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The power of globe shopping UNDERSTANDING THE UHNW CONSUMER LONDON, May 14

140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

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Page 1: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

The$power$of$globe$shopping$

UNDERSTANDING!

THE UHNW CONSUMER!LONDON, May 14!

Page 2: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

globe$shop0per$/ˈglōbˌSHäpər/$

noun$

1.$ $a$person$who$considers$shopping$as$a$$$fundamental$part$of$their$travel$experience.$$“globe$shoppers$are$the$sixth$con3nent$for$$$the$retail$industry”$

$2.$ $a$fastBgrowing$retail$market$segment,$$

$which$global$worth$was$esEmated$at$more$$than$EUR'48'billion$in$2013.$$“building$growth$from$globe$shoppers$–$the$$world’s$most$valuable$customers.”$

48%$56%$

82%$

Russians$ MidBEasterns$ Chinese$

“Shopping'is'my'priority'when'I'travel”'

40%$

60%$

Share'of'sales'for'luxury'brands'

DomesEc$shoppers$ Globe$shoppers$

Source:$G

lobal$Blue$

Source:$G

lobal$Blue$

Page 3: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

globe$shop0per$/ˈglōbˌSHäpər/$

noun$

1.$ $a$person$who$considers$shopping$as$a$$$fundamental$part$of$their$travel$experience.$$“globe$shoppers$are$the$sixth$con3nent$for$$$the$retail$industry”$

$2.$ $a$fastBgrowing$retail$market$segment,$$

$which$global$worth$was$esEmated$at$more$$than$EUR'48'billion$in$2013.$$“building$growth$from$globe$shoppers$–$the$$world’s$most$valuable$customers.”$

48%$56%$

82%$

Russians$ MidBEasterns$ Chinese$

“Shopping'is'my'priority'when'I'travel”'

40%$

60%$

Share'of'sales'for'luxury'brands'

DomesEc$shoppers$ Globe$shoppers$

Source:$G

lobal$Blue$

Source:$G

lobal$Blue$

Page 4: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

globe$shop0per$/ˈglōbˌSHäpər/$

noun$

1.$ $a$person$who$considers$shopping$as$a$$$fundamental$part$of$their$travel$experience.$$“globe$shoppers$are$the$sixth$con3nent$for$$$the$retail$industry”$

$2.$ $a$fastBgrowing$retail$market$segment,$$

$which$global$worth$was$esEmated$at$more$$than$EUR'48'billion$in$2013.$$“building$growth$from$globe$shoppers$–$the$$world’s$most$valuable$customers.”$

48%$56%$

82%$

Russians$ MidBEasterns$ Chinese$

“Shopping'is'my'priority'when'I'travel”'

40%$

60%$

Share'of'sales'for'luxury'brands'

DomesEc$shoppers$ Globe$shoppers$

Source:$G

lobal$Blue$

Source:$G

lobal$Blue$

Page 5: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

globe$shop0per$/ˈglōbˌSHäpər/$

noun$

1.$ $a$person$who$considers$shopping$as$a$$$fundamental$part$of$their$travel$experience.$$“globe$shoppers$are$the$sixth$con3nent$for$$$the$retail$industry”$

$2.$ $a$fastBgrowing$retail$market$segment,$$

$which$global$worth$was$esEmated$at$more$$than$EUR'48'billion$in$2013.$$“building$growth$from$globe$shoppers$–$the$$world’s$most$valuable$customers.”$

48%$56%$

82%$

Russians$ MidBEasterns$ Chinese$

“Shopping'is'my'priority'when'I'travel”'

40%$

60%$

Share'of'sales'for'luxury'brands'

DomesEc$shoppers$ Globe$shoppers$

Source:$G

lobal$Blue$

Source:$G

lobal$Blue$

Page 6: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

JeanBPaul$Agon$

“Travel$Retail$is$a$key$channel$for$winning$$over$one$billion$new$consumers;$it$is$present$$

around$the$world$as$a$sixth$con3nent.”$

Page 7: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

Where$do$they$come$from?$

Page 8: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

27%$

17%$

4%$3%$3%$

46%$

JANFDEC'2013:'top'5'globe'shopper'naMons'by'share'of'total'spent''

China$ Russia$ Indonesia$ USA$ Japan$ Others$

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 9: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

22%$

20%$

5%$4%$3%$

47%$

JANFAPR'2013:'top'5'globe'shopper'naMons'by'share'of'total'spent'

China$

Russia$

Indonesia$

Japan$

Thailand$

Others$

27%$

17%$

3%$3%$3%$

47%$

JANFAPR'2014:'top'5'globe'shopper'naMons'by'share'of'total'spent'

China$

Russia$

Indonesia$

USA$

Japan$

Others$

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 10: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

Angela$Ahrendts$

“Investors$should$switch$their$focus$from$China$to$the$TLC$(Travelling$Luxury$Consumers),$a$more$powerful$

force$than$the$Chinese$market$alone.”$$

Page 11: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

Where$do$they$shop?$

Page 12: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

18%$

16%$

15%$12%$

11%$

27%$

JANFDEC'2013:'top'5'desMnaMon'countries'by'share'of'total'spent''

France$

Italy$

UK$

Germany$

Singapore$

Others$

18%$

16%$

16%$12%$

12%$

27%$

JANFAPR'2014:'top'5'desMnaMon'countries'by'share'of'total'spent''

France$

UK$

Italy$

Singapore$

Germany$

Others$

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 13: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

How$much$do$they$spend?$

Page 14: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

$€$'815$$

$€$'356$$

$€$'608$$$€$'647$$

$€$'509$$ $€$'501$$

China$ Russia$ Indonesia$ USA$ Japan$ Market$

JANFDEC'2013:'average'spend'of'top'5'globe'shopper'naMons'

$€$'846$$

$€$'358$$

$€$'648$$

$€$'514$$

$€$'870$$

$€$'502$$

China$ Russia$ Indonesia$ Japan$ Thailand$ Market$

JANFAPR'2014:'average'spend'of'top'5'globe'shopper'naMons'

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 15: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

€$10,800$The$shopping$budget$of$a$Chinese$globe$shopper$$

per$European$trip.$

Source:$Global$Blue$Dossier$“The$growing$complexity$of$the$Chinese$globe$shopper”$

Page 16: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

Welcome$to$the$new$normal$

Page 17: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

JanB12$ FebB12$ MarB12$ AprB12$ MayB12$ JunB12$ JulB12$ AugB12$ SepB12$ OctB12$ NovB12$ DecB12$ JanB13$ FebB13$ MarB13$ AprB13$ MayB13$ JunB13$ JulB13$ AugB13$ SepB13$ OctB13$ NovB13$ DecB13$ JanB14$ FebB14$ MarB14$ AprB14$

'''2012F2014:'yearFonFyear'growth'rate'of'Chinese'total'spend''

100%$

90%$

80%$

70%$

60%$

50%$

40%$

30%$

20%$

10%$

0%$

B20%$

B30%$

B10%$

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 18: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

JanB12$ FebB12$ MarB12$ AprB12$ MayB12$ JunB12$ JulB12$ AugB12$ SepB12$ OctB12$ NovB12$ DecB12$ JanB13$ FebB13$ MarB13$ AprB13$ MayB13$ JunB13$ JulB13$ AugB13$ SepB13$ OctB13$ NovB13$ DecB13$ JanB14$ FebB14$ MarB14$ AprB14$

''' 2012F2014:'yearFonFyear'growth'rate'of'Chinese'total'spend''

100%$

90%$

80%$

70%$

60%$

50%$

40%$

30%$

20%$

10%$

0%$

B20%$

B30%$

B10%$

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 19: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

JanB12$ FebB12$ MarB12$ AprB12$ MayB12$ JunB12$ JulB12$ AugB12$ SepB12$ OctB12$ NovB12$ DecB12$ JanB13$ FebB13$ MarB13$ AprB13$ MayB13$ JunB13$ JulB13$ AugB13$ SepB13$ OctB13$ NovB13$ DecB13$ JanB14$ FebB14$ MarB14$ AprB14$

''' 2012F2014:'yearFonFyear'growth'rate'of'Chinese'total'spend''

100%$

90%$

80%$

70%$

60%$

50%$

40%$

30%$

20%$

10%$

0%$

New'tourism'law'

B20%$

B30%$

B10%$

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 20: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

JanB12$ FebB12$ MarB12$ AprB12$ MayB12$ JunB12$ JulB12$ AugB12$ SepB12$ OctB12$ NovB12$ DecB12$ JanB13$ FebB13$ MarB13$ AprB13$ MayB13$ JunB13$ JulB13$ AugB13$ SepB13$ OctB13$ NovB13$ DecB13$ JanB14$ FebB14$ MarB14$ AprB14$

'''2012F2014:'yearFonFyear'growth'rate'of'Russian'total'spend''

100%$

90%$

80%$

70%$

60%$

50%$

40%$

30%$

20%$

10%$

0%$

B20%$

B30%$

B10%$

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 21: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

JanB12$ FebB12$ MarB12$ AprB12$ MayB12$ JunB12$ JulB12$ AugB12$ SepB12$ OctB12$ NovB12$ DecB12$ JanB13$ FebB13$ MarB13$ AprB13$ MayB13$ JunB13$ JulB13$ AugB13$ SepB13$ OctB13$ NovB13$ DecB13$ JanB14$ FebB14$ MarB14$ AprB14$

''' 2012F2014:'yearFonFyear'growth'rate'of'Russian'total'spend''

100%$

90%$

80%$

70%$

60%$

50%$

40%$

30%$

20%$

10%$

0%$

B20%$

B30%$

B10%$

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 22: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

JanB12$ FebB12$ MarB12$ AprB12$ MayB12$ JunB12$ JulB12$ AugB12$ SepB12$ OctB12$ NovB12$ DecB12$ JanB13$ FebB13$ MarB13$ AprB13$ MayB13$ JunB13$ JulB13$ AugB13$ SepB13$ OctB13$ NovB13$ DecB13$ JanB14$ FebB14$ MarB14$ AprB14$

''' 2012F2014:'yearFonFyear'growth'rate'of'Russian'total'spend''

100%$

90%$

80%$

70%$

60%$

50%$

40%$

30%$

20%$

10%$

0%$

B20%$

B30%$

B10%$

Crimean'crisis'

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 23: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

The$Chinese$spending$slowdown$

Page 24: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

$B$$$$

$25$$

$50$$

$75$$

$100$$

$125$$

$150$$

$175$$

$200$$

$225$$

Million'travellers'

Chinese'outbound'travel'growth'2002F2020'

Source:$Global$Blue$based$on$CNTA,$Xinhua,$UNWTO$

Page 25: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society
Page 26: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

The$Chinese$spending$slowdown$

Not$related$to$outbound$travel$

New$tourism$law$

AnEBcorrupEon$storm$

Full$stop$of$official$travel$

DesEnaEon$shik$to$USA$/$Australia$

Change$in$travel$purpose$

Rise$of$FIT$/$decline$of$groups$

Impacted$W&J,$boosted$F&C$

$

Page 27: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

JanB12$ FebB12$ MarB12$ AprB12$ MayB12$ JunB12$ JulB12$ AugB12$ SepB12$ OctB12$ NovB12$ DecB12$ JanB13$ FebB13$ MarB13$ AprB13$ MayB13$ JunB13$ JulB13$ AugB13$ SepB13$ OctB13$ NovB13$ DecB13$ JanB14$ FebB14$ MarB14$ AprB14$

'''2012F2014:'yearFonFyear'growth'rate'of'Chinese'spend'on'Watches'&'Jewellery'

140%$

120%$

100%$

80%$

60%$

40%$

20%$

0%$

B20%$

B40%$

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 28: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

JanB12$ FebB12$ MarB12$ AprB12$ MayB12$ JunB12$ JulB12$ AugB12$ SepB12$ OctB12$ NovB12$ DecB12$ JanB13$ FebB13$ MarB13$ AprB13$ MayB13$ JunB13$ JulB13$ AugB13$ SepB13$ OctB13$ NovB13$ DecB13$ JanB14$ FebB14$ MarB14$ AprB14$

''' 2012F2014:'yearFonFyear'growth'rate'of'Chinese'spend'on'Watches'&'Jewellery'

140%$

120%$

100%$

80%$

60%$

40%$

20%$

0%$

B20%$

B40%$

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

18th'NaMonal'Congress'

Page 29: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

JanB12$ FebB12$ MarB12$ AprB12$ MayB12$ JunB12$ JulB12$ AugB12$ SepB12$ OctB12$ NovB12$ DecB12$ JanB13$ FebB13$ MarB13$ AprB13$ MayB13$ JunB13$ JulB13$ AugB13$ SepB13$ OctB13$ NovB13$ DecB13$ JanB14$ FebB14$ MarB14$ AprB14$

''' 2012F2014:'yearFonFyear'growth'rate'of'Chinese'spend'on'Watches'&'Jewellery'

140%$

120%$

100%$

80%$

60%$

40%$

20%$

0%$

B20%$

B40%$

Source:$Global$Blue$AnalyEcs$

Page 30: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

The$Russian$spending$slowdown$

Page 31: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

The$Russian$spending$slowdown$

Rouble$has$been$falling$for$a$year$

Russian$spending$down$8.5%$in$2014$

Economy$was$down$before$the$Crimean$crisis$

Crimean$crisis$impacts$spending,$not$travelling$

Outbound$travel$sEll$steadily$increasing$5%$

Frankfurt$and$Milan$mostly$hurt$in$March$

Page 32: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

What$can$we$expect$for$the$future?$

Page 33: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

In$2014$we$expect$stronger$tourist$arrivals$$in$APAC$(and$USA)$than$in$Europe$

Page 34: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

NaMon' 2014' 2015' 2016'

China' 13%$ 13%$ 13%$

Russia' 9%$ 13%$ 15%$

Japan' 2%$ 3%$ 3%$

Indonesia' 8%$ 8%$ 9%$

USA' 2%$ 2%$ 2%$

General$outbound$travel$ EuropeBbound$travel$

NaMon' 2014' 2015' 2016'

China' 6%$ 9%$ 7%$

Russia' 5%$ 7%$ 6%$

Japan' 0%$ 0%$ 0%$

Indonesia' B$NA$B$ B$NA$B$ B$NA$B$

USA' 2%$ 2%$ 2%$

Source:$Global$Blue$based$on$CNTA,$Xinhua,$Euromonitor,$TTG$Asia,$Jakarta$News,$Tourism$Economics,$UNWTO,$PATA,$TourMIS.$

Page 35: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

Travel$growth$from$core$markets$sEll$posiEve,$with$a$stress$on$APAC$

Major$globe$shopper$currencies$

to$strengthen$against$EUR$and$

SGD$

A$bener$economic$outlook,$yet$with$downside$risks$

Rise$of$middleBclass$in$China,$but$with$travel$ban$for$

officials$and$new$tourism$law$

Page 36: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

Globe$shoppers$are$a$demographic,$not$$a$geography.$Is$your$company$structured$to$$

harness$their$power?$

Page 37: 140528 LS Presentation No Speaker Handouts - Luxury Society

Thank$you.$