2010 Israeli Arab/Palestinian Public Opinion Survey · PDF fileIn the current conflict among the Palestinians, with whom do you sympathize most? Sadat ... Your opinion of possible

SABAN CENTER FOR MIDDLE EAST POLICYSABAN CENTER FOR MIDDLE EAST POLICY presentspresents
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland with Zogby Internationalwith Zogby International
20102010 Israeli Arab/Palestinian Public Israeli Arab/Palestinian Public
Opinion SurveyOpinion Survey
Professor Shibley Telhami, Principal InvestigatorProfessor Shibley Telhami, Principal InvestigatorAnwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development andAnwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development and
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Saban Center at BrookingsNonresident Senior Fellow, Saban Center at Brookings
Special thanks to the Carnegie Corporation of New YorkSpecial thanks to the Carnegie Corporation of New York

Survey conducted October 20Survey conducted October 20-- November 3November 3
Sample size: 600Sample size: 600Margin of error: +/Margin of error: +/-- 4.0%4.0%

IDENTITY

Identity most importantWhenyouthinkaboutyourself,whichofthefollowingisyour
mostimportantidentity?

Identity - Muslim
Whenyouthinkaboutyourself,whichofthefollowingisyour mostimportantidentity...?

Identity - Christian

Identity - Druze

Identity 1948 war refugees
Palestinian Israeli Arab
Doyouhaveanyrelatives
refugeesofthe1948war?
Muslim

ATTITUDE TOWARD US

AttitudestowardtheU.S.
aggregate
Generallyspeaking,isyourattitudetowardtheUnitedStates:
SadatChair
Very
favorableSomewhat
favorableSomewhat
unfavorableVery
unfavorableNot
familiar
2009
2010

Views of President Barack Obama
SadatChair
Very
positiveSomewhat
positiveVery
negativeSomewhat
negativeNeutral
2009
2010

Evaluating Obama Administration policy: What are the central issues for you?

Attitude toward Obama Administration policy in the Middle East

Obamas policy:
What policies do you like most?

Obamas Administration Policies:
Most disappointing (choose two)
* Percentages add up to more than 100%

American policy drivers in the Middle East (first)

Opinion on Irans nuclear research purpose
SadatChair
Iranismerelyconducting
researchforpeacefulpurposesIranistryingtodevelop
nuclearweapons
2009
2010

Opinion on Irans nuclear program
SadatChair
Iranhastherighttoitsnuclear
programandtheinternational pressureshouldcease
Iranshouldbepressuredto
stopitsnuclearprogram
2009
2010

Opinion on Irans nuclear program 1948 war refugees
SadatChair
Iranhastherighttoitsnuclear
programandtheinternational pressureshouldcease
Iranshouldbepressuredto
stopitsnuclearprogram
yes
no

Outcome for Middle East if Iran acquires nuclear weapons
SadatChair
Theoutcomewould
bemorepositiveTheoutcomewould
bemorenegativeItwouldnot
matter
2009
2010

ARAB-ISRAELI CONFLICT

Palestinianrefugees
righttoreturn aggregateHowdoyoufeelaboutPalestinianrefugees
righttoreturn?
SadatChair
Nottoo
importantImportantbuta
compromiseshould befound
Importantandcannotbe
compromisedinanyway
2009
2010

Outcome if no two-state solution is found
Whatdoyoubelieveisthelikelyoutcomeiftheprospectsofa twostatesolutionofthePalestinian/ArabIsraeliconflictcollapse:

IsraelasaJewishstate
aggregate
YouropiniontowardsdefiningIsraelasaJewishstate:

IsraelasaJewishstate
1948warrefugees
YouropiniontowardsdefiningIsraelasaJewishstate:
SadatChair
2009
2010
2010
2009
no
yes
Accept
w/o conditions
OnlyifPalestinianstate
established,Arab/Palestinian citizensofIsraelgivenfullrights
Donotaccept

Prospects of lasting peaceWhichisclosesttoyourviewabouttheprospectsoflastingpeace
betweenIsraelandthePalestinians?
SadatChair
Inthe
next5yrsInevitable,butit
willtakemoretimeDontbelieveitwillever
happen
2009
2010

Palestinian sympathiesInthecurrentconflictamongthePalestinians,withwhomdoyou
sympathizemost?
SadatChair
2009
2010
Fatah Hamas Both Othergroups Noneofthe
above

Preferences for Palestinian governmentAsyoulookattheinternalPalestinianpoliticaldivisions,doyou
prefertoseea:
SadatChair
2009
2010
Fatah
governmentHamas
governmentNationalunity
governmentOther

Transfer of Arab/Palestinian towns
SadatChair
Yes No
2009
2010
WouldyouacceptthetransferofsomeArab/Palestiniantowns currentlyinIsraeltoanewPalestinianstate,whenestablished?

Transfer of Arab/Palestinian towns
IfNo,whichofthefollowingreasonsismostimportanttoyou?

Attitude towards proposed loyalty oath - aggregate

Attitude towards proposed loyalty oath 1948 war refugees
SadatChair
yes
no
Oppose Support Supportifonly
appliedtonew citizens
SupportifIsraelwas
definedasstateof all

Reasons for rejecting loyalty oath - aggregate

Arab/Palestinian rights in IsraelIfpeaceprevailsbetweenIsraelandPalestiniansthroughan
establishmentofPalestinianstateatpeacewithIsrael,whichis morelikelyaboutthestatusofArabcitizensofIsrael:
SadatChair
2009
2010
Rightswillimprove Rightswilldecline Willnotchange

Recruitment of Arab/Palestinian citizensYouropinionofpossiblerecruitmentofIsraeliArab/Palestinian
citizensintononmilitarynationalserviceprogram:
SadatChair
2009
2010
Rejectunderany
circumstancesAcceptifArabs
grantedequalrights toJews
Acceptonlyafter
Palestinianstate established

Jewish Holocaust movies aggregate
WhenyouwatchamovieoraprogramabouttheJewish Holocaustwhichofthefollowingisclosesttoyourfeelings:

Jewish Holocaust movies Jewish friends
Empathizewith
Jewswhosuffered underNazis
Resent
bringssympathy
towardsJewsattheexpense ofPalestinians/Arabs
Mixed
feelings
Whichofthefollowingmostaccuratelydescribesyou?

Jewish Holocaust movies 1948 war refugees
Empathizewith
Jewswhosuffered underNazis
Resent
bringssympathy
towardsJewsattheexpense ofPalestinians/Arabs
Mixed
feelings

Palestinian civilian casualties aggregate (first)
WhenyouseePalestinianciviliancasualtiesintheconflictwith Israel,whichTWOofthefollowingbestdescribeyourfeelings:

Palestinian civilian casualties aggregate (second)
WhenyouseePalestinianciviliancasualtiesintheconflictwith Israel,whichTWOofthefollowingbestdescribeyourfeelings:

Palestinian civilian casualties 1948 war refugees
Empathy
with Palestinian
victims
Needfor
revenge against
Israel
Helpless
refugeesofthe1948war?Angrywith
Palestinian leadership
Angrywith
Arab govern
ments

Israeli civilian casualties aggregate (first)
WhenyouwatchIsraeliciviliancasualtiesintheconflictwiththe Palestinians,whichTWObestdescribeyourfeelings:

Israeli civilian casualties aggregate (second)
WhenyouwatchIsraeliciviliancasualtiesintheconflictwiththe Palestinians,whichTWObestdescribeyourfeelings:

Israeli civilian casualties 1948 war refugees
Empathy
with Israeli
victims
Israelis
broughtit upon
themselves
Revenge
forPale stinians
refugeesofthe1948war?Sameas
whenother civilians
killed
Angry
with Israeli
leaders

Internationalnewssource
aggregate
Whatinternationalnewsdoyouwatch?

Internationalnewssource
1948warrefugees
Whatinternationalnewsdoyouwatch?
SadatChair
2009
2010
2010
2009
no
yes
MBC AlManar AlJazeera AnIsraeli
networkAlArabiya

INTERNATIONAL DYNAMICS

Country - biggest threat to you (first)Nametwocountriesthatyouthinkposebiggestthreattoyou?

World leader sympathies
Hassan
NassrallahSaddam
HusseinBarack
ObamaRecep
ErdoganOther
Pleasetellmewhichworldleader(outsideofyourowncountry) youadmiremost?

Superpower sympathies
USA Russia China France Germany
Inaworldwherethereisonlyonesuperpower,whichcountries wouldyouprefermorethanotherstobethatsuperpower?
SABAN CENTER FOR MIDDLE EAST POLICYpresentsUniversity of Marylandwith Zogby International 2010Israeli Arab/Palestinian Public Opinion SurveySlide Number 2IDENTITYSlide Number 4Slide Number 5Slide Number 6Slide Number 7Slide Number 8ATTITUDE TOWARD USSlide Number 10Slide Number 11Slide Number 12Slide Number 13Slide Number 14Slide Number 15Slide Number 16IRANSlide Number 18Slide Number 19Slide Number 20Slide Number 21ARAB-ISRAELI CONFLICTSlide Number 2

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2010 Israeli Arab/Palestinian Public Opinion Survey · PDF fileIn the current conflict among the Palestinians, with whom do you sympathize most? Sadat ... Your opinion of possible