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July 26th, 2016 The Navigator Company 1Half 2016 Results Presentation

20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

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Page 1: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

July 26th, 2016

The Navigator Company

1Half 2016 Results Presentation

Page 2: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Diogo da Silveira – CEO

Fernando Araújo– CFO

Joana Appleton - IR

Speakers

1

Page 3: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

2

Significant turnover growth and diversification over the last years

1H 2016– Another solid performance in a challenging environment

• EBITDA of € 195.3 million, 5.8%increase with clear improvement inmargin EBITDA / Sales to 25.1 %

• Record sales volumes of paper

• Negative impact from energy division in turnover due mainly from reduction in tariff

• Capex of € 75,3 million, with pellets mill concluded and starting production tests

• IFC confirms 20% subscription in Portucel Mozambique capital, with a first cash disbursement

• Repayment of the outstanding amount of € 150 million in Portucel Senior Notes 5.375%

• Payment of € 170 million in dividends 2

Page 4: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

3

UWF and BEKP market evolution

Sales to other markets include Africa, Latin America, Middle East, Turkey, Asia, mainly in USD

• H12016 was impacted by the significant capacity adjustmentsoccurred at the end of 2015 in the UWF industry in Europe, leadingto higher operating rates (96% vs 94%) and reduction in exports (-45 thousand)

• Paper imports to Europe increased 42%, with imports from Asiadoubling, due to slowdown in local consumption and anti-dumpingduties in US

• Apparent consumption in Europe is estimated to have decreasedapproximately 2.1%

• In the US, apparent consumption decreased 1.8% YoY, with importsdeclining significantly (-21%) and operating rates improved to 94%(vs.93%)

• Start of 2016 marked by sharp slowdown in BEKP purchases byChinese buyers; activity picked-up in Q2, and global demand forBEKP increased 5.4% YoY; nevertheless, global capacity utilizationrate in BEKP dropped from 91% in 2015 to 88% in the first half of2016.

Page 5: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

4

European Market Prices Evolution

Source: FOEX

Benchmark price evolution for pulp and paper

EUR USD

• The industry benchmark for paper gained 2.3% YoY (833€ vs 815€/ton)

• Industry benchmark for pulp lost 5% YoY in euros (649€/ton vs 683€/ton), and 5.4% in USD (724USD/ton vs 765USD/ton); the indexlost 15% since the beginning of the year in Euros and 13% in USD

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Copy B (LHS)

BHKP USD

BHKP EUR (LHS)

Page 6: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

5

Paper, pulp and tissue business performance

• The Navigator Company registered its highest volume sold in asemester: 775,5 thousand tons of UWF (+3.7% YoY)

• Group registered record sales to international markets, with 3%increase YoY. Good performance in Africa and Turkey

• Group´s average sales price was negatively affected by exchangerates evolution versus the euro, namely the GBP, by salesgeography and product mix (size and quality)

• Pulp sales increased 9.6% in volume and 2.9% in value; 97% ofpulp sales were directed to Europe, and 68% for Décor andSpecial papers segments

• Volume of Tissue sold improved 30% YoY sustained by theincrease in capacity realized in 2015; sales increased to € 33million (vs €27 million); average sales price decreased 6% due tochange in mix (increase percentage of reels sales)

Page 7: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

6

EBITDA of 390 M€ : highest EBITDA in the last 5 yearsStrong EBITDA and EBITDA / Sales margin in Q1 and Q2

Va

lue

s in

mil

lio

n E

uro

s

EBITDA in Q2 2016 increased 8.8% versus Q1 2016, with improvement in EBITDA/Sales margin

85

90

85

90

7880 80

90

81

103

110

9694

102

24%

22%22%23%

21%21%21%

22%

21%

25%

27%

23%23%

26%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

60

80

100

120

Ebitda % Ebitda / Sales

Page 8: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

YoY growth in EBITDA sustained by higher volumes and cost improvements

7

(Mais info nos anexos)

7

184,5M€

195,3M€

Bio. Assets+ 10,8

Pulp & papervolume+ 7,9

Logistics+ 7,0

Softwoodprice+ 2,3

Wood costs-1,3

Energy(Power

and fuels)-6,1

Pulp & paperprice-8,9

Other-1,2

EBITDA

R-2016

EBITDA

R-2015

Excluding non recurrent positive impact of the revaluation of biological assets, higher volume and lower costs have compensated for the reduction in prices

Page 9: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Energy activity conditioned by revised tariff and other impacts

Energy related activities were impacted by several factors during

H12016:

− Maintenance and repair of turbogenerators of Cacia and Setúbal

pulp mills

− Programmed maintenance of natural gas co-generation and

Thermo Electical co-generation at Setúbal

− Start-up of own consumption at Figueira da Foz natural gas co-

generation due to revised tariff

− Downward evolution of Brent price

Financial impacts on energy business:

− Reduction in energy sales of € 38 million, offset by reduction in

natural gas and electricity purchases (-€ 31 million)

− Global impact in Ebitda of € 6.1 million

8

Page 10: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Energy - Lower volumes and prices

9

(Mais info nos anexos)

9

Energy impacted both by decreased activity and procurement gains

Global impact in Ebitda- € 6.1 million

Page 11: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

10

Good operating performance but limited free cash flow

In spite of good operating performance, free cash flow was impacted by highlevel of capex and increase in working capital, namely due to variation ininventories and Government receivables

Cash Flow

CAPEX Change in inventories

Clients Change in other

assets/liabilities

Free Cash Flow

173 - 75

- 18-7

-34

31

Valu

es in

millio

n E

uro

s

Maintenance19 M€

Development56 M€

-8

Suppliers

Free Cash Flow H12016: €31 mln

Page 12: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Net debt increased mainly due to capital expenditure plan started in 2015and dividend payment; Net Debt/Ebitda remains within conservative levels

Valu

es in

millio

n E

uro

s

364307 274

654

793

0,90 0,90 0,83

1,7

1,98

0,00,20,40,60,81,01,21,41,61,82,02,22,42,6

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2012 2013 2014 2015 H12016

Net Debt Net Debt / Ebitda

The Group paid dividends of € 170 million in May 2016, after paying€ 130 million in December; total amount of divends paid between May

2015 and May 2016 of € 610.5 million

Net debt increases due to capex plan + dividends

11

Page 13: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

12

New credit facilities and extension of maturity reduce cost of debt

1stHalf improvement in financial results

Improved financial results due to asignificant reduction in interest costsresulting from debt restructuring:

� repayment of the € 350 millionPortucel Senior Notes 5.375%, inSeptember 2015 (€ 200 million)and in May 2016 (€150 million);

• new debt issued with betterconditions and longer maturity;

• € 2.4 million provision reversion intax compensatory interests

Q2 2016 financial results include €7.9 million of nonrecurring chargesdue to the bond redemption

Financial Results

€ -17.8 Mln

€ -13.5 Mln

H1 2015 H1 2016

Significant reduction in borrowing costs

Page 14: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

13

New credit facilities and extension of maturity reduce cost of debt

• New debt contracts of € 170 mln, with 5 year maturity and all-in costs between 1.60% and 1.65%

• New € 25 mln financing from EIB with full maturity in 2028

• Estimated cost of debt at the end of June was 1,8%, with 4.8 years average maturity

Maturity profile

Va

lue

s in

mil

lio

n E

uro

s H1 2016: New debt issued

Page 15: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

M2 Project – increase operating efficiency

� 100 iniciatives under development, with arevised estimated impact on EBITDA in 2016 ofapproximately € 13 million

� One example of M2 project is the conclusion ofthe Photovaltaic Central installed at the Setubalpaper mill, which started operating on June21st, with a capacity to produce 3.100 MW peryear

“Navigator Lean System” Programme

� Conclusion of the first cycle of LeanManagement training programme aimed atmanufacturing and service personnel.

� Among the different projects presented, theOptimization Bleaching plant programcompleted at Cacia mill resulted in an averageincrease in production of 70 tAD betweeen Apriland May.

Cost reducing measures – M2 and Lean System

14

Page 16: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Stock performance: increased liquidity in an adverse environment

NavigatorShares

%Change

H1 2016 -30%

YTD 2016* -21%

*Updated 31/12/2015; closing price of 3,596 €/share; source : Reuters

New Ticker

NVG

*YTD July 22nd 2016

Shares lost 30% during H112016, negatively pressured by Portuguese market performance and sector sentiment; average liquidity improved 55% vs 2015

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

4,0

4,5

5,0

0,0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1,0

1,2

1,4

jan fev mar abr mai jun jul ago set out nov dez jan fev mar abr mai jun

EUR/ShareShares (M)

Average price and volume of traded Navigator sharesfrom January 2015 to June 2016

Average daily volume EUR/Share

15

Page 17: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Increase efficiency and cost reduction iniciatives

• Turbogenerators repair

• Maintenance

• Forestry and plantations

• Construction of electrical and control facilities; conclusion of mechanical installations

Future business

Pulp, paper and tissue:

19 M€

Mozambique:4 M€

Colombo: € 52 M€

Capex of € 75 million (vs.€ 77 million)

Current business

16

Page 18: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Increase efficiency and cost reduction iniciatives

Conclusion of Pellets Plant in the USA

• Colombo Energy Inc project inGreenwood, South Carolina,concluded and startingproducing its first pellets onJuly 22; full start-up in August22

• Total Capex of USD 119.4million, with 500 thousandtons capacity per year and 69employees (cruise year)

• Commercial activity to start inSeptember, selling toEuropean and Americanmarkets in the industrial andresidential segments

17

Page 19: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Increase efficiency and cost reduction iniciatives

Update on Mozambique project

• So far, Mozambique project has been a forestry venture, withthe option for a future industrial project involving construction ofa large-scale pulp mill.

• The development pace of this project is being reviewed duerecent social and political developments in the country (withsignificant negative factors emerging in the past six months),but also takes into account the demands of developing a largescale forestry operation in the country.

• Planting work continued during the first half of 2016, usingplants supplied by the Forestry Nurseries in Luá, the largestfacility of its kind in Africa. A total of 3,500 hectares wereplanted in the reporting period. The Group renewed its localmanagement team and has currently a local headcount of 279.

• Navigator decided for the sake of prudence to reassess the valueof its assets in Mozambique (recognising an impairment of 18million euros, of which € 3.5 million affects EBITDA in H12016).

18

Page 20: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Outlook for 2016

• Navigator presented strong operating results in H1 2016 andcontinues to work on its development and diversification projects,while also improving its efficiency

• BHKP/BEKP buying has recently become more active in China and inother markets suggesting the bottom for spot prices has beenreached. However, even though demand in China is picking up, pulpsupply is forecasted to continue growing at a fast pace in 2016 and2017;

• In paper, although there was a significant reduction in UWF capacityin Europe, imports increased substantially (essentially from Asia)and created pressure for prices to come down.

• Challenging economic environment, with a high degree ofuncertainty will by key to understand performance during the rest ofthe year

2016– Outlook

19

Page 21: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Back-up slides - Financials

20

Page 22: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

21

Quarterly Financials 2015

389 406 409 424385 394

Q1

2015

Q2

2015

Q3

2015

Q4

2015

Q1

2016

Q2

2016

Turnover (Mln€)

81103 110

96 94 102

Q1

2015

Q2

2015

Q3

2015

Q4

2015

Q1

2016

Q2

2016

EBITDA (Mln€)

42

59

4255

45 41

Q1

2015

Q2

2015

Q3

2015

Q4

2015

Q1

2016

Q2

2016

Net Earnings (Mln€)

21%25% 27%

23% 24% 26%

Q1

2015

Q2

2015

Q3

2015

Q4

2015

Q1

2016

Q2

2016

EBITDA / Sales (%)

12%

17% 17% 16%

12% 11%

Q1

2015

Q2

2015

Q3

2015

Q4

2015

Q1

2016

Q2

2016

ROCE (%)

11%

17%

13%

18%15% 14%

Q1

2015

Q2

2015

Q3

2015

Q4

2015

Q1

2016

Q2

2016

ROE (%)

Quarterly figures – YoY evolution

Page 23: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Main figures for Q2 2016

Total Sales 394 M€

EBITDA 101.8 M€

EBIT 51.5 M€

Net Profit 40.7 M€

EBITDA / Sales 25.8%

+2.5%

Q22016 vs Q12016

+8.8% ROCE10.6%

ROE13.5%

Net Debt 793.2 M€

- 8.7%

-8.9%

+1.5 pp

-1.3pp

+1.0 pp

Net Debt / EBITDA 1.98 X

+156 M€

+1.25 X

22

Page 24: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016

Disclaimer

This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any

securities in any jurisdiction nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract commitment or investment decision in

relation thereto nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the securities analysed herein. No action has been made that would permit a public offering of any securities

mentioned in this presentation in any jurisdiction. No offers, sales, re-sales or delivery of any securities mentioned I this presentation or distribution of any offering material relating to any

such securities may be made in or from any jurisdiction.

Any decision to subscribe for or purchase ordinary shares in any offering should be made solely on the basis of information contained in any offer document that may be published by the

relevant issuer in final form in relation to such offering and securities.

This presentation is intended to provide a general overview of Portucel, S.A. business and does not purport to deal with all aspects and details regarding Portucel. Accordingly, no

representation, undertaking or warranty, express or implied, is given by Portucel or any of its subsidiary undertakings, affiliates, directors, officers, employees or advisors or any other

person as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation or of the views given or implied or any other material discussion in connection with this presentation. This presentation has been prepared by Portucel solely for information purposes. Portucel any of its affiliates, directors, officers, employees or advisers or any other person shall not have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any

loss, errors or omissions howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.

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Page 25: 20160722 - Apresentação Resultados 1ºS 2016