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Copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved.
Types of mergers
Merger analysis
Role of investment bankers
Corporate alliances, LBOs, divestitures, and holding companies
CHAPTER 21Mergers, LBOs, Divestitures,
and Holding Companies
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Copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved.
Synergy: Value of the whole exceeds sum of the parts. Could arise from:Operating economiesFinancial economiesDifferential management efficiencyIncreased market powerTaxes (use accumulated losses)
Why do mergers occur?
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Break-up value: Assets would be more valuable if sold to some other company.
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Diversification
Purchase of assets at below replacement cost
Get bigger using debt-financed mergers to help fight off takeovers
What are some questionable reasons for mergers?
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Copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved.
Five Largest completed and proposed mergers, as of January 2000
Buyer
America Online
Vodafone AirTouch
MCI WorldCom
Exxon
Bell Atlantic
Target
Time Warner
Mannesmann
Sprint
Mobil
GTE
Value
$160.0 billion
148.6 billion
128.9 billion
85.2 billion
85.0 billion
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Copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved.
Friendly merger:
The merger is supported by the managements of both firms.
Differentiate between hostile and friendly mergers
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Copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved.
Hostile merger:
Target firm’s management resists the merger.
Acquirer must go directly to the target firm’s stockholders try to get 51% to tender their shares.
Often, mergers that start out hostile end up as friendly when offer price is raised.
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Access to new markets and technologies
Multiple parties share risks and expenses
Rivals can often work together harmoniously
Antitrust laws can shelter cooperative R&D activities
Reasons why alliances can make more sense than acquisitions
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Copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved.
Net sales $60.0 $90.0 $112.5 $127.5Cost of goods sold (60%) 36.0 54.0 67.5 76.5Selling/admin. expenses 4.5 6.0 7.5 9.0Interest expense 3.0 4.5 4.5 6.0
EBT $16.5 $25.5 $ 33.0 $ 36.0Taxes (40%) 6.6 10.2 13.2 14.4
Net income $ 9.9 $15.3 $ 19.8 $ 21.6Retentions 0.0 7.5 6.0 4.5Cash flow $ 9.9 $ 7.8 $ 13.8 $ 17.1
Merger Analysis (In Millions)
2001 2002 2003 2004 Cash Flow Statements after Merger Occurs
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Estimated cash flows are residuals which belong to acquirer’s shareholders.
They are riskier than the typical capital budgeting cash flows. Because fixed interest charges are deducted, this increases the volatility of the residual cash flows.
Conceptually, what is the appropriate discount rate to apply to target’s
cash flows?
(More...)
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Copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved.
Because the cash flows are risky equity flows, they should be discounted using the cost of equity rather than the WACC.
The cash flows reflect the target’s business risk, not the acquiring company’s.
However, the merger will affect the target’s leverage and tax rate, hence its financial risk.
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Terminal Value Calculation
1. First, find the new discount rate:
ks(Target) = kRF + (kM – kRF)bTarget
= 9% + (4%)1.3 = 14.2%.
2. Terminal value =
=
= $221.0 million.
(2004 Cash flow)(1 + g)ks – g
$17.1(1.06) 0.142 – 0.06
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Net Cash Flow Stream Used in Valuation Calculation (In Millions)
2001 2002 2003 2004 Annual cash flow $9.9 $7.8 $13.8 $ 17.1Terminal value 221.0Net cash flow $9.9 $7.8 $13.8 $238.1
Value = + + +
= $163.9 million.
$9.9 (1.142)1
$7.8 (1.142)2
$13.8 (1.142)3
$238.1 (1.142)4
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No. The input estimates would be different, and different synergies would lead to different cash flow forecasts.
Also, a different financing mix or tax rate would change the discount rate.
Would another acquiring company obtain the same value?
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Target firm has 10 million shares outstanding at a price P0 of $9.00 per
share. What should the offeringprice be?
Maximum price =
=
= $16.39/share.
Range = $9 to $16.39/share.
Value of Acquisition Shares Outstanding
$163.9 million10 million
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The offer could range from $9 to $16.39 per share.
At $9 all the merger benefits would go to the acquirer’s shareholders.
At $16.39, all value added would go to the target’s shareholders.
See graph on the next slide.
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0 5 10 15 20
Change in Shareholders’
WealthAcquirer Target
Bargaining Range = Synergy
Price Paid for Target
$9.00 $16.39
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Points About Graph
Nothing magic about crossover price.Actual price would be determined by
bargaining. Higher if target is in better bargaining position, lower if acquirer is.
If target is good fit for many acquirers, other firms will come in, price will be bid up. If not, could be close to $9.
(More...)
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Copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved.
Acquirer might want to make high “preemptive” bid to ward off other bidders, or low bid and then plan to go up. Strategy.
Do target’s managers have 51% of stock and want to remain in control?
What kind of personal deal will target’s managers get?
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The evidence strongly suggests:Acquisitions do create value as a
result of economies of scale, other synergies, and/or better management.
Shareholders of target firms reap most of the benefits, i.e., move to right in merger graph (Slide 21-17), because of competitive bids.
Do mergers really create value?
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Arranging mergers
Assisting in defensive tactics
Establishing a fair value
Financing mergers
Risk arbitrage
Functions of Investment Bankers in Mergers