21243453 Economic Stability 12

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    By

    RISHI R. SINGHAJAY K. MISHRA

    YUVRAJ SINGHAMAR K.

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    `Economic stability refers to an

    absence ofexcessivefluctuations

    in themacroeconomy.

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    An economy with fairly constant

    output growth and low and stable

    inflation would be consideredeconomically stable.

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    That is when is Inflationsis at the

    low and stablelevel and

    the Output growth is constant then

    theeconomy issaid to bestable.,

    that issteady.

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    `An economy with frequent largerecession,

    a pronounced business cycle, very high or

    variableinflation, orfrequent financial crisis

    would be considered economically

    unstable.

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    When thereis

    largerecessions,

    theeconomicstability is

    affected and it

    turns Unstable.

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    The majorpoint in recessionsis that, it directlyaffects theexisting Engineers.

    The Diagram explain very well.

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    ` When the

    business cycle

    is pronounced

    then thestability is

    altered.

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    ` When the

    inflation isvery

    high or

    Variable thenthere an

    alteration in the

    Stability.

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    ` Financial

    Crisis are also

    the major

    reasonsforEconomic

    stability.

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    When there are no alterations in the factors like

    ` Macroeconomy

    ` Inflations

    ` Output growth` Recessions

    ` Business cycle

    ` Financial crisis

    Then there will be a Stable Economy.

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    `A central Banks changing of the Money Supply

    ` to influence interest rate and assist the

    economy in achieving price stability, full

    employment, and economic growth.` Monetary rule (suggested by monetarism): As

    traditionally formulated, the rule says that the

    money supply should be expanded each year

    at the same annual rate as the potential rate ofgrowth of the real GDP; the supply of money

    should be increased steadily between 3 to 5

    percent peryear.

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    Full Employment:- one of the objectives of monetary

    policy is attain full employment. It is not only because

    unemployment leads to wastage of potential output.

    But also because of the loss of social standing andself- respect. It also breeds poverty.

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    Pricestability :- Anotherobjective ofmonetary

    policy is to stabilize the pricelevel. Both , rising

    and falling prices are bad as the bring

    unnecessary loss to some and undue advantageto others. They are associated with business

    cycles. So a policy ofpricestability keeps the

    value ofmoney stable, eliminates cyclical

    fluctuations. Bringseconomic stability, helpsinreducing inequalities ofincome and wealth,

    securessocial justice and promoteseconomic

    welfare

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    Economic growth :-monetary policy can be imposed to

    influence the rapid economic growth. Economic growth

    is defined as the process whereby the real per capita

    income of a country increases over a long period oftime it is measured by the increase in the amount of

    goods and services produced in a country. A growing

    economy produces more goods and services in each

    successive time period. Thus, growth occurs when aneconomys thus, economic growth implies raising the

    standard of living of the people, and reducing

    inequalities of inequalities of income distribution.

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    ` Balance of payments:- another objective of monetary

    policy since the 1950s has been to maintain

    equilibrium in the balance of payments. It is also

    recognized that deficit in the balance of payments willretard the attainment of other objectives. This is

    because a deficit in the balance of payment leads to a

    sizeable outflow of gold,

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    ` Monetary policy plays an important role in increasing

    the growth rate of the economy by influencing the cost

    and availability of credit by controlling inflation and

    maintaining equilibrium in the balance of payments.

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    ` To controlinflationary pressures, monetary policy

    requires theuse ofboth quantitative and

    qualitative methods ofcredit control. The open

    market operations are not successfulin controllinginflation in underdeveloped countries as the bill

    market issmall and undeveloped.

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    ` The use of variable reserve ratio is more effectivethan open market operations and bank rate policyin LDCs. Since the market for securities is very

    small, open market operations are not successful.but a rise or fall in the variable reserve ratio bythe central bank reduces or increases the cashavailable with the commercial banks withoutaffecting adversely the prices of securities.

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    ` Monetary policy is important for achieving pricestability. It brings a proper adjustment between thedemand for and supply of money. An imbalancebetween the two will be reflected in the price level.

    A shortage of money supply will hamper the growthwhile an excess will lead to inflation. As theeconomy develops the demand for money increasesdue to the gradual monetization of the non-monetized sector, and the increase in agricultural

    and industrial production. This will increase thedemand for transactions and speculative motives.So the money supply will have to be raised morethan proportionate to the demand for money, toavoid inflation.

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    ` Interest rate policy plays an important role in bridgingthe BOP deficit. Underdeveloped countries developserious balance of payments. To establish infrastructurelike power, irrigation, transport etc and directlyproductive activities like iron and steel, chemical,electricals, fertilizers , etc, underdeveloped countrieshave to import capital equipment, machinery, rawmaterials, spares and components thereby raising their

    imports,

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    ` There are four ways in which the central bank

    affect the money supply . These are monetary

    policy tools:

    1. Open market operations .

    2. Reserve requirements.

    3. Discount rate .

    4. Selective credit control .

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    ` The Process ofbuying government bonds from,

    and selling them to, commercial banks and

    general public is called Open market

    operations.

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    ` It is the interest rate at which the central bank

    will lend funds to commercial banks whose

    reserves are temporarily below the required

    level.

    ` These loans help banks to meet their reserve

    requirements when open market sales by the

    central bank cause a sudden fall ofcommercialbanks reserves.

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    `A fall in the discount rate encourages more

    borrowing by commercial banks and that

    increases the reserves of the banks , which inturn, increases loans and deposits in the

    banking system.HThis will lead to an increase the money supply.

    ` When the discount rate increases,

    commercial banks are likely to increase their

    reserves so as to avoid the costs associated

    with an unexpected cash drain.

    ` Changes in the discount rate provide a signal

    ofthe central bank intention.

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    ` Examples: margin requirements, mortgagecontrols, and maximum interest rates.

    ` Margin Requirement:

    ` It is the fraction of the price of stock that must

    be put in cash by the purchaser and thebalance can be borrowed from the brokeragefirm.

    ` If the central bank would like to increase themoney supply, it will reduce the marginrequirement and the opposite is also true.

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