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3rd Annual emsi Conference Karen Beard & Caroline Alexander | TIP Strategies, Inc . | October 16, 2013 . Photo credit: www.idahobyways.gov. Strengthening the Talent Pipeline About TIP Selected data examples Regional example: Greater Houston Partnership Q&A. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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3rd Annual emsi Conference Karen Beard & Caroline Alexander | TIP Strategies, Inc. | October 16, 2013
Photo credit: www.idahobyways.gov
Strengthening the Talent Pipeline• About TIP• Selected data
examples• Regional example:
Greater Houston Partnership
• Q&A
Photo credit: www.idahobyways.gov
• Founded in 1995• Based in Austin, TX• Expertise: economic &
workforce development strategic planning
ABOUT US
theory into practice
we design strategies that will support your community’s
vision for the future
More than 15 years of experiencein 100+ unique communities,across 29 states & 4 countries.
• Las Vegas/Clark County, NV
• Greater Phoenix Chamber• Puget Sound Regional
Commission (Seattle area)• Oklahoma City• North Jersey region• Fort Collins, CO• Richmond, VA• Blaine County, ID
Strategy
• Greater Houston Partnership
• Clarksville-Montgomery County, TN
• Wired 65 (Louisville area)• Frisco, Texas• Purchase Region Ind. Park
(Western KY)• Pearland, TX• Lower Rio Grande Valley
Workforce
• Fort Hood (Killeen, TX)• Fort Campbell
(Hopkinsville, KY/ Clarksville, TN)
• Anniston Army Depot (Anniston, AL)
• Sheppard AFB (Wichita Falls, TX)
• Fort Knox (Elizabethtown, KY)
• Eglin AFB (Okaloosa County, FL)
Military
Our Services | Selected Projects
Strengthening the Pipeline
• Using employment data to:– Profile your labor market – Align target industries with labor
market strengths– Leverage specific talent pools– Address regional challenges
Unleash the Power!
Labor Market Profile: PSRCPuget Sound Regional Council (PSRC)4-county region including Seattle Washington
Counties
2011 Emp.
2011 Median Hourly
Earnings
2011-2021 Projected
Change in the Job Base
Net Chg.
Pct Chg.
King 1,472,666 $23.19 +144,8
60+10%
Kitsap 122,928 $19.11 +10,048 +8%
Pierce 374,964 $19.12 +34,088 +9%
Snohomish 322,405 $18.61 +28,08
9 +9%
PSRC region
2,292,963 $21.66 +217,0
85 +9%Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.2; TIP Strategies, Inc.
10
PSRC: Occupational Criteria
Objective Measure Weight Threshold
1 Job quality Relative median earnings, 2011 40% ≥ 100 of region
2 Critical mass Employment level, 2011 30% > 200 jobs
3 Relative advantage Location quotient, 2011 15% Above US average (>1.0)
4 Momentum LQ momentum, 2001-2021 7% Strengthening over 20-yr cycle
5 Regional outlook Proj. job growth, 2011-2021 2% Positive projection 2011-2021
6 Job stability Job volatility, 2002-2010 2% Historic job change by percentiles
7 National outlook Bright outlook 2% USDOL identified
8 Green job Green applications 2% USDOL identified
Defining an occupational “short-list”Filtered 751 occupations to identify 248 priority occupations
Source: TIP Strategies, Inc.
PSRC: Employment Distribution
PSRC: Employment Distribution
Professional, scientific, and
technical services24.3%
Federal govt., civilian, except postal service
8.9%
Transportation equip. mfg.
8.7%
State government
6.5%
Credit intermediation
and related 5.6%
Insurance carriers and related
activities5.3%
Rest40.7%
Regional Staffing Patterns: Business & Finance OccupationsDistribution of occupational group by industry
Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.2; TIP Strategies, Inc.
PSRC: Employment Trends
PSRC: Employment Trends
SOC Code SOC title
Average annual
openings 2011-2015
13-1111 Management analysts 953
13-2011 Accountants and auditors 709
13-1199 Business operation specialists, all other 625
13-2051 Financial analysts 289
13-1079 Human resources, training, and labor relations specialists, all other 255
13-1023 Purchasing agents, except wholesale, retail, and farm products 208
13-1071 Employment, recruitment, and placement specialists 205
13-2072 Loan officers 165
13-1073 Training and development specialists 138
13-1041 Compliance officers, except agriculture, constr., health/safety, and transportation 137
13-1081 Logisticians 108
13-1031 Claims adjusters, examiners, and investigators 97
13-1051 Cost estimators 95
13-2081 Tax examiners, collectors, and revenue agents 88
13-1072 Compensation, benefits, and job analysis specialists 79
13-2099 Financial specialists, all other 78
13-2031 Budget analysts 43
13-2053 Insurance underwriters 32
13-2061 Financial examiners 18
13-2071 Loan counselors 17
13-1061 Emergency management specialists 9
13-1021 Purchasing agents and buyers, farm products 5
100
0 100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
(+) / (-) New demand Replacement
Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.2; TIP Strategies, Inc.
Estimated annual demand: selected Business & Finance occupationsJobs needed annually to meet demand from new and replacement jobs
PSRC: Earnings & Demographics
PSRC: Employment Trends
Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.2; TIP Strategies, Inc.
Current median hourly wages: selected Business & Finance occupationsMedian wages (line) in the context of the national wage range (bar)
SOC code Title
Median hourly wage
13-2072 Loan officers 34.19$
13-2031 Budget analysts 33.06$
13-1081 Logisticians 33.03$
13-1199 Business operation specialists, all other 31.49$
13-2061 Financial examiners 30.53$
13-1073 Training and development specialists 30.50$
13-1061 Emergency management specialists 30.18$
13-1051 Cost estimators 30.01$
13-2053 Insurance underwriters 29.85$
13-1023 Purchasing agents, except wholesale, retail, and farm products 29.34$
13-1072 Compensation, benefits, and job analysis specialists 29.00$
13-1021 Purchasing agents and buyers, farm products 28.92$
13-1079 Human resources, training, and labor relations specialists, all other 28.90$
13-2099 Financial specialists, all other 28.75$
13-1031 Claims adjusters, examiners, and investigators 27.59$
13-1111 Management analysts 26.82$
13-1071 Employment, recruitment, and placement specialists 25.93$
13-2011 Accountants and auditors 25.16$
13-2051 Financial analysts 24.48$
13-1041 Compliance officers, except agriculture, constr, health/safety, and transportation 24.01$
13-2071 Loan counselors 23.68$
13-2081 Tax examiners, collectors, and revenue agents 22.32$
$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80
Target Industry Alignment
Occupation-driven approach uses labor market data to document:
– Composition. Does the composition of my workforce match the needs of the industry or industries I’m targeting?
– Availability. Do I have a sufficient supply of workers in critical occupations?
– Training. What options are available to increase the supply of relevant occupations?
Composition of Workforce60-mile radius of Purchase Region (Western, KY)Manufacturing industries most likely to need the region's talentIndustries by row; occupations in columns
>10% share of thedesignated
5-10% industry's jobsthat are in the
1-5% selectedoccupation
<1%
Occupations ►
▼ IndustriesCement & Concrete Product Mfg. 2 1 2 31 4 2 2
Basic Chemical Mfg. 5 1 3 3 12 10 1 2Machine Shops 5 4 26 1
Iron & Steel Mills & Ferroalloy Mfg. 4 1 2 4 3 7 6 4 4Resins & Artificial Fibers Mfg. 5 1 5 9 5 7 1 2
Pesticide, Fertilizer, & Ag Chemical Mfg. 5 2 2 2 15 3 1 1 1Railroad Rolling Stock Mfg. 4 11 3 2 7
Steel Product Mfg. 4 4 2 3 2 1 6 2Alumina & Aluminum Production 5 1 3 4 3 5 2 2
Ag & Construction Machinery Mfg. 4 12 7 2 1Boiler, Tank, & Shipping Container Mfg. 4 14 3 3 1
Nonferrous Metal Processing 5 1 2 3 3 1 2 4 2Animal Food Mfg. 4 5 2 7 2 1 2
Lime & Gypsum Product Mfg. 6 7 3 2 2 1 1Architectural & Structural Metals Mfg. 4 12 2 1 1 1
Metalworking Machinery Mfg. 5 1 13 1Foundries 5 2 3 2 2 3 5
Petroleum & Coal Products Mfg. 5 1 2 3 3 3 1 1 1Other General Purpose Machinery Mfg. 4 6 7 2 1
Industrial Machinery Mfg. 4 4 7 2 1
SOURCE: EMSI Complete Employment - 2nd Quarter 2010
Extr
udin
g m
achi
ne o
pera
tors
Prod
uctio
n w
orke
r sup
ervi
sors
Indu
stria
l tru
ck/t
ract
or o
pera
tors
Wel
ders
Mac
hini
sts
Prec
isio
n in
stru
men
t rep
aire
rs
Out
door
pow
er e
quip
. mec
hani
csPl
ant &
sys
tem
ope
rato
rs
Chem
ical
equ
ipm
ent o
pera
tors
Indu
stria
l mac
hine
ry m
echa
nics
Truc
k dr
iver
s, h
eavy
Chem
ical
pla
nt o
pera
tors
Railr
oad
cond
ucto
rs/y
ardm
aste
rs
Rolli
ng m
achi
ne o
pera
tors
Met
al-r
efini
ng fu
rnac
e op
erat
ors
Pour
ers
& c
aste
rs, m
etal
Truc
k dr
iver
s, li
ght
Indu
stria
l pro
ducti
on m
anag
ers
Rail
tran
spor
tatio
n w
orke
rs
Wat
er tr
eatm
ent p
lant
ope
rato
rs
Cran
e &
tow
er o
pera
tors
Rail
car r
epai
rers
Chem
ical
eng
inee
rsTr
uck
& d
iese
l eng
ine
mec
hani
cs
Gas
pla
nt o
pera
tors
Loco
moti
ve e
ngin
eers
Railr
oad
sign
al/s
witc
h op
erat
ors
Tank
car
, tru
ck, &
shi
p lo
ader
s
Pow
er d
istr
ibut
ors
& d
ispa
tche
rs
Occupations with significant regional concentrations (LQ > 1.25)
SOURCES: EMSI Complete Employment - 2nd Quarter 2010
Labor AvailabilityEstimates of Key Occupational Demand for Toyota Expansion
Estimated Potential Demand*NAICS► 3361 3362 & 3363 Maximum Availability**
Industry► Assembly Core Suppliers Total Lee 10-CountySOC▼ Occupation▼ County Region*** Skill/Training Level Required51-2099 Assemblers & fabricators 499 93 591 61 ■■■■ 197 ■■■■ Moderate-term on-the-job training51-2092 Team assemblers 358 331 689 1,333 ■■ 3,376 Moderate-term on-the-job training51-4041 Machinists 67 74 141 148 ■■■ 360 ■■ Long-term on-the-job training51-9061 Inspectors, testers, & sorters 53 70 123 355 ■■ 876 Moderate-term on-the-job training47-2111 Electricians 50 20 70 206 ■■ 532 Long-term on-the-job training51-1011 Line supervisors of production workers 49 69 118 542 1,532 Work experience in a related field17-2112 Industrial engineers 47 43 91 53 ■■■■ 139 ■■ Bachelor's degree51-9122 Painters, transportation equipment 37 5 41 36 ■■■■ 86 ■■ Long-term on-the-job training17-2141 Mechanical engineers 35 31 66 34 ■■■■ 76 ■■■ Bachelor's degree51-4121 Welders, cutters, solderers, & brazers 30 44 74 178 ■■ 467 Long-term on-the-job training49-9041 Industrial machinery mechanics 26 30 56 105 ■■ 263 Long-term on-the-job training49-9042 Maintenance & repair workers 26 39 65 628 1,615 Moderate-term on-the-job training51-4111 Tool & die makers 25 48 73 71 ■■■■ 136 ■■ Long-term on-the-job training51-4199 Metal workers & plastic workers 24 10 35 na 15 ■■■■ Moderate-term on-the-job training53-7051 Industrial truck & tractor operators 23 48 71 376 1,063 Short-term on-the-job training51-2031 Engine & other machine assemblers 23 25 47 43 ■■■■ 146 ■■ Short-term on-the-job training49-9044 Millwrights 21 11 31 13 ■■■■ 41 ■■■ Long-term on-the-job training47-2152 Plumbers, pipefitters, & steamfitters 19 7 26 115 319 Long-term on-the-job training13-1023 Purchasing agents 16 14 30 77 ■■ 177 Work experience in a related field11-3051 Industrial production managers 16 18 34 87 ■■ 238 Work experience in a related field51-9198 Helpers--production workers 15 32 47 518 1,474 Short-term on-the-job training51-4031 Cutting & press machine operators 13 79 92 236 ■■ 576 Moderate-term on-the-job training49-3021 Automotive body & related repairers 13 na 13 77 186 Long-term on-the-job training
SOURCE: EMSI, Spring 2009 forecast; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, NAICS-SOC national crosswalk , May 2009; TIP Strategies, Inc.
*NOTE: Potential demand is estimated based on the following assumptions for local hiring by Toyota and suppliers (assembly = 2000 jobs, bodies = 100, parts = 1900)
**NOTE: The maximum estimated number of occupations available within the designated jurisdication.
***NOTE: The 10-county region includes Alcorn, Chickasaw, Clay, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tippah, & Union Counties
Potential Scarcity IndicatorToyota-related demand for this occupation is equal to:Ŷ 25-50% of local availabilityŶŶ 50-75% of local availabilityŶŶŶ 75-100% of local availabilityŶŶŶŶ >100% of local availability
Training
HISPANIC SCHOLARSHIP FUND1. Profiled occupations that will
demand the most college graduates over the 2012-2018 period.
2. Identified industries that will be most impacted by high-demand occupations (HDOs).
3. Cataloged fields of study that most closely link to HDOs.
21
Matching occupations with fields of study: selected STEM occupationsComparison of US annual openings with annual completions
Com
pute
r Sys
tem
s An
alys
ts
Com
pute
r Sof
twar
e En
gine
ers,
App
licat
ions
Com
pute
r Sof
twar
e En
gine
ers,
Sys
tem
s So
ftwar
e
Netw
ork
and
Com
pute
r Sys
tem
s Ad
min
istra
tors
Civil
Eng
inee
rs
Com
pute
r Pro
gram
mer
s
Indu
stria
l Eng
inee
rs
Mec
hani
cal E
ngin
eers
Com
pute
r Spe
cialis
ts, A
ll Oth
er
Engi
neer
s, A
ll Oth
er
10 target occupations (by SOC code) ► 15-1
051
15-1
031
15-1
032
15-1
071
17-2
051
15-1
021
17-2
112
17-2
141
15-1
099
17-2
199
Annual Openings (2012-18) ► 23,3
36
20,0
25
14,6
68
13,1
84
10,7
92
10,1
85
8,79
0
8,31
8
7,69
2
5,92
8
Completions* ▼ 14.1901 Mechanical Engineering. 18,374 11.0101 Computer and Information Sciences, General. 16,003 14.0801 Civil Engineering, General. 11,138 11.0901 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications. 9,983 11.0701 Computer Science. 9,012 52.1201 Management Information Systems, General. 8,473 11.0103 Information Technology. 8,223 11.0401 Information Science/Studies. 7,422 14.0901 Computer Engineering, General. 3,925 14.0101 Engineering, General. 3,622 14.3501 Industrial Engineering. 3,140 11.1003 Computer and Information Systems Security/Information Assurance. 2,650 11.0803 Computer Graphics. 2,371 11.1001 Network and System Administration/Administrator. 2,234 11.0201 Computer Programming/Programmer, General. 2,143 11.0501 Computer Systems Analysis/Analyst. 1,418 11.0301 Data Processing and Data Processing Technology/Technician. 1,048 14.0401 Architectural Engineering. 804 11.0202 Computer Programming, Specific Applications. 782 14.9999 Engineering, Other. 709
▼ related fields of study (by CIP Code)
Source: EMSI Complete Employment 2012.1, National Crosswalk Service Center. Notes: Completions include degrees/awards conferred for credit by institutions eligible to participate in federal financial aid programs. * Openings from occupations that require an associate’s or bachelor’s degree, less than one year of work experience, and an internship or no on-the-job training.
Leveraging Displaced Workers
SOURCES: Anniston Army Depot, URS Corporation, TIP Strategies.
Region of impact – Anniston Army DepotPlace of residence of affected workers
CALHOUN COUNTY, AL
23
Sidebar: Employer ZIP Code Data
CLARKSVILLE, TN
Leveraging Displaced Workers
SOURCE: Compiled by TIP Strategies from data provided by URS and ANAD on affected workforce
Industrial machinery mechanics = largest single occupational classification
Occupational distribution Occupational category of affected workers
Leveraging Displaced Workers
TOP INDUSTRIES AFFECTED OCCUPATIONS EMPLOYING MORE THAN 10 WORKERS
NAICS Code Industry description 11
-102
1 G
ener
al & O
pera
tions
M
anag
ers
11-3
071
Tran
spor
tatio
n,
Stor
age,
& Di
strib
utio
n Mgr
s.
11-9
199
Man
ager
s, A
ll Oth
er
17-2
199
Engi
neer
s, A
ll Oth
er
29-2
041
Emer
genc
y M
edica
l Te
chni
cian
s & P
aram
edics
29-9
011
Occ
upat
iona
l Hea
lth
& Sa
fety
Spe
cialis
ts
43-5
061
Prod
uctio
n, P
lann
ing,
&
Expe
ditin
g Cl
erks
43-5
081
Stoc
k Cl
erks
& O
rder
Fi
llers
43-6
011
Exec
utive
Sec
reta
ries &
Exec
utive
Adm
in. A
ssist
ants
47-2
111
Elec
tricia
ns
49-3
042
Mob
ile H
eavy
Equi
p. M
echa
nics
, Exc
ept E
ngin
es
49-9
012
Cont
rol/Va
lve In
stal
lers
&
Repa
irers
, Exc
ept M
ech.
Door
49-9
041
Indu
stria
l Mac
hine
ry
Mec
hani
cs
51-1
011
1st-L
ine
Supe
rviso
rs o
f Pr
oduc
tion &
Ope
ratin
g W
orke
rs
51-4
022
Forg
ing
Mac
hine
W
orke
rs, , M
etal
& Pl
astic
51-4
041
Mac
hini
sts
51-4
121
Wel
ders
, Cut
ters
, So
lder
ers,
& Br
azer
s
51-4
199
Met
al W
orke
rs & Pl
astic
W
orke
rs, A
ll Oth
er
51-8
021
Stat
iona
ry E
ngin
eers
&
Boile
r Ope
rato
rs
51-8
031
Wat
er &
Was
tewa
ter
Trea
tmen
t Pla
nt O
pera
tors
51-9
122
Pain
ters
, Tra
nspo
rtatio
n Eq
uipm
ent
53-7
051
Indu
stria
l Tru
ck &
Trac
tor O
pera
tors
3314 Nonferrous Metal (except Aluminum) Production and Processing
3313 Alumina/Aluminum Production & Processing 3251 Basic Chemical Manufacturing 3252 Resin, Synthetic Rubber, and Artificial
Synthetic Fibers and Filaments Mfg. 3329 Other Fabricated Metal Product Mfg. 3331 Agriculture, Construction, and Mining
Machinery Manufacturing 3221 Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills 3241 Petroleum and Coal Products Mfg. 3366 Ship and Boat Building 5622 Waste Treatment and Disposal 3312 Steel Product Manufacturing from
Purchased Steel 3315 Foundries 3339 Other General Purpose Machinery Mfg. 3363 Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing 3364 Aerospace Product and Parts Mfg. 4821 Rail Transportation 5612 Facilities Support Services
8113 Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance
Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.3, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, TIP Strategies.
Top industries Which industries are most likely to employ affected occupations?
Leveraging Displaced Workers
Ideal transition scenario is into an occupation with higher wages and stronger projected demand (i.e., upper right-hand quadrant)
SOURCE: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.3
Transferrable skillsWhat occupations could the affected workers transition to?
Leveraging Displaced WorkersOperation 1st RATE [Ready Able Trained Employees]
Leveraging Displaced WorkersJob Station | EMSI Career Coach
GHP Regional Workforce Development Task ForceThe Middle Skills Challenge
Skills gap: In the spotlight locally
Coverage focused on shortage of skilled workers in Energy and Construction sectors Rising wages
Project slow-down
Hampering ability to expand in Houston
Safety affected
GHP Regional Workforce Development Task ForceOBJECTIVE:• to create an action plan to address
the middle skills challenge in Greater Houston
SCOPE OF INITIATIVE:• project(s) that will address the areas
of highest need and yield results in a 1 to 5 year time horizon
1: Demand & Supply
Challenge:Why “middle skills” jobs and what are they?
… as many as 25 million new job openings in the US between 2010 and 2020 (47 %) will fall into the middle-skills category.
“Middle Skills” jobs are those that require at least a high school diploma but less than a 4-year degree.
Table 1.12 Education and training categories by detailed occupationSource: Employment Projections program, U.S. Department of Labor, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statisticshttp://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_education_training_system.htm
Typical education needed for entry
Work experience in a related occupation
Typical on-the-job training needed to attain competency in the occupation
Chief Executives 11-1011 Bachelor's degree More than 5 years NoneGeneral and Operations Managers 11-1021 Associate's degree 1 to 5 years NoneLegislators 11-1031 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years NoneAdvertising and Promotions Managers 11-2011 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years NoneMarketing Managers 11-2021 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years NoneSales Managers 11-2022 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years NonePublic Relations and Fundraising Managers 11-2031 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years None
Administrative Services Managers 11-3011High school diploma or equivalent 1 to 5 years None
Computer and Information Systems Managers 11-3021 Bachelor's degree More than 5 years NoneFinancial Managers 11-3031 Bachelor's degree More than 5 years NoneIndustrial Production Managers 11-3051 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years None
11-9031
2010 National Employment Matrix title and code
Used BLS education & training definitions to define skill levels:• “low” = less than HS, HS diploma/GED (no experience, little
or no OTJ training, no apprenticeship) • “middle” = HS diploma or equivalent (some experience,
moderate to long-term OTJ, or apprenticeship ), post-secondary non-degree award, some college/no degree, and associates degree
• “high” = bachelor’s degree or higher
Distribution of TOTAL employment by broad skill level, Houston MSA
Low38%
Middle41%
High20%
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies. Houston MSA based on 10-county definition.in use prior to February 2013
3.6 million jobs in Houston MSA in 20121.4 million are middle-skill jobs
Est. average ANNUAL openings, 2012-2017by broad skill level, Houston MSA
Low Middle High
78,832 74,177
41,624
With current estimates calling for 75,000 middle skills jobs to be added to the Houston MSA each year through 2017
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies. Houston MSA based on 10-county definition.in use prior to February 2013
Challenge:Adding detail while keeping the data accessible.
The Standard Occupational Classification
(SOC) system has 23 major groups 11-0000 Management 13-0000 Business & Financial
Operations 15-0000 Computer &
Mathematical 17-0000 Architecture &
Engineering 19-0000 Life, Physical, & Social
Science 21-0000 Community & Social
Services 23-0000 Legal 25-0000 Education, Training, &
Library 27-0000 Arts, Design,
Entertainment, Sports, & Media 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners
& Technical 31-0000 Healthcare Support
33-0000 Protective Service 35-0000 Food Prep & Serving
Related 37-0000 Building & Grounds
Cleaning & Maintenance 39-0000 Personal Care & Service 41-0000 Sales & Related 43-0000 Office & Admin. Support 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, &
Forestry 47-0000 Construction &
Extraction 49-0000 Installation,
Maintenance, & Repair 51-0000 Production 53-0000 Transportation &
Material Moving 55-0000 Military Specific
“Help Wanted” report has 10 broad categories:1. Sales & Office Support2. Blue Collar3. Food & Personal Services4. Managerial & Professional
Office5. Education6. Healthcare Professional &
Technical7. Healthcare Support8. STEM9. Community Services &
Arts10.Social Science
Distribution of middle skills OCCUPATIONS
by broad categories, Houston MSA
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies.
Blue Collar
Food & Personal Services
Sales & Office Support
Managerial & Professional Office
STEM
Healthcare Practioners & Technical
Community Services & Arts
Healthcare Support
Education
Social Science
188
38
27
22
22
21
18
9
3
(e.g. nurses, technologists, technicians)
(e.g. production, transportation, construction)
(e.g. technicians, drafters)
(e.g. therapists, assistants, aides)
Challenge:Narrowing the field. How do you focus on 348 occupations?
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversRegistered Nurses
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific ProductsManagers, All Other
First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction WorkersGeneral and Operations Managers
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support WorkersBookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks
Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and AttendantsMaintenance and Repair Workers, General
Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and BrazersCarpenters
Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative AssistantsIndustrial Machinery Mechanics
First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales WorkersMedical Secretaries
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies.
Average annual openingsHouston MSA, 2012-2017
Selected middle skills occupations with minimum of 150 projected annual openings
Staffing environmentEMSI Talent Market Analyst | 9-box
RELATIVE WAGEThis factor compares absolute wages with expected wages
SUPPLY & DEMAND This factor considers:1. concentration of
occupation in the region
2. changes in concentration over time, and
3. actual changes in the number of jobs
Houston-Sugar Land – Baytown, TexasRecruiting environment for software developers
Source EMSI http://www.economicmodeling.com/2013/05/17/thinking-inside-the-9-box-to-find-recruiting-options-with-talent-market-analyst/
High Demand Middle Skills OccupationsStaffing Environment
Description Supply/Demand
Wage Environment
General and Operations ManagersBusiness Operations Specialists, All OtherSales Reps, Wholesale and Mfg, Except Technical & Scientific Industrial Machinery MechanicsManagers, All OtherExecutive Secretaries and Executive Administrative AssistantsFirst-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales WorkersFirst-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support WorkersComputer Support SpecialistsFirst-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and RepairersWelders, Cutters, Solderers, and BrazersMachinistsRegistered NursesFirst-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction WorkersInspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers
MoreDifficul
t
Less Difficul
tSource: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2, Talent Management Analyst.
High Demand Middle Skills Occupations (cont.)Staffing Environment
Description Supply/Demand
Wage Environment
Plumbers, Pipefitters, and SteamfittersBookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing ClerksMedical SecretariesElectriciansMobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except EnginesLicensed Practical and Licensed Vocational NursesOperating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment OperatorsMedical AssistantsHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversMaintenance and Repair Workers, GeneralTeam AssemblersCarpentersAutomotive Service Technicians and MechanicsNursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants
More Difficul
t
Less Difficul
tSource: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2, Talent Management Analyst.
Construction Trades WorkersOther Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Motor Vehicle OperatorsHealth Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners
Other Management OccupationsMetal Workers and Plastic Workers
Health Technologists and TechniciansSupervisors of Construction and Extraction Workers
Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, and RepairersTop Executives
Business Operations SpecialistsAssemblers and Fabricators
Nursing, Psychiatric, and Home Health AidesOther Healthcare Support Occupations
Other Production OccupationsComputer Occupations
Plant and System OperatorsSupervisors of Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers
Supervisors of Production WorkersSupervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers
Operations Specialties ManagersLife, Physical, and Social Science Technicians
Other Construction and Related WorkersDrafters, Engineering Technicians, and Mapping Technicians
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000
High Demand, Middle Skills OccupationsRanked by estimated average annual openings, 2012-
2017Total average annual openings = 33,769 across 53
occupationsNeutral Hard to Fill Hardest to Fill
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies.
53 High demand occupations (HDOs)that support the region’s key industries
(e.g. energy, construction, manufacturing, healthcare)
Healthcare
STEMBlue
Collar
FILTERED OUT:• Sales • Food & personal
services • Community
services & arts
Relevance to Houston’s key sectors
Challenge:Getting a handle on employment when the economy is in MEGA expansion-mode.
Houston area investment over the next 5 years…
Source: Greater Houston Partnership.
100+expansion projects
20,000+
new, permanent JOBS
from 74 projects
$20+ BILLIO
Nin
investmentfrom 83 projects
Challenge:Getting the complete picture of the system.
The Crosswalk Validation Project
– Table 7 Connects SOC to Department of Education Career Clusters (& Career Pathways)
– Still not a one-to-one relationship
– Some discretion used to make best match
http://www.nrccte.org/resources/studies/crosswalk-validation-project
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Department of Education.
Health Science
Education & Training
Human Service
Transportation, Dist., & Logistics
Business & Administration
Architecture & Construction
STEM
Manufacturing
Law & Public Safety
Information Technology
Hospitality & Tourism
Arts, A/V Tech. & Communication
Finance
Ag., Food & Natural Resources
Sales & Marketing
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
88
0
0
988
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
Less than 1 year
At least 1 but < 2 academic years
Associates
At least 2 but < 4 academic yrs
Distribution of postsecondary awards of less than four-yearsRanked by 2012 completions by career cluster
Notes: Includes only those institutions eligible to participate in federal financial aid programs.
Source: Alvin Community College, Brazosport College, Houston Community College, Lee College, Lone Star College, and San Jacinto College
Health Science
Manufacturing
Information Technology
Transp., Dist. & Logistics
STEM
Business, Mgmt. & Admin.
Architecture & Construction
Education & Training
Human Services
Finance
Sales & Marketing
Arts, A/V Technology & Communications
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000
Distribution of non-credit completions for select collegesRanked by 2012 completions by career cluster
Manufacturing
Sales & Marketing
Business Mgmt. & Admin.
Health Science
Architecture & Construction
Transportation, Dist. & Logistics
Human Services
Hospitality & Tourism
Law & Public Safety
Finance
Education & Training
Arts, A/V Tech. & Comm.
Ag., Food & Natural Resources
Information Technology
Govt. & Public Adminstration
STEM
0 5,000 10,000 15,000
12,500
11,600
9,300
9,000
8,600
6,700
3,800
2,700
2,400
2,000
1,600
1,600
900
700
600
200
Source: EMSI, Department of Education Career Clusters.
Annual Openings for Middle Skills Jobs in Houston RegionRanked by annual openings, 2012-2017
Observations• Health professions dominate middle-skills
education awards• Almost a quarter of openings are for
supervisors & managers• Though almost three-quarters of
occupations are classified as entry-level, the actual job opening is for an experienced worker (replacement for retiree)
2: System “Gaps”
AwarenessPotential workers are not aware of the opportunities
in the middle skills segment or hold
inaccurate perceptions of the
jobs.
A
Basic Skills & Employability
Many potential workers lack some of the most basic
hard and soft skills needed for any
middle skills job.
B
CoordinationThe landscape of
programs and organizations with
a focus on workforce is broad
and varied, but also fragmented.
C
Data SystemsThe lack of
accurate, reliable data creates a
disconnect between demand
and supply.
D
3: Response
APPROACH:1.Sector-based, business-led2.GHP as the “System
Integrator”3.Based on primary data
Questions?
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[email protected]@tipstrategies.com
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