4 Morgan
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8/12/2019 4 Morgan
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OECD/IEA - 2009
, 19 2009, 19 2009
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OECD/IEA - 2009
2 &
&
,
&
2012
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& &
& , &
Financial crisis
Reduced investment
Financing constraints and lower demand leadto lower investment
and reduced capacity
Economic recession
Reduced energy demand
Lower income directly reduces demand forenergy services in near
term, but mightdiscourage spending on more energy-
efficient equipment in long term
Impact on energy prices
Lower in short term as demand stalls, butcould be higher in
medium term if impact of
lower investment outweighs impact ofrecession on demand
Environmental impact
lower emissions in short term, but lessinvestment in low-carbon
energy and more
efficient technologies could push upemissions in long term
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8/12/2019 4 Morgan
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OECD/IEA - 2009
, 2% 2009 1981
6%
4%
2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
( )
2008
2009
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OECD/IEA - 2009
& 1.6% 2009 2
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
1945 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2009*
2
1
*
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OECD/IEA - 2009
& &
( ) $90 , 19%, 2009
0
100
200
300
400
500
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009*
*
%
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OECD/IEA - 2009
$70 2009, 30%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009*
%
*
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OECD/IEA - 2009
40% 2007 2030, 93%
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
18 000
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
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8/12/2019 4 Morgan
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OECD/IEA - 2009
, 2007 , 200720302030
&
500 0 500 1 000 1 500 2 000
. /
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OECD/IEA - 2009
, 2008 , 200820302030
2030 ,
$
%
&
$
%
$
%
$
%
&
52%
15%
33%
58%
9%
33%
79%
17%4%
86%
14%
$ ( )
$
%
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OECD/IEA - 2009
22
2 3% 2009 28 , 40 2030
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
&
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OECD/IEA - 2009
22
450 450
2030, &
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
450
+
&
2020
65%
19%
13%3%
2030
57%
23%
10%
10%
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OECD/IEA - 2009
22
450 , 2020 450 , 2020
, , , , & 3.8 450
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
&
&
&
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OECD/IEA - 2009
& 2030 & 2030
450
81% 68% 2030, 20%
0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000
450
+33%
+49%
17%
15%
47%
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8/12/2019 4 Morgan
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OECD/IEA - 2009
OECD+
Non-OECD
20200
200
300
400
100
Financing in 2020
With OECD+ co-financing of
of non-OECD investment
OECD+
Non-OECD
5
450 450
450 $10.5 , 0.5% 2020 1.1% 2030
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
2015 2020 2025 2030
Billion
dollars
(2
008)
Other
Countries
Other MajorEconomies
OECD+
0%
$
billion
(2008)
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8/12/2019 4 Morgan
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OECD/IEA - 2009
& &
,
,
&
&
450
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OECD/IEA - 2009
2010 2010
( 20)
&
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....
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