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Survival of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors 45 3 3. Overall and disease-specific survival of Hodgkin lymphoma survivors who subsequently developed gastrointestinal cancer Submitted Lisanne Rigter Michael Schaapveld Cécile Janus Augustinus Krol Richard van der Maazen Judith Roesink Josée Zijlstra Gustaaf van Imhoff Philip Poortmans Max Beijert Pieternella Lugtenburg Otto Visser Petur Snaebjornsson Anna van Eggermond Berthe Aleman Flora van Leeuwen * Monique van Leerdam * * Both authors contributed equally

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Page 1: 3. Overall and disease-specific survival of Hodgkin ... 3.pdf · Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) survivors have an increased risk of gastrointestinal (GI) cancer. This study aims to evaluate

Survival of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors 45

3

3. Overall and disease-specific survival

of Hodgkin lymphoma survivors who

subsequently developed

gastrointestinal cancer

Submitted

Lisanne Rigter

Michael Schaapveld

Cécile Janus

Augustinus Krol

Richard van der Maazen

Judith Roesink

Josée Zijlstra

Gustaaf van Imhoff

Philip Poortmans

Max Beijert

Pieternella Lugtenburg

Otto Visser

Petur Snaebjornsson

Anna van Eggermond

Berthe Aleman

Flora van Leeuwen*

Monique van Leerdam*

* Both authors contributed equally

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46 Chapter 3

Abstract

Background

Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) survivors have an increased risk of gastrointestinal (GI)

cancer. This study aims to evaluate whether survival of patients who survived HL

and developed GI cancer differs from survival of first primary GI cancer patients.

Patients and methods

Overall and cause-specific survival of GI cancer patients in a HL survivor cohort (GI-

HL, n=104, including esophageal, gastric, small intestinal and colorectal cancer) was

compared with survival of a first primary GI cancer patient cohort (GI-1, n=1025,

generated by case matching based on tumor site, gender, age and year of

diagnosis). Cox proportional hazards regression was used for survival analyses.

Multivariable analyses were adjusted for GI cancer stage, grade of differentiation,

surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy.

Results

GI-HL cancers were diagnosed at a median age of 54 years (interquartile range 45-

60). No differences in tumor stage or frequency of surgery were found. GI-HL

patients less often received radiotherapy (8% vs. 23% in GI-1 patients, P<0.001)

and chemotherapy (28% vs. 41%, P=0.01) for their GI tumor.

Compared with GI-1 patients, overall and disease-specific survival of GI-HL patients

was worse (univariable hazard ratio (HR) 1.30 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-

1.65) P=0.03 and HR 1.29 (95% CI 1.00-1.67) P=0.049, respectively; multivariable

HR 1.33 (95% CI 1.05-1.68) P=0.02 and HR 1.33 (95% CI 1.03-1.72) P=0.03,

respectively). Mortality from other causes was non-significantly increased in GI-HL

patients compared with GI-1 patients (HR 1.44 (95% CI 0.81-2.56) P=0.22).

Conclusion

Long-term overall and disease-specific survival of GI cancer in HL survivors is worse

compared with first primary GI cancer patients. Differences in tumor stage, grade

of differentiation, treatment, or mortality from other causes could not explain this

worse survival. As such, this may be explained by a worse treatment response due

to HL-related comorbidities or due to a different pathogenesis of therapy-related

gastrointestinal cancer.

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Survival of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors 47

3

Background

Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) survivors are at increased risk of developing second

malignancies, which are a major cause for morbidity and mortality. 1-6 Compared

with the general population, the risk of developing gastrointestinal (GI) cancer is

approximately 5-fold higher in HL survivors. 1, 2, 4, 7-11 This risk remains elevated up

to 40 years after HL and is strongly related to HL treatment. 1 Both exposure to

radiotherapy and alkylating agents, such as procarbazine, have been associated

with the development of GI cancers. 1, 2, 7-9, 11-13

A few studies suggest a difference in clinical and histopathological characteristics

of GI cancer in HL survivors compared with first primary GI cancer. 14-16 To our

knowledge, only one previous study examined survival of GI cancer in HL survivors

and reported a worse overall survival in subgroups of HL survivors compared with

first primary GI cancer patients, i.e.; those diagnosed with TNM stage IIB-IV colon

cancer and a small group (n=8) of TNM stage I gastric cancer. 15 The same authors

found no differences in disease-specific survival.

The cause of the reported reduced overall survival of GI cancers in HL survivors

remained unknown. Less favorable survival might be due to differences in (HL

treatment-induced) carcinogenesis leading to differences in GI tumor

characteristics, or to adaptation of GI cancer treatment due to the previous

treatment for HL. Furthermore, increased risks of competing causes of death, such

as other malignancies or cardiovascular disease, might play a role. 5, 17, 18

In view of the reported worse overall survival of GI cancer in HL survivors and its

unknown etiology, we designed this study to evaluate overall and cause-specific

survival of GI cancer in HL survivors.

Patients and Methods

Study design This study compared overall and cause-specific survival of esophageal, gastric,

small intestinal and colorectal cancer in a HL survivor cohort (GI-HL) with survival of

a population-based cohort of first primary GI cancer patients (GI-1).

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48 Chapter 3

Gastrointestinal cancer patients in a Hodgkin lymphoma survivor cohort (GI-HL) In a Dutch multicenter cohort of HL patients who survived at least 5 years after

primary treatment (n=2,996), 121 patients with carcinomas of the esophagus,

stomach, small intestine or colorectum were identified. Data on HL patients,

diagnosed in the period 1965-2000 and between 15 and 50 years of age at HL

diagnosis, were collected as previously described. 1, 5, 17 In short, data collection

comprised detailed HL treatment data and information on second cancers, using

medical records, by responses to questionnaires sent to general practitioners and

linkage with the Netherlands Cancer Registry (NCR, from 1989 onwards). 1

A total of 17/121 (13%) GI-HL patients were excluded, of whom 16 because they

were not confirmed by the NCR, most likely due to incomplete data registration as

HL was diagnosed before complete population-based cancer registration in the

Netherlands in 1989 (figure 1). In patients with more than one HL-GI cancer, only

the first (if metachronous) or highest TNM stage (if synchronous) was included in

the analyses.

First primary gastrointestinal cancer cohort (GI-1) For each GI-HL cancer, the NCR searched for 10 matched controls with a GI-1

cancer, based on the following criteria: gender, no prior diagnosis of invasive

tumors, tumor location (esophagus, stomach, small intestine or colorectum), year

of diagnosis (closest proximity, maximum of 5 years difference) and age at

diagnosis (closest proximity, maximum of 3 years difference). For three GI-HL

patients, it was not possible to obtain 10 matched GI-1 patients because of the

young age at diagnosis. Subsequently, data on GI cancer characteristics, treatment,

and follow up were collected for both GI-HL and GI-1 patients.

From Statistics Netherlands (CBS), we obtained information on the cause of death,

which was categorized into GI cancer of interest or other causes, including

unknown causes. As all data were processed and analyzed completely

anonymously, this study was exempt from review by the Institutional Review

Board.

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Survival of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors 49

3

Statistical analyses Patient and tumor characteristics of GI-HL and GI-1 patients were compared using

Chi-square, Fishers’ exact or Mann-Whitney U tests. Overall survival and cause-

specific survival were presented using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cause-specific

survival was divided into disease-specific survival, related to the GI cancer of

interest, and survival related to other causes of death (using GI-cancer-related

death as a censoring event).

In 12 out of 104 GI-HL patients, the HL-GI tumor was not the first diagnosis of a

malignancy after HL. Since these other primary tumors or their treatment might

affect survival, these 12 patients and their matched controls were excluded from

further survival analyses (figure 1, supplementary table 1). Thus, 92/104 GI-HL

tumors and their 911 matched controls were included in Cox proportional hazards

regression models. As the grouping variable (GI-HL vs. GI-1) was the main

independent variable of interest, its effect on survival (e.g. HR) was primarily

evaluated in a univariable model. In addition, we evaluated the effect of patient-

related and tumor-related characteristics on the survival difference between GI-HL

and GI-1 patients, i.e. on the HR of this grouping variable. For this purpose, a

multivariable model with tumor characteristics, treatment characteristics and a

combination of tumor and treatment characteristics was created. We also assessed

disease-specific mortality while treating other causes of death as a competing risk.

Due to the relatively small number of patients in GI site-specific multivariable

models, the effect of tumor characteristics and treatment characteristics on the

survival difference between GI-HL and GI-1 patients was evaluated in models that

included the grouping variable and one other characteristic. In case of a >10%

change in the hazard ratio for the grouping variable (e.g. GI-HL vs. GI-1), a

characteristic was considered as an influencing factor on the survival difference

between groups. Analyses were performed using IBM SPSS Statistics 22 and STATA

version 14.

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50 Chapter 3

Figure 1. CONSORT diagram of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors (GI-HL) and first primary gastrointestinal cancer patients (GI-1).

* The Netherlands Cancer Registry (NCR) attempted to register previous cancers for all patients with incident cancer since 1989; the history of previous cancers is known to be incomplete.

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Survival of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors 51

3

Results

General description and comparison of GI-HL and GI-1 patients GI-HL cancers were diagnosed at a median age of 54 years (interquartile range

(IQR) 45-60). The majority occurred in males (67%). Patients were diagnosed with

HL at a median age of 30 years (interquartile range (IQR) 22-41, supplementary

table 1). Median year of HL diagnosis was 1981 (range 1966-2000). In 53/104 (51%)

patients, HL had been treated with both radiotherapy and procarbazine-containing

chemotherapy and 43/104 (41%) patients had been treated for a HL recurrence.

Due to the matching procedure, GI-HL cancers were not different from GI-1

cancers with respect to gender and age at diagnosis (table 1). In addition, TNM

stage of both groups was comparable. GI-HL patients were less frequently treated

for their GI tumor with radiotherapy (8% vs. 23% in GI-1 patients, P<0.001) or

chemotherapy (29% vs. 41%, P=0.01). GI-HL tumors were treated more frequently

with surgery alone and less frequently with combined modality treatment that

included radiotherapy or chemotherapy compared with GI-1 tumors (P=0.005,

table 1).

Gastrointestinal cancer: overall survival Median survival times of 104 GI-HL patients and 1,025 GI-1 patients were 2.4 years

and 2.5 years, respectively. Overall survival of GI-HL patients was worse than that

of GI-1 patients (hazard ratio (HR) 1.27, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.58,

P=0.037). HL survivors in whom the GI-HL cancer was a third primary and their

matched controls were excluded for further survival analyses, leaving 92 GI-HL

patients who also had worse overall survival compared with 911 GI-1 patients (HR

1.30, 95% CI 1.03-1.65, P=0.028, supplementary table 1). After five years, overall

survival of GI-HL and GI-1 patients was 28% and 37%, respectively, after 10 years

18% and 30%, respectively, and after fifteen years 15% and 28%, respectively

(figure 2, table 2).

Several multivariable models were evaluated for the identification of contributive

(mediating) factors (e.g. tumor characteristics or treatment characteristics) to the

overall survival difference between GI-HL and GI-1 patients.

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52 Chapter 3

Table 1. Characteristics of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors and first primary gastrointestinal cancer patients.

Gastrointestinal cancers include two GI-HL small intestinal cancers and their matched GI-1 controls. Abbreviations: GI-HL, gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors; GI-1, first primary gastrointestinal cancer patients; RT, radiotherapy; CT, chemotherapy. * defined as neuroendocrine carcinomas, large cell carcinomas, undifferentiated carcinomas, anaplastic carcinomas or unspecified carcinomas.

GI cancer characteristic Gastrointestinal cancer

GI-HL (N=104)

GI-1 (N=1025)

n (%) n (%) P value Age Median (IQR) 54 (45-60) 54 (45-60) 0.82 Gender Male 70 (67) 698 (68) 0.87 Female 34 (33) 327 (32) Morphology category Adenocarcinoma 81 (78) 900 (88) <0.001 Squamous cell carcinoma 18 (17) 117 (11) Other carcinoma* 5 (5) 8 (1) TNM Stage I 12 (12) 124 (12) 0.79 II 24 (23) 202 (20) III 26 (25) 253 (25) IV 35 (34) 387 (38) Unknown 7 (7) 59 (6) Grade of differentiation Well / low grade 8 (8) 36 (4) 0.005 Moderate / intermediate 34 (33) 340 (33) Poor / high 22 (21) 338 (33) Undifferentiated / anaplastic 4 (4) 10 (1) Unknown 36 (35) 301 (29) Surgery No 37 (36) 396 (39) 0.54 Yes 67 (64) 629 (61) Radiotherapy No 96 (92) 785 (77) <0.001 Yes 8 (8) 240 (23) Chemotherapy No 75 (72) 608 (59) 0.01 Yes 29 (28) 417 (41) Treatment category No treatment 18 (17) 153 (15) 0.005 Surgery only 51 (49) 348 (34) Surgery & RT and/or CT 16 (15) 281 (27) RT and/or CT only 19 (18) 243 (24)

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Survival of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors 53

3

Figure 2. Overall survival of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors (GI-HL, blue) compared with first primary gastrointestinal cancer patients (GI-1, green).

* first primary gastrointestinal cancer patients, green line, number of cases at risk. † gastrointes nal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors, blue line, number of cases at risk. In the first multivariable model, adjusted for tumor characteristics (TNM stage,

grade of differentiation, tumor location), the difference between GI-HL and GI-1

patients remained present (HR 1.33 (95% CI 1.05-1.68) P=0.02).

This difference also remained present after adjustment for treatment

characteristics (surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy) and after adjustment for

both tumor and treatment characteristics (HR 1.32 (95% CI 1.04-1.68) P=0.02 and

HR 1.33 (95% CI 1.05-1.68) P=0.02, respectively).

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54 Chapter 3

Gastrointestinal cancer: cause-specific survival Disease-specific survival was worse in GI-HL patients than in GI-1 patients (HR 1.29

(95% CI 1.00-1.67) P=0.049). Mortality from other causes appeared to be non-

significantly higher in GI-HL patients compared with GI-1 patients (HR 1.44 (95% CI

0.81-2.56) P=0.22). At five years after GI cancer diagnosis, cumulative disease-

specific mortality and cumulative mortality from other causes in GI-HL patients

were 66% and 7%, respectively, and in GI-1 patients 56% and 7%, respectively

(table 3). In a multivariable model adjusted for treatment characteristics, disease-

specific survival remained worse in GI-HL patients than in GI-1 patients (HR 1.33

(95% CI 1.03-1.72) P=0.03). After adjustment for both tumor characteristics and

treatment characteristics, this survival difference also remained present (HR 1.33

(95% CI 1.03-1.72) P=0.03).

Esophageal cancer characteristics and survival GI-HL esophageal cancers were more frequently located in the upper esophagus

than GI-1 cancers (23% vs. 7%, P=0.01, figure 3). A lower frequency of

adenocarcinomas and a higher frequency of squamous cell and other carcinomas

(including neuroendocrine carcinomas, large cell carcinomas, undifferentiated

carcinomas, anaplastic carcinomas or unspecified carcinomas) was found in the GI-

HL group compared with the GI-1 group (P=0.005, supplementary table 2). No

differences in TNM stage or grade of differentiation were observed between both

groups. GI-HL esophageal cancers were treated less frequently with radiotherapy

(20% vs. 40% in GI-1, P=0.03) and chemotherapy (13% vs. 43%, P=0.001) or

treatments that included radiotherapy and/or chemotherapy (27% vs. 57%,

P=0.002). Overall survival was not significantly different in GI-HL esophageal cancer

patients compared with GI-1 patients (HR 1.20 (95% CI 0.79-1.85) P=0.41, figure 2,

table 2). Cumulative disease-specific mortality was high (79% in GI-HL and 74% in

GI-1 patients at 5 years) and did not differ between GI-HL and GI-1 patients (HR

1.17 (95% CI 0.75-1.84) P=0.49). When tumor and treatment characteristics were

added to the model, the survival difference between GI-HL and GI-1 patients

remained (not exceeding a 10% reduction in HR, supplementary table 3, 4).

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Tabl

e 2.

Ove

rall

surv

ival

of g

astr

oint

estin

al c

ance

r in

Hod

gkin

lym

phom

a su

rviv

ors

com

pare

d w

ith fi

rst p

rimar

y ga

stro

inte

stin

al

canc

er p

atie

nts.

Abbr

evia

tions

: GI-H

L, g

astr

oint

estin

al c

ance

r in

Hod

gkin

lym

phom

a su

rviv

ors;

GI-1

, firs

t prim

ary

gast

roin

test

inal

can

cer p

atie

nts;

H

R, h

azar

d ra

tio; 9

5% C

I, 95

% c

onfid

ence

inte

rval

. *

Cox

prop

ortio

nal h

azar

ds re

gres

sion

mod

el a

djus

ted

for d

icho

tom

ized

var

iabl

es T

NM

sta

ge (I

/II v

s. II

I/IV)

, gra

de o

f di

ffere

ntia

tion

(wel

l/mod

erat

e vs

. poo

r/un

diffe

rent

iate

d) a

nd tu

mor

loca

tion

(eso

phag

us/s

tom

ach

vs. s

mal

l in

test

ine/

colo

rect

um).

Cox

prop

ortio

nal h

azar

ds re

gres

sion

mod

el a

djus

ted

for s

urge

ry, r

adio

ther

apy,

che

mot

hera

py.

‡ Co

x pr

opor

tiona

l haz

ards

regr

essio

n m

odel

adj

uste

d fo

r dic

hoto

miz

ed v

aria

bles

TN

M s

tage

, gra

de o

f diff

eren

tiatio

n su

rger

y,

radi

othe

rapy

, che

mot

hera

py.

$ Co

x pr

opor

tiona

l haz

ards

regr

essio

n m

odel

adj

uste

d fo

r tum

or su

bsite

: eso

phag

eal c

ance

r: u

pper

vs.

oth

er, g

astr

ic:

antr

um/p

ylor

us v

s. o

ther

, col

orec

tal c

ance

r: co

lon

vs. r

ectu

m.

Cha

ract

erist

ic

Gas

troi

ntes

tinal

can

cer

Esop

hage

al c

ance

r G

astr

ic c

ance

r Co

lore

ctal

can

cer

GI-H

L (n

=92)

%

(95%

CI)

GI-1

(n=9

11)

% (9

5% C

I) G

I-HL

(n=2

5)

% (9

5% C

I) G

I-1 (n

=243

) %

(95%

CI)

GI-H

L (n

=31)

%

(95%

CI)

GI-1

(n=3

08)

% (9

5% C

I) G

I-HL

(n=3

4)

% (9

5% C

I) G

I-1 (n

=340

) %

(95%

CI)

5-ye

ar s

urvi

val

28 (1

8-37

) 37

(34-

40)

12 (0

-25)

21

(16-

27)

13 (1

-26)

26

(21-

31)

50 (3

3-67

) 57

(52-

63)

10-y

ear s

urvi

val

18 (1

0-27

) 30

(27-

33)

6 (0

-16)

18

(13-

23)

7 (0

-16)

21

(17-

26)

37 (2

0-53

) 46

(40-

51)

15-y

ear s

urvi

val

15 (7

-23)

28

(25-

31)

6 (0

-16)

16

(12-

21)

7 (0

-16)

21

(16-

26)

27 (1

0-44

) 41

(36-

47)

G

I-HL

vs. G

I-1 (r

ef)

HR (9

5% C

I) P

valu

e HR

(95%

CI)

P va

lue

HR (9

5% C

I) P

valu

e HR

(95%

CI)

P va

lue

Uni

varia

ble

1.30

(1.0

3-1.

65)

0.03

1.

20 (0

.79-

1.85

) 0.

41

1.33

(0.9

1-1.

96)

0.15

1.

36 (0

.90-

2.06

) 0.

15

Mul

tivar

iabl

e, in

clud

ing

Tum

or c

hara

cter

istic

s* 1.

39 (1

.10-

1.76

) 0.

006

Trea

tmen

t cha

ract

erist

ics†

1.32

(1.0

4-1.

68)

0.02

Tu

mor

+ tr

eatm

ent‡

1.33

(1.0

5-1.

68)

0.02

Tu

mor

sub

site$

1.15

(0.7

4-1.

79)

0.54

1.

71 (1

.14-

2.55

) 0.

009

1.29

(0.8

5-1.

96)

0.24

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56 Chapter 3

Figure 3. Subsite of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors and first primary gastrointestinal cancer patients.

Both mid esophagus and stomach body contain overlapping or unspecified locations. Abbreviations: GI-HL, gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors; GI-1, first primary gastrointestinal cancer patients. * P=0.01 ** P<0.001 † including cecum, ascending, descending, sigmoid, overlapping, colon not otherwise specified (transverse colon includes the hepatic and splenic flexure).

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Tabl

e 3.

Cau

se-s

peci

fic c

umul

ativ

e m

orta

lity

from

gas

troi

ntes

tinal

can

cer i

n H

odgk

in ly

mph

oma

surv

ivor

s an

d fir

st p

rimar

y ga

stro

inte

stin

al c

ance

r pat

ient

s.

Cum

ulat

ive

mor

talit

y w

as c

alcu

late

d us

ing

com

petin

g ris

k an

alys

es. A

bbre

viat

ions

: GI-H

L, g

astr

oint

estin

al c

ance

r in

Hod

gkin

lym

phom

a su

rviv

ors;

GI-1

, firs

t pr

imar

y ga

stro

inte

stin

al c

ance

r pat

ient

s; H

R, h

azar

d ra

tio; 9

5% C

I, 95

% c

onfid

ence

inte

rval

. *

Cox

prop

ortio

nal h

azar

ds re

gres

sion

mod

el a

djus

ted

for s

urge

ry, r

adio

ther

apy,

che

mot

hera

py.

† Co

x pr

opor

tiona

l haz

ards

regr

essio

n m

odel

adj

uste

d fo

r dic

hoto

miz

ed v

aria

bles

TN

M s

tage

, gra

de o

f diff

eren

tiatio

n, su

rger

y, ra

diot

hera

py, c

hem

othe

rapy

. ‡

Cox

prop

ortio

nal h

azar

ds re

gres

sion

mod

el a

djus

ted

for t

umor

subs

ite: e

soph

agea

l can

cer:

uppe

r vs.

oth

er, g

astr

ic: a

ntru

m/p

ylor

us v

s. o

ther

, col

orec

tal

canc

er: c

olon

vs.

rect

um.

Cum

ulat

ive

mor

talit

y

G

astr

oint

estin

al c

ance

r Es

opha

geal

can

cer

Gas

tric

can

cer

Colo

rect

al c

ance

r G

I-HL

(n=9

2)

% (9

5% C

I) G

I-1 (n

=911

) %

(95%

CI)

GI-H

L (n

=25)

%

(95%

CI)

GI-1

(n=2

43)

% (9

5% C

I) G

I-HL

(n=3

1)

% (9

5% C

I) G

I-1 (n

=308

) %

(95%

CI)

GI-H

L (n

=34)

%

(95%

CI)

GI-1

(n=3

40)

% (9

5% C

I) 5-

year

mor

talit

y G

I can

cer

Oth

er c

ause

s of

dea

th

66 (5

5-75

) 7

(3-1

3)

56 (5

3-59

) 7

(6-9

) 79

(57-

91)

8 (1

-23)

74

(68-

79)

5 (3

-8)

81 (6

2-91

) 6

(1-1

9)

65 (5

9-70

) 9

(6-1

3)

44 (2

7-60

) 6

(1-1

7)

35 (3

0-41

) 7

(5-1

0)

10-y

ear

mor

talit

y G

I can

cer

Oth

er c

ause

s of

dea

th

72 (6

2-80

) 9

(4-1

7)

61 (5

7-64

) 10

(8-1

2)

85 (6

2-95

) 8

(1-2

3)

76 (7

0-81

) 7

(4-1

0)

87 (6

9-95

) 6

(1-1

9)

69 (6

3-74

) 10

(9-1

4)

50 (3

3-66

) 13

(4-2

7)

42 (3

7-48

) 12

(9-1

6)

15-y

ear

mor

talit

y G

I can

cer

Oth

er c

ause

s of

dea

th

72 (6

2-80

) 13

(7-2

2)

61 (5

8-65

) 11

(9-1

3)

85 (6

2-95

) 8

(1-2

3)

76 (7

0-81

) 8

(5-1

2)

87 (6

9-95

) 6

(1-1

9)

69 (6

3-74

) 10

(9-1

4)

50 (3

3-66

) 22

(9-4

0)

45 (3

9-50

) 14

(10-

18)

Di

seas

e-sp

ecifi

c

GI-H

L vs

. GI-1

(ref

) HR

* (9

5% C

I) P

valu

e HR

* (9

5% C

I) P

valu

e HR

* (9

5% C

I) P

valu

e HR

† (95%

CI)

P va

lue

Uni

varia

ble

1.29

(1.0

0-1.

67)

0.04

9 1.

17 (0

.75-

1.84

) 0.

49

1.43

(0.9

5-2.

13)

0.08

1.

27 (0

.77-

2.10

) 0.

35

Mul

tivar

iabl

e, in

clud

ing

Trea

tmen

t cha

ract

erist

ics*

1.33

(1.0

3-1.

72)

0.03

Tu

mor

+ tr

eatm

ent†

1.33

(1.0

3-1.

72)

0.03

Tu

mor

sub

site‡

1.11

(0.7

0-1.

76)

0.67

1.

80 (1

.19-

2.74

) 0.

006

1.11

(0.6

6-1.

86)

0.70

O

ther

cau

ses o

f dea

th

Uni

varia

ble

1.44

(0.8

1-2.

56)

0.22

1.

60 (0

.36-

7.06

) 0.

53

1.02

(0.3

1-3.

34)

0.97

1.

61 (0

.76-

3.38

) 0.

21

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58 Chapter 3

Gastric cancer characteristics and survival GI-HL gastric cancers were more frequently located in the antrum or pylorus (41%

vs. 20% in GI-1) and less frequently in the cardia or fundus (18% vs. 31% in GI-1,

P=0.01, figure 3). Treatment with surgery alone was more frequent in HL-GI

patients than in GI-1 patients (59% vs. 37%, P=0.02), and treatment that included

at least radiotherapy or chemotherapy was less frequently given (24% vs. 43%,

P=0.04, supplementary table 2).

There was a trend towards worse overall and disease-specific survival in GI-HL

gastric cancer patients compared with GI-1 patients (HR 1.33 (95% CI 0.91-1.96)

P=0.15 and HR 1.43 (95% CI 0.95-2.13) P=0.08, respectively, figure 2, table 2 and

3). In multivariable models that included TNM stage, tumor subsite (cardia/body vs.

antrum/pylorus) or surgery, the overall and disease-specific survival difference

between GI-HL gastric cancer patients and GI-1 patients substantially increased

(defined as a >10% change in HR of the grouping variable GI-HL vs. GI-1 patients;

disease-specific survival adjusted for subsite, HR 1.80 (95% CI 1.19-2.74) P=0.006;

adjusted for stage, HR 1.66 (95% CI 1.11-2.49) P=0.01; adjusted for surgery, HR

2.00 (95% CI 1.33-3.01) P=0.001, supplementary table 3, 4). None of the evaluated

characteristics decreased the survival difference, so none of these characteristics

could explain the observed difference in survival.

Colorectal cancer characteristics and survival GI-HL colorectal cancers were more frequently located in the transverse colon and

less frequently in the rectum compared with GI-1 colorectal cancers (34% and 11%

vs. 9% and 32%, respectively, P<0.001, figure 3). It is likely that (partly) due to this

difference in rectal cancer frequency, a difference in treatment with radiotherapy

was present between GI-HL and GI-1 patients (5% vs. 26%, P=0.004, supplementary

table 2). No further differences in TNM stage, surgery or chemotherapy were

present between groups.

Overall and disease-specific survival were not significantly different when

comparing GI-HL patients with GI-1 patients (HR 1.36 (95% CI 0.90-2.06) P=0.15

and HR 1.27 (95% CI 0.77-2.10) P=0.35, respectively). In a multivariable model,

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Survival of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors 59

3

tumor location was the only characteristic that decreased any possible difference

in survival. After adjustment for location either in colon or rectum, disease-specific

survival differences between GI-HL patients and GI-1 patients became substantially

smaller (HR 1.11 (0.66-1.86) P=0.70, supplementary table 3, 4).

Discussion

Our study is the first to demonstrate both a worse overall survival and disease-

specific survival of GI-HL patients compared with survival of GI-1 patients. The

survival difference was small and appeared largest for gastric cancer patients and

smallest for colorectal cancer patients. Although some differences in GI tumor

characteristics and treatment were present between GI-HL patients and GI-1

patients, none of these characteristics offered sufficient explanation for the

survival differences. Although mortality from other causes was not significantly

higher in GI-HL patients, a higher rate of morbidity may have influenced the

efficacy of GI-HL treatment. In addition to HL-related comorbidities, a different

pathogenesis of therapy-related gastrointestinal cancer may also affect the efficacy

of GI-HL treatment, resulting in worse survival.

A difference in carcinogenesis has been suggested only for therapy-related

colorectal cancer diagnosed in HL survivors, as these tumors are more frequently

microsatellite instable. 16 This high frequency of microsatellite instability is not

caused by promoter hypermethylation of the mismatch repair gene MLH1, which is

common in the general population, but by somatic mutations in mismatch repair

genes. In therapy-related esophageal cancer compared with sporadic cancer, no

difference in frequency of microsatellite instability or loss of heterozygosity was

found. 14 To our knowledge, no data are available for therapy-related gastric cancer

and therapy-related small bowel cancer.

A second important finding of our study is that GI-HL patients were treated

differently compared with GI-1 patients. GI-HL patients were more frequently

treated with surgery alone, and combined modality treatments were less

frequently given. Probably due to prior HL treatment, radiotherapy and

chemotherapy are given less frequently for GI-HL patients, either as a result of

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60 Chapter 3

dosage limitations or comorbidity. 17, 18 Additionally, the differences in treatment

may partially result from the distribution of GI cancer subsites in GI-HL patients, as

these were less frequently located in the rectum. Previous studies also reported

that therapy-related GI cancers are more frequently located within irradiation

fields. 12, 15, 19 Surprisingly, the observed treatment differences did not explain the

worse survival. The limited treatment regimens for GI cancer in HL survivors may

therefore perform better than expected. Unfortunately, we did not have detailed

data on GI cancer treatment regimens (e.g. sequences of treatment, type of

chemotherapy).

The only previous, comparable study performed used a similar study design but

had somewhat different results. 15 They found a worse overall survival for HL

survivors with TNM stage I gastric cancer (N=8) and with TNM stage IIB-IV

colorectal cancer (N=70) compared with a significantly older population cohort

with these GI cancers. This study did not show a difference in overall survival for

other stage subgroups or in disease-specific survival. In addition, our methods of

patient selection differed from Youn et al. As GI-HL cancer is diagnosed at a

relatively young age, we deliberately generated our population-based comparison

cohort with primary GI cancers by matching on age at diagnosis, and additionally

on year of diagnosis and gender. We excluded GI-HL patients with a second

malignancy between HL and GI-HL from survival analyses to increase comparability

with the GI-1 population. This selection method may have caused a decrease in

mortality from other causes in the GI-HL population, resulting in a more

comparable mortality from non-GI-cancer-related causes for GI-HL patients and GI-

1 patients. In a study on breast cancer survival in HL survivors, in which patients

with another second malignancy diagnosed between HL and breast cancer were

not excluded, mortality from other causes was indeed higher in HL survivors with

breast cancer than in first primary breast cancer patients. 20 In our study, the

likelihood of detecting a difference in mortality from other causes was small, as

mortality from GI cancer was high and the number of patients was relatively low. 21

The selection procedure of the population-based controls is one of the strengths of

this study. Also, this is the first study with sufficient and long-term follow-up data

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Survival of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors 61

3

to demonstrate a worse overall and disease-specific survival in patients who

survived HL and developed GI cancer, and to provide data that excluded several

possible etiologic factors.

The survival differences were, however, not large and the power was insufficient to

confirm differences in survival between GI-HL and GI-1 patients for GI cancer

subsites, or for specific HL treatment exposure subgroups (as the majority received

combination treatments for HL, which limits statistical power). An additional

limitation was the absence of information on other factors associated with GI

cancer risk, such as family history and obesity.

As HL survivors have an increased incidence of GI malignancies, and a slightly

worse survival, treating physicians should focus on GI cancer awareness and

prevention. Personalized surveillance programs should be developed for this

purpose. Our research group is currently performing a multicenter cohort study on

a first surveillance colonoscopy in HL survivors. (Dutch Trial Registry NTR4961)

Additionally, further research is necessary to evaluate therapy-related GI

carcinogenesis, as differences compared with sporadic carcinogenesis may have

consequences for the clinical approach, such as surveillance technique and

interval.

In current clinical practice, decision-making about curative HL treatment involves

the balance of disease control and the risk of long-term side effects. Due to the

increased gastrointestinal cancer risk associated with radiotherapy and

procarbazine, and the associated increased mortality from gastrointestinal cancer,

the indication for the BEACOPP regimen should involve careful consideration and

radiation fields should be limited. 22

In conclusion, overall and disease-specific survival of GI cancer patients is slightly

worse in HL survivors compared with first primary GI cancer patients. This

difference is most clear in gastric cancer patients. Differences in tumor stage,

grade of differentiation, treatment, or mortality from other causes could not

explain the worse survival of GI cancer in HL survivors. As such, this may be

explained by a worse treatment response due to HL-related comorbidities or due

to a different pathogenesis of therapy-related gastrointestinal cancer.

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62 Chapter 3

Acknowledgements

We would like to acknowledge the Netherlands Cancer Registry and Statistics

Netherlands (CBS) for the collaboration. In addition, we thank Mette van

Ramshorst and Lotte Elshof for their assistance with Cox proportional hazards

regression models and competing risk models.

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Survival of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors 63

3

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Up to 40 Years after Treatment for Hodgkin's Lymphoma. N Engl J Med

2015;373:2499-511.

2. Hodgson DC, Gilbert ES, Dores GM, et al. Long-term solid cancer risk

among 5-year survivors of Hodgkin's lymphoma. J Clin Oncol 2007;25:1489-

97.

3. Swerdlow AJ, Higgins CD, Smith P, et al. Second cancer risk after

chemotherapy for Hodgkin's lymphoma: a collaborative British cohort

study. J Clin Oncol 2011;29:4096-104.

4. Ng AK, Bernardo MV, Weller E, et al. Second malignancy after Hodgkin

disease treated with radiation therapy with or without chemotherapy:

long-term risks and risk factors. Blood 2002;100:1989-96.

5. Aleman BM, van den Belt-Dusebout AW, Klokman WJ, et al. Long-term

cause-specific mortality of patients treated for Hodgkin's disease. J Clin

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6. Ng AK, Bernardo MP, Weller E, et al. Long-term survival and competing

causes of death in patients with early-stage Hodgkin's disease treated at

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7. Nottage K, McFarlane J, Krasin MJ, et al. Secondary colorectal carcinoma

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8. Morton LM, Dores GM, Curtis RE, et al. Stomach cancer risk after

treatment for hodgkin lymphoma. J Clin Oncol 2013;31:3369-77.

9. Henderson TO, Oeffinger KC, Whitton J, et al. Secondary gastrointestinal

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10. Dores GM, Metayer C, Curtis RE, et al. Second malignant neoplasms among

long-term survivors of Hodgkin's disease: a population-based evaluation

over 25 years. J Clin Oncol 2002;20:3484-94.

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11. Tukenova M, Diallo I, Anderson H, et al. Second malignant neoplasms in

digestive organs after childhood cancer: a cohort-nested case-control

study. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2012;82:e383-90.

12. van den Belt-Dusebout AW, Aleman BM, Besseling G, et al. Roles of

radiation dose and chemotherapy in the etiology of stomach cancer as a

second malignancy. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2009;75:1420-9.

13. Morton LM, Gilbert ES, Stovall M, et al. Risk of esophageal cancer following

radiotherapy for Hodgkin lymphoma. Haematologica 2014;99:e193-6.

14. Boldrin E, Rumiato E, Fassan M, et al. Genetic features of metachronous

esophageal cancer developed in Hodgkin's lymphoma or breast cancer

long-term survivors: an exploratory study. PLoS One 2015;10:e0117070.

15. Youn P, Li H, Milano MT, et al. Long-term survival among Hodgkin's

lymphoma patients with gastrointestinal cancer: a population-based study.

Ann Oncol 2013;24:202-8.

16. Rigter LS, Snaebjornsson P, Rosenberg EH, et al. Double somatic mutations

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lymphoma treatment. Gut 2016; Published Online First DOI 10.1136/gutjnl-

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17. van Eggermond AM, Schaapveld M, Lugtenburg PJ, et al. Risk of multiple

primary malignancies following treatment of Hodgkin lymphoma. Blood

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18. Bhakta N, Liu Q, Yeo F, et al. Cumulative burden of cardiovascular

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Oncol 2016;17:1325-34.

19. Hauptmann M, Fossa SD, Stovall M, et al. Increased stomach cancer risk

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study. J Clin Oncol 2010;28:5088-96.

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Survival of gastrointestinal cancer in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors 65

3

21. Bhuller KS, Zhang Y, Li D, et al. Late mortality, secondary malignancy and

hospitalisation in teenage and young adult survivors of Hodgkin lymphoma:

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66 Chapter 3

Supplements Supplementary table 1. Hodgkin lymphoma patient characteristics.

HL characteristic GI-HL n (N=104)*

Esophagus n (N=30)

Gastric n (N=34)

CRC n (N=38)

Age of HL diagnosis

Median (interquartile range) 30 (22-41) 31 (25-39) 26 (21-36) 30 (22-45) Treatment period 1966-1979 1980-1989 1990-2000

44 33 27

11 12

7

11 11 12

22

9 7

HL radiotherapy (RT)

No RT 6 3 1 2

Mantle field only 31 14 6 10

Mantle field + infradiaphragmatic RT 51 12 24 15

Infradiaphragmatic RT only 11 0 1 9

Yes, field unknown 5 1 2 2

HL chemotherapy (CT)

No CT 43 13 17 13

CT, no procarbazine 12 4 1 7

Procarbazine-containing CT 41 10 15 14

Yes, type of CT unknown 8 3 1 4

HL recurrence 43 13 16 14 Second non-gastrointestinal cancer diagnoses in HL survivors †

Oropharynx 3 2 0 1

Lung 1 1 0 0

Breast 4 1 2 1

Lymphoma (NOS) 2 1 1 0

Cervix 1 0 0 1

Connective/soft tissue (NOS) 1 0 0 1

Abbreviations: HL, Hodgkin lymphoma; RT, radiotherapy; CT, chemotherapy; NOS, not otherwise specified. * including two HL patients with a small intestinal cancer. † GI-HL is the third cancer, excluded from extensive survival analyses.

Page 23: 3. Overall and disease-specific survival of Hodgkin ... 3.pdf · Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) survivors have an increased risk of gastrointestinal (GI) cancer. This study aims to evaluate

Supp

lem

enta

ry ta

ble

2. C

hara

cter

istic

s of

gas

troi

ntes

tinal

can

cer s

ubsit

es in

Hod

gkin

lym

phom

a su

rviv

ors

and

first

prim

ary

gast

roin

test

inal

can

cer p

atie

nts.

Abbr

evia

tions

: GI-H

L, g

astr

oint

estin

al c

ance

r in

Hod

gkin

lym

phom

a su

rviv

ors;

GI-1

, firs

t prim

ary

gast

roin

test

inal

can

cer p

atie

nts;

RT,

radi

othe

rapy

; CT,

ch

emot

hera

py.

* de

fined

as

neur

oend

ocrin

e ca

rcin

omas

, lar

ge c

ell c

arci

nom

as, u

ndiff

eren

tiate

d ca

rcin

omas

, ana

plas

tic c

arci

nom

as o

r uns

peci

fied

carc

inom

as.

GI c

ance

r cha

ract

erist

ic

Esop

hage

al c

ance

r G

astr

ic c

ance

r Co

lore

ctal

can

cer

G

I-HL

(N

=30)

G

I-1

(N=2

87)

GI-H

L

(N=3

4)

GI-1

(N

=338

) G

I-HL

(N

=38)

G

I-1

(N=3

80)

n

(%)

n (%

) P

valu

e n

(%)

n (%

) P

valu

e n

(%)

n (%

) P

valu

e Ag

e M

edia

n (IQ

R)

54 (4

5-59

) 54

(46-

59)

0.67

46

(36-

55)

47 (3

6-54

) 0.

98

56 (4

9-61

) 56

(49-

61)

1.00

G

ende

r

Mal

e 18

(6

0)

180

(63)

0.

77

22

(65)

21

8 (6

4)

1.00

29

(7

6)

290

(76)

1.

00

Fem

ale

12

(40)

10

7 (3

7)

12

(3

5)

120

(36)

9 (2

4)

90

(24)

Mor

phol

ogy

cate

gory

Aden

ocar

cino

ma

10

(33)

16

7 (5

8)

0.00

5 32

(9

4)

335

(99)

0.

07

38

(100

) 37

8 (1

00)

0.65

Sq

uam

ous

cell

carc

inom

a 17

(5

7)

115

(40)

1 (3

) 2

(1)

-

- -

-

Oth

er c

arci

nom

a*

3 (1

0)

5 (2

)

1 (3

) 1

(<1)

0 (0

) 2

(<1)

TNM

Sta

ge

I/I

I 6

(20)

61

(2

1)

0.23

13

(3

8)

99

(29)

0.

52

16

(42)

16

3 (4

3)

0.11

III

/IV

20

(67)

19

5 (6

8)

19

(5

6)

218

(64)

21

(55)

21

1 (5

6)

U

nkno

wn

4 (1

3)

31

(11)

2 (6

) 21

(6

)

1 (3

) 6

(2)

G

rade

of d

iffer

entia

tion

W

ell /

low

gra

de

0 (0

) 10

(4

) 0.

21

1 (3

) 4

(1)

0.02

7

(18)

21

(6

) 0.

04

Mod

erat

e / i

nter

med

iate

10

(3

3)

78

(27)

6 (1

8)

53

(16)

18

(47)

20

4 (5

4)

Po

or /

high

6

(20)

10

4 (3

6)

11

(3

2)

171

(51)

5 (1

3)

55

(14)

Und

iffer

entia

ted

/ ana

plas

tic

1 (3

) 4

(1)

3

(9)

5 (1

)

0 (0

) 1

(<1)

Unk

now

n 13

(4

3)

91

(32)

13

(38)

10

5 (3

1)

8

(21)

99

(2

6)

Tr

eatm

ent c

ateg

ory

N

o tr

eatm

ent

10

(33)

65

(2

3)

0.01

5 6

(18)

69

(2

0)

0.05

4 2

(5)

16

(4)

0.39

Su

rger

y on

ly

12

(40)

59

(2

1)

20

(5

9)

125

(37)

18

(47)

15

4 (4

1)

Su

rger

y &

RT

and/

or C

T 2

(7)

49

(17)

1 (3

) 51

(1

5)

13

(3

4)

177

(47)

RT a

nd/o

r CT

only

6

(20)

11

4 (4

0)

7

(21)

93

(2

8)

5

(13)

33

(9

)

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Supp

lem

enta

ry ta

ble

3. Im

pact

of p

atie

nt a

nd tu

mor

cha

ract

erist

ics

on o

vera

ll su

rviv

al d

iffer

ence

of g

astr

oint

estin

al c

ance

r in

Hod

gkin

lym

phom

a su

rviv

ors

(GI-H

L) a

nd fi

rst p

rimar

y ga

stro

inte

stin

al c

ance

r pat

ient

s (G

I-1).

Impa

ct o

f oth

er fa

ctor

s on

HR

for G

I-HL

vs. G

I-1 (r

ef),

indi

cate

d in

bol

d in

cas

e of

a >

10%

cha

nge.

Ab

brev

iatio

ns: G

I-HL,

gas

troi

ntes

tinal

can

cer i

n H

odgk

in ly

mph

oma

surv

ivor

s; G

I-1, f

irst p

rimar

y ga

stro

inte

stin

al c

ance

r pat

ient

s; H

R, h

azar

d ra

tio; 9

5% C

I, 95

% c

onfid

ence

inte

rval

; AC,

ade

noca

rcin

oma;

SCC

, squ

amou

s ce

ll ca

rcin

oma.

*

Wel

l-mod

erat

e vs

. poo

r-un

diffe

rent

iate

d.

† G

astr

oint

esna

l can

cer:

esop

hagu

s/ga

stric

vs.

sm

all b

owel

/col

orec

tum

, eso

phag

eal c

ance

r: up

per v

s. o

ther

, gas

tric

: ant

rum

/pyl

orus

vs.

oth

er, c

olor

ecta

l ca

ncer

: col

on v

s. re

ctum

.

Cha

ract

erist

ic

Gas

troi

ntes

tinal

can

cer

HR fo

r GI-H

L vs

. GI-1

(ref

) HR

95%

CI

P

valu

e

Esop

hage

al c

ance

r HR

for

GI-H

L vs

. GI-1

(ref

) H

R

95

% C

I

P va

lue

Gas

tric

can

cer

HR f

or G

I-HL

vs. G

I-1 (r

ef)

HR

9

5% C

I

P va

lue

Colo

rect

al c

ance

r HR

for

GI-H

L vs

. GI-1

(ref

) H

R

95%

CI

P

valu

e U

niva

riabl

e 1.

30

1.03

-1.6

5 0.

03

1.20

0.

79-1

.85

0.41

1.

33

0.91

-1.9

6 0.

15

1.36

0.

90-2

.06

0.15

Ad

ded

char

acte

ristic

Ye

ar o

f inc

iden

ce

1.30

1.

03-1

.64

0.03

1.

20

0.78

-1.8

5 0.

41

1.35

0.

92-1

.98

0.13

1.

34

0.88

-2.0

3 0.

17

Age

at d

iagn

osis

1.30

1.

03-1

.64

0.03

1.

18

0.77

-1.8

3 0.

45

1.37

0.

93-2

.01

0.12

1.

35

0.89

-2.0

4 0.

16

Gen

der m

ale

vs. f

emal

e 1.

30

1.03

-1.6

4 0.

03

1.21

0.

78-1

.86

0.40

1.

34

0.91

-1.9

7 0.

14

1.36

0.

90-2

.06

0.15

St

age

I/II

vs. I

II/IV

1.

38

1.09

-1.7

4 0.

008

1.14

0.

74-1

.75

0.57

1.

54

1.05

-2.2

8 0.

03

1.44

0.

95-2

.18

0.09

G

rade

of d

iffer

entia

tion*

1.

32

1.04

-1.6

7 0.

02

1.20

0.

78-1

.85

0.42

1.

34

0.91

-1.9

6 0.

14

1.47

0.

97-2

.24

0.07

Su

rger

y no

vs.

yes

1.

51

1.19

-1.9

1 0.

001

1.43

0.

93-2

.21

0.11

1.

86

1.26

-2.7

5 0.

002

1.35

0.

89-2

.05

0.16

RT

no

vs. y

es

1.24

0.

98-1

.58

0.07

1.

14

0.74

-1.7

7 0.

55

1.34

0.

91-1

.97

0.14

1.

23

0.81

-1.8

8 0.

33

CT n

o vs

. yes

1.

32

1.04

-1.6

7 0.

02

1.08

0.

70-1

.69

0.72

1.

40

0.95

-2.0

7 0.

09

1.38

0.

91-2

.09

0.13

Tu

mor

(sub

)site

† 1.

32

1.04

-1.6

7 0.

02

1.15

0.

74-1

.79

0.54

1.

71

1.14

-2.5

5 0.

009

1.29

0.

85-1

.96

0.24

M

orph

olog

y AC

vs.

SCC

1.11

0.

72-1

.73

0.63

Page 25: 3. Overall and disease-specific survival of Hodgkin ... 3.pdf · Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) survivors have an increased risk of gastrointestinal (GI) cancer. This study aims to evaluate

Supp

lem

enta

ry ta

ble

4. Im

pact

of p

atie

nt a

nd tu

mor

cha

ract

erist

ics

on d

iseas

e-sp

ecifi

c su

rviv

al d

iffer

ence

of g

astr

oint

estin

al c

ance

r in

Hod

gkin

lym

phom

a su

rviv

ors

(GI-H

L) a

nd fi

rst p

rimar

y ga

stro

inte

stin

al c

ance

r pat

ient

s (G

I-1).

Char

acte

ristic

Gas

troi

ntes

tinal

can

cer

HR fo

r GI-H

L vs

. GI-1

(ref

) HR

95%

CI

P v

alue

Esop

hage

al c

ance

r HR

for G

I-HL

vs. G

I-1 (r

ef)

HR

95

% C

I

P va

lue

Gas

tric

can

cer

HR fo

r GI-H

L vs

. GI-1

(ref

) HR

95%

CI

P

valu

e

Colo

rect

al c

ance

r HR

for G

I-HL

vs. G

I-1 (r

ef)

HR

95

% C

I

P va

lue

Uni

varia

ble

1.29

1.

00-1

.67

0.04

9 1.

17

0.7

5-1.

84

0.49

1.

43

0.95

-2.1

3 0.

08

1.27

0.

77-2

.10

0.35

Ad

ded

char

acte

ristic

Ye

ar o

f inc

iden

ce

1.29

1.

00-1

.67

0.04

8 1.

17

0.7

5-1.

84

0.49

1.

44

0.97

-2.1

6 0.

07

1.26

0.

76-2

.09

0.36

Ag

e at

dia

gnos

is 1.

29

1.00

-1.6

7 0.

049

1.16

0

.74-

1.82

0.

53

1.46

0.

97-2

.18

0.07

1.

27

0.77

-2.0

9 0.

36

Gen

der m

ale

vs. f

emal

e 1.

29

1.00

-1.6

6 0.

053

1.17

0

.75-

1.85

0.

49

1.43

0.

96-2

.14

0.08

1.

27

0.77

-2.1

0 0.

36

Stag

e I/

II vs

. III/

IV

1.37

1.

06-1

.77

0.02

1.

10

0.7

0-1.

74

0.67

1.

66

1.11

-2.4

9 0.

01

1.38

0.

83-2

.28

0.21

G

rade

of d

iffer

entia

tion*

1.

31

1.01

-1.6

9 0.

04

1.17

0

.75-

1.84

0.

49

1.43

0.

96-2

.14

0.08

1.

36

0.82

-2.2

5 0.

24

Surg

ery

no v

s. y

es

1.52

1.

17-1

.96

0.00

1 1.

41

0.9

0-2.

22

0.14

2.

00

1.33

-3.0

1 0.

001

1.24

0.

75-2

.06

0.39

RT

no

vs.

yes

1.

24

0.96

-1.6

0 0.

11

1.13

0

.72-

1.79

0.

60

1.43

0.

95-2

.13

0.09

1.

13

0.68

-1.8

7 0.

64

CT n

o vs

. yes

1.

32

1.02

-1.7

1 0.

03

1.06

0

.67-

1.69

0.

80

1.52

1.

01-2

.28

0.04

5 1.

31

0.79

-2.1

6 0.

30

Tum

or (s

ub)s

ite†

1.30

1.

01-1

.68

0.04

1.

11

0.70

-1.7

6 0.

67

1.80

1.

19-2

.74

0.00

6 1.

11

0.66

-1.8

6 0.

70

Impa

ct o

f oth

er fa

ctor

s on

HR

for G

I-HL

vs. G

I-1 (r

ef),

indi

cate

d in

bol

d in

cas

e of

a >

10%

cha

nge.

Ab

brev

iatio

ns: G

I-HL,

gas

troi

ntes

tinal

can

cer i

n H

odgk

in ly

mph

oma

surv

ivor

s; G

I-1, f

irst p

rimar

y ga

stro

inte

stin

al c

ance

r pat

ient

s; H

R, h

azar

d ra

tio; 9

5% C

I, 95

% c

onfid

ence

inte

rval

. *

Wel

l-mod

erat

e vs

. poo

r-un

diffe

rent

iate

d.

† G

astr

oint

esna

l can

cer:

esop

hagu

s/ga

stric

vs.

sm

all b

owel

/col

orec

tum

, eso

phag

eal c

ance

r: up

per v

s. o

ther

, gas

tric

: ant

rum

/pyl

orus

vs.

oth

er, c

olor

ecta

l ca

ncer

: col

on v

s. re

ctum

.