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40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

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Page 1: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

40 years of sheep breeding in the UK

Geoff Pollott

Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Page 2: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Survey 2012 Headlines

Decline in purebred ewe numbers continues

Increase in ad hoc crossbred ewes

The continuing rise of the Texel as a terminal sire and as part of a crossbred ewe at the expense of the Suffolk

Further imports of new breeds to Britain and the decline of established British breeds

Yet more new composites

Page 3: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Background

June and December Census data collected annually (well almost!!!).

No information on breeds or matings.

In 1970, the newly formed MLC set up study groups to determine technical direction of each species.

No comprehensive information was available on sheep breeds in Britain – initiated 1st survey at tupping 1971.

Subsequent surveys carried out in 1987,1996, 2003 and 2012.

Page 4: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

The last 40 years in context

Total sheep numbers in Britain – June census

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000

Mill

ions England

WalesEngland & WalesScotlandBritain

30 breeds

90 breeds

75 breeds

60 breeds

Page 5: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

The rise of the crossbred

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1971 1987 1996 2003 2012

Perc

enta

ge o

f ew

es

Purebred

Crossbred

Britain - Source: MLC/Defra/EBLEX Sheep Breed Surveys

Page 6: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Changing hill breed numbers

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Mill

ions

Scottish BlackfaceAll CheviotsSwaledaleDalesbredRoughfellHerdwickExmoor HornWelsh MountainHardy SpecklefacedBeulahHill ewes as a proportion of all ewes

declined from 57% in 1971 to 31% in 2012

Page 7: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Disappearing purebreds?

  1971 1987 1996 2003 2012

Border Leicester 12 28 13 5 4

Romney Marsh 294 217 159 165 201

Devon Closewool 127 51 6 7 4

Devon and Cornwall Longwool 290 28 4 2 2

Whitefaced Dartmoor 39 1 6 5 4

Greyfaced Dartmoor 33 4 3 4 4

Hampshire Down 1 15 2 8 7

Southdown 7 4 9 7 9

Clun Forest 401 124 44 12 10

Dorset Horn 59 124 17 12 11

Kerryhill 209 47 2 13 10

Llanwenog 20 3 10 6 7

Total 1,492 646 273 247 273

Page 8: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Overall breed changes in 40 years

Year UK ImportedNewly

importedLost

importedCompo

sites

New composites

Lost composites Total

1971 ~50 1 1 ~52

1987 58 1 8 0 1 5 0 73

1996 58 7 6 2 4 0 2 75

2003 58 13 10 0 4 3 0 88

2012 59 18 5 5 5 3 2 90

30 12

Page 9: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

The era of the imported breed?

30 breeds imported over 40 years

- 5 not found in 2012

~ 545,000 ewes of imported breeds found in 2012

~ 20% of all non-hill ewes

Page 10: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

The rise of the Texel ewe

Texel not found in 1971 survey

“In 1973, thirteen Lanarkshire sheep breeders joined forces with ABRO to import twenty-seven Texel females and thirteen rams from France.”

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

1971 1987 1996 2003 2012

Thou

sand

s Estimated purebred Texel ewe numbers

Estimated crossbred Texel ewe numbers

Page 11: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Terminal sire purebred ewe numbers

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

1971 1987 1996 2003 2012

Thou

sand

s Suffolk

Texel

Charollais

Page 12: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Terminal sire crossbred ewe numbers

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

1971 1987 1996 2003 2012

Thou

sand

s SuffolkTexelCharollais

Page 13: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Changes in regular crossbred ewe types (000)  1971 1987 1996 2003 2012North Country Mule 311 3,233 3,809 1,915 2,094Welsh Mule   370 631 738 330Scots Mule   502 263 610 231Greyface 214 332 156 212 90Welsh Halfbred 304 410 250 130 28Scottish Halfbred 590 346 162 100 19Masham 406 249 162 56 32Suffolk x Mule/HB type 550 603 495 590 622Texel x Mule/HB type 0 32 220 307 862Suffolk x Hill 154 182 115 81 154Texel x Hill 0 25 28 92 76

Total 2,529 6,284 6,291 4,831 4,538

Page 14: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

A move towards more efficient sheep?

050

100150200250300350400450500

1971 1987 1996 2003 2012

Thou

sand

s

Lleyn

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1971 1987 1996 2003 2012

Thou

sand

s

Bluefaced Leicester

Charollais

Page 15: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Composites – many a dashed dream?

12 composites introduced in 40 years

- 4 disappeared

Meatlinc - the most enduring ~ 3,000 ewes

Easycare - the up and coming ~ 20,000 ewes

Page 16: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Conclusions and discussion points

Stratified crossbreeding structure still found

Balance shifting towards crossbreds

Many ‘irregular’ crossbreds

New breeds and composites still appearing

Breeds with real traits to offer find a place

Page 17: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Questions?

Page 18: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Demographic changes - flocks

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Nu

mb

er

(000

)

No. of flocks (000)

Source: BWMB

Page 19: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Demographic changes – breeding ewes

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Nu

mb

er (

mill

ion

s)

Ewes mated (Millions)

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Nu

mb

er

(000

)

No. of flocks (000)

Britain - Source: Defra December census

Page 20: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Demographic changes - Britain40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Nu

mb

er

(000

)

No. of flocks (000)

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Nu

mb

er (

mill

ion

s)

Ewes mated (Millions)

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Nu

nb

er o

f ew

es

Average flock size

Page 21: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Distribution of ewes and farms by breeding flock size

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1 to 19 20 to 49 50 to 124 125 to499

500 to999

1 000+

% of farms

% of ewes

54% of ewes are on 13% of farms

UK - Source: Defra June census 2012

Page 22: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Breeding ewe numbers by country

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

1971 1980 1987 1996 2003 2012

Mill

ion England

Wales

Scotland

Older ewes - Source: Defra December census

Page 23: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Scottish Hill ewes

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

1971 1987 1996 2003 2012

%

Mill

ion Scottish Blackface

All CheviotsTotalPercentage

Page 24: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

English hill ewes

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

1971 1987 1996 2003 2012

%

Mill

ion Swaledale

DalesbredRoughfellHerdwickExmoor HornTotal England HillPercentage

Page 25: 40 years of sheep breeding in the UK Geoff Pollott Senior Lecturer in Bioinformatics and Genetics

Welsh hill ewes

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

1971 1987 1996 2003 2012

%

Mill

ion Welsh Mountain

Hardy Speckle FaceBeulahAll Welsh HillPercentage