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1 www.xodusgroup.com 1 Xodus Develop Presenter / date if required

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Page 1: 1  1 Xodus Develop Presenter / date if required

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www.xodusgroup.com

1

Xodus Develop

Presenter / date if required

Page 2: 1  1 Xodus Develop Presenter / date if required

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Xodus DevelopWhat we do

Identifying and defining optimal concepts that create value and achieve business goals

Appraise / Select (Concept Screening)

> Understand opportunity, look wide

> Understand uncertainties

> Identify at least one feasible concept across TECOP

> Identify decisions for development

> Identify major risks> Field redevelopment /

re-engineering

Concept Select

> Evaluate all concept decisions and select optimum concept

> Optimum concept is not just technical, but optimum across TECOP

> Evaluate major risks

Gooddefinition

Va

lue

APPRAISE / FEASIBILITY

Feasibilitydecision

OPTION ID / SELECTION DEFINITION EXECUTION OPERATION

Conceptdecision

Investmentdecision

Poordefinition

Poor execution

Good execution

Poor execution

Good execution

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Development PlanningXodus Develop

Surfacedisciplines

Subsurfacedisciplines

Economics

Wells Commercial

Operations

HSSE Construc-tion

Contracts& procure-

ment

We are the first – and currently only – specialist consultancy with integrated wells, surface and subsurface expertise

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Xodus DevelopOptimising Business Value

TECOPUncertaintiesto Realisation

Decisions to Concepts

Decision MakingObjectives

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Xodus DevelopOptimising Business Value

> Gain common understanding of opportunity

> Identify decisions and options for development

> Understand uncertainties> Identify one feasible concept across

TECOP> Identify major risk areas

Brownfield – DPP weight increase – threat

DPP and jacket

Brownfield

T&I

PM

LQ module

PLQ refurbishment

T&I – barge / SV required for pipeline removal – threat

Sale of IDD

T&I – protracted seabed debris removal – threat

0.66

0.39

0.16

0.13

0.12

0.06

0.03

0.02

0.02

0.01

Total project cost including risk (regression coefficients)

TECOPUncertaintiesto Realisation

Decisions to Concepts

Decision MakingObjectives

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Objectives TECOPUncertaintiesto Realisation

Decisions to Concepts

Decision Making

Xodus DevelopOptimising Business Value

Subsurface, surface, infrastructure, operability, availability, HSSE…Technical

Lifecycle costs, NPV, IRR, cash sink…Economical

C&P, legal, financing, sales agreements, tariffs…Commercial

Resources, competencies, interfaces…Organisational

Government, communities, NGOs, regulation, employment…Political

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Xodus DevelopOptimising Business Value

Identify key uncertainties> Assess data> Bracket uncertainties

Define realisation> Deterministic stringing of subsurface

uncertainties> Subsurface modelling to quantify impact

Objectives TECOPUncertaintiesto Realisation

Decisions to Concepts

Decision Making

Allocated chance factor (subjective) 15% 30% 40% 15%

Parameter IV V II I

Frac network development Excellent Excellent Average Poor

Matrix support to frac system Poor Good Poor Poor

Aquifer support to frac system Good Good Poor Poor

Initial well productivity High High Base Low

Pressure decline Low Low Medium High

Well decline Low Low Medium High

Water production Early Base Late Late

Gascap forming None None Early-ish Early

Timing of ESP requirement Base Base Early-ish Early

Timing of secondary recovery Late Late Early-ish Early

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Xodus DevelopOptimising Business Value

> Identify development concepts (or strategies)

> Identify key decisions and options> Define concepts> Conduct specific assessments / studies:

operations, safety, environment, flow assurance…

Objectives TECOPUncertaintiesto Realisation

Decisions to Concepts

Decision Making

Strategy

Key decisions

Water injectionOil and gas processing Plateau Ramp-up rate

Reference

200 kbwpd plus expansion as required

Decentralised (east-west) 400

2 trains per year

Aggressive400 kbwpd from start

Central (+ degassing stations) 600

4 trains per year

Cautious

No water injection from start, install as required

Decentralised (east-west) 200 1 train per year

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Xodus DevelopOptimising Business Value

Concept select phase> Identify concept select and group decisions> Decision based study plan

Frame decisions upfront> Options, givens, assumptions, uncertainties> Decision dependencies> Selection criteria> Specific work plan

Outcome> Options selected> Risks with mitigations

Decision Making

Decision 4

Decision 3

Decision 2

Decision 1

Assumptions

Givens

Uncertainties

Selection criteria

Givens

Risks

Decisions can be interconnected or

dependent

Objectives TECOPUncertaintiesto Realisation

Decisions to Concepts

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Xodus DevelopKey People

Stuart BarrField Development

> 30+ years’ experience> Extensive development

planning experience in a wide range of international locations and project types

James McAreaveyField Development

> 19+ years’ experience> UKCS experience focused mainly

on West of Shetland, Central North Sea and Southern North Sea

> International experience in Norway, North Africa, India and Australasia

Kent MasseyProject Management

> 20+ years’ experience> Design, operations and

management experience in both upstream oil and gas and downstream refining and petrochemical industries

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Xodus DevelopKey People

Andrew SewellSubsurface

> 23+ years’ experience> Experience includes project

management, seismic survey design, geophysical operations management, seismic data processing and supervision

Caragh McWhirrProcess and Facilities

> 13+ years’ experience> Broad and multidisciplinary

technical base, covering study management, process and safety engineering

Harry van ElkProcess and Facilities

> 22+ years’ experience> Expertise covers all phases in the

development of oil and gas fields

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Global ExperienceXodus Develop

Development experience in

Canada . The AmericasEurope . FSU . Middle-EastAfrica . Asia

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BG Norge, Jordbær (Knarr) Development, Norwegian North Sea

Field Development

Concept select phase for full field development, followed by full facilities and SURF pre-FEED engineering

Xodus DevelopGlobal Experience

Project scope> Concept screening / selection (multiple green / brownfield options)> Pre-FEED (multi-discipline engineering, HSE, risk, cost +/- 25%,

schedule L2)> FEED design reviews (topsides, subsea)

Key features> Flow assurance philosophies> Subsea / drilling architecture optimisation> High design P&T subsea> Riser configuration selection> Hull design for severe metocean conditions> Topsides optimisation (process, layout)> Conceptual QRA and environmental BAT demonstration

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Gulf Keystone, Shaikan field, Kurdistan region

Field Development

Conceptual field development and FEED, integrated subsurface and surface development

Xodus DevelopGlobal Experience

Project scope> Business drivers and development strategies> Subsurface realisations> Development concepts > Development scenarios> Costs and schedules> Risks> Constructing associated cost and production profiles for commercial

analysis

Key features> Giant carbonate oil field> Early stages of appraisal > Unknown long term production characteristics> Optimise appraisal and production from EPS> Full field development planning

Kurdistan region

Shaikan field

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Maersk Oil, Dunga field, Kazakhstan

Asset Redevelopment

Developing a solids management strategy to support 140 new production and WI wells

Xodus DevelopGlobal Experience

Project scope> Gathering network modelling and benchmarking – hydraulics / wax

deposition> Design of solids separation and treatment plant> Existing plant benchmarking and debottlenecking> Design of new separation trains, gas compression system, LPG plant,

WI treatment plant> Identify and solve existing operating problems (scale, wax deposition,

reservoir souring H2S)

Key features> Complex waxy fluid characterisation and thermal hydraulic modelling > Review of existing operations and documentation (including site

evaluation)> Plant integrity and materials review> Plant safety system upgrade to international best practice> Brownfield / greenfield interfaces and modification planning> Extensive debottlenecking analysis of existing processing facility

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Talisman, Auk South, UK Central North Sea

Asset Redevelopment

Extending and refurbishing existing drilling facility

Xodus DevelopGlobal Experience

Project scope> Field development options> Piping and layout> Process system design> Structural topsides and jacket concept design> CAPEX cost and weight estimates> 3D design> Risk and reliability analysis

Key features> Integrated multidiscipline team offering a complete development

solution> Close client liaison> Risk / reliability / cost analysis using in-house tools> Preliminary sizing of major equipment> Layout, costs and weight estimating demonstrated option feasibility

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Talisman, Auk South, UK Central North Sea

Risk and Uncertainty Management

A cost / schedule risk analysis using our Value, Decision and Risk Management (VDRM) approach

Xodus DevelopGlobal Experience

Project scope> Generation of project risk register> Quantification of background risk and uncertainty> Combine risk and uncertainty – cost and schedule risk analysis

Key features> Clear indication of project risk drivers> Definition of confidence levels for project costs and completion dates> Ability to set appropriate levels of contingency

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Confidential client, Nigeria

Asset Redevelopment

Integrated surface and subsurface, multi-block, multi-field redevelopment

Xodus DevelopGlobal Experience

Project scope> Reserves estimation> Well planning> Facilities redevelopment> Multi-block / area redevelopment strategies> Field development plans for each field

Key features> Existing plant debottlenecking> Design of new production trains, gas compression system > Water and gas management> Review of existing operations and documentation (including site

evaluation)

100 km

ENUGUBENIN CITY

WARRI

PORT HARCOURT

NIGERIA

BRASS RIVERTERMINAL

BONNYTERMINAL

CALABAR

QUA IBOETERMINAL

N

FORCADOSTERMINAL

OWERRI

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Lamu Oil and Gas Ltd., Kenya, block L1

Frontier Exploration

Our experienced and knowledgeable team reacts quickly and advises on appropriate strategies for exploring a frontier block in a timely fashion

Xodus DevelopGlobal Experience

Project scope> Play concepts to be targeted for exploration> Review of regional geology and analogues > Interpret legacy seismic data and tie with gravity, magnetics and wells> Identify contractors for seismic operations> Create ITT documents> Bid evaluations, negotiations and contractor management> 2D seismic design and parameterisation> Overall supervision of field operations> Processing supervision and QA / QC> Seismic interpretation and geological modelling> High grading of basin areas (basin modelling)> Lead and prospect generation> Exploration well proposal

Key features> Complicated rift and inversion geology> Poor quality legacy data (seismic and wells)> Sparse data and lack of well control> Poorly understood petroleum system> Logistically challenging area to acquire new data> Time pressure from government as per PSC terms

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www.xodusgroup.com

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Thank you