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14.772 Development Economics: Macroeconomics Spring 2009
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The Slave Trade and the Origins of Mistrust in Africa
by Nathan Nunn (Harvard)
Leonard Wantchekon (NYU)
Motivation
• Nunn (QJE, 2008) documents the detrimental effects of
Africa’s slave trade on long-term economic development.
• We seek to better understand the channels of causality
underlying this reduced form relationship.
• In this paper, we examine on possible channel: the historic
evolution of a culture of mistrust among those populations
most affected by the slave trades.
The Paper’s Starting Point
• Individuals that belong to an ethnic group from which more
slaves were taken during the trans-Atlantic and Indian Ocean
slave trades exhibit lower levels of trust today.
Overview of the Paper
1. Establishing causality:
• Instrument for slave exports using the historic distance of an
individual’s ancestors from the coast, controlling for the individual’s
current distance from the coast.
• Undertake a number of falsification tests to assess the validity of the
instrument.
2. Distinguish between channels of causality: i) Internalized norms, culture (e.g., ‘rules of thumb’).
• Culture arises optimally when information acquisition is imperfect
or costly (Boyd and Richerson, 1985, 1995; Rogers 1989).
• The persistence of mistrust can also be explained by recent
models like Guiso, Sapienza and Zingales (JEEA 2007) or
Tabellini (QJE 2008).
ii) External environment, institutions (e.g., legal enforcement of
cheating).
Two Tests of Internal Norms vs. External Environment
1. Examine the relationship between the slave trade and trust, accounting
for the external environment and the trustworthiness of others.
• Examine trust in local government, controlling for its perceived
trustworthiness.
2. Construct variables that quantify the impact of the slave trade on
culture and institutions.
• Internal Norms: the impact of the slave trade on the individual’s
ancestors.
• External Environment: the intensity of the slave trade in the
geographic location where the individual is living today.
• For ‘movers’ these two measures are different.
The Deep Penetration of the Trans-Atlantic Slave Trade
• Walter Hawthorne in his book Planting Rice and Harvesting
Slaves writes:
“the Atlantic slave trade was insidious because its effects
penetrated deep into the social fabric of the Upper
Guinea Coast–beyond the level of the state and to the
level of the village and household . . . Hence, in many
areas, the slave trade pitted neighbor against
neighbor. . . ” (pp. 106–107).
Table 1. The Method of Enslavement of Koelle’s Informants
Manner of Enslavement Percentage
Taken in a war 24.3%
Kidnapped or seized 40.3%
Sold/tricked by a relative, friend, etc. 19.4%
Through a judicial process 16.0%
Notes: The data are from Sigismund Koelle’s Linguistic Inventory. The
sample consists of 144 informants interviewed by Koelle for which their
means of enslavement is known.
Manner of Enslavement: Examples
• Sold/tricked by a relative, friend, etc:
– “sold by his relatives”
– “sold by his family”
– “sold by his brother because they could not agree”
– “sold by a supposed friend”
– “a treacherous friend enticed him on board a Portuguese
vessel”
• Through the judicial system: – “sold by the king on account of slaying a man”
– “sold on account of his family being accused of occasioning
the king’s death by means of witchcraft”
– “sold on account of his sister being accused of witchcraft”
– “sold on account of adultery”
Ethnicity Level Measure of the Impact of the Slave Trade
• We calculate estimates of the number of slaves of each ethnicity
taken during the trans-Atlantic and Indian Ocean slave trades.
– Our analysis considers only sub-Saharan African countries.
• Our estimates are constructed by disaggregating the country
level estimates from Nunn (QJE, 2008).
1. Atlantic slave trade.
∗ 53 samples, 80,656 slaves, 229 ethnicities
2. Indian Ocean slave trade.
∗ 6 samples, 21,048 slaves, 80 ethnicities
Table 1: Slave Ethnicity Data: Trans-Atlantic Slave Trade, 1450–1799 Num. Num.
Region Years Ethnic. Obs. Record Type Valencia, Spain 1482–1516 77 2,675 Crown Records
Puebla, Mexico 1540-1556 14 115 Notarial Records
Dominican Republic 1547–1591 26 22 Records of Sale
Peru 1548–1560 16 202 Records of Sale
Mexico 1549 12 80 Plantation Accounts
Peru 1560–1650 30 6,754 Notarial Records
Lima, Peru 1583–1589 15 288 Baptism Records
Colombia 1589–1607 9 19 Various Records
Mexico 1600–1699 28 102 Records of Sale
Dominican Republic 1610–1696 33 55 Government Records
Chile 1615 6 141 Sales Records
Lima, Peru 1630–1702 33 411 Parish Records
Peru (Rural) 1632 25 307 Parish Records
Lima, Peru 1640–1680 33 936 Marriage Records
Colombia 1635–1695 6 17 Slave Inventories
Guyane (French Guiana) 1690 12 69 Plantation Records
Colombia 1716–1725 33 59 Government Records
French Louisiana 1717–1769 23 223 Notarial Records
Dominican Republic 1717–1827 11 15 Government Records
South Carolina 1732–1775 35 681 Runaway Notices
Colombia 1738–1778 11 100 Various Records
Spanish Louisiana 1770–1803 79 6,615 Notarial Records
St. Dominique (Haiti) 1771–1791 25 5,413 Sugar Plantations
Bahia, Brazil 1775–1815 14 581 Slave Lists
St. Dominique (Haiti) 1778–1791 36 1,280 Coffee Plantations
Guadeloupe 1788 8 45 Newspaper Reports
St. Dominique (Haiti) 1788–1790 21 1,297 Fugitive Slave Lists
Cuba 1791–1840 59 3,093 Slave Registers
St. Dominique (Haiti) 1796–1797 56 5,632 Plantation Inventories
Table 2: Slave Ethnicity Data: Trans-Atlantic Slave Trade, 1800–1900
Num. Num.
Region Years Ethnic. Obs. Record Type American Louisiana 1804–1820 62 223 Notarial Records
Salvador, Brazil 1808–1842 6 456 Records of Manumission
Trinidad 1813 100 12,460 Slave Registers
St. Lucia 1815 62 2,333 Slave Registers
Bahia, Brazil 1816–1850 27 2,666 Slave Lists
St. Kitts 1817 48 2,887 Slave Registers
Senegal 1818 17 80 Captured Slave Ship
Berbice (Guyana) 1819 66 1,127 Slave Registers
Salvador, Brazil 1819–1836 12 871 Manumission Certificates
Salvador, Brazil 1820–1835 11 1,106 Probate Records
Sierra Leone 1821–1824 68 605 Child Registers
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil 1826–1837 31 772 Prison Records
Anguilla 1827 7 51 Slave Registers
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil 1830–1852 190 2,921 Free Africans’ Records
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil 1833–1849 35 476 Death Certificates
Salvador, Brazil 1835 13 275 Court Records
Salvador, Brazil 1838–1848 7 202 Slave Registers
St. Louis/Goree, Senegal 1843–1848 21 189 Emancipated Slaves
Bakel, Senegal 1846 16 73 Sales Records
d’Agoué, Benin 1846–1885 11 70 Church Records
Sierra Leone 1848 132 12,425 Linguistic and British Census
Salvador, Brazil 1851–1884 8 363 Records of Manumission
Salvador, Brazil 1852–1888 7 269 Slave Registers
Cape Verde 1856 32 314 Slave Census
Kikoneh Island, Sierra Leone 1896–1897 11 185 Fugitive Slave Records
Total 80,656
Atlantic Slave Exports
0
1 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,000
10,0001 - 1,000,000 1,000,001 - 4,000,000
Courtesy of Nathan Nunn. Used with permission.
The ethnicity boundaries on this map are adapted from Map 17 "Tribal Map of Africa" in Murdock, George Peter.
Africa: Its Peoples and their Culture History. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 1959. ISBN: 9780070440524. The copyright on this title has expired.
Indian Slave Exports
0
1 - 1,000
1,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 1,000,000 Courtesy of Nathan Nunn. Used with permission.
The ethnicity boundaries on this map are adapted from Map 17 "Tribal Map of Africa" in Murdock, George Peter.
Africa: Its Peoples and their Culture History. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 1959. ISBN: 9780070440524. The copyright on this title has expired.
Afrobarometer survey data
• Survey data collected from 17 sub-Sahara African countries in
2005.
• In each country 1,200 or 2,400 citizens of voting age were
randomly sampled.
• The survey asks respondents how much they trust their
relatives, neighbors, and their local government.
• How much do you trust . . . ? – “Not at all” = 0
– “Just a little” = 1 – “Somewhat” = 2 – “A lot” = 3
Afrobarometer Countries
Figure by MIT OpenCourseWare.
Estimating Equation
trusti,e,d,c = αc + β slave exports + γ1 EFd,c + γ2 Ee,d,c/Popd,ce
+γ3missionse + X � i,e,d,c δ + εi,e,d,c where
• i indexes individuals, e ethnic groups, d districts and c countries.
• αc denote country fixed effects.
• trusti,e,d,c is our constructed measure of trust.
• slave exports is a (normalized) measure of the number of slaves taken from e
ethnic group e.
– All standard errors are clustered at the ethnicity level.
• EFd,c is ethnic fractionalization in district d of country c.
• Ee,d,c/Popd,c is the share of the total population in district d that is from
ethnic group e.
• missionse is a measure of missionary penetration during colonial rule.
• Xi,e,d,c denotes a vector of individual level characteristics:
– age and age squared
– a gender indicator variable
– urban/rural indicator variable
– 5 quality of ‘living conditions’ fixed effects
– 10 education fixed effects
– 20 religion fixed effects – 25 occupation fixed effects
OLS Estimates: Trust of Others
Relatives (1)
Neighbors (2)
Local council Intra-group Inter-group
(3) (4) (5)
Full Sample
Relatives Neighbors Local
council Intra-group Inter-group (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)
Restricted Sample: Languages and ethnicity are the same
ln normalized slave exports -.131*** (.036)
-.156*** (.034)
-.109*** (.022)
-.138*** (.031)
-.093*** (.028)
-.156*** (.045)
-.210*** (.039)
-.149*** (.031)
-.170*** (.041)
-.141*** (.043)
Individual controls District ethnicity controls Colonial missions controls Country fixed effects
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Number of observations Number of clusters R-squared
20,062 185 0.13
20,027 185 0.16
19,733 185 0.20
19,952 185 0.15
19,765 185 0.11
7,309 71
0.15
7,298 71
0.18
6,803 71
0.20
7,263 71
0.16
7,168 71
0.12
Notes : The unit of observation is an individual. Standard errors are clustered at the ethnicity level. The individual controls are for age, age squared, a gender indicator variable, 5 living conditions fixed effects, 10 education fixed effects, 20 religion fixed effects, 25 occupation fixed effects, and an indicator for whether the respondent lives in an urban location. The district ethnicity controls include a measure of ethnic fractionalization at the district level and the share of the district's population that are the same ethnicity as the respondent. The colonial missions variable is the density of mission stations (number per square kilometer) located in the area of Africa historically inhabited by the respondent's ethnic group. ***, ** and * indicates significance at the 1, 5 and 10% level.
Establishing Causality
• Instrument for slave exports using the historic distance of an
individual’s ancestors from the coast, controlling for the individual’s
current distance from the coast.
• We undertake a number of falsification tests to assess the validity of
the instruments.
� Estimate the reduced form relationship between trust and distance
from the coast:
1. Inside Africa and outside of Africa.
2. Within different regions of Africa.
Legend
Current location of respondent
Afrobarometer countries
Historic ethnic boundaries
Courtesy of Nathan Nunn. Used with permission.
The ethnicity boundaries on this map are adapted from Map 17 "Tribal Map of Africa" in Murdock, George Peter.
Africa: Its Peoples and their Culture History. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 1959. ISBN: 9780070440524. The copyright on this title has expired.
14
00
D
ista
nce
to
th
e C
oas
t o
f th
e R
esp
on
den
t in
20
05
0
70
0
0 700 Average Distance to Coast of the Respondent’s Ethnic Group in the 1800s
(coef = .93, s.e. = .03, N = 21,244, R2 = .73)
1400
IV Estimates
Omitting observations with less precise Baseline sample Omitting Kenya and Tanzania data on current location
Trust of Trust of Trust of local Trust of Trust of Trust of local Trust of Trust of Trust of local Trust of Trust of Trust of local relatives neighbors council relatives neighbors council relatives neighbors council relatives neighbors council
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)
Second Stage: Dependent variable is and individual level trust measure ln normalized slave exports -.225*** -.253*** -.226*** -.207** -.152* -.169** -.256*** -.179** -.123* -.205** -.183** -.178**
(.065) (.069) (.056) (.091) (.086) (.078) (.087) (.077) (.074) (.088) (.080) (.075)
Current distance of .0001 .0002** .0001 .0001 .0003*** .0001 .0000 .0002* .0001 respondent from coast (.0001) (.0001) (.0001) (.0001) (.0001) (.0001) (.0001) (.0001) (.0001) Hausman test (p-value) 0.14 0.15 0.02 0.31 0.81 0.29 0.06 0.50 0.68 0.25 0.38 0.18 R-squared 0.13 0.15 0.19 0.13 0.16 0.19 0.13 0.16 0.19 0.14 0.16 0.20
First Stage: Dependent variable is ln normalized slave exports
Historic distance of ethnic -.0013*** -.0013*** -.0012*** -.0010*** -.0010*** -.0010*** -.0011*** -.0011*** -.0011*** -.0011*** -.0011*** -.0011*** group from coast (.0003) (.0003) (.0003) (.0003) (.0003) (.0002) (.0003) (.0003) (.0003) (.0003) (.0003) (.0003)
Current distance of -.0006*** -.0006*** -.0005*** -.0007*** -.0007*** -.0006*** -.0005*** -.0005*** -.0005*** respondent from coast (.0002) (.0002) (.0002) (.0002) (.0002) (.0002) (.0002) (.0002) (.0002) Individual controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes District ethnicity controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Colonial missions controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Country fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Number of observations 20,062 20,027 19,733 19,618 19,585 19,298 17,754 17,721 17,514 13,986 13,956 13,591 Number of clusters 185 185 185 184 184 184 151 151 151 182 182 182 F -statistic 70.41 57.19 78.26 139.55 99.65 153.85 200.02 133.22 156.34 116.47 99.28 103.95 F -stat of excl. instrument 19.22 19.25 19.30 14.86 14.89 15.15 14.08 14.09 14.29 16.96 17.02 16.85 R-squared 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.69 0.69 0.72 0.70 0.70 0.72
Notes : The table reports IV estimates. The top panel reports the second stage estimates and the bottom panel reports first stage estimates. Columns 1-6 reports estimates with the full sample of observations. Columns 7-9 report estimates with Kenya and Tanzania omitted from the sample, and columns 10-12 report estimates where observations with less precise current location data are omitted from the sample. All standard errors are clustered at the ethnicity level. The individual controls are for age, age squared, a gender indicator variable, 5 'living conditions' fixed effects, 10 education fixed effects, 20 religion fixed effects, 25 occupation fixed effects and an indicator for whether the respondent lives in an urban location. The district ethnicity controls include a measure of ethnic fractionalization at the district level and the share of the district's population that are the same ethnicity as the respondent. The colonial missions variable is the density of mission stations (number per square kilometer) located in the area of Africa historically inhabited by the respondent's ethnic group. The null hypothesis of the Hausman test is that the OLS estimates are consistent. ***, **, and * indicates significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels.
Falsification Tests
• Estimate the reduced form relationship between trust and
distance from the coast:
1. Inside Africa and outside of Africa. – If distance from the coast only affects trust through the
slave trade, then we do not expect to find a reduced form
relationship outside of Africa.
2. Within different regions of Africa.
– We do not expect to find a reduced form relationship in
the parts of Africa unaffected by the slave trade.
Reduced Form Inside & Outside of Africa
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Trust of Local Government Council
Afrobarometer Sample Asiabarometer Sample
(5) (6)
Afrobarometer Sample
(7) (8)
WVS Non-Africa Sample
Inter-Group Trust WVS
Nigeria
(9)
Distance from the coast .0004*** .0003*** .0001 -.0082 .0004*** .0004*** -.0003 -.0002 .0008***
(.0001) (.0001) (.0001) (.0075) (.0001) (.0001) (.0002) (.0002) (.0001)
Country fixed effects
Individual controls
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
n/a
Yes
Number of observations
Number of clusters
19,859
185
19,859
185
5,409
57
5,409
57
19,970
185
19,970
185
10,308
107
10,308
107
974
16
R-squared 0.16 0.18 0.19 0.22 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.06
Notes : The unit of observation is an individual. The dependent variable in the Asiabarometer sample is the respondent's answer to the question: "How much do you trust your local government?". The categories for the answers are the same in the Asiabarometer as in the Afrobarometer. The dependent variable in the WVS sample is the respondent's answer to the question: "How much do you trust people in general?". The categories for the respondent's answers are: "not at all'', "not very much'', "neither trust nor distrust'', "a little'', completely. The responses take on the values 0, 1, 2, 3, 4. Standard errors are clustered at the ethnicity level in the Afrobarometer regressions and at the location level in the Asianbarometer and the WVS samples. When the dependent variable is trust in the local government council, the individual controls are for age, age squared, a gender indicator variable, education fixed effects, and religion fixed effects. When the dependent variable is inter-group trust, the individual controls are for age, age squared, a gender indicator, an indicator for living in an urban location, and occupation fixed effects. ***, **, and * indicates significance at the 1, 5, and 10% levels.
Reduced Form within Africa trusti,e,d,c = β1 distance from coaste
+β2 distance from coaste × slave exportsc
+X � i,e,d,c δ + γ1 EFd,c + γ2 Ee,d,c/Popd,c
+γ3 missionse + αc + εi,e,d,c
• where slave exports is our measure of slave exports at the c country-level.
Reduced Form within Africa
(1) (2) Trust of relatives
(3) (4) Trust of neighbors
(5) (6) Trust local council
Historic distance from coaste ×
Country level slave exportsc
Historic distance from the coaste
-.0004** -.0003**
(.0002) (.00015)
.0012*** .0010***
(.0003) (.0002)
-.0004* -.0003*
(.0002) (.00017)
.0014*** .0010***
(.0003) (.0003)
-.00026** -.0002**
(.00015) (.00012)
.0010*** .0008***
(.0002) (.0002)
Country fixed effects
All control variables
Number of observations
Number of clusters
R-squared
Yes Yes
No Yes
20,062 20,062
185 185
0.12 0.14
Yes Yes
No Yes
20,027 20,027
185 185
0.12 0.15
Yes Yes
No Yes
19,733 19,733
185 185
0.16 0.20
Notes : The unit of observation is an individual. Standard errors are clustered at the ethnicity level. The individual controls are for age, age squared, a gender indicator variable, 5 'living conditions' fixed effects, 10 education fixed effects, 20 religion fixed effects, 25 occupation fixed effects, an indicator for whether the respondent lives in an urban or rural location, ethnic fractionalization in the respondent's district, the share of the population of the respondent's ethnic group in the district, and the density of mission stations located in the area of Africa historically inhabited by the respondent's ethnic group. `Country level slave exports' is the log normalized number of slaves taken from each country. The variable has been normalized to range between 0 to 1. It has a mean of 0.59 and a standard deviation of 0.32. ***, **, and * indicates significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels.
Channels of Influence • To what extent does the relationship between the slave trade
and trust work through:
1. Internal beliefs, values, and norms (e.g., rules-of-thumb).
2. The external environment.
A ‘Test’ of Internal Norms vs. External Environment
• Part of the reason that an individual’s trust of the local
government may differ is because the trust-worthiness of the
governments may differ.
• The slave trade may affect an individual’s trust of the
government by affecting the government’s trustworthiness.
• We control for each respondent’s view of the performance of
their local government.
Performance Corruption of local of local Councillors council council listen? Trust in local government council
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
ln normalized slave exports -.079*** .077*** -.050** -.114*** -.059*** -.057*** -.057*** (.018) (.032) (.025) (.022) (.016) (.015) (.014)
Performance measure .337*** (.013)
Corruption measure n/a n/a n/a -.214*** (.014)
Councillors listen measure n/a n/a n/a .135*** (.014)
Performance fixed effects n/a n/a n/a No No Yes Yes Corruption fixed effects n/a n/a n/a No No Yes Yes Councillor listens fixed effects n/a n/a n/a No No Yes Yes Indicator variables for the presence of 5 different public goods
n/a n/a n/a No No No Yes
All control variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Country fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Number of observations 18,540 17,266 18,436 15,748 15,748 15,748 15,748 Number of clusters 185 185 185 185 185 185 185 R-squared 0.15 0.15 0.09 0.20 0.36 0.36 0.36
Notes : The unit of observation is an individual. Standard errors are clustered at the ethnicity level. The 'indicator variables for 5 different public goods' are for the existence of the following public goods in the responedent's town or village: school, health clinic, sewage, piped water, and electricity. 'All control variables' includes our full set of individual level control variables, district ethnicity control variables, and our measure of colonial missions. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels.
A Second ‘Test’ of Internal Norms vs. External Environment
• Intuition: An individual’s beliefs and values are internal to the
individual (and can move), while institutions are environment
(and location) specific.
• We construct a second slave exports measure:
– The average number of slaves historically taken from the
environment/location where the individual lives today.
• Recall, the baseline measure is the average number of slaves
taken from an individual’s ethnic group in the past.
Legend
Current location of respondent
Afrobarometer countries
Historic ethnic boundaries
Courtesy of Nathan Nunn. Used with permission.
The ethnicity boundaries on this map are adapted from Map 17 "Tribal Map of Africa" in Murdock, George Peter.
Africa: Its Peoples and their Culture History. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 1959. ISBN: 9780070440524. The copyright on this title has expired.
Movers vs. Non-movers
Difference: Movers Non-movers (Movers -Non-movers)
Variable Obs. Mean Obs. Mean Mean S.d.
Trust measures:
Trust in relatives 9,049 2.243 11,113 2.141 0.102*** 0.014
Trust in neighbors 9,029 1.810 11,097 1.683 0.122*** 0.014
Trust in local council 8,791 1.665 10,973 1.676 -0.011 0.016
Slave export measures:
ln normalized ethnicity based slave export measure 9,381 0.458 11,863 0.473 -0.015 0.012
ln normalized geographic location based slave export measure 9,381 0.603 11,863 0.473 0.130*** 0.016
Control variables:
Currently living in an urban city 9,381 0.387 11,863 0.351 0.037*** 0.007
Age 9,260 35.63 11,730 37.08 -1.443*** 0.204
Gender = Male 9,381 0.501 11,863 0.499 0.002 0.007
Secondary school education or higher 9,354 0.441 11,812 0.440 0.001 0.007
Ethnic fractionalization in current district 9,381 0.431 11,863 0.388 0.044*** 0.004
Share of ethnic group in current district 9,381 0.531 11,863 0.649 -0.118*** 0.005
Current distance from coast 9,381 421.41 11,863 441.83 -20.41*** 4.66
Historic prevalence of colonial missions 9,381 0.235 11,863 0.202 0.033*** 0.005
Notes : The unit of observation is an individual. 'ln normalized ethnicity based slave export measure' is our baseline measure of slave exports used throughout the paper; it is the log of the number of slaves taken from an individual's ethnic group normalized by the size of the ethnic group (measured by land area). 'ln normalized geographic location based slave export measure' is our alternative measure of slave exports, which is the log of the number of slaves taken from the location where an individual is currently living (normalized by land area). ***, **, and * indicate significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels.
A Second ‘Test’ of Internal Norms vs. External Environment
Trust of relatives Trust of neighbors Trust local council
Baseline sample Movers only Baseline sample Movers only Baseline sample Movers only (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
ln normalized ethnicity based slave -.108*** -.085*** -.136*** -.076*** -.100*** -.068*** export measure (.030) (.031) (.029) (.030) (.020) (.022)
ln normalized geographic location -.057*** -.039** -.055*** -.024 -.029** .000 based slave export measure (.011) (.017) (.014) (.016) (.013) (.021)
All control variables Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Country fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Number of observations 19,618 8,787 19,585 8,768 19,298 8,566 Number of clusters 184 162 184 162 184 162 R-squared 0.14 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.19 0.21
Notes : The unit of observation is an individual. Standard errors are clustered at the ethnicity level. 'ln normalized ethnicity based slave export measure' is our baseline measure of slave exports used throughout the paper; it is the log of the number of slaves taken from an individual's ethnic group normalized by the size of the ethnic group (measured by land area). 'ln normalized geographic location based slave export measure' is our alternative measure of slave exports, which is the log of the number of slaves taken from the location where an individual is currently living (normalized by land area). 'All control variables' includes our full set of individual level control variables, district ethnicity control variables, and our measure of colonial missions. ***, ** and * indicates significance at the 1, 5 and 10% level.
Conclusions
1. The paper provides micro-level evidence of the effect of the
slave trade on trust today.
• Causal estimates rely on variation of an individual’s
ancestors from the coast, conditioning on the individual’s
current distance from the coast. 2. We also show that much of the effect works through the slave
trade’s effect on the transmission of norms and values, internal
to the individual.
• Complements recent studies identifying the historical origins
of differences in cultural norms (e.g., Tabellini, 2005; Guiso,
Sapienza and Zingales, 2008).
Reduced Form Inside & Outside of Africa
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Trust of Local Government Council
Afrobarometer Sample Asiabarometer Sample
(5) (6)
Afrobarometer Sample
(7) (8)
WVS Non-Africa Sample
Inter-Group Trust WVS
Nigeria
(9)
Distance from the coast .0004*** .0003*** .0001 -.0082 .0004*** .0004*** -.0003 -.0002 .0008***
(.0001) (.0001) (.0001) (.0075) (.0001) (.0001) (.0002) (.0002) (.0001)
Country fixed effects
Individual controls
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
n/a
Yes
Number of observations
Number of clusters
19,859
185
19,859
185
5,409
57
5,409
57
19,970
185
19,970
185
10,308
107
10,308
107
974
16
R-squared 0.16 0.18 0.19 0.22 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.06
Notes : The unit of observation is an individual. The dependent variable in the Asiabarometer sample is the respondent's answer to the question: "How much do you trust your local government?". The categories for the answers are the same in the Asiabarometer as in the Afrobarometer. The dependent variable in the WVS sample is the respondent's answer to the question: "How much do you trust people in general?". The categories for the respondent's answers are: "not at all'', "not very much'', "neither trust nor distrust'', "a little'', completely. The responses take on the values 0, 1, 2, 3, 4. Standard errors are clustered at the ethnicity level in the Afrobarometer regressions and at the location level in the Asianbarometer and the WVS samples. When the dependent variable is trust in the local government council, the individual controls are for age, age squared, a gender indicator variable, education fixed effects, and religion fixed effects. When the dependent variable is inter-group trust, the individual controls are for age, age squared, a gender indicator, an indicator for living in an urban location, and occupation fixed effects. ***, **, and * indicates significance at the 1, 5, and 10% levels.
Reduced Form within Africa trusti,e,d,c = β1 distance from coaste
+β2 distance from coaste × slave exportsc
+X � i,e,d,c δ + γ1 EFd,c + γ2 Ee,d,c/Popd,c
+γ3 missionse + αc + εi,e,d,c
• where slave exports is our measure of slave exports at the c country-level.
Reduced Form within Africa
(1) (2) Trust of relatives
(3) (4) Trust of neighbors
(5) (6) Trust local council
Historic distance from coaste ×
Country level slave exportsc
Historic distance from the coaste
-.0004** -.0003**
(.0002) (.00015)
.0012*** .0010***
(.0003) (.0002)
-.0004* -.0003*
(.0002) (.00017)
.0014*** .0010***
(.0003) (.0003)
-.00026** -.0002**
(.00015) (.00012)
.0010*** .0008***
(.0002) (.0002)
Country fixed effects
All control variables
Number of observations
Number of clusters
R-squared
Yes Yes
No Yes
20,062 20,062
185 185
0.12 0.14
Yes Yes
No Yes
20,027 20,027
185 185
0.12 0.15
Yes Yes
No Yes
19,733 19,733
185 185
0.16 0.20
Notes : The unit of observation is an individual. Standard errors are clustered at the ethnicity level. The individual controls are for age, age squared, a gender indicator variable, 5 'living conditions' fixed effects, 10 education fixed effects, 20 religion fixed effects, 25 occupation fixed effects, an indicator for whether the respondent lives in an urban or rural location, ethnic fractionalization in the respondent's district, the share of the population of the respondent's ethnic group in the district, and the density of mission stations located in the area of Africa historically inhabited by the respondent's ethnic group. `Country level slave exports' is the log normalized number of slaves taken from each country. The variable has been normalized to range between 0 to 1. It has a mean of 0.59 and a standard deviation of 0.32. ***, **, and * indicates significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels.