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Question B - Mixed Layer Heights: NOAA Twin Otter Data (Mike Hardesty) 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* Questions F, K - VOC vs. NOx Sensitive Photochemistry Observation based analysis - 2006 RHB vs. 2000 Electra *http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/2006/rss/ Questions A, C, D, E - Emissions: Ronald Brown Data HVROC 2006 vs. 2000 Oil Platform Emissions Question J - Performance of O 3 and PM 2.5 forecast models (Jim Wilczak)

8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

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Page 1: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

Question B - Mixed Layer Heights: NOAA Twin Otter Data (Mike Hardesty)

8 September PreviewRapid Science Synthesis*

Questions F, K - VOC vs. NOx Sensitive Photochemistry• Observation based analysis - 2006 RHB vs. 2000 Electra

*http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/2006/rss/

Questions A, C, D, E - Emissions: Ronald Brown Data• HVROC 2006 vs. 2000• Oil Platform Emissions

Question J - Performance of O3 and PM2.5 forecast models (Jim Wilczak)

Page 2: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

Question B - Mixed Layer Heights: NOAA Twin Otter Data (Mike Hardesty or ?)

Questions F, K - VOC vs. NOx Sensitive Photochemistry• Observation based analysis - 2006 RHB vs. 2000 Electra

Questions A, C, D, E - Emissions: Ronald Brown Data• HVROC 2006 vs. 2000• Oil Platform Emissions

Question J - Performance of O3 and PM2.5 forecast models (Jim Wilczak)

8 September PreviewRapid Science Synthesis*

*http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/2006/rss/

Pelimin

ary

Pelimin

ary D

ata &

Analysis

Data &

Analysis

Do Not C

ite o

r Distri

bute!!!

!

Do Not C

ite o

r Distri

bute!!!

!

Page 3: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

29.9

29.8

29.7

29.6

29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9

12080400

Ozone (ppb)

Barbour'sCut

JacintoPort

La Porte

Questions A, C, D, E - Emissions: Ronald Brown Data• HVROC 2006 vs. 2000 (Bill Kuster)

Page 4: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

GC-MS 5 min Avg. data

Significant change in emissions?

High variability makes significant comparison difficult

0.1

1

10

100

pro

pyle

ne

(p

pb

v)

median

Te

xA

QS

20

00

La

Po

rte

Te

xA

QS

20

06

RH

B H

SC

maximum

Te

xA

QS

20

06

RH

B B

arb

er's C

ut

1

10

100

1000

eth

yle

ne

(p

pb

v)

median

Te

xA

QS

20

00

La

Po

rte

Te

xA

QS

20

06

RH

B H

SC

maximum

Te

xA

QS

20

06

RH

B B

arb

er's C

ut

1034 110 320Sample numbers

Questions A, C, D, E - Emissions: Ronald Brown Data• HVROC 2006 vs. 2000 (Bill Kuster, Jessica Gilman)

Page 5: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

color-coded by NOy

"Shelby Sea"

Ship track

30 min on station~1.1 naut. miles

Questions A, C, D, E - Emissions: Ronald Brown Data• Oil Platform Emissions (Hans D. Osthoff)

Page 6: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

Average slope =10.5±1.2

Average slope = 9.3±0.8

color-coded by time

NOy (p

pbv)

NO2

(ppb

v)

NOx Emission factor:32 ± 3 g/kg

"Shelby Sea”Oil Platform

Page 7: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

Average slope 2.4±0.8

color-coded by time

CO (p

pbv)

SO2

(ppb

v)0.2% C emitted as CO

"Shelby Sea”Oil Platform

SO2 Emission factor:6.0 ± 2.3 g/kg

Average slope = 1.3±0.5

Page 8: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

TexAQS 2000 Electra Flights

30

29

-96 -95 -94

Beaumont

PortArthur

ParishFreeport

ExxonMobil

Page 9: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

NOy - NOx (ppbv)

O

zone

(ppb

v)

Sillman: Observation-based methods (OBMs)

Page 10: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

NOy - NOx (ppbv)

O

zone

(ppb

v)

Sillman: Observation-based methods (OBMs)

NOx sensitive to mixed

Electra2000

Page 11: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

TexAQS 2006 Ronald H. Brown30.0

29.8

29.6

29.4

29.2

29.0-95.4 -95.2 -95.0 -94.8 -94.6 -94.4

100

80

60

40

20

Ozone (p

pbv)RHB

8/17

30.0

29.8

29.6

29.4

29.2

29.0-95.4 -95.2 -95.0 -94.8 -94.6 -94.4

150

100

50

Ozone (p

pbv)RHB

9/1

Page 12: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

250

200

150

100

50

0

Ozone (

ppbv)

403020100NOy - NOx (ppbv)

Ozone vs NOy - NOx

Electra2000

RHB17 Aug 2006

RHB29 Aug 2006

No clear indication for systematic change

Page 13: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

NOAA/Earth Systems Research Laboratory

TEXAQS 2006 Model Verification Web Page

http://www.etl.noaa.gov/programs/2006/texaqs/verification/

Jim WilczakIrina DjalalovaStu McKeen

Page 14: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 15: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 16: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 17: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 18: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 19: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 20: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 21: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 22: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 23: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 24: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 25: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 26: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 27: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,
Page 28: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

Relationship between mixing layer depthand ozone concentrations

• Question: What is the correlation between mixing layerdepth and ozone concentration?

• One might expect that a deeper mixing layer depthwould be associated with reduced ozone concentrationsdue to dilution

• However, main sources of ozone precursors are notalways associated with deepest mixing layer (e.g., shipchannel)

• Transport of precursors into shallow boundary layer(e.g., over Galveston Bay) can enhance concentrations

• Airborne ozone lidar data provides data set forinvestigation of mixing layer depth/ ozone concentrationcorrelations

Page 29: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

August 14 Aerosol Backscatter and Ozone

Urban heat island

Page 30: 8 September Preview Rapid Science Synthesis* · 29.9 29.8 29.7 29.6 29.5-95.3 -95.2 -95.1 -95.0 -94.9 0 40 80 120 Ozone (ppb) Barbour's Cut Jacinto Port La Porte Questions A, C, D,

August 14

Ozone Mixed layer height