25
1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

1

IPv6 HD Ratio

ARIN Public Policy Meeting

April 2005

Geoff HustonAPNIC

Page 2: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

2

Background• Current IPv6 Address Allocation policies refer to the

use of the Host Density Ratio as a metric for ‘acceptable’ utilization of address space

• Original Def’n: RFC 1715• Re-stated Def’n: RFC 3194

• Current IPv6 Address Allocation policies use an HD-Ratio value of 0.8 as an allocation threshold value

• Why 0.8?• This value is based on a small number of case studies

described in RFC 1715 – no further analysis of the underlying model or the selection of an appropriate threshold value as an IP network efficiency metric has been published

• Does this HD-Ratio value provide “reasonable” outcomes in terms of address utilization?

Page 3: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

3

The HD Ratio Metric

• IPv4 fixed 80% DensityHost-Count / Address-Count = 0.8

• IPv6 0.8 HD Ratiolog(Host-Count) / log(Address-Count)= 0.8

Under the HD-Ratio, the overall address utilization efficiency level falls exponentially in line with the size of the address block. Large allocations have a very small density threshold, while smaller allocations have a much higher threshold.

Page 4: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

4

IPv4 / IPv6 Allocation equivalence table

End Customer Size IPv4 Allocation IPv6 Allocation205 /24 /32410 /23 /32819 /22 /32

1638 /21 /323277 /20 /327131 /18 /32

12416 /18 /3121618 /17 /3037640 /16 /2965536 /15 /28

114104 /14 /27198668 /14 /26345901 /13 /25602248 /12 /24

1048576 /11 /231825676 /10 /223178688 /10 /215534417 /9 /209635980 /8 /19

16777216 /7 /18

Host Count 80% HD = 0.8

Page 5: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

5

IPv6 Address Efficiency Table

IPv6 Block Size HD = 0.8 AddressPrefix (/48s) Host Count Efficiency/32 65,536 7,132 11%/31 131,072 12,417 9%/30 262,144 21,619 8%/29 524,288 37,641 7%/28 1,048,576 65,536 6%/27 2,097,152 114,015 5%/26 4,194,304 198,668 5%/25 8,388,608 345,901 4%/24 16,777,216 602,249 4%/23 33,554,432 1,048,576 3%/22 67,108,864 1,825,677 3%/21 134,217,728 3,178,688 2%/20 268,435,456 5,534,417 2%/19 536,870,912 9,635,980 2%/18 1,073,741,824 16,777,216 2%

Using a fixed 16 bit subnet length

Page 6: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

6

Modelling the HD Ratio

• Does this HD Ratio value produce reasonable outcomes?• The approach reported here is to look at recent IPv4 allocation data, and simulate an equivalent IPv6 registry operating user a similar address demand profile

Page 7: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

7

IPv6 Registry simulation exercise

• Use recent RIR IPv4 allocation data to create a demand model of an IPv6 address registry

• Assume a sequence of IPv6 transactions based on a demand model derived from the sequence of recorded IPv4 allocations

• Convert IPv4 to IPv6 allocations by assuming an equivalence of an IPv4 end-user-assignment of a /32 with an IPv6 end-user-assignment of a /48

• IPv4 uses a constant host density of 80% while IPv6 uses a HD-Ratio of 0.8

• Use a minimum IPv6 allocation unit of a /32• Assume IPv4 allocation timeframe mean of 12

months

Page 8: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

8

Allocation Simulation ResultsIPv6 Registry Allocation SImulation - 2002 - 2005

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

0 6 12 18 24 30 36

Month

/32

co

un

t (c

um

ula

tiv

e)

all

apnic

ripencc

arin

lacnic

afrinic

Page 9: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

9

Allocation Simulation results

Registry Allocations

12

16

20

24

28

32

0 6 12 18 24 30 36

Months

Pre

fix

Siz

e

AFRINIC

LACNIC

RIPENCC

ARIN

APNIC

ALL

Page 10: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

10

Prefix Distribution

Prefix Length Distribution HD = 0.8

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

/18 /19 /20 /21 /22 /23 /24 /25 /26 /27 /28 /29 /30 /31 /32

Page 11: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

11

HD Ratio Observations

• One interpretation of the HD Ratio is that it corresponds to a network model where an additional component of internal network hierarchy is introduced for each doubling of the address block size

• A HD Ratio of 0.8 corresponds to a network with a per-level efficiency of 70%, and adding an additional level of hierarchy as the network increases in size by a factor of 8

Page 12: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

12

Hierarchical Network Model

Region

POP

Product

Network

Region Region

ProductProduct

POP POP

Customer Customer Customer

Page 13: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

13

Comparison of HD Ratio and Compound Hierarchy

HD vs Stepped

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32

Prefix (bit size)

Eff

icie

ncy

HD Ratio 0.8

Stepped 70%

Page 14: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

14

Interpreting the HD Ratio

• For a /32 allocation the 0.8 HD ratio is comparable to 6 levels of internal hierarchy with 70% efficiency at each level

• For a /24 this corresponds to an internal network hierarchy of 9 levels, each at 70% efficiency

• Altering the HD Ratio effectively alters comparable model rate of growth in internal levels of network hierarchy

Page 15: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

15

HD = 0.94

• This corresponds to a network model that uses base efficiency of 0.75 at each level of internal network structure, with a new level of hierarchy added for each additional 5 bits of address prefix length (x 32)

Page 16: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

16

Varying the HD Ratio

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

/48 /44 /40 /36 /32 /28 /24 /20 /16 /12 /8 /4

0.80

HDtotalLog

utilizedLog )(

)(

0.98

0.96

0.94

0.90

/32

/20

10.9%2.1%

51.4%

31.2%

Prefix Size

Util

izat

ion

Eff

icie

ncy

Page 17: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

17

Varying the HD Ratio – DetailAddress Efficiency - /32 through to /18

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30

Prefix length (bits)

Eff

icie

ncy

0.99

0.98

0.97

0.96

0.95

0.94

0.93

0.92

0.91

0.9

0.89

0.88

0.87

0.86

0.85

0.84

0.83

0.82

0.81

0.8

Stepped

Fixed

Page 18: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

18

Varying the HD Ratio – Total Address Consumption

Varying the HD-Ratio

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

0.8 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.9 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 1

HD Ratio

To

tal A

dd

ress

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n (

/32s

)

Page 19: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

19

Allocation Simulation – HD = 0.94

IPv6 Registry Allocation SImulation - 2002 - 2005

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

0 6 12 18 24 30 36

Month

/32

cou

nt

(cu

mu

lati

ve)

all

apnic

ripencc

arin

lacnic

afrinic

Page 20: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

20

Allocation Simulation – HD = 0.94Registry Allocations (HD = 0.94)

12

16

20

24

28

32

0 6 12 18 24 30 36

Months

Pre

fix

Siz

e

AFRINIC

LACNIC

RIPENCC

ARIN

APNIC

ALL

Page 21: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

21

Prefix Distribution – HD = 0.94Prefix Length Distribution HD = 0.94

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

/18 /19 /20 /21 /22 /23 /24 /25 /26 /27 /28 /29 /30 /31 /32

Page 22: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

22

Comparison of prefix size distributions

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

/18 /19 /20 /21 /22 /23 /24 /25 /26 /27 /28 /29 /30 /31 /32

Comparison of Prefix Distributions

HD = 0.8

HD = 0.87

HD = 0.94

Page 23: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

23

Observations• 80% of all allocations are /31 and /32 for HD ratio of 0.8

or higher• Changing the HD ratio will not impact most allocations in a

steady state registry function

• Only 2% of all allocations are larger than a /27• For these larger allocations the target efficiency is lifted from

4% to 25% by changing the HD Ratio from 0.8 to 0.94 (25% is equivalent to 5 levels of internal hierarchy each with 75% efficiency)

• Total 3 year address consumption is reduced by a factor of 10 in changing the HD ratio from 0.8 to 0.94

Page 24: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

24

What is a “good” HD Ratio to use?

• Consider what is common practice in today’s network in terms of internal architecture

• APNIC is conducting a survey of ISPs in the region on network structure and internal levels of address hierarchy and will present the findings at APNIC 20

• Define a common ‘baseline’ efficiency level rather than an average attainable level

• What value would be readily achievable by large and small networks without resorting to renumbering or unacceptable internal route fragmentation?

• Consider overall longer term objectives• Anticipated address pool lifetime• Anticipated impact on the routing space

Page 25: 1 IPv6 HD Ratio ARIN Public Policy Meeting April 2005 Geoff Huston APNIC

25

Thank you

Questions?