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2012 Presidential Poll Kenya

Intercontinental Hotel, NairobiSamburu RoomJanuary 12 2012

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The survey was necessitated by the coming General election in 2012

The survey sort to establish the Presidential candidate’s popularity

The polls were conducted in countrywide on Monday 12th December 2012 and Monday 2rd of January 2012.

The sample size considered was 2300 out of which 94% turned out to be registered voters

Introduction

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The respondents were proportionally distributed in majority of counties with respect to the population and geographical location.

The questionnaire captured different issues with sub issues that are compared in these surveys

The survey was sponsored by ISS Africa in partnership with CPR International.

Random sampling and quota sampling methods were employed

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The degree of confidence was 99% for the survey results.

The survey calculated margin of error of +/-3%

The response rate was 98% for the questionnaires administered

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Objectives of the Survey

Presidential candidates popularity, strengths and weakness

Political party popularity in the country and at the county level.

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Analysis by Sample

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY GENDER

Most approachable gender in terms of politics is male.

Females are a bit conservative in terms of politics.

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY AGE

This data can be interpreted to mean that majority of the respondents or population are youthful and hence as indicated by the registered voters from IEBC young people will have the say in the coming general election.

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY VOTER’S CARD

Validation point of this survey and the finding of the survey can be considered the opinion of the registered voters largely

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY RELIGION

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY EMPLOYMENT

Majority of the respondents were self employed.

The unemployed rate is high at 26.8 % this shows that unemployment needs to be tackled seriously as an entity

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT

This shows that the awareness level of this country is high and hence a presidential candidates should tackle real issues in the upcoming campaigns rather than dwell on propagandas’.

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY VOTING IN GENERAL ELECTIONS

This question tends most of the times to be MISREPRESENTED as its shows the willingness to vote rather than the actual people who will vote.

This is so largely by the fact that people are held up by other “Important” engagements.

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REASON FOR NOT VOTING OTHER ASPIRANTS

ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

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Analysis by Regions

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – NAIROBI

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi POPULAR CANDIDATE - CENTRAL

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – RIFTVALLEY

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – WESTERN

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – EASTERN

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – NYANZA

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – COAST

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – NORTH EASTERN

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National Average

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR POLITICAL PARTY

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Political Parties to watch..

ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

NATIONAL POPULARITY

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

NATIONAL POPULARITY

Turning out to be a 2 Horse Race

RAILA ODINGA Losing Ground why?-MIGUNA MIGUNA ISSUE-ODM ELECTION WRANGLES

UHURU KENYATTA – Gaining ground, why?-STRONG RECOVERY FOR SHILLING-HAGUE SYMPATHY-REVAMPING OF KANU

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The gains and losses

ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

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ThankYou