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?WHAT IS
it’s MORE than a NUMBER...
SCIENCE
it’s about…
a SCIENTIFIC
TARGET…
CHANGING
CLIMATE
FOR OUR
it’s a opportunity
POLITICAL
a specific goal
to shift what’s possible for
A GLOBAL CLIMATE TREATY
it’s about…
MOVEMENT
moving away from fossil fuels
a rallying cry for a global movement
and a single day to join together
AND MAKE OUR VOICES HEARD
24 oct.
an international
day ofclimateaction2009
SCIENCE
THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT
390ppm CO2
today:
Do you think we’re above or
below where we need to be?
GLACIERS ARE MELTING
MUIR & RIGGS GLACIER 1941
MUIR & RIGGS GLACIER 2004
PEDERSEN GLACIER, AK 1920
PEDERSEN GLACIER, AK 2005
OCEANS ARE ACIDIFYING
Coral reefs are bleaching
SEA LEVELS ARE RISING
Three Year Average
Satellite Altimetry
Year
Sea L
evel C
han
ge (c
m)
WEATHER IS BECOMING MORE EXTREME
Burma cyclone death toll rises above
43,000. “ ”
- USA Today, May 15th, 2008
U.S. dealing
with Katrina’s wrath as death toll soars.
“ ”- International Herald Tribune,
August 31, 2005
Australia suffers worst drought in
1,000 years “ ”
- Guardian UK, Nov 7, 2008
Solomon Islands declare
FLOOD DISASTER.“ ”- Reuters Feb 4, 2009
MAJOR FLOODS PER DECADE
FORESTS ARE THREATENED
“Rapid Warming’ Spreads Havoc in Canada’s Forests.“ ”
- Washington Post, March 1, 2006
Australia fires spark calls for CLIMATE
ACTION“ ”- Washington Post, March 1, 2006
threatens the survival of
SMALL ISLANDS
Climate change could force
1 BILLION from their homes by 2050.
“ ”- April 30, 2008, The
Independent.
CREATES CLIMATE REFUGEES
[Small islands] are like the canary in the coal mine in terms
of the dramatic impact of climate change on a whole civilization of people. They
didn’t cause the problem, but they will be among the first to
feel it.
“ ”- James J. McCarth,
Oceanographer
impacts
LOCAL LIVELIHOODS
The most comprehensive review ever carried out on the economics of climate change warns that global warming could inflict worldwide disruption as great as that caused by the two World Wars and the Great Depression.
“ ”- Environmental News
Service
STERN REVIEW, 2006
The world has never faced such a predictably massive threat to
food production as that posed by the melting mountain glaciers of
Asia
“ ”- Lester Brown, Earth Policy
Institute, Author of Plan B
DISRUPTS FOOD PRODUCTION
Global Warming Increases Malaria, Dengue Fever Threat, UN Says.“ ”- Bloomberg, Nov. 27, 2007
AFFECTS OUR HEALTH:
Climate change will draw ever-deeper lines of division and conflict in international relations… over the distribution of resources, especially water and land.
“ ”- Report: World in Transition
THREATENS SECURITY:
The most startling evidence yet…
is the MELTING OF THE ARCTIC.
New predictions
Satellite observationsMean IPCC predictionMost likely change
(melt)IPCC range
Actual observed melting
it has melted nearly 80 YEARS ahead of when
scientists predicted
YEAR
% c
han
ge in
ice
cover
CO2 CONCENTRATIONS ARE OFF THE CHARTS
CO2 in PPM
TEMPERATURE
Years
Part
s p
er
Million
C
O2
TODAY: 387ppm
550ppm? More?
EARLY 1900S
LAST ICE AGE
Where we’ll be mid-century if we keep this up
390ppm CO2
today:
do you think we’re above or
below where we need to be?
So,
CO2 IN THE ATMOSPHERE
WE’RE HERE: 387
WE NEED TO BE HERE: 350
PA
RTS
PER
MIL
LIO
N C
O2
YEAR
“If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on Earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced from its current 387ppm to at most 350ppm.”
- NASA climatologist Dr. James E. Hansen,
2008
?HOW DO WE GET TO
GLOBAL EMISSIONS STILL RISING 2PPM PER YEAR
Total
Petroleum
CoalNatural Gas
Cement Production
YEAR
MIL
LIO
N M
ETR
IC T
ON
S O
F
CA
RB
ON
/YEA
R
IT MEANS PUTTING UP WIND TURBINESINSTEAD OF COAL PLANTS
IT MEANS PLANTING TREESINSTEAD OF CLEAR-CUTTING
RAINFORESTS
AND IMPLEMENTING AND IMPLEMENTING
A A THOUSAND THOUSAND
DIFFERENT DIFFERENT SOLUTIONSSOLUTIONS
that can create new jobs
And make our communities HEALTHIER
PA
RTS
PER
MIL
LIO
N C
O2
YEAR
Phase-out of coal by 2030
Improved forestry and soil
Reduced oil/gas use
GETTING TO 350
POLITICS
2009
IS A CRUCIAL YEAR
World leaders will gather to create a
new climate treaty at the end
of the year in Copenhagen.
1988: The IPCC was created to “provide
the decision-makers and others interested in climate change with an objective source of information about
climate change”
this all began 20 years ago
UNFCCC, United Nations UNFCCC, United Nations Framework Convention on Framework Convention on Climate Change created at the Climate Change created at the Rio Earth SummitRio Earth Summit
COPENHAGENCOPENHAGEN
RIORIO
KYOTO PROTOCOL 1997Ratified TreatyDidn’t Ratify
Signed, Ratification PendingNo Position
Each year there is a two-week Conference of the Parties (COP) to discuss the terms of the Kyoto Treaty
COP 12 Montreal, Canada 2005
10,000participants come together
from governments, corporations, media, civil society, and NGOs
to try to INFLUENCE this process
Now, Kyoto is set to
EXPIRE, and negotiators
must agree upon a new
treaty by the end of this year.
In 2007, at COP 13 in Bali, Indonesia
NEGOTIATORS CREATED THE BALI ROADMAP
•ADAPTATION
•MITIGATION
•TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
•FINANCIAL RESOURCES
IPCC
450ppm(in 2007- last
report)
MITIGATION TARGETS:
450ppm = 50% chance of 2°C
warming
As effects of warming grow, UN Report is
QUICKLY DATED.“
”-February 12, 2009, Yale
Environment 360
350ppm
has begun gaining traction in the INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE NEGOTIATIONS
Two degrees (450ppm) is really not a safe level for small island states. For many of them it would be like a death
sentence in the long run.“ ”- Leon Charles, Chair of the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS)
Gore won the loudest cheers [at COP14 in Poland) for supporting a tougher limit on levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere than a widespread aim of 450 ppm or more. ‘We will soon need to toughen that goal to 350,’ he said. – Reuters, December 2008
DECEMBER 2009
By the end of this year, negotiators must agree upon the final terms for a NEW CLIMATE TREATY in Copenhagen
Many are concerned about
the prospects for a treaty that is
fair and just:
•CDM
•CARBON TRADING
•INDIGENOUS REPRESENTATION
•KYOTO HASN’T REDUCED EMISSIONS
•FINANCING FROM DEVELOPED TO DEVELOPING NATIONS
But there is reason to hope that a new treaty could be BETTER
My presidency will mark a new chapter on American leadership on climate change.
There is a lot of work to be done this year. If the nations of the world were
to agree upon a deal right now, it would be FLAWED AND
INADEQUATE.
That’s why we need to make
our voices heard in 2009
THE MOVEMENT
POTENTIAL FOR A GLOBAL MOVEMENT:
WE ARE READY FOR ACTION: Global public opinion polls have found 9 in 10 people want action on climate change, and 7 in 10 want to see dramatic action ‘very soon’
WE ARE ORGANIZED: 110,00 civil society organizations listed on WiserEarth.org
WE ARE NETWORKED: Since 2007, Avaaz.org has collected 10 million signatures online for human rights and environmental causes
BILLIONS on email lists
100+ MILLION blogs
50 MILLION Facebook users
55 MILLION users/month on YouTube
Roughly 25% of the world’s population is on-
line.
A GROWING GLOBAL
CLIMATE MOVEMENT
BALI, INDONESIA
LEBANON
AUSTRALIA
[INSERT YOUR OWN CLIMATE ACTION PHOTO!]
Make the
INVISIBLE
VISIBLE
350: a simple, clear message for everyone who believes in
fighting for safety from DANGEROUS CLIMATE
CHANGE
Who is ?A global movement of concerned citizens
A network of partner organizations
Messengers
A coordinating team of young people from around the world
ALL OF US who seek a just and equitable solution to the climate crisis
CAMEROON
NUNAVUT, CANADA
NAGPUR, INDIA
BOGOTÁ, COLOMBIA
[INSERT YOUR OWN 350 ACTION PHOTO!]
350 IS A NETWORK OF 100s of
PARTNER ORGANIZATIONS
to the
GRASSROOTS
From INTERNATIONAL
NGOS
INSERT INFORMATION
ABOUT YOUR OWN ORGANIZATION’S
INFORMATION
350 IS AIDED BY INSPIRING
MESSENGERS
Climate change is already dangerous. As the Arctic melts and the small islands sink below a rising sea, the world cannot stand immobile. Inuit and all Peoples have the right to live safely in their culture. As a shared humanity, we must back away from the precipice. 350 is a good target to head towards.
-Sheila Watt-Cloutier, Former International Chair, Inuit Circumpolar Conference
Getting to 350 means changing everything about our global economy. It means providing clean-energy jobs to rewire every corner of the world and catalyzing a global transformation built on principles of equity and opportunity.
-Van Jones, Civil Rights and Environmental Advocate
Climate change is a reality. Life depends on a sustainable environment. With no world, there can only be nothing- no birds, no animals, no trees, no us. That’s why getting involved with 350.org is so important – it’s an effective way to take action to turn around the climate crisis.
-Desmond Tutu, Archbishop Emeritus
I am completely behind the 350 campaign. A shift from industrial agriculture to ecological, local food systems would be the biggest single step to move towards 350 and a safe climate, while simultaneously solving the food crisis.
-Vandana Shiva, Environmental Leader
350 IS COORDINATED BY A TEAM OF
YOUTH FROM AROUND THE
WORLD
Civilization is what grows up in the margins of leisure and security provided by a workable relationship with the natural world. That margin won’t exist, at least for long, as long as we remain on the wrong side of 350. That’s the limit we face.
-Bill McKibben, author, environmental leader, and Director of 350.org
And author and environ-
mentalist Bill
McKibben
THE SAME TEAM FROM STEP IT UP
2007
80% BY
2050
OUR STRATEGY:
CREATIVE ACTIONS
+
TARGETED AND SPECIFIC MESSAGE
=
REAL CHANGE IN THE POLICY DISCUSSION
GET INVOLVED!
24 oct.
an international
day ofclimateaction2009
ORGANIZE AN ACTION IN YOUR
COMMUNITY.
Six weeks before the UN climate negotiations in Copenhagen.
A SINGLE DAY TO JOIN TOGETHER
AND MAKE OUR VOICES HEARD
TO THE MEDIA
TO DECISION-MAKERS
TO THE WORLD
What will we do at these events?
United by our COMMON CALL TO ACTION…
WE WILL GATHER
WE WILL MARCH
WE WILL HIKE TO THE TOPS OF MOUNTAINS
WE WILL DIVE UNDERWATER
WE WILL RIDE OUR BIKES
WE WILL GET CREATIVE
WE WILL LOBBY OUR POLITICIANS
The options are open...
WHAT’S YOUR
IDEA?
WHERE WILL WE TAKE
ACTION?
iconic places
places we hold dear
places we hold dear
in the face of our changing
climate
places important places important to our to our
communities communities
OUTCOME
A GLOBAL MOVEMENT, CONNECTED BY THE INTERNET, WITH A
COMMON CALL TO ACTION.
JOIN THE
MOVEMENT.Take a stand for a fair global climate
deal that meets the latest science. SIGN UP!
Insert your contact info here
LOCAL
GLOBAL
SOURCES• BBC World Service Poll -
http://www.globescan.com/news_archives/bbc_climate/
• Hansen, James, et al. Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim? Submitted April 7, 2008.
• The IPCC 4th Assessment Report - www.ipcc.ch
• Baer, Paul, Tom Athanasiou and Sivan Kartha. "The Right to Develop in a Climate Constrained World: The Greenhouse Development Rights Framework"
• The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
• NASA - www.nasa.gov
• RealClimate.org
• Climate Safety - www.climatesafety.org
• New Scientist - www.newscientist.com