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Field Crops Pathology
2016 Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Disease Update
Damon Smith, Scott Chapman, and Brian Mueller
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Field Crops Pathology
Top Diseases of 2016
• Northern Corn Leaf Blight• Anthracnose stalk rot• Goss’s wilt
Field Crops Pathology
2016 Fungicide Efficacy TrialStalkrotRating(Illinois1-5)
NCLB Severity(%)
Greening(%)
Lodging(%)
Ear Rot(%)
Yield(bu/a)
HeadlineAMP10floz(VT) 2.3 1.3 15.0 0.3 0.6 237.9EXP1(VT) 2.6 1.4 15.0 0.0 0.8 232.3Preemptor5floz(V6+VT) 2.2 0.3 13.1 0.0 1.2 232.1Fortix5.0floz(VT) 2.2 2.3 10.6 0.0 0.2 229.6QuiltXcel10.5floz (V6) 3.0 0.1 10.6 0.0 1.2 228.8TrivaProA4.1floz(VT)+TrivaProB10.5floz(VT) 2.4 1.5 11.3 0.0 1.8 228.2Non-TreatedControl 3.3 1.2 4.4 0.0 1.8 228.1HeadlineAMP10floz(V12) 2.9 1.1 3.1 0.3 0.7 225.7Affiance6.8floz(VT) 2.9 3.0 6.9 0.0 4.0 225.0TrivaProA4.1floz(V6)+TrivaProB10.5floz(V6) 2.6 0.2 8.8 0.0 0.5 225.0Preemptor5floz(VT) 2.8 1.2 6.3 0.0 0.2 223.0QuiltXcel10.5floz(V12) 2.3 1.0 9.0 0.0 1.1 221.0StrategoYLD2floz(VT) 2.8 1.1 6.3 0.0 3.1 220.0EXP2(VT) 2.3 1.3 6.9 0.0 5.5 218.1Priaxor5floz(V6) 2.2 1.3 10.0 0.0 0.1 217.1TrivaProA4.1floz(V12)+TrivaProB10.5floz(V12) 3.1 0.3 8.1 0.0 0.9 215.1AproachPrima6.8floz(V12+VT) 2.7 0.4 10.6 0.0 0.5 213.9HelmstarPlus10.8floz(VT) 2.8 1.6 11.5 0.0 0.4 211.6Preemptor5floz(V12) 2.5 0.4 11.9 0.0 0.1 211.5Priaxor5floz(V12) 2.6 0.3 8.0 0.0 0.5 211.4HeadlineAMP10floz(V6) 2.4 0.4 8.8 0.0 0.7 211.3QuiltXcel10.5floz(VT) 2.6 0.9 11.3 0.3 0.9 209.9Priaxor5floz(VT) 2.3 1.2 9.4 0.0 0.3 208.8ZoleraFX3.34SC5floz(VT) 3.6 1.8 5.3 0.0 0.4 208.4Custodia12.9floz(VT) 2.8 1.0 8.1 0.0 1.3 188.9
F-Value 0.87 1.51 1.21 0.0 1.01 1.33Pr>F ns ns ns ns ns ns
Break-even scenarios for corn(bushels needed to cover cost)
CornPrice($/bu)
CostPerFungicideApplication($/A)
$10.00 $12.00 $14.00 $16.00 $18.00 $22.00 $24.00
$2.00 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 11.0 12.0
$3.00 3.3 4.0 4.7 5.3 6.0 7.3 8.0
$4.00 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.5 6.0
$5.00 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.4 4.8
$6.00 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.7 4.0
$7.00 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.4
$8.00 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.0
OriginalFormulationsGenericFormulations
Field Crops Pathology
What about the Probability of Positive Return on Investment
(ROI) when using Fungicide on Corn?
Field Crops Pathology
Wisconsin Dataset• 4 years of field data at Arlington Wisconsin (2013-2016)• Used observations for Pre-Mix Fungicide Products Only
(DMI + Strobilurins)– Most popular products being sprayed on corn – Had the largest number of observations over the three-
year period • Used Single-Application Trials Only
– V6, V8, or VT (No computed difference in chance of yield increase at the various timings)
– Total of 51 replicated treatment observations• Looked at
– Frequency distributions– Mean yield advantage– Considered variation across a field– Calculated Odds of a Positive ROI
-25.0
-15.0
-5.0
5.0
15.0
25.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51
YieldDiffe
renceRe
lativeToth
eNon
-Treated
Che
ck
(bu/a)
Yield Difference Compared to Not-Treating for 51 Treatments
MeanDifference:0.8bu/aP=0.57
-NoConfidenceinthismeanbeingdifferentfrom0-Frequencyofpositives=47%
Effect of Disease Level Highly Significant on Yield Response to Fungicide
-25
-15
-5
5
15
25
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
YieldDiffe
renceRe
lativeto
theNon
-Treated
Che
ck
(bu/a)
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32
YieldDiffe
renceRe
lativeto
theNon
-Treated
Che
ck
(bu/a)
FoliarDisease<5%FrequencyofPositives=31%MeanYield=-4.4(SE=1.9)P=0.01(Yieldgaingenerallynegative)
FoliarDisease>5%FrequencyofPositives=74%MeanYield=5.4(SE=1.5)P<0.01(Yieldgainsignificantlyhigherthan0)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
$10.00 $12.00 $14.00 $16.00 $18.00 $20.00 $22.00 $24.00 $26.00 $28.00 $30.00Prob
abilityofR
ecoveringtheFungicideAp
plicationCo
st
(%)
FungicideApplicationCost
$2.00/bu $3.00/bu $4.00/bu $5.00/bu $6.00/bu
Probability Of Recovering the Cost of A Fungicide Application Under Low Foliar Disease Pressure
10-20%ChanceofRecoveringCostsUsingLow-priced(Generic)FungicideintheCurrentMarket
Probability Of Recovering the Cost of A Fungicide Application Under High Foliar Disease Pressure
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
$10.00 $12.00 $14.00 $16.00 $18.00 $20.00 $22.00 $24.00 $26.00 $28.00 $30.00Prob
abilityofR
ecoveringtheFungicideAp
plicationCo
st
($)
FungicideApplicationCost
$2.00/bu $3.00/bu $4.00/bu $5.00/bu $6.00/bu
50-65%ChanceofRecoveringCostsUsingLow-priced(Generic)FungicideintheCurrentMarket
Field Crops Pathology
Summary• Foliar diseases can rob yield on corn in
Wisconsin (e.g. NCLB)• Fungicide application in fields where foliar
disease pressure is high = high odds of recovering the fungicide cost in the current market
• Fungicide application in fields where foliar disease pressure is low = low odds of recovering the fungicide cost in the current market
• Scout before VT and make a decision about disease level – VT/R1 application is recommended if disease is becoming active
Field Crops Pathology
2016 Soybean Disease Update
Damon Smith, Scott Chapman, and Brian Mueller
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Field Crops Pathology
Top Diseases of 2016
• White Mold• Sudden Death Syndrome• Stem Canker• Brown Stem Rot• Phytophthora root and stem rot
Field Crops Pathology
Fall 2016 White Mold Fungicide Break-Even Scenarios
$30.00 $35.00 $40.00 $45.00$7.00 4.3 5.0 5.7 6.4$8.00 3.8 4.4 5.0 5.6$9.00 3.3 3.9 4.4 5.0
$10.00 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5$11.00 2.7 3.2 3.6 4.1
Bushelsofsoybeansneededtocoverthecostofafungicideapplicationatvariousfungicideandsoybeanpricescenarios
*Fungicidepricealongtoprow;soybeanpricealongleftcolumn
Field Crops Pathology
2016 White Mold Fungicide Efficacy Trial (Hancock WI)
Disease Incidence(%)
DiseaseSeverityIndex(0-100)
Yield(bu/a)
YieldAdvantageOverNon-treatedControl (bu/a)
Aproach9.09.0floz(R1+R3) 3.7 20.8cd 82.5 7.6Endura6oz(R1)+Priaxor4.0floz(R3) 3.5 17.0cd 81.9 7.0Endura8oz(R1)- PositiveControl 3.9 20.3cd 79.2 4.3Priaxor4.0floz(R1)+Endura6.0floz(R1) 3.0 17.2cd 78.5 3.6Domark5floz(R1) 6.2 33.6abc 78.4 3.5Domark4floz(R3)+Topsin-M0.75lbs(R3) 3.0 21.4cd 78.0 3.1Priaxor4.0floz+Domark4.0floz(R1) 7.4 44.7a 77.8 2.9Endura6oz(R1) 3.6 18.9cd 77.2 2.3Domark5floz(R3) 6.9 30.3abc 77.1 2.2Topsin-M0.75lbs(R1) 2.6 16.1cd 76.2 1.4Non-treatedcontrol 6.9 32.2abc 74.9 0.0Domark4floz(R1)+Topsin-M0.75lbs(R1) 7.1 35.3abc 74.9 (0.0) Cobra6.0floz(R1)+Endura8.0oz(R1) 2.7 13.6bcd 72.9 (2.0) Vida0.5floz+Domark5floz(R3) 1.4 7.8d 72.1 (2.8)
F-value 1.33 2.05 1.54Pr>F ns 0.03 ns
Field Crops Pathology
2016 Fungicide Application Timing for White Mold Control (Hancock WI)
Disease Incidence(%)
DiseaseseverityIndex(0-100)
Yield(bu/a)
YieldAdvantageOverthenon-treatedControl(bu/a)
Aproach9.0floz(R1+R3)[StandardCheck] 10.2de 30.8f 77.0a 16.0Endura8.0oz(R3) 6.8e 20.2g 75.3ab 14.4Aproach9.0floz(R3) 15.0 b-d 45.2de 72.5abc 11.6Endura8.0oz(R1)[StandardCheck] 14.3cd 37.1ef 68.6bcd 7.6Proline5.0floz(R4) 21.0abc 66.1abc 68.5bcd 7.5Proline5.0floz(R3) 15.9bcd 47.5cde 66.4cde 5.4Aproach9.0floz(R5) 20.0ac 49.1be 66.0 c-f 5.0Aproach9.0floz(R4) 25.3ab 67.1ab 62.9 d-g 1.9Endura6.0oz(V5) 22.5abc 51.9be 61.7 e-g 0.8Aproach9.0floz(V5) 24.2abc 54.5bcd 61.6 e-g 0.6Non-TreatedControl 25.6ab 62.5 a-d 61.0 e-g 0.0Endura8.0oz(R4) 32.1a 77.0a 60.8 e-g (0.2) Endura8.0oz(R5) 30.1a 64.5abc 60.3 e-g (0.7) Proline5.0floz(R1) 25.2ab 66.3abc 59.7fg (1.3) Proline5.0floz(R5) 25.3ab 56.9 a-d 59.0g (2.0) Aproach9.0floz(R1) 33.0a 68.2ab 57.2g (3.8)
F- value 4.97 8.63 6.11Pr>F <0.01 <0.01 <0.01
Field Crops Pathology
What was the response to fungicide in the absence of white mold?
SeptoriaBrownSpotSeverity(%)
Yield(bu/a)
YieldAdvantageovertheNon-treatedControl
(bu/a)StrategoYLD4.0floz(R3) 6.7de 72.7 4.1AproachPrima6.8floz(R3) 11.5 a-d 70.6 2.1Preemptor5.0floz(R3)+Hero5.0floz(R3) 11.6a-d 70.3 1.8TrivaproA4.1floz(R3)+TrivaproB10.5floz(R3) 7.4de 70.2 1.6TopguardEQ5.0floz(R3) 10.1cd 69.8 1.3Headline12.0floz(R3) 2.0f 69.6 1.1Priaxor4.0floz(R3) 3.8ef 68.9 0.4Non-TreatedControl 18.1a 68.5 0.0QuiltXcel10.5floz(R3) 8.2d 68.2 (0.4) TopguardEQ5.0FLOZ/AR3;Hero5.0FLOZ/AR3 6.6de 67.7 (0.8) QuadrisTop8.0floz(R3) 11.6 a-d 67.6 (1.0) TrivaproA4.1floz(R1)+TrivaproB10.5floz(R1) 17.3ab 67.6 (1.0) Aproach9.0floz(R1) 14.8abc 67.3 (1.3) Quadris6.0floz(R3) 8.6d 66.5 (2.1)Preemptor5.0floz(R3) 10.9bcd 65.7 (2.9) ZoleraFX3.34SC5.0floz(R3) 9.8cd 62.2 (6.3)
F-value 5.1 0.98Pr>F <0.01 ns
2016 White Mold Model Validations
• Web-based model accessible through iPiPE
• Interpreted model output available to growers
• Model validation in research trials and grower fields throughout IA, MI, and WI
Field Locations Scouted
Field Crops Pathology
Wisconsin Validation Results• 20 grower fields were scouted for apothecia during the
R1-R4 growth stages.– Field observations matched same day model predictions in 17 of
the 20 fields scouted = 89% success rate
• 19 of these fields were rated for disease in the R5-R6 growth stages– End of season disease observations were explained by full-
season model predictions in 14 of the 19 fields rated = overall 74% success rate
Field Crops Pathology
Conclusions for 2016• If white mold isn’t a concern, application of
fungicide has not resulted in significant increases in yield for the 4th straight year in Wisconsin trials
• If white mold is a significant problem– Endura, Aproach, and Proline/Stratego YLD
continue to be consistently efficacious programs– R3 timing best in 2016 (R1-R3 optimal timing)– R4 or later application timing results in poor
success• Model refinement and validation work will
continue in 2017– Model full model release perhaps in 2018
Field Crops Pathology
2016 Winter Wheat Disease Update
Damon Smith, Brian Mueller, and Scott Chapman
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Field Crops Pathology
Rust ComplexLeaf rust, stripe rust, and stem rust
Leafrust;photofrom“CompendiumofWheatDiseases,3rd edition”
Striperust;photofrom“CompendiumofWheatDiseases,3rd edition”
Stemrust;photofrom“CompendiumofWheatDiseases,3rd edition”
Field Crops Pathology
Stripe Rust• Most common in Wisconsin• Stripe rust has been an
increasing problem in the upper Midwest
• Pustules can be observed for both diseases on the leaves and leaf sheaths
• Stripe rust can affect glumes and kernels when severe
• Must be blown up from southern locales– Likely not able to overwinter,
but we are investigatingStriperustsignsandsymptoms;Photofrom“CompendiumofWheatDiseasesandPests,3rd edition”
Field Crops Pathology
Yield Loss Due to Stripe Rust In 2016
y=-0.5256x+125.84R²=0.52431
y=-0.5184x+94.449R²=0.16684
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Yield(bu/a)
StripeRustSeverityonFlagLeaves(%)
Arlington,Chilton,andSharon(BlueLine)FondduLac(OrangeLine)
Field Crops Pathology
Integrated Management of Stripe Rust in Wisconsin
• Began Trials in 2016• Evaluating Fungicide Application Timing on 3 Winter
Wheat Varieties– Fungicides
• Prosaro• Headline
– Fungicide Application Timings• Non-treated (Negative Control)• 1 app at Feekes 5 (Jointing)• 1 app at Feekes 8 (Emerging Flag leaf)• 1 app at Feekes 10 (Boot Stage)• Full-Season Fungicide Application (Positive Control)
– Varieties• Pro Seed 420 (Susceptible)• Kaskaskia (Moderately Resistant)• Pro Seed 380 (Resistant)
Field Crops Pathology
Disease Incidence
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
ProSeed420 Kaskaskia ProSeed380
RelativeDiseaseIncide
nce(Log-NormalScale)
Non-TreatedControlHeadline(Jointing)Headline(FlagLeaf)Headline(Boot)Prosaro(Jointing)Prosaro(FlagLeaf)Prosaro(Boot)Full-SeasonControl
Field Crops Pathology
2016 Yield
cdbc
abcd
cd a
abcabc a
ab
abca
dabc
aabc
c
aab
bc
a
aa
a
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
ProSeed420 Kaskaskia ProSeed380
Yield(bu/a)
Non-TreatedControl Headline(Jointing) Headline(FlagLeaf) Headline(Boot)Prosaro(Jointing) Prosaro(FlagLeaf) Prosaro(Boot) Full-SeasonControl
Field Crops Pathology
2016 Test Weight
Test Weight was Driven by Variety – Very little Impact by Stripe rust or Fusarium head blight
c
b
a
59 59.5 60 60.5 61 61.5 62
ProSeed420
Kaskaskia
ProSeed380
TestWeight(lbs/bu)
Field Crops Pathology
Conclusions• Pro Seed 420 (susceptible) and Kaskaskia (moderately
resistant) responded to fungicide application– Pro Seed 380 is extremely resistant, thus fungicide had little
effect on disease or yield• “Boot” applications of Headline and Prosaro resulted in
control of disease and similar yield compared to Full-season application– ”Flag leaf” applications were a close second
• “Boot” and “flag leaf” applications provided the best control on susceptible varieties because this coincided with the onset of the epidemic– Stripe rust doesn’t seem to over-winter in Wisconsin– Pathogen blows up from southern locations– Fungicide applied close to when the pathogen arrives will
provide the best control – Scout!!
Field Crops Pathology
Damon Smith, Ph.D.Assistant ProfessorField Crops Pathology
University of Wisconsin-MadisonDepartment of Plant Pathology1630 Linden DriveMadison, WI 53706-1598Phone: 608-262-5716e-mail: [email protected]: http://fyi.uwex.edu/fieldcroppathology/
Questions?