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© 2007 Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved. 3D IC & TSV Report Cost, Technologies & Markets November 2007 – Sample slides

3DIC & TSV Report - ABRA Electronics Corp. · PDF file3DIC & TSV Report Cost, ... • 3D IC wafer forecasts 2006-2012.. ... The number of interconnect/chip is converted into a

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© 2007 Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.

3DIC & TSV ReportCost, Technologies & Markets

November 2007 – Sample slides

© 2007 • 2Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.

ContentIntroduction ………………………...…………..………... 3

List of figures & Tables …………………………………..……. 4Acronyms & Definitions …………..…………………………… 5Objectives of the report ………………………………………. 6

Advanced Packaging Challenges …...……………….. 7Packaging evolution … ………….……....….…...................... 7From 2D to 3D ……………………………….…....................... 12WLP & 3D IC definitions ….……….………….....…….……… 13Trends for 3D stacking …….….………………..................... 16Packaging technologies 2005-2012 evolution …..……….. 183D interconnect Roadmaps …..……………………………... 19

3D IC Markets & Technology Roadmaps ………...... 21Why stacking chips in 3D? ………………….…………......... 23Market drivers details ………………….…………................. 243D enabling processes & technologies …………………… 29Technology Roadmaps:

• RF-SiPs ……………………………..……...... 30• Flash memories ……………….…….…...... 37• SRAM / DRAMs ……………….…..……...... 41• CMOS image sensors ……….…….…….... 49• MEMS………………...……………………….. 77• Logic- SiPs ………………..…………..…….. 86

Market Forecasts ……………………….....……........... 913D IC & TSV units forecasts ……………………………….… 928” versus 12” wafers breakdown …………………………... 100TSV product market segmentation ………………………… 102Equipment & Materials forecasts…………………….…….. 104

Packaging infrastructure & Supply chain ……..…. 108Geographical mapping … …………………………………..… 109Technology platforms infrastructure & providers … …….. 113Business models analysis …………………………………..... 114

3D IC - Scenarios for stacking chips ………….…. 119Processes & equipments …………………………………... 1203D IC – Interconnect technologies ……………………….. 123Bonding processes …………………………………………. 127

• Bonding technologies ……………………….. .128• Via-first vs. via-last …………………………… 131• TSVs manufacturing ………………………..… 142

– Cost comparison ………………143– DRIE vs. laser ………………… 145– Vias characteristics …………. 156– Vias filling ……………………... 158– TSVs vs. wire bonding ……..... 169

• W2W versus C2W ……………………………… 170• Bonding cost comparison ……………………. 178

Handling of thin die/wafers issues .........…………..……... 184Grinding/thinning concepts ………………………………... 202Examples of 3D realizations ………………………….......... 206

Cost of Ownership for 3D …...…………………….. 224Yole’s 3D Cost model presentation …………….………… 225Different 3D scenarios cost results ………………………. 2312D versus 3D stacking COO comparison ……………….. 235

Conclusions & Synthesis …………….…............... 242

Annexes ……………………….……………............... 249Packaging Definitions ………………………………….…. 250Bonding cost comparison ………………………….……. 260Yole Developpement presentation ………………….….. 262Presentation of Yole’s Multi-Customer Action ……..… 266

© 2007 • 3Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.

List of main figures & tables• 3D interconnect technology roadmap ………………...………. 20• Manufacturing cost of Flash memories over time …………... 27• NAND / NOR Flash players market shares …………............... 38• Flash memory market 2006-2011 evolution ………….…...…...39• DRAM players market shares …………………………………... 41• CMOS image sensors players market shares ……………….. 50• Image sensors technology migration …………………………. 53• Lenses camera module roadmap ……………………............... 74• 3D IC wafer forecasts 2006-2012 ..……………………………... 93• Market forecasts for 3D RF-SiP ….…………………………….. 94• Market forecasts for WL CSP CIS ….………………..………… 95• Packaging technologies breakdown in consumer imagers . 96• Market forecasts for 3D stacked Flash memories ………….. 97• Market forecasts for 3D stacked SRAM & DRAM …………... 98• Market forecast for 3D MEMS ………………………………….. 99• 3D IC wafers breakdown: 8” versus 12” evolution ……….. 100• 8” vs. 12” breakdown detailed per product ………………… 101• TSV based product segmentation …………………………… 102• Impact of 3D Packaging technologies in 2012 …………….. 103• 2006-1012 Equipment & Materials forecasts for TSV …...... 107• Geographical mapping of 3DIC & TSV Players ……………. 109• 3D IC Packaging infrastructure & Supply chain …………… 110• 3D IC & TSV applications & Market segmentation ………... 111• 3D ICs: Status of industrialization …………………………… 112• Industrial infrastructure & Supply chain ……………………. 113• Business model Analysis ……………………………………… 118• 3D IC & TSV technologies & Equipments …………………… 120

• Bonding processes: technologies comparison ……………. 130• “Via first” versus “Via last” integration schemes ……....…. 131• Integration schemes segmentation ………………..………… 139• Laser vs. DRIE cost analysis ………………………………….. 145• DRIE & laser: cost per wafer table …………………………….. 151• “Via first” micro-vias characteristics ………………………… 156• “Via last” micro-vias characteristics …………………….…… 157• “Via first” versus “Via last” filling options ………………….. 170• Technology comparison: TSV versus wire bonding ………. 171• W2W versus C2W technology analysis ……………………… 176• Cost comparison between C2W and W2W ………………….. 183• W2W and C2W scenarios vs. I/Os and chip sizes …….……. 184• Handling of thin wafers: technologies comparison ……….. 191• 3D IC & TSV scenarios: Via etching / Via diameters / Via filling

/ Via isolation processes developed ………………….……… 230• 3D IC & TSV scenarios: Bonding / Wafer handling / number of

3D stacked layer / bonding scheme processes developed . 231• TSV process cost @ 100K wspy ……………………………… 233• TSV process cost @ 500K wspy ……………………………… 234• TSV process cost @ 1M wspy ………………………………… 235• TSV manufacturing cost breakdown ………………………… 236• NAND Flash memories cost decrease over time …………… 239• Cost comparison for 2D versus 3D with W2W …………….... 241• Cost comparison for 2D versus 3D with C2W …………….... 242• Impact of CMOS Yield on 3D stacked system cost ………… 243• Relative time breakdown for bonding step ………………….. 262• Bonding cost per wafer depending on scenario / chip size 263

© 2007 • 4Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.

Why stacking chips in 3D?

• Trend is to move from 3D flexible configurations to 3D stacking and then to 3D ICs:

• There are different motivations for the development of 3D IC solutions:Form factor: to increase density (achieving the highest capacity / volume ratio)

Increased electrical performances: for shorter interconnects length (device speed) and better electrical insulation (to reduce electrical parasitances in RF applications)

Heterogeneous integration: integration of different functions (RF + memory + logic + sensor + imagers + different substrate materials + …)

Cost of 3D integration may be cheaper than to keep shrinking 2D design rules following the ITRS / Moore law

Stacked dies 3D ICPackage on Package

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3D IC market drivers summary

Heterogeneous integration Co-integration of RF + logic +

memory + sensors in a reduced space

Electrical performances Interconnect speed and

reduced parasitances

The integration of 3D technologies will enable performances, form factor and cost requirements of the next generation of electronic devices:

Density Achieving the highest

capacity / volume ratio

3D vs. “More Moore” Can 3D be cheaper

than going to the next lithography node?

“More than Moore”

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Form factor motivation:One of the hottest motivation to develop 3D ICs

• “The future is in smaller, faster, thinner and affordable devices that provide the ability to connectanywhere, anytime, with any service to get uninterrupted access to information, entertainment,communication, monitoring and control. From the user’s perspective, that’s a pretty exciting future.But for device manufacturers, getting to that future quickly and competitively requires solving somedaunting technology challenges. How does Motorola manage to include all of this technology whilestill creating iconic designs at affordable prices? Microminiaturization is the answer to makingsmaller and smaller devices doing bigger and bigger things” Dr. Aroon Tungare, Director ofminiaturization technologies at MOTOROLA in January 2007

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Performance motivation:Interconnect delay is the bottleneck

• On April 13, 2007, IBM announced it hassuccessfully incorporated through-silicon vias(TSV) into its chip making process that shortensdata-travel distances by up to 1000x and allowsfor 100x more pathways than 2D chips.

• Samples of chips using the 3D stackingtechnique will be shipped by year's end, withproduction ramping in 2008.

• IBM says it is fabricating a prototype SRAMdesign using 3D stacking technology andthrough-silicon vias with 300mm/65nm processtechnology, with samples starting in 2H07 andproduction in 2008. First products will be:

Wireless communications chips in poweramplifiers in wireless LAN and mobile applications

Future plans target high-performance serversand supercomputer chips

Cross-section image of IBM's "through-silicon-via“

technology in a stacked chip (Source: IBM)

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Cost motivation:NAND Flash memory costs won’t come down (source Samsung)

• Samsung predicts (November 2006) that NAND Flash memory cost won’t come down past 64Gbitcapacities: conventional cost-reduction approaches (smaller design rules) will have less effect and maylead the company to consider vertical stacking of memory cells on a single Si wafer. Samsung believesthat 3D IC technology will make possible to maintain the current pace of cost reduction:

2D approach

3D approach

Moore rule continuity

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Where and when does 3D comes into play?(source: Nikkei Electronics)

• The effect of smaller design rules is weakening in many types of ICs. To meet therequirements of the semiconductor rules, major chip manufacturers areinvestigating 3D IC technologies to stack chips vertically:

CPU + SRAM

DRAM

Flash

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Advanced packaging trends: 3D IC, SiP & SoC

Density

Functionality

3D IC or 3D SOC 3D SiP

Low Medium High

3D IC

TSV memories

3D stackingWB

memories

Low

Med

ium

Hig

h

TSV memories

+logic

3D stacking

WB memories+logic SoC

TSV (only a concept today)

2D SiP

2D

2 chips solutionWB

1 chip

3D SiP

WB

All these technologies will coexist!

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3D IC technologies and equipmentsVia drilling

Laser drilling

DRIE

Photolithography

Via filling

Electroplating

CVD

Photolithography

Wafer/Chip bonding

Adhesive, fusion oxide or metal-metal bonding

Chip alignment

Thinning

Grinding (BG)

CMP

Wet etching

Plasma etching

Laser OR

DRIE equipment

Coater

Mask aligner OR stepper

Metal deposition system

Coater

Mask aligner OR stepper

Flip Chip

Bonder

Adhesive, fusion oxide or metal-metal bonding

Wafer alignment

Wafer bonder

Wafer aligner

C2W W2W

Thinning equipments

Technologies

Equipments

Temporary bonding

equipments

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Vias integration schemes:“Via first” or “Via last”?

A “Via first” approach:

A“Via last” approach:

ThinningCMOS Vias BondingBEOL

ThinningCMOS+BEOL Vias Bonding

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Cost comparison example:µvias (DRIE/laser) vs. wire bonding

• The number of interconnect/chip is converted into a number of interconnect / wafer for 200 mm wafer:

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First conclusions• 3D IC markets:

– Flash and DRAM stacked memories, cache memories + logic, image sensors on DSP,FPGAs…

• 3D IC is at the R&D stage in the largest IC companies today and technical issuesare close to be solved:

– DRIE vs. laser?– Via filling process (Cu plating…) and materials (Cu, Polysilicon, W, others…)

– Via-first vs. via-last?

– W2W vs. C2W vs. C2C and type of bonding technology?

– Wafer handling of dies/wafers thinner than 50 µm

• The adoption of advanced packaging technologies could also change the industryfood chain of the semiconductor (FE vs. BE).

• Wire bonding tends to be limited in density and performances. Moreover, FlipChip cannot be used for chip stacking TSV seems to be unavoidable in thefuture for miniaturization first, increased performances and reduced cost later

• The current goal is to develop a cost effective technology tool box for 3D ICs

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Extracted slides…

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