2009 Credit Suisse Document

  • Upload
    mveng

  • View
    215

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    1/17

    TodayTodays presentation may include forwards presentation may include forward--looking statements. Theselooking statements. These

    statements represent the Firmstatements represent the Firms belief regarding future events that, bys belief regarding future events that, by

    their nature, are uncertain and outside of the Firmtheir nature, are uncertain and outside of the Firms control. The Firms control. The Firmssactual results and financial condition may differ, possibly mateactual results and financial condition may differ, possibly materially, fromrially, fromwhat is indicated in those forwardwhat is indicated in those forward--looking statements. For a discussionlooking statements. For a discussionof some of the risks and factors that could affect the Firmof some of the risks and factors that could affect the Firms future resultss future results

    and financial condition, please see the description ofand financial condition, please see the description of Risk FactorsRisk Factors inin

    our current annual report on Form 10our current annual report on Form 10--K for our fiscal year endedK for our fiscal year endedNovember 2008.November 2008.

    You should also read the information on the calculation of nonYou should also read the information on the calculation of non--GAAPGAAP

    financial measures that is posted on the Investor Relations portfinancial measures that is posted on the Investor Relations portion of ourion of our

    website: www.gs.com.website: www.gs.com.

    The statements in the presentation are current only as of its daThe statements in the presentation are current only as of its date,te,February 4, 2009.February 4, 2009.

    Cautionary NoteCautionary Noteon Forwardon Forward--Looking StatementsLooking Statements

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    2/17

    Goldman Sachs Presentation toGoldman Sachs Presentation to

    2009 Credit Suisse Financial2009 Credit Suisse Financial

    Services ConferenceServices Conference

    David ViniarDavid Viniar

    Chief Financial OfficerChief Financial Officer

    February 4, 2009February 4, 2009

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    3/17

    2008 Highlights2008 Highlights

    Net RevenuesNet Revenues $22.2 bn$22.2 bn

    Net EarningsNet Earnings $2.3 bn$2.3 bn

    EPSEPS $4.47$4.47

    Return on EquityReturn on Equity 4.9%4.9%

    Return on Tangible EquityReturn on Tangible Equity 5.5%5.5%

    BV per shareBV per share $98.68$98.68

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    4/17

    $2,532$2,876

    $4,245

    $8,914

    12%

    21%

    25%27%

    1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08

    ($mm) R

    OTE

    Cumulative Fair Value Losses Annualized ROTE Excluding FV Losses and CVA

    1 Pro forma analysis excludes results from Principal Investments, leveraged loans, and residential and commercial

    real estate and is net of CVA gains from the impact of our wider credit spreads on certain long-term debt. Theseresults are adjusted for taxes and compensation.

    The Year in ContextThe Year in Context11

    Performance Excluding Fair Value Losses and CVAPerformance Excluding Fair Value Losses and CVA

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    5/17

    PrincipalInvestments

    4%

    FICC34%

    Equities26%

    AssetManagement

    12%

    SecuritiesServices7%

    InvestmentInvestmentBankingBanking

    17%17%

    Investment BankingInvestment Banking20032003--2008 Contribution to Firmwide Net Revenues2008 Contribution to Firmwide Net Revenues

    #1#1 RankedRanked in Globalin Global M&AM&A11

    Growth in NonGrowth in Non--League TableLeague TableBusinessBusiness

    IntegratedIntegrated Client Service ModelClient Service Model

    Dominant FinancialDominant Financial InstitutionsInstitutionsFranchiseFranchise

    1Announced M&A based on Thomson Financial data on a calendar year basis

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    6/17

    Fixed Income Currency & CommoditiesFixed Income Currency & Commodities20032003--2008 Contribution to Firmwide Net Revenues2008 Contribution to Firmwide Net Revenues

    2005 2006 2007 2008

    Commodities Currencies Interest Rate Products

    PrincipalInvestments

    4%

    FICCFICC34%34%

    Equities26%

    AssetManagement

    12%

    SecuritiesServices7%

    InvestmentBanking

    17%

    Strength of macro businessesStrength of macro businesses

    Integrated platformIntegrated platform

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    7/17

    EquitiesEquities20032003--2008 Contribution to Firmwide Net Revenues2008 Contribution to Firmwide Net Revenues

    Strong customer facing franchiseStrong customer facing franchise

    Market leading electronic tradingMarket leading electronic tradingplatformplatform

    Best in class execution from highBest in class execution from high

    to low touchto low touch

    PrincipalInvestments

    4%

    FICC34%

    EquitiesEquities26%26%

    AssetManagement

    12%

    SecuritiesServices7%

    InvestmentBanking

    17%

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    8/17

    Principal InvestmentsPrincipal Investments20032003--2008 Contribution to Firmwide Net Revenues2008 Contribution to Firmwide Net Revenues

    Committed to coCommitted to co--investing withinvesting with

    our clientsour clients

    Successful longSuccessful long--term investmentterm investmentperformanceperformance

    $12bn raised in 2008$12bn raised in 2008

    PrincipalPrincipalInvestmentsInvestments

    4%4%

    FICC34%

    Equities26%

    AssetManagement

    12%

    SecuritiesServices7%

    InvestmentBanking

    17%

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    9/17

    Asset Management and Securities ServicesAsset Management and Securities Services20032003--2008 Contribution to Firmwide Net Revenues2008 Contribution to Firmwide Net Revenues

    Asset ManagementAsset Management

    Solid investmentSolid investmentperformance and diversifiedperformance and diversifiedproduct offeringsproduct offerings

    Securities ServicesSecurities Services

    FrontFront--toto--Back service offeringBack service offering

    Extensive securities lendingExtensive securities lending

    relationshipsrelationships

    Advanced client facingAdvanced client facing

    technology platformstechnology platforms

    PrincipalInvestments

    4%

    FICC34%

    Equities26%

    AssetAssetManagementManagement

    12%12%

    SecuritiesSecuritiesServicesServices7%7%

    InvestmentBanking

    17%

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    10/17

    Risk ManagementRisk ManagementReduction in Key Risk ExposuresReduction in Key Risk Exposures11 ($($bnbn))

    $43.0

    $15.7

    $5.2

    $19.0

    $10.9

    $20.3

    $8.6

    $17.0

    $7.7

    $6.2$8.0

    $53.6

    2007YE 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 2008YE Cumulative

    Reduction inExposure

    Net Marks

    LeveragedLoans

    Residential RealEstate

    Commercial RealEstate

    ExposureReductions

    $77.7

    $24.1

    1 Key Risk Exposures include leveraged loans, commercial real estate, residential real estate

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    11/17

    Capital ManagementCapital Management-- Growth in Book ValueGrowth in Book ValueBook Value per Common ShareBook Value per Common Share

    $20.94

    $32.18$36.33 $38.69

    $43.60

    $50.77$57.02

    $90.43

    $98.68

    $72.62

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    CAGR

    19%

    CAGR

    19%

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    12/17

    Conservative Financial PositioningConservative Financial PositioningBalance SheetBalance Sheet

    Leverage and Adjusted LeverageLeverage and Adjusted LeverageTotal Assets andTotal Assets and

    Adjusted Assets ($Adjusted Assets ($bnbn))

    13.7x

    23.7x24.3x

    27.9x

    8.2x

    13.7x14.7x

    18.6x

    1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08

    Gross Leverage Adj. Leverage

    42% Decrease

    40% Decrease$746$787

    $651 $622$528

    $1,120$1,189

    $1,082

    $885

    $1,088

    4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08

    Adjusted Assets Total Assets

    (21)%

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    13/17

    Conservative Financial PositioningConservative Financial PositioningCapital and Key Risk ExposuresCapital and Key Risk Exposures

    15.6%

    11.6%

    10.8%

    2Q08 3Q08 4Q08

    Key Risk ExposuresKey Risk Exposures

    Relative to CapitalRelative to Capital22Tier 1 RatioTier 1 Ratio11

    400bps Increase

    56%

    85%

    134%

    167%

    224%

    4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08

    %o

    fTangibleCom

    monEquity

    1

    Tier 1 Ratio calculated under the Basel II framework as it applied to us when we were regulated as a CSE2Key Risk Exposures include leveraged loans, commercial real estate, residential real estate

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    14/17

    Conservative Financial PositioningConservative Financial PositioningLiquidityLiquidity

    $69$61

    $88

    $113 $111

    9.5%8.0%

    12.2%

    17.7%19.3%

    4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08

    Average GCE Average GCE as % of average Adjusted Assets

    1

    13Q08 and 4Q08 GCE includes balances held at GS Bank

    1

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    15/17

    Unsecured LongUnsecured Long--TermTermFunding: $168bnFunding: $168bn

    Hybrid Debt

    23%

    Prom Notes

    13%

    Other

    12%

    CP

    2%

    Current

    LTD

    50%

    Unsecured ShortUnsecured Short--TermTermFunding: $53bnFunding: $53bnSecured Funding: $119bnSecured Funding: $119bn

    Conservative Financial PositioningConservative Financial PositioningFunding ModelFunding Model

    Liquid

    Gov'ts,

    Agencies,

    MBS

    42%

    Other

    Secured

    Debt

    9%

    Loans

    8%

    Equities

    26% Other

    Fixed

    Income

    Securities15%

    GBP

    3%AUD

    1%JPY

    5%

    CAD

    1%Other

    1%

    EUR

    28%USD

    61%

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    16/17

    Future OpportunitiesFuture OpportunitiesLooking Beyond 2008Looking Beyond 2008

    Integrated Business ModelIntegrated Business Model

    Leveraging Investment Banking, Securities Division andLeveraging Investment Banking, Securities Division andPrincipal InvestingPrincipal Investing

    Ability to Commit CapitalAbility to Commit Capital

    Market MakingMarket Making

    FinancingFinancing

    Distressed InvestingDistressed Investing

    Market Share ExpansionMarket Share Expansion

    Investment Banking, Securities Division, Private WealthInvestment Banking, Securities Division, Private Wealth

    ManagementManagement

  • 8/8/2019 2009 Credit Suisse Document

    17/17

    Goldman Sachs Presentation toGoldman Sachs Presentation to

    2009 Credit Suisse Financial2009 Credit Suisse FinancialServices ConferenceServices Conference

    David ViniarDavid Viniar

    Chief Financial OfficerChief Financial Officer

    February 4, 2009February 4, 2009