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www.climatescope.fomin.org www.climatescope.fomin.org

 · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

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Page 1:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

www.climatescope.fomin.org www.climatescope.fomin.org

Page 2:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

2. www.climatescope.fomin.org

Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private sector activity at the base of the pyramid.

Targets micro and small entrepreneurs, small farmers, and low-income households.

Empowers clients through tools to increase their incomes: access to finance, markets and skills, basic services and green growth.

Provides grants, early stage equity and loans to project partners—alone or in combination, depending on the nature of the challenge.

Helps others take successful models to scale.

Is on the ground: Around 1/3 of staff based in the region.

Funded by 39 donors, with projects totaling about $100M per year.

THE MULTILATERAL INVESTMENT FUND (MIF)

Page 3:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

3. www.climatescope.fomin.org

Partnership with Climate Investment Funds: Business development services and loans for MSMEs in indigenous forest communities in Mexico to increase incomes while conserving CO2 sinks

Strengthening of the ADERC Renewable Energy Financing Facility in Honduras

Creation of the first ever remittance-driven market for affordable clean energy devices in Haiti

Development of the ESCO market and the financing and insurance instruments for SMEs in Colombia

EcoMicro: Program for microfinancing institutions to develop green financial products across Latin America and the Caribbean

THE MIF: EXAMPLES OF CLEAN ENERGY ACTIVITIES

Page 4:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

CONTENTS

1. What is Climatescope?

2. Global clean energy investment trends

4. Climatescope Global 2014/2015

3. Climatescope methodology and results

Page 5:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

5. climatescope.fomin.org

WHAT IS CLIMATESCOPE?

Climatescope: Report, Index and Interactive Online Tool providing comprehensive information for low-carbon clean energy stakeholders across respective value chains

Developed by Multilateral Investment Fund (MIF) and Bloomberg New Energy Finance

Second edition: top 5 countries in 2012 in LAC: Brazil, Chile, Nicaragua, Peru, Mexico

www.global-climatescope.org

Page 6:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

6. climatescope.fomin.org

WHY CLIMATESCOPE?

LAC region highly endowed in natural resources: 22% of global forests, 30% of available freshwater

Abundant solar, wind, bioenergy and geothermal resources Yet, region only captured ~6% of 2012 global clean energy

investment Dynamic and complex nature of clean energy markets =

Information gaps for investors, governments, entrepreneurs, businesses = Need for market intelligence (especially MSMEs)

Information tool to catalyze clean energy investment

Page 7:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

www.climatescope.fomin.org www.climatescope.fomin.org

WHAT’S YOUR PERSPECTIVE?

Who uses Climatescope?

Page 8:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

www.climatescope.fomin.org www.climatescope.fomin.org

WHO USES CLIMATESCOPE Stakeholders Use Climatescope to… Feedback

Policy-makers

Learn about policy best practices in other nations, learn about successes/failures and adjust accordingly.

Post-release of Climatescope 2012, Nicaragua’s government convened a committee tasked with boosting the country’s score in the survey – and succeeded the following year, by implementing more supportive clean energy policies.

Clean energy industry players

Gather information on electricity prices, clean energy penetration, capacity factors, availability of local finance and cost of capital

“The report really helped us understand the clean energy environment in Latin America. There is little research like Climatescope available because these markets are so young, but it is critical to develop the sector and bring in outside investment.” – strategist, Chinese photovoltaic equipment maker Trina Solar

The media Cites Climatescope for key information clean energy conditions in specific nations

Over 250 news stories published to date on Climatescope 2012 and 2013. Over 35,000 web site visits and 20,000 report downloads

NGOs and academics

Use the online tool to access the latest downloadable Climatescope datasets.

REN21, the Overseas Development Institute, and others have expressed interest in including Climatescope data in other research they are conducting

Clean energy users

Learn about renewable energy policies, gather information on availability of green micro loans, cost of green micro loans, and clean energy service providers

In the Bahamas, the results of the Climatescope prompted a reaction among renewable energy entrepreneurs demanding a more active role from the government in supporting renewables.

Page 9:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

CONTENTS

1. What is Climatescope?

2. Global clean energy investment trends

4. Climatescope Global 2014/2015

3. Climatescope 2013 methodology and results

Page 10:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

10. climatescope.fomin.org

TOTAL GLOBAL NEW INVESTMENT IN CLEAN ENERGY 2004–13 ($BN)

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance Note: Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals. Includes corporate and government R&D. Includes digital energy & energy storage asset investment. NEW

$55bn

$80bn

$116bn

$167bn

$195bn $196bn

$262bn

$318bn$286bn

$254bn

46%

45%

44%

17%0.6%

34%

21%-10%

-11%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

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11. climatescope.fomin.org

CLEAN ENERGY INVESTMENT, 2004-2013 ($BN)

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance

12.119.436.4

46.0 47.839.0

54.8

75.658.9 56.0

'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13

North America & Caribbean

17.6 22.2 28.939.0

49.361.9

78.1

103.1108.9120.6

'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13

Asia & Oceania

0.9 3.8 5.812.3 15.6 10.5 13.4 12.6 12.3 9.6

'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13

Central & South America

0.5 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.6 1.5 4.5 3.511.0 10.0

'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13

Middle East & Africa

23.834.0

44.1

68.079.3 82.8

110.8123.295.1

57.8

'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13

Europe

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12. climatescope.fomin.org

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

CRYSTALLINE SILICON MODULE SPOT PRICE, 2008-2012 ($/W)

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance Solar Spot Price Index Note: Prior to 11 July 2011 the index collated module prices without differentiating between mono and multi crystalline

-75% Four years

Page 13:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

13. climatescope.fomin.org

LEVELIZED COST OF ELECTRICITY H1 2014 ($/MWH)

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance Note: regional scenarios are shown to demonstrate the richness of the dataset and are discussed further in BNEF research notes.

0 100 200 300 400 500

NuclearCHP

Coal firedNatural gas CCGT

Small hydroLarge hydro

Biomass - anaerobic digestionLandfill gas

Geothermal - flash plantWind - onshore

Municipal solid wasteBiomass - incineration

Geothermal - binary plantPV - c-Si tracking

PV - c-SiPV - thin film

Biomass - gasificationSTEG - tower & heliostat

STEG - LFRSTEG - parabolic trough

Wind - offshoreMarine - tidal

Marine - wave

Regional scenarios Q2 2013 central H1 2014

8441037

US China Europe AustraliaFossil technologies:

Page 14:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

CONTENTS

1. What is Climatescope?

2. Global clean energy investment trends

4. Climatescope Global 2014/2015

3. Climatescope 2013 methodology and results

Page 15:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

www.climatescope.fomin.org

• Policy & regulation

• Clean energy penetration

• Price attractiveness

• Market size expectation

CLIMATESCOPE METHODOLOGY

ENABLING FRAMEWORK CLEAN ENERGY INVESTMENT AND CLIMATE FINANCING

LOW-CARBON BUSINESS AND CLEAN ENERGY VALUE CHAINS GREENHOUSE GAS MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES

• Amount invested

• Fund sources

• Green microfinance

• Cost of debt

• Clean energy service providers

• Value chains by clean energy sector

• Financial institutions in clean energy

• Carbon offsets

• Carbon policy

• Corporate awareness

http://www.global-climatescope.org

Page 16:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private
Page 17:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private
Page 18:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

18. climatescope.fomin.org

CLIMATESCOPE 2013: RANKINGS AND SCORES

Source: 2013 Climatescope

Page 19:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

www.climatescope.fomin.org

3RD PLACE: NICARAGUA

Parameter I – Enabling Framework

40% renewable installed power capacity; potential for clean rural electrification

Parameter IV – Greenhouse Gas Management Activities

9 CDM projects; potential for more REDD initiatives

Parameter II – Clean Energy Investment

$292m in investment in 2012; highest proportion compared to its $26.7bn economy

Parameter III – Low-Carbon & Clean Energy Value Chains

Strong value chain for small hydro and wind; limited for other sectors

2.49

3.02

1.06

1.24

19.

Page 20:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

www.climatescope.fomin.org

2ND PLACE: CHILE

Parameter I – Enabling Framework

Liberalized power market, high power demand and rapid increase in renewable installed capacity and generation

Parameter IV – Greenhouse Gas Management Activities

Emission reduction target of 20% by 2020

Parameter II – Clean Energy Investment

Investment growth of +320%, going from $0.5bn in 2011 to $2.1bn in 2012

Parameter III – Low-Carbon & Clean Energy Value Chains

Strong value chain for biomass & waste, small hydro and geothermal

2.16

2.05

3.31

3.01

20.

Page 21:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

www.climatescope.fomin.org

1ST PLACE: BRAZIL

Parameter I – Enabling Framework

Topped the ranking for the clean energy policy indicator and finished second on the power sector openness indicator

Parameter IV – Greenhouse Gas Management Activities

High activity from large corporations in developing energy efficiency and emission reduction initiatives

Parameter II – Clean Energy Investment

Clean energy investment dropped 36% in 2012, reaching $9.2bn, compared to $14.5bn in 2011

Parameter III – Low-Carbon & Clean Energy Value Chains

Industrial policy in Brazil has driven its clean energy value chain

2.25

1.56

4.25

3.40

21.

Page 22:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

CONTENTS

1. What is Climatescope?

2. Global clean energy investment trends

4. Climatescope Global 2014/2015

3. Climatescope 2013 methodology and results

Page 23:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

www.climatescope.fomin.org www.climatescope.fomin.org

CLIMATESCOPE 2014 GOES GLOBAL

Together with UK’s DFID and USAID, the MIF and BNEF are expanding the Climatescope 2014 to Africa and Asia

The global index will cover, in addition to the 26 countries in LAC, 27 more countries, thereby expanding the coverage of Climatescope 2014 to a total of 53 countries

23.

Latin America Africa Asia

Argentina Botswana Bangladesh Bahamas Cameroon China Barbados Cote d'Ivoire 15 Chinese

provinces Belize Democratic Republic of

Congo India + 25 provinces

Bolivia Ethiopia Indonesia Brazil Ghana Myanmar Chile Kenya Nepal

Colombia Liberia Pakistan Costa Rica Malawi Sri Lanka

Dominican Republic Mozambique Tajikistan Ecuador Nigeria Vietnam

El Salvador Rwanda Guatemala Sierra Leone

Haiti South Africa Honduras Tanzania Jamaica Uganda Mexico Zambia

Nicaragua Zimbabwe Panama Senegal Paraguay

Peru Suriname

Trinidad and Tobago Uruguay

Venezuela

Page 24:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

www.climatescope.fomin.org www.climatescope.fomin.org

CLIMATESCOPE COVERAGE, 2012-13 AND 2014-15

26 Latin American & Caribbean nations

19 sub-Saharan

Africa nations

8 Asian countries, including 25

states/provinces in India & China

Nations studied for 2012-13 Climatescope Nations added for 2014-15

Page 25:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

25

CLEAN ENERGY POLICIES, NUMBER OF POLICIES BY POLICY TYPE

Key: No policies 1-2 policy types 3-5 policy types 6-8 policy types Policy types: Energy target; Feed-in tariff; Auction; Net metering; Utility regulation; Biofuel blending mandate; Debt/Equity incentive; tax incentives

Latin America and Caribbean:

149

43

Africa: 134

Asia: 202

16 7 4

9

4 3

6

35

14

1 3

4 2 2 6

15 9 4

4

8

11

8

5

26

5

8

6 8

5

92

58

15

3

9 9

4

3

9

Page 26:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

26

CLEAN ENERGY POLICIES, SELECTED LOCATIONS

Ghana

Kenya

South Africa

Zambia

China

India

Pakistan

Brazil

Mexico

Uruguay

Nicaragua

Vietnam

Ene

rgy

targ

et

Feed

-in ta

riff

Auc

tion

Net

met

erin

g

Util

ity re

gula

tion

Bio

fuel

ble

ndin

g m

anda

te

Deb

t/equ

ity

ince

ntiv

e

Tax

ince

ntiv

e

Afri

ca

Asi

a La

tin A

mer

ica

Key:

Proposed

In force

Expired

Page 27:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

27 Insert Date (go to Insert Tab, Header & Footer and Apply to All)

SOLAR AND WIND VALUE CHAINS, SELECTED LOCATIONS

Ghana

Kenya

South Africa

Zambia

China

India

Pakistan

Brazil

Mexico

Uruguay

Nicaragua

Vietnam

Pro

ject

de

velo

pmen

t

Solar Wind

Eng

inee

ring

Pol

ysilic

on/

Ingo

ts

Waf

ers

Cel

ls

Mod

ules

Bal

ance

of p

lant

Pro

ject

de

velo

pmen

t

Eng

inee

ring

O&

M

Bla

des

Gea

rbox

es

Tow

ers

O&

M

Inve

rters

Turb

ines

Bal

ance

of p

lant

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28 www.climatescope.fomin.org www.climatescope.fomin.org

POTENTIAL ADDITIONAL STATES/PROVINCES

28 sub-Saharan nations

17 Asia-Pacific countries

5 North African nations

9 eastern European nations

Page 29:  · 2. Established in 1993 as a unique laboratory within the Inter-American Development Bank Group for testing, pioneering, innovating, and sharing initial risk to unlock private

www.climatescope.fomin.org www.climatescope.fomin.org

Carrie McKellogg, [email protected] Ethan Zindler, [email protected] Twitter: @Ethanall