Upload
reservoirengr
View
214
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
1/24
Deliveringvaluefrom
discoveryanddevelopment
Half-Yearly
Results Presentation
August 2015
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
2/24
Disclaimer
Thesematerialscontainforward-lookingstatements
regardingCairn,ourcorporateplans,futurefinancial
condition,futureresultsofoperations,futurebusinessplans
andstrategies.Allsuchforward-lookingstatementsarebasedonourmanagement'sassumptionsandbeliefsinthelightof
informationavailabletothematthistime.
Theseforward-lookingstatementsare,bytheirnature,subject
tosignificantrisksanduncertaintiesandactualresults,
performanceandachievementsmaybemateriallydifferent
fromthoseexpressedinsuchstatements.Factorsthatmay
causeactualresults,performanceorachievementstodiffer
fromexpectationsinclude,butarenotlimitedto,regulatory
changes,futurelevelsofindustryproductsupply,demandandpricing,weatherandweatherrelatedimpacts,warsandacts
ofterrorism,developmentanduseoftechnology,actsof
competitorsandotherchangestobusinessconditions.
Cairnundertakesnoobligationtoreviseanysuchforward-
lookingstatementstoreflectanychangesinCairn's
expectationswithregardtheretooranychangein
circumstancesoreventsafterthedatehereof.
Cairnmakesnorepresentationsorwarranties,eitherexpressorimplied,astotheaccuracy,completenessorqualityofthe
datacontainedinthispresentation;andCairn,itsDirectors,
officers,employees,agents,consultantsandadvisersshall
bearnoliabilitywhatsoeverwithrespecttotheuseofor
relianceonthedatabyanythirdparty.
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
3/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
Simon ThomsonChief Executive
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
4/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
4
Strategy
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015
Mature basin exploration and development Frontier and emerging basin exploration with primary focus
on Senegal
Balanced
Business Model
Core development assets through to free cash flowFully Funded
World class new basin play
JV agreement on the sequence, location and evaluationtargets for three firm appraisal and exploration wells
Targets identified for drilling commencing Q4 2015 Government of Senegal agreement for an extensive
evaluation plan to access full block potential of gross meanrisked resource of > 1 bn bbls*
SenegalValue
* Cairn estimates
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
5/24DeliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopmentDeliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
James SmithChief Financial Officer
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
6/24Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
Group cash at 30 June 2015 of US$725m
Seven year Reserve Based Lending bank facility up to US$575m remains undrawn
Forecast exploration and appraisal expenditure for the committed forward programmeof US$170m (predominantly Senegal drilling activity during H2 2015 and H1 2016)
Forecast net development capex on Catcher and Kraken of US$615m from H2 2015 toexpected free cash flow by year end 2017
Resolution of the Indian tax dispute remains a key priority, but the business plan isfunded and deliverable from existing financial resources
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 6
Group Funding
* Net of Norwegian Tax Refunds
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
7/24Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
West Africa includes firm costs for 3Dseismic and a 3 well programme in Senegal
$55m received in January 2015 oncompletion of Catcher farm down to Dyas
Kraken contingent carry to be determinedduring 2015, currently estimated at ~$50m
Capital Expenditure
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 7
Committed Explorationand Appraisal Programme $170m
H2 2015 – YE 2017 Catcher and KrakenDevelopment Capex $615m
Catcher
Kraken
$180m
$435m
UK &
Norway*
West Africa
$30m
$130m
Other
$10m
* Net of Norwegian Tax Refunds
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
8/24Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
Fully funded to deliver our exploration, appraisal and development programme
Debt facility remains undrawn and available
Low oil price break even economics across the portfolio
North Sea development projects remain on track and on budget to deliver free
cash flow from 2017 onwards
Senegal programme targets material upside potential, deliverable in a lower oilprice environment
Continued focus on disciplined capital allocation to deliver strong economicreturns through the cycle
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 8
Finance Summary
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
9/24DeliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopmentDeliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
Richard HeatonExploration Director
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
10/24Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
Government of Senegal agreement for an extensiveevaluation plan submitted by Joint Venture (JV) Q22015
Appraisal and exploration drilling - 3 firm wells withpotentially 3 further wells
Coring and testing of appraisal wells
3D seismic acquisition programme to commenceQ3 2015
Will cover 2,600km2 over the Sangomar block and southwest of the Rufisque block
Cairn has identified more than 5 prospects and 15 leads
Objective to develop additional prospects to a drill readystatus within 2016
Ocean Rig Athena, 7th Generation dual activitydrillship, selected for drilling programme
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 10
2015 Programme
Senegal
Proposed 3D Full FoldSeismic Survey
Seismic
Potential Well
Firm Well
Cairn Licences
3D Seismic – Cairn Owned
FAN-1Discovery Well
Total Acreage
~7,490km2
SNE-1
Discovery Well
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
11/24Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
30km radius
Full block potential of gross mean risked resourceof > 1 bn bbls*
SNE 2C resource, currently ~330 mmbbls
SNE Initial projected production 50,000 – 100,000 bopd
Sum of gross mean risked prospect resources ~380mmbbls
Sum of gross mean risked lead resources ~350mmbbls
Hub development will optimise value in blocks
Shelf exploration prospectivity Significantly de-risked by SNE discovery
3D seismic cover required for shelf prospects extending intoSangomar and Rufisque
Ongoing FAN-1 and SNE-1 well analysis and seismicreprocessing
Confirming potential of SNE discovery
Characterise SNE and FAN reservoirs (including thin beds)
Updating exploration portfolio and ranking
11
Senegal
Full Block Potential
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015
* Cairn estimates
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
12/24Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
SNE-1 Appraisal Objectives
Coring and testing of the reservoir: Determine reservoir continuity and connectivity
Establish productivity of the reservoirs
Populate static and dynamic models
Determine commerciality and underpinexploitation plan
Reduce uncertainty range
Increase 1C resource
Confirm and potentially increase 2C resource
Evaluate further oil potential
Continue shelf area exploration
12
Senegal
SNE Field Forward Programme 2015 / 2016
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015
3D Seismic
~25km
SNE-1FAN-1
M a r t i n e t a l 2 0 1 0
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
13/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
First appraisal well SNE-2, is in theSangomar Deep Offshore block, 3km
north of the SNE-1 discovery
SNE-2 is a Crestal well in a centrallocation in the heart of the fieldwhere it can be expected toencounter maximum hydrocarbon
density
SNE-2 will spud Q4 2015 and willinclude coring and testing, taking sixweeks to drill and core and furtherfour weeks to test
13
Senegal
SNE 2 Appraisal Target at the SNE Field
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015
SNE Current Gross resource range recoverable (mmbbls) 1C 150 2C 330 3C 670
SNE-1
Discovery Well
SNE-2
Central Appraisal
indicative location
Km
10 2
Km
10 2
AppraisalIndicative
Locations
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
14/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
The second appraisal well SNE-3, onSouthern Flank expected to begin late
Q4 2015 / early Q1 2016
Well will test the southern extent ofthe field and will help to dictate theshape of the structure and define theaerial extension to the south
This is a key well to establishdeliverability and the full potentialof the field
SNE-3 will include both coring and
testing, taking six weeks to drill andcore and further four weeks to test
14
Senegal
SNE 3 Appraisal Target to South of the SNE Field
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015
SNE Current Gross resource range recoverable (mmbbls) 1C 150 2C 330 3C 670
SNE-1
Discovery Well
SNE-3
Southern Appraisalindicative location
Km
10 2
Km
10 2
AppraisalIndicative
Locations
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
15/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
15
Senegal
BEL 1 Appraisal Target to North of the SNE Field
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015
SNE Current Gross resource range recoverable (mmbbls) 1C 150 2C 330 3C 670
Km
10 2
Km
10 2
AppraisalIndicative
Locations
SNE-1
Discovery Well
BEL-1
Northern Appraisal
indicative location
The third appraisal well BEL-1, is onthe Northern Flank and is expected
to begin Q1 2016
This well has a significant Explorationtarget (Cenomanian “Buried Hillplay”)
This well will also test the northernextent of the field and will help todictate the shape of the structureand define the aerial extension to thenorth
This is also a key well to establishdeliverability and the full potential ofthe field
Gauges will likely be run in this wellto allow future intra-field testing
H lf Y l R lt P t ti A t 2015 16
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
16/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
RUFISQUE LEAD 1
RUFISQUE LEAD 2
SOUTH FAN
PROSPECT
CENTRAL
FAN
PROSPECT
SOLEIL
PROSPECT
SPICA
LEAD
ELECTRA LEAD
SIRIUS
PROSPECT
FAN FIELD
ACHERNAR LEAD
RUFISQUE LEAD 3
FAN-1
Discovery
SNE-1
Discovery
BEL-1
Prospect
Confirmation of source rock and burial
history from new data Remapping key reservoir and source
intervals
Redefining basin model
Redefining plays, creating new prospect and
lead inventory Acquisition of additional 3D seismic data
BEL-1 is an Exploration well with a low riskexploration target on the Bellatrix Prospectwhich will also evaluate the Northern Flank
of the SNE Field Confirming viability of additional plays
More than 5 prospects and 15 leadsidentified
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 16
Senegal
Future Exploration Programme
Half Yearly Results Presentation August 2015 17
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
17/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
BEL-1 exploration and appraisal well
Bellatrix Prospect lies above thenorthern flank of SNE discovery
Will test the Bellatrix prospect andevaluate the Northern Flank of the field
Will target both probable Cenomanian
and Albian prospective reservoirs Will be cored and likely left such that
testing is possible in the future
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 17
Senegal
Bellatrix Prospect
Cairn Current Gross
unrisked resource range recoverable (mmbbls)
P90 35 mean 157 P10 333
Bellatrix Prospect
A A’
N S
SNE Field
Bellatrix Prospect
BEL-1 Loc.
Half Yearly Results Presentation August 2015 18
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
18/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
Evaluation programme aims to confirm volumes, connectivity and productivity
Preliminary foundation development concept for SNE Standalone FPSO (Floating Production Storage and Offtake vessel) with expansion
capability for satellite tie-backs
Subsea production, gas injection and water injection wells
Initial SNE plateau oil rate expected 50,000 - 100,000 bopd
Threshold economic field size (gross) >=200 mmbbls for foundation development project
First oil anticipated 2021-2023
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 18
Development
From Discovery to Development
First Oil
Evaluation
Plan
Exploitation
Plan FID
Discovery AppraisalConcept
SelectFEED
DetailedDesign andFabrication
Production
2014 2-4 yrs 3-5 yrs
Half-Yearly Results Presentation August 2015 19
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
19/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
The Catcher project remains within budget and onschedule for first oil 2017
Subsea installation work has commenced with twotemplates already installed and gas export pipelinesuccessfully laid
The Ensco rig is now on hire and batch drilling of
the first four development wells has commenced
Fabrication of the FPSO hull and topsides isongoing
Half Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 19
UK and Norway
Catcher
Development
Premier (Operator) 50%, Cairn 20%, MOL 20% and Dyas 10%Gas export PLEM Installation
Gas export pipeline spooling onto Seven Navica
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 20
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
20/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
The Kraken project remains within budget and onschedule for first oil 2017
The fixed pipelines for the first two drill centres havebeen installed on the seabed. Installation of themooring system of the FPSO also started H1 2015
Kraken FPSO vessel is at the shipyard in Singapore and
the conversion programme is continuing on plan.Equipment procurement and fabrication of themodules is in progress
Batch drilling of the top-holes at the first drill centrehas been completed, the drilling rig is progressingwith the pre-drilling of individual wells
Half Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 20
UK and Norway
Kraken
Development
Subsea:
Aker and
Technip
Transocean
Leader
EnQuest (Operator) 60%, Cairn 25% and First Oil 15%
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 21
http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRw&url=http://www.skipsfarts-forum.net/read.php?TID=1082&page=18&ei=SJoJVdPQLtTdap7IgagP&bvm=bv.88198703,d.ZGU&psig=AFQjCNFNlNA_5k71J08Cble9iJ4xxQCI4Q&ust=1426779063008579http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRw&url=http://www.skipsfarts-forum.net/read.php?TID=1082&page=18&ei=SJoJVdPQLtTdap7IgagP&bvm=bv.88198703,d.ZGU&psig=AFQjCNFNlNA_5k71J08Cble9iJ4xxQCI4Q&ust=1426779063008579
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
21/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
Norway
Skarfjell (20% Cairn) early stage developmentplanning
Norwegian 2014 Licensing Round: Awardedfive licences Q1 2015
Norwegian 2015 APA licence round
applications being evaluated Process to pre-qualify as Operator in Norway
well advanced
Pursuing recent entry into Barents Sea withpossible applications in 23rd Licence RoundQ4 2015
y , g
UK and Norway
Developments and Exploration in Mature and Emerging Basins
CatcherDevelopment
KrakenDevelopment
SkarfjellDevelopment
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
22/24
DeliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopmentDeliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
Simon ThomsonChief Executive
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 23
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
23/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
Strategic Delivery
Business well funded through to
sustainable cash flow from 2017
Balanced portfolio - appropriate equity interests
and size of company in current environment
Focus on potentially world class asset
in Senegal to increase shareholder value
Senegal 2015 / 2016 drilling programme
Half-Yearly Results Presentation, August 2015 24
8/19/2019 2015 Half Yearly Results Presentation
24/24
Deliveringvaluefromdiscoveryanddevelopment
www.cairnenergy.com
Follow us on Twitter Download our IR iPad App View our YouTube Channel
Contacts
David Nisbet Group Corporate Affairs
E-mail:
Tel: +44 (0)7711 146 068
Kate Trevenen Investor Relations Co-ordinator
E-mail:
Tel: +44 (0)131 475 3094
http://www.cairnenergy.com/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://itunes.apple.com/gb/app/cairn-energy-plc-investor/id521644686?mt=8http://itunes.apple.com/gb/app/cairn-energy-plc-investor/id521644686?mt=8http://www.youtube.com/CairnEnergyhttp://www.youtube.com/CairnEnergyhttps://twitter.com/https://twitter.com/http://www.cairnenergy.com/