45 Years of Wall Street

7/24/2019 45 Years of Wall Street

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45 Years of Wall Street

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1932 ? 5

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13

13

14

14

14

14

15

15

16

16

16

17

17

18

18

18

19

19

50% 22

22

30 25

25

25

28

29

9 8 30

30

30

30

31

31

32

32

32

32

33

34

34

35

36


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30 3 44

3 3 44

30 3 45

3 45

9 9 52

9 9 52

30 53

53

53

54

55

55

56 30 56

6 57

58

59

193 196 60

1941 12 7 61

158 163 61

62

15 65

66

67

67

68

68

68

69

69

69

70

70

70

71

71

74

? 74

74

75

78


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[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


1932 ?

100

1949 6 14 1 100

112 100

6 14 315 20

202 10 83 5 600

50 20


5/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


100

10 000 50

10 (Point) 1 000 20

50 1 000 10 5 ooo

5 5 ooo 1 ooo

(Pool)

1946 1 100

? 20 1946 5

29 20 1946 5 29

5

f


6/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


1949 3 50

3 30 6

14 18

(Monthly High

and Low Chart)

1

2 (Stop Loss order)

3


7/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


(TimeTested Rules)

,

45

1 2 3


8/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


1

30 15

3 (3Day Chart) 9

(9Point Average Swing Chart)

2

,

3 5 l

2

4 5


9/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


2 3 1 2

2 3 1 2

1 3

1 3

3

50 , 50

3 5 10 12 20 25 33 37

45 50 ,62 67 72 78 85 87

50 100 100 ( " " )

4

3

3

30 6

7

45 49 60 65


10/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


5

,

6 5 7

5 7 5 7

9 10 10

, , 10 12

, 18 21

7

8


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1 7 10 19 24

2 3 10 20 25 1

3 20 27

4 7 12 20 25 1 2

4

5 3 10 21 28 1 2 ,

6 10 15 2l 27

1948 6 14

1949 6 14

7 7 10 21 27 1

8 5 8 14 20 2

9 3 10 21 28

, 9


12/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


10 7 14 21 30

11 5 10 20 30

20 30

12 3 10 15 24 12

1 ,

3 , ,

, .

, 7 12 ,18 21 ,28

31 ,42 49 ,57 65 ,85 92 ,112 120 ,150 157 , 175 185 .

,


13/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


9

3

10

1 3 5 30 7

4 9 10 10 14 11 3 8 11 25

30 12 24 28

1

9 3

9 3


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1 2 3 4 5

15 22 34 42 48 49

11

(Secondary Reaction)

2 2

3 2

3

1929 1930 1931

;

,

12

1

2 2


15/127

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" "

45

,

1. ,

2. 3 5

3.

4. 3 ,

5

6

7

8 4 5

9

10


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11. ,

,

12.

13.

14..

15.

16.

17.

18.

19.

20.

21.

22. (Hedge) .

23

24


17/127

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1 000 100

10 3 30 100

300

.

,


18/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


,

3

4 5


19/127

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(Atchison) (AT&T) (New York Central)

,

,

10 20

,


20/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


,

3 5 10

3 5 7 10 12

3

5 l0 1924 1929

(General Motors)

U24 3 2 3

100 200

.


21/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


,

,

100

20 20

20

10 20

25 1 000 25% 10

9 313 25 l0 000 25% 10 93 132 70

3 5

1 2 3 5

3 5

3 5


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90


24/127

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(Cities Service) 1938 11 1939

4 1942 2 3 11

2 1942 1

2 3

1943 11

1938


25/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


1948 6 64 53

11 3

1949 48 1949 38 1948

38

1947 8 (Pepsi Cola) 34 40

32 100

(Radio) 8

8 100 7

35 400

1947 7 100

15 1948 6 15

15

1948 20 40

50

21 1948 12 7 1939

8


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24 7 7 12

7

1945 19.5/8

;1947 , 7.1/2 1948 , 15 7.1/2 15

50 11.1/4 19.5/8 50

9.81 , 10 1949 6 14 9.3/4

6 29 9.5/8 10

8.1/2

11.1/4

1949 15 1945 19.5/8 (

) 20

(Minor Top)

50% 100%

200 300 400 500 600


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25%

12.1/2%

6.1/4

33.1/3% 66.2/3%

25 50

1896 8 9 12 28 50


28/127

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1932 7 8 30 40.56


29/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


50%

50%

75

50

50

50


30/127

[ ] 1~3 + [ ]


1896 28.50 1919 119.62 74.06 1896

28.50 1929 380.10 50 207.28 1921

64 386 50% 225.00 1930 296.25 64

50 180.12 28.50 296.25 50 162.37 1937

195.50 28.50 50 112 1937 195.50 1938

97.50 50 146.50 1932 40.56 1946

213.36 126.96 1942 92 69 1946 213.36

50% 153.02

1919 30 119.62 1921

64 64 87.5% 120.00 , ,

64

500 384 1929 9 3

386.10 28.50 ,

1250% 384.75 119.62

119.62 225% 388.50 384.00 384.75 388.50

386.10 381.10 3

9

3

50 386.10 50 193.00

1929 9 11 13 195.35

2.05


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50 , 195.35

50% 293.02

1930 4 16 297.25 3

5 2 5

5

3 9

195.35 297.25 50% 246.30

, 1930 9 10

247.21 50 11 13 195.35

193 386.10 50

1932 7 8 40.56

386.10 87.05% 48.26

28.50 50% 42.75

1921 64.00 37.05 40.00

1897 4 8 40.37 3 1897 6 4

1932 7 8 40.56

40.56 100 ,

81.12

1932 9 8 81.50 50%

1933 2 27 49.68

40.56 25 50.70

1


32/127

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1933 7 18 110.53 ? 40.56

175% 111.54 64.00 75% 112.00

1932 7

110.53 25%

82.90

7 21 84.45

107 00

1933 10 21 82.20 82.90 1 1949

6 30 82.20

100% 164.40

1934 7 26 84.58

40.56 100

1933 7 110.53

? 386.10 50% 193.05 1929

11 195.35 1931 2 24 196.96

193 195

1937 3 8 195.50 50% 3

9

195.50 50% 97.75

1938 3 31 97.50


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1938 11 10 158.75 62%

50

110 97.50

1942 4 28 92.69 1938 3

3 9

92.69 50% 139.00

12% 104.27

1942 8 7 104.58 104.27

213.33 104.27 50% 158.80

92.69 195.50 50% 144.09

1937 195.50 1938 97.50 50% 146.50

1943 7 15 146.50

7 1933 7

92.69 37%

127.44 1943 11 30 128.94

146.50

1938 11 10 158.75

50% 193.00 195.00

1945 8 7 27 159.95

195.50

207.50 28.50 386.10

50% 1946 2 4 2 26 184.04

208.00 386.10 40.56 50%


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213.33 1946 5 29 213.36 50%

40.56 425% 212.94

213.36 25% 160.03

1946 10 30 160.49 1947 5 19 161.32

1949 6 14 160.62

1945 7 27 159.95

1948 2 11

1948 6 l 4 194.94 50%

3 9

30

213.46 25% 1945 7

27 159.95 152.00

40.56 275% 146.50

50%

1942 92.69 1946 213.36 50% 153.02

1949 7 19 175 177

160.49 194.49 50% 177

182 1949

1 7


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30


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1914 7 30

1914 12 24

1914 12 24 53.17

1918 11 11

1919 11 3 30 119.62

53.17 66.45 1919 11 3

1921 8 24 63.90

22 1921

1923 3 20 105.50 19

1923 10 27 85.50

20 9 20 30 40

20

3

1924 2 6 101.50 16

1923 3 20

5 14 88.75 1923 10 27 3

69 8

60 72

1925 3 6 123.50 1919 4

5 5


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85.50

1925 3 30 115.00 8 10.00

1919 119.62

5 24

1926 2 11 162.50 115.00 47.50

355

1926 3 30 135.25 37.25 17

1

1927 10 3 199.78 186 60.25

200.00 3 100.00 200.00 300.00

1927 10 22 179.78 119 20

200.00

1928 11 28 299.35 403 119.50

300.00 1

1928 12 10 254.50 12 44 1921 8

,

1929 3 1 324.50 81 70 325


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1929 3 26 281 25 43 1928

11 28 1928 12 10

1929 5 6 331 41 50

5 31 291 25 41

10

1929 9 3 386.10 95 95 (

1 )

1921 8 1929 9

8 64 386.10

3

1929 11 13 195.50 71 190.60

(Secondary Rally)

1929 12 39 267 27 71


39/127

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1929 12 20 227 11 40

1930 4 16 297 154 11 13

102

3

1930 10 22 181.50 188

116 1929 11 13

1930 10 28 198.50 16 17

20 16 20

1930 11 11 168.50 13 30

1930 11 25 191.50 15 33

1929 11 11 195.50

1930 10 28 198.50

1930 12 2 187.50

f


40/127

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12 17 154.50 15 33

2 150

1931 2 24 196.75 1929 11 13

1930 10 28

12 17 69 1929 12 3 11 13 71

8 67 72 1931 2 24

1930 12 17 42

3

1929

1931 6 2 119.60 1919

1931 2 24 77 98

1931 6 27 157.50 25 37.90

1930 12 17 3 5

1931 10 5 85 100 72

1931 11 9 119.50 1931 6 2 1919

35 34 12
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45 Years of Wall Street