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2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Art DeGaetanoDirector NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center
Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric SciencesCornell University, Ithaca, NY
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
What are Climate Services and What are Climate Services and What Will They Look Like?What Will They Look Like?
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
CLIMATE SERVICES MUSTBE ROOTED IN USERS
DATA ARE AT THE CORE OF CLIMATE SERVICES
CLIMATE SERVICES BRANCH TO REGIONAL AND LOCAL LEVELS
PRODUCTS AND TOOLS ARE THE FRUITS OF CLIMATE SERVICES
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Growing the Climate Services tree requires a team ….
Particularly if it is to bear high-quality fruit
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
The way a team plays as a whole determines its success. You may have the greatest bunch of individual stars in the world, but if they don't play together, the club won't be worth a dime.
~Babe Ruth
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Users…The RootsUsers…The Roots
• “Big Industry”• Agribusiness, Investment Banking, Insurance, etc.
• Consultants• Agricultural, Meteorological, Engineering, etc.
• Media• The Weather Channel, local stations, press, etc
• “User groups”• NY Grape Foundation, ASHRAE, NE Nordic Ski Assoc, etc.
• Government• Federal, State, Local, International
• Others
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
It’s 10:00.
Do you know
where your
users are?
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Data … The TrunkData … The Trunk
• Data are at the Core of Climate Service• Encompass all temporal scales
• Historical, real time, “weather” forecast, seasonal forecast, projection
• Variety of spatial scales• Section 3 of vineyard 2 through global
• Quality,Quality, Quality• Consistency
• Must speak with one voice• Federal versus state/private
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Collecting and providing timely, high-quality data should one of the roles of the federal government
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Bringing Climate Services to the Bringing Climate Services to the Local level….The BranchesLocal level….The Branches
• Numerous players• Federal: RCCs, RISAs, NCDC, NWS, CPC,etc.• State: AASC, Cooperative Extension, Sea Grant• Private Industry
• TRUST• Data to Products and Tools
• These are the fruit and leaves that the branches bear
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Among NOAA’s team roles at the regional and local level is to be the coach.
The other players fill unique roles
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
NOAA Regional Climate NOAA Regional Climate CentersCenters
Regional HUBSHUBS for user-centric climate services; provision of synchronized and integrated data resources;development of climate tools; applications research; and education that provide a regional focus to addressing societal needs.
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
• Contractual obligations
data systems, user service and monitoring
• Near-real time relational database system,
web-based information resources.
• Infrastructure capabilities grow from user and partner
interests and needs.
• Efficiency and robustness, yet able to be nimble• Program versus individual centers
• Leverage infrastructure to support applied research
RCC FunctionsRCC Functions
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
ARSCOARSCO
To satisfy the current and growng needs for climate services, climatological expertise must be readily available at the LOCAL LOCAL LEVELLEVEL. ARSCOs have the best understanding of the climate of their state, and the ability and knowledge to provide climate information to users.
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
ARSCOsARSCOs• Infrastructure
– connect to data archives at NCDC, RCCs. – Multiple dissemination pathways,websites
• Services– provide data and information to users, both printed and on-line
• Research– relationships between climate and human activities that impact their state
• Outreach– evaluate the needs of users as required. Educate state citizens people of their states
on current and emerging climate issues • Awareness
– promote its program as well as regional and national programs • Media Contacts
– cultivate print and broadcast media contacts
• Monitoring and Impact Assessments– monitor current climate conditions, evaluate potential future impacts and place events in historical perspective
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Regional Integrated Sciences and Regional Integrated Sciences and AssessmentsAssessments
RISAs support RESEARCHRESEARCH that addresses complex climate sensitive issues of concern to decision-makers and policy planners at regional levels.
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
RISA ExpertiseRISA Expertise
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Government PartnersGovernment Partners• NOAA
– Local/Regional Forecast Offices– NEDIS, NWS OAR, CPC, GFDL etc.
• Other Federal Agencies– USDA, BLM, NPS, etc.
• NASA, NSF– Data, research dollars, models etc.
• National Drought Mitigation Center• State Government
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Gettin' good players is easy. Gettin' 'em to play together is the hard part. ~Casey Stengel
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Our collective vision for National Climate Services should build on
existing partnerships. Our goal should be to excel in our positions, but to play as a part of the team.
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Fire Season Stations in AZ from the Western RCC
Regional Data Network from the High Plains RCC
Partnering in DataPartnering in Data
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Partnering with SCsPartnering with SCs
Hybrid Coop/CoCoRaHS PrecipMaps
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
• xmACIS (NWS Field Office Use)
• Applied Climate Information System• Data query tool for NWS local climate research/local product development, and to answer customer climate record inquiries• Complete historical climate database with near real-time update
Partnering with NWSPartnering with NWS
•NOWData (Public Use)
• Self-service tool• Subset of xmACIS• Free, limited access• Current year and Normals• Portal for ACIS and NCDC information
http://www.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=btv
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
• ThreadEx (Open Use)• Consistent daily temperature and
precipitation extremes
Partnering with Partnering with NWS/NCDC/Private IndustryNWS/NCDC/Private Industry
http://threadex.rcc-acis.org/
Likely to be a several different sites
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
• Datzilla (Partner Use)• Data discrepancy reporting• 400 registered NOAA users
Partnering with NWS/NCDCPartnering with NWS/NCDC
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
• WxCoder III (COOP Use) • Internet observation entry system
Partnering with NWS/NCDCPartnering with NWS/NCDC
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Partnering with Federal AgenciesPartnering with Federal Agencies• AgACIS (Custom NRCS data and
products)
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
MapNavigationTools
GIS ToolsMetadata
Partners with RISAsPartners with RISAs
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Partnering in Applied ResearchPartnering in Applied Research
Trend Identification in Twentieth-Century U.S. Snowfall: The Challenges Kenneth E. Kunkel, Michael A. Palecki, Kenneth G. Hubbard, David A. Robinson, Kelly T. Redmond, and David R. Easterling Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology
SERVICES: A Modern Applied Climate Information SystemKenneth G. Hubbard, Arthur T. DeGaetano, and Kevin D. Robbins Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Winter Orographic Precipitation Ratios in the Sierra Nevada—Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulations and Hydrologic Consequences Michael Dettinger, Kelly Redmond, and Daniel Cayan Journal of Hydrometeorology
RISA - RCC
RCC – ARCSO - NCDC
RCC - RCC
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Some thoughts for continued growth and improvement that may capture and nourish the ideas, energy, talent and commitment of the AMS ……
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
• Historical climate data essential but not sufficient• Past to present to future• Expand thinking beyond climate …. ecological, social and
economic data• Data encompass more than observations
• Quality, quantity, scale, uncertainty
• Climate to weather and back again• Decisions do not obey arbitrary time bounds
• Decision Support instead of raw values
Data will remain at the core Data will remain at the core of climate servicesof climate services
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
2007 01 01 53 36 44.5 0.082007 01 02 39 31 35 0.002007 01 03 49 35 42 0.002007 01 04 57 44 50.5 0.022007 01 05 57 50 53.5 0.952007 01 06 56 41 48.5 0.292007 01 07 43 32 37.5 0.132007 01 08 44 30 37 0.152007 01 09 34 28 31 0.052007 01 10 29 22 25.5 T
CLIMOD : Daily Data Month: Jan 2007
Day Max Min Avg Prec 15336 45 0.08
2 39 31 350.003 49 35 420.004 57 44 510.035 57 50 540.956 56 41 490.287 43 32 380.138 44 30 370.159 34 28 310.0510 29 21 250.02
Non-NOAA Web
DY MAX MIN AVG PPT ===================1 53 36 45 0.08 2 39 31 35 0.003 49 35 42 0.004 57 44 51 0.035 57 50 54 0.956 56 41 49 0.287 43 32 38 0.138 44 30 37 0.159 34 28 31 0.0510 29 21 25 0.02
NWS LCD
Enhanced integration and Enhanced integration and consistency among datasetsconsistency among datasets
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
ASOS
Enhanced integration of networksEnhanced integration of networks
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
add Coop
Enhanced integration of networksEnhanced integration of networks
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Add MADIS
Enhanced integration of networksEnhanced integration of networks
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
• Build upon acquired stakeholder trust• Trust the team not a particular player
• Shared information, tools and solutions• Funding will continue to be at a premium
• Proactive, evolutionary approach• Grounded in tried and true methods
• Understand changing hazards, consequences, adaptations and assets
• challenges and opportunities
On the forefront of climate to On the forefront of climate to decision makingdecision making
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
Potential for expansion to go from climate to weather and back again!
Potential utility for climate change impact assessment on ground and estuary water quality
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
What are Climate Services and What are Climate Services and What Will They Look Like?What Will They Look Like?
• The Vail Principals• Promote variety of societal benefits /range of users• Address full range of time and space scales• Climate system information
– Integrate climate with societal challenges (climate lens)
• Problem based assessments for better decisions• Ensure accessibility of data/information• Active use engagement and interaction• Cascade of roles … National, agency, university, private
2008 AMS Summer Community Meeting
What are Climate Services and What are Climate Services and What Will They Look Like?What Will They Look Like?
QUESTIONS??