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    Entrepreneurship and Risk PremiumAuthor(s): P. E. PetrakisSource: Small Business Economics, Vol. 23, No. 2 (Sep., 2004), pp. 85-98Published by: SpringerStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/40229347.

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    Entrepreneurshipnd

    RiskPremium

    P. E.

    Petrakis

    ABSTRACT. This article deals with the measurement and

    determination f

    entrepreneurship.

    t utilises the ssue of the

    absence of the

    entrepreneur

    rom

    neoclassical

    theory

    nd uses

    the

    theory

    f

    portfoliomanagement

    o establish a model con-

    necting

    risk

    premium

    with the

    entrepreneurship remium.

    t

    shows that he

    non-systematic

    isk

    may

    be a

    satisfactory roxy

    of the level of

    entrepreneurial ctivity.

    The

    development

    of

    successful

    entrepreneurial ctivityproxy

    contributes owards

    the

    development

    of a theorisation f

    entrepreneurship

    nd an

    assessment of its contribution o

    growth.

    1. Introduction

    The renewal f interest

    n

    entrepreneurship

    s

    a

    factor f

    development

    f the new

    economy

    (knowledge-based conomy,

    new

    technology,

    smallbusinesses

    tc.)

    in

    thedecade

    1980-1990

    brought

    o the urface

    numberf

    problems

    hat

    surroundhe tilisationf ts

    ubstance. he most

    significant

    f

    these

    oncernshe

    nderstanding

    f

    its

    mportance

    n

    the

    growth rocess.

    The distinction etween he twomeanings

    (entrepreneur

    s

    entrepreneurship)

    s

    important

    from

    he

    perspective

    f a theoreticaloundation

    setting

    nd for he

    purposes

    f

    empirical

    tiliza-

    tion. he

    ntrepreneur,aving distinguished

    ole

    in

    the

    economy, equires

    fitting

    heoretical

    foundationo be

    accepted

    nd it is common

    knowledge

    hat

    n

    neoclassical

    heory

    his

    heo-

    reticalfoundationf its characteristicss not

    accepted. ntrepreneurship,hough,

    s a situation

    that escribeshe

    eneral

    tructural

    unctioning

    f

    the

    conomy

    nd of

    society,

    oes not ncounter

    the ame

    difficultiesf

    ncorporation

    n

    the heo-

    retical ndempirical odel onstruction.

    Final version

    accepted

    on

    August

    15,

    2001

    Department f

    Economics

    National and

    Kapodistrian University f

    Athens

    Stadiou 5 10562

    Athens,

    Greece

    E-mail:

    [email protected]

    The

    scope

    ofthe

    paper

    s

    to

    develop

    theoret-

    ical model f

    understanding

    f

    entrepreneurship

    insuch

    way

    s to be able to

    ncorporate

    t

    n

    an

    operational

    ormwithin

    growth heory.

    n

    the

    second and third

    ection,

    he relation etween

    entrepreneurshipheory

    nd

    entrepreneurship

    indicators s discussed. We proposethat the

    non-systematic

    isk s a

    satisfactory

    ndicator

    f

    the

    entrepreneurship

    evel.

    However,

    what s

    in

    question

    s whethert

    is verified hat

    the

    non-systematic

    isk

    NSR)

    expresses

    n

    a satis-

    factory

    anner he evel of

    entrepreneurship

    n

    an

    economy.

    his confirmationill be

    sought

    through

    he uccessive

    tages

    f the

    development

    of this

    paper.

    To

    begin

    with,

    discussion on-

    necting

    he

    measure

    entrepreneurship

    ndicator)

    and the

    entrepreneurialctivity

    ill

    take

    place.

    Following

    his,

    n

    attempt

    hall

    be made o

    prove

    that he

    potentiality

    f

    NSR,

    comparedmainly

    o

    the elf-employmentate ariable, illbe consid-

    eredwithinhe ramework

    f an

    entrepreneurship

    model.

    inally,

    n

    the

    next

    ection,

    he

    proposed

    measure f

    ntrepreneurial

    ctivity

    s connected

    o

    the

    utcome

    that

    s,

    economic

    rowth)

    ithinhe

    frameworkf the tandard

    rowth

    model.

    n

    the

    end,

    onclusions

    ill

    be drawn.

    2.

    Entrepreneurshipheory

    nd

    entrepreneurship

    ndicators

    Different

    pproaches

    o the

    entrepreneur

    nd/or

    entrepreneurship

    ave

    lready

    een

    xpounded

    y

    other

    esearchers,

    uch s

    HerbertndLink

    1982,

    1989),

    Binks nd Vale

    1990),

    Ripsas

    1998)

    and

    Wennekersnd Thurik

    1999)

    and

    Venkataraman

    (1997,

    2000).

    According

    o

    thatast

    cholar,

    ntrepreneurship

    is

    about he

    presence

    nd thevariationf

    quality

    of

    entrepreneurial

    pportunities

    of

    product

    nd

    factor

    markets)

    nd the

    presence

    f

    enterprising

    lj|

    Small Business

    Economics 23:

    85-98,

    2004.

    "

    2004 Kluwer Academic Publishers. Printed n theNetherlands.

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    86

    P. E.

    Petrakis

    individuals

    agents).

    Measuring ntrepreneurship

    could refer o the

    presence

    of

    entrepreneurs

    (agents)n neconomynd/orodeveloping ea-

    surementndices f

    entrepreneurship

    activity).

    The first

    pproach

    ncludes

    ttempts

    hat

    ave

    suggested

    hat

    he

    self-employment

    ate s

    the

    proper ntrepreneurship

    ndex.

    The

    self-employ-

    ment ate as an

    entrepreneurship

    ndicator

    as

    already

    een

    posited

    rom

    he tart f

    the

    1990s

    (Foti

    nd

    Vivarelli,

    994).

    The ssueof the

    mea-

    surement

    f

    entrepreneurship

    as dealt

    with

    y

    Wennekersnd

    Thurik

    1999).

    As

    a

    proxy

    or

    entrepreneurial

    ctivity,

    henumber

    f

    entrepre-

    neurss

    used,

    with he

    hope

    hat he real"

    number

    of

    entrepreneurs

    ould

    approach

    he level

    of

    entrepreneurialctivity ore losely.

    Whatwe

    may

    observe

    from

    he above-men-

    tioned

    ttempt

    s

    that:

    a)

    on numerous

    ccasions

    different

    ypes

    Schumpeterian,

    ustrian

    ype

    tc.)

    of

    entrepreneur

    oexistwithin

    he ame

    person

    r

    are manifested

    n

    a

    person

    who does not

    xhibit

    in

    a

    typical

    manner

    ny

    of

    the bove

    characteris-

    tics

    n

    a

    way

    hat an be

    quantified,

    nd

    b)

    even

    if

    we are ble

    to

    quantify

    hem

    with

    recise

    mea-

    surementst s not

    t all certain hat

    we solve

    the

    theoretical

    ssue f he

    elationship

    etween

    ntre-

    preneurship

    nd

    growth.

    Along

    the ines of

    this

    approach

    ne could

    enlistworks

    hat

    nterpretntrepreneurship

    n the

    assumption

    hat t is

    sufficientlyxpressed

    y

    quantifiable

    ndices,

    s is

    the

    growth

    n

    sales,

    etc.

    (Evans,

    1987

    and more

    recently

    asu and

    Gorwami,

    999)

    or the

    mployment

    f the MEs

    (Fitzroy,

    990).

    The second

    approach

    attempts

    o

    develop

    measurement

    ndices

    f

    entrepreneurship

    ctivity,

    that

    s,

    entrepreneurship

    ndicators.

    his

    pproach

    could

    include theoretical

    eliefs

    surrounding

    entrepreneurship

    hat

    ink conomics

    with ther

    neighbouring

    ciences such

    as

    sociology, sy-

    chology

    nd

    politics.

    f

    one

    ttempted

    o

    ocate he

    indices hat re onnected

    ith his

    pproach,

    ne

    could iscover numberfmainlyndirectndices

    that

    xpress

    orces

    f reinforcement

    r retraction

    of

    entrepreneurship.

    hese ndices

    may xpress

    the social or

    psychological

    haracteristics

    f

    a

    society

    the

    ntrepreneurial

    pirit)

    r

    even

    genetic

    characteristics

    creed,

    origin,

    amilial

    radition

    etc.,Petrakis,

    997).

    The

    Neoclassical

    heory,

    s it

    developed,

    id

    not nclude

    role for he

    ntrepreneur

    Baumol,

    1968,

    1993;

    Barreto,

    989)

    on

    a micro

    evel,

    t

    least s establishedn thefirmheory,n which

    everyone

    as

    perfect

    nformation

    nd here

    s

    equi-

    librium.

    nly

    f

    one

    introduces

    mperfect

    nfor-

    mation nd

    perfect

    redictability,

    s Leibenstein

    (1968,

    1979)

    has done

    for

    dealing

    withx-effi-

    ciency,

    ndCoase

    1937)

    through

    nstitutionalism

    doesthe

    ole f he

    ntrepreneur

    ecome

    elevant.

    The revelation

    f the

    entrepreneur

    ould

    come

    both rom

    he

    quilibrium

    pproach

    nd he ntre-

    preneur's

    ifferent

    eliefs

    Khilstrom

    nd

    Laffont,

    1979).

    It is

    certain hat

    n

    agent

    who

    prefers

    uncertainty

    ould

    only

    ive

    n an

    entrepreneurial

    world.

    Thephenomenonfdisappearances observed

    in

    the

    traditional

    rowth

    heory

    Solow,

    1957).

    Since

    there s

    perfect

    ompetition,

    here re

    no

    profit pportunities

    or

    entrepreneurs.

    n the

    endogenous

    rowth

    heory,

    s

    expounded

    by

    Romer

    1990)

    and

    Lucas

    1988),

    the

    variable hat

    expresses

    human

    apital,

    which

    was

    imported,

    sparked

    discussion n

    the xistence

    f one

    or

    more actors

    hat

    ontribute

    o the

    nlargement

    f

    the

    conomy,

    hichmade

    t

    possible

    o

    nterpret

    the

    esidual erm

    f

    growth.

    3.

    Entrepreneurship

    nd risk

    The

    way,

    he ime nd he

    attern

    frevelationf

    the xistence

    f

    entrepreneurial

    pportunities

    re

    the

    tartingoint

    or

    nderstanding

    and

    hus

    mea-

    suring)

    ntrepreneurship.

    he second

    tage

    fthe

    understandingrocedure

    s to

    clarify

    hy,

    when

    and how

    entrepreneurial

    gents

    discover

    nd

    evaluate

    pportunities.

    hefinal

    tage

    s when

    nd

    how

    different

    odels

    of their

    xploitation

    re

    employed

    Venkataraman,

    997).

    Thus

    we should

    develop

    nstruments

    or

    measuring

    ntrepreneur-

    ship,

    which

    ould

    xpress

    he

    volution

    fentre-

    preneurial

    pportunities

    rrespectively

    f

    they

    originate

    rom

    market

    nefficiencies,

    rom

    hanges

    in the atentsfproductionsosts ndbenefitsr

    they

    onstitute

    ew

    nformation.

    pportunities

    ise

    in theuncertain

    nvironment.

    iving

    n an

    uncer-

    tain

    nvironment

    eans

    aking osition

    gainst

    risk.

    The

    portfolio

    heory,

    s

    shaped

    y

    Markowitz

    (1952),

    Tobin

    1958)

    and

    Sharpe

    1964),

    recog-

    nised

    he

    positive

    elationship

    etween

    xpected

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    Entrepreneurship

    nd RiskPremium

    87

    returnndrisk. his

    recognition

    as founded n

    the

    hypothesis

    f risk-averse ehaviour

    n the

    economic gent nd in thehypothesisf com-

    pleteness,

    ontinuity

    nd

    transitivityEichberger

    and

    Harper,

    997)

    of

    thefunctionf its

    utility.

    Thus,

    nce

    again

    here s no

    place

    for he ntre-

    preneur

    ince

    n

    reality veryone

    xhibits

    ntre-

    preneurial

    ehaviour.

    n

    essence,

    he

    ntrepreneur

    has been

    ostracised,

    utnot

    ntrepreneurship,

    t

    leastnot nits

    specific

    orm;

    n otherwords he

    situationhat inks

    n

    a

    positive

    manner

    xpected

    returnndrisk. o

    put

    t

    differently,

    he

    ntrepre-

    neur s not neededfor

    he

    theoretical

    odelto

    function.n the

    ontrary,

    hat s

    necessary

    s

    an

    environment

    f

    ntrepreneurship.

    n

    the

    moulding

    of this nvironment,iskplaysa determinative

    role.

    When n individual reates

    portfolio,pti-

    malisations based on therisk nd return

    ela-

    tionship:

    isk

    n

    that he

    portfolio

    s

    the result

    of either

    ystematic

    isk

    r,

    n

    the ase of

    mper-

    fect

    unsystematic

    isk,

    diversification

    ue to

    project

    ndivisibility

    r

    project nterrelationships

    (Acemoglu

    nd

    Zilibotti,

    997)

    or a combination

    of both.

    Given

    these

    prerequisites,

    he risk

    premium

    hat

    he

    economic

    gent njoys

    s the

    entrepreneurshipremium

    hatwe come cross

    n

    entrepreneurship

    heories.

    If

    onecould

    ccept

    hat

    he

    ntrepreneur

    n

    anyofhis or her oles

    Herbert

    nd

    Link,1989;

    Dijk

    and

    Thurik, 995;

    Wennekersnd

    Thurik,

    999)

    is

    always

    risk-aversehen herisk

    premium

    f

    Markowitz,

    obin nd

    Sharpe

    s the ther ide of

    the oin for he

    ntrepreneurshipremium.

    he

    entrepreneurship

    remium

    s the

    necessary

    otive

    for he ole f he

    ntrepreneur

    obe

    set n

    motion,

    or

    in

    other

    words,

    t is the reason

    why

    the

    economic

    gent

    who acts

    n

    the

    entrepreneurial

    arena ssumes isk.

    An

    economy

    without isk s

    one

    without

    ntrepreneurship.

    herefore,

    he evel

    of riskthat he economic

    gent

    ssumesfor

    given

    evel s indicativef the evelof

    entrepre-

    neurship ithin hich e or she chooses o act.

    Consequently,

    f

    we could measure he

    pecific

    levels f a kind

    f

    risk n the

    conomy,

    e

    could

    have a

    proxy

    f the evel of

    entrepreneurship

    n

    the

    conomy.

    In

    traditional

    inancial

    heory

    herisk

    may

    be

    systematic

    r

    non-systematic

    r

    it could take

    another orm uch s financial

    isk,

    iquidity

    isk

    etc.

    Thenon-

    ystematic

    s

    characteristic,

    or

    very

    investment

    pportunity

    nd

    through

    he

    rganisa-

    tion f the ortfolio;he isk an be reducednd,

    in

    some

    ircumstances,

    e

    completely

    lleviated.

    Systematic

    isk,

    n the

    other

    and,

    s character-

    istic f the otalmarket. he well-known

    ools f

    financial

    heory

    CAPM

    Coefficient

    , Sharpe,

    1964;

    Lintner, 965; Black,

    1987)

    measure

    ys-

    tematic isk.

    However,

    he

    ndices f

    non-system-

    aticriskhavebeen tudied ar ess.

    We

    support

    he

    postulate

    hat

    non-systematic

    risk s a

    satisfactory

    ndicatorf

    ntrepreneurship.

    This

    s llustrated

    y

    he act hatt hows

    ts

    mark

    explicitly

    n the reative

    rocess

    f destruction.

    An

    economy

    with

    high

    ndicator f

    non-sys-

    tematicisk s one that s "full" fentrepreneurial

    attempts

    f the

    "omega type"

    Binks

    and

    Vale,

    1990),

    which

    resuppose

    he reuse" fresources

    in

    new uses.

    Apparently,

    owever,

    similar

    economy

    wouldcontain

    quilibriating,

    reative

    entrepreneurial

    vents,

    ince he

    ontinued luc-

    tuationsnreturn

    or

    ntrepreneurial

    fforts

    reates

    instability

    n the ide of

    supply

    nd

    demand nd

    requires

    continual

    ntrepreneurial

    resence

    hat

    would over hese

    aps.

    4.

    Non-systematic

    isk,

    growth

    nd

    entrepreneurialctivity

    AfterMarkowitz

    1952)

    it has been

    widely

    accepted

    hat ne measure f risk s its

    standard

    deviation. husone

    acceptable

    orm

    Ramey

    nd

    Ramey,

    995,

    Acemoglu

    nd

    Zilibotti,

    997)

    of

    measurementf

    the totalriskthat xists n

    an

    economy

    s the

    moving

    tandardeviation f

    the

    GDP of that

    ountry.

    n the other

    hand,

    the

    standard eviation

    f

    thereal

    returnsf invest-

    ments,

    ither

    t

    an

    isolated evel or on a

    market

    wide

    scale,

    could be

    an indicator f

    nvestment

    risk hat s the

    non-systematic

    isk

    NSR).

    To

    put

    it

    differently,

    he

    non-systematic

    isk

    measures

    investment isk

    directly

    nd

    entrepreneurial

    activityndirectlyince it reflects ll possible

    changes

    n

    the

    ntrepreneurial

    nvironment.t is

    true hat

    mong

    ther

    actors,

    ealrates f

    returns

    couldreflect

    hanges

    rom he

    ontractual

    etting

    of

    wages

    nd someone ould

    agree

    hat hishas

    nothing

    o do with

    ntrepreneurship.

    ut

    this s

    exactly

    he ase.

    The

    entrepreneurship

    nviron-

    ment

    s

    repressed

    nd he ate freturn

    eflectshe

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    88

    P. E. Petrakis

    negative ntrepreneurial

    eflections

    f the

    wage

    setting. enerallypeaking,

    hose

    hanges

    re he

    result f factors hat omprisenterpreneurship:

    social

    preferences,

    nnovations,

    onopolistrofits,

    cyclical

    nfluences,

    ew ombinations

    fresources

    and reallocationf

    resources,

    rbitragepportu-

    nities,

    tc.

    Therefore,

    t

    expresses

    he

    entrepre-

    neurial

    pportunities,

    hich xist

    n

    an

    economy.

    In

    OECD

    (1997a)

    the ates f

    returnn

    capital

    in

    thebusiness ector

    re

    published

    or he

    years

    1970-1997

    with

    forecasts

    or 1998

    and

    1999).

    The standardeviations calculated

    s a

    six-year

    "moving" verage

    f

    therate f

    return,

    incewe

    want to lose as few

    years

    as

    possible.

    The

    weighting

    ooling

    orrelation

    etween SR

    koci

    GrowthRate for 10 countriesSpain, Japan,

    U.S.A.,France,

    Germany,

    reland, weden,

    taly,

    Finland,

    .K.,

    which ccount

    or 8% of

    the otal

    OECD

    weighting)

    s

    0.38,

    which s considered

    o

    be

    statistically

    ignificant

    Koutsoyannis,

    997,

    p.

    431).

    Notethat

    hedata from

    he

    bove

    coun-

    tries

    will be

    used

    afterwards

    n all the

    mpirical

    tasks f this rticle.

    ue to the

    arge

    mount

    f

    empirical

    ata hat

    was

    necessary

    or ach

    ountry,

    the number

    f differentountries

    ad to be

    reduced

    lthough

    hey epresent

    lmost

    he80%

    ofthe conomic ctivities

    ftheOECD

    countries.

    As a next

    tep

    o

    reinforce

    he

    rgument

    hat

    thenon-systematic

    isk

    s a

    satisfactory

    easure

    for

    ntrepreneurship

    e couldexaminetscorre-

    lation withother

    directmeasures

    f

    entrepre-

    neurial

    ctivity

    uch

    as venture

    apital

    ctivity,

    firm ormationates

    tc.Without

    oubt,

    n exten-

    sive

    discussion

    concerning

    he

    selection

    of

    entrepreneurial

    ariables

    ould

    be carried

    ut.

    However,

    n the

    cope

    of

    this

    rticle he

    riteria

    for election

    re related o

    the

    vailability

    f the

    empirical

    ata.

    We have

    purposely

    ollected

    ata

    from arious

    ources

    resented

    n

    Table

    .

    Examining

    he relation

    between

    the Non-

    Systematic

    isk nd

    he

    ntrepreneurial

    ariables,

    through

    hePool

    data of

    Table

    ,

    a

    high ositive

    correlationesults etween henon-ystematic

    risk nd the

    ntrepreneurial

    ariables

    f Table

    .

    These

    findings

    einforce

    he

    view

    thatwe have

    already resented

    y

    which he

    non-systematic

    risk

    xpresses

    he

    ssence

    f

    entrepreneurship

    n

    a

    satisfactory

    ay.

    his

    an be

    concluded

    hrough

    the lmost

    ositive

    ingular

    orrelations

    thas

    with

    thedirect

    ndices

    f

    entrepreneurship.

    5. The

    non-systematic

    isk as an

    endogenous

    variable

    n

    the

    entrepreneurship

    odel

    In this ection

    f

    the

    paper,

    he

    bility

    f non-

    systematic

    isk o

    act as a

    proxy

    f the

    ntrepre-

    neurship

    evel

    of the

    economy

    within n entre-

    preneurship

    odel

    hall be

    tested.

    We consider

    non-systematic

    isk

    s an

    endogenous

    ariablend

    we shall

    xplore

    o

    what xtent

    tsvariation

    xoge-

    nous

    variables

    etermine

    ntrepreneurship.

    hould

    the

    empirical

    tudy rove

    atisfactory,

    e shall

    not,

    f

    ourse,

    e able

    to

    prove

    hat

    he

    roxy

    sed

    does not

    express

    nything

    lse

    butthe

    evel of

    entrepreneurship.

    e

    shall,

    however,

    e able

    to

    demonstrate

    hat

    t more

    han

    dequately epre-

    sents ntrepreneurshippportunities.

    The

    development

    f

    a

    satisfactory

    odelof

    entrepreneurship

    ust

    e

    supported

    y

    the

    ntro-

    duction

    f those

    variables,

    whichdescribe

    he

    basic

    characteristics

    f

    the

    ntrepreneurial

    nvi-

    ronment.

    In

    general,

    series

    of

    factors

    have been

    proposed

    hat

    hape

    he

    evelof

    entrepreneurship

    in

    an

    economy,

    amely

    he

    evelof

    development,

    technological

    hange,

    hanges

    n ndustrial

    truc-

    ture,

    emographic

    hanges,

    nd

    unemployment,

    the ole

    f

    government,

    ultural

    nd

    psychological

    factors.

    elow,

    he

    ominant

    onceptions

    re

    pre-

    sented

    n

    regard

    o

    the

    uality

    nd

    direction

    f

    he

    relationship

    ftherelevantactorsndof entre-

    preneurship.

    t

    willbe seen

    that he

    nalysis

    lso

    depends

    n the

    method

    f

    measurement

    f

    the

    levels

    f

    entrepreneurship.

    The

    case

    of

    the

    relationship

    f

    the evelof

    development

    prosperity)

    nd he

    elf-employment

    rate s

    characteristic.

    ecause

    of

    the

    nfluencef

    prosperity

    n

    the

    alternative

    ituation

    f

    self-

    employment

    on

    the evel

    f

    wages

    nother

    ords)

    this

    relationship

    s based

    on a

    negative

    ign.

    When,

    owever,

    ntrepreneurship

    sconsidered

    s

    a

    fostering

    actor

    f

    growth

    hen

    he

    relationship

    of

    prosperity

    nd

    entrepreneurship

    ust

    have

    a

    positive ign. n realityhis s truefgrowths

    the

    ependent

    ariable

    nd

    ntrepreneurship

    s the

    independent

    ariable.

    This

    raises

    the

    question:

    what s the

    effect

    f

    the

    evelof

    growth

    n the

    entrepreneurial

    rofit

    ate

    ersus

    he

    wage

    rate?

    f

    prosperity

    as

    as a

    result

    fasterise

    n

    the

    ntre-

    preneurial

    rofit

    ate

    n

    comparison

    o

    the

    wage

    rates,

    then

    the

    relationship

    ill be

    positive.

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  • 8/10/2019 40229347

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    Entrepreneurship

    nd

    Risk remium

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  • 8/10/2019 40229347

    7/15

    90

    P. E. Petrakis

    Prosperity

    will then have a

    positive

    relationship

    if we

    accept

    that

    he

    positively

    tructured

    hanging

    of theeconomy bothon theproductionnd con-

    sumption

    side)

    because

    of the

    new fields and

    products

    new

    technology)

    creates

    monopolistic

    profit

    ates

    and

    higher

    ates of

    profit.

    On thebasis of the above

    findings

    wereach the

    conclusion

    thatwe

    expect

    that

    per-capita

    ncome

    exert

    positive

    effectson the

    level of

    entrepre-

    neurship

    when the

    NSR

    proxy

    measures this.

    In

    general,

    t s considered hat

    hanges

    n

    tech-

    nology

    can

    exert

    both

    positive

    and

    negativepres-

    sureson

    entrepreneurship

    ith

    mbiguous

    results.

    Following

    a

    Schumpeterian

    model

    (Schumpeter,

    1947),

    since invention nd

    technological

    hange

    provide heopportunitiesornew combinations f

    factorsof

    production,

    he

    rate

    of

    technological

    change

    enhances

    new venture ormation

    y

    creat-

    ing

    new

    opportunities

    Dean

    et

    al.,

    1993).

    At

    any

    rate,

    t seems

    that there s

    significant

    mpirical

    evidenceto

    support

    his

    perspective

    Black,

    1987).

    When,however,

    ntrepreneurship

    s measured

    by

    non-systematic

    isk,

    we must

    wait a

    positive

    ela-

    tionship

    of that

    variable and

    the

    technology

    variable

    because of the

    uncertainty

    hat

    usually

    accompanies

    the ntroduction

    f new

    technology.

    However,

    when

    t s measured

    y

    the

    elf-employ-

    ment atethen

    t s notclear

    whatkindof

    sign

    we

    should

    expect.

    A

    change

    in

    industrial

    rganisation

    chiefly

    n

    the

    directionof

    an increase

    in the share

    of ser-

    vices)

    is

    expected

    to

    have

    inflationary

    ffects

    n

    entrepreneurship,

    hether

    measured

    y

    NSR

    or

    by

    the

    elf-employment

    ate.

    This occurs

    because

    the

    transposition

    f the

    production

    rototype

    owards

    new

    products

    and

    new

    technologies

    has

    fewer

    requirements

    n

    capital per

    final

    roduct

    services)

    to enable the

    arger

    ntrance f

    self-employed

    nd

    higher

    ncertainty

    due

    to

    new

    technologies).

    Five

    categories

    of

    factors

    re

    usually

    attached

    to the

    demographic

    ffects

    n

    entrepreneurship:

    the size

    of

    population

    positive

    effect),

    mmigra-

    tion

    special

    categories

    f

    population

    with pecial

    characteristics),

    rbanisation

    different

    onditions

    of

    purchasing

    habits

    -

    positive

    relationship),

    familial

    tradition

    nd

    finally

    he

    education

    evel

    of the

    population.

    As concerns

    the

    last

    of these

    variables,

    ts

    effect ould

    be uncertain

    n direction.

    If,

    though,

    ntrepreneurship

    s

    expressed

    by

    the

    self-employment

    ate,

    one could

    argue

    that

    the

    educational

    evel

    reinforces

    he sense of

    indepen-

    dence

    and self-confidence

    nd

    thus s an

    enabling

    factor orself-employment.t the same time, t

    improves

    he

    returns

    nd

    consequently

    makes the

    alternative

    ondition

    f the

    wage

    rate

    more

    xpen-

    sive.

    Thus,

    the

    final result

    s

    ambiguous.

    If the

    level

    of

    risk,

    a

    positive

    relationship xpresses

    entrepreneurship

    ould

    be

    expected.

    This

    is due

    to the

    opportunity

    hat

    education

    offers o

    adopt

    new

    technologies,

    which

    consequently

    eads

    to a

    greater

    egree

    of

    uncertainty.

    Unemployment

    s a

    significant

    ontributing

    factor

    o the

    evolution

    of

    the level

    of

    entrepre-

    neurship.

    Thus,

    when it

    increases,

    it leads

    to

    upward ressures

    n

    entrepreneurship.

    t the ame

    time,theopportunityost forone to become an

    entrepreneur

    ecreases

    (Meager,

    1992

    -

    push

    or

    pull?).

    Given

    that

    he

    increase of

    unemployment

    is

    usually

    observed

    during period

    of

    recession

    and

    given

    that

    a recession

    does not

    favour the

    increase

    n

    entrepreneurship,

    nemployment

    ay

    be correlated

    negatively

    with

    entrepreneurship.

    Generally,

    when

    entrepreneurship

    s measured

    with he

    self-employment

    ate,

    we could

    say

    that

    the direction

    of this

    relationship

    s

    uncertain.

    When

    entrepreneurship

    s

    measured

    with

    non-sys-

    tematic

    risk it

    can be

    related

    to

    unemployment

    positively

    Parker,

    1997).

    Greater

    unemployment

    means

    reduced

    wage

    rates and

    consequently

    t

    follows thatthereare

    larger

    returnsn

    capital,

    hence

    arger

    luctuations,

    nd

    this

    mplies

    risk. f

    unemployment

    s

    the result

    of

    a

    recession,

    once

    again

    returns

    re

    expected

    to

    have

    larger

    luctua-

    tions

    (in

    a

    negative

    direction).

    n

    both

    circum-

    stances,

    the

    level of

    unemployment

    eems

    to be

    related

    positively

    o

    entrepreneurship.

    What

    we

    should

    pay

    attention

    o

    s that

    hanges

    inthe

    unemployment

    ate

    re

    ndicative

    f

    periods

    of

    reformation

    f

    production

    nd

    consequently,

    periods

    of

    uncertainty.

    The

    redistribution

    f

    resources

    for

    the

    development

    of new

    activity

    (omega

    event),

    ven

    f

    t

    means

    a recession

    n

    pro-

    duction, lso means accelerating ntrepreneurial

    activity.

    For

    this

    reason

    we

    may

    see

    a

    positive

    correlation

    f

    unemployment

    hange

    and

    entre-

    preneurship

    s it

    is measured

    by

    the

    NSR

    indi-

    cator.

    At the

    ame

    time,

    f

    course,

    he

    cceleration

    of

    unemployment

    an

    discourage

    the

    expression

    of

    entrepreneurship

    hen it

    is

    measured

    in the

    form

    of

    self-employment.

    hus it

    is not

    a

    rare

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    Entrepreneurship

    nd RiskPremium

    91

    phenomenon

    o observe

    a

    negativerelationship

    between

    he rateof

    change

    of

    unemployment

    nd

    the evel of entrepreneurship,s is measuredby

    the

    unemployment

    ate.

    The role of

    government olicy

    is

    multifaceted

    as it concerns

    ntrepreneurship

    nd has an uncer-

    tain

    final direction. t has been found

    Petrakis,

    1997)

    that ax

    policies,

    motivation

    olicies

    etc. can

    have a

    composite

    nfluence n

    the evel of entre-

    preneurship.

    n

    interesting

    nd

    quantifiable

    ide

    of the

    question

    s the size of the

    public

    sector

    n

    the

    economy.

    A

    large public

    sectorhas

    crowding

    outeffects n the

    private

    ector nd

    consequently

    on

    entrepreneurship

    s

    well

    (OECD,

    1998,

    p.

    20).

    At the same

    time,

    hough,

    he

    public

    sector ould

    develop important rogrammesof public pro-

    curements o as to exert

    positive

    effects n the

    growth

    f

    entrepreneurship

    Hartley

    nd

    Hutton,

    1988).

    What we

    may

    obtain from he

    relationship

    f

    the

    public

    sector and

    entrepreneurship,

    owever,

    is the

    negative

    relationship

    etween the

    change

    of the hareof the

    public

    sector nd that f entre-

    preneurship, egardless

    of how it

    is measured

    (self-employment

    r

    non-systematic

    isk).

    The model s estimated ased on the

    hypothesis

    that he

    exogenous

    variables are not

    interdepen-

    dent.However

    a

    potential

    ndogeneitymay

    exist.

    The model of determination

    f

    entrepreneurship

    takes the

    following

    orm:

    EN

    =

    EN

    (I,

    IS, L, E, U, UC, T,

    G,

    GD) (1)

    Where

    EN standsfor

    ntrepreneurship

    (For

    the restof the

    symbols

    ee Table

    lib).

    The model

    s

    presented

    n

    Tables Ha and lib.

    It

    is

    true hat

    we

    would be

    more

    convincing

    f

    we

    used fixed ffects

    n

    one

    regression

    ince there

    is a lot of unobserved

    heterogeneity

    n the coun-

    tries.

    n

    this

    way

    the

    heterogeneity

    ould be

    par-

    tially

    ut.

    However,

    hiswould ntroduce nit oot

    problems.

    As a

    way

    to

    partially

    ake out

    some

    of

    the

    heterogeneity

    f the countrieswe choose to

    weight

    the

    country

    variables with the OECD

    weights

    sed

    for

    onstructingggregate

    variables

    from ndividual

    ountry

    ariables.Note that

    n

    this

    case

    the

    mpirical ounding

    since

    we

    run

    he sti-

    mationswith nd without

    weighting)

    was

    signifi-

    cantly mproved.

    On the basis of the

    above econometric

    onclu-

    sions we discover that the model of

    assessment

    of

    entrepreneurship,

    hen t s

    expressed

    by

    non-

    systematicrisk and the self-employmentate,

    displays

    the

    following

    haracteristics:

    1

    The estimated

    ign

    of the

    variables

    n

    relation

    to those

    theoretically xpected.

    t is

    observed

    that the NSR

    displays greater

    concision in

    regard

    o

    what s

    expected

    n

    comparison

    with

    the

    estimated

    igns.

    2.

    The statistical

    ignificance

    f the

    coefficients

    of the variables. t was

    observedthat he

    first

    regression

    ontains six

    non-significant

    ari-

    ables

    (95%

    significance

    evel)

    and the second

    only

    two.

    3.

    The

    degree

    of

    interpretation

    f the

    dependent

    variable (R2). It is observed that the SE

    variable s

    interpreted

    o

    99%,

    while the NSR

    is

    interpreted

    o 89%.

    4. The F-statistic

    f

    the

    entire

    regression.

    t

    is

    observed hat he two

    samples

    display high

    F-

    statistic alues and

    nil

    probability,

    romwhich

    it follows that

    the common behaviour of

    the

    variables

    significantly

    ffects he

    dependent

    variable

    tatistically.

    n

    general,

    heresults re

    satisfactory.

    Despite

    the

    good performance

    f

    the determi-

    native

    models of

    the

    evel of

    entrepreneurship,

    he

    issue of

    the

    elf-employment

    ate nd

    that f entre-

    preneurship

    emain

    pen.

    n

    other

    words,

    f

    theSE

    (self-employment

    ate)

    s not

    considered o be an

    independent

    ariable,

    hen t

    s

    veryprobable

    that

    it has to be

    considered one of the

    determinative

    factors f

    entrepreneurship.

    ndeed,

    it should be

    one of the

    important ositive

    factors f

    determi-

    nation

    of the level of

    entrepreneurship

    f an

    economy

    that

    atisfactorily

    escribes the

    supply

    side

    conditions of

    entrepreneurship.

    ecause it

    seems to be an

    important

    actor

    n

    shaping

    the

    level of

    entrepreneurship, large

    number

    of

    studiesconsider t to be an

    indicator f

    entrepre-

    neurship.

    Put

    differently,

    n

    order to

    accept

    that

    the

    elf-employment

    ate s one of the

    ndependent

    variables we must

    ccept

    that wo

    conditions re

    presupposed:

    irst,

    he

    elf-employment

    ttitude f

    economic

    agents

    s determined

    y

    factors hat re

    not

    expressed

    hrough

    ther eterminative

    actors

    of

    entrepreneurship,

    nd

    second,

    there re indica-

    tions of

    causality

    n

    the direction f the

    relation-

    ships

    that arise from

    self-employment

    nd are

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    92

    P. E.

    Petrakis

    TABLE Ha

    Factors

    ffectingntrepreneurship:

    wo alternativesE

    vs. NSR

    Indicants f Self-employmentate Non-systematicisk

    entrepreneurship

    Independent

    Theoretical Estimated Coefficient -Statistic

    Theoretical EstimatedCoefficient

    -Statistic

    variable

    expected sign expected

    sign

    sign sign

    1

    Constant

    C)

    -

    0.010073

    -0.022276

    -

    0.005401 -8.456124*

    2

    Per

    capita

    income

    I)

    - -

    0.007978

    -0.370965

    +

    +

    0.164886 3.910266*

    3 Industrial

    structure

    change

    IS)

    +

    +

    0.006354 1.703603

    +

    +

    0.019518 5.659987*

    4a Labour orce

    rate

    hange

    L)

    +

    -

    0.093285 -2.863737*

    +

    -

    0.172988 -1.496162

    4p

    Educationevel

    of

    working

    population

    E)

    ?

    -

    0.107929 -5.240005*

    + +

    0.026177

    2.958173**

    5

    Unemployment

    rate

    U)

    ? +

    0.036197

    2.233222*

    +

    +

    0.082696 4.965647**

    6

    Unemployment

    rate

    hange

    UC)

    +

    -

    0.063640 -0.433531

    +

    +

    0.550237

    1.119380

    7

    Technological

    level

    T)

    + +

    0.006294

    1.635879

    +

    +

    0.052983

    5.710784*

    8 Government'

    share

    G)

    -

    0.020868 -2.127481*

    -

    0.046206

    -7.013503*

    9 Government'

    share ate

    f

    change

    DG)

    -

    1.740613 -1.372498

    +

    3.186241

    2.400134*

    10

    SE,_2

    +

    1.000793 498.6391*

    Adjusted

    2

    0.998985 Prob

    F-stat):

    0.892034 Prob

    F-stat):

    Notes:

    1. The first

    egression

    as

    been orrectedorAutocorrelation

    nd

    degree.

    t has also used

    White's

    Heteroskedasticity-Consistent

    covariancemethod f correction.

    2.

    *

    F-test esults t a 95%

    significance

    evel.

    3.

    E-

    Views,

    Econometric

    iews,

    Micro

    TSP,

    1994

    have beenused.

    receptors

    f the

    ntrepreneurship

    ndicator,

    nd not

    the

    opposite.

    The entrenchmentf

    the first ondition

    has a

    theoretical nd

    empirical

    character.

    The theoret-

    ical character

    originates

    from he fact

    that self-

    employment

    s

    determined

    y

    a series

    of factors

    such as thosedescribed arlier

    ut t the

    ame time

    is theresult fa seriesof characteristicsfsociety

    and of the ndividual hat

    have not beendescribed

    until now.

    At the individual

    level,

    the sense of

    independence

    nd the self-motivationalorces

    of

    the ndividual re theresult

    f cultural nd

    historic

    conditions and form

    part

    of a basic

    factorin

    shaping

    ttitudes owards

    elf-employment.

    On

    an

    economy-

    ide

    level,

    perhaps,

    he most

    important

    f

    the

    significant

    actors

    haping

    the

    self-employment

    ate

    are

    consequences

    of the

    development

    of

    entrepreneurship.

    o

    put

    it

    in

    another

    way,

    the

    development

    f

    new

    initiatives

    within

    existing production

    methods

    creates

    the

    preconditions

    for

    the

    exiting

    of

    the

    creative

    individuals

    from

    he

    swelling

    of the

    self-employ-

    ment rate. In essence, the factors described

    above

    shape

    the content

    of

    the residual

    of

    the

    regression

    hat

    makes

    self-employment

    depen-

    dent

    variable.

    On

    thebasis

    of the

    bove

    techniques

    we

    moved

    on to

    the econometric

    erification

    f the

    hypoth-

    esis

    that is

    advanced

    here,

    so as

    to discover

    whether or

    not

    we should

    consider

    the self-

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    Entrepreneurship

    nd RiskPremium

    93

    TABLE lib

    The definitionsnd the ources f

    thevariables

    Self-employment

    ate SE) Definition:elf-employments percentagef total mployment.

    Source:

    European

    ommission,

    mployment

    n

    Europe,

    997,

    pp.

    119-135.

    Per

    apita

    ncome

    I)

    Definition:

    eal GDP

    per apita.

    Source:

    OECD, 1997c,

    Table 3.2.

    Technological

    evel

    T)

    Definition:

    NBERT,

    TotalBusiness

    nterprise,

    illions f PPP dollars.

    Source:

    OECD,

    1997d.

    Industrial

    tructure

    hange

    IS)

    Definition:

    alue added

    n

    services s a

    percentage

    f GDP.

    Source:

    OECD, 1997c,

    Table 5.4.

    Labour orce ate

    hange

    L)

    Definition:

    abour

    orce

    percentagehange

    rom

    revious eriod).

    Source:

    OECD, 1999,

    Table 18.

    Educationevelof

    working Definition:

    s an

    approach

    o the

    ariable,

    thasbeenused

    s

    the

    articipationercentage

    population

    E)

    of the work

    forceof

    people

    who are still

    n,

    or

    have

    graduated

    rom,

    econdary

    educationalevel.

    Source:

    The data

    originated

    rom he

    ollowing

    ources:

    ECD, 1997b;

    Psacharopoulos

    and

    Arriagada,

    986; 1992;

    and Barro nd

    Lee,

    1993.

    Unemployment

    U)

    Definition:

    nemployment

    s a

    percentage

    f the otal abour orce.

    Source:

    OECD,

    1997c,

    Table

    2.15.

    Unemployment

    ate

    hange

    UC)

    Definition:

    he

    change

    n

    unemployment

    s a

    percentage

    f the otal abour orce.

    Source:Calculated

    rom he bovevariable.

    Governments'

    hare

    G)

    Definition:

    otal

    outlays

    f

    government

    s a

    percentage

    f GDP.

    Source:

    OECD, 1997c,

    Table 6.5.

    Governments'

    hare

    GD)

    Definition:

    he

    change

    n

    the otal

    utlays

    f

    government

    s a

    percentage

    f GDP.

    Source:Calculated

    rom he bove variable.

    employment

    ate s one

    of the

    nterpretative

    ari-

    ables of

    the

    development

    f

    entrepreneurship.

    For this eason

    we used a test f

    causality

    irec-

    tion,

    he

    Granger

    ausality

    Test

    Granger,

    969).

    For the

    Granger

    Causality

    Test to function

    t

    all,

    it mustfirst e determined

    hether he two series

    of data are

    stationarylthough

    o

    integrated.

    f the

    series are

    non-stationary,

    n

    the first evels

    they

    are converted

    o

    stationary

    nes with

    the forma-

    tion of theirfirst

    ifferentiationsnd co

    integra-

    tion of the

    Augmented

    ickey

    Fuller

    ADF)

    and

    the

    Phillips-Peron

    ests.

    f the first wo series of

    data are co

    integrated,

    xamining

    he function

    f

    integration

    ccording

    o

    Johansen,

    hen

    hey

    must

    constitute

    relationship

    f causal connection t

    least

    in one direction

    unidirectional

    ausality)

    and

    possibly

    in two directions

    (bi-directional

    causality).

    The

    application

    of

    the above methods nsures

    thatwe

    gain

    an exact

    image

    for he relative rust-

    worthiness f

    the

    used

    examples.

    The relevant

    results re

    presented

    n Tables

    Ilia, b,

    and c.

    The

    ADF

    and

    PP

    test tatistics re

    higher

    han

    their riticalvalues

    (1%

    s.

    1.),

    so the series

    (SE)

    and

    (NSR)

    are

    stationary

    t their irst

    ifferences.

    D.F tests have showed thatthere

    s

    no

    deter-

    ministic

    rend,

    fact that s

    strengthened

    y

    the

    nature f the

    variables

    since we have

    no theoret-

    ical

    option

    reasons to believe that

    here

    s

    a deter-

    ministic

    rend.

    LR

    test

    ndicates 2

    cointegrating

    equation(s)

    at 5%

    significance

    evel. The LR

    test

    rejects

    the

    hypothesis

    f no

    cointegration

    ut not

    the

    hypothesis

    of,

    at

    most,

    one co

    integration

    relation. Therefore

    he

    test shows that the two

    variables

    may

    co

    integrate.

    We can

    marginally eject

    he

    hypothesis

    hat

    E

    does not

    Granger

    ause NSR but we do not

    reject

    the

    hypothesis

    hatNSR does not

    Granger

    ause

    SE.

    Therefore,

    t

    appears

    that

    GrangerCausality

    runs one

    way

    from

    E

    to NSR and

    not the other

    way.

    Given that here re

    strong

    ndications

    hat

    elf-

    employment

    hould be considered s an

    explana-

    tory

    factor of the level of

    entrepreneurship,

    t

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    94

    P. E. Petrakis

    TABLE Ilia

    Verificationf stationariness

    f

    SE)

    series

    nd

    NSR) (in

    first

    ifferences)

    ADF

    Test Statistic

    4.724980

    1% Critical alue*

    3.4885

    On

    D

    (SE)

    Phillips-Perron

    est Statistic

    1% Critical

    alue* 3.4885

    On

    D(SE)

    -11.05614

    ADF

    Test Statistic

    6.199091

    1% Critical alue*

    3.4885

    On

    D

    (NSR)

    Phillips-Perron

    est Statistic

    1%

    Critical

    alue* 3.4885

    On

    D

    (NSR)

    -9.151271

    *

    MacKinnon ritical

    aluesfor

    ejection

    f

    hypothesis

    f

    a

    unit oot.

    TABLE Illb

    Johansenointegrationest

    Test

    ssumption:

    o

    deterministicrend

    n thedataV

    Series:NSR SE

    Lags

    interval: to

    4

    Eigenvalue

    Likelihood 5%

    1%

    Hypothesised

    ratio

    Critical Critical

    no. Of

    CE(s)

    value

    value

    0.199966

    38.30135

    12.53 16.31 None**

    0.104125

    12.64471 3.84

    6.51

    At most

    *

    **

    Denotes

    rejection

    f

    the

    hypothesis

    t 5%

    (1%)

    signifi-

    cance evel.

    TABLE IIIc

    Pairwise

    Granger

    ausality

    ests

    Lags:

    2

    Null

    hypothesis

    F-statistic

    Probability

    SE does not

    Granger

    ause NSR

    196700

    4.7E-0.8

    NSR does not

    Granger

    ause

    SE

    1.74102

    0.18001

    should

    e

    introduceds

    an

    independent

    ariable

    on the

    determination

    f

    entrepreneurship.

    ote

    that t

    the ametime

    he

    ame

    variable

    s influ-

    enced

    y

    he

    tandard

    ndependent

    ariables

    f he

    model f

    entrepreneurship.

    A rather impleway of solvingthe above

    problem

    s

    to ntroduce

    s

    an

    ndependent

    ariable

    of the model

    of

    forming

    ntrepreneurship

    he

    residual f

    the

    regression

    hatwould

    have as

    a

    dependent

    ariable

    he

    elf-employment

    ate. hus

    a model

    f the

    determination

    f

    entrepreneurship

    could be

    realised

    with

    non-systematic

    isk

    s a

    dependent

    ariable.

    Themodel

    s estimated

    ased n the

    hypothesis

    that he

    xogenous

    ariables re

    not

    nterdepen-

    dent. owever,potentialndogeneityay xist.

    This

    point

    will

    give

    room

    o one of

    themost

    if-

    ficult

    roblems

    o be

    handled

    withinhe stima-

    tion

    procedures.

    or

    this

    easonwe

    estimate

    he

    Correlation

    atrix o

    identify ossible

    nterde-

    pendency

    n

    the

    variables.

    The

    high

    correlation

    etween

    ome of the

    independent

    ariables

    reates

    certain

    kepti-

    cism

    concerning

    he

    reliability

    f the

    tatistical

    findings

    ue to

    multicolinearity.

    hus the

    high

    correlation

    etween

    hevariables

    UC

    T

    G

    DG

    leadsus to

    exclude

    hem

    n

    the

    inal ersion

    f

    he

    model.

    Thefinalmodel s presentednTableV.The

    final

    implified

    odel,

    which

    s estimated

    n fact

    in

    two

    tages,

    ontains

    ssentiallygiven

    hat

    wo

    variables

    ,

    and U

    are

    proved

    o be

    non-statisti-

    cally significant)

    hree

    ariables.

    he

    per

    capita

    income

    I),

    the ndustrial

    tructure

    IS)

    and the

    residual

    f SE

    estimation

    RESAR).

    Its

    nterpre-

    tative

    bility

    s

    particularly

    atisfactory.

    6.

    The

    entrepreneurship

    non

    ystematic

    isk)

    as

    an

    explanatory

    ariable

    n the tandard

    growth

    model

    In this

    ection

    we

    willexamine

    he

    predictabilityof

    entrepreneurship

    roxy

    within he standard

    growth

    odels

    s

    far s the

    rowth

    rocess

    s con-

    cerned.

    f this

    ttempt

    s

    successful

    e

    willhave

    strong

    vidence

    hat

    he

    elation

    f

    ntrepreneurial

    activity

    nd

    measures

    of

    outcome,

    conomic

    growth,

    s

    well

    founded.

    To

    establish

    his

    equires

    concise

    heoretical

    background,

    amely

    hat

    f

    growth

    ccounting

    it-

    erature

    Solow,

    1957;

    Jorgensen

    nd

    Grilisches,

    1967;

    Young,

    994)

    which

    ivides

    utput rowth

    among

    hanges

    n measurable

    nput

    uantities;

    physical

    nd

    human

    apital

    and

    the

    well-known

    "Solow

    residual"

    r

    he

    total

    roductivity"

    TFP)

    effect.hequestionweposeis whetherisk s a

    part

    f

    the

    Solow

    residual".

    n other

    words,

    he

    matter

    ere

    s

    whether

    iskhas

    an

    interpretative

    ability

    s concerns

    he

    growth

    ate.

    However,

    s

    we

    discovered

    efore,

    concise

    heoretical

    ack-

    ground

    or

    he

    ntroduction

    f

    risk

    n the

    ines

    f

    the

    neoclassical

    xample

    xists

    nly

    or

    non-sys-

    tematic

    isk

    s a

    proxy

    f

    entrepreneurship.

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    Entrepreneurship

    nd RiskPremium

    95

    TABLE

    IV

    Correlation atrix

    I IS L E U UC T G DG RESAR

    I 1.000000 -0.137384 0.513440

    -0.027709 0.146069 -0.710781 -0.109283 -0.253960 -0.626491

    0.011870

    IS

    1.000000

    -0.048857 -0.018728 -0.015516 -0.001165 0.406257 0.163645 0.017910

    0.210992

    L 1.000000 0.273338

    -0.017840 -0.525527

    0.325673

    -0.552281

    -0.270637 -0.100097

    E

    1.000000 -0.310854 -0.117652 0.547730 -0.660661 0.088643

    -0.000181

    U

    1.000000 0.036722 -0.394977 0.174878

    -0.091530 0.071595

    UC

    1.000000 -0.107808 0.272697 0.598763

    0.057087

    T 1.000000 -0.521211 -0.028772 0.037888

    G

    1.000000 0.135792

    0.099525

    DG

    1.000000 -0.008663

    RESAR 1.000000

    TABLE

    V

    Theentrepreneurshipodel:non-systematicisk s dependentariable

    Variable

    Theoretical

    xpected ign

    Estimated

    ign

    Coefficient /-Statisti

    1 Per

    capita

    ncome

    I)

    +

    0.017450 4.707708*

    2 Industrialtructure

    hange

    IS)

    + +

    0.07642 4.047304*

    3b Educationevel

    of

    working opulation

    E)

    + +

    0.003946 1.305926

    4

    Unemployment

    ate

    U)

    + +

    0.010506 0.865765

    9 Residual f SE

    (RESAR)

    + +

    0.080809 4.435177*

    10

    NSRM

    0.841343 5.170695*

    Adjusted

    2

    0.746952

    F-statistic

    53.54229 Prob

    F-stat):

    Notes:

    1. The

    regressions

    avebeen

    correctedorAutocorrelationst

    degree.

    t

    has also been used White's

    Heteroskedasticity

    con-

    sistentovariancemethod f correction.

    2.

    *

    F-test esults t a 95%

    significance

    evel.

    3. Source:

    he

    -Views,

    conometric

    iews,

    Micro

    TSP,

    1994 havebeenused.

    Following

    Solow and the otherswe

    may

    pos-

    tulate:

    Yit aitKit

    +

    (\-ait)Lit

    +

    Sit

    (2)

    where

    Yit

    efers o the

    proportional

    ates f

    change

    of

    output,

    Kit

    refers o the

    proportional

    ates of

    physical

    capital,

    Lit

    refers

    o the

    proportional

    f

    human

    apital,

    S it refers o

    the

    proportional

    ates

    of

    TFP

    (Solow residual)

    and

    a,,

    is

    capital's

    share

    of

    national

    ncome.

    To the

    degree

    thatthe "Solow residual" is an

    endogenous

    ariable

    dependent

    n thevariables f

    capital

    nd

    abor,

    hen ormula

    2)

    is an

    accounting

    expression

    with n

    unexplained

    esidual. As

    long

    as

    the work of the researchers

    Solow, 1957)

    ignored

    he

    uality

    n

    nputs, largepart

    f

    growth

    was attributedo

    TFP.

    Endogenous growth

    theory

    (Romer,

    1990;

    Lucas,

    1988),

    with he

    variable thatwas

    imported

    and

    expresses

    human

    apital,

    opened

    the

    dialogue

    for he existenceof one or more factors

    hat on-

    tribute o the

    enlargement

    f the

    economy,

    that

    are

    capable

    of

    interpreting

    he residual

    termof

    growth.

    Thus,

    because the theoretical ontent of

    the

    basic

    inputs mproved

    with the addition

    of their

    qualitative

    imensions

    Jorgensen

    nd

    Grilisches,

    1967;

    Jorgensen

    t al.

    1987)

    it was illustrated hat

    a substantial ortion f the Solow residual" ould

    represent

    he

    changes

    n

    input uality.

    For

    the

    consequences

    of our

    analysis,

    we

    shall

    accept

    that:

    Sit

    =

    Tit

    HCQ

    +

    NSit

    (3)

    where

    Tit

    tands

    or he

    echnological

    evel

    quality

    of

    capital),

    HCQ

    refers to the

    changes

    in the

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    96

    P. E.

    Petrakis

    human

    apital quality,

    nd

    NSit

    tandsfor heNew

    Solow Residual.

    In contrast o capital, abor and human apital

    quality

    variable,

    which are

    endogenous

    variables,

    referring

    o the Lucas

    -

    Romer

    approach,

    the

    effect f

    technology

    s

    exogenous

    and therefore

    t

    appears

    in "level" form.Before

    proceeding

    with

    the

    mpirical

    ssessment

    f the bove

    proposition,

    the

    endogenous

    variables were tested

    for multi-

    colinearityby constructing

    correlation

    matrix

    (Table VI).

    The correlation oefficient

    o not reveal

    any

    significant

    ssociation

    K, L,

    T,

    HCQ.

    We now

    could

    estimate he standard

    rowth

    model as it

    is

    presented

    nTable VII.

    In the lightof the analysis in the previous

    sections the variable NS could be

    analysed

    as

    follows:

    NS

    =

    NSR

    +

    e

    whereNSR stands for the non-

    ystematic

    isk as

    an indicator f

    entrepreneurship;

    stands

    for an

    errorwhich is

    independently

    isturbed and

    is

    unique

    for ach

    country

    ncluded

    n

    the

    sample.

    The new variable we

    introduce ould

    take the

    place

    of the

    dummy

    variable,

    which

    captures

    he

    effects f

    entrepreneurship

    s concerns the

    clas-

    sical

    interpretative

    ariables

    of the neoclassical

    model.

    That,

    at

    anyrate,

    s

    the

    deepermeaning

    f

    the

    level of

    entrepreneurship

    hat exists

    in

    an

    economy.

    The results re

    presented

    n Table

    IX.

    The results f the econometric

    stimations

    re

    satisfactory

    s

    far as the

    interpretative

    bility

    of

    the model

    being

    used is

    concerned.

    The

    signs

    of

    TABLE

    VI

    Correlation

    atrix

    T K L HCQ

    T 1.000000

    0.172947

    0.296738

    -0.106189

    K

    1.000000

    0.287929

    0.220561

    L

    1.000000

    0.206804

    HCQ

    1.000000

    TABLE VII

    The

    standard

    rowth

    odel

    Variable

    Coefficient

    Std.

    rror r-Statistic

    C

    0.00504

    0.000518

    9.731674*

    K

    0.227782

    0.014017

    16.25021*

    L

    0.164723

    0.067255

    2.449242*

    T 0.037757 0.00515 7.331285*

    HCQ

    0.053811

    0.002735

    19.67841*

    G(f-l)

    0.409856

    0.101489

    4.038428*

    Adj

    R2 0.856728

    Prob

    F-stat.)

    0

    Source:

    1. The

    results

    ave been corrected

    orAutocorrelation

    st

    degree.

    2.

    *

    F-test esultst a 95%

    significance

    evel.

    3.

    E-

    Views,

    conometric

    iews,

    Micro

    TSP,

    1994

    havebeen

    used.

    the models

    were as

    expected

    and the

    R2 is at

    a

    satisfactory

    evel.

    We can make

    a comment on-

    cerning

    he

    partialregressions

    oefficients.

    ince

    theyrepresent

    he

    partial

    nfluence f each inde-

    pendent,

    when

    it

    changes

    for

    one

    unit,

    to

    the

    average

    value

    of

    dependent

    ariable

    growth

    ate),

    the rest

    of

    the

    independent

    variables

    remain

    constant,

    he evels

    ofthe

    partial

    egressions

    oef-

    ficients

    an

    be used

    to

    evaluate

    the

    influence

    f

    TABLE

    VIII

    Definitions

    nd sources

    f

    variables

    Capital

    K)

    Definition:

    eal total

    ross

    ixed

    apital

    ormation

    Percentage

    hange

    rom

    revious

    eriod).

    Source:

    OECD, 1999,

    Table

    5.

    LaborForce

    L)

    Definition:

    mployment

    Percentage

    hange

    rom

    revious

    eriod).

    Source:OECD, 1999,Table 20.

    Technological

    evel

    T)

    Definition:

    NBERD,

    Total

    Business

    nterprise,

    illions

    f

    PPP dollars

    urrent

    rices.

    evels.

    Source:

    OECD,

    1974-1995.

    Human

    apital

    HCQ)

    Definition:

    s an

    approach

    o

    the

    variable,

    t

    has been

    used

    as the

    participationercentage

    f

    thework orce

    f

    people

    who

    re till

    n,

    orhave

    graduated

    rom,

    econdary

    ducational

    evel.

    (Percentage

    hange

    rom

    revious

    eriod)

    Source:

    The data

    originated

    rom

    he

    following

    ources:

    OECD,

    1997b;

    Psacharopoulos

    nd

    Arriagada,

    986;

    1992;

    and Barro

    nd

    Lee,

    1993.

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    Entrepreneurship

    nd

    Risk remium

    97

    TABLE IX

    The

    standard

    rowth

    odel nd theNSR

    Variable Coefficient Std. rror /-Statistic

    C

    0.004709

    0.000544

    8.656043*

    K

    0.222467

    0.013663

    16.28297*

    L

    0.177355

    0.066889 2.651468*

    T

    0.032725

    0.005934

    5.514373*

    HCQ

    0.046367

    0.002916

    15.8998*

    NSR

    0.252387 0.038787

    6.507014*

    G

    (r

    1)

    0.457508

    0.038787

    6.507014*

    Adj/?2

    0.855868

    Prob

    F-stat.)

    0

    Source:

    1. The results ave

    been corrected or

    Autocorrelationst

    degree.

    2.

    *

    F-test esults t a 95%

    significance

    evel.

    3. TheE-Views, conometriciews,MicroTSP, 1994have

    beenused.

    the

    ndependentrowth

    actors

    nd the

    nterpre-

    neurshiproxy

    o the

    eterminationfthe

    epen-

    dent ariable.

    herefore,

    e can

    conclude hat he

    enterpreneurship

    nfluenceccounts or

    5% of

    the nfluencef the

    basic

    growth

    actors f the

    growth

    ate.

    7.

    Conclusions

    In

    this article t has been

    suggested

    hat we

    consider isk as the

    missing

    ink

    between he

    entrepreneurshipheory

    nd the neoclassical

    theory.

    he

    initial dea is old

    enough

    nd

    in

    essence

    has,

    for hefirst

    ime,

    een

    uggested y

    the

    upporters

    f

    the

    ntrepreneur

    s an

    agent

    f

    uncertainty.

    e

    support

    he

    elf-evidentdea that

    the

    environmentf the

    neoclassical

    heory

    as

    been tructured

    n

    such

    way

    s to allow he

    xis-

    tence of

    entrepreneurial

    ehaviour,

    while not

    allowing

    or

    significant

    ole or he

    ntrepreneur.

    As

    such,

    he isk

    remium

    f the

    conomic

    gent

    of

    neoclassical

    heory

    s

    nothing

    more han

    he

    entrepreneurshipremium

    f

    entrepreneurship

    theories.

    f,

    hough,

    his s

    absolutely

    nd

    readily

    acceptable,hen hemeasurementf the evel of

    (non-systematic)

    isk

    an allow for

    satisfactory

    "revelation"

    f the evel of

    entrepreneurship

    n

    economic

    ctivity.

    The

    validity

    f the

    roposed

    measuref entre-

    preneurial

    ctivities

    as testedn

    three

    tages.

    n

    the

    first,

    we examine he

    correlation

    etween

    entrepreneurship

    ariables

    i.e.

    venture

    apital

    start-ups

    tc)

    with he

    proposed

    ariable.

    n

    the

    second,

    we

    examine he

    superiority

    f

    thenew

    measure ersus traditionalne like theself-

    employment

    ate as

    endogenous

    ariables. n

    repeated

    conometric

    nalyses

    we built

    up

    an

    acceptable

    model f

    entrepreneurship

    etermina-

    tion.

    ased

    upon

    he vailable

    ndicators,

    he

    new

    measure

    emonstratedmuch

    etter

    ehaviours

    an

    entrepreneurship

    roxy

    han

    he

    elf-employ-

    ment ate.

    In

    the

    hird

    evel,

    the

    ntrepreneurship

    roxy

    was connectedo the

    utcome f the

    growth

    ate.

    We enlisted

    hemore

    rganized

    orum

    fthe

    neo-

    classical

    rowthheory

    nto ur

    nalysis

    nd

    broke

    new

    ground

    n

    the

    rowth

    ccounting odeling

    y

    recreatingheexplanatoryactors hat nclude

    capital,

    abor,

    echnology

    nd

    human

    apital.

    he

    contributionf

    non-systematic

    isk

    entrepreneur-

    ship)

    s realized

    s

    statistically

    ignificant,

    fact

    that ontributeso an

    increase f the

    nterpreted

    residual

    f the

    growth

    ate.

    Having

    used all the

    empirical

    ndications

    e

    came o

    the onclusion

    hatwe

    have

    n

    our

    hands

    a

    good

    entrepreneurshiproxy,

    hich ould

    lso

    allow

    us to reconsider

    he

    relation f

    entrepre-

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