200504 01 Practice Standard for Earned Value Management

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    Pract ice Standard for

    Earned Value Management

    Padova, 27 maggio 2005

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    Pract ice St andard for Earned ValueManagement

    Practice Standard

    forEarned Value Management

    Enrico Masciadra, PMP

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    Il problema .

    Task Giorno 1 Giorno 2 Giorno 3 Giorno 4 Avanzamento

    Lato 1 S--------------F Completo. Speso1000

    Lato 2 S-------------PF -----F Completo

    Speso 1200

    Lato 3 PS----S-----PF A metSpeso 600

    Lato 4 PS-----------PF Da fare

    Costruzione di un recinto Costo 1000 per lato Time now fine del terzo giorno

    Fonte R. Mulcahy PMP Exam Prep

    Come stiamo andando ?

    TN

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    La risposta !!!

    Valore Calcolo Valore

    PV 1000 + 1000 + 1000 3000

    EV 1000 + 1000 + 500 2500

    AC 1000 + 1200 + 600 2800

    BAC 1000+1000+1000+1000 4000

    CV 2500 - 2800 -300

    CPI 2500 / 2800 0.893

    SV 2500 - 3000 -500

    SPI 2500 / 3000 0.833

    EAC 4000 / 0.893 4479

    ETC 4479 - 2800 1679

    VAC 4000 - 4479 -479

    Formula

    EV - AC

    EV / AC

    EV - PV

    EV / PV

    BAC / CPI

    EAC AC

    BAC-EAC

    Earned values Interpretazione

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    Che cos la Practice standard

    The Earned Value Management (EVM) Practice Standard has been developed asa supplement to A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge(PMBOK Guide). The EVMThe EVM PracticePractice StandardStandard isis designeddesigned tot o provideprovidereadersreaders w how ho areare familiarfamiliar w i thw i th thethe PMBOKPMBOK GuideGuide wi thw i th aa fundamentalfundamental

    understandingunderstanding of theof the principlesprinciples of EVM andof EVM and it sit s rolerole inin facil itatingfacil itatingeffectiveeffective project management .project management .

    The EVM Practice Standard assumes that the reader has a basic workingknowledge of the project management process groups, knowledge areas and

    other key concepts, such as work breakdown structures (WBS) and critical pathmethod (CPM) scheduling, which are outlined in the PMBOK Guide. If that isnot the case, it is recommended that the reader undertake a review of thePMBOK Guide before reading the EVM Practice Standard.

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    In pratica .

    Rube Goldberg, Inventions of Professor Lucifer Butts, 1932

    St andard per applicare corrett amente la t ecnica degli Earned values

    Una macchina per spremere le arance

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    Il compito di EVM

    EVM provides organizations with the methodology needed to integrate themanagement of project scope, schedule, and cost. EVM can play a crucial role inanswering management questions that are critical to the success of everyproject, such as:

    Are we ahead of or behind schedule?How efficiently are we using our time?When is the project likely to be completed?Are we under or over our budget?How efficiently are we using our resources?

    What is the remaining work likely to cost?What is the entire project likely to cost?How much will we be under or over budget?

    If the application of EVM to a project revealsthat it is behind schedule or over budget, theproject manager can use the EVM methodologyto help identify:

    Where problems are occurring;Whether the problems are critical or not;What it will take to get the project back on track.

    Fonte: Practice Standard for Earned Value Management

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    La struttura del Practice standard

    Chapter 1 Introduction1.1 The Role of Earned Value Management1.2 EVM and the Project Management Process

    Chapter 2 Basic Elements of Earned Value Management2.1 Descriptions of the Basic EVM Elements2.2 Derivations of the Basic EVM Elements2.3 Putting it All Together

    Chapter 3 EVM Performance Analysis and Forecasting3.1 Schedule Analysis and Forecasting3.2 Cost Analysis and Forecasting3.3 Management by Exception

    Chapter 4 Guidance for the Use of Key EVM Practices4.1 Establish a Performance Measurement Baseline4.2 Measure and Analyze Performance Against PMB

    Fonte: Practice Standard for Earned Value Management

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    EVM & Project Management

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    Gli indicatori BASE

    Fonte: Practice Standard for Earned Value Management

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    Gli indicatori

    How are we doing time wise? How we will proceede ? How are we doing cost wise?

    PV Pla n n ed Va lu e

    EV Ea rned Value AC Actu a l Cos t

    CV Cost Var iance SC Sched ul e v ar ian ce

    CPI Co st p e r f o r m a n ce i n d e x CPI C Cum ula t ive CPI

    SPI Schedu le pe r f o rm anceindex

    ETC based on new estimate ETC based on atypical variance ETC based on typical variance EAC using a new estimate EAC using remaining budget

    EAC using CPIC

    TheTheresultresult

    InformationInformation need

    edneeded

    Perform

    ance

    F

    orecasting

    Project Baseline

    Time nowAvanzamento

    Basic

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    Lapplicazione

    Come scegliere le modalit di applicazione

    Come definire le modalit di misurazione

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    Lapplicazione teorica

    As project significance and uncertaintyincrease, the rigor with which EVM isapplied also needs to increase. There aretwo basic dimensions to EVM rigor: thegranularity and the frequency of themeasurement of project performance.Granularity refers to the level of detail to

    which the project work scope is brokendown using a WBS. Frequency is the timeinterval at which project performance isassessed, analyzed and reported, rangingfrom daily to monthly or longer. EVM

    implementation can be scaled along thesetwo dimensions (granularity and frequency)to achieve the degree of rigor required bythe significance and the uncertainty of the

    project.

    Fonte: Practice Standard for Earned Value Management

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    Earned values measurement techniques

    Fonte: Practice Standard for Earned Value Management

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    EVM Performance analysis & forecasting - 1

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    EVM Performance analysis & forecasting - 2

    Variances: Schedule Variance (SV); Cost Variance (CV); and Variance atCompletion (VAC)

    Indices: Schedule Performance Index (SPI); Cost Performance Index (CPI);and To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI)

    Forecasts: Time Estimate at Completion (EACt); Estimate at Completion

    (EAC); and Variance at Completion (VAC)

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    Tutti insieme appassionatamente

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

    T/N

    VAC

    EAC

    BAC

    ProjectedProgram

    Delay

    Schedule Variance

    Cost Variance

    EV

    PV

    AC

    Schedule Slip

    PM

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    Time-Based Schedule Measures

    Time based

    SV(t) = PT ET = 12 16 = 4 monthsSPI(t) = PT / ET = 12 / 16 = 0.75

    Cost based

    SV($) = EV PV = 100 100 = 0SPI($) = EV / PV = 100 / 100 = 1.0

    SV = EV PV = 24 32 = 8

    SPI = EV / PV = 24 / 32 = 0.75

    If the work were to continue at this rate,then all of the work of Project EZ wouldtake 16 months to accomplish instead ofthe 12 months planned (12 / 0.75 = 16).

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    Le stime a finire

    ( )( )

    ++

    ++

    +=

    ACkACjACi

    EVkEVjEVi

    EVBACACEAC

    SPICPI

    EVBACACEAC

    2.08.0

    +=

    SPICPI

    EVBACACEAC

    *

    +=

    CPI

    BACEAC=

    Future costperformance will bethe same as all pastcost performance

    Future cost performance will be influencedadditionally by past schedule performance

    Future cost performance will be thesame as the last three measurementperiods (i, j, k)

    Future cost performance will be influenced jointly insome proportion by both indices

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    Guidance for the Use of Key EVM Practices

    Establish a Performance Measurement Baseline (PMB) Decompose work scope to a manageable level Assign unambiguous management responsibility Develop time-phased budget for each work task

    Select EV measurement techniques for all tasks Maintain integrity of PMB throughout the project

    Measure and analyze performance against the baseline Record resource usage during project execution Objectively measure physical work progress

    Credit earned value according to EV techniques Analyze and forecast cost/schedule performance Report performance problems and/or take action

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    Conclusioni

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    Any questions ?Any questions ?