

20

25

30

Number

0

5

10

15

Case 

35

40TYI TYO TSI TSO

1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010Year

(b)

15

20

25

30

e Number

0

5

10

1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Cas

1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Fig. 2. Histogram of numbers of tropical storms (TS) and typhoons (TY) from JTWC best track from 1945 to 2010. TSI and TYI (TSO, TYO) indicate the tracks of TS and TY (not) crossing the Philippines (a) and Taiwan (b), respectively.

Year

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(a) 00Xangsane (b) 00Xangsane (c) 00Xangsane

(d) 06Cimaron (e) 06Cimaron (f) 06Cimaron(d) 06Cimaron (e) 06Cimaron (f) 06Cimaron

(g) 10Megi (h) 10Megi (i) 10Megi

(j) 07Mitage (k) 07Mitage (l) 07Mitage

Fig. 3. The microwave images of 85‐91‐GHz brightness temperature for three typhoons (Xangsane in 2000, g g g p yp ( g ,Cimaron on 2006, and Megi in 2010) with the reorganization of the outer eyewall and one without (Mitagin 2007).  Each case contains three individual images, showing the inner‐core structure when typhoons moved in, moved away from the Philippines and the reorganization of the larger outer eyewall when the storms reentered the ocean. Four rings showed in (a) indicate the distance from the storm center with radii of 0‐0.5, 0.5‐1, 1‐1.5, 1.5‐2.0 degrees, respectively.

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10

12 

14 

16 

18 

20 

22 

nd

sh

ear

(m/s

)

Shear

30 

40 

50 

60 

n t

ime

(h

r)

Duration time

(a) (b)Mean = 15.9 Mean = 17.6

Mean = 10.0 Mean = 7.0

10 

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binc

a

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h

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24 

25 

26 

27 

28 

29 

30 

31 

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60 

65 

70 

75 

80 

85 

90 

95 

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mid

ity

(%)

RH

(c) (d)Mean = 75.0 Mean = 81.8 Mean = 27.5 Mean = 28.7

22 

23 

00b

ebin

ca

03k

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nh

03m

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r

04

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Fig. 4. The duration (a), environmental vertical wind shear (b), low‐level relative humidity (c), and sea surface temperature (d) for TY cases which crossed the Philippines in 2000‐2010.  The vertical wind shear is averaged from 2 to 8 degree radius of the storm center and averaged within 48h after the storm left the islands.  The low level relative humidity is averaged in a 5o x 5o box centered at the storm center and averaged within 48h after the storm left the islands.  The sea surface temperature is also calculated as the mean in a 5o x 5o box centered at the storm center at the time before the typhoon made landfalltyphoon made landfall.

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(a) 05Talim (b) 05Talim (c) 07Sepat (d) 07Sepat

(e) 07Krosa (f) 07Krosa (g) 08Jangmi (h) 08Jangmi

(i) 09Morakot (j) 09Morakot (k) 10Fanapi (l) 10Fanapi

Fig. 5. Same as in Fig. 2, but for six typhoons (Talim in 2005, Sepat and Krosa in 2007, Jangmi in 2008, Morakot in 2009, and Fanapi in 2010) that crossed Taiwan.  Each case contains two individual images, showing the inner‐core structure changes when typhoons moved in, moved away from Taiwan.

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(a) 05Talim (c) 07Sepat (d) 07Sepat

(b) 05Talim

(g) 08Jangmi (h) 08Jangmi

(e) 07Krosa (f) 07Krosa

(i) 09Morakot (k) 10Fanapi (l) 10Fanapi

( ) ( )

Fig. 6. The radar reflectively evolutions for six particular typhoons (Talim in 2005, Sepat and Krosa in 2007, 

(j) 09Morakot

Jangmi in 2008, Morakot in 2009, and Fanapi in 2010) that crossed Taiwan.  Each case contains three individual images, showing the inner‐core structure changes when typhoons moved in, moved away from Taiwan.  Three solid rings with 0.5 degree radius are shown for identifying the maximum convection regions near the core of the typhoons.  The locations of typhoons are interpolated from 3‐h best track of CWB.

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Typhoon Hiatang (2005)

19/12Z

Typhoon Talim (2005) Typhoon Longwang (2005)(a) (b) (c) (d) Typhoon Pabuk (2007)

17/12Z

17/23Z

18/15Z

31/06Z

31/18Z

01/00Z

01/12Z

01/12Z

01/21Z

02/02Z

02/18Z

07/09Z

07/17Z07/18Z

08/03Z

Typhoon Sepat (2007)

17/21Z

18/03Z

19/03Z

Typhoon Krosa (2007)

06/17Z

07/09Z

Typhoon Kalmaegi (2008)

17/13Z

17/23Z

18/15Z

Typhoon Fungwong (2008)

27/22Z

28/06Z

29/00Z

(e) (f) (g) (h)

17/03Z 05/18Z

06/06Z

16/15Z 27/06Z

27/22Z

Typhoon Sinlaku (2008)

15/00Z

Typhoon Jangmi (2008)

29/09Z

Typhoon Morakot (2009)

08/18Z

(i) (j) (k) (l) Typhoon Fanapi (2010)

20/00Z

13/00Z

13/17Z

14/10Z

27/15Z

28/08Z

28/20Z

06/18Z

07/14Z

08/05Z

18/06Z

19/00Z

19/09Z

Fig. 7. Radius‐time Hovmöller diagram of the azimuthally‐averaged radar reflectively (dBZ) for 12 typhoons that crossed Taiwan. The dotted (dashed) horizontal line indicates the time when typhoons made landfall at (exited from) Taiwan.

13/00Z 27/15Z 06/18Z 18/06Z

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(a) (b) (c) (d)Typhoon Hiatang (2005)

19/12Z

Typhoon Talim (2005) Typhoon Longwang (2005) Typhoon Pabuk (2007)

17/12Z

17/23Z

18/15Z

31/06Z

31/18Z

01/00Z

01/12Z

01/12Z

01/21Z

02/02Z

02/18Z

07/09Z

07/18Z

08/16Z

07/17Z

Typhoon Fungwong (2008)

29/00Z

Typhoon Kalmaegi (2008)

17/23Z

18/15Z

Typhoon Krosa (2007)

07/09Z

(e) (f) (g) (h)

17/12Z 31/06Z 01/12Z 07/09Z

Typhoon Sepat (2007)

19/03Z

Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) Typhoon Jangmi (2008) Typhoon Morakot (2009) Typhoon Fanapi (2010)

27/06Z

27/22Z

28/06Z

16/15Z

17/13Z

05/18Z

06/06Z

06/17Z

(i) (j) (k) (l)

17/03Z

17/21Z

18/03Z

13/17Z

14/10Z

15/00Z

28/08Z

28/20Z

29/09Z

07/14Z

08/05Z

08/18Z

19/00Z

19/09Z

20/00Z

(i) (j) (k) (l)

Fig. 8. Radius‐time Hovmöller diagram of the azimuthally‐averaged (relative to the storm center) observed rainfall rate (mm h‐1) for 12 typhoons that crossed Taiwan.  The dotted (dashed) horizontal line indicates the time when typhoons made landfall at (exited from) Taiwan The observed rainfall rates are

13/00Z 27/15Z 06/18Z 18/06Z

indicates the time when typhoons made landfall at (exited from) Taiwan.  The observed rainfall rates are calculated from the CWB automatic rain gauge.