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    CC2434 Sociology for Health Studies

    Semester Two 09/10

    Lecture 9

    Comparative Health Care Systems

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    Importance of the Comparative Health CareSystems

    An understanding of the diversity of approaches that exist to

    meet health care needs An understanding of the variety of factors that have shaped the

    development of these approaches An understanding of the norms, values, cultural and national

    outlook of those countries

    Increasing Pressure of Demandsfor Quality Health Care

    Rising Costs of ProvidingHealth Care

    To search for alternatives among both developed anddeveloping countries

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    Classification of Health CareSystems

    PrivateProvision

    Public Provision

    (capitalism)

    (statesocialism)

    different types of healthcare systems

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    Types of SystemsRole of Government

    Fee-for-Service

    Socialized Medicine

    Decentralized National

    Health

    Socialist Medicine

    Regulation limited direct indirect direct

    Payments toProviders

    limited direct indirect direct

    Ownership of Facilities

    privateand public

    private andpublic

    private andpublic

    public

    Public Access notguaranteed

    guaranteed guaranteed guaranteed

    Private Care dominant limited limited unavailable

    Example US Canada Japan China

    Types of Health Care Systems

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    Socialized Medicine: Canada Basic elements of socialized medicine

    directly controls the financing and organization of health service in a capitalist

    economy directly pays providers owns most of the facilities guarantees equal access to the general population allows some private care for patients willing to be responsible for their own expenses

    Major characteristics of the Canadian health care system: National Health Insurance Program

    comprehensive services (except dental care, private hospital rooms andeyeglasses, etc)universal coverage (available to all)portable coveragethe plans had to be publicly financed and administered by an agency accountableto the provincial government

    relatively high income tax the provincial governments are the nation's purchaser of health services, paying a set

    fee to doctors for patient care and providing a set budget for operating costs tohospitals

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    Socialist Medicine: China Basic elements of socialist medicine

    the state controls, organizes, finances, and allocates health care directlyto all citizens free of charge

    Major characteristics of the Chinese health care system: after 1949: Patriotic Health Movement, the revival of traditional Chinese

    medicine, and the training of barefoot doctors

    The Cultural Revolution (1966-76): a serious setback of theimprovement of health care system

    before the Economic Reform: cooperative medical care system after the Economic Reform: dissolution of the cooperative medical care

    system towards fee-for-service basis and health insurance the accessibility of health care is low especially in the rural areas

    a designation of a significantly revised cooperative medical care system

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    mp ca ons o e ompara ve eaCare Systems

    Five criteria of assessing the quality of health services (Maxwell, 1984) Efficiency

    the relationship between the actual and the theoretically possibleamount of energy used to achieve a desired outputthe development of "performance indicators" , e.g. average lengthof hospital stay, turnover interval between cases occupying a bed

    Accessibility

    the availability of health care services Equity

    the equality of access: the extent to which different social groupshave access to health servicesthe equality of health status: the extent to which different socialgroups enjoy similar levels of health

    To Strive for theBalance betweenEfficiency and

    Health Careas a Right or

    Privilege?

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    Social Acceptabilitythe consumers' views about their health

    care Relevance to Health Needs

    the appropriateness of health care services

    Defects and solutions related to private medicineand public medicine

    private medicine: adjusted by public regulation(equity)public medicine: regulated by privatization(efficiency)

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    Conclusion: The ConvergenceHypothesis

    Central argument: there is a globalization of medicine in the modern period whereby a world-

    economic system has become the basis for a number of commoninstitutional responses to illness and mortality

    "the hypothesis does not imply that medical systems, which develop out of the particular historical and cultural background of a nation and its dominantethos, will not continue to have distinct social and cultural characteristicsreflecting the ideological orientations and socio-cultural context of a country"(Mechanic 1975)

    can be regarded as a macro-process in which a narrowing of system optionstake place

    Types of convergence: controlling costs and increasing efficiency and effectiveness reducing inequalities

    initiatives to promote health primary health care patient choice and voice linkage between health and social services developing information systems to monitor and measure the activities and

    outcomes of health care

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    Creative and Critical Thinking

    Lecture 6Deductive Reasoning (II)

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    The ambiguity of

    1. Possible ( ) (logical possibility)

    2. Probable ( ) (empirical probability)

    ( ) ( ) (=)

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    What strong arguments are A strong ( ) argument:

    Invalid ( )Given that the premise(s) is(are) true, it is verylikely ( ) that the conclusion is true .

    E.g.99.9% CCT

    CCT

    Peter bought one ticket in a fair lottery with ten milliontickets.So Peter is not going to win the lottery.

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    What strong arguments are

    (>50%

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    Deductive Argument () A deductive argument is an argument in which the conclusion is

    claimed to be justified by (or to follow from) the premise(s) with(logical) necessity ( ), or

    it is claimed to be (logical) necessary that the conclusion is true if allthe premises are true.

    180

    All whales are mammals. All mammals are animals. Hence, allwhales must be animals.

    Alan is a father. Therefore, it is necessary that Alan is amale.Please note that:

    Deductive arguments valid arguments

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    Inductive Argument ( ) An inductive argument is an argument in which the conclusion is

    claimed to be justified by (or to follow from) the premise(s) with acertain degree of probability ( ), namely > 0.5 , or

    The conclusion is claimed to be probably true ( ), (i.e., morelikely to be true than false) if all the premises are true.

    -95% of our students wear glasses. Joe is our student.Therefo re, Joe probably( ) wears glasses.

    Mary is a six-year-old girl. Therefore, it is very likely thatMary cannot finish 100m in 15 seconds.

    Contexts always play an important role In determining whether anargument is inductive.

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    Deductive Vs InductiveDeductive ( ):

    Alan is a father.--------------------------------------------Therefore, (necessarily) Alan is a male.

    Inductive ( ):

    Most university students get a pass in English in A Level.Peter is a university student.------------------------------------------------------------Therefore, (probably) Peter gets a pass in English in A Level.

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    Deductive or InductiveWhat makes an argument deductive or inductive is the

    type of support the premises are supposed to provide for the conclusion.

    Deductive ( ):1. The conclusion is claimed to follow from its premises with (logical)

    necessity ( ).2. This necessity is not a matter of degree. (logical absolute)

    Inductive ( ):

    1. The conclusion is claimed to follow from its premises only with acertain degree of probability ( ).2. This probability comes as a matter of degree.

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    Key Differences between Deductive andInductive Arguments

    The claimer intends to show:

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    Prepared by Sky Lau 22

    Deductive Inductive

    If all the premises are true, then the

    conclusion must be true ( ).

    If all the premises are true, then the

    conclusion is probably true ( ),i.e., more likely to be true than false.

    The conclusion followsnecessarily ( ) from thepremises. i.e., the premisesprovide conclusive ground for thetruth of the conclusion.

    The conclusion follows probably () from the premises. i.e., the

    premises provide good but not conclusive ( , )evidence for the truth of theconclusion.

    If we accept all the premises, wemust accept the conclusion (toavoid inconsistency).

    If we accept all the premises, it ismore reasonable for us to accept theconclusion.

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    The Definitions of Good and BadDeductive Argument

    Generally speaking, good deductive argument =sound deductive argument.

    Bad deductive argument = unsound deductiveargument.

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    Basic concepts:Conditional Statement

    Conditional statement: Statement with the structure If p then q

    p, q- "p" and "q" represent statements.- so, conditional statement is a kind of

    compound statement .- p: Antecedent- q: Consequent

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    Some Basic Valid and InvalidDeductive Argument Forms

    The validity of a deductive argument is solelydetermined by the logical form of theargument.

    The discipline which clarifies and describes thevarious logical forms of statements andarguments is called formal logic

    Now we shall introduce 2 valid and 2 invalid

    deductive argument forms. But before that, lets clarify some basic concepts

    first.

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    Basic concepts:Conditional Statement

    Conditional statement: Statement with thestructure:

    If p then q

    p, q"p" and "q" represent statements.

    - so, conditional statement is a kind of

    compound statement .- p: Antecedent- q: Consequent

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    A Characteristic of ConditionalStatement

    Note that:"If p, then q" "If not-p, then not-q" . E.g., "If you are pretty, then I will love you" "If you are not

    pretty, then I will not love you".

    "If p, then q" "If not-q, then not-p" E.g., "if you are pretty, then I will love you" "if I do not love

    you, then you are not pretty".

    "If not-q, then not-p" is the contraposition of "If p,then q".

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    "Unless" and "Only if"

    "I won't kiss you unless ( ) you giveme a ring"

    p: I won't kiss you. q: You give me a ring. "If not-p, then q" "If not-q, then p" Antecedent: not-p (I will kiss you) not-q

    (You do not give me a ring). Consequent: q (you give me a ring) I won't

    kiss you.

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    "Unless" and "Only if" You can win the prize only if you give me

    ten dollars. p: You can win the prize q: you give me ten dollars "If p, then q" "If not-q, then not-p" Antecedent: p (You can win the prize) not-q

    (You do not give me ten dollars).

    Consequent: q (you give me ten dollars)not-p( you cannot win the prize)

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    Exercises (i)(ii)

    You can pass the exam only if you work hard.You cannot pass the exam unless you work hard.

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    Basic concepts:Sufficient Condition

    In a conditional statement "If p then q":

    When p is true, q must be true.

    - The truth of p is sufficient for the truth of

    q.- p is the sufficient condition for q.

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    Basic concepts:Necessary Condition

    P Q necessarycondition :

    P Q

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    Basic concepts:Necessary Condition

    "If p then q" "If not-q, then not-p".

    When q is false, p cannot be true.E.g. "if Einstein is a man, then Einstein is mortal" "If Einstein is not mortal, Einstein is not a man"

    - The truth of q is necessary for the truth of p.- q is the necessary condition for p.

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    Conditional Statement, Necessary andSufficient Conditions

    Accordingly, for a conditional statement,The antecedent is a sufficient condition for the

    consequent, andThe consequent is a necessary condition for theantecedent.

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    Hypothetical Syllogism ( )

    Syllogism means an argument with exactly two premises andone conclusion

    Hypothetical Syllogism is a syllogism containing at least oneif-then statement as premise.

    The following are four most common hypothetical syllogisms:1. Modus Ponens: If A then B. A. Therefore, B .2. Modus Tollens : If A then B. Not B. Therefore, not A.

    3. Denying the antecedent : If A then B. Not A. Therefore, not B.4. Affirming the consequent : If A then B. B. Therefore, A.

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    Hypothetical Syllogism ( )

    Affirming AntecedentModus Ponens

    If p then qpq Valid

    e.g. If he has time, he will help you.He has time.He will help you.

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    Hypothetical Syllogism ( )

    Denying ConsequentModus Tollens

    If p then qNot qNot p

    Valid

    e.g. If he had time, he would help you.He does not help you.He does not have the time.

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    Hypothetical Syllogism ( )

    Denying AntecedentIf p then qNot pNot q

    Invalide.g. If you study hard, you will pass the exam.

    You did not study hard.You did not pass the exam.

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    Hypothetical Syllogism ( )

    Affirming ConsequentIf p then qqp

    Invalide.g. If your son is naughty, he will be punished.

    He is punished.He is naughty.

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    References

    An Concise Introduction to Logic , PatrickJ. Hurley, 9th Edition.

    http://philosophy.hku.hk/think/arg/induction.php