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    CHAPTER 5Financial Markets and InstitutionsUpdated: July 21, 2013

    The Capital Allocation Process

    Financial markets

    Financial institutions

    Stock Markets and Returns

    Stock Market Efficiency

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    The Capital Allocation Process In a well-functioning economy, capital (credit) flows

    efficiently from those who supply capital (credit) to

    those who demand it. Suppliers of capital (credit) individuals and institutions

    with excess funds. These groups are saving moneyand looking for a rate of return on their investment.

    Demanders or users of capital (credit) individuals andinstitutions who need to raise funds to finance theirinvestment opportunities. These groups are willing topay a rate of return on the capital they borrow.

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    How is capital transferred between

    savers (Sc) and borrowers (Dc)? Direct transfers stocks

    and bonds, securities

    Investment bankinghouse - Underwriting

    Financial intermediariesbanks and mutual funds

    See Figure 5-1, p. 144Supply and Demand forCredit

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    What is a market?A market is a venue where goods and

    services are exchanged.

    A financial market is a place whereindividuals and organizations wanting toborrow funds/capital (Dc) are brought

    together with those having a surplus offunds (Sc).

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    Types of financial markets

    Physical assets vs. Financial assets

    Money (short) vs. Capital (long)

    Primary (proceeds go to firm) vs. Secondary Mkt. foroutstanding securities

    Spot (cash) vs. Futures

    Public (exchange-traded) vs. Private (banks)

    Derivatives Futures and options Foreign Exchange Currency

    See Table 5-1, p. 148 - 149

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    The importance of financial

    markets to economic growth Well-functioning financial markets facilitate the flow

    of capital from investors to the users of capital.

    Markets provide savers with returns on their moneysaved/invested, which provides them money in the future.

    Markets provide users of capital with the necessary fundsto finance their investment projects.

    Well-functioning markets promote economic

    growth. Economies with well-developed markets perform

    better than economies with poorly-functioningmarkets.

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    What are derivatives? How can they be

    used to reduce or increase risk? A derivative securitys value is derived from the

    price of another security (e.g., options and futures).

    Can be used to hedge or reduce risk. For

    example, an importer, whose profit falls when thedollar loses value, could purchase currency futuresthat do well when the dollar weakens.

    Also, speculators can use derivatives to bet on the

    direction of future stock prices, interest rates,exchange rates, and commodity prices. In manycases, these transactions produce high returns ifyou guess right, but large losses if you guesswrong. Here, derivatives can increase risk.

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    Types of financial institutions

    Commercial banks Citizens, Chase

    Investment banks Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan

    Mutual savings banks S&Ls Credit unions

    Pension funds

    Life insurance companies

    Mutual funds Vanguard, Fidelity

    Hedge funds

    See Table 5-2, p. 153

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    Physical location stock exchanges

    vs. Electronic dealer-based markets

    Auction market at aphysical location (NYSE) vs.Electronic Dealer market(NASDAQ)

    NYSE: 3000 companies

    NASDAQ: 2000 companies Differences are narrowing:

    Daily volume is equal

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    Stock Market Transactions Apple Computer decides to issue additional stock

    with the assistance of its investment banker. Aninvestor purchases some of the newly issued

    shares. Is this a primary market transaction or asecondary market transaction? Since new shares of stock are being issued, this is a

    primary market transaction.

    What if instead an investor buys existing shares of

    Apple stock in the open market is this a primaryor secondary market transaction? Since no new shares are created, this is a secondary

    market transaction.

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    What is an IPO? An initial public offering (IPO) is where a

    company issues stock in the public marketfor the first time (e.g. Google in 2004). See

    Table 5-3 on p. 159. Going public enables a companys owners

    to raise capital from a wide variety ofoutside investors. Once issued, the stock

    trades in the secondary market (NYSE,NASDAQ). Public companies are subject to additional

    regulations and reporting requirements.

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    Historical stock market performance,

    S&P 500 (1968-2004)

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    Historical Stock Returns SP 500 Return (%):

    1/22/1968: -94 (PV)

    1/22/2007: 1425 (FV)

    N = 39

    Solve for I = __________

    See Measuring the Market p. 164-165

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    Where can you find a stock quote,

    and what does one look like? Stock quotes can be found in a variety of print sources (Wall

    Street Journalor the local newspaper) and online sources(Yahoo!Finance, CNNMoney, or MSN MoneyCentral).

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    What is the Efficient Market

    Hypothesis (EMH)? Securities are normally in equilibrium

    and are fairly priced.

    Investors cannot beat the marketexcept through good luck or betterinformation.

    Levels of market efficiency Weak-form efficiency

    Semistrong-form efficiency

    Strong-form efficiency

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    Weak-form efficiency Cant profit by looking at past trends. A

    recent decline is no reason to think

    stocks will go up (or down) in thefuture. Stocks follow a random walk.

    Evidence supports weak-form EMH, but

    technical analysis is still used bychartists.

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    Semistrong-form efficiencyAll publicly available information is

    reflected in stock prices, so it doesnt

    pay to over-analyze annual reportslooking for undervalued stocks.

    Largely true, but superior analysts

    can still profit by finding and usingnew information.

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    Strong-form efficiencyAll information, even inside

    information, is embedded in stock

    prices. Generally considered to be not true--

    insiders can gain by trading on the

    basis of insider information, butthats illegal.

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    Conclusions about market efficiency Empirical studies suggest the stock market

    is: Highly efficient in the weak form.

    Reasonably efficient in the semistrong form.

    Not efficient in the strong form. Insiders havemade abnormal (and sometimes illegal) profits.

    Behavioral finance Incorporates elements of cognitive psychology to

    better understand how individuals and marketsrespond to different situations.

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    Implications of market efficiency You hear in the news that a medical research

    company received FDA approval for one of its

    products. If the market is semi-strongefficient, can you expect to take advantage ofthis information by purchasing the stock?

    No if the market is semi-strong efficient, this

    information will already have been incorporatedinto the companys stock price. So, its probablytoo late

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    Implications of market efficiency A small investor has been reading about a hot IPO

    that is scheduled to go public later this week. Shewants to buy as many shares as she can get her

    hands on, and is planning on buying a lot of sharesthe first day once the stock begins trading. Wouldyou advise her to do this?

    Probably not. The long-run track record of hot IPOs is not

    that great, unless you are able to get in on the ground floorand receive an allocation of shares before the stock beginstrading. It is usually hard for small investors to receiveshares of hot IPOs before the stock begins trading.