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4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results 2 June, 2016

4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

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Page 1: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

0

4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results

2 June, 2016

Page 2: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

1

• Solid results delivered

• Revenue up 30% to EUR 90.3 million

• Regulatory changes implemented in 4 key markets

• Record quarterly profit of EUR 16.7m

• Seeing benefits of new platforms and technology

• Mobile applications up to 32% of total (13% in Q1 ‘15)

• Marketing expense/revenue down to 15.4% (16.8% in Q1 ‘15)

• Diversification into new markets and products is on track

• Preparations for Dominican Republic launch in June

• Instalment loans launched in Spain in May

• Capitalisation continues to build

• 42% capital / assets ratio

• 62% capital / net loans ratio

• Cost/revenue and asset quality trends are in line with expectations

Highlights of First Quarter 2016

69

90

Q1'2015 Q1'2016

Revenue

+30%

15.6

16.7

Q1'2015 Q1'2016

+7%

Net Profitcontinuing operations

mE

UR

mE

UR

Page 3: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

2

Diversification by geography and product

13%

9%

25%

8%6%

9%

14%

11%

4% 1%

Latvia

Lithuania

Poland

Sweden

Finland

Denmark

Spain

Georgia

Czech Rep.

Other

Q1’2016 Revenue: EUR 90.3m

98

135

Q1 2015 Q1 2016

m E

UR

Instalment Loan Portfolio (Gross)

+37%

Page 4: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

3

11.6 11.8 12.1 14.6 13.8

6.3 8.311.9

12.9 13.92.4

2.90.6

5.2 3.2

6.37.3

7.9

11.8 11.5

38% 39% 39%

50%47%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

EU

R m

illio

n

Marketing Staff IT Other Cost/revenue ratio, %

Quarterly expenses breakdown

Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications, bank expenses, travel, rent and utilities, depreciation & amortisation and other expensesQ1-3 figures reflect reported unaudited results and Q4 figures reflect balance to FY 2015 audited results

2015 2016

• Marketing efficiency improving: marketing expense / revenue decreased to 15.4% (1Q16) from 16.8% (1Q15)

• Staff expenses account for 6 percentage points of cost / revenue ratio increase

Page 5: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

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CountryMarch 31,

2015March 31,

2016HQ (Latvia, UK) 199 304

Latvia 114 145

Lithuania 85 108

Finland 37 36

Sweden 34 40

Poland 243 350

Denmark 24 35

Spain 84 135

Czech Republic 75 135

Georgia 128 165

Bulgaria 19 52

Romania 10 37

Armenia 26

Argentina 32

Mexico 36

Miami 7

Dominican Republic 3

Total 1,052 1,646

Investing in staff to support future growth

FunctionsMarch 31,

2015March 31,

2016

Management 33 58

Administration 23 36

Finance 74 117

Risk management 38 72

Customer care 396 676

Debt collection 234 256

IT and Product development 145 260

HR 32 42

Internal audit 6 7

Legal & Compliance 14 43

Marketing 52 73

Lean Management 5 6

Total 1,052 1,646

Page 6: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

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Non-performing loans and provisioning

Conservative provision coverageNon-performing loans (NPLs) as % of total loans issued(1)

9.4% of total loans issued

Stable NPLs to issued loans ratio(1)

9.2% 8.8% 9.0% 9.4%

2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016

• Loans that are overdue more than 90 days are considered as non-

performing (NPLs)

• At the end of Q1 2016 NPLs represented 9.4% of total issued loans

over the last 730 days

• Actual loss experienced on NPLs is approximately 50% (51% as of

31/03/2016)

• Provisions for default are typically 5-10 p.p. higher

(1) Total issued loans include the amount of loans issued during 730 days ending 90 days prior to the end of period

EUR1,867m

EUR1,691m

EUR176m

Loans issued 01/2014-12/2015 (730 days)

NPLs as of31/03/2016

Repaid and performing loans31/03/2016

51%59%

74%

8%

Loss given default Provisionfor defaultportfolio

Provision coveragebuffer

Overall provisioncoverage

Page 7: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

6

Asset quality trends for single payment loans

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016

NP

L /

2 y

ea

r lo

an

issu

an

ce

Spain

Georgia

Denmark

Czech

Poland

Finland

Latvia

Lithuania

Sweden

• Non-performing loans to loan issuance ratio tends to improve over time in each market

• More data: better scorecards

• More experience: better debt collection

• More returning customers

• Different characteristics for each market

• Portfolio mix shift drives overall Group NPL/sales ratio (eg growth in Spain)

• Current trend is in line with expectations

• Higher NPL ratio countries also have higher interest rates and revenue

• Impairment / revenue ratio stable

Page 8: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

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Google policy changes

30%

4%

16%5%

12%

19%

14%Direct

Paid Search (SPL, non branded)

Paid Search (SPL, branded)

Paid Search (Instalments)

Affiliates

Organic Search

Other (email, phone, etc)

Lending volume by marketing channel, 2015

• Applies to entire industry

• Global policy update from Google

• Final restrictions not yet clear, expected in July

…but does not reduce the underlying customer demand

• 4finance is well positioned

• Diversified multi-channel marketing strategy

• Reduced emphasis on Google (drives <20% of lending

volumes vs c.40% 18 months ago)

• Significant scale and resources to deploy

• Strong brand recognition is critical

• Searches using our brand names make up c.80% of paid

search

• Organic search rankings will drive traffic

• Challenges we are addressing

• Reviewing possible changes to product profile

• Marketing approach for early phase of new markets20% of volume frompaid search for Single Payment Loans

Page 9: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

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Intended acquisition of TBI Bank

• Potential to offer consumer loans in all European

markets

– Certain EU countries require a banking license for

consumer lending

– Gives greater flexibility in responding to changes in

licensing / regulatory regimes for non-bank lenders

• Potential to develop deposit funding

– Lower funding costs

– Diversify funding beyond capital markets

• Potential to enhance credit card offering

– New product development already underway

– Ability to control more of credit card value chain

– Attractive market volume

• Small, profitable, consumer-focused bank in existing markets (Bulgaria and Romania)

• Track record of profitability

− EUR 4 million net profit in Q1 2016

− RoA of 6%, RoE of 27%

• Strong capitalization

− 26% Tier 1 ratio (8.5% minimum)

• Simple, deposit funded balance sheet

− EUR 168 million net customer loans

− EUR 58 million cash

− EUR 279 million total assets

− EUR 178 million customer deposits

• Purchase price approx. EUR 75 million (c.1.25x price/book)

• Closing expected in July 2016, subject to conditions

TBI acquisition at a glance Rationale for acquiring a European bank

Page 10: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

9

Financial Review

Page 11: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

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Financial highlights

3646

64

17

24% 21% 20% 18%

2013 2014 2015 Q1'2016

Revenue, m EUR Net profit (m EUR) and net margin

149

220

318

90

2013 2014 2015 Q1'2016

112

198173 189

66

113

173 191

2013 2014 2015 Q1'2016

Net debt

Total equity

Net debt(1) and total equity, m EUR

29% 31%

40% 42%

2013 2014 2015 Q1'2016

Capital to assets ratio, % (1)

4.6x

3.7x4.2x 4.0x

2013 2014 2015 Q1'2016

Adjusted interest coverage ratio

(1) Assets and debt figures for 2014 adjusted for the effect of 2015 Notes’ defeasance

37%

47%56%

62%

2013 2014 2015 Q1'2016

Capital/net loans, %

Page 12: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

11

INCOME STATEMENT, M EUR Q1’2015 Q1’2016 % Change

Interest income 69.2 90.3 30%

Interest expense (7.1) (7.5) 6%

Net interest income62.1 82.8 33%

Net impairment losses on loans and receivables (17.2) (22.3) 30%

General administrative expenses (26.6) (42.4) 59%

Other (expense)/income 1.3 1.8 38%

Profit before tax 19.6 20.0 2%

Tax (4.0) (3.2) (20)%

Profit from continuing operations 15.6 16.7 7%

Discontinued operations, net of tax 5.1 -

Net profit 20.7 16.7 (19)%

Net impairment to revenue ratio %25% 25%

Cost to income ratio % 38% 47%

Net profit margin, % 30% 18%

Income statement

Page 13: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

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Balance sheet

KEY RATIOS Q1’2015 Q1’2016

Capital/assets ratio 35% 42%

Capital/net loan portfolio 49% 62%

Adjusted interest coverage ratio 3.4x 4.0x

Return on average equity(1) 51% 37%

Return on average assets(1) 16.7% 15.0%

BALANCE SHEET, M EUR Q1’2015 Q1’2016 % Change

Loans and advances 271.2 309.1 14%

Cash and cash equivalents 46.3 30.5 (34)%

Intangible assets (IT platform) 4.6 21.6 370%

All other assets 57.2 92.4 62%

Total assets 379.3 453.6 20%

Loans and borrowings 227.8 219.7 (4)%

All other liabilities 19.6 42.7 118%

Total liabilities 247.4 262.4 6%

Total equity 131.9 191.2 45%

Total equity and liabilities 379.3 453.6 20%

(1) RoAE and RoAA based on net profit from continuing operations

Page 14: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

13

144153

167

198 201

224

249 258

276 282 268

160

177184

218

234

261 272

301

320

351

334

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

m E

UR

Total outgoing Total incoming

Last 12 months net incoming cash* EUR 223m

Loan portfolio cash flow

* From continuing operations

2013 2014 2015 2016

Page 15: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

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Summary

Page 16: 4finance investor presentation for 3 month 2016 results · Quarterly expenses breakdown Note: Other includes debt collection, legal and consulting, application inspection costs, communications,

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• Solid first quarter results

• Strong revenue growth and record quarterly profitability

• Delivered alongside regulatory changes

• Trends in expenses and risk in line with expectations

• Laying the foundations for future growth

• Investment in people & technology

• Diversification: new markets on track, Instalment Loans on track

• Funding: 5 year EUR 100 million bond

• Strategic & corporate governance progress

• Attractive bank acquisition with multiple potential business benefits

• Separation of Chairman and CEO roles

• Strengthening management team: George Georgakopoulos joins as CEO

Summary