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BOSTON | NEWPORT | PROVIDENCE | SHANGHAI | WALTHAM KAHNLITWIN.COM 2021: A Look Ahead - Market Update and Future Tax Planning Guidance

2021: A Look Ahead - Market Update and Future Tax Planning

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Page 1: 2021: A Look Ahead - Market Update and Future Tax Planning

BOSTON | NEWPORT | PROVIDENCE | SHANGHAI | WALTHAMKAHNLITWIN.COM

2021: A Look Ahead -Market Update and Future Tax

Planning Guidance

Page 2: 2021: A Look Ahead - Market Update and Future Tax Planning

PERI ANN APTAKER, ESQ., CPA/PFS, CFP®Managing Director

SHAREHOLDER, DIRECTOR WEALTH MANAGEMENT

I look for new and innovative ways to help my clients navigate through their financial choices.

[email protected]

Exceptional client service is about going beyond what the client expects. To be successful, you must always put your clients' best

interest first.

[email protected]

DAVID WRAY, CFAChief Investment Officer

Page 3: 2021: A Look Ahead - Market Update and Future Tax Planning

• Market update - Why are we so bullish?

• Tax changes made by the $900B Stimulus Package passed in December.

• Planning for expected tax law changes with the new Congress.

• Q&A – webinar attendees

Agenda

Page 4: 2021: A Look Ahead - Market Update and Future Tax Planning

S&P 500 Historical Bull Markets1928 to Present

3/23/2020 -12/31/20

70%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

350%

400%

450%

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Bu

ll M

arke

t A

dva

nce

(%

)

Bull Market Duration (Months)

1987-90

1966-68

1970-731962-66

1957-612002-07

1942-46

1974-80

1982-87

1949-56

1932-37

1990-002009-20

Average62 Mos, 183%

Page 5: 2021: A Look Ahead - Market Update and Future Tax Planning

2Q 2020

10 Yr. US Treasury Yld Record Low = 0.3%

February 19 Stocks Top

Covid Crash March 23 – S&P down 37%

Unemployment Max Near 15%

Full Economic Re-Opening

VaccinesElections

August Stocks Recover to February Highs

Covid Resurges

3Q 2020

The Economic Cycle – A Covid Projection1Q 2020 - Peak

2Q 2020 Trough

Economic Lock Down

Early Economic Re-Opening

Yield Curve Steepens

US $ Weakens

Massive Policy Response

Monetary - Fed

Fiscal – CARES Act

1Q 2020

4Q 2020

2021 +

Economic Re-Boot Begins

Abundant Fiscal Stimulus

Global Growth Ranging From

0% - 2%

CARES Act 2

Page 6: 2021: A Look Ahead - Market Update and Future Tax Planning

2023

Capital Spending Falters

2021-2024World GrowthRanging From3.0% to 5.0%

Consumption “Wobbles”

Employment FallsInflation DeclinesLong Rates Fall

Analyst DowngradesFed Loosens

Yield Curve Steepens

Volatility Picks Up

Eco Acceleration Widely Recognized

Employment RisesVolatility Slows

Yield Curve Steepens

2022

2021

The Classic Economic Cycle – A Look Ahead2024-2025 Peak

2Q 2020 Trough

Earnings RolloverInflationary Pressures BeginLong Rates Rise

Fed Normalizes

Earnings Rise

Dollar Weakens

Abundant Fiscal Stimulus

Fed Tightens

Page 7: 2021: A Look Ahead - Market Update and Future Tax Planning
Page 8: 2021: A Look Ahead - Market Update and Future Tax Planning

• Summary of Year-End Coronavirus Relief Act [Cares Act 2]

• Cares Act 2 Life Insurance Changes

• Changes to the Required Minimum Distribution Life Expectancy Tables

• Potential Tax Changes in a Biden Administration

Page 9: 2021: A Look Ahead - Market Update and Future Tax Planning

We’re Here.

Peri Ann Aptaker, Esq., CPA/PFS, [email protected]

David Wray, [email protected]

KLR Wealth Management Insights

Free Download:KLR’s Year-End Tax Planning Guides