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8/6/2019 110528 - Weekly
1/18
Saturday, May 28, 2011
1Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
Headlines
(Global Economy) U.S. economy grew at a 1.8% in the first quarter of 2011
(Indian Economy) Food price index rose 8.55% for the week ended May 14.
(Economic Calendar)
(Global and Domestic Stock Markets)
(Derivative Analysis) Nifty May Futures closed at 5466.35
(Technical Analysis) Nifty Support levels are at 5375-5325
(Weekly Recommendations) HDFC AND M&M
(Sector & Company Highlights)
(MF Industry update)
8/6/2019 110528 - Weekly
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Saturday, May 28, 2011
2Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
Global Economy
The U.S. economy grew at a 1.8% annual rate in the first quarter
compared with a 3.1% gain in the prior quarter, reflecting a smaller
gain in consumer spending. Consumer purchases fell short of
forecasts, reflecting a smaller rise in spending on autos and utilities,
and the revisions cut the fourth-quarter gain in wages by USD 24.6
bn, almost half, indicating a bleaker outlook for the biggest part of
he economy. Also more Americans unexpectedly filed applications
for unemployment benefits last week, a sign the labor market is
struggling to gain momentum, another report showed. Jobless
claims increased by 10,000 to 424,000 in the week ended May 21.
Europes debt crisis deepened as Greece struggled to complete a
fifth austerity plan to keep pace with its mounting deficit, Italy
faced a possible credit-rating cut and Spains ruling party was
routed in local voting. The cost to insure Greek debt against default
rose to a record and the yield on its 10-year bonds increased to a
euro- era high as Prime to endorse a new package of spending
cuts and state-asset sales needed to assure the flow of bailout
Global Economic Indicators (As on May 26, 2011)
Commodities and Currencies
Gold futures rose to a three-week high and silver climbed as the
dollars slump spurred demand for commodities. The dollar fell as
much as 1% ainst a basket of six major currencies. Gold futures for
August delivery settled at USD 1,537.30 on the Comex. The metal
Source: Economist
funds. More than a year after European policy makers approved a
Euro 750 bn (USD 1.1 tn) bailout blueprint to stem the sovereign
crisis, bond yields in debt-laden peripheral countries are at record
highs and officials are floating plans to extend Greek repayments.
Britain posted a budget shortfall in April as tax revenue fell and
spending climbed, casting doubt on whether the government can
meet its deficit-reduction target this year. Net borrowing was 10 bn
pounds (USD 16.2 bn), compared with 7.2 bn pounds a year earlier.
Revenue fell 0.8% and spending rose 5%. The budget shortfall, which
reached a record 156.5 bn pounds 11.1% of GDP in the aftermath of
the recession.
U.K. exports rose 3.7% in the quarter and net trade added a record
1.7 percentage points to GDP growth. Consumer spending dropped
0.6% and company investment plunged 4.4%, GDP rose 0.5% on the
quarter and 1.8% from a year earlier.
has gained 1.9% this week. Silver futures for July delivery closed atUSD 37.863 an ounce, the metal gained 7.9% this week. Crude for
July delivery settled at USD 100.59 a barrel on the NYMEX; prices
have increased 35% in the past year.
Economic Indicators (%) US EU Japan UK China Brazil Russia
GDP +2.3 +2.5 -1.0 +1.8 +9.7 +5.0 +4.1
Industrial Production +5.0 +5.3 -12.9 +0.7 +13.4 -2.1 +5.3
Consumer Price Index +3.2 +2.8 0.0 +4.5 +5.3 +6.5 +9.6
Unemployment Rate 9.0 9.9 4.6 7.7 6.1 6.5 7.9
Current Account Balance % of GDP -3.6 -0.3 +2.7 -2.0 +3.3 -2.8 +5.6
Trade Balance -677.7 -25.4 +75.4 -151.6 +179.0 +23.1 +154.4
8/6/2019 110528 - Weekly
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Saturday, May 28, 2011
3Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
Indian Economy
India received foreign direct investment (FDI) worth USD 3.39 bn
during January-March, 2011, a decline of 32% vis-a-vis the same
period last year. In January-March, 2010, the country received FDI
worth USD 4.96 bn. The government should further streamline FDI
policies and make the environment more investment-friendly to
attract foreign investment. The sectors that attracted FDI include
services (financial and non-financial), telecommunications, housing
and real estate, construction activities and power. FDI inflows into
ndia totalled USD 19.42 bn in 2010-11, down from USD 25.83 bn in
2009-10. Food price index rose 8.55% for the week ended May 14,
picking up pace from an annual rise of 7.47% a week ago. The fuel
price index climbed 12.11%, unchanged from a week earlier. The
primary articles price index was up 11.60%, compared with an annual
rise of 10.94% a week earlier. The weekly food inflation has slowed
Indian Debt Markets
RBI bought INR 680 mn of bonds and sold INR 630 million of bonds
n the week ended May 20. The bank set a cut-off price of INR 96.35
at the auction of the 7.83%, 2018 bonds, yielding 8.5406%.
Source: CCIL
Source: CCIL
Indian Currency Movement
The Indian rupee remained strong supported by gains in the euro
and firmer shares, but import payments mostly for oil kept a lid on
from the double-digit rise for much of 2010, but headline inflation
at 8.66% in April remains considerably above the RBIs comfort
level and will pressure rates higher.
The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development
(OECD) has projected the Indian economy to expand 8.5% in 2011-
12, much lower than the growth of 9.6% witnessed in 2010-11
financial year. Accordint to Indian Finance Minister the Indian
economy is expected to grow 8% in 2011-12, which is lower than
budgetary estimate of 9% growth.Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has
pegged GDP growth at 8%, citing high oil prices among other things
as the reason for this moderation. OECD said in 2012-13, the
economy is projected to expand 8.6%.
The yield on the 10-year benchmark bond was at 8.41%. The
benchmark five-year swap rate was steady at 8.14%.
the rise. The partially convertible rupee was at 45.1775/1825 per
dollar.
Annualized Rate
(current)
Annualized Rate
(last month)
Headline Inflation
(WPI)8.66
Primary Products 12.05 12.96
Fuel Power and
Lubricants13.32 12.92
Manufactured
Goods6.18 6.21
Headline Inflation by WPI (%) (Apr11)
8.98
Internals
Current 1 WeekChange
Weekly1 Year
Change
annual
USD 45.21 44.93 0.62 46.75 -3.29
GBP 74.31 72.92 1.90 67 10.91
Euro 64.4 64.34 0.09 57.69 11.63
Yen 55.79 54.99 1.45 51.36 8.62
1 Year Gilt 8.22
Debt Market Yields (%)
INR Exchange Rate (As on May 27, 2011)
10 year Gilt 8.43
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Saturday, May 28, 2011
4Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
Economic Calendar
Date Event Period Prior
31-May Qtrly GDP YoY% 1Q 8.20%
1-Jun India May Markit Manufacturing - -
1-Jun Exports YoY% APR 43.90%
1-Jun Imports YoY% APR 17.30%
2-Jun Food Articles WPI YoY 21-May 8.55%
2-Jun Fuel Power Light WPI YoY 21-May 12.11%
2-Jun Primary Articles WPI YoY 21-May 11.60%
3-Jun India May Markit Services PMI - -
India US
Date Event Period Prior
31-May S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Ind MAR 139.27
31-May Chicago Purchasing Manager MAY 67.60
31-May Consumer Confidence MAY 65.40
1-Jun ADP Employment Change MAY 179K
1-Jun Construction Spending MoM APR 0.01
1-Jun ISM Manufacturing MAY 60.40
2-Jun Total Vehicle Sales MAY 13.14M2-Jun Initial Jobless Claims 1-May 424K
Gold/Silver(Spot)
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
1700
May-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 S ep-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11
Gold($/OZ)
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Silver($/OZ)
Silver Gold
CrudeOil
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
May-10 J ul-10 Aug-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11
Price(USD)
300
310
320
330
340
350
360
370
380
390
400
(MillionBarrels)
Inventory
Inventory CrudeOil
Currencies
1.1
1.15
1.2
1.25
1.3
1.35
1.4
1.45
1.5
1.55
May-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 S ep-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11
USD/EUR
1.4
1.45
1.5
1.55
1.6
1.65
1.7
1.75
1.8
USD/GBP
USD/EUR USD/GBP
Currencies
0.0095
0.01
0.0105
0.011
0.0115
0.012
0.0125
0.013
May -1 0 J ul -1 0 A ug -10 S ep-1 0 N ov -1 0 De c- 10 Fe b- 11 Mar -1 1 A pr -11
USD
/JPY
0.7
0.75
0.8
0.85
0.9
0.95
1
1.05
1.1
1.15
USD
/AUD
U SD / JPY U SD / A UD
8/6/2019 110528 - Weekly
5/18
Saturday, May 28, 2011
5Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
Global and Domestic Stock Markets
Global
Global markets continued to trade rangebound as no clear direction is seen
with positive and negative news simultaneously flowing in. Dow Jones, Nasdaq,
S&P 500 ended marginally negative on the weekly basis. European markets
also ended negative. Similar trend was seen in the Asian markets with Hangseng
and Nikkei ending in negative zone. In the commodities market, NYMEX Crude
traded above the $100 levels and Gold traded higher near $1533 levels in the
week. On the economic front, consumer spending rose 0.4%, reflecting a surge
in food and gasoline prices. Excluding price changes, spending rose only 0.1%.
Incomes were higher by 0.4%. US Data to watch next week : Consumer
Confidence, Construction Spending, Total Vehicle Sales, Domestic Vehicle Sales,Initial Jobless Claims, Factory Orders, Unemployment Rate.
Domestic Performance of Sectoral Indices
The Indian bourses remained volatile during the week, but closed nearly flat
on weekly basis. Nifty and Sensex lost 0.2% and 0.3% respectively. The new
June series saw some gains on short covering in major counters. BSE Midcap
and Smallcap lost 0.4% and 0.9% respectively. Among the BSE sectoral indices,
Metals (+0.3%), Bankex (0.5%) gained marginally, while IT (-1.9%), Auto (-1.4%)
ended negative. On the BSE100 index, Educomp, HDIL gained while Tata Global,PowerFinance lost on weekly basis. Tata Motors declined on disappointing
standalone results and concerns over domestic growth in the current fiscal.
Rpower and Rel Infra also posted better than expected results. DIIs were net
buyers, while FIIs remained net sellers in the cash market. Data to watch next
week: Quarterly GDP YoY%, Exports, YoY%, Imports YoY%, Food Articles WPI
YoY, Fuel Power Light WPI YoY, Primary Articles WPI YoY.
Outlook
May expiry ended above the crucial 5400 level which acted as good support for
the domestic market throughout the series. Stocks saw gains on the first day of
June series mostly on short covering in major counters. Short term trend is still
bearish as domestic indices are trading below 200DMA. Pullback rally till 5550-
5600 is likely in the short term, but supply pressure is also likely to appear at
higher levels. For the June series, 5200-5800 is likely to be the trading zone as
appears from call and put writing at these strike levels. A timely monsoon
would provide some relief to some sectors. Results to watch in the coming
week: RelMedia, LITL, Unitech, Reliance Capital.
Close% Change
(week)
Dow Jones 12,441.60 -0.6%
NASDAQ 2,796.90 -0.2%
S&P 500 1,331.10 -0.2%
FTSE 5,938.90 -0.2%
DAX 7,163.50 -1.4%
Hang Seng 23,118.10 -0.4%
Nikkei-225 9,521.90 -0.9%
Indices Close% Change
(week)
BSE SENSEX 18,266.10 -0.3%
NSE NIFTY 5,476.10 -0.2%
BSE MIDCAP 6,730.40 -0.4%
BSE SMALL CAP 8,109.90 -0.9%
BSE AUTO 8,981.10 -1.4%
BSE METALS 15,172.40 0.3%
BSE BANKEX 12,220.40 0.5%
BSE IT 5,950.90 -1.9%
Educomp 471.2 13.2%
HDIL 161.15 6.7%
Tata Global 88.3 -9.0%
Power Finance 199.45 -6.9%
BSE 137.8
NSE CASH 552.6
NSE F&O 6490.3
Institutions Net Inflow
FII -3.1
DIIs 14.3
Institutional Activity in INR Bn (Weekly)
Key Indices Global
Sectoral Indices
Key Indices (Indian)
Weekly Gainers (BSE 100)
Weekly Losers (BSE 100)
Weekly Turnover (in INR Bn)
8/6/2019 110528 - Weekly
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.
Saturday, May 28, 2011
6Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
Derivative Analysis
Top 5 Price Losers
Top 10 Volume Gainers
Top 5 Price Gainers
Market Snapshot
Nifty June Futures closed at 5466.35 (Discount of 9.75 over the Nifty spot)
Open interest Nifty FUTIDX (Expiry 30 June): 21.49 mn.
Open interest BankNifty FUTIDX (Expiry 30 June): 1.51 mn.
India VIX for the week ended at 17.25, down 2.20 from previous weeks
close (19.45). In the week VIX touched low of 17.14 and high of 24.31.
Weekly Open Interest Analysis (Nifty Option)
Across all expiries, open interest is highest at the 5600, 5700, 5800 call options,
while open interest in the put options is highest at 5300, 5400, 5200 strike
prices, suggesting 5200-5800 to be the trading zone for Nifty index in short
term.
Sector Wise OI Change:
Decrease in OI was seen due to expiry week.
Cash Future Cash Future
EDUCOMP 13.27% 13.16% 11.35% 172.73% -26.98%
DISHTV 12.29% 12.32% 163.53% 104.51% 6.71%
MPHASIS 12.05% 10.57% 548.37% 2138.83% 23.05%
SKUMARSYNF 9.59% 10.37% -52.07% -9.73% -6.66%
HDIL 6.72% 7.03% 46.20% 210.50% -5.49%
SCRIPS % Change - Price %Change - Volume % Change
in OI
Cash Future Cash Future
AUROPHARMA -14.32% -13.71% 74.09% 59.46% 14.57%
TATAGLOBAL -9.35% -8.64% 89.89% -51.48% 0.30%
KSOILS -9.25% -8.53% 107.60% 77.93% 11.37%
TATAMTRDVR -8.22% -7.89% 270.47% 197.96% 0.58%
TATAMOTORS -6.83% -6.70% 568.41% 190.21% -9.33%
SCRIPS % Change - Price %Change - Volume % Change
in OI
% Change Volumes
Price Open Interest (Delivery Based)
PFC -6.80% -59.24% 3297.49%
MPHASIS 12.05% 23.05% 2138.83%
HAVELLS 3.66% -10.67% 411.39%
OFSS 2.07% -7.94% 378.90%
BEML 1.13% -16.06% 337.65%
RELMEDIA 3.31% -22.92% 271.66%
NHPC 1.43% -6.21% 255.94%
GMDCLTD -0.71% -9.26% 235.84%
HDIL 6.72% -5.49% 210.50%
BOSCHLTD -0.59% -28.57% 200.00%
SCRIPS % Change in F&O
OIAnalysis
1,000,000)
1,000,000
3,000,000
5,000,000
7,000,000
9,000,000
11,000,000
5000
5100
5200
5300
5400
5500
5600
5700
5800
5900
6000
Strike
OI
CallOption
PutOption
-700%
-650%
-600%
-550%
-500%
-450%
-400%
-350%
-300%
-250%
-200%
-150%
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
Power
Bank
Realty
Oil&Gas
Metal&Mining
Auto
Pharma
IT
CapitalGoods
Cement
Sectors
%ChangeinOI
NiftyPCRatio
0.7
0.75
0.8
0.85
0.9
0.95
1
1.05
1.1
23-May
24-May
25-May
26-May
27-May
Date
PCR
8/6/2019 110528 - Weekly
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Saturday, May 28, 2011
7Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
Technical Analysis
Source: Iris)
Conclusion
Last week Nifty shut on a neutral note @ 5476.10, no change from the previous week's close. Technically Nifty on weekly chart has formed
bullish hammer candle stick pattern, which shows sideways to positive sentiment in coming sessions. Nifty spot on weekly has openedat 5456 and made a low of 5329 and made a high of 5486 then finally closed flat at 5476. Stochastics and the RSI are slightly oversold
signaling that buying pressure at support levels are possible short-term. The close below the 65 day moving average (5590) indicates the
short term trend could be turning sideways. Stochastics trending lower at midrange will tend to reinforce a move higher especially if
support levels are taken out. The market setup is somewhat sideways trend with trading range between 5300-5600. The next area of
resistance is around 5564-5635. So Nifty appears to be sideways trading on weekly chart having supports at 5400-5330 levels. For short
erm trading long positions, stop loss of 5324 is advisable.
Weekly Nifty has resistance at 5564-5635 and supports at 5400-5330.
Weekly Bank Nifty has resistance at 10950-11100 and supports at 10550-10400.
8/6/2019 110528 - Weekly
8/18
.
Saturday, May 28, 2011
8Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
HDFC LTD
LTP 656.00
View: Positive
Oscillators Analysis: Stochastics and RSI are positive crossover and are in oversold territory on daily chart reading, which indicate
positive sentiment in stock momentum with good volume support.
Pattern Analysis: A clear price breakout above 650, which is strong resistance zone on daily chart, which indicates stock may upside till
resistance level, is a confirmation of a trend in that direction.
Technical Analysis:
HDFC Ltd has bullish hammer candle stick on weekly chart with decent volume support. Stock has 65 week moving average support at
635 levels. Daily RSI has shown positive crossover into oversold territory which will tend to supports reversal action if it occurs. The
market tilt is positive with the close above multiple supports at 625 on daily chart basis. The next area of resistance is around 710, while
1st support hits at 640 and below there at 630. It is also heading towards resistance zone at 710.00.
We recommended the stock at market and in the range of 635-640 with stop loss at 620 (closing basis) for a target of Rs. 710.
Weekly Recommendations
8/6/2019 110528 - Weekly
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Saturday, May 28, 2011
9Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.
LTP 705.00
View: Positive
Oscillators Analysis: Stochastics and RSI are positive crossover and are in oversold territory on weekly chart reading, which indicate
positive sentiment in stock momentum.Pattern Analysis: A clear bullish engulfing pattern and channel pattern and supports are at 680-665 levels, channel resistance at 770, which
ndicates stock upside, is a confirmation of a trend in that direction with volume support.
Technical Analysis:
On weekly chart M&M has been trading above medium term moving average (65 WMA) at 660 levels, which indicates positive sentiment
n short term trading and strong buying pressure above support zone around Rs.680, we expect the momentum to continue till 770 on the
upside (resistance zone). And any genuine correction should see in stock price around supports at 680, which should be used as a buying
opportunity for the potential target 780.00.
We recommended the stock at market and declines till 680, with stop loss below at 645.00(on closing basis) for a target of Rs. 780.00.
8/6/2019 110528 - Weekly
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Saturday, May 28, 2011
10Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
-7- Sector & Company Highlights
Metal & Mining
Coal India, the worlds largest coal miner, is in advanced talks to buy up to 40% stake in Indonesias Golden Energy Mines in a dealvalued at between USD 750 mn and USD 1 bn,Golden Energy is a coal mining subsidiary of energy and infrastructure firm Dian
Swastatika Sentosa, and is estimated to have 400 mn tonnes of reserves. State-run Coal India is half way through the due diligence
for the asset and a final bid will be submitted by the end of June.
Coal India (CIL) reported 12.93% rise in its consolidated net profit at INR 108.67 bn for the financial year ended 2010-11. The public
sector firm had achieved a net profit of INR 96.2 bn in 2009-10. Net sales of the company also increased to INR 502.3 bn for the year
ended March 31, 2011 compared to INR 446.1 bn in 2009-10. The maharatna firm produced 431.32 mn tonne coal in 2010-11 which was
almost same as the output registered by it in the previous fiscal. In a notification on January 13, 2010 the MoEF had imposed a
temporary moratorium till August 31, 2010 on development projects in 43 clusters labelled critically polluted. The moratorium has
adversely impacted the coal production of the company during the financial year 2010-11, it said. CILs coal offtake in 2010-11 went
up marginally by 2% to 424.5 mn tonne in 2010-11 over 415.8 mn tonne in the previous financial year.
State-run manganese ore producer MOIL is looking to buy manganese ore assets in South Africa, Turkey, Congo and West Asian
countries and again the company will be investing about INR 12 bn to increase its total production capacity to 2 MT by 2020.
Iron ore miner NMDC is exploring the possibility of forming a joint venture with a Colombian firm to get access of coking coal for
fuelling its steel plants. The company is in the process of developing a 3 mn tonnes per annum (MTPA) steel plant in Chhattisgarh.
The plant is scheduled to commission in early 2014. Iron ore required for the plant is understandably would be supplied from its own
existing mines, but the need to have coking coal to run the facility has made the firm scouting for the deposits of the same. NMDC
has already inked a joint venture pact with Russias Severstal for a steel plant in Karnataka and is also in talks with Tata Steel to form
an equal joint venture for setting up a 2 MTPA steel plant in Chhattisgarh.
Tata Steel reported a net profit of INR 89. 83 bn for the year ended March 31, 2011.The company had posted a net loss of INR 20.1 bn
for the year ended March 31, 2010. Total income of the company increased 15.60% to INR 1197.4 bn for the year ended March 31, 2011
over INR 1035.8 bn for the same period previous fiscal. The company had recorded INR 24.3 bn net profit in the corresponding
quarter last fiscal. Turnover of the company rose to INR 338.2 bn during the quarter against INR 275 bn in the January-March quarter
of the previous fiscal.
Auto
Tata Motors reported an over three-fold rise in its consolidated net profit for FY11 to INR 92.7 bn. The consolidated total income from
operations during last fiscal also jumped by 33.09% to INR 1231.3 bn from INR 925.2 bn,During FY11, Tata Motors sold a total of
10,80,994 vehicles across the world, up 24.2% over the previous financial year. The companys British subsidiary Jaguar Land Rover
reported net revenue of 9.9bn pound and profit after tax of 1.04 bn pound.
Ashok Leyland , Indias second largest commercial vehicle maker, said on Wednesday it had won an order worth USD 23.3 mn from
Bangladesh Road Transport Corp. The order was for 290 fully built double decker buses.
Pharma, Healthcare & Agri Chem
Medical equipment maker Opto Circuits (India) expects sales to rise 32-38 percent to 21-22 billion rupees in FY12 as it plans to
leverage the potential of newly-acquired Cardiac Science Corp, and launch at least two new products. Positive news for the
company.
Hospital chain Fortis Healthcare plans to spend about 4 billion rupees to raise its bed capacity by 1,000 beds in a year. Strong growth
plans would boost topline growth.
Tata Chemicals Ltd the companys US subsidiary Valley Holdings Inc has acquired 32.9 per cent stake in EPM Mining Ventures.
Positive news for the company.
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Saturday, May 28, 2011
11Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
Oil & Gas
After petrol, price of diesel, LPG and kerosene are likely to be hiked next month when a ministerial panel headed by finance minister
Pranab Mukherjee will meet to decide on passing rise in crude rates to consumers. The Empowered Group of Ministers (EGoM) has
been scheduled to meet on June 9. Proposal, if implemented would be positive for public sector oil companies as they are losing
close to INR 5bn per day on selling diesel, domestic LPG and kerosene at government controlled rates or INR 9.69/ litre on kerosene
and INR 329.73/ 14.2-kg domestic LPG cylinder.
Solicitor General Gopal Subramanium has reaffairmed that the government can impose preconditions like equitable sharing of
royalty in the all-important Rajasthan block for clearing Vedanta Resources takeover of Cairn India- contrary to the media reports,
setback to the Cairn-Vedanta deal.
Power
Suzlon Energy has signed a contract with African Clean Energy Developments for the supplying of up to 200 wind turbines. Installation
is expected to commence in late 2011 or early 2012. Positive, as it improves the revenue visibility of the company.
Infrastructure, Capital Goods & Engineering
Pratibha Inds in a JV with China RailFirst Group as got order worth INR 4670Mn from Delhi Metro Rail Corporation (DMRC). Positive,
as it improves the revenue visibility of the company.
Pipavav Shipyard has secured orders worth INR 25bn from the Indian Navy to manufacture gun boats. Positive, as it improves the
revenue visibility of the company.
Crompton Greaves Ltd has concluded an arrangement for the acquisition (subject to regulatory approvals in US) of US based
company QEI, Inc. for an enterprise value equivalent to $ 30.0 Mn. QEI is a market-leading provider of SCADA and automation
systems, and products for the management of electric transmission and distribution networks. Positive, as with this acquisition, the
company has further fortified its position in the SCADA and Substation Automation domain. Some areas of complementarities
include Data Acquisition; Renewable SCADA; Transit; Substation Automation.
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Saturday, May 28, 2011
12Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]
Mutual Fund Insights
Scheme Update
Mutual Funds (MFs) made investments worth Rs 415 crore and sold off Rs 480.20
crore worth of equities on May 24, 2011, according to data released by the
Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). Thus, MFs stood as net sellers of
Rs 65.20 crore in equities on that day. In the month of May, MFs have made total
investments of Rs 8796.3 crore and sold off Rs 9084.7 crore worth of equities, so
far.
SBI Funds Management & UCO Bank have entered into an agreement on May
20, 2011 for distribution of SBI Mutual Fund products through UCO Bank's network
of 2202 branches. The event was held at Kolkata in the gracious presence of the
CMD of UCO Bank, Arun Kaul & MD of SBI Funds Management Deepak
Chatterjee.
IDFC Mutual Fund has decided to revise the exit load structure under IDFC
Liquid Fund with effect from May 31, 2011. Accordingly, the exit load charge for
all investment including SIP/Micro SIP/STP shall be 0.50% of the applicable NAV
if redeemed or switched out within 31 days from the date of allotment with effect
from May 31, 2011. Source: Accord Fintech
Source: Accord Fintech
Weekly Activity
-5 0 5 10 15 20
23-May
24-May
25-May
MFTradingActivity(InBillions)
Debt Equity
-30 -20 -10 0 10 20
23-May
24-May
25-May
26-May
27-May
FIITradingActivity(InBillions)
Debt Equity
Purchase Sales Net Purchase /Sales Purchase Sales Net Purchase /Sales
Mutual Fund Activity
25-May-11 4.34 4.47 -0.13 29.20 11.08 18.12
24-May-11 4.15 4.80 -0.65 22.10 24.20 -2.09
23-May-11 5.57 6.46 -0.89 37.48 37.58 -0.10
FII Activity
27-May-11 45.06 32.84 12.23 12.77 21.89 -9.1226-May-11 26.59 30.78 -4.19 11.52 17.86 -6.34
25-May-11 25.38 25.03 0.35 6.63 28.37 -21.73
24-May-11 19.72 21.10 -1.38 14.06 4.19 9.87
23-May-11 22.40 23.15 -0.75 12.79 5.78 7.01
DateEquity (INR in Bn) Debt (INR in Bn)
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New Fund Offers
Fund Opens Closes Structure Fund Manager Investment Objective Benchmark
UTI FTIF-IX-V(367D)-
(G)25-May 30-May
Close
ended
Mr. Manish Joshi /
Mr. Amandeep
Singh Chopra
To generate returns by investing in a portfolio of
fixed income securities maturing on or before the
date of maturity of the scheme. However, the
scheme does not guarantee / indicate any return.
Crisil Short-Term
Bond Fund Index
ICICI Pru Multiple
Yield-A(G)20-May 31-May
Close
ended
Mr. Chaitanya
Pande
To generate returns by investing in a portfolio of
fixed income securities/ debt instruments. The
secondary objective of the Scheme is to generate
long term capital appreciation by investing a
portion of the Schemes assets in equity and
equity related instruments.
Crisil MIP Blended
Index
Birla SL FTP-DC(G) 20-May 30-MayClose
ended
Mr. Kaustubh
Gupta
To generate income by investing in a portfolio of
fixed income securities maturing on or before the
duration of the scheme.
Crisil Short-Term
Bond Fund Index
Birla SL CPO-Sr 6 18-May 31-MayClose
ended
Mr. Satyabrata
Mohanty, Mr.Ajay
Garg
To seek capital appreciation linked to equity
market with downside protection at the end of
tenure. Fund expects to achieve down side
protection by investing in debt securities with
tenure comparable with the tenure of the Plan,
subject to the credit risk. Fund expects to achieve
the market-linked appreciation (upside) by
investing in premium of exchange traded
options.
Crisil Balanced
Fund Index
SBI DFS 36M-1(G) 24-May 31-MayClose
ended
Mr. Rajeev
Radhakrishnan
To provide regular income, liquidity and returns
to the investors through investments in a
portfolio comprising of debt instruments such as
Government Securities, PSU & Corporate Bonds
and Money Market Instruments maturing on or
before the maturity of the scheme.
Crisil Short-Term
Bond Fund Index
Reliance FHF-XIX -5(G)
26-May 31-May Closeended
Mr. Amit Tripathi
To generate regular returns and growth of
capital by investing in a diversified portfolio of
Central and State Government securities andOther fixed income/ debt securities maturing on
or before the date of maturity of the scheme with
the objective of limiting interest rate volatility.
Crisil Short-TermBond Fund Index
HDFC FMP-XVIII-
92D-May 2011(2)-(G)27-May 31-May
Close
ended
Mr. Bharat Pareek /
Mr. Miten Lathia
To generate income through investments in Debt
/ Money Market Instruments and Government
Securities maturing on or before the maturity
date of the respective Plan(s).
Crisil Short-Term
Bond Fund Index
HDFC FMP-XVIII-
370D-May 2011(2)-(G) 27-May 31-MayClose
ended
Mr. Bharat Pareek /
Mr. Miten Lathia
To generate income through investments in Debt
/ Money Market Instruments and Government
Securities maturing on or before the maturity
date of the respective Plan(s).
Crisil Short-Term
Bond Fund Index
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Source: Accord Fintech
Weekly Recommendations (Debt)
NAV CAGR (In %)
Scheme Name (28 May 11) 1 Week 1 Month 1 Year Since Inception
Category: Floating Rate
Birla SL FRF-LT(G) 17.06 0.17 0.71 7.25 6.92 8.87 51.10 51.10 0.14
Reliance FRF ST(G) 15.89 0.10 0.59 6.57 5.92 0.00 167.90 149.65 0.80
LICMF FRF-STP(G) 16.19 0.12 0.56 6.23 6.96 0.00 2.16 2.04 0.64
Category: Income - Long term
Birla SL Dynamic Bond-Ret(G) 16.52 0.03 0.35 5.51 7.83 9.30 547.50 547.50 0.79
ICICI Pru Income-Reg(G) 31.13 -0.09 -0.20 2.79 9.17 9.14 1324.95 949.00 2.11
DSPBR Govt. Sec(G) 33.04 -0.06 -0.79 1.42 10.79 0.00 3766.80 2120.65 1.25
Category: Income - Short term
Kotak Bond-STP(G) 18.70 0.10 0.70 3.86 7.14 9.50 182.50 167.90 0.89
Templeton India ST Income(G) 1978.96 0.11 0.56 5.91 7.60 10.41 379.60 244.55 1.30
UTI ST Income(G) 16.93 -0.04 0.33 6.69 6.87 0.00 635.10 0.00 0.59
Category:Ultra Short Term Fund
Templeton India Ultra-ST-Ret(G) 12.68 0.16 0.68 7.22 7.13 8.61 40.15 36.50 0.65
Kotak Floater-ST(G) 16.26 0.16 0.70 7.12 6.37 8.90 47.45 47.45 0.57
Tata Floater(G) 14.87 0.17 0.71 7.47 7.18 8.65 20.52 0.00 0.25
Category: Liquid
Templeton India TMA-Reg(G) 2434.08 0.17 0.66 6.70 7.03 8.23 40.15 36.50 0.85
SBI Magnum InstaCash-Cash(G) 22.05 0.16 0.67 7.10 6.80 7.98 18.25 18.25 0.35
Tata Liquid-RIP(G) 2270.56 0.16 0.68 6.72 6.64 8.88 16.44 0.00 0.65
YTMAverage
Maturity In
Modified
Duration in
Absolute Return (In %) Expense
Ratio
NAV CAGR (In %)
Scheme Name (28 May 11) 1 Week 1 Month 1 Year Since Inception
ICICI Pru Dynamic(G) 106.52 0.25 -3.69 12.87 31.77 0.64 0.02 1.84
Fidelity Equity(G) 34.74 0.14 -4.94 12.16 22.92 0.79 0.01 1.85
ICICI Pru Discovery(G) 48.78 0.37 -3.20 13.31 26.33 0.66 0.02 1.92
Franklin India Bluechip(G) 211.07 0.15 -4.50 13.08 25.15 0.78 0.01 1.83
Principal Large Cap(G) 27.77 0.04 -5.32 7.64 20.24 0.81 0.00 2.27
DSPBR Top 100 Equity-Reg(G) 98.76 0.12 -4.49 11.59 32.13 0.78 0.01 1.86
Birla SL MIP(G) 26.59 0.10 -0.33 6.54 9.74 0.14 0.01 2.09
ICICI Pru Child Care Plan-Study Plan 29.63 0.37 -0.41 9.55 11.80 0.12 0.02 1.50
Tata MIP Plus(G) 15.93 0.08 -1.23 4.56 6.69 0.29 0.00 2.00
Birla SL '95(G) 306.53 -0.07 -3.63 11.55 23.39 0.49 0.03 2.31
DSPBR Balanced(G) 65.08 -0.06 -3.83 9.54 16.88 0.58 0.02 2.10
Tata Balanced(G) 81.83 0.28 -3.39 9.82 16.63 0.62 0.03 2.34
Category: Largecap
Category: Monthly Income Plans
Weekly Recommendations (Equity & Hybrid)
Absolute Return (In %)BETA ALPHA
Expense
Ratio
Category: Balanced Funds
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Dividend Declaration
Scheme Name Category Record Date Gross Corporate Non-Corporate
AIG Qtrly Inv-II-Inst(D) Debt 30-May-11 2.09 2.09 2.09
AIG Qtrly Inv-II-Ret(D) Debt 30-May-11 2.08 2.08 2.08
Birla SL Qrtly Inv 4(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.60 1.60 1.60
Birla SL ST FMP 10(D) Debt 30-May-11 2.21 2.21 2.21
DSPBR FMP 12M-10-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.50 1.23 1.31
DSPBR FMP 12M-11-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.57 1.28 1.38
DSPBR FMP 12M-12-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.65 1.34 1.44
DSPBR FMP 12M-13-(D) Debt 31-May-11 1.68 1.37 1.47
DSPBR FMP 12M-14-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.60 1.30 1.40
DSPBR FMP 12M-15-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.79 1.46 1.56
DSPBR FMP 12M-16-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.66 1.35 1.45
DSPBR FMP 12M-17-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.61 1.31 1.40DSPBR FMP 12M-18-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.40 1.14 1.22
DSPBR FMP 12M-5-Ret(D) Debt 30-May-11 2.08 1.69 1.81
DSPBR FMP 12M-6-Ret(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.95 1.59 1.70
DSPBR FMP 12M-7-Ret(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.69 1.37 1.47
DSPBR FMP 12M-8-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.68 1.37 1.47
DSPBR FMP 12M-9-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.70 1.39 1.49
DSPBR FMP 13M-4-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.81 1.48 1.58
DSPBR FMP 3M-31-(D) Debt 30-May-11 2.04 1.66 1.78
DSPBR FMP 3M-32-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.72 1.40 1.50
DSPBR FMP 3M-33-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.46 1.19 1.27DWS FTF-72-Reg(D) Debt 30-May-11 4.00 4.00 4.00
DWS FTF-76-(D) Debt 30-May-11 2.00 2.00 2.00
DWS FTF-77(D) Debt 30-May-11 2.00 2.00 2.00
ICICI Pru FMP-49-3Y-B-Ret(D) Debt 31-May-11 2.84 2.84 2.84
IDFC FMP-100D-2(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.43 1.43 1.43
IDFC FMP-100D-3(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.40 1.40 1.40
IDFC FMP-200D-1(D) Debt 30-May-11 0.16 0.16 0.16
IDFC FMP-HS-13(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.85 1.85 1.85
IDFC FMP-QS-63(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.56 1.56 1.56
IDFC FMP-YS-32-Reg(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.24 1.24 1.24
IDFC FMP-YS-33-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.28 1.28 1.28
IDFC FMP-YS-34-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.30 1.30 1.30
IDFC FMP-YS-35-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.48 1.48 1.48
IDFC FMP-YS-36-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.50 1.50 1.50
IDFC FMP-YS-37-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.51 1.51 1.51
IDFC FMP-YS-38-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.52 1.52 1.52
IDFC FMP-YS-39-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.53 1.53 1.53
IDFC FMP-YS-40-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.56 1.56 1.56
IDFC FMP-YS-41-(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.48 1.48 1.48
IDFC India GDP Growth-Reg(D) Equity 31-May-11 15.00 15.00 15.00
L&T FMP-12-15M-March10-I(D) Debt 30-May-11 4.40 4.40 4.40
Reliance Dual Advant FTF-Plan A-Reg(D) Hybrid 30-May-11 5.81 5.81 5.81
Reliance Dual Advant FTF-Plan I-(D) Hybrid 30-May-11 1.28 1.28 1.28
Reliance FHF-XIII-5-Ret(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.18 1.18 1.18
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Source: Accord Fintech
Scheme Name Category Record Date Gross Corporate Non-Corporate
Reliance FHF-XIV-1-Ret(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.30 1.30 1.30
Reliance FHF-XIX-1(D) Debt 30-May-11 2.22 2.22 2.22
Reliance FHF-XIX-10(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.35 1.35 1.35
Reliance FHF-XIX-11(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.63 1.63 1.63
Reliance FHF-XIX-2(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.94 1.94 1.94
Reliance FHF-XIX-4(D) Debt 30-May-11 0.32 0.32 0.32
Reliance FHF-XIX-8(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.97 1.97 1.97
Reliance FHF-XIX-9(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.71 1.71 1.71
Reliance FHF-XVIII-1(D) Debt 30-May-11 3.24 3.24 3.24
Reliance FHF-XVIII-10(D) Debt 30-May-11 0.59 0.59 0.59
Reliance FHF-XVIII-3(D) Debt 30-May-11 2.37 2.37 2.37
Reliance FHF-XVIII-4(D) Debt 30-May-11 2.13 2.13 2.13
Reliance FHF-XVIII-5(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.66 1.66 1.66Reliance FHF-XVIII-6(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.75 1.75 1.75
Reliance FHF-XVIII-7(D) Debt 30-May-11 0.16 0.16 0.16
Reliance FHF-XVIII-9(D) Debt 30-May-11 0.72 0.72 0.72
SBI DFS 15M-5(D) Debt 31-May-11 50 50 50
SBI DFS 180D-14(D) Debt 31-May-11 50.00 50.00 50.00
SBI DFS 180D-15(D) Debt 31-May-11 50.00 50.00 50.00
SBI DFS 180D-16(D) Debt 31-May-11 50.00 50.00 50.00
SBI DFS 370D-5(D) Debt 31-May-11 50.00 50.00 50.00
SBI DFS 90D-41(D) Debt 31-May-11 50.00 50.00 50.00
SBI DFS 90D-42(D) Debt 31-May-11 50.00 50.00 50.00SBI DFS 90D-43(D) Debt 31-May-11 50.00 50.00 50.00
UTI Bond(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.25 1.25 1.25
UTI Dividend Yield(D) Equity 30-May-11 5.00 5.00 5.00
UTI Dynamic Bond Fund-Reg(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.00 1.00 1.00
UTI ST Income-Inst(D) Debt 30-May-11 1.75 1.75 1.75
UTI Treasury Advantage-Reg(QD) Debt 30-May-11 1.00 1.00 1.00
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Disclaimer
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