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1 Annual Meeting April 22, 2008 We’re ready for a changing world

2008 AGM FINAL - TransAlta AGM... · 2017. 7. 28. · Q1 2008 – Another strong quarter Comparable earnings $0.50 $0.28 Comparable earnings (MM) $99 $56 $331 $0.25 $0.28 $56 Q1 2007

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  • ▀ 1

    AnnualMeeting

    April 22, 2008

    We’re readyfor a changing world

  • ▀ 2

    Board of Directors

    William D. Anderson

  • ▀ 3

    Board of Directors

    Stanley J. Bright

  • ▀ 4

    Board of Directors

    Timothy W. Faithfull

  • ▀ 5

    Board of Directors

    Gordon D. Giffin

    Board of Directors

    Gordon D. Giffin

  • ▀ 6

    Board of Directors

    C. Kent Jespersen

  • ▀ 7

    Board of Directors

    Michael M. Kanovsky

  • ▀ 8

    Board of Directors

    Gordon S. Lackenbauer

  • ▀ 9

    Board of Directors

    Dr. Martha C. Piper

  • ▀ 10

    Board of Directors

    Luis Vázquez Senties

  • ▀ 11

    Board of Directors

    Stephen G. Snyder

  • ▀ 12

    Board of Directors

    Donna Soble Kaufman

  • ▀ 13

    Board of DirectorsBoard of Directors

  • ▀ 14

    AnnualMeeting

    April 22, 2008

    We’re readyfor a changing world

  • ▀ 15

    Remarks from Chair of the BoardDonna Soble Kaufman

  • ▀ 16

    Monitoring progress against strategic plan

    Growth investmentsPortfolio optimizationShare buybacksDividends

    Eight per cent increaseFormal dividend policy

  • ▀ 17

    Championing sustainable development

  • ▀ 18

    Board of DirectorsBoard of Directors

  • ▀ 19

    Chief Financial Officer’s ReportBrian Burden

  • ▀ 20

    Forward looking statements

    This presentation may contain forward-looking statements, including statements regarding the business and anticipated financial performance of TransAlta Corporation. All forward-looking statements are based on our beliefs and assumptions based on information available at the time the assumption was made. These statements are not guarantees of our future performance and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements. Some of the factors that could cause such differences include cost of fuels to produce electricity, legislative or regulatory developments, competition, global capital markets activity, changes in prevailing interest rates, currency exchange rates, inflation levels, unanticipated accounting or audit issues with respect to our financial statements or our internal control over financial reporting, plant availability, and general economic conditions in geographic areas where TransAlta Corporation operates. Given these uncertainties, the reader should not place undue reliance on this forward-looking information, which is given as of this date. The material assumptions in making these forward-looking statements are disclosed in our 2007 Annual Report to shareholders and other disclosure documents filed with securities regulators.

    Unless otherwise specified, all dollar amounts are expressed in Canadian dollars.

  • ▀ 21

    Outline

    Financial Results

    2008 – 2010 Outlook

    Financial Strategy

  • ▀ 22

    2007 Financial Results : A record year

    7.4%48%

    $620$1.00

    $0.94

    $0.82

    $186$1612005

    $1.16$1.31Comparable earnings

    $234$264Comparable earnings (MM)

    9.0%9%

    $490$1.00

    $0.22

    $45

    2006

    9.7%29%

    $847$1.00

    $1.53

    $309

    2007

    Per share

    Comparable Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)

    Total Shareholder Return

    Cash flow from Operations (MM) Dividends

    Net earnings

    Net earnings (MM)

    Results

  • ▀ 23

    Q1 2008 – Another strong quarter

    $0.28$0.50Comparable earnings

    $56$99Comparable earnings (MM)

    $331$0.25$0.28

    $56

    Q1 2007

    $237$0.27$0.17

    $33

    Q1 2008

    Per share

    Cash flow from Operations (MM) DividendsNet earnings

    Net earnings (MM)

    Results

  • ▀ 24

    EPS and cash flow growth

    2008 – 2010Expect low double digit EPS growth and strong cash flow from operations

    $2.20

    $2.00

    $1.80

    $1.60

    $1.40

    $1.20

    $1.00

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 - 2010e

    $2.00

    $1.44$1.31

    $1.16

    $0.80

    $0.60

    $0.82

    $0.66

    Comparable EPSMM

    $1,000

    $600

    $4002004 2005 2006 2007 2008-2010e

    Cash Flow from Operations

    $950

    $850

    $675

    $777

    $620$591

    $500

    $700

    $800

    $900

    1. Range based on low double digit growth estimate2. Cash flow adjusted for timing of PPA and contracted revenue payments

    1 2 2

    COMPARABLE EPS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS

  • ▀ 25

    Financial strategy supports consistent shareholder value creation

    Financial strength provides shareowners an advantage in a long-cycle, capital intensive, cyclical industry

    Maintain balanced capital allocation plan

    Maintain financial flexibility

    Maintain focus on IRR, ROCE, and TSR objectives

  • ▀ 26

    Balanced capital allocation plan creates consistent value over time

    NCIB expanded to full 10%; in 2007 purchased 2.4M shares = $75 million2008, intent is to renew and utilize significant portion of NCIB

    Provide shareholders incremental return of capital

    Share Buyback

    2008 annual dividend increased 8% to $1.08;Board policy is to target a payout of 60 - 70% of comparable EPS

    Provide shareholders sustainable dividend growth

    Dividend

    Mexico – PSA signed for USD $303.5 MMSarnia - pursuing improved long-term contractCentralia Gas - assessing contracting optionsAustralia - no action at this time

    Divest or improve under-performing assets

    Divest non-core assets

    PortfolioOptimization

    Projects must deliver unlevered, free cash, after tax IRR >10%:Greenfield Acquisitions

    Announced ~$1.2 billion to date225 MW Keephills 3 $815 MM 96 MW Kent Hills $170 MM66 MW Blue Trail $115 MM53 MW Sun 5 Uprate $ 75 MM

    Targeting W. U.S. and W. Canada

    Asset Investment

    Increasing capital efficiency is the focus of management and the Board

    ALTERNATIVES DIRECTION ACTION

  • ▀ 27

    9.9%

    9.4%

    9.1%

    8.3%

    7.6%

    7.5%

    7.0%

    6.7%

    5.8%

    5.6%

    0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

    Mirant

    Reliant

    Dynegy

    NRG

    TransAlta

    Enbridge

    TransCanada

    Canadian Utilities

    Fortis

    Emera

    Non-Investment Grade Investment Grade

    Corporate Spreads to Treasuries (bps)

    Spread to BBB (bps)

    Date BBB BB B BB B

    2004 YE 113 203 292 90 179

    2005 YE 140 269 328 129 188

    2006 YE 122 194 286 72 164

    2007 YE 245 459 571 214 326

    Current 349 572 820 223 471

    Increase Since 2004 236 369 528

    We maintain a competitive weighted average cost of capital

    Increasing Debt Spreads for Non-Investment Grade Credits

    Lower Weighted Average Cost of CapitalFor Investment Grade Companies

    TransAlta

  • ▀ 28

    0%

    4%

    8%

    12%

    16%

    2005 2006 2007 2008e 2009e 2010e

    Sustainable shareholder returns in a long-cycle, capital intensive, commodity power industry

    COMPARABLE ROCE

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    2005 2006 2007 2008e 2009e 2010e

    WACC

    CUMULATIVE TSR

  • ▀ 29

    President and CEO’s ReportSteve Snyder

  • ▀ 30

    Our messages

    Strong financial shape

    Strong cash flow

    Balanced approach to capital allocation

    Sustainable development and technical knowledge

    Customer base in growing markets

    2,201 dedicated employees

  • ▀ 31

    Delivering results

    Competitivestrengths

    Favourablemarket

    conditions

    low double-digit earnings growth

    and strong cash flow

    + =

  • ▀ 32

    A diverse portfolio of fuels

    Our diversification supports stable, steady income and cash flow

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    1998 2008

    Hydro, Wind, GeothermalNatural GasCoal

  • ▀ 33

    Our market focus

    CANADA6,023 MW

    UNITED STATES2,043 MW

    AUSTRALIA300 MW

  • ▀ 34

    Growth Focus

    Geothermal

    Wind

    Cogeneration

  • ▀ 35

    Announced growth projects

    Keephills 3

    Kent HillsBlue Trail

  • ▀ 36

    New technologies

    Post combustion CO2 capture is expected to be available commercially in the long-term to retrofit existing thermal plants and any new build

  • ▀ 37

    Markets outside of western Canada and U.S.

    Mexico: Executed on strategy

    Australia:Great value

    Ontario:ComplexAssets are performing well

  • ▀ 38

    Challenges

    Environment

    Emerging Technologies

    Plant replacement costs

  • ▀ 39

    The triple E equation

    Environment

    EconomicHealth

    EnergyGrowth

  • ▀ 40

    Addressing the challenge

    A complex problem

    Infrastructure costs to consumers and shareowners

    Requirement for government/ research/industry partnerships

    Demand management

    The strategic value of coal

  • ▀ 41

    The path forward

    Carbon Capture and Sequestration

    Investment in renewables

    Increase interconnections

    Encourage use of all fuel sources

  • ▀ 42

    An exciting time for TransAlta and the industry

    Short-termGrow earnings and dividend

    Medium-termOptions to grow asset baseFramework for sustained earnings growth

    Long-termIncreasing capability to break “Triple E” equationMeet environmental standardsDeliver excellent shareowner value

  • ▀ 43

    Executive Team

  • ▀ 44

    We’re readyfor a changing world