Upload
gary-sutton
View
217
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Lecture
Swaps (Interest and Currency)
FINANCIAL ENGINEERING:DERIVATIVES AND RISK MANAGEMENT(J. Wiley, 2001)
K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche
Version 1/9/2001
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Topics Interest Rate Swaps
Introduction
Altering Cash Flows with a Swap
Cash Flows, Comparative Advantage and
Gains in the Swap
Valuation/Pricing a Swap (as bond portfolio)
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Introduction
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Introduction
• Swaps are privately arranged contracts in which parties agree to exchange cash flows.
• Swap contracts originated in about 1981.
• Largest markets is in interest rate swaps, but currency swaps are also actively traded.
• Most common type of interest rate swap is ‘Plain vanilla’ or fixed-for floating rate swap.
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Interest Rate Swaps
• Swaps can be used …
… to alter a series of floating rate payments (or
receipts). … to reduce interest rate risk of financial
institutions Swaps are used by some firms who can borrow
relatively cheaply in either the fixed or floating rate market.
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Interest Rate Swaps
A “plain vanilla” interest rate swap involves one party agreeing to pay fixed and another party agreeing to pay floating (interest rate), at specific time periods (eg. Every 6 months) over the life of the swap (eg 5 years).
Often a firm will borrow say“floating” from its bank and then go to a swap dealer who will agree to pay the firm “floating” , while the firm pays the swap dealer “fixed”
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Altering Cash Flows with a Swap
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Floating to Fixed: Liability
Fixed to Floating :Liability
Issue Floating Rate Bond or takes out bank loan at floating rate
Firm’s Swap LIBOR
LIBOR + 0.5
6% fixed
Net Payment for firm = 0.5 + 6.0 = 6.5% (= fixed)
Issue Fixed Rate Bondor take out bank loan at fixed rate
Firm’s Swap 6% fixed
6.2% fixed
LIBOR
Net Payment for firm = 0.2% + LIBOR (= floating)
Corporate Alters its (liability) cash flows with Swap
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Swap : Financial Intermediary
Financial Intermediary
FI’s Swap 11% fixed
12% fixed
LIBOR
After swapNet Receipts = (12 - 11) + LIBOR - (LIBOR-1) = 2% (fixed)
LIBOR-1%
Without swap if LIBOR>13% F.I. makes a loss
Mortgagees Depositor
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Reasons for Interest Rate Swaps
• 1) Hedge Risk• S&L (Building Soc) has fixed rate
mortgage receipts and pays out LIBOR on deposits
• (see above)
• 2) Lowers Overall Costs of bank loans • -for two (ie. Both corporate) borrowers
- (this is the “Principle of Comparative Advantage)
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Figure 1:Cash Flows in a Swap at t: Receive Fixed and Pay FloatingEquivalent to ‘long’ a fixed coupon bond and ‘short’ an FRN
ReceiveFixed
PayFloating
0 t 6m 12m n
...
0 t n
...t= 3-monthsA dashed line indicates an uncertain cash flowIn practice, the principal is not exchanged
18
6m 12m 18
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Figure 2: Ex-post Net Payments
Firm-B: Floating Rate Receiver (Fixed Rate Payer)
15th Sept(LIBOR = 10.0%)
15th March15th March(LIBOR=11%)
$ 100m(0.11-0.10)(1/2) = $ 5,000
$ 100m(0.10-0.10)(1/2) = $ 0
Fixed Rate = 10%
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Comparative Advantageand
Gains in the swap
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Comparative Advantage: Gains in the swap
A ultimately desires/wants to borrow floatingB ultimately desires/wants to borrow fixed
DIRECT BORROWING COSTS for A and BFixed Floating
• Firm-A 10.00 (Ax) LIBOR + 0.3% (AF)
• Firm-B 11.20 (Bx) LIBOR + 1.0% (BF)
Note that A can borrow at lower rate than B at both the fixed and floating rate (“A has absolute advantage”= higher credit rating). But the swap route will still be beneficial to BOTH A and B.
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Why not borrow directly in desired form ?
A ultimately desires to borrow floatingB ultimately desires to borrow fixed
Total Cost to A+B of DIRECT borrowing in desired form
BX + AF = 11.2 +(L+0.3) = L + 11.5Total Cost to A+B if initially borrow in “NON-DESIRED
form
AX + BF = 10.0 + (L + 1.0 ) = L + 11.0Hence TC is lower if initially borrow in “NON-DESIRED”
Net overall gain to A+B = (BX + AF) - (AX + BF) = 0.5Assume this is arbitrarily split 0.25 eachSwap provides mechanism to achieve this
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Table 1 : Borrowing Rates Facing A and B
Fixed Floating
Firm-A 10.00 (Ax) LIBOR + 0.3% (AF)
Firm-B 11.20 (Bx) LIBOR + 1.0% (BF)
Absolute difference (B-A) (Fixed) = 1.2 (Float) = 0.7Hence B has comparative advantage in borrowing at a
floating rate (“pays less more” )Hence Firm-B initially borrows at a floating rate
NCA/Quality Spread Differential NCA = (Fixed) - (Float) = 0.5
= (BX - AX ) - (BF - AF) - as on previous slide
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
The Gain in the Swap
A ultimately desires to borrow floating
B ultimately desires to borrow fixed
1a)BUT B initially borrows “direct” at floating L+1.0
2) Assume B agrees in leg1 of swap to receive LIBOR
B’s Net payment so far is fixed 1.0
B’s (direct cost fixed - swap gain)
= 11.2-0.25=10.95
3) Hence in leg2 of swap B must pay 10.95-1.0 =9.95
( A will now also “fit” OK - see over )
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Figure 3 Interest Rate Swap (A and B)
3)B pays A fixed 9.95%
Firm BFirm A2)A pays B at LIBOR
1a)Issues(Borrows) Floating at LIBOR + 1%
1a)Issues(Borrows) Fixed at 10%
IN THE SWAP:
B is floating rate receiver and fixed rate payer
A is floating rate payer and fixed rate receiver
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Figure 4 Swap Dealer
Swap Dealer
Firm BFirm A
1a)Issues Floating at LIBOR + 1%
1b)Issues Fixed at 10%
2b)Floating LIBOR 2a)Floating LIBOR
3b)Fixed 10%3a)Fixed 9.9%
Note: Assume swap dealer makes 0.1 and A and B gain 0.2 each Note: Swap Dealer makes no profit on the floating rate leg
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Table 14.2 :Indicative Pricing Schedule for Swaps
Maturity Current T-bond rate
Bank pays fixed Bank receivesfixed
4 years 7.95 4 years TB + 40bp 4 year TB + 50 bp
5 years 8.00 5 years TB + 46bp 5 year TB + 56 bp
6 years 8.05 6 years TB + 58bp 6 year TB + 68 bp
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Valuation of Interest Rate Swaps
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Valuation of Interest Rate Swaps
• Pricing swaps using a synthetic bond portfolio
Valuing the floater (variable payments) at inception, all the receipts on a floating
rate bond have a value equal to the notional principal or par value, Q
immediately after a coupon payment on a floating rate bond, its value also equals the par value, Q.
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Valuation of Interest Rate Swaps
Fixed payments = fixed rate coupon bondFloating payments = floating rate bond
Fixed receipts-floating payerV(swap) = BX - BF
BX = price of coupon bond (using spot rates) - this is straightforward
BX = Ci e-ri.ti + Q e-r. n (tn)
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
0 1 2 3
Q r1 Q f12
Q (1+f23)
f12 f12
r1
r2
r3
V( ALL future receipts at t=0 ) = Q (surprised?)
Value of Cash Flows on FRN at t = 0
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
(Original time t = 0)
0 1 2
Q r1
Q (1+f12)
Note : We re-date end of year-1 as time t = 0.
V( ALL future receipts at t=1 ) = Q (more surprised?)
Value of cash flows, FRN at t=1
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
0 1 2 3
Q r1
t
Q f12 Q (1+f23)
r1 f12 f23
r1-t
r2-t
r3-t
Note : If t = 0.25 years into the swapthen 1-t = 0.75 years,, 2-t = 1.75 years, 3-t = 2.75 years
Value of cash flows FRN, between payment dates
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
0 1 2 3
Q (1 + r1)
t
It can be shown that BF= V(FRN at t) = Q (1 + r1) / (1+r1-t)
Value of cash flows between payment dates :Equivalent Cash Flow
r1-t
r1
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
End of
Interest Rate Swaps
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Currency Swaps
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Topics Currency Swaps
Reasons for Swap
Cash Flows, Comparative Advantage and
Gains in the Swap
Valuation of Currency Swap
as bond portfolio
as series of forward contracts
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Reason for undertaking a currency swap
• US firm (‘Uncle Sam’)with a subsidiary in France wishes to raise finance in French francs (FRF).
• The FRF receipts from the subsidiary in France will be used to pay off the debt.
• (This minimises foreign exchange risk)
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Reason for undertaking a swap
• French firm (‘Effel’) with a subsidiary in the US might wish to issue dollar denominated debt
• It will eventually pay off the interest and principle with dollar revenues from its subsidiary.
• This reduces foreign exchange exposure.
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
• Assume Uncle Sam can raise finance (relatively) cheaply in dollars (say $100m) and
Assume Effel can raise funds cheaply in FRF (say FRF500)
• They might INITIALLY do so and then SWAP the payments of principal and interest.
• So the Effel ENDS UP paying dollars and the USam paying FRF
The Currency Swap
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Cash Flows in a FX Swap: Receive FRF and Pay USD
ReceiveFRF
PayUSD
0 t 6m 12m n
...
0 t n
...t= 3-monthsWe assume both USD and FRF are at fixed rates of interest
18
6m 12m 18
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Borrowing Costs
and
Comparative Advantage
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Dollar FRF
Uncle Sam 8% 11.5%
Effel 10% 12.0%
Absolute Difference 2% 0.5%
Effel:Comparative Advantage borrowing FRF
Net Comparative Advantage = 2 - 0.5 = 1.5%
T3: Borrowing Costs and Comparative Advantage
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Table 3 : Borrowing Rates (Contin)
• Effel has comparative advantage in borrowing in FRF.
• Hence Effel initially borrows in FRF
• Note ultimately Effel wants to borrow USD and Uncle Sam wants to borrow FRF’s. This is the motivation for the swap.
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Figure 5 Outset of a Currency Swap
French Bondholders
FRF500m
US Bondholders
$100
Effel Uncle SamSwap DealerFRF 500m
$ 100m
FRF 500m
$ 100m
$ 10
0m
8%
FR
F 5
00m
12%
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Effel initially borrows FRF at 12.0%
Uncle Sam initially borrows USD at 8%
However they then swap payments because:
Uncle Sam ultimately wants to borrow FRF
Effel ultimately wants to borrow dollars
Outset of a Currency Swap
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
If USam and Effel were to (stupidly) initially borrow directly in their desired currency then
Total Cost (direct) = USam FRF + Effel $’s = 11.5 + 10 = 21.5
But by initially borrowing in their CA currenciesTotal Cost (CA) = USam $’s + Effel FRF
= 8 + 12 = 20
Hence Gain in the Swap = 21.5-20 = 1.5 (as before)
Source of gains in the Swap
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Assume (arbitrarily) the 1.5% gain is split)
Swap dealer gets 0.4% Uncle Sam gets 0.3%Effel gets 0.8%
Splitting the gains in the Swap
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
USam gain of 0.3% impliesUSam pays 11.5 – 0.3 = 11.2% on the FRF leg (would have had to pay 11.5% directly)
Effel’s gain of 0.8% impliesits dollar payments in the swap are reduced from a direct cost of 10% (table 3) to 9.2%
Swap dealer: assume (for simplicity)Pays Uncle Sam 8% in dollarsPays Effel 12% in FRF
- so that the two firms payments and receipts are matched (ie. no FX risk for them)
Gains in the Swap
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Figure 6: Interest Flows on Currency Swap
French BondholdersFRF 500m
US Bondholders
$ 100 m
Effel Uncle SamSwap Dealer
($ 9.2m)9.2%
(FF 60m)12%
$ 8m 8%
FR
F 6
0m
12%
($ 8m)8%
(FF 56m)11.2%
Swap Dealer: $Gain = 9.2 - 8 = 1.2%
FRF loss = 12 - 11.2 = 0.8%.
Net position = 1.2 - 0.8 = 0.4%
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Valuation of Currency Swaps
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Valuation of Currency Swaps
• Holding (long) a dollar denominated bond and issuing a FRF denominated bond. Receives USD and pays out FRF
• Payments/liability in French francs for ‘Uncle Sam’. Hence, appreciation of FRF (depreciation of USD) implies loss on swap.
• Two methods :
– Currency swap as a bond portfolio– Currency swap as a set of forward contracts
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Figure A14.5 : Currency Swap
Timet 1 2 3 n
F1
Cd Cd Cd Cd Cd
Cf1 Cf2 Cf3 Cfn
F2
F3
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Value of swap in USD at time t :
$V = BD - (S)BF
BF is the FRF value of French (foreign) bond underlying the swap,
BD is the $ value of US bond underlying the swap, S is the exchange rate ($/FRF)
Suppose the swap deal of FRF 500m for $100m has been in existence for 1 year with another 3 years to run
Valuing Currency Swaps as a Bond Portfolio
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Valuing Currency Swaps as a Bond Portfolio
Exchange rates moved from S = 0.2($/FRF) to
S = 0.22($/FRF), r($) = 9%, r(F) = 8%
‘Uncle Sam’ $ coupon receipts in the swap = 0.08 ($ 100m) = $8m
‘Uncle Sam’ FRF coupon payments in the swap = 0.112 (FRF 500m) = FRF 56m.
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Valuing Currency Swap as Set of Forward Contracts
‘Uncle Sam’ receives
annual USD C$ = $8m and principal M$ = 100m
pays out CF = FRF 56m and principal MF = FRF 500m.
This is a series of forward contracts Value of forward cash flows : $(C$ - FiCF)
Forward rate today is : Fi = Ste(r($)-r(F))t
Each net cash flow : $(C$ - FiCF)e-r($)t
Example : Let S = 0.22($/FRF), r($) = 9%, r(F) = 8% V = -$21.66m (see textbook p. 376)
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Other Types of Swap
• Basis swap floating-floating swap yield curve swap
• Amortising swap• Accreting swap• Rollercoaster swap• Diff swaps or quanto swaps• Forward swap• Swap option or swaption
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Swap are over-the-counter (OTC) instruments.
Interest rate swap in practice involves the exchange only of the interest payments
Currency swap involves the exchange of principal (at t=0 and t=T) and interest payments.
Swap dealers (usually banks) take on one side of a swap contract
Summary Swaps
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
If Swap dealer cannot immediately find a matching counterparty ,may hedge the risk in the swap using futures or options
Swap dealers earn profits on the bid-ask spread of the swap deal
The cash flows on one side of a swap contract are equivalent to that party taking a long and short position in two bonds. This synthetic swap enables one to value a swap contract.
All swaps have a zero value at inception (this is how the fixed rate in the swap is determined).
Summary Swaps
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
Subsequently changes in the fixed interest rate on an interest rate swap lead to an increase or decrease in the value of the swap to a particular party.
(The value of the floating leg remains (largely) unchanged at par, Q).
A currency swap changes value due to changes in the fixed interest rate and in the exchange rate.
Summary Swaps
31/1/2000
© K. Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche
END OF SLIDES