7
Reply HYO-SEOK PARK Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California JOHN C. H. CHIANG Department of Geography, and Center for Atmospheric Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California SEOK-WOO SON Department of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (Manuscript received 11 April 2011, in final form 9 August 2011) We thank Chang and Lin for their thoughtful and constructive comments on our study (Park et al. 2010). In Park et al. (2010), we did not explicitly state that the topography-forced stationary waves are the direct cause for the reduced downstream transient eddy kinetic energy (EKE). The response of stationary waves to topography may saturate even with a relatively small mountain (Cook and Held 1992); furthermore, their magnitudes are much smaller than thermally forced stationary waves (Chang 2009; Held et al. 2002). Instead, we suggest that quasi- stationary waves generated by the central Asian moun- tains may strongly affect North Pacific storminess by changing the year-to-year variability of westerly winds over the eastern Eurasian continent. Observational anal- yses indicate that the midwinter suppression of North Pacific storminess does not occur every year. Some years experience stronger and more meridionally confined zonal winds over the western North Pacific, leading to stronger midwinter suppression (Harnik and Chang 2004; Nakamura and Sampe 2002). In our atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) analyses, the interannual variability of westerly winds and storminess over the North Pacific decrease substantially in the absence of the central Asian mountains; a year with strong midwinter suppression over the North Pacific occurs rarely in this simulation. Moreover, it is still un- clear why the presence of the central Asian mountains strengthens the interannual variability of westerly jets and storminess over the western North Pacific. We believe understanding the cause of this strong interannual var- iability is key to understanding the mechanisms for the midwinter suppression. Indeed, fundamental questions still remain with regard to the dynamics of quasi-stationary waves, such as how mountains affect the diabatic heating field (Held et al. 2002) and the convergence of eddy mo- mentum fluxes (Chang 2009). We share the concern of Chang and Lin (2011) that the AGCM integration time (18 yr in our study) may be in- sufficient to accurately capture the quantitative response of downstream storminess. Also, we agree with Chang and Lin (2011) that a multimodel ensemble approach will be required to better quantify the impact of the moun- tains on downstream storminess. Along these lines, we tested the robustness of our results using the global at- mospheric model, version 2.1 (AM2.1), developed at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL; Anderson et al. 2004). This version of AM2.1 uses a finite-volume dynamical core (Lin 2004) with 2.583 2.08 horizontal resolution (M45) and 24 vertical levels (L24). Seasonally varying insolation and climatological sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are prescribed in the model. The SSTs are from 50 yr of monthly mean Reynolds reconstructed historical SST analysis, spanning from 1950 to 2000 (Smith et al. 1996). We ran the model for 60 yr, and the last 54 yr are used for the analysis, tripling the integration period of our previous work. Unlike the previous paper, for which an 8-day high-pass filter was used, we used a 10-day high-pass filter to define transient eddies. This method slightly re- duces uncertainty by increasing the spectral band by 2 days and is widely used for defining synoptic-scale transients. Overall results are virtually identical with those from the 8-day high-pass filtering method used in Park et al. (2010). Corresponding author address: Hyo-Seok Park, California In- stitute of Technology, MC 100-23, Pasadena, CA 91125. E-mail: [email protected] 2804 JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES VOLUME 68 DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-096.1 Ó 2011 American Meteorological Society

2804 JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES V OLUMEswson/papers/Park-etal-JAS2011.pdf · School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York WUYIN

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Page 1: 2804 JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES V OLUMEswson/papers/Park-etal-JAS2011.pdf · School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York WUYIN

Reply

HYO-SEOK PARK

Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California

JOHN C. H. CHIANG

Department of Geography, and Center for Atmospheric Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California

SEOK-WOO SON

Department of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

(Manuscript received 11 April 2011, in final form 9 August 2011)

We thank Chang and Lin for their thoughtful and

constructive comments on our study (Park et al. 2010).

In Park et al. (2010), we did not explicitly state that the

topography-forced stationary waves are the direct cause

for the reduced downstream transient eddy kinetic energy

(EKE). The response of stationary waves to topography

may saturate even with a relatively small mountain (Cook

and Held 1992); furthermore, their magnitudes are much

smaller than thermally forced stationary waves (Chang

2009; Held et al. 2002). Instead, we suggest that quasi-

stationary waves generated by the central Asian moun-

tains may strongly affect North Pacific storminess by

changing the year-to-year variability of westerly winds

over the eastern Eurasian continent. Observational anal-

yses indicate that the midwinter suppression of North

Pacific storminess does not occur every year. Some years

experience stronger and more meridionally confined

zonal winds over the western North Pacific, leading to

stronger midwinter suppression (Harnik and Chang

2004; Nakamura and Sampe 2002).

In our atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM)

analyses, the interannual variability of westerly winds and

storminess over the North Pacific decrease substantially

in the absence of the central Asian mountains; a year

with strong midwinter suppression over the North Pacific

occurs rarely in this simulation. Moreover, it is still un-

clear why the presence of the central Asian mountains

strengthens the interannual variability of westerly jets and

storminess over the western North Pacific. We believe

understanding the cause of this strong interannual var-

iability is key to understanding the mechanisms for the

midwinter suppression. Indeed, fundamental questions

still remain with regard to the dynamics of quasi-stationary

waves, such as how mountains affect the diabatic heating

field (Held et al. 2002) and the convergence of eddy mo-

mentum fluxes (Chang 2009).

We share the concern of Chang and Lin (2011) that the

AGCM integration time (18 yr in our study) may be in-

sufficient to accurately capture the quantitative response

of downstream storminess. Also, we agree with Chang

and Lin (2011) that a multimodel ensemble approach will

be required to better quantify the impact of the moun-

tains on downstream storminess. Along these lines, we

tested the robustness of our results using the global at-

mospheric model, version 2.1 (AM2.1), developed at

the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL;

Anderson et al. 2004). This version of AM2.1 uses a

finite-volume dynamical core (Lin 2004) with 2.58 3 2.08

horizontal resolution (M45) and 24 vertical levels (L24).

Seasonally varying insolation and climatological sea surface

temperatures (SSTs) are prescribed in the model. The SSTs

are from 50 yr of monthly mean Reynolds reconstructed

historical SST analysis, spanning from 1950 to 2000 (Smith

et al. 1996). We ran the model for 60 yr, and the last 54 yr

are used for the analysis, tripling the integration period of

our previous work. Unlike the previous paper, for which an

8-day high-pass filter was used, we used a 10-day high-pass

filter to define transient eddies. This method slightly re-

duces uncertainty by increasing the spectral band by 2 days

and is widely used for defining synoptic-scale transients.

Overall results are virtually identical with those from the

8-day high-pass filtering method used in Park et al. (2010).

Corresponding author address: Hyo-Seok Park, California In-

stitute of Technology, MC 100-23, Pasadena, CA 91125.

E-mail: [email protected]

2804 J O U R N A L O F T H E A T M O S P H E R I C S C I E N C E S VOLUME 68

DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-096.1

� 2011 American Meteorological Society

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We found that the sensitivity of downstream stormi-

ness to the presence of the central Asian mountains in

AM2.1 is slightly weaker than what we found in Commu-

nity Climate Model 3.10 (CCM3; Kiehl et al. 1998). In

CCM3, the removal of the Altai-Sayan Mountains and the

northern part of the Tibetan Plateau [i.e., the M50 exper-

iment in Park et al. (2010)] increased downstream stormi-

ness by 20%–30%. On the other hand, we had to remove

the entire central Asian mountains (hereafter referred to as

the MN05 experiment) to get a comparable response of

downstream storminess in AM2.1. However, the response

of downstream storminess in AM2.1 is still substantially

stronger than what Chang and Lin (2011) suggest.

Figure 1a shows the difference in the 10-day high-pass

filtered EKE between the MN100 and MN05 experi-

ments (MN100 minus MN05) during midwinter (from 15

December to 14 February). Transient EKE is reduced over

a wide range of midlatitudes in the presence of the central

Asian mountains. In general, the magnitude of the EKE

reduction over the North Pacific is around 20%, which is

a little bit smaller than what Park et al. (2010) found, but it

reaches up to 30% in some areas sporadically. Consistent

with a transient EKE response, the standard deviation of

the 10-day high-pass filtered geopotential heightffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiZ92

p

decreases over a wide range of midlatitudes (Fig. 1b). The

magnitude of the response is around 15%–25%, which can

substantially deepen the midwinter suppression signal.

Figure 2a shows the wintertime stationary waves, de-

fined by the 300-hPa eddy streamfunction, simulated by

AM2.1. The climatological mean amplitude of stationary

waves simulated by AM2.1 is about 10% weaker than

what CCM3 simulates. The anomalously strong station-

ary waves over the North Atlantic Ocean, appearing in

CCM3 (Park et al. 2010) and in an old version of the

GFDL model (Held et al. 2002), appear muted in AM2.1.

In particular, strong positive and negative dipoles near

508N over North America, which appear in CCM3 (Park

et al. 2010) and in the previous version of the GFDL

model (Held et al. 2002), are substantially weakened.

Figure 2b shows stationary waves forced by the central

Asian mountains, calculated by the difference between

MN100 and MN05. Overall, the magnitude of the re-

sponse is smaller than what CCM3 simulated in Park

et al. (2010), but larger than what Chang and Lin (2011)

found.

As we mentioned earlier, midwinter suppression does

not occur every year. Thus, the climatologically aver-

aged impact of the central Asian mountains on down-

stream storminess can substantially vary depending on

the model used and integration period chosen. We plan

to further analyze our AM2.1 simulations to better un-

derstand why the central Asian mountains enhance the

interannual variability of North Pacific storminess in the

context of quasi-stationary waves.

Acknowledgments. We thank Yohai Kaspi for read-

ing this manuscript and providing constructive com-

ments.

FIG. 1. Anomalous (a) 10-day high-pass filtered transient EKE

(shading, m2 s22) at 300 hPa, calculated from the differences be-

tween MN100 and MN05 (MN100 2 MN05). The contour lines

indicate the climatological mean transient EKE. (b) As in (a), but

for geopotential height.

FIG. 2. (a) The 300-hPa eddy streamfunction for MN100.

(b) Anomalous eddy streamfunction calculated from the differences

between MN100 and MN05. The contour interval is 3 3 106 m2 s21.

NOVEMBER 2011 C O R R E S P O N D E N C E 2805

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REFERENCES

Anderson, J. L., and Coauthors, 2004: The new GFDL global at-

mosphere and land model AM2-LM2: Evaluation with pre-

scribed SST simulations. J. Climate, 17, 4641–4673.

Chang, E. K. M., 2009: Diabatic and orographic forcing of northern

winter stationary waves and storm tracks. J. Climate, 22, 670–

688.

Chang, X., and X. Lin, 2011: Comments on ‘‘The role of the central

Asian mountains on the midwinter suppression of North Pa-

cific storminess.’’ J. Atmos. Sci., 68, 2800–2803.

Cook, K. H., and I. M. Held, 1992: The stationary response to large-

scale orography in a general circulation model and a linear

model. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 525–539.

Harnik, N., and E. K. M. Chang, 2004: The effects of variations in

jet width on the growth of baroclinic waves: Implications for

midwinter Pacific storm-track variability. J. Atmos. Sci., 61,

23–40.

Held, I. M., M. Ting, and H. Wang, 2002: Northern winter sta-

tionary waves: Theory and modeling. J. Climate, 15, 2125–

2144.

Kiehl, J. T., J. J. Hack, G. B. Bonan, B. A. Boville, D. L. Williamson,

and P. J. Rasch, 1998: The National Center for Atmospheric

Research Community Climate Model: CCM3. J. Climate, 11,

1131–1149.

Lin, S.-J., 2004: A ‘‘vertically Lagrangian’’ finite-volume dynamical

core for global models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2293–2307.

Nakamura, H., and T. Sampe, 2002: Trapping of synoptic-scale dis-

turbances into the North-Pacific subtropical jet core in mid-

winter. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 1761, doi:10.1029/2002GL015535.

Park, H.-S., J. C. H. Chiang, and S.-W. Son, 2010: The role of the

central Asian mountains on the midwinter suppression of

North Pacific storminess. J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 3706–3720.

Smith, T. M., R. W. Reynolds, R. E. Livezey, and D. C. Stokes,

1996: Reconstruction of historical sea surface temperatures

using empirical orthogonal functions. J. Climate, 9, 1403–1420.

2806 J O U R N A L O F T H E A T M O S P H E R I C S C I E N C E S VOLUME 68

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CORRESPONDENCE

Comments on ‘‘The Role of the Central Asian Mountains on theMidwinter Suppression of North Pacific Storminess’’

EDMUND K. M. CHANG

School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York

WUYIN LIN

Atmospheric Sciences Division, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, New York

(Manuscript received 28 December 2010, in final form 9 May 2011)

In a recent study, Park et al. (2010) conducted experi-

ments using an atmospheric general circulation model

(AGCM) to study the impact of the central Asian moun-

tains on Pacific storm-track activity. Their results suggested

that ‘‘the presence of the central Asian mountains sup-

presses the North Pacific storminess by 20%–30% during

boreal winter’’ and can ‘‘amplify stationary waves and ef-

fectively weaken the high-frequency transient eddy kinetic

energy in boreal winter.’’ We are intrigued by such strong

sensitivity of the winter storm track and stationary waves

to the central Asian mountains, since in a previous study

(Chang 2009) we have conducted numerical experiments

to examine the impact of mountains on Northern Hemi-

sphere winter storm tracks and stationary waves by remov-

ing all mountains and found apparently weaker impacts

than those found by Park et al. (2010). Since the configu-

ration of the experiments examined by Chang (2009) is

different from those presented in Park et al., we have per-

formed some experiments similar to those discussed in Park

et al. to more directly compare our results to theirs.

The AGCM used in this study is the Community At-

mospheric Model version 3.1 (CAM3.1; see Collins et al.

2006), run at a resolution of T42 in the horizontal, with

26 hybrid sigma levels in the vertical. Compared to the

model used by Park et al. [version 3 of the National Center

for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate

Model (CCM3) run at T42 and 18 levels; see Kiehl et al.

1998], the model used in this study has updated physics

and higher vertical resolution. Major changes in model

physics from CCM3 to CAM3 are described in Collins

et al. (2004). All experiments are run with climatological

SST as a lower boundary condition.

Park et al. (2010) conducted a series of experiments to

examine the impacts of the Altai-Sayan Mountains on the

Pacific storm track. Their control experiment (M100) is

run with full orography. They then conducted sensitivity

experiments by systematically reducing the orography

over central Asia (see their Table 1 and Fig. 1). The

experiments that they called M75 and M50 have the

Altai-Sayan mountains largely removed, with part of

the Tibetan Plateau also removed in the latter case, and

their M20 experiment has most of the Tibetan Plateau

reduced. We have conducted a similar series of experi-

ments, with the orography used in our four experiments

shown in our Fig. 1. Comparing our orography to theirs

(see their Fig. 1), our reductions are slightly more ag-

gressive (with more of the mountains removed); hence

we named our experiments MN100 (control with full

orography), MN70, MN40, and MN05, respectively

(see Fig. 1). As in Park et al. (2010), over regions where the

orography is reduced, the subgrid-scale variability (stan-

dard deviation) in orography (used in gravity wave drag

parameterization) is also reduced by the same ratio. Note

that outside of central Asia the orography is unchanged.

Since the results of Park et al. (2010) suggested that

the central Asian mountains have the largest impacts on

the Northern Hemisphere (NH) storm tracks during

midwinter, we will focus on this season here. To obtain

a longer time series for midwinter without having to

Corresponding author address: Edmund K. M. Chang, School of

Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony

Brook, NY 11794-5000.

E-mail: [email protected]

2800 J O U R N A L O F T H E A T M O S P H E R I C S C I E N C E S VOLUME 68

DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-021.1

� 2011 American Meteorological Society

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run the experiments for many decades, we have con-

ducted persistent January forcing experiments. Previous

studies (e.g., Zhang and Held 1999; Chang 2009) have

shown that persistent forcing experiments using AGCMs

can reproduce NH winter climate very well, and Zhang

and Held (1999) also showed that the midwinter sup-

pression in Pacific storm-track activity can be repro-

duced in persistent forcing experiments run with forcing

from the different months. Each of the four experiments

is run for 15 yr under persistent 15 January insolation

and SST forcings, with data from the final 10 yr (or

120 months) analyzed to examine the sensitivity of

the Northern Hemisphere winter climate to differences

in orography.

The response of the winter stationary waves to changes

in orography is shown in Fig. 2 (this figure should be

compared to Fig. 8 of Park et al). The stationary wave

response is represented by the zonal asymmetrical (or

eddy) part of the 300-hPa streamfunction. The stationary

waves simulated in the control experiment are shown

in Fig. 2a. This pattern is very similar to that shown in

Fig. 8a of Park et al. (2010), but the amplitude is a bit

weaker here. However, our stationary wave amplitude

agrees better with observed January stationary waves

derived from National Centers for Environmental

prediction (NCEP)–NCAR reanalysis (e.g., see Fig. 1a of

Held et al. 2002).

Examining the responses of the stationary waves to

changes in orography, our results are consistent with

those of Park et al. (2010) in that the central Asian moun-

tains clearly enhance the stationary waves, especially the

part of the wave spreading from Asia across the Pacific into

western North America. However, it is clear that the am-

plitudes of the responses in our experiments are signifi-

cantly smaller than those shown in Fig. 8 of Park et al. For

example, in their M50 experiment, the negative center

over East Asia is reduced by over 18 3 106 m2 s21

(compared to a climatological amplitude of about 224 3

106 m2 s21), while in all of our experiments, even the one

with most of Tibet removed (MN05), the reduction never

exceeds half that value.

The storm-track response to changes in orography is

shown in Fig. 3 (this should be compared to Fig. 4a of

Park et al.). Similar to Park et al., to represent ‘‘storminess,’’

we use 8-day high-pass filtered standard deviation of

300-hPa geopotential height. In Fig. 3a, the differences

between the control and MN40 experiments are shown

by shades (with the 25-m difference contour shown by

dotted contours), while the storm tracks simulated by

the MN40 experiment are shown by the solid contours.

FIG. 1. Orography over central Asia used in the four different experiments: (a) MN100, (b) MN70, (c) MN40, and (d)

MN05. Mountains higher than 500 m are shaded.

NOVEMBER 2011 C O R R E S P O N D E N C E 2801

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We have used the same shade interval (10 m) and con-

tour interval as those used in Park et al. (2010) so that our

results can be directly compared to theirs. Comparing our

Fig. 3a to their Fig. 4a, it is clear that in both experiments,

the central Asian mountains strongly suppress storm-

track activity locally. However, downstream over east-

ern Asia, the Pacific, North America, and the Atlantic,

changes in orography generate much weaker responses in

our experiments than in those conducted by Park et al.

(2010). In Fig. 3b, the storm-track response to the MN05

experiment is shown. Even after removing nearly the

entire Tibetan Plateau, the increase in storminess never

exceeds 15 m in amplitude over the Pacific east of 1708E,

much less than the over 30-m increase in amplitude found

by Park et al. (2010) for their M50 experiment.

As in Park et al. (2010), we have also computed the

storm-track response in terms of 300-hPa filtered eddy

kinetic energy (EKE). The results for the MN05 experi-

ment are shown in Fig. 3c. Consistent with the results for

storminess (Fig. 3b), the EKE is strongly suppressed near

the mountains, but the reduction is significantly less away

from them. Compared to Fig. 9a in Park et al. (2010),1

over the central and eastern Pacific, the response in our

experiments is clearly much weaker even with much

more of Tibet removed.

Overall, our results suggest that while the central

Asian mountains do enhance the stationary waves and

suppress storm-track activity during midwinter, the

sensitivity of both to the mountains may be much less

than what the results of Park et al. (2010) suggest. Our

results suggest that while the central Asian mountains

may indeed contribute to the midwinter suppression of

the Pacific storm track, merely removing these moun-

tains is unlikely to remove the suppression, and other

FIG. 2. (a) The 300-hPa eddy streamfunction for MN100. (b)–

(d) Anomalous eddy streamfunction calculated from the differ-

ences between MN100 and others: (b) MN100 2 MN70, (c)

MN100 2 MN40, and (d) MN100 2 MN05. Contour interval is

3 3 106 m2 s21.

FIG. 3. (a) Anomalous 300-hPa storminess (shading, interval

210 m; dotted line shows 25-m contour), calculated from the

differences between MN100 and MN40. The contour lines indicate

climatological mean storminess for MN40. (b) As in (a), but for the

MN05 experiment. (c) As in (b), but for anomalous 300-hPa fil-

tered EKE (shading interval 215 m2 s22).

1 The EKE values (contours) shown in Fig. 3c appear to be much

less than those shown in Fig. 9a of Park et al. (2010). However, note

that in our control experiment (MN100), the peak EKE values in

the eastern Pacific are only slightly smaller than those computed

based on 40-yr European Centre for Medium-Range Weather

Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA-40) data.

2802 J O U R N A L O F T H E A T M O S P H E R I C S C I E N C E S VOLUME 68

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physical mechanisms are still needed to help explain

this phenomenon.

Currently, it is not clear why our results differ from

those of Park et al. (2010). Possibilities include differ-

ences in model physics as well as differences in vertical

resolution. Statistics may also play a small role, as Park

et al. (2010) only used data from 18 winter seasons, while

we analyzed 120 months of data. If we replot Fig. 2 using

only 18 months of data, the amplitude of the differences

between the control and sensitivity experiments would

have been larger in some of those plots. However, split-

ting our 120 months into six 18-month periods, we did not

find any period during which the change in stationary

waves is as large as those shown in Fig. 8 of Park et al.

With 120 months of data (see Fig. 2), the change in sta-

tionary waves (at least over Asia and the western Pacific)

is found to become systematically larger as more of the

mountains are removed, whereas with 18 months of data,

such systematic increase is not always observed, sug-

gesting that 18 seasons is probably not long enough to

quantitatively characterize the response.

Our results suggest that model-simulated storm-track

and stationary wave responses to changes in orographic

forcing appear to be very sensitive to the model used.

Further studies, perhaps using multimodel ensembles, as

well as efforts to understand what causes these large

model differences, will be needed to better quantify the

impacts of the central Asian mountains on Northern

Hemisphere winter climate.

Acknowledgments. One of us (EC) is supported by

NSF Grant ATM0757250. Most of the CAM runs are

conducted on the NCAR Bluefire supercomputer.

REFERENCES

Chang, E. K. M., 2009: Diabatic and orographic forcing of north-

ern winter stationary waves and storm tracks. J. Climate, 22,670–688.

Collins, W. D., and Coauthors, 2004: Description of the NCAR

Community Atmosphere Model (CAM 3.0). NCAR Tech.

Note NCAR/TN-4641STR, 210 pp. [Available online at http://

www.cesm.ucar.edu/models/atm-cam/docs/description/.]

——, and Coauthors, 2006: The formulation and atmospheric

simulation of the Community Atmospheric Model version 3

(CAM3). J. Climate, 19, 2144–2161.

Held, I. M., M. Ting, and H. Wang, 2002: Northern winter stationary

waves: Theory and modeling. J. Climate, 15, 2125–2144.

Kiehl, J. T., J. J. Hack, G. B. Bonan, B. A. Boville, D. L. Williamson,

and P. J. Rasch, 1998: The National Center for Atmospheric

Research Community Climate Model: CCM3. J. Climate, 11,

1131–1149.

Park, H.-S., J. C. H. Chiang, and S.-W. Son, 2010: The role of the

central Asian mountains on the midwinter suppression of

North Pacific storminess. J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 3706–3720.

Zhang, Y., and I. M. Held, 1999: A linear stochastic model of

a GCM’s midlatitude storm tracks. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 3416–

3435.

NOVEMBER 2011 C O R R E S P O N D E N C E 2803