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Herbert Simon

1971Thomas L. Saaty

Analytical Hierarchy Process, AHP

AHPExpert Choice

Expert ChoiceExpert Choice, Inc.

198350010030

Expert Choice

Expert Choice

Expert Choice

Expert ChoiceExpert Choice

1.

Expert Choice11.5112000

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Expert ChoiceAHP

2.

Expert Choice

e-mail:

aponmanatee@gmail.com

Tyson Jung

20116

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Expert Choice

Analytical Hierarchy Process, AHP

AHPExpert ChoiceExpert Choice

Expert Choice

Expert Choice

Expert Choice

Expert Choice

1.

Expert Choice11.5112000

2.

Expert Choice

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01

03

1

1-1 3

1-2 AHPExpert Choice 9

1-3 AHP 12

25

2-1 27

2-2 34

2-3 36

2-4 39

2-5 42

2-6 42

2-7 44

2-8 56

2-9 56

2-10 57

ExpertChoice 59

3-1 Expert Choice 61

3-2 64

3-3 68

3-4 69

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Expert ChoiceAHP

3-5 73

3-6 74

3-7 753-8 78

ExpertChoice 107

4-1 Alternative 109

4-2 Sensitivity-Graphs 114

4-3 120

4-4 123

4-5 123

4-6 Global versus Active Alternatives 124

4-7 Help 126

4-8 127

129

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A

H

P

1

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1

1-1

Herbert Simon

1971Thomas L. Saaty

Analytical Hierarchy Process, AHP

AHP

Nominal Scale

Pairwise ComparisonPairwise Comparison

MatrixEigenvector

max

AHP

AHP

Consistency Index, C.I.

Consistency Ratio, C.R.

AHP

AHP m

Judgments m i j

Relative ImportanceaijA = (aij) m

max

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Expert ChoiceAHP

AaijmaxConsistency Index, C.I.

Random Index, R.I.

C.I.R.I.C.R.

AHPAHP

Satty1980

1.Setting Priority

2.Generating a Set of Alternatives

3.Choosing a Best Policy Alternative

4.Determining Requirements

5.Allocating Resources

6.Predicting Outcomes - Risk Assessment

7.Measuring Performance

8.System Design

9.Ensuring System Stability

10.Optimization

11.Planning

12.Conflict Resolution

AHP

1989AHP

13767-1387019897

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1

1.ClassesComponents

2.Independence

3.

4.Ratio Scale

5.Positive Reciprocal Matrix

6.TransitivityABB

CACABBC

AC7.Weighting Principle

8.

AHP

AHP

1-1

AHP

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Expert ChoiceAHP

1-1 AHP

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1

Goal

1-3

1-2ABC

A1A2Alternative

1-2

n nn - 1/2

Pairwise Comparison

Matrix

A

B12 B22 B32

C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3

A1 A2

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Expert ChoiceAHP

Saaty

3-1 AHP

1 Equal Importance

3 Moderate Importance

5 Essential / Strong Importance

7 Very / Strong Importance

9 Extreme Importance

2468

The Hierarchon: A dictionary of Hierarchies. Saaty, p. A-9; T. C. & Forman, E. H. (1996).

Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania: Expert Choice.

A

Expert Choice

Consistency Index , C.I.

1.C.I. = 0

2.C.I.0.1

C.I.Consistency Ratio, C.R.

C.R.

Random Index, R.I.

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1

C.R. = C.I./R.I.R.I.Random Index4-1m

R.I.

4-1 Random Index, R.I.

m 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

R.I. 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.90 1.12 1.24 1.32 1.41 1.45 1.49 1.51 1.48 1.56 1.57 1.59

C.I. =max - m/ m - 1max A

1-2 AHPExpert Choice

Expert ChoiceExpert Choice, Inc.

1983

10030

Expert ChoiceExpert Choice

http://www.expertchoice.com/1-3

www.expertchoice.com/academic-program/free-

trial1-4Expert Choice 11.5 15

1-5

3Facilitator

Alternative

Alternative

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Expert ChoiceAHP

1-3 Expert Choice

1-4

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1

1-5 Expert Choice 11.5 15

1-6

1-6

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Expert ChoiceAHP

Expert Choice, Inc.

1-7

1-7 Expert Choice, Inc.

1-3 AHP

AHP

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1

Decision Making

Andy Grove

Programmed

Decisions

Nonprogrammed Decisions

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Expert ChoiceAHP

Certainty

Uncertainty

Seinfeld

NBC

Risk

Risk Taking

Risk Avoiding

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1

Problem

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

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Expert ChoiceAHP

Decision Criteria

Decision Quality

Decision

Acceptance

Optimizing

N. R. Maier,Psychology in Industrial Organizations, 4th ed. (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1973).

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1

Satisficing

Implementation

SatisficingSatisfying

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Expert ChoiceAHP

AHP

AHPAHP

Decision Support Systems, DSST. P.

Gerrity1971

DSSDSS

Group Decision Support Systems, GDSS

DSSGDSS

GDSSGDSS

GDSS

GDSSGDSS

GDSS

GDSS

T. P. Gerrity, Design of Man-Machine Decision Systems: An Application to Portfolio Management,

Sloan Management Review, Winter 1971, p. 59.

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1063394

(02)2705-5066 (02)2706-6100

http://www.wunan.com.tw

wunanwunan.com.tw

01068953

/6

(04)2223-0891 (04)2223-3549

/290

(07)2358-702 (07)2350-236

20116

250

Expert Choice(AHP)

..,

2011.06

.

ISBN 978-957-11-6302-4 ()

1.

494.8 100010170

1H71

Expert Choice(AHP)