2008 Business Outlook Summit The State of Northeast Louisiana Prepared and presented by: John Francis, PhD Louisiana Tech University Robert Eisenstadt,

2008 Business Outlook SummitThe State of Northeast Louisiana

Prepared and presented by:

John Francis, PhDLouisiana Tech UniversityRobert Eisenstadt, PhDUniversity of Louisiana - Monroe

The following presentation will be available for review on-line at:

cba.ulm.edu/cber

First the bad news:

NE Louisianas official POPULATION continues to decline.

RLMA 8 Population is down 2% since 2000

Counties

table with row headers in column A and column headers in rows 3 through 4 (leading dots indicate sub-parts)

Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006

Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by U.S. Department of CensusApril 1, 2000

July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001July 1, 2000Estimates BaseCensus

Louisiana4,287,7684,507,3314,495,7064,480,9254,470,5434,463,4214,469,5294,468,9584,468,976

1.Caldwell Parish10,61510,61810,71410,61110,60710,54810,57110,56010,560

2.East Carroll Parish8,6998,7868,8398,9739,0759,2139,3979,4219,421

3.Franklin Parish20,45520,39020,64320,82220,87021,03821,26921,26321,263

4.Jackson Parish15,20215,08415,21115,25815,24715,37515,38815,39715,397

5.Lincoln Parish41,85741,90742,11442,00641,80642,00742,48042,50942,509

6.Madison Parish12,32812,47112,62712,86013,16513,42513,71813,72813,728

7.Morehouse Parish29,76129,91930,29730,50530,46430,66030,98131,02131,021

8.Ouachita Parish149,259147,721147,879147,323146,890146,314147,225147,250147,250

9.Richland Parish20,55420,39120,45120,51320,68620,88420,95020,98120,981

10.Tensas Parish6,1386,1176,1476,2526,4076,4866,5836,6186,618

11.Union Parish22,96422,86622,81322,85622,78622,88122,77922,80322,803

12.West Carroll Parish11,73211,81511,90312,13912,15612,11312,29312,31412,314

TOTAL349,564348,085349,638350,118350,159350,944353,634353,865353,865

Note: The April 1, 2000 estimates base reflects changes to the Census 2000 population resulting from legal boundary updates as of January 1 of the estimates year, other geographic program changes, and Count Question Resolution actions. All geographic bou

Suggested Citation:

Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006 (CO-EST2006-01-22)

Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau

Release Date: March 22, 2007


Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by U.S. Department of CensusApril 1 2000

July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001July 1, 2000Estimates BaseCensus

Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,6794,465,4904,460,2854,469,0444,468,9584,468,976

.Caldwell Parish10,30710,35910,39810,51210,45510,50610,47910,57910,56010,560

.East Carroll Parish8,3028,3198,4678,6698,8158,9669,1779,4059,4219,421

.Franklin Parish20,06020,09120,17020,49720,63020,73620,96121,24821,26321,263

.Jackson Parish15,13915,26515,06815,15615,19215,20915,36815,38115,39715,397

.Lincoln Parish42,56242,58042,71542,78142,38942,00842,19342,51042,50942,509

.Madison Parish11,85811,96412,10512,26912,62613,03213,39613,70913,72813,728

.Morehouse Parish28,78329,27429,44029,96230,27230,36830,63130,96231,02131,021

.Ouachita Parish149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945147,369146,613147,271147,250147,250

.Richland Parish20,46920,47320,31820,37020,48420,72920,85120,93020,98120,981

.Tensas Parish5,8656,0385,9586,0316,1636,3366,4636,5776,6186,618

.Union Parish22,77322,84622,74122,67822,77022,65122,81022,78022,80322,803

.West Carroll Parish11,55311,69811,80111,88912,06512,08312,07212,28312,31412,314

TOTAL NE Louisiana347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806349,993351,014353,635353,865353,865

Total RLMA 8304,611306,060304,755306,583307,417307,985308,821311,125311,356311,356

Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007

Geographic Area

July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003

Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,679

.Ouachita Parish149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945

.Lincoln Parish42,56242,58042,71542,78142,389

.Morehouse Parish28,78329,27429,44029,96230,272

TOTAL NE Louisiana347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806

Total RLMA 8304,611306,060304,755306,583307,417



Alternative estimates


Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by State of Louisiana

July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001

.Caldwell Parish10,37310,59310,55610,67810,71510,61810,500-22010,37310,593

.East Carroll Parish8,2468,6518,7518,9639,0059,0809,222-4058,2468,651

.Franklin Parish20,23319,96220,36720,47620,84821,17421,01427120,23319,962

.Jackson Parish15,10115,03615,60915,58215,59115,42015,1226515,10115,036

.Lincoln Parish42,58042,64743,47143,46142,88242,68842,375-6742,58042,647

.Madison Parish11,73112,91412,44913,02413,09113,57513,617-1,18311,73112,914

.Morehouse Parish28,64729,71529,97030,32330,52030,51430,454-1,06828,64729,715

.Ouachita Parish149,445149,788148,863148,895148,112147,758146,651-343149,445149,788

.Richland Parish19,39720,37120,51320,50320,15120,58420,827-97419,39720,371

.Tensas Parish5,8676,0186,1215,9216,2526,5116,506-1515,8676,018

.Union Parish21,89022,19922,15922,37622,33022,74522,804-30921,89022,199

.West Carroll Parish11,30511,52811,92911,97212,20812,33212,070-22311,30511,528

TOTAL344,815349,422350,758352,174351,705352,999351,161-4,607344,815349,422




Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,6794,465,4904,460,2854,469,0444,468,9584,468,976

.Caldwell Parish10,30710,35910,39810,51210,45510,50610,47910,57910,56010,560

.East Carroll Parish8,3028,3198,4678,6698,8158,9669,1779,4059,4219,421

.Franklin Parish20,06020,09120,17020,49720,63020,73620,96121,24821,26321,263

.Jackson Parish15,13915,26515,06815,15615,19215,20915,36815,38115,39715,397

.Lincoln Parish42,56242,58042,71542,78142,38942,00842,19342,51042,50942,509

.Madison Parish11,85811,96412,10512,26912,62613,03213,39613,70913,72813,728

.Morehouse Parish28,78329,27429,44029,96230,27230,36830,63130,96231,02131,021

.Ouachita Parish149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945147,369146,613147,271147,250147,250

.Richland Parish20,46920,47320,31820,37020,48420,72920,85120,93020,98120,981

.Tensas Parish5,8656,0385,9586,0316,1636,3366,4636,5776,6186,618

.Union Parish22,77322,84622,74122,67822,77022,65122,81022,78022,80322,803

.West Carroll Parish11,55311,69811,80111,88912,06512,08312,07212,28312,31412,314

TOTAL347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806349,993351,014353,635353,865


Suggested Citation:




state estimates minus census department estimates

2007200620052004200320022001average differential

.Caldwell Parish6623415816626011221145

.East Carroll Parish(56)33228429419011445172

.Franklin Parish173(129)197(21)21843853133

.Jackson Parish(38)(229)541426399211(246)152

.Lincoln Parish1867756680493680182411

.Madison Parish(127)950344755465543221450

.Morehouse Parish(136)441530361248146(177)202

.Ouachita Parish(57)5557434516738938216

.Richland Parish(1,072)(102)195133(333)(145)(24)(193)

.Tensas Parish2(20)163(110)891754349

.Union Parish(883)(647)(582)(302)(440)94(6)(395)

.West Carroll Parish(248)(170)12883143249(2)26

Counties

table with row headers in column A and column headers in rows 3 through 4 (leading dots indicate sub-parts)


Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by U.S. Department of CensusApril 1, 2000

July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001July 1, 2000Estimates BaseCensus

Louisiana4,287,7684,507,3314,495,7064,480,9254,470,5434,463,4214,469,5294,468,9584,468,976

110,61510,61810,71410,61110,60710,54810,57110,56010,560

28,6998,7868,8398,9739,0759,2139,3979,4219,421

320,45520,39020,64320,82220,87021,03821,26921,26321,263

415,20215,08415,21115,25815,24715,37515,38815,39715,397

541,85741,90742,11442,00641,80642,00742,48042,50942,509

612,32812,47112,62712,86013,16513,42513,71813,72813,728

729,76129,91930,29730,50530,46430,66030,98131,02131,021

8149,259147,721147,879147,323146,890146,314147,225147,250147,250

920,55420,39120,45120,51320,68620,88420,95020,98120,981

106,1386,1176,1476,2526,4076,4866,5836,6186,618

1122,96422,86622,81322,85622,78622,88122,77922,80322,803

1211,73211,81511,90312,13912,15612,11312,29312,31412,314

TOTAL349,564348,085349,638350,118350,159350,944353,634353,865353,865


Suggested Citation:







Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,6794,465,4904,460,2854,469,0444,468,9584,468,976

10,30710,35910,39810,51210,45510,50610,47910,57910,56010,560

8,3028,3198,4678,6698,8158,9669,1779,4059,4219,421

20,06020,09120,17020,49720,63020,73620,96121,24821,26321,263

15,13915,26515,06815,15615,19215,20915,36815,38115,39715,397

42,56242,58042,71542,78142,38942,00842,19342,51042,50942,509

11,85811,96412,10512,26912,62613,03213,39613,70913,72813,728

28,78329,27429,44029,96230,27230,36830,63130,96231,02131,021

149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945147,369146,613147,271147,250147,250

20,46920,47320,31820,37020,48420,72920,85120,93020,98120,981

5,8656,0385,9586,0316,1636,3366,4636,5776,6186,618

22,77322,84622,74122,67822,77022,65122,81022,78022,80322,803

11,55311,69811,80111,88912,06512,08312,07212,28312,31412,314

TOTAL NE Louisiana347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806349,993351,014353,635353,865353,865

Total RLMA 8304,611306,060304,755306,583307,417307,985308,821311,125311,356311,356

Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007

Geographic Area

July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003

Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,679

149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945

42,56242,58042,71542,78142,389

28,78329,27429,44029,96230,272

TOTAL NE Louisiana347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806

Total RLMA 8304,611306,060304,755306,583307,417



% Change in Population since 2000Births-deathsNet internal migration

Ouachita Parish1.51%6,486(4,255)

Lincoln Parish0.12%1,459(1,407)

Morehouse Parish-7.04%393(2,572)

NE Louisiana-1.83%10,375(16,837)

RLMA 8-2.09%8,916(15,430)

Louisiana-3.93%156,595(332,435)

United States6.88%----

United States301,621,157298,754,819295,895,897293,191,511290,447,644287,888,021285,112,030282,194,308

Table 4: Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Population Change for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007

Geographic AreaTotal Population Change*Natural IncreaseVital EventsNet Migration

BirthsDeathsTotalInternational**Internal

Louisiana-175,754156,595460,782304,187-312,73922,477-335,216

-25398969871-300-5-295

-1,1193391,044705-1,43719-1,456

-1,2032702,2131,943-1,40334-1,437

-25891,4921,483-200-2-198

531,4593,9472,488-1,239343-1,582

-1,8703601,4911,131-2,2135-2,218

-2,2383933,1072,714-2,51512-2,527

2,2526,48616,55610,070-3,590280-3,870

-5123242,1891,865-7616-767

-753128657529-86042-902

-305012,3301,829-440107-547

-76181,0561,048-7185-723

NE Louisiana10,37537,05126,676

RLMA 88,91633,10424,188

Total Change since 2000B-DNet migration

Ouachita2,2316,486-4,255

Lincoln521,459-1,407

Morehouse-2,179393-2,572

NE Louisiana-6,46210,375-16,837

RLMA 8-6,5148,916-15,430

LA-175,840156,595-332,435

*Total population change includes residual - see State and County Terms & Definitions at http://www.census.gov/popest/topics/terms/states.html.

**Net international migration includes the international migration of both native and foreign-born populations. Specifically, it includes: (a) the net international migration of the foreign born, (b) the net migration between the United States and Puerto


Suggested Citation:

Table 4: Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Population Change for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007 (CO-EST2007-04-22)



Annual changes

Louisiana49,916-252,3827,70414,2878,1895,205-8,759

-52-39-11457-5127-100

-17-148-202-146-151-211-228

-31-79-327-133-106-225-287

-126197-88-36-17-159-13

-18-135-66392381-185-317

-106-141-164-357-406-364-313

-491-166-522-310-96-263-331

-2311,444-261605576756-658

-4155-52-114-245-122-79

-17380-73-132-173-127-114

-7310563-92119-15930

-145-103-88-176-1811-211

NE Louisiana-1,4671,170-1,894-442-187-1,021-2,621

RLMA 8-1,4491,305-1,828-834-568-836-2,304

1.18%-5.61%0.17%0.32%0.18%0.12%-0.20%

-0.50%-0.38%-1.08%0.55%-0.49%0.26%-0.95%

-0.20%-1.75%-2.33%-1.66%-1.68%-2.30%-2.42%

-0.15%-0.39%-1.60%-0.64%-0.51%-1.07%-1.35%

-0.83%1.31%-0.58%-0.24%-0.11%-1.03%-0.08%

-0.04%-0.32%-0.15%0.92%0.91%-0.44%-0.75%

-0.89%-1.16%-1.34%-2.83%-3.12%-2.72%-2.28%

-1.68%-0.56%-1.74%-1.02%-0.32%-0.86%-1.07%

-0.15%0.97%-0.18%0.41%0.39%0.52%-0.45%

-0.02%0.76%-0.26%-0.56%-1.18%-0.59%-0.38%

-2.87%1.34%-1.21%-2.14%-2.73%-1.97%-1.73%

-0.32%0.46%0.28%-0.40%0.53%-0.70%0.13%

-1.24%-0.87%-0.74%-1.46%-0.15%0.09%-1.72%

-0.42%0.34%-0.54%-0.13%-0.05%-0.29%-0.74%

-0.47%0.43%-0.60%-0.27%-0.18%-0.27%-0.74%

Alternative estimates


Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by State of Louisiana

July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001

10,37310,59310,55610,67810,71510,61810,500-22010,37310,593

8,2468,6518,7518,9639,0059,0809,222-4058,2468,651

20,23319,96220,36720,47620,84821,17421,01427120,23319,962

15,10115,03615,60915,58215,59115,42015,1226515,10115,036

42,58042,64743,47143,46142,88242,68842,375-6742,58042,647

11,73112,91412,44913,02413,09113,57513,617-1,18311,73112,914

28,64729,71529,97030,32330,52030,51430,454-1,06828,64729,715

149,445149,788148,863148,895148,112147,758146,651-343149,445149,788

19,39720,37120,51320,50320,15120,58420,827-97419,39720,371

5,8676,0186,1215,9216,2526,5116,506-1515,8676,018

21,89022,19922,15922,37622,33022,74522,804-30921,89022,199

11,30511,52811,92911,97212,20812,33212,070-22311,30511,528

TOTAL344,815349,422350,758352,174351,705352,999351,161-4,607344,815349,422




Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,6794,465,4904,460,2854,469,0444,468,9584,468,976

10,30710,35910,39810,51210,45510,50610,47910,57910,56010,560

8,3028,3198,4678,6698,8158,9669,1779,4059,4219,421

20,06020,09120,17020,49720,63020,73620,96121,24821,26321,263

15,13915,26515,06815,15615,19215,20915,36815,38115,39715,397

42,56242,58042,71542,78142,38942,00842,19342,51042,50942,509

11,85811,96412,10512,26912,62613,03213,39613,70913,72813,728

28,78329,27429,44029,96230,27230,36830,63130,96231,02131,021

149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945147,369146,613147,271147,250147,250

20,46920,47320,31820,37020,48420,72920,85120,93020,98120,981

5,8656,0385,9586,0316,1636,3366,4636,5776,6186,618

22,77322,84622,74122,67822,77022,65122,81022,78022,80322,803

11,55311,69811,80111,88912,06512,08312,07212,28312,31412,314

TOTAL347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806349,993351,014353,635353,865


Suggested Citation:




state estimates minus census department estimates

2007200620052004200320022001average differential

6623415816626011221145

(56)33228429419011445172

173(129)197(21)21843853133

(38)(229)541426399211(246)152

1867756680493680182411

(127)950344755465543221450

(136)441530361248146(177)202

(57)5557434516738938216

(1,072)(102)195133(333)(145)(24)(193)

2(20)163(110)891754349

(883)(647)(582)(302)(440)94(6)(395)

(248)(170)12883143249(2)26

But RETAIL SALES continue to show strength.2006-07 chg = .87%2006-07 chg = 3.70%2006-07 chg = 11.8%2006-07 chg = 15.0%

Chart7

534453124.971542545382869.257233623241685.695575716901922.36

586630914.970087579010624.05291640992944.422083716901922.36

2004

2005

2006

2007

Estimated Non-automotive Retail Sales In Lincoln Parish

empl and unempl

Use July data tables for slide

Civilian Labor Force data -- July household survey data figures 2004-2007

Civilian Labor ForceJul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07

RLMA 8139,612139,774136,409133,853

Ouachita73,81174,01772,54272,380

Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07

Lincoln18,79418,89118,78418,623

Morehouse12,31812,09411,41111,108

Union10,70510,66210,44910,420

Louisiana2,098,3952,158,9292,010,8992,020,784

United States149,217,000151,122,000153,208,000154,874,000

Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor

(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)

*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised

employment


RLMA 8129,011129,363130,297125,980

Ouachita69,34869,30069,79868,672


Lincoln17,53617,63917,92317,653

Morehouse11,03110,91110,68110,181

Union9,9909,98310,0669,904

Louisiana1,964,1922,024,1291,930,3231,932,315

United States140,700,000143,283,000145,606,000147,315,000




UnemploymentJul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07

RLMA 810,60110,4116,1127,873

Ouachita4,4634,7172,7443,708

Lincoln1,2581,252861970

Morehouse1,2871,183730927

Union715679383516

Louisiana134,203134,80080,57688,469

United States8,518,0007,839,0007,602,0007,559,000




Unemployment Rates (%)


RLMA 87.6%7.5%4.5%5.9%

Ouachita6.0%6.4%3.8%5.1%

Lincoln6.7%6.6%4.6%5.2%

Morehouse10.4%9.8%6.4%8.3%

Union6.7%6.4%3.7%5.0%

Louisiana6.4%6.2%4.0%4.4%

United States5.7%5.2%5.0%4.9%




empl and unempl

0000

0000

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07

Civilan Labor Force: RLMA8, Ouachita

establishment survey

0000

0000

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07

Civilian Labor Force: Lincoln, Morehouse

payroll

0000

0000

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07

Employment (HH survey): RLMA8, Ouachita

retail trade

0000

0000

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07

Employment (HH survey): Lincoln, Morehouse

real estate market

0000

0000

0000

0000

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07

Unemployment Rates in NE Louisiana

population and pop change

Net change in employment data from establishment data

New Orleans (RLMA 1)Baton Rouge (RLMA 2)Houma (RLMA 3)Lafayette (RLMA 4)Lake Charles (RLMA 5)Alexandria (RLMA 6)Shreveport (RLMA 7)Monroe (RLMA 8)State

2007-2510,647412,98799,880270,213116,101107,835236,609111,3951,865,667

2006-2477,750408,22693,150262,194112,994107,051235,175112,0031,808,543

2005-2605,447392,15488,857248,054113,409104,126230,368111,7391,894,154

2004-2608,264383,77587,845243,506110,151101,217225,729113,6141,874,101

New Orleans (RLMA 1)Baton Rouge (RLMA 2)Houma (RLMA 3)Lafayette (RLMA 4)Lake Charles (RLMA 5)Alexandria (RLMA 6)Shreveport (RLMA 7)Monroe (RLMA 8)net change to State

2006-2007 change32,8974,7616,7308,0193,1077841,434(608)57,124

2005-2006 change(127,697)16,0724,29314,140(415)2,9254,807264(85,611)

2004-2005 change(2,817)8,3791,0124,5483,2582,9094,639(1,875)20,053

N.O.B.R.HMALFTL.C.AEXSHVMLUState

2006-2007 %chg6.89%1.17%7.22%3.06%2.75%0.73%0.61%-0.54%3.16%

2005-2006 %chg-21.09%4.10%4.83%5.70%-0.37%2.81%2.09%0.24%-4.52%

2004-2005 %chg-0.46%2.18%1.15%1.87%2.96%2.87%2.06%-1.65%1.07%

2004 to 2007 changes in employment by occupation RLMA 8 (Q2)

Establishment Survey2004-22005-22006-22007-2

REGIONAL LABOR MARKET AREA 8113,615111,739112,003111,395

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting2,3972,4472,1821,995

Mining283197236346

Utilities915915940902

Construction5,9075,6655,9045,720

Manufacturing12,38812,52611,64911,069

Wholesale trade3,8363,8863,9633,949

Retail trade14,50414,40114,57714,920

Transportation and warehousing2,8122,9973,0192,748

Information2,2062,1082,1432,016

Finance and insurance5,4214,9174,6974,766

Real estate and rental and leasing1,2541,3841,5771,488

Professional and technical services3,2063,1473,2173,245

Management of companies and enterprises1,9591,9121,7331,678

Administrative and waste services3,6843,8964,5054,052

Educational services13,50812,31511,98812,198

Health care and social assistance20,07820,39820,84421,199

Arts, entertainment, and recreation1,0581,0241,1061,208

Accommodation and food services8,4108,0938,1828,691

Other services, except public administration3,2913,1773,2132,928

Public administration6,4476,2466,2326,171

annual change in industry employment for RLMA8 (quarter 2)

Establishment Survey2004-052005-062006-072007 awwpayroll chg 06-072005-062004-05

REGIONAL LABOR MARKET AREA 8(1,876)264(608)575(18,179,200)5,820,672(41,362,048)618

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting50(265)(187)424(4,122,976)(14,179,620)2,675,400445

Mining(86)391101,0295,885,8801,462,188(3,224,312)822

Utilities025(38)721(1,424,696)838,5000738

Construction(242)239(184)645(6,171,360)10,874,500(11,011,000)654

Manufacturing138(877)(580)875(26,390,000)(34,887,060)5,489,640976

Wholesale trade5077(14)765(556,920)1,577,5761,024,400799

Retail trade(103)1763433947,027,3846,690,112(3,915,236)404

Transportation and warehousing18522(271)731(10,301,252)748,1766,291,480780

Information(98)35(127)654(4,319,016)1,268,540(3,551,912)685

Finance and insurance(504)(220)696972,500,836(5,651,360)(12,946,752)733

Real estate and rental and leasing130193(89)494(2,286,232)7,245,9924,880,720518

Professional and technical services(59)70287221,051,2324,255,160(3,586,492)760

Management of companies and enterprises(47)(179)(55)1,169(3,343,340)(3,853,512)(1,011,816)1,341

Administrative and waste services212609(453)414(9,752,184)20,900,8807,275,840406

Educational services(1,193)(327)2106607,207,200(9,369,204)(34,181,836)734

Health care and social assistance32044635555110,171,4605,937,1524,259,840611

Arts, entertainment, and recreation(34)821022561,357,824882,648(365,976)249

Accommodation and food services(317)895092075,478,8761,948,388(6,939,764)214

Other services, except public administration(114)36(285)421(6,239,220)1,053,936(3,337,464)442

Public administration(201)(14)(61)563(1,785,836)00661

-$36,012,340-$2,257,008-$52,175,240

Establishment survey from monthly dataOct-06Oct-07avg wkly wages 06avg wkly wages 07oct06 payrolloct 07 payroll2007-06

manufacturing86007800$976$436,467,200$395,865,600-$40,601,600

mining200300$822$8,548,800$12,823,200$4,274,400

construction41004500$654$139,432,800$153,036,000$13,603,200

trade transp util1480015400$759$584,126,400$607,807,200$23,680,800

retail980010400$404$205,878,400$218,483,200$12,604,800

prof and business services72007600$709$265,375,971$280,119,081$14,743,110

educ and health1340013700$662$461,035,671$471,357,365$10,321,694

leisure and hosp69007100$1,762$632,169,200$650,492,945$18,323,745

public admin1450014500$661$498,394,000$498,394,000$0

$3,231,428,442$3,288,378,591$56,950,1491.762%

Monroe MSA8000080200618$2,570,880,000$2,577,307,200$6,427,2000.250%


000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

2006-2007 %chg

2005-2006 %chg

2004-2005 %chg

Percentage Change in Jobs (est. survey) by region

Establishment payroll (current dollars)

2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 8740,857,147764,358,917811,529,070833,174,580

Ouachita503,421,537522,068,135547,687,416572,553,095

Lincoln120,369,924119,094,309126,849,405133,430,394

Morehouse52,917,52550,848,47949,843,17652,134,410

Union31,578,32332,348,96634,503,35234,410,148

Louisiana14,456,670,19015,224,067,07716,036,745,48317,305,677,777

Source: www.laworks.net

Establisment Payroll Annualized (current dollars)

2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 82,963,428,5883,057,435,6683,246,116,2803,332,698,320

Ouachita2,013,686,1482,088,272,5402,190,749,6642,290,212,380

Lincoln481,479,696476,377,236507,397,620533,721,576

Morehouse211,670,100203,393,916199,372,704208,537,640

Union126,313,292129,395,864138,013,408137,640,592

Louisiana57,826,680,76060,896,268,30864,146,981,93269,222,711,108

inflation factors2004200520062007

0.91105516490.94192204180.97230662381

Establishment annualized payroll (constant 2007 dollars)

2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 83,252,743,3053,245,954,0523,338,572,6283,332,698,320

Ouachita2,210,279,0542,217,033,3082,253,146,9092,290,212,380

Lincoln528,485,776505,750,173521,849,391533,721,576

Morehouse232,335,108215,934,979205,051,266208,537,640

Union138,645,053137,374,282141,944,326137,640,592

Louisiana63,472,205,62364,651,070,47465,974,025,43569,222,711,108

Establishment annualized payroll (% change current dollars)

2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2

RLMA 83.17%6.17%2.67%12.46%

Ouachita3.70%4.91%4.54%13.73%

Lincoln-1.06%6.51%5.19%10.85%

Morehouse-3.91%-1.98%4.60%-1.48%

Louisiana5.31%5.34%7.91%19.71%

Establishment annualized payroll (% change constant 2007 dollars)

2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2

RLMA 8-0.21%2.85%-0.18%2.46%

Ouachita0.31%1.63%1.65%3.62%

Lincoln-4.30%3.18%2.28%0.99%

Morehouse-7.06%-5.04%1.70%-10.24%

Louisiana1.86%2.05%4.92%9.06%

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

2004-05 qtr2

2005-06 qtr2

2006-07 qtr2

2004-07 qtr2

Current dollar change in annualized establishment payrolls

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

2004-05 qtr2

2005-06 qtr2

2006-07 qtr2

2004-07 qtr2

Constant dollar change in annualized establishment payrolls

less auto in current dollars$dollars$annual%chng

less auto retail sales to date current $ 2004$1,911,473,395

less auto retail sales to date current $ 2005$2,001,965,4994.73%



less auto constant $

less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2004$2,001,215,130

less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2005$2,051,277,5572.50%



With auto in current dollars

total estimated sales to date current $ 2004$2,144,661,303

total estimated sales to date current $ 2005$2,244,753,1534.67%



2005 base yr

2004196.6cpi0.9785963166

2005200.91

2006205.91.024888004

2007210.7291.0489248382

Current $ estimatesConstant 2007 $ estimates

2004$1,911,473,395$2,048,844,746

2005$2,001,965,499$2,099,911,337

2006$2,199,581,097$2,251,168,164

2007$2,281,341,746$2,281,341,746

% chg current $ estimates$ chg constant 2007 $ estimates

20054.73%2.49%

20069.87%7.20%

20073.72%1.34%

lincoln parish

2004200520062007

Parish collections .75%$4,573,574$4,641,227$5,388,219$6,075,504

Sch Bd collections2%$12,144,149$12,351,703$14,362,160$16,201,004

est retail parish collect$609,809,815$618,830,317$718,429,228$810,067,159

est retail sch bd collect$607,207,435$617,585,165$718,108,022$810,050,180

avg est retail$608,508,625$618,207,741$718,268,625$810,058,669

% chang over previous yr--1.59%16.19%12.78%

% auto sales0.12170.11780.13230.115

Avg est non-auto retail$534,453,124.97$545,382,869.26$623,241,685.70$716,901,922.36


CPI188.9195.3201.6207.342

CPI 2007 base yr factor0.9110.9420.9721.000

avg est retail infl adjusted$667,916,333$656,325,804$738,726,454$810,058,669

avg est non-auto infl adj$586,630,914.97$579,010,624.05$640,992,944.42$716,901,922.36

%chg est ret adj---1.74%12.55%9.66%

%chg est non auto ret adj---1.30%10.70%11.84%

current dollarsconstant 2007 dollars

2004$534,453,125$586,630,915

2005$545,382,869$579,010,624

2006$623,241,686$640,992,944

2007$716,901,922$716,901,922

estimated per capita constant 2005 dollar retail sales

constant 2005 $ per-capita non-auto estimated retail Salespop ouachitapop lincoln

OuachitaLincolnUnited States

0.97859631662004$13,070$14,078149,44542580

12005$13,365$13,577$8,516149,78842,647

1.0248880042006$14,478$14,853148,23742,108

1.04892483822007$14,672$16,163148,23842,285

3-month running avg changJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

constant $ chg 2005-065.55%7.13%11.53%14.59%13.99%10.84%8.17%7.57%4.17%1.36%1.73%3.05%

constant $ chg 2006-074.23%2.05%0.11%-2.45%-0.38%0.55%0.80%3.16%2.01%4.40%3.25%3.35%

1911473395.06032001965499.182392199581096.512872281341745.8039

2048844746.020672099911337.367872251168163.608842281341745.8039

2004

2005

2006

2007

Estimated Non Automotive Retail Sales in Ouachita Parish

0000

0000

2004

2005

2006

2007


0000

0000

0000

2004

2005

2006

2007

Constant 2005 Dollar Per-capita Non-auto Retail Sales: Ouachita, Lincoln

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

constant $ chg 2005-06


3-month Avg Annual % Chg in Non-auto Retail Sales

July 1st Population estimates for 2000, 2005, 2006, 2007

RLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisiana

1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204

1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768

1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628

1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495

Source: State of Louisiana Employment Estimates

July 1st Estimated Population 2000 to 2007

RLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisianaUSUnionRLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisianaUS

1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,15721,8902007 population302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,157

1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768299,398,48422,199change from 2006(4,540)(343)(67)(1,068)5,4362,222,673

1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628296,507,06122,901change from 2005(4,640)1,208472(1,342)(230,424)5,114,096

1-Jul-04308,272148,23842,28530,3834,506,685293,638,15822,851change from 2000(8,928)2,21398(2,336)(176,291)19,404,205

1-Jul-03308,877147,69142,10830,5924,490,380290,796,02322,904% change from 2000-2.954%1.481%0.230%-8.154%-4.106%6.433%

1-Jul-02308,749147,07341,85830,5144,475,003288,125,97322,810

1-Jul-01309,113146,39742,02730,6834,465,258285,226,28422,890

1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495282,216,95222,780

Percent Change in Population

% Change for 2000 to 2007% Change for 2006 to 2007

RLMA 8-2.87%-1.48%

Ouachita1.50%-0.23%

Lincoln0.23%-0.16%

Morehouse-7.54%-3.59%

Louisiana-3.94%0.13%

United States6.88%0.74%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Estimates of the Components of Population Change for NE Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006

Geographic Areanatural increase 2000-06net migration 2000-2006

TotalBirthsDeathsTotalNet International MigrationNet Internal Migration

Louisiana145,355410,364265,009-308,24822,244-330,492

.Caldwell Parish105859754-12--12

.East Carroll Parish329974645-1,0299-1,038

.Franklin Parish2361,9431,707-98823-1,011

.Jackson Parish-371,2521,289-107--107

.Lincoln Parish1,2483,4092,161-1,775348-2,123

.Madison Parish3121,300988-1,69430-1,724

.Morehouse Parish3812,7362,355-1,5482-1,550

.Ouachita Parish6,05314,4158,362-3,579289-3,868

.Richland Parish3101,8811,571-68212-694

.Tensas Parish96549453-55628-584

.Terrebonne Parish5,53710,7725,235-327371-698

.Union Parish4902,0121,522-255104-359

.West Carroll Parish-34897931-5064-510


Release Date: March 22, 2007 (2007 data not avaialable at printing)

Table 5: Estimates of the Components of Population Change for Counties of Louisiana: July 1, 2005 to July 1, 2006

Geographic AreaTotal Population Change*Natural IncreaseNet Migration


Louisiana-219,56322,11667,38045,264-236,9704,231-241,201

.Caldwell Parish-331142111-37--37

.East Carroll Parish-8786187101-1732-175

.Franklin Parish652130027940436

.Jackson Parish118-39179218155-155

Lincoln Parish-50198592394-25255-307

.Madison Parish-14382248166-2245-229

Morehouse Parish-15832420388-1921-193

Ouachita Parish1,5381,0422,3781,33647249423

.Richland Parish1638632323774272

.Tensas Parish21-6657125520

.Union Parish98113335222-2015-35

.West Carroll Parish-83-2138140-821-83

1,479

Migration and Natural Increase 2000 to 2006

Net International In-MigrationNet Domestic In-Migration

Lincoln295-1,818

Morehouse3-1,460

Ouachita247-4,134

Union86-316

Louisiana20,174-89,547

-0.01378055870.0068259617-0.0088037286-0.03208210950.00531167690.01211165910.0506351901

-0.00032586560.01046297480.012800418-0.0091366835-0.0306536832-0.05213956590.009751616

RLMA 8

Ouachita

Lincoln

Morehouse

Union

Louisiana

United States

Percent Change in Population 200-2005 and 2005-2006 for NE Louisiana, the State, U.S.

000000

000000

RLMA 8

Ouachita

Lincoln

Morehouse

Louisiana

United States

Chart8

1911473395.06032001965499.182392199581096.512872281341745.8039

2048844746.020672099911337.367872251168163.608842281341745.8039

2004

2005

2006

2007


empl and unempl




RLMA 8139,612139,774136,409133,853

Ouachita73,81174,01772,54272,380


Lincoln18,79418,89118,78418,623

Morehouse12,31812,09411,41111,108

Union10,70510,66210,44910,420

Louisiana2,098,3952,158,9292,010,8992,020,784

United States149,217,000151,122,000153,208,000154,874,000




employment


RLMA 8129,011129,363130,297125,980

Ouachita69,34869,30069,79868,672


Lincoln17,53617,63917,92317,653

Morehouse11,03110,91110,68110,181

Union9,9909,98310,0669,904

Louisiana1,964,1922,024,1291,930,3231,932,315

United States140,700,000143,283,000145,606,000147,315,000





RLMA 810,60110,4116,1127,873

Ouachita4,4634,7172,7443,708

Lincoln1,2581,252861970

Morehouse1,2871,183730927

Union715679383516

Louisiana134,203134,80080,57688,469

United States8,518,0007,839,0007,602,0007,559,000






RLMA 87.6%7.5%4.5%5.9%

Ouachita6.0%6.4%3.8%5.1%

Lincoln6.7%6.6%4.6%5.2%

Morehouse10.4%9.8%6.4%8.3%

Union6.7%6.4%3.7%5.0%

Louisiana6.4%6.2%4.0%4.4%





empl and unempl

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07



Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07


payroll

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07


retail trade

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07


real estate market

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07





2007-2510,647412,98799,880270,213116,101107,835236,609111,3951,865,667

2006-2477,750408,22693,150262,194112,994107,051235,175112,0031,808,543

2005-2605,447392,15488,857248,054113,409104,126230,368111,7391,894,154

2004-2608,264383,77587,845243,506110,151101,217225,729113,6141,874,101


2006-2007 change32,8974,7616,7308,0193,1077841,434(608)57,124

2005-2006 change(127,697)16,0724,29314,140(415)2,9254,807264(85,611)

2004-2005 change(2,817)8,3791,0124,5483,2582,9094,639(1,875)20,053


2006-2007 %chg6.89%1.17%7.22%3.06%2.75%0.73%0.61%-0.54%3.16%

2005-2006 %chg-21.09%4.10%4.83%5.70%-0.37%2.81%2.09%0.24%-4.52%

2004-2005 %chg-0.46%2.18%1.15%1.87%2.96%2.87%2.06%-1.65%1.07%





Mining283197236346


Construction5,9075,6655,9045,720

Manufacturing12,38812,52611,64911,069


Retail trade14,50414,40114,57714,920


Information2,2062,1082,1432,016
















Mining(86)391101,0295,885,8801,462,188(3,224,312)822

Utilities025(38)721(1,424,696)838,5000738

Construction(242)239(184)645(6,171,360)10,874,500(11,011,000)654

Manufacturing138(877)(580)875(26,390,000)(34,887,060)5,489,640976

Wholesale trade5077(14)765(556,920)1,577,5761,024,400799

Retail trade(103)1763433947,027,3846,690,112(3,915,236)404


Information(98)35(127)654(4,319,016)1,268,540(3,551,912)685












-$36,012,340-$2,257,008-$52,175,240


manufacturing86007800$976$436,467,200$395,865,600-$40,601,600

mining200300$822$8,548,800$12,823,200$4,274,400

construction41004500$654$139,432,800$153,036,000$13,603,200


retail980010400$404$205,878,400$218,483,200$12,604,800


educ and health1340013700$662$461,035,671$471,357,365$10,321,694

leisure and hosp69007100$1,762$632,169,200$650,492,945$18,323,745

public admin1450014500$661$498,394,000$498,394,000$0

$3,231,428,442$3,288,378,591$56,950,1491.762%

Monroe MSA8000080200618$2,570,880,000$2,577,307,200$6,427,2000.250%


2006-2007 %chg

2005-2006 %chg

2004-2005 %chg



2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 8740,857,147764,358,917811,529,070833,174,580

Ouachita503,421,537522,068,135547,687,416572,553,095

Lincoln120,369,924119,094,309126,849,405133,430,394

Morehouse52,917,52550,848,47949,843,17652,134,410

Union31,578,32332,348,96634,503,35234,410,148

Louisiana14,456,670,19015,224,067,07716,036,745,48317,305,677,777



2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 82,963,428,5883,057,435,6683,246,116,2803,332,698,320

Ouachita2,013,686,1482,088,272,5402,190,749,6642,290,212,380

Lincoln481,479,696476,377,236507,397,620533,721,576

Morehouse211,670,100203,393,916199,372,704208,537,640

Union126,313,292129,395,864138,013,408137,640,592

Louisiana57,826,680,76060,896,268,30864,146,981,93269,222,711,108


0.91105516490.94192204180.97230662381


2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 83,252,743,3053,245,954,0523,338,572,6283,332,698,320

Ouachita2,210,279,0542,217,033,3082,253,146,9092,290,212,380

Lincoln528,485,776505,750,173521,849,391533,721,576

Morehouse232,335,108215,934,979205,051,266208,537,640

Union138,645,053137,374,282141,944,326137,640,592

Louisiana63,472,205,62364,651,070,47465,974,025,43569,222,711,108


2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2

RLMA 83.17%6.17%2.67%12.46%

Ouachita3.70%4.91%4.54%13.73%

Lincoln-1.06%6.51%5.19%10.85%

Morehouse-3.91%-1.98%4.60%-1.48%

Louisiana5.31%5.34%7.91%19.71%


2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2

RLMA 8-0.21%2.85%-0.18%2.46%

Ouachita0.31%1.63%1.65%3.62%

Lincoln-4.30%3.18%2.28%0.99%

Morehouse-7.06%-5.04%1.70%-10.24%

Louisiana1.86%2.05%4.92%9.06%

2004-05 qtr2

2005-06 qtr2

2006-07 qtr2

2004-07 qtr2


2004-05 qtr2

2005-06 qtr2

2006-07 qtr2

2004-07 qtr2

















2005 base yr

2004196.6cpi0.9785963166

2005200.91

2006205.91.024888004

2007210.7291.0489248382


2004$1,911,473,395$2,048,844,746

2005$2,001,965,499$2,099,911,337

2006$2,199,581,097$2,251,168,164

2007$2,281,341,746$2,281,341,746


20054.73%2.49%

20069.87%7.20%

20073.72%1.34%

lincoln parish

2004200520062007





avg est retail$608,508,625$618,207,741$718,268,625$810,058,669


% auto sales0.12170.11780.13230.115



CPI188.9195.3201.6207.342




%chg est ret adj---1.74%12.55%9.66%



2004$534,453,125$586,630,915

2005$545,382,869$579,010,624

2006$623,241,686$640,992,944

2007$716,901,922$716,901,922




0.97859631662004$13,070$14,078149,44542580

12005$13,365$13,577$8,516149,78842,647

1.0248880042006$14,478$14,853148,23742,108

1.04892483822007$14,672$16,163148,23842,285


constant $ chg 2005-065.55%7.13%11.53%14.59%13.99%10.84%8.17%7.57%4.17%1.36%1.73%3.05%

constant $ chg 2006-074.23%2.05%0.11%-2.45%-0.38%0.55%0.80%3.16%2.01%4.40%3.25%3.35%

1911473395.06032001965499.182392199581096.512872281341745.8039

2048844746.020672099911337.367872251168163.608842281341745.8039

2004

2005

2006

2007


2004

2005

2006

2007


2004

2005

2006

2007




3-month Avg Annual % Chg in Non-auto Retail Sales



1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204

1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768

1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628

1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495




1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,15721,8902007 population302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,157

1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768299,398,48422,199change from 2006(4,540)(343)(67)(1,068)5,4362,222,673

1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628296,507,06122,901change from 2005(4,640)1,208472(1,342)(230,424)5,114,096

1-Jul-04308,272148,23842,28530,3834,506,685293,638,15822,851change from 2000(8,928)2,21398(2,336)(176,291)19,404,205

1-Jul-03308,877147,69142,10830,5924,490,380290,796,02322,904% change from 2000-2.954%1.481%0.230%-8.154%-4.106%6.433%

1-Jul-02308,749147,07341,85830,5144,475,003288,125,97322,810

1-Jul-01309,113146,39742,02730,6834,465,258285,226,28422,890

1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495282,216,95222,780



RLMA 8-2.87%-1.48%

Ouachita1.50%-0.23%

Lincoln0.23%-0.16%








Louisiana145,355410,364265,009-308,24822,244-330,492

105859754-12--12

329974645-1,0299-1,038

2361,9431,707-98823-1,011

-371,2521,289-107--107

1,2483,4092,161-1,775348-2,123

3121,300988-1,69430-1,724

3812,7362,355-1,5482-1,550

6,05314,4158,362-3,579289-3,868

3101,8811,571-68212-694

96549453-55628-584

5,53710,7725,235-327371-698

4902,0121,522-255104-359

-34897931-5064-510






Louisiana-219,56322,11667,38045,264-236,9704,231-241,201

-331142111-37--37

-8786187101-1732-175

652130027940436

118-39179218155-155

Lincoln Parish-50198592394-25255-307

-14382248166-2245-229


Ouachita Parish1,5381,0422,3781,33647249423

1638632323774272

21-6657125520

98113335222-2015-35

-83-2138140-821-83

1,479



Lincoln295-1,818

Morehouse3-1,460

Ouachita247-4,134

Union86-316


-0.01378055870.0068259617-0.0088037286-0.03208210950.00531167690.01211165910.0506351901

-0.00032586560.01046297480.012800418-0.0091366835-0.0306536832-0.05213956590.009751616

RLMA 8

Ouachita

Lincoln

Morehouse

Union

Louisiana

United States


RLMA 8

Ouachita

Lincoln

Morehouse

Louisiana

United States

And 2 years out, post-Katrina gains in retail sales are durable.

Chart9

0.0555418110.0422523788

0.07125364860.020460484

0.11534675030.0010707217

0.145893592-0.0244851824

0.1398676115-0.0037719496

0.10836336110.0055458015

0.08172112270.008048784

0.07574616210.0316274705

0.04169143660.0200810759

0.01356857620.0440396978

0.01725572290.0324508484

0.03054469250.0335373244



3-month Avg Annual % Change in Non-auto Constant $ Retail Sales

empl and unempl




RLMA 8139,612139,774136,409133,853

Ouachita73,81174,01772,54272,380


Lincoln18,79418,89118,78418,623

Morehouse12,31812,09411,41111,108

Union10,70510,66210,44910,420

Louisiana2,098,3952,158,9292,010,8992,020,784

United States149,217,000151,122,000153,208,000154,874,000




employment


RLMA 8129,011129,363130,297125,980

Ouachita69,34869,30069,79868,672


Lincoln17,53617,63917,92317,653

Morehouse11,03110,91110,68110,181

Union9,9909,98310,0669,904

Louisiana1,964,1922,024,1291,930,3231,932,315

United States140,700,000143,283,000145,606,000147,315,000





RLMA 810,60110,4116,1127,873

Ouachita4,4634,7172,7443,708

Lincoln1,2581,252861970

Morehouse1,2871,183730927

Union715679383516

Louisiana134,203134,80080,57688,469

United States8,518,0007,839,0007,602,0007,559,000






RLMA 87.6%7.5%4.5%5.9%

Ouachita6.0%6.4%3.8%5.1%

Lincoln6.7%6.6%4.6%5.2%

Morehouse10.4%9.8%6.4%8.3%

Union6.7%6.4%3.7%5.0%

Louisiana6.4%6.2%4.0%4.4%





empl and unempl

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07



Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07


payroll

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07


retail trade

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07


real estate market

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07





2007-2510,647412,98799,880270,213116,101107,835236,609111,3951,865,667

2006-2477,750408,22693,150262,194112,994107,051235,175112,0031,808,543

2005-2605,447392,15488,857248,054113,409104,126230,368111,7391,894,154

2004-2608,264383,77587,845243,506110,151101,217225,729113,6141,874,101


2006-2007 change32,8974,7616,7308,0193,1077841,434(608)57,124

2005-2006 change(127,697)16,0724,29314,140(415)2,9254,807264(85,611)

2004-2005 change(2,817)8,3791,0124,5483,2582,9094,639(1,875)20,053


2006-2007 %chg6.89%1.17%7.22%3.06%2.75%0.73%0.61%-0.54%3.16%

2005-2006 %chg-21.09%4.10%4.83%5.70%-0.37%2.81%2.09%0.24%-4.52%

2004-2005 %chg-0.46%2.18%1.15%1.87%2.96%2.87%2.06%-1.65%1.07%





Mining283197236346


Construction5,9075,6655,9045,720

Manufacturing12,38812,52611,64911,069


Retail trade14,50414,40114,57714,920


Information2,2062,1082,1432,016
















Mining(86)391101,0295,885,8801,462,188(3,224,312)822

Utilities025(38)721(1,424,696)838,5000738

Construction(242)239(184)645(6,171,360)10,874,500(11,011,000)654

Manufacturing138(877)(580)875(26,390,000)(34,887,060)5,489,640976

Wholesale trade5077(14)765(556,920)1,577,5761,024,400799

Retail trade(103)1763433947,027,3846,690,112(3,915,236)404


Information(98)35(127)654(4,319,016)1,268,540(3,551,912)685












-$36,012,340-$2,257,008-$52,175,240


manufacturing86007800$976$436,467,200$395,865,600-$40,601,600

mining200300$822$8,548,800$12,823,200$4,274,400

construction41004500$654$139,432,800$153,036,000$13,603,200


retail980010400$404$205,878,400$218,483,200$12,604,800


educ and health1340013700$662$461,035,671$471,357,365$10,321,694

leisure and hosp69007100$1,762$632,169,200$650,492,945$18,323,745

public admin1450014500$661$498,394,000$498,394,000$0

$3,231,428,442$3,288,378,591$56,950,1491.762%

Monroe MSA8000080200618$2,570,880,000$2,577,307,200$6,427,2000.250%


2006-2007 %chg

2005-2006 %chg

2004-2005 %chg



2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 8740,857,147764,358,917811,529,070833,174,580

Ouachita503,421,537522,068,135547,687,416572,553,095

Lincoln120,369,924119,094,309126,849,405133,430,394

Morehouse52,917,52550,848,47949,843,17652,134,410

Union31,578,32332,348,96634,503,35234,410,148

Louisiana14,456,670,19015,224,067,07716,036,745,48317,305,677,777



2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 82,963,428,5883,057,435,6683,246,116,2803,332,698,320

Ouachita2,013,686,1482,088,272,5402,190,749,6642,290,212,380

Lincoln481,479,696476,377,236507,397,620533,721,576

Morehouse211,670,100203,393,916199,372,704208,537,640

Union126,313,292129,395,864138,013,408137,640,592

Louisiana57,826,680,76060,896,268,30864,146,981,93269,222,711,108


0.91105516490.94192204180.97230662381


2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 83,252,743,3053,245,954,0523,338,572,6283,332,698,320

Ouachita2,210,279,0542,217,033,3082,253,146,9092,290,212,380

Lincoln528,485,776505,750,173521,849,391533,721,576

Morehouse232,335,108215,934,979205,051,266208,537,640

Union138,645,053137,374,282141,944,326137,640,592

Louisiana63,472,205,62364,651,070,47465,974,025,43569,222,711,108


2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2

RLMA 83.17%6.17%2.67%12.46%

Ouachita3.70%4.91%4.54%13.73%

Lincoln-1.06%6.51%5.19%10.85%

Morehouse-3.91%-1.98%4.60%-1.48%

Louisiana5.31%5.34%7.91%19.71%


2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2

RLMA 8-0.21%2.85%-0.18%2.46%

Ouachita0.31%1.63%1.65%3.62%

Lincoln-4.30%3.18%2.28%0.99%

Morehouse-7.06%-5.04%1.70%-10.24%

Louisiana1.86%2.05%4.92%9.06%

2004-05 qtr2

2005-06 qtr2

2006-07 qtr2

2004-07 qtr2


2004-05 qtr2

2005-06 qtr2

2006-07 qtr2

2004-07 qtr2

















2005 base yr

2004196.6cpi0.9785963166

2005200.91

2006205.91.024888004

2007210.7291.0489248382


2004$1,911,473,395$2,048,844,746

2005$2,001,965,499$2,099,911,337

2006$2,199,581,097$2,251,168,164

2007$2,281,341,746$2,281,341,746


20054.73%2.49%

20069.87%7.20%

20073.72%1.34%

lincoln parish

2004200520062007





avg est retail$608,508,625$618,207,741$718,268,625$810,058,669


% auto sales0.12170.11780.13230.115



CPI188.9195.3201.6207.342




%chg est ret adj---1.74%12.55%9.66%



2004$534,453,125$586,630,915

2005$545,382,869$579,010,624

2006$623,241,686$640,992,944

2007$716,901,922$716,901,922




0.97859631662004$13,070$14,078149,44542580

12005$13,365$13,577$8,516149,78842,647

1.0248880042006$14,478$14,853148,23742,108

1.04892483822007$14,672$16,163148,23842,285


constant $ chg 2005-065.55%7.13%11.53%14.59%13.99%10.84%8.17%7.57%4.17%1.36%1.73%3.05%

constant $ chg 2006-074.23%2.05%0.11%-2.45%-0.38%0.55%0.80%3.16%2.01%4.40%3.25%3.35%

1911473395.06032001965499.182392199581096.512872281341745.8039

2048844746.020672099911337.367872251168163.608842281341745.8039

2004

2005

2006

2007


2004

2005

2006

2007


2004

2005

2006

2007




3-month Avg Annual % Change in Non-auto Constant $ Retail Sales



1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204

1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768

1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628

1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495




1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,15721,8902007 population302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,157

1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768299,398,48422,199change from 2006(4,540)(343)(67)(1,068)5,4362,222,673

1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628296,507,06122,901change from 2005(4,640)1,208472(1,342)(230,424)5,114,096

1-Jul-04308,272148,23842,28530,3834,506,685293,638,15822,851change from 2000(8,928)2,21398(2,336)(176,291)19,404,205

1-Jul-03308,877147,69142,10830,5924,490,380290,796,02322,904% change from 2000-2.954%1.481%0.230%-8.154%-4.106%6.433%

1-Jul-02308,749147,07341,85830,5144,475,003288,125,97322,810

1-Jul-01309,113146,39742,02730,6834,465,258285,226,28422,890

1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495282,216,95222,780



RLMA 8-2.87%-1.48%

Ouachita1.50%-0.23%

Lincoln0.23%-0.16%








Louisiana145,355410,364265,009-308,24822,244-330,492

105859754-12--12

329974645-1,0299-1,038

2361,9431,707-98823-1,011

-371,2521,289-107--107

1,2483,4092,161-1,775348-2,123

3121,300988-1,69430-1,724

3812,7362,355-1,5482-1,550

6,05314,4158,362-3,579289-3,868

3101,8811,571-68212-694

96549453-55628-584

5,53710,7725,235-327371-698

4902,0121,522-255104-359

-34897931-5064-510






Louisiana-219,56322,11667,38045,264-236,9704,231-241,201

-331142111-37--37

-8786187101-1732-175

652130027940436

118-39179218155-155

Lincoln Parish-50198592394-25255-307

-14382248166-2245-229


Ouachita Parish1,5381,0422,3781,33647249423

1638632323774272

21-6657125520

98113335222-2015-35

-83-2138140-821-83

1,479



Lincoln295-1,818

Morehouse3-1,460

Ouachita247-4,134

Union86-316


-0.01378055870.0068259617-0.0088037286-0.03208210950.00531167690.01211165910.0506351901

-0.00032586560.01046297480.012800418-0.0091366835-0.0306536832-0.05213956590.009751616

RLMA 8

Ouachita

Lincoln

Morehouse

Union

Louisiana

United States


RLMA 8

Ouachita

Lincoln

Morehouse

Louisiana

United States

empl and unempl




RLMA 8139,612139,774136,409133,853

Ouachita73,81174,01772,54272,380


Lincoln18,79418,89118,78418,623

Morehouse12,31812,09411,41111,108

Union10,70510,66210,44910,420

Louisiana2,098,3952,158,9292,010,8992,020,784

United States149,217,000151,122,000153,208,000154,874,000




employment


RLMA 8129,011129,363130,297125,980

Ouachita69,34869,30069,79868,672


Lincoln17,53617,63917,92317,653

Morehouse11,03110,91110,68110,181

Union9,9909,98310,0669,904

Louisiana1,964,1922,024,1291,930,3231,932,315

United States140,700,000143,283,000145,606,000147,315,000





RLMA 810,60110,4116,1127,873

Ouachita4,4634,7172,7443,708

Lincoln1,2581,252861970

Morehouse1,2871,183730927

Union715679383516

Louisiana134,203134,80080,57688,469

United States8,518,0007,839,0007,602,0007,559,000






RLMA 87.6%7.5%4.5%5.9%

Ouachita6.0%6.4%3.8%5.1%

Lincoln6.7%6.6%4.6%5.2%

Morehouse10.4%9.8%6.4%8.3%

Union6.7%6.4%3.7%5.0%

Louisiana6.4%6.2%4.0%4.4%





empl and unempl

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07



Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07


payroll

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07


retail trade

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07


real estate market

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07





2007-2510,647412,98799,880270,213116,101107,835236,609111,3951,865,667

2006-2477,750408,22693,150262,194112,994107,051235,175112,0031,808,543

2005-2605,447392,15488,857248,054113,409104,126230,368111,7391,894,154

2004-2608,264383,77587,845243,506110,151101,217225,729113,6141,874,101


2006-2007 change32,8974,7616,7308,0193,1077841,434(608)57,124

2005-2006 change(127,697)16,0724,29314,140(415)2,9254,807264(85,611)

2004-2005 change(2,817)8,3791,0124,5483,2582,9094,639(1,875)20,053


2006-2007 %chg6.89%1.17%7.22%3.06%2.75%0.73%0.61%-0.54%3.16%

2005-2006 %chg-21.09%4.10%4.83%5.70%-0.37%2.81%2.09%0.24%-4.52%

2004-2005 %chg-0.46%2.18%1.15%1.87%2.96%2.87%2.06%-1.65%1.07%





Mining283197236346


Construction5,9075,6655,9045,720

Manufacturing12,38812,52611,64911,069


Retail trade14,50414,40114,57714,920


Information2,2062,1082,1432,016
















Mining(86)391101,0295,885,8801,462,188(3,224,312)822

Utilities025(38)721(1,424,696)838,5000738

Construction(242)239(184)645(6,171,360)10,874,500(11,011,000)654

Manufacturing138(877)(580)875(26,390,000)(34,887,060)5,489,640976

Wholesale trade5077(14)765(556,920)1,577,5761,024,400799

Retail trade(103)1763433947,027,3846,690,112(3,915,236)404


Information(98)35(127)654(4,319,016)1,268,540(3,551,912)685












-$36,012,340-$2,257,008-$52,175,240


manufacturing86007800$976$436,467,200$395,865,600-$40,601,600

mining200300$822$8,548,800$12,823,200$4,274,400

construction41004500$654$139,432,800$153,036,000$13,603,200


retail980010400$404$205,878,400$218,483,200$12,604,800


educ and health1340013700$662$461,035,671$471,357,365$10,321,694

leisure and hosp69007100$1,762$632,169,200$650,492,945$18,323,745

public admin1450014500$661$498,394,000$498,394,000$0

$3,231,428,442$3,288,378,591$56,950,1491.762%

Monroe MSA8000080200618$2,570,880,000$2,577,307,200$6,427,2000.250%


2006-2007 %chg

2005-2006 %chg

2004-2005 %chg



2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 8740,857,147764,358,917811,529,070833,174,580

Ouachita503,421,537522,068,135547,687,416572,553,095

Lincoln120,369,924119,094,309126,849,405133,430,394

Morehouse52,917,52550,848,47949,843,17652,134,410

Union31,578,32332,348,96634,503,35234,410,148

Louisiana14,456,670,19015,224,067,07716,036,745,48317,305,677,777



2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 82,963,428,5883,057,435,6683,246,116,2803,332,698,320

Ouachita2,013,686,1482,088,272,5402,190,749,6642,290,212,380

Lincoln481,479,696476,377,236507,397,620533,721,576

Morehouse211,670,100203,393,916199,372,704208,537,640

Union126,313,292129,395,864138,013,408137,640,592

Louisiana57,826,680,76060,896,268,30864,146,981,93269,222,711,108


0.91105516490.94192204180.97230662381


2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2

RLMA 83,252,743,3053,245,954,0523,338,572,6283,332,698,320

Ouachita2,210,279,0542,217,033,3082,253,146,9092,290,212,380

Lincoln528,485,776505,750,173521,849,391533,721,576

Morehouse232,335,108215,934,979205,051,266208,537,640

Union138,645,053137,374,282141,944,326137,640,592

Louisiana63,472,205,62364,651,070,47465,974,025,43569,222,711,108


2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2

RLMA 83.17%6.17%2.67%12.46%

Ouachita3.70%4.91%4.54%13.73%

Lincoln-1.06%6.51%5.19%10.85%

Morehouse-3.91%-1.98%4.60%-1.48%

Louisiana5.31%5.34%7.91%19.71%


2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2

RLMA 8-0.21%2.85%-0.18%2.46%

Ouachita0.31%1.63%1.65%3.62%

Lincoln-4.30%3.18%2.28%0.99%

Morehouse-7.06%-5.04%1.70%-10.24%

Louisiana1.86%2.05%4.92%9.06%

2004-05 qtr2

2005-06 qtr2

2006-07 qtr2

2004-07 qtr2


2004-05 qtr2

2005-06 qtr2

2006-07 qtr2

2004-07 qtr2

















2005 base yr

2004196.6cpi0.9785963166

2005200.91

2006205.91.024888004

2007210.7291.0489248382


2004$1,911,473,395$2,048,844,746

2005$2,001,965,499$2,099,911,337

2006$2,199,581,097$2,251,168,164

2007$2,281,341,746$2,281,341,746


20054.73%2.49%

20069.87%7.20%

20073.72%1.34%

lincoln parish

2004200520062007





avg est retail$608,508,625$618,207,741$718,268,625$810,058,669


% auto sales0.12170.11780.13230.115



CPI188.9195.3201.6207.342




%chg est ret adj---1.74%12.55%9.66%



2004$534,453,125$586,630,915

2005$545,382,869$579,010,624

2006$623,241,686$640,992,944

2007$716,901,922$716,901,922




0.97859631662004$13,070$14,078149,44542580

12005$13,365$13,577$8,516149,78842,647

1.0248880042006$14,478$14,853148,23742,108

1.04892483822007$14,672$16,163148,23842,285


constant $ chg 2005-065.55%7.13%11.53%14.59%13.99%10.84%8.17%7.57%4.17%1.36%1.73%3.05%

constant $ chg 2006-074.23%2.05%0.11%-2.45%-0.38%0.55%0.80%3.16%2.01%4.40%3.25%3.35%

Constant 2005 $ per-capita non-auto retail sales


2007$14,672$16,163

2006$14,478$14,853

2005$13,365$13,577$8,516

1911473395.0603200196549

Documents

2008 Business Outlook Summit The State of Northeast Louisiana Prepared and presented by: John Francis, PhD Louisiana Tech University Robert Eisenstadt,