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Prof. FUJITA, Tsuyoshi [email protected] of
Socio-environmental Systems Research Center, National Institute for Environmental Science, Japan
Alliance Professor of Nagoya UniversityWith Dr. FUJII Minoru
Prof. FUJITA, Tsuyoshi [email protected] of
Socio-environmental Systems Research Center, National Institute for Environmental Science, Japan
Alliance Professor of Nagoya UniversityWith Dr. FUJII Minoru
13th Asia-Pacific Eco-Business Forum in Kawasaki Feb. 16th 2017
Future Eco City Session: Eco-city Challenge toward De-carbonization Society-Through Collaboration among Industries, Public and Academia-
“Transitional Demonstration from Eco-City Kawasaki”-Innovative Challenges forUrban Industrial Symbiosis-
“Transitional Demonstration from Eco-City Kawasaki”-Innovative Challenges forUrban Industrial Symbiosis-
Integrated Assessment Model for the Global Socio economic LossAIM Applied Equilibrium Model
Global Scenario• Population• GDP
AIM Economic Model
Economic impacts• GDP loss• Consumption loss• Energy cost
Grid Info.• temperature• population
Global GDP Loss
Air conditioning days
Climate condition represents 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5℃increase of global average temperture from 18th Century
Hasegawa et al. (2016)
2
3
Theory and Practices for Industrial Symbiosis
1970
1980
1990
1995
2000
2010
2015
End-of PipeTechnology
Practices
LCA Research
SustainableDevelopment
1977 Cloud.”IndustrialEcosystem”
1989 Frosh, R. A.“Industrial Ecosystem”
1993 Ayres, R. “Industrial Metabolism”1994 ・Allemby, Graedel “Industrial Ecology”
1994 UNU Pauli, Gunter. “Zero-emission”
Concept
1972 Denmark Kalundborg
1995 US PCSD Eco-Industrial Park
1997 Japan Eco Town Projects
Industrial Ecology
2009 China Circular Economy Law
2005 Korea National Cleaner Production Centers
2015 G7 Summit in Germany, Alliance on Resource Efficiency、Industrial Symbiosis WS
4
Industrial Symbiosis and Urban Industries to empower cities by circularization
(Kawasaki and Kitakyushu are pioneers in 1997→26 cities)
Target and Accomplishment of Japanese Eco-towns Material Flow of Traditional
Industrial ParksSymbiotic Material Flow in Eco-towns or Eco-Industrial Parks
Conventional material flow: No-circulationVirgin materials: largely depends on importWastes: Disposal based on provisions of the Waste Disposal and Public Cleaning LawRecycle materials: Not usedLocal material circulation: no use of recycle materials
Circular material flow of Eco-townsVirgin materials: part of virgin materials are substituted by recycle materialsWastes: Disposal based on provisions of the Waste Disposal and Public Cleaning LawRecycle materials: Use of recycle materials mainly provided from outside the cityLocal material circulation: to some extent 5
Edited by Prof. Fujita, T.,Published by METI,2006
Forming the basis of capacity that totally 2.18 mil t of wastes were treated
Distribution of Japanese Eco-towns
6
METI & MOE approved Eco-Town Plans for 26 areas as of the end of January 2006, and they provided financial support to 62 facilities
located within the appropriate areas.
Eco-town area as demonstration project for Sound material cycle society
Distribution of Total Investment Subsidy projects in 24 Eco-Towns 600mil. US$
Distribution of Total Investment60 projects in 24 Eco-Towns 1.6 bil. US$
R.V. Berkel, T. Fujita, J. ofEnv. Management, Vol.90,pp.1544-1556, 2009
Evaluation of Circular Facilities in 26 Eco-towns
7
CRs procured from within the same Eco Town Plan regions
(830) 64%
CRs procured from outside the Eco Town Plan region but within the prefecture
CRs procured from outside the prefecture
Procurement areas unknown
CRs procured(1,300) 100%
CRs utilized(1,200) 92%
Recycling residue disposed of
(470) 36%
Supply areas unknown
(Unit: 1,000 tons)
CRs used as energy, or reduced in volume
Resources circulated within the Eco Town Plan regions
(580) 45%
Resources circulated outside the Eco Town Plan regions but within the prefecture
FPs/RMsproduced(780) 60%
Outside the Eco Town Plan regionsbut within the prefecture
Outside the prefecture
Eco Town Plan regions
Recycling residue disposed of (60) 5%
Resources circulated outside the prefecture
(70) 5%
(130) 10%
(310) 24%(40) 3%
(70) 5%
(110)9%
(6) 0%
S. Ohnishi, T. Fujita, J. of Cleaner Production, Vol.33(1), pp.217-225, 2012
Reduction of Natural Resources; 900,000.ton /yrCO2 Emission Reduction 480,000 t-CO2/yr
Circular use ratio of by-product 92% Intra-eco-town circulation ratio 61%
Assembly Consumption
Landfill
Waste
ResourceExcavation Processing
End- of Pipe Treatment
Technologies
Implementation of EIP system into the society
HardEnviron. Technologies
Green PurchaseGreen
Procurement
Cleaner Production
Waste Regulation1997-2004
Reuse Recycle Regulation/
Subsidy1995-2005
Recycle Technologies
SoftSocial Technologies
Substitutive Processing
Eco-town Promotion Law 1997-2006
8
Three Keys for Sustainable Eco-Industrial Conversion from Experiences
in Japan• Innovative Societal (regulation / subsidization)
System Transition
• Double Circularity for Material and Energy network
• Smart Green supply chain management through ICT
9
MaterialTranspor
tation WasteMining Process
Electricity
Establishment of social system and business model along supply chain from mining to waste for low carbon and sound material cycle society
Consumption
Social system to sustain the circularization in Eco-towns
Cleaner production
Design for Env.Green purchasing
Co-processing, Heat/energy recovery
resource circularization in the region
Green/regional consumption
Regional credit
Green supply chain management in integrated urban and regional area
Red stand for social system
Logistic for circularization/Monitoring system
10
11
2010• Research committee to identify the effects of 26 national eco towns and their
projects- Evaluation procedure for low carbon and environmental emission reduction effects- Extensive key technologies or policies for green supply chain management and regional
resource circularization
Eco-town Innovation Projects【2011, 2012, 2013】
Validation of innovative circularization projects
Extension for national projects
Business scheme design
Solution and Improvement
Green Innovation
Hokkaido (2012)
Akita(2012)
Kawasaki(2011)
Osaka(2011)
Kitakyushu(2011)
Model Eco-towns
Eco-town Innovation Projects by Ministry of Environment, 2011-2013
2011- Eco town innovation projects Proposals for Model
Eco-towns
2222.222.422.622.8
2323.223.4
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Tota
l cos
ts (b
illio
n JP
Y/y
r)
Numbers of hosting cities
Without capacity constraintWith capacity constraint
Optimal scales of circularization is also discussed and we made quantitative analysis based on the spatial information of the distribution of solid waste in Tokyo Metropolitan Region with 30 million population. The results are incorporated into the national planning guideline for circularization region.
12
transportation costs30%
operation costs27%
construction cost4%
cost of incineration
39%
National Guideline for the Circular Region Planning Modeling results: Cost and scale
X. Chen, T. Fujita, et.al,J. of Industrial Ecology, Vol.
16(1), pp.129–141, 2012 12
Ecological consulting company*
Recycle goodsretail & sale*
Ecological equipmentmanufacturing
Sustainable technologyresearch company*
EIP Center; Demonstrationbuilding*
・Environmental data bank・Collaborative marketing purchase・Waste collection and recycling-Eco-material, Recycled Material-Design for environment
Green Institute(Minneapolis)
Cape Charles SustainableTechnology Park(Virginia)
Variation of Eco-Industrial Parks(EIP) Strategies in Eco-townsVariation of Eco-Industrial Parks(EIP) Strategies in Eco-townsURBAN REDEVELOPMENT TYPE EIP
Environment conscious
commuting systemLRT, Pedestrian
Path Environmentalcommunication*
Environmentaleducation*
PRODUCT REMANUFACTURING TYPE EIP
Farm
Cement factory
Petro chemicalfactory
Chemical factory
Industrial symbiosis type
Kawasaki, Minamata
Fly ash
Heat
Oil
Heat
Heat
Fertilizer
Power plant*
Plasticrecycle center*
Organic waste Methane
fermentationComposting
Building materialrecycle center*
Collaboration reverse logistics
District heat supply
BrownfieldNeighborhood
Urban Area
Rural Area
Industrial complex
Water Front
Heat
INDUSTRIAL SYMBIOSIS TYPE EIP
Clean Energy Supply SystemEnergy Storage System*
Environmental InformationBusiness Support
CCR
Residential Districts
CITY-FARM COLLABORATION TYPE EIP
Fuel Cell Methane Fermentation
Compost
Akita, Osaka
Hokkaido
Kitakyushu
Chen and Fujita et. al., Euro. J. of Operation Research,
2013
13
Industrial symbiosis in KalundborgBio/life science Power generation & material industry Treatment or
recycling facility City
14
170
9,900
12,800
30,300
22,700
川崎港
川崎市
幸区
川崎区
鶴見区
JR鶴見線
JR南武線
JR東海道線
浮島IC
川崎浮島JCT
首都高速湾岸線
首都高速横羽線
東
132
409
15
357
1
357
357
020,00040,00060,00080,000
100,000120,000140,000160,000
エネルギー消費量
(原油換算/TJ)排熱発生量
(原油換算/TJ)
Steel work
Wasteheat
Waste heat networking among industries with proximity to power generation
エネルギー供給源~1.5km
エネルギー供給源~3km
IncinerationChemical
Wasteheat
Paper
LNGPower
generation
BiomassPower
generation
Wasteheat
Kawasaki Synergy Network(Future scenario)
LNGPower
generation
Wasteheat
Wasteheat
TJ
Energy demand
Waste heat potential
Refinery
Chemical
Power generation
15
16
Smart Symbiosis Initiatives for Eco town Innovation
methaneincineration
Smart Recycle Center
発電・熱量
Energy demand information
High value
substitutive
Operation information
Energy and consumption demand control system
for urban sectors
Demand
Urban and Regional symbiosis
Urban Waste
Waste and material
Energy
Smart industrial complex
Local symbiosis
Smart community
Local energy supply and demand
Smart ICT network will promote and complement the synergetic network functions among stakeholders
Information support for optimizing local and regional material and energy
circularization
Power plant
Steel
Cement
Chemical
Weather information
Prediction of power
generation
By-product information
Energy demand response
Renewableenergy
Local Data Collection Center
Smart industrial complex supported by synergetic
information network among industries
17
PretreatmentAssembling/ Processing FinishingRaw
materialProduct
ChillerBoiler
Sensor
CoolingHeat
FM
Fuel
2. Monitoring of facilities / factories
The points expecting large energy saving are selected based on site survey
Sensor
Sensor
3. Data analysis and solution designFactory scale solution
EIP scale solution
FactoryC
Cloud server
Electricity
Stakeholders meeting#Monitoring device is used for verification after implementation
Sensor
Sensor
Factory A
制御ソフト
Factory BEIP
Urban Area
Region scale
Industrial Collective Monitoring System Overview Image1. Selecting
monitoring points
Overseas local governments
Japanese firms, research
consortiums
Overseas firms, research
consortiums
Overseas governmental organizations
Eco-town governments
Japanese governmental organizations
Recycle Industries
circulatory firms
Research institutionsRecycle
Industries
Recycle Industries
Research institutions
Collaboration based on inter-city agreements, etc. on policy
information, social system information, human resources
Menu for industry/government/ private sector collaborative
support framework and support including international
organizations
International public-private sector projects
consortiums
promotion of model projects
Promoting Projects between Japan and Overseas through “Eco-town” Collaboration
18
NIES
19
GreenInnovation
Centers
MOEJ
IGESAIT
UnivInsti.
business
National Centers for
GreenInnovation
UnivInsti.
business
U.ofTokyo
Large business
Small and M business
IntegrativeMonitoring
Project Design
Leap Frogging Policy Support/ Project DesignGreen Growth Finance SystemAction oriented Capacity Building
Future Modelling
VerificationCertification
• X. Chen, T. Fujita, et.al.;The Impact of Scale, Recycling Boundary and Type of Waste on Urban Symbiosis: An Empirical Study of Japanese Eco-Towns, Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2012
• Satoshi Ohnishi, Tsuyoshi Fujita, Xudong Chen, Minoru Fujii;Econometric Analysis of the Performance of Recycling Projects in Japanese Eco-Towns, Journal of Cleaner Production, (modified), 2011
• 藤田壮;グリーン・イノベーションを推進する環境都市システム,環境情報科学,Vol.40(3), pp.46-51, 2011• 藤田壮;地域循環圏とその拠点形成の展開に向けて,The Circular Regions and its Deployment of Base Formation,季刊「環境研究」,公益財団法人日立環境財団,pp.12-18,2011
• T. Fujita, et.al.;3-2 Regional Management of Waste Circulation and Eco-Industrial Networks,Establishing a Resource-Circulating Society in Asia: Challenges and Opportunities, pp.1-24, UNU Press, 2011
• 大西,陳,藤;エコタウン事業の地域循環特性に関する実証研究,環境システム研究論文集,Vol.38, pp.429-437, 2010• Y. Geng, T. Fujita ,X. Chen; Evaluation of Innovative Municipal Solid Waste Management through Urban
Symbiosis: A Case Study of Kawasaki, Journal of Cleaner Production, Vol.18, pp.993-1000,2010• S. Hashimoto, T. Fujita et. al.;Realizing CO2 Emission Reduction through Industrial Symbiosis: A Cement
Production Case Study for Kawasaki, Journal of Conservation and Recycling, Vol.54(10), pp.704-710, 2010• R. V. Berkel, T. Fujita, Shizuka Hashimoto, Yong Geng;Industrial and Urban Symbiosis in Japan : Analysis of the
Eco-Town Program 1997-2006,Journal of Environmental Management, Vol.90,pp.1544-1556, 2009• R.V. Berkel, T. Fujita, et.al.;Quantitative Assessment of Urban and Industrial Symbiosis in Kawasaki, Japan,
Environmental Science & Technology , Vol.43, No.5, pp.1271-1281, 2009• Looi-Fang Wong, Tsuyoshi Fujita, Kaiqin Xu; Evaluation of Regional Bio-Energy Recovery by Local Methane
Fermentation Thermal Recycling Systems, Journal of Waste Management,Vol.28, pp.2259-2270, 2008• 藤田 監修,「エコタウン・環境産業進行形」環境調和型まちづくり事例集,経済産業省,2007• l藤田・長澤,大西他;川崎エコタウンでの都市・産業共生評価,環境システム研究論文集,Vol.35, pp89-100, 2007• 藤田他共著,環境科学,6章「循環型社会」, pp.162-173,専門基礎ライブラリー,実教出版,2006• 大西,藤田他;循環型産業システムの計画とその環境改善効果の算定‐川崎エコタウンにおける循環セメント事業のケーススタディ‐環境システム研究論文集,Vol.33,pp.367-376, 11,2005
• 藤田,盛岡通他;循環型の産業集積開発事業の計画と評価,環境システム研究論文集,Vol.28,pp.285-293,2000
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