2011 CensusJoint Intelligence Group

3 April 2013

Presentation outline

Part 1

Results so far for Bristol

Part 2

Geography

Getting hold of the data

What data is coming next?

Bristol 2011 Census initial results

A usual resident of the UK is anyone who, on census day, was in the UK and had stayed or intended to stay in the UK for a period of 12 months or more

* A short-term UK resident is anyone born outside the UK who has stayed or intends to stay in UK for a period of 3 months or more but less than 12 months

Census response rate 93%

Total population (usual residents) 428,200

Living in households 98%

Living in communal establishments 2%

Short-term UK residents * 2,200

Total occupied households 182,700

Census vs population estimates

400,000

405,000

410,000

415,000

420,000

425,000

430,000

435,000

440,000

445,000

450,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Pop

ulat

ion

estim

ate

Published Mid Year Estimates

Indicative Estimates

2011 Census

Census vs Rolled Forward Estimate by age

-8,000

-6,000

-4,000

-2,000

0

2,000

4,0000

-4

5-9

10

-14

15

-19

20

-24

25

-29

30

-34

35

-39

40

-44

45

-49

50

-54

55

-59

60

-64

65

-69

70

-74

75

-79

80

+

Population

Bristol = 7th largest city in England outside of London and 10th largest LA

Increased by 38,000 (9.7%) since 2001 (E%W 7.3%)

Median age = 33 years old (E&W 39)

78,700 children, 66,000 16-24 year olds, 9,000 people aged 85+

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0 0

-4

5 -9

10 -

14

15 -

19

20 -

24

25 -

29

30 -

34

35 -

39

40 -

44

45 -

49

50 -

54

55 -

59

60 -

64

65 -

69

70 -

74

75 -

79

80 -

84 85+

% o

f tot

al p

opul

ation

Age

Bristol %

England & Wales %

Population change

Largest ward: Lawrence Hill 18,942

Smallest ward: Stoke Bishop 9,269

Cabot increase: 62%

Lawrence Hill increase: 44%

These 2 wards account for 31% of population

increase in city since 2001

Average number of people per household: 2.3

Ethnicity

EthnicityBristol BME population increased from 8.2% to 16%

11,826

9,775

7,504

5,986

3,271

2,813

1,952

1,737

1,231

1,142

874

-470

-1,653

-4,000 0 4,000 8,000 12,000

Other White

Black African

Mixed/multiple ethnic group

Other Black

Other Asian

Pakistani

Indian

Chinese

Any other ethnic group

Black Caribbean

Bangladeshi

White Irish

White British

Ethnicity

Lawrence Hill BME: 55%Whitchurch Park BME: 4%

St Pauls Grosvenor Road BME: 80%The Coots, Stockwood BME: 1.4%

Country of birth

On Census Day 4,947 people living in Bristol who were born in Somalia - 4th highest number of all LAs after B’ham (7,765), Brent (6,855) & Ealing (6,468)

63,000 (15%) of people in Bristol were born outside of UK (8% 2001) - from more than 50 different countries- 61% have arrived in UK since 2001

6,415

4,947

3,809

3,279

3,025

2,900

2,770

2,478

2,329

Poland

Somalia

India

Jamaica

Other EU accession countries

Ireland

Pakistan

Other EU member countries (March 2001)

Germany

Countries of birth outside of UK

Religion (voluntary question)At least 45 religions are represented in Bristol

Bristol %1 Christian 200,254 46.82 No religion 160,218 37.43 Muslim 22,016 5.14 Hindu 2,712 0.65 Buddhist 2,549 0.66 Sikh 2,133 0.57 Jewish 777 0.28 Pagan 575 0.19 Mixed Religion 415 0.1

10 Spiritualist 376 0.1Religion not stated 34,782 8.1

Christians in Bristol down from 62% (2001) to 47% (2011) No religion up from 25% to 37% 22,016 Muslims up from 2% to 5% Bristol is ranked 7th in E&W for proportion stating no religion 2,310 Jedi Knights

Main Language

Main Language

Doesn’t include English !

Language

Main language spoken and English proficiency (also by household)

At least 91 main languages are spoken in Bristol

English is the main language spoken followed by Polish (6,080) and Somali (5,004), also 1 Yiddish speaker and 1 Cornish speaker

9% of people do not speak English as their main language

6,089 (1.5%) people cannot speak English or cannot speak English very well

Language by ward

Health and disability

Proxy for disability:People with a long-term health problem or disability

2011 question:‘Are your day-to-day activities limited because of a health problem or disability which has lasted, or is expected to last, at least 12 months?Include problems related to old age’

Yes, limited a lotYes, limited a littleNo

Health and disability

BUT numbers have increased from 67,739 to 71,724

People with good or very good health: 82.3%

17.8

13.1

16.7

12.4

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Day-to-day activities are limited Day-to-day activities are limited: Age 16 to 64

2001 2011

Carers

The number of people providing unpaid care has increased from 35,344 to 40,138 carers – 9.4% of all people living in Bristol

23,64325,709

3,859

5,253

7,842

9,176

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

2001 2011

Provides 1 to 19 hours unpaid care/week

Provides 20 to 49 hours unpaid care/week

Provides 50 or more hours unpaid care/week

Economic activity

Employee: Part-time

Employee: Full-time

Self-employed

Unemployed

Full-time student Retired Student

Looking after home

or family

Long-term sick or

disabledOther

Bristol 13.4 39.8 8.4 4.3 4.8 9.8 9.0 3.9 4.3 2.3

E&W 13.7 38.5 9.7 4.4 3.4 13.8 5.8 4.3 4.2 2.2

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

% p

opul

ation

age

d 16

-74

Similar to national picture but more students and less retired 62% of people (16-74) are employed Economically active up 67% (2001) to 71% (2011) Full time employees part time employees self employed

Students

Students counted at term time address

FT students (18+):

25,573 (6.7%) in 200135,638 (8.3%) in 2011

41% of total pop in Cabot2% Brislington West

Majority of the population in some LSOAs with large halls of residence

Qualifications

No qualifications down from 26% (2001) to 20% (2011) - E&W 23%

Degree level and above up from 24% (2001) to 33% (2011) - E&W 27%

22

22

23

26

27

27

27

29

33

38

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Nottingham

Liverpool

Birmingham

Sheffield

Leeds

Newcastle upon Tyne

ENGLAND AND WALES

Manchester

Bristol

LONDON

% people qualified to degree level and above20.2

11.9

12.8

2.914.6

32.8

4.9No qualifications

Highest: Level 1 qualifications

Highest: Level 2 qualifications

Highest: Apprenticeship

Highest: Level 3 qualifications

Highest: Level 4 qualifications +

Highest: Other qualifications

Method of travel to work

Work mainly at or from home

5%

Public transport12%

Car driver or passenger

(including taxi)55%

Motorcycle, scooter or moped

1%

Bicycle/on foot27%

Other0%

Method of travel to work

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

At or from home Public transport Car Bicycle On foot

Birmingham

Bristol

Leeds

Liverpool

Manchester

Newcastle

Nottingham

Sheffield

England and Wales

1st out of all Core Cities for proportion of people cycling to work

1st out of all Core Cities for proportion of people walking to work

3rd for number cycling to work - after Cambridge + Hackney

3rd for number walking to work - after Birmingham + Leeds

12th for proportion of people cycling to work

Method of travel to work

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

Work mainly

at/from home

Public Transport

Total

Car total Bicycle On foot Motorcycle, scooter or

moped

Other

Percentage share - change 2001-20112001 2011

Nationally public transport increased as a whole but commuting by bus or coach decreased.

The 10 local authorities with largest percentage point decreases in public transport use saw above average increases in the percentage of people driving to work.

EXCEPT Bristol where walking and cycling increased.

Car availability

25,196 more cars in Bristol than in 2001

29% of households do not have access to a car – 73% in St James Barton, 5% in Old Sneed Park

1.04 1.01 0.970.93

0.820.76 0.74 0.73

1.251.17

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

Bristol Leeds Sheffield Birmingham Newcastle upon Tyne

Nottingham Manchester Liverpool West of England

England and Wales

Average number of cars per household

Housing Type

010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,000

Detached Semi-detached Terraced Purpose-built block of flats

Part of a converted or shared house

Flat in commercial

building

Caravan or temporary structure

Change in Accommodation Type2001 2011

96% of household spaces are occupied by at least one usual resident 7,138 not occupied by usual residents

An additional 22,762 household spaces since 2001 82% of change has been in the form of flats Flats = 34% of housing stock, up from 28% in 2001

Housing Change 2001-2011

43% of all change has been in Ashley, Cabot, Lawrence Hill and Easton

14% of all change has been in Bedminster, Southville and Windmill Hill

Tenure

Private renting has increased significantly from 14% to 25%Privately rented (or LRF) doubled since 2001 to 45,600 households

63.0

22.914.2

54.8

20.324.9

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

Owned outright or buying Social rented Private rented and living rent free

Change in Tenure 2001 to 2011

%2001 %2011

Tenure

OwnedStoke Bishop 83%Lawrence Hill 20%

Social RentedLawrence Hill 48%Stoke Bishop 3%

Private Rented or LRFClifton East 56%Whitchurch Park 7%

Household size

• Average household size: 2.3 people

• Average number of rooms/household: 5.0

• Average number of bedrooms/household: 2.6

• 13% of households overcrowded - occupancy rating of -1 rooms

• 33% of households overcrowded in Lawrence Hill

Household composition

One person household

Couple with dependent

children

Couple no dependent

children

Lone parent household

Multi-person household: All

full-time students

Multi-person household:

Other

Bristol 33.7 17.1 29.1 12.4 1.9 5.8

E&W 30.2 20.6 33.9 11.8 0.6 3.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

% h

ouse

hold

s

Part 2

GeographyGetting hold of the dataBristol analysisWhat data is coming next?

Census geography

Changes in OA and SOA boundaries in Bristol have taken place when:

i. significant population change has occurred since the 2001 Census

ii. areas have been independently assessed as lacking social homogeneity

Data sources may be for different geographies eg Indices of Deprivation 2010

by 2001 LSOA but 2011 Census by 2011 LSOAs.

Example: ‘St Pauls’ LSOA split into

i. ‘St Pauls City Road’

ii. ‘St Pauls Grovsenor Road’

iii. ‘St Pauls Portland Square’

For more information and maps see ‘2011 Geographies for 2011 Census data in Bristol’

Where to get the data: 1

BCC census web page www.bristol.gov.uk/census

Currently includes (PDFs!):

Briefing notes Change since 2001 Data by topic themes for Bristol LA Data for wards and Lower Super Output Areas Maps 2011 Census Profiles by ward and link to tool.………

2011 Census Selected Statistics Tool

Excel tool for creating area profiles

Tool available on BCC 2011 Census web pagehttp://www.bristol.gov.uk/page/census-2011

Demo >>>>>>>>>

Where to get the data: 2

NOMIS https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/

Key Statistics and Quick StatisticsDetailed Statistics and Local Characteristics to comeWizard query toolDownload one table at a time but for several areas

Where to get the data: 3

Neighbourhood Statistics http://neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/

Data by topic for downloadPostcode search for profilesNo crosstabulations!

Where to get the data: 4

Office for National Statistics (ONS)http://www.ons.gov.uk/census/

Census ProspectusTopic ReportsData visualisationsData Explorer Tool – available summer 2013

Planned analysis & reports - Bristol

2011 Census Atlas and/or series of ‘Topic Reports’

in discussion with individual teams including:

National and Core City comparisons Change 2001-2011 LSOA maps Topics: equalities communities, community cohesion,

housing, health, travel and transport, workforce and jobs, students etc…..

2011 Census Publication Timetable

Release Date Description Geography

First release

July-Nov 2012

Population and Household summary - 5 year age bands and sex, and occupied households estimates

All geographies

Second release

Dec 2012 – Feb 2013

Key Statistics (35 tables) & Quick Statistics (71 tables) All geographies

Third release

May 2013 to July 2013

Detailed Characteristics (equivalent to 2001 Standard Tables), Detailed Theme Tables and Armed Forces

Ward level and above

Fourth release

August 2013 to Oct 2013

Local Characteristics (equivalent to 2001 Census Area Statistics)

All geographies

Further releases

Nov 2013 onwards

Workplace and daytime populations, commuting, commissioned tables

ONS Population TimetableRelease Date Description Geography

30 April 2013 2002-2010 MYE revised time series LA and higher LA Mid Year Estimates

June/July 2013 2012 Mid Year Estimate LA and higher

11 April 2013 Mid-2011 SAPE LSOA and higher

August/Sept 2013

2002-2010 SAPE revised time series LSOA and higher

Small Area Population Estimates

Sept/Oct 2013 Mid-2012 SAPE LSOA and higher

May 2014 2012-based Sub-national Population Projections

LA and higher Population Projections

Autumn 2014 2012-based CLG Household projections LA and higher

Contact details

Jayne MillsStrategic PlanningNeighbourhoods and City DevelopmentBristol City Council

T: 0117 90 36873E: jayne.mills@bristol.gov.ukW: http://www.bristol.gov.uk/census