49
Slide 1 2016 Q3 Results Umut Zenar, GM Dr. Carsten Sauerland, CFO

2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    0

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 1

2016 Q3 Results

Umut Zenar, GM

Dr. Carsten Sauerland, CFO

Page 2: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 2

1. Market Overview Pages

Market Trends 4

Cement and Clinker Volume 17

Readymix Volume 19

Export Regions 20

2. Financial Report

Income Statement 23

Cash Flow 25

Dividend Policy 27

Capex Distribution 28

Net Debt / EBITDA 29

Balance Sheet 30

3. Outlook 32

4. Awards, PR and Other Activities 35

Agenda

Page 3: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 3

1. Market Overview

Market Trends 4

Cement and Clinker Volume 17

Readymix Volume 19

Export Regions 20

2. Financial Report

Income Statement 23

Cash Flow 25

Dividend Policy 27

Capex Distribution 28

Net Debt / EBITDA 29

Balance Sheet 30

3. Outlook 32

4. Awards, PR and Other Activities 35

5. Appendix 42

Content

Page 4: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 4

Source: Global Cement Report 2015 11th Edition, CemWeek Monthly Reports

4,14,04,14,03,8

3,63,3

3,02,82,8

2,62,3

2,22,0

1,8

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

4,0

4,5

2012 2011 2013 2010 2003 2002 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2016 E

+6,2% -2,7%

+2,5%

2014 2015

Bt

Global Cement Demand

CAGR

Global Market Trend (1/2) Global cement demand is expected to be 4,1b ton in 2016

Page 5: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 5

Source: Global Cement Report 2015 11th Edition, CemWeek Monthly Reports, Exane BNP Paribas Reports

* Developed Countries: Western Europe, North America, Developed Far East, Australia & New Zealand

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2.3

2002

8.8

2001

-0.3

2.2

2000

-0.6

2006

-1.1

-8.6

5.9

1.3

2008

-17.5

2009

9.8

2007

7.1

-2.0

2005

10.2

0.1

5.6

0.9

%

1.9 2.0

6.3

10.1

2004 2003

3.5

2016 E 2015

1.2

1.1

2014 2012

-0.8

3.4

2013

1.7

2.1

-3.8

5.7 6.0

-1.8

2011

2.3

2010

2.7

Developed Countries* Rest of the World -ex China

Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries

Page 6: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 6

This presentation/report demonstrates "estimated results" of market research done by Akçansa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret A.Ş. in addition to Turkish Cement Manufacturers’

Association figures

Turkish Cement Industry Domestic cement consumption is expected to increase by 5% to hit 68,4mt in 2016

Source: TCMA and AKC estimations

31,525,3 26,8 28,1 30,7

35,543,3 45,3 42,6 42,5

50,856,5 57,6

63,5 64,6 65,1 68,46,6

8,610,4 10,4

10,7

10,5

7,28,5 14,6

20,4

18,814,3 13,2

11,8 10,7 12,114,3

39,5 39,5 40,7 41,343,5

45,5

46,948,1

62,7

68,170,8 71,9 73,6

76,4 78,3

83,5

90,0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 E

mio tons

Domestic Consumption Export Cement+Clinker

Cement Production Capacity - 90 % Cement Production Capacity - 90 % with imports

Page 7: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 7

Turkish Cement Industry on a Map 55 integrated plants, 18 grinding mills, 72 plants, 23 players and nearly 40% of the Turkish

cement capacity hold by top 3 groups

SONMEZ

MEDCEM

Baskil

• Sabancı Cement Group is the leader of

Turkish cement market with 16% market share

based on clinker capacity.

Source: TCMA, Sabancı Cement Group and Annual reports

YURTÇİM

Votorantim

Other

24%

3%

Nuh

9%

Akçansa

7%

Çimsa

14% Oyak

9%

Limak 7%

Askale 5%

Cementir

6%

Sanko

5%

As

5%

Vicat

5%

Page 8: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 8

Key Operational Highlights

Istanbul (Ambarlı)

Operation Capacity

1.600.000

Istanbul (Büyükçekmece)

Cement Production Capacity

2.600.000

Clinker Production Capacity

1.950.000

Samsun

Operation Capacity

120.000

Artvin (Hopa)

Operation Capacity

120.000

Samsun (Ladik)

Cement Production Capacity

1.050.000

Clinker Production Capacity

650.000

Karabük (Karçimsa)

Cement Production Capacity

200.000

Yalova

Operation Capacity

300.000

Kocaeli (Yarımca)

Operation Capacity

700.000

İzmir (Aliağa)

Operation Capacity

350.000

Çanakkale

Cement Production Capacity

5.500.000

Clinker Production Capacity

4.450.000

Ready-mixed concrete

Production capacity

7 million m3

Number of RMC plants

35

CEM

• 3 cement plants

• 7,0m ton clinker capacity

• 9,3m ton cement capacity

RMC

• 35 RMC plants

• 7 million m3 RMC capacity

Ports

• 2 ports

• Ambarlı & Çanakkale

Terminals

• 9 domestic terminals

• 4,0m ton total operating capacity

Kocaeli (Derince)

Operation Capacity

300.000

Tekridağ (M.Ereğlisi)

Operation Capacity

240.000

Akçansa at a Glance

Trabzon

Operation Capacity

240.000

Page 9: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 9

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

%

1981 1985 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 E

5.0

0.8 1.6

-2.4

10.1

2.1

10.9

19.0

0.3

-4.2

3.6

22.6

14.4

9.1

4.8 6.9

-20.4

0.0

12.7

16.3

-4.0

Real GDP Growth Domestic Cement Demand Growth (%)

Cement Consumption & GDP Growth Relation in Turkey Expected multiplier factor again higher than «1» unlike 2014&2015

Factor: Cement consumption growth/GDP growth

Source: TCMA and AKC estimations

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E

Factor* 0,0 2,2 0,9 0,8 0,9 1,7 3,3 0,8 -6,0 -0,1 2,1 1,2 1,0 2,5 0,6 0,3 1,4

Page 10: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 10

Source: Sabancı Holding and Akcansa assumptions

859

832837836770

764

696

590599645

624

518

453420406

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

3,000

8,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

2003

4,565

2002

3,492

10,380

2014

9,139

2016E 2015

10,822

2013

10,003

2010 2012

10,428

2011

9,084

10,459

7,036

2004

$

2006 2005

7,597

Kg

5,775

10,444

9,247 8,561

2008 2009 2007

GDP Per Capita ($) Cement Consumption Per Capita (kg)

Cement Consumption & GDP Per Capita in Turkey Positive correlation except 2014

Page 11: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 11 Source: TCMB, TOKI

0,961,011,001,01

1,141,151,161,181,201,201,20

0,0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1,0

1,2

1,4

November

0,09

August July June May April March February January September October

Housing Loan Interest Rates Decreasing rates observed coming to the end of 2016 and expected to continue with the support

of Government

• Mortgage interest rates of many government banks

are below 0,95% (p.m.)

• TOKİ’s campaign and support of government banks

still continue with lower interest rates and attractive

payment schedules

• Housing stocks are expected to be decreased with

the decreasing trend of rates and government

incentives

Page 12: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 12

Source: TUIK and TCMA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E

1. Private Housing 62% 57% 50% 51% 54% 52% 53% 53% 51% 45% 45%

2. Commercial 14% 16% 13% 9% 11% 10% 11% 9% 10% 9% 9%

3. Public 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 7%

4. Infrastructure/Projects 20% 22% 32% 35% 30% 33% 31% 33% 34% 39% 39%

Total cement consumption 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Cement Consumption Components in Turkey Shift from private housing to infrastructure and big ticket projects

Page 13: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 13

Taşdelen – Çekmekoy Metro Project (1.500k m3)

3rd Bridge Connecting Highway (1.000k m3)

Sinpaş Küçükçekmece (150k m3)

Çatalca TOKI Project (250k m3)

Istanbul Finance Center Project (2.000k m3)

Özak GYO – Zeytinburnu Housing Project (400k m3)

Eurasia Tunnel Project (450 m3)

3rd Airport (2.000k m3) Major urban transformation areas in Istanbul

• Expected effect on Turkey • Conversion of 6.500k housing units in 20 years • 260.000k m3 RMC consumption

Major Investments on a Map Akcansa is a big beneficiary of increasing large infrastructure projects in Marmara region because

it’s located closer than the peers

Çanakkale Bridge (1.500k m3)

Izmit Bridge Connections & Highways (500k m3)

Mahmutbey Meto Project (1.000k m3)

Büyükçekmece Port Project (200k m3)

Göztepe-Ataşehir Metro Project

(1.000k m3)

Sancaktepe Sabiha Gökçen Project

(600k m3)

Güneşli TOKI Project (500k m3)

North Marmara Highway (2.500k m3)

Bostancı Metro Project (1.200k m3)

Page 14: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 14

Akçansa Port Operations Akçansa is sustainably increasing revenues from its Ambarlı port through container handling,

general cargo, Ro-Ro operations and bulk handling

Page 15: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 15

9%

9%

-11%

10%

12%

6%

12%

Domestic Sales Volume Change (September YTD) Cement demand in Turkish domestic market increased by 8% as at September 2016

Source: TCMA

Page 16: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 16

16-15(August): -2% 2016(August):1,094kt

16-15(August): -0% 2016(August):445kt

16-15(August): -18% 2016(August): 503kt 16-15(August): +89%

2016(August): 556kt

16-15(May): +7% 2016(May): 347kt

16-15(August): -58% 2016(August): 362kt

16-15(August): -10% 2016(August): 1,533kt

Source: TCMA

Clinker Stock Level Change (September YTD) Total clinker stocks are 4,8mt with a 10% decrease in stock level compared to the last year’s figure

Page 17: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 17

Akçansa continues to benefit from

lower energy costs

We are in fully hedged position in

petrocoke supply for FY16

Volume, Price and Energy Cost Trends of Akçansa Increase in domestic cement sales and shift from export clinker to export cement

Source: AKC management report

Domestic Cement

Marmara

Aegean

Black Sea

VolumePrice

(TL/ton)

Domestic Cement

9M16 vs 9M15

Export Cement

Export Clinker

VolumePrice

($/ton)

9M16 vs 9M15

Export

VolumePrice

(TL/m3)

General

Marmara

Aegean

Black Sea

9M16 vs 9M15

Readymix

Coal (USD / ton)

Petrocoke (USD / ton)

Diesel (TL / Lt)

Electricity (TL / kwh)

9M16 vs

9M15Energy Costs

Page 18: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 18

Domestic

Export

*) Domestic cement figures include Karçimsa and transfer to RMC

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

[%]

+19%

+81%

9M2016

4.0%

14.8%

1.1%

80.1%

9M2015

7.9%

10.3% 0.1%

81.6%

Product Mix

Export Clinker

Export Cement

Domestic Clinker

Domestic Cement

0,9

4,54,7

0,4

0,6

0,0

1,5

3,0

4,5

6,0

[M ton]

9M2016

5,8

0,2

0,1

9M2015

5,5

0,0

Shipments

Cement Sales Breakdown Higher domestic cement and total CEM&CLK volume in 9M16 due to the expanding operations of

terminals

Source: AKC management report

Page 19: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 19

3,2

2,8

[M m3]

-13%

RMC Sales

9M16

9M15

15

10

5

0

[%] -2.4

Vertical Integration Ratio

11.5

13.9

9M15

9M16

*) RMC figures include RMC sales of Karçimsa

**) Vertical integration ratio is calculated by dividing transfer of cement to RMX business line to total cement sales volume

* **

Ready Mix Concrete Sales Breakdown More strategic, innovation and pricing oriented sales strategy rather than volume in RMC

Source: AKC management report

Page 20: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 20

<50 k ton >50; <100k ton >100 k ton

West Africa

has been

keeping its

importance in

total export

Major export

market is USA

in 9M16

LATAM

12.2%

North Africa

2.9%

USA

50.6%

West Africa

32.2%

2.1%

Other

9M15

9M16

Export Markets Shift from West Africa to USA

Source: AKC management report

63.0%

5.0%

USA

North Africa

32.0%

West Africa

Page 21: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 21

Index Value

Baltic Dry Index Index is still lower than the 5 year average with an increasing trend in 9M16

Source: Bloomberg

Index Value

Last 5-year period

Last 12 month period

Page 22: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 22

Content

1. Market Overview

Market Trends 4

Cement and Clinker Volume 17

Readymix Volume 19

Export Regions 20

2. Financial Report

Income Statement 23

Cash Flow 25

Dividend Policy 27

Capex Distribution 28

Net Debt / EBITDA 29

Balance Sheet 30

3. Outlook 32

4. Awards, PR and Other Activities 35

5. Appendix 42

Page 23: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 23

Source: CMB financials and AKC calculations

Income Statement

Company (M TL)3Q15 3Q16

Var. 3Q16 vs.

3Q15 % Ch. Q 9M15 9M16

Var 9M16

vs.9M15 % Ch. YTD

Net Sales 360,6 352,3 (8,3) -2,3% 1.070,6 1.088,2 17,6 1,6%

Cost of Sales (250,8) (241,0) 9,9 -3,9% (752,1) (770,1) (18,0) 2,4%

Gross Margin 109,8 111,3 1,5 1,4% 318,5 318,1 (0,4) -0,1%

M&S Expenses (3,6) (3,6) (0,0) 0,3% (12,1) (13,1) (1,0) 7,9%

G&A Expenses (11,3) (14,4) (3,1) 27,7% (36,6) (42,9) (6,3) 17,2%

EBIT 94,9 93,3 (1,6) -1,7% 269,8 262,1 (7,7) -2,8%

Other Operating Income/(Charges) (1,0) (2,4) (1,5) 156,8% (4,3) (6,7) (2,4) 55,9%

Operating Income 94,0 90,9 (3,1) -3,3% 265,5 255,4 (10,1) -3,8%

Income/(Losses) from Investment Activities 0,6 26,9 26,3 4060,3% 20,6 51,0 30,4 147,0%

Financial Income/(Charges) (6,0) (8,8) (2,8) 46,3% (18,2) (25,1) (6,9) 37,7%

Profit/Loss before Taxes 88,6 109,0 20,4 23,0% 267,9 281,3 13,4 5,0%

Tax Expenses (17,5) (17,1) 0,4 -2,5% (49,4) (47,4) 2,0 -4,1%

Net Income/Loss 71,1 91,9 20,8 29,3% 218,5 233,9 15,4 7,1%

Gross Margin % 30,4% 31,6% 1,1% 29,7% 29,2% -0,5%

EBITDA Margin % 31,3% 31,7% 0,4% 30,1% 29,1% -1,0%

EBIT Margin % 26,3% 26,5% 0,2% 25,2% 24,1% -1,1%

Net Income Margin % 19,7% 26,1% 6,4% 20,4% 21,5% 1,1%

Page 24: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 24

2,0

6,930,4

2,4

7,3

18,017,6

230

235

225

240

220

0

215

210

Income&Loss

from

Investments

Fin. Inc.&Loss 9M15 Cost of Sales Net Sales

233,9

9M16 Operat. Exp. Other

Inc.&Exp.

Taxes

M TL

218,5

Net Income Bridge

Source: CMB financials and AKC calculations

Page 25: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 25

Cash Flow

Source: CMB financials and AKC calculations

9M15 9M16

Cash flow from operating activities

Operating income before the changes in working capital 326,9 345,5

Changes in working capital (75,2) (109,3)

Taxes paid (42,2) (45,9)

Other items (13,7) 5,6

195,8 195,9

Cash flow from investing activities

Tangible and intangible fixed assets (66,0) (74,1)

Financial assets (0,1) -

Proceeds from fixed asset disposals 3,7 3,1

Dividends Received 19,9 23,1

(42,5) (47,9)

Cash flow from financing activities

Dividend payments (227,6) (259,2)

Net proceeds from bonds and loans 173,8 148,6

Interest paid (9,4) (26,1)

Other items 0,6 0,3

(62,6) (136,4)

Net change in cash and cash equivalents - continuing operations 90,6 11,6

Change in cash & cash equivalents 90,6 11,6

Cash & cash equivalents at 1 January 13,3 21,9

Cash & cash equivalents at 30 September 103,9 33,5

Company (M TL)

Page 26: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 26

MTL

259.2 74.1 -136.9

196.4

Net debt reduction CAPEX Dividend paid Adj. operating cash flow *

M TL

227.6 66.0 -83.1

210.5

Cash Flow Usage

9M15 9M16

*) Operating cash flow is adjusted for dividends received, interest paid and other items

Source: CMB financials and AKC calculations

Page 27: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 27

226,3

144,4

110,0

88,7

257,6

+14% +31%

+24%

+31%

+57%

2016 2015 2014 2013 2012

Dividend Paid, gross M TL

2016

8.7

2015

6.8

2014

6.6

2013

5.2

2012

5.6

Dividend Yield, %

2015

91.6

2014

90.9

2013

91.5

2012

91.2

2011

88.5

Payout Ratio %

**

Dividend Paid, Dividend Yield and Payout Ratio

**) CAGR (Compound Annual Growth) of dividend paid amount for the last four years

There has not been any change in dividend payment policy throughout years

Source: CMB single financials and AKC calculations

Page 28: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 28

Key Investments in 9M16:

Cement Business Line:

1. (I&G) Wind turbine investment (CNK)*

2. (L&E) Process automation of kiln, raw and coal mill

(LDK)**

3. (I&G) Dedusting of plant (BCM)***

Ready Mix Concrete (RMC) Business Line:

1. (I&G) New RMC plant investments in Gebze and Çatalca

2. (I&G) Capacity increase and relocation of RMC Plant in

BCM*** Plant

40%40%

46%40%

13%19%

100%

80%

0%

20%

40%

60%

%

9M5 9M16

Improvement & Growth (I&G) Legal & Environment (L&E) Replacement (Rep)

*) Çanakkale Plant

**) Ladik Plant

***) Büyükçekmece Plant

26,6 29,8

26,7

34,3

12,8

10,0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

9M16

+12%

74,1

9M15

M TL

66,0

Capex Distribution

Source: CMB financials and AKC calculations

Page 29: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 29

29

241226

249230

91

179

225

7085

151

247

163

263285

0,6

0,4

0,2

0,40,6

1,0

1,2

1,3

0,50,60,60,7

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

0,0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1,0

1,2

1,4

1,6

1,8

M TL

3Q16 2Q16 1Q16 4Q15

0,2

3Q15 2Q15 1Q15

0,2

4Q14 3Q14 2Q14 1Q14

0,8

4Q13 3Q13 2Q13

256

1Q13

Net Debt/EBITDA (LTM) Net debt

205

82

428

322

209

79

390

311

201

85

198

108

34

317

29,127,925,0

30,129,6

26,528,828,3

26,2

22,7

19,7

14,5

29,3

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2Q16 1Q16 4Q15 3Q15 2Q15 1Q15 4Q14

27,6

3Q14 2Q14 1Q14 4Q13

269 22,5

3Q13 2Q13 1Q13

M TL

3Q16

EBITDA Margin EBITDA

Net Debt / EBITDA & EBITDA Margins

Page 30: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 30

Balance Sheets

Source: CMB financials and AKC calculations

M TL 30.09.2015 31.12.2015 30.09.2016

Variance

9M16 vs

FY15 M TL 30.09.2015 31.12.2015 30.09.2016

Variance

9M16 vs

FY15

Current Assets 646,7 569,3 607,4 38,1 Current Liabilities 427,3 326,7 505,3 178,5

Cash & cash equivalents 103,9 21,9 33,5 11,7 Financial Liabilities 172,9 12,4 259,8 247,4

Trade receivables 368,1 398,9 435,6 36,7 Trade payables 214,1 271,1 196,3 (74,8)

Inventories 151,8 135,2 129,4 (5,9) Tax payable 17,1 14,0 15,9 1,9

Other current assets 22,9 13,3 8,9 (4,4) Other current liabilities 23,2 29,2 33,3 4,1

Non-current Assets 1.096,7 1.135,8 1.148,1 12,3 Non-current Liabilities 183,1 177,8 79,5 (98,3)

Financial investments 206,3 212,9 208,0 (4,9) Financial Liabilities 110,0 100,5 - (100,5)

Fixed Assets 755,2 786,4 803,8 17,4 LT provisions 27,7 30,0 32,9 2,9

Goodwill 129,5 129,5 129,5 - Deferred tax liabilities 45,5 47,2 46,6 (0,6)

Deferred tax assets 1,0 1,0 1,0 (0,0) Other non-current liablities - - - -

Other non-current assets 4,8 6,0 5,8 (0,2) - -

Shareholders Equity 1.133,0 1.200,6 1.170,7 (29,9)

Paid in Capital 191,4 191,4 191,4 -

Retained earnings 554,8 554,8 578,3 23,5

Comprehensive income 156,7 159,8 155,2 (4,6)

Net income 216,8 281,1 233,3 (47,9)

Minority interest 13,3 13,4 12,5 (0,9)

-

TOTAL ASSETS 1.743,4 1.705,1 1.755,5 50,4 TOTAL LIABLILITES & EQUITY 1.743,4 1.705,1 1.755,5 50,4

BS data and key ratios 30.09.2015 31.12.2015 30.09.2016

Variance 9M16

vs FY15

Working Capital 305,8 263,1 368,7 105,6

Work ing Capital / Net Sales (LTM) 21,8% 17,9% 24,8% 6,9%

Net debt 178,9 91,1 226,3 135,2

Net debt / EBITDA (LTM) 0,4x 0,2x 0,5x 0,3x

Net Debt / Equity 15,8% 7,6% 19,3% 11,7%

Page 31: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 31

s

Content

1. Market Overview

Market Trends 4

Cement and Clinker Volume 17

Readymix Volume 19

Export Regions 20

2. Financial Report

Income Statement 23

Cash Flow 25

Dividend Policy 27

Capex Distribution 28

Net Debt / EBITDA 29

Balance Sheet 30

3. Outlook 32

4. Awards, PR and Other Activities 35

5. Appendix 42

Page 32: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 32

(*) Latest forecast compared to 9M16

(*) Latest FY forecast compared to FY15

Compared to FY15:

Higher cement volume with stable prices in

domestic market while export prices are decreasing

Decrease in volume of RMC but higher sales prices

Compared to 9M16:

Spot prices of petrocoke prices are at top level of

2016

100% of petrocoke requirement of AKC hedged for

2016

2016 Outlook – Energy price update No major change expected in sales prices and sharp movement in input spot prices

Volume Price

Domestic Cement (TL/t)

Export Cement ($/t)

Export Clinker ($/t)

RMC (TL/m3)

ExpectationsFY16

2016E

FY

Coal (USD / ton)

Petcoke (USD/ton)

Diesel (TL / Lt)

Electricity (TL / kwh)

Energy Price

Page 33: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 33

-0,5%

6%

-10%

6%

6%

6%

4%

Marmara Black Sea

Mediterranean

Aegean

Central Anatolia

East Anatolia

South East Anatolia

Regional Sales Volumes - 2016 Expectation Strong demand in all regions except East and South East Anatolia

Source: AKC estimations based on TCMA data

Page 34: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 34

Content

1. Market Overview

Market Trends 4

Cement and Clinker Volume 17

Readymix Volume 19

Export Regions 20

2. Financial Report

Income Statement 23

Cash Flow 25

Dividend Policy 27

Capex Distribution 28

Net Debt / EBITDA 29

Balance Sheet 30

3. Outlook 32

4. Awards, PR and Other Activities 35

5. Appendix 42

Page 35: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 35

3rd Bridge opened! One hundred and ten thousand vehicles pass through 3rd Bridge per day

Page 36: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 36

Awards, PR and Other Activities The American Concrete Institute (ACI) excellence reward

Page 37: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 37

Awards, PR and Other Activities (continued) Betonik City in Minecraft entitled «Felis Success Award»

Page 38: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 38

38

Awards, PR and Other Activities (continued) Betonik Ideas Project competition has started

Page 39: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 39

Follow Us

Page 40: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 40

Contacts

Dr. Carsten Sauerland, CFO

Phone +90 216 571 30 20 [email protected]

Fax +90 216 571 30 21

Eralp Tunçsoy, IR Executive

Phone +90 216 571 30 67 [email protected]

Fax +90 216 571 30 31

Banu Üçer, Corporate Communication Executive

Phone +90 216 571 30 13 [email protected]

Fax +90 216 571 30 11

Info Adress: [email protected]

Websites www.akcansa.com.tr

www.betonsa.com.tr

www.sabanci.com.tr

www.heidelbergcement.com

Page 41: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 41

Disclaimer

This presentation (Presentation) has been prepared by Akçansa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret A.Ş. for the sole purpose

of providing information relating to Akçansa (Information).

This Presentation is based on public information and data provided by Akçansa management and basically

demonstrates forward looking statements based on numerous assumptions regarding our present and future

business strategies and the environment in which we will operate in the future.

Please be aware that the forward looking statements and/or assumptions of future events declared in the

Presentation and/or in the Information may not prove to be accurate.

No warranty or representation, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, completeness, or timeliness of this

Information is made by Akçansa.

No profitability or any other warranty is claimed by the Information provided either on company or sectoral basis.

No liability/responsibility is accepted by Akçansa for any loss or damages of any kind, incurred by any person for any

information howsoever arising from any use of this Presentation or the Information.

The Information contained at this Presentation has been included for general informational purposes only and no

person should make any investment decisions in reliance upon the information contained herein.

Akçansa shall not be held responsible for any kinds of losses that may rise from investments and/or transactions based on this Presentation or Information or from use of this Information and/or Presentation.

Page 42: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 42

Appendix

Page 43: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 43

Turkey Clinker Capacity Distribution

Source: TCMA

First 3 groups form nearly 40% of the Turkish Cement Capacity

Others 24%

Votorantim 3%

Nuh Cement

5%

Vicat

5%

As

5%

Sanko

6% Cementir

5% Askale

7%

Limak 9%

Oyak

14%

Çimsa

7%

Akçansa

9%

Page 44: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 44

Akçansa Port Operations Port operations contribute for higher profit

Ro-Ro Operation:

International U.N RO-RO operation will enhance the

profitability of port business line

Maersk Partnership:

Akçansa started collaborating with Maersk in

container handling. This business partnership is

expected to grow in the upcoming future

Page 45: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 45

Akçansa Port Operations Akçansa Port joined Logitrans International Lojistics Expo and attracted many new customers for

potential business opportunities

Page 46: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 46

Energy Always Matters

To increase efficiency on energy

usage

Flexibility in use of petrocoke and coal

Use of import channels of HC Trading

firms

High-sulfur petrocoke usage permit

Hedging coal purchases to minimize cost

inflation risk

Active electricity portfolio management

Canakkale Plant has been using shreded

tire as alternative fuel since 2012

To increase alternative fuel usage

Alternative fuel feeding system investment

in Canakkale Plant

Agreement with Recydia Waste

Management Company

Continue to import shredded tire

Planned to have RDF import license like

shredded tire

Primary Alternative

Page 47: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 47

EBITDA Margins

EBITDA Margin* - Quarterly

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35 31.7

Q4

26.9 23.6

21.8 19.3

Q3

31.2 30.0 27.6

21.9

Q2

30.2 31.7 30.0

23.7 22.5

Q1

24.9 26.4

%

26.2

14.4 16.8

2016 2015 2014 2013 2012

EBITDA Margin* - YTD

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

%

29.1

12M

29.2 27.6

22.4 20.3

9M

30.1 28.8

22.6 20.7

6M

27.8 29.5 28.3

19.7 20.1

3M

24.9 26.4 26.2

14.4 16.8

*) Excludes the depreciation and amortization amount attributable to other operating expenses.

Source: AKC management report

Page 48: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 48

Akçansa Sustainability Approach

Sustainability

Committee

Biodiversity Sustainable

Construction

Energy

&

Fuel

CO2 Reporting

• GRI Approval, January 2011

• First report in its sector

• 2nd report was approved as of June 2012

• 3rd report was approved as of November 2014

• Microalg pool in Canakkale Plant

Page 49: 2016 Q3 Results - Akcansa · Global Market Trend (2/2) Continuing correlation in growth performance of developed and other countries . Slide 6 This presentation/report demonstrates

Slide 49

General Basics About Cement and RMC Production

Production

1,6 ton limestone is consumed to produce 1 ton of clinker

75-90% clinker is consumed to produce 1 ton of cement

250-300 kg of cement in 1 m3 RMC produced

1,5-2,0 ton of aggregate in 1 m3 RMC produced depending on the type of RMC produced

Distribution of cement production cost : 75-80 variable and 20-25% fixed costs

Fuel

A cement plant of 1 mio ton clinker capacity may consume 100 k ton petrocoke or 130 k ton coal, or a mix of both

7.500 kcal/ton in petrocoke vs. 6.000 kcal/ton in coal.

Fuel accounts for 30-35% of the variable cost of producing 1 ton of cement

1% increase in alternative fuel usage have 1,5-2 mTL cost advantage per year

Electricity

Electricity accounts 25-30% of the variable cost of producing 1 ton of cement.

0,01 TL increase in cost of 1 kwh electricity corresponds to 1-1,5 TL cost increase in 1 ton of cement.

Contribution of waste heat project

33% of Çanakkale Plant electricity consumption

Monthly contribution to P&L of Akcansa will be around 1-1,5m TL based on current electricity prices

Contribution of one windmill

1,7% of Çanakkale Plant electricity consumption

1,4-1,6m TL saving

Capacity is 3,5 MW