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©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
1
Chapter 12: Labor Markets, Poverty, and
Income Distribution
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
2
Learning Objectives
1. Understand the relationship between wages and the marginal productivity of workers
2. Analyze how wages and employment are determined in competitive labor markets
3. Compare and contrast the various hypotheses economists have proposed to explain earnings differences
4. Discuss recent trends in income inequality and philosophical justifications for income redistribution
5. Describe and analyze some of the methods used to reduce poverty
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
3
Story
Winning a gold medal at the Olympics can bring fame and fortune to many athletes Nawal Al Moutawakil, a Moroccan gold
medalist in the 400-meter hurdles at the Los Angeles Summer Olympic Games in 1984
Since her 1984 win, she gained her fortune from: Product endorsements / TV appearances / Earning several international awards / Serving as a member of the International Olympic Committee / Her appointment as the Minister of Youth and Sports in Morocco
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
4
Story
However, a silver or bronze medalist, despite potentially being within a hairbreadth to winning can drop completely from view The silver medalist from 1984 has dropped
completely from view Judi Brown, an American athlete, and
although potentially just as talented as Al Moutawakil, wealth and international recognition were not to be hers
Individual income vary widely Comparable skills seem to earn different
incomes
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
5
Story
Many physicians in Arab countries such as Egypt are likewise every bit as talented and hardworking as physicians in the West However, American physicians earn an
average annual income of almost $200,000 Egyptian physicians earn as little as $63 a
month that most of them (about 89%) supplement their incomes by holding multiple jobs
Why do some people earn so much more than others? No other single question in economics has
stimulated nearly as much interest and discussion
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
6
The Economic Value of Work
In some respects, the sale of human labor is profoundly different from the sale of other goods and services
For example, although someone may legally relinquish all future rights to the use of her television set by selling it, the law does not permit people to sell themselves into slavery
The law does, however, permit employers to “rent” our services
In many ways the rental market for labor services functions much like the market for most other goods and services
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
7
The Market for Labor
Economics analysis applies to labor markets Equilibrium wage and quantity are
determined by supply of and demand for a each category of labor
Labor categories include unskilled, skilled, managers, and so on
Changes in supply and demand will change the equilibrium wage and quantity
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
8
Khazaf Works
Pottery uses free clay and labor Selling price is $1.10 per piece
Handling costs are $0.10 per piece Net price is $1.00 per piece
Rafiq and Lina each work full time at potting Rafiq delivers 100 pots per week and Lina
delivers 120• If the labor market for potters is perfectly competitive,
how much will each be paid?- Assume that the values of the pots that Rafiq and
Lina deliver are $100 and $120 respectively
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
9
Khazaf Pottery Works
Rafiq earns $100 and Lina earns $120 per week
One reason for different
earnings is differences in
output per person If Khazaf paid Rafiq only $90 per week, the
company would then enjoy an economic profit of $10 per week as a result of hiring him
Seeing this cash on the table, a rival firm could then offer Rafiq $91, thus earning an additional economic profit of $9 per week by bidding him away from Khazaf
Khazaf will have difficulty keeping Rafiq if it pays him less than $100 per week
That will be his competitive equilibrium wage
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
10
The Labor Market
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The Labor Market
General rule in a competitive labor market is: A worker’s pay in long-run equilibrium will be
equal to his or her VMP—the net contribution he or she makes to the employer’s revenue
wage = VMP
Employers would be delighted to pay workers less than their respective VMPs But if labor markets are truly competitive,
they cannot get away with doing so for long
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
12
Potters' Production
To summarize: Value of Marginal Product
Marginal product of labor multiplied times the net price of each unit sold ($1)
• Rafiq’s VMP is $100 and Lina’s VMP is $120 In a competitive market each worker is paid
the value of his marginal product
Each worker’s VMP is independent of the number of other workers employed by the firm In such cases, we cannot predict how
many workers a firm will hire
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
13
Ouzai Woodworking Company
Makes cutting boards from free scrap wood Price of a cutting board is $20
Going wage is $350 per week# of Workers
Output
0 0
1 30
2 55
3 76
4 94
5 108
VMP
$600
500
420
360
280
MP
30
25
21
18
14
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
14
Ouzai Woodworking Company
The company will hire workers until the value of the marginal product of the last worker is equal to the wage Cost-Benefit Principle Workers earn $350 per week
Hire four workers The fifth worker costs
more ($350) than the benefits he delivers ($280)
# of Workers
VMP
1 $600
2 500
3 420
4 360
5 280
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
15
Firm’s Decision to Hire
Note the similarity between the perfectly competitive firm’s decision about how many workers to hire and the perfectly competitive firm’s output decision When labor is the only variable factor of
production, the two decisions are essentially the same
There are three important factors: The number of boards cut The price of cutting boards The wage rate
An increase in product price will lead employers to hire more workers
Employers also will increase hiring when the wage rate falls
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
16
The Equilibrium Wage and Employment Levels
The equilibrium price and quantity in any competitive market occur at the intersection of the relevant supply and demand curves
The same is true in competitive markets for labor Demand curve for labor employer Supply curve for labor employee
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
17
Demand for Labor employer
An employer’s reservation price for a worker is the most the employer could pay without suffering a decline in profit The reservation price for the employer in a
perfectly competitive labor market is simply the value of the worker’s marginal product (VMP)
Because of the law of diminishing returns, the VMP declines in the short run as the quantity of labor rises DL = VMP
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
18
Wag
e ($
/hou
r)W
age
($/h
our)
Firm 1
Firm 2
Work hours/day
Total Employment
Wag
e ($
/hou
r)
Market
Demand for Labor
100
12
50
12
150
6
6
100
D1 = VMP1
D2 = VMP2
D = VMP1 + VMP2
150
12
250
6
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
19
Supply for Labor employee
Individuals trade-off income and leisure More work hours means more income AND
less leisureSuppose the wage increases
Substitution effect: work more Leisure is more expensive
Income effect: work less Purchasing power increases for a given work
schedule A higher wage may increase or decrease the
quantity of labor supplied by the individual
Work Hours
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
20
Labor Supply of Programmers
Labor supply for a single profession has a positive slope Higher wages attract
workers from other careers
An increase in wages from W1 to W2 increases quantity of labor supplied from L1 to L2 Movement along the
labor supply curve
Employment of programmers(work-hours/year)
Wag
e ($
/hou
r)
S
L1
W1
L2
W2
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
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Market Shift: Increase in the Demand for Programmers
Demand for programmers increases from D1 to D2
Initial impact is a shortage of programmers at W1
In the short-run, wages are bid up to W3
In the long run Movement up the supply
curve and down the demand curve
Quantity of labor supplied increases from L1 to L2
Wages settle at W2
Employment of programmers(work-hours/year)
Wag
e ($
/hou
r)
S
L1
W1
D1
D2
L2
W2
W3
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
22
Market Shift: Increase in the Demand for Programmers
Labor markets are often relatively slow to adjust
When the demand for workers in a given profession increases, shortages may remain for months or even years It all depends on how long it takes people
to acquire the skills and training needed to enter the profession (or to change profession to the one in demand)
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
23
Explaining Differences in Earnings
When labor markets are competitive, differences in wages are determined by differences in VMP Lina earned 20% more than Rafiq because
she made 20% more pots each week than he did
This difference in productivity may have resulted from an underlying difference in talent or training, or perhaps Lina simply worked harder than Rafiq
Yet often we see large salary differences even among people who appear equally talented and hardworking
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
24
Explaining Differences in Earnings
Why, for instance, do lawyers earn so much more than those plumbers who are just as smart as they are and work just as hard? And why do surgeons earn so much more than general practitioners?
No-Cash-on-the-Table Principle says that only differences in talent, luck, or hard work can account for long-run differences in earnings If plumbers could earn more by becoming
lawyers, why don’t they just switch occupations? Answer to that is Human Capital Theory
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
25
Human Capital and Differences in Earnings
Human capital theory holds that an individual’s VMP (or wage) is proportional to his or her stock of human capital Human capital stock is a mixture of factors
such as
Individuals make decisions about acquiring human capital
Factors Affecting Differences in Earnings
Education Experience Training
Intelligence Energy Work Habits
Trustworthiness Initiative Political Skills
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
26
Human Capital and Differences in Earnings
Some jobs require more human capital
For example, a general practitioner could become a surgeon, but only by extending her formal education by several more years
An even larger investment in additional education is required for a plumber to become a lawyer
These jobs usually pay more Demand for specific kinds of human
capital also cause earnings differences
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
27
Labor Unions and Differences in Earnings
In general, two workers with the same amount of human capital may earn different wages if one of them belongs to a labor union and the other does not
A labor union is a group of workers who bargain collectively with employers for better wages and working conditions entry to the union is restricted
Unions restrict the supply of labor and raise wages Similar to a cartel Unions increase the supply of labor to the non-union
companies Wages in non-union companies go down
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Market Equilibrium Without Unions
Wag
e ($
/hou
r)
D1 = VMP1
125
9
Market 1
Employment
Wag
e ($
/hou
r)
D2 = VMP2
75
9
Market 2
Total employment(workers/day)
Wag
e ($
/hou
r)
S0
200
D = VMP1 + VMP2
9
Total Market
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
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Market 1 Is Unionized
Workers in market 1 unionize
Negotiate a wage of $12 25 workers out of work In market 2, labor
increases by 25 workers from market 1
Wage decreases to $6 Employment increases to
100 Net welfare loss to society Move workers from low
VMP to high VMP will increase total surplus
Wag
e ($
/hou
r)
125
9
D1 = VMP1
Market 1
Employment
Wag
e ($
/hou
r)
75
9
D2 = VMP2
Market 2
12
100
6
100
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
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Size of the Union Wage Advantage
Our analysis of two markets resulted in union workers earning twice the non-union wage Suggest unionized firms have a cost
disadvantage
Unionized firms remain competitive Unions attract most productive workers
Union workers are more skilled and experienced Wage gap is ±10% for comparable human capital
Unions increase productivity Improved communications and motivation Lower labor turnover means lower costs
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
31
Compensating Wage Differentials
If people are paid the value of what they produce, why do chefs earn more than lifeguards? Preparing food is important, to be sure, but is it
more valuable than saving the life of a drowning child?
Similarly, why plumbers may get paid more than teachers? Is replacing faucet washers really more valuable
than educating children? The wage for a particular job depends not
only on the value of what workers produce, but also on how attractive they find its working conditions
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
32
Compensating Wage Differentials
Compensating wage differentials describe the difference in wage rates from differences in working conditions Wages depend on VMP and also on working
conditions Workers have preferences about their work
schedule, environment and other conditions Working in less desirable conditions increases
wage
Safety and work schedule are conditions that matter to workers
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33
Discrimination in the Labor Market
Wage differentials not based on differences in VMP leave cash on the table On average, women and minorities
receive lower wages than white males Pattern holds even if we compare people with
similar human capital levels
One way to explain differential is that some human capital differences are not measured
Another view attributes the differential to discrimination
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34
Employer Discrimination
Employer discrimination is an arbitrary preference by an employer for one group of workers over another
Assumptions Productivity is distributed the same
for men and women Average productivity is the same
One employer prefers to hire male employees
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
35
Employer Discrimination
Discriminating firm has higher costs than non-discriminator Discriminating employers earn lower
profitsNon-discriminator has higher profits
Expands business Eventually supply of women is exhausted
Bid up female wagesNo Cash on the Table Principle results
in equal wages between discriminator and non-discriminator
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Discrimination by Others
If employer discrimination is not the primary explanation of the wage gap, what is?
Customer discrimination causes buyers to pay more for goods produced by favored group for the same product Attorneys: Some groups more credible with
juries and clients than others Reduces incentives for non-favored groups to enter the
profession Socialization within the family can affect
individual's career choices and therefore the supply of labor Traditional female roles: nurses, teachers,
secretaries
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Other Sources of the Wage Gap
Basis for compensating wage differentials Willingness to accept risk
Coal mining, entrepreneurs, construction, farming
Quality versus quantity of education Difficult to measure
Courses taken and degrees (humanities versus sciences) pursued by sex and race
Wage gaps remain across industries and occupations
If one group disproportionately pursues higher-paid occupations, wage gap will persist
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
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Winner-Take-All Markets
Winner-take-all markets are ones in which small differences in human capital translate into large differences in pay Technology plays a role Some participants earn high salaries
Many more do notExamples
Entertainment Law Consulting
Medicine Investment Banking CEOs
Publishing Design, Fashion Academia
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
39
Trends in Inequality
An attractive feature of the free-market system is that it rewards initiative, effort, and risk taking The harder, longer, and more effectively a
person works, the more he or she will be paidYet relying on the marketplace to
distribute income also entails an important drawback: Those who do well often end up with vastly
more money than they can spend Those who fail often cannot afford even basic
goods and services.
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
40
Trends in Inequality
Market outcomes produce disparities in income
Median Income by Quintile for US (2005 dollars)
Quintile 1980
Bottom 20%
$14,386
Second 20%
31,316
Middle 20%
47,308
Fourth 20%
65,634
Top 20% 110,507
Top 5% 157,094
2000
$16,008
36,602
57,525
84,781
177,879
315,205
1990
$14,241
33,217
51,157
73,569
136,725
214,527
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
41
US Median Income by Quintile
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$350,000
Bottom 20%
Second 20%
Middle 20%
Fourth 20%
Top 20% Top 5%
1980 1990 2000
Growing inequality
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Recent Trends in Inequality
From WWII to the 1970s income growth was ± 3% per year for all groups
Between 1980 and 2000, growth rates increase from bottom quintile to top
Does not show mobility between groups Median income is not a measure
of individual welfare In 1980, CEOs earned 42 times
salary of average worker By 2000, this multiple increased
to more than 500 times
Median Income
Growth1980 - 2000
Bottom 20%
11%
Second 20%
17%
Middle 20%
22%
Fourth 20%
29%
Top 20% 61%
Top 5% 101%
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
43
Is Income Inequality a Moral Problem?
The "right" income distribution is a normative matter
Rawls proposed a "fair" income distribution is one that people would accept before they know their position in the distribution Equality of distribution is favored by the
strongly risk averse Since an unequal income distribution would
involve not only a chance of doing well but a chance of doing poorly, most people would prefer to eliminate the risk by choosing an equal distribution
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44
Acceptable Income Distributions
If income is distributed equally, total output is smaller than in a country with earnings incentives
Rawls argued that inequality would be acceptable if it increases total output by "enough"
Rawls also argued that the market system produces more inequality than acceptable Fear of being disadvantaged beats hope of
being rich Fairness requires some attempt to reduce
income inequality produced by the market
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
45
The Challenge of Income Redistribution
Raising incomes of the needy reduce incentives to work Difficulty distinguishing between
needy and others Risk takers may appear "needy" People who prefer not to work are
ineligible Hurricane victims
No perfect solution Choose among imperfect alternatives
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
46
Welfare Payments and In-kind Transfers
In-kind transfers are direct transfers of goods or services Food subsidies, subsidized public
housing, subsidized school meals, free education, and health care
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47
Welfare Programs in Egypt
One of the most important welfare programs in Egypt comes in the form of food subsidies, which cover sugar, cooking oil, tea, and rice The green card targets low-income households and
provides a higher rate of subsidy The red card targets higher-income households and
provides a lower rate of subsidy Critics of this program charge that ambiguous
selection criterion and weak monitoring have rendered the subsidies ineffective
Green cards: held by 61 percent of households in the three richest quintiles, which receive 62 percent of total benefits.
Red cards: held by 10 percent of households in the poorest two quintiles (in lieu of green cards).
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
48
Means-Tested Benefit Programs
A means-tested program means that the more income a family has, the smaller are the benefits it receives under these programs Intends to avoid paying benefits to those who
can support themselvesAdministrative structure discourages work
If benefits are reduced by $1 for each $2 earned, participants in multiple programs may lose more benefits than the income they earn
Administrative costs are high Simplify the program and distribute the cost
savings to the needy
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
49
The Negative Income Tax (NIT)
Negative income tax is a tax credit for each person financed by tax on earned income
With no taxes, pre-tax income equals after-tax income
With NIT, low income families receive a cash transfer while high income families pay tax
Family with no income would receive the federal poverty threshold
Aft
er-T
ax I
ncom
e($
000s
)Pre-Tax Income
($000s)
No Taxes
10 15 20
10
15
20
NIT
14
16tax
transfer
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
50
Negative Income Tax
Advantages Incentive to work is greater than with
welfare Lower administrative cost
Disadvantages Creates and incentive not to work The political cost is high
NIT guarantees income to all who do not work Would need to be at least as large as the
government’s official poverty threshold, if sole means of insulating people against poverty
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
51
Negative Income Tax and Poverty
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Negative Income Tax and Poverty
According to the World Bank, the poverty threshold is $1.25 per day, which represents about $450 per year.
In the U.S. it is $21,756 for a family of four. Couldn’t eight families in the U.S. live
nicely with $144,000 per year (from pooling their negative tax payments) after moving to a home in the mountains?
Two practical difficulties: More people living at the government’s
expense would make the program prohibitively costly
The program is likely to be quickly abandoned by political supporters
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53
Minimum Wage Legislation
Minimum wage above equilibrium creates unemployment Loss in total surplus L1 workers earn more (L0 – L1) are unemployed Change in total earning
depends on the elasticity of demand for labor
Studies show little effect of minimum wage on employment Loss in total surplus may be small
W
L0L1
Wmin
Unemployment
Employment
Wag
e ($
/hou
r) S
D
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
54
Employer surplus$12.5K
L (work-hours/day)
W (
$/ho
ur)
S
D
10
5,000
5
0
Worker
surplus
$12.5K
No Minimum Wage
Minimum Wages and Total Surplus
L (work-hours/day)
S
W (
$/ho
ur)
D
5,000
5
10
0
Total surplus lost
($4K)
Employer surplus($4.5K)
Minimum Wage ($7)
3
3,000
7
Worker surplus
($16.5K)
©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved
55
Public Employment for the Poor
Government could employ the poor If wages are the same as the private sector,
some workers will prefer government jobs Increases the cost of the program
Make-work programs are not productive Increases size of government
Acting alone, government-sponsored jobs for the poor or the negative income tax cannot solve the income-transfer problem But a combination of these programs might
do so
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56
A Combination of Methods
Use a NIT with payment set below the poverty threshold
Set the public service wage below the minimum wage
Privatize the management of the public service employment program
NIT
Public Job
NIT + Public Job
NIT + Private Job
Povertythreshold