8. Unit # 4 Present Value for Cash Flows

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

PV of CF

Citation preview

  • 5/26/2018 8. Unit # 4 Present Value for Cash Flows

    1/8

    Financial Institution

    Zaheer Swati 1

    Unit 4

    PRESENT VALUE FOR CASH FLOWS

    Different Financial instruments have very different streams of cash payments to the holder (known as cash

    flows), with very different timing

    All else being equal, instruments are evaluated against one another based on the amount of each cash flow and

    the timingof each cash flow

    The concept of present value(or present discounted value) is based on the commonsense notion that a dollar of

    cash flow paid to you one year from now is less valuable to you than a dollar paid to you today. This notion is

    true because you could invest the dollar in a savings account that earns interest and have more than a dollar in

    one year.

    There are two type of PV problem

    Single-sum problems

    Multi-period cash flow problems

    4.1 Present Value Applications

    There are four basic types of credit instruments which include present value concepts:

    1. Simple Loan2. Fixed Payment Loan3. Coupon Bond4. Discount Bond

    4.1.1 Simple Loan

    Simple Loans require payment of one amount which equals the loan principal plus the interest (simple or

    compound)

    Example 4.1: How much would you pay today for loan, which will be worth Rs. 16,000 in three years? Assume interest

    is 5%?

    Solution: 16,000 / (1 + 0.05)3

    Answer: Rs. 13,821.40

    $100 at 10%

    Year: 0 1 2 3 n

    $100 $110 $121 $133

    PVn= FV ni1

    1

    PV of Simple Loan

  • 5/26/2018 8. Unit # 4 Present Value for Cash Flows

    2/8

    Financial Institution

    Zaheer Swati 2

    Unit 4

    Example 4.2:You are trying to save up Rs. 2,500 to go on a trip 2 years from now. You are going to invest your money

    in a high-interest savings account where it will earn 7.1% interest, compounded quarterly. How much money do you

    have to invest now to make sure you have enough for your trip?

    Solution:

    2,500 / (1 + 0.071/4)2*4

    Answer: Rs. 2,171.76

    Example 4.3:There are four opportunities of investment of Rs. 950. All cash inflows are presented in below mentioned

    table. Assume that discount rate is 14 percent. Which investment is best?

    Cash flows 1 2 3 4 5 Total

    A 100 200 300 400 500 1,500

    B 600 ----- 400 200 300 1,500

    C ----- ----- 1,200 ---- 300 1,500

    D 500 ----- 400 600 ---- 1,500

    Solution:

    Cash flows 1 2 3 4 5 Total

    A 87.72 153.89 202.49 236.83 259.68 940.61

    B 526.32 ----- 269.99 118.42 155.81 1,070.54

    C ----- ----- 809.97 ---- 155.81 965.78

    D 438.60 ----- 269.99 355.25 ---- 1,063.84

    4.1.2 Fixed Payment Loan

    Fixed-Payment Loans are loans where the loan principal and interest are repaid in several payments, often

    monthly, in equal dollar amounts over the loan term.

    Installment Loans, such as auto loans and home mortgages are frequently of the fixed-payment type

    Present value of annuity has been used for these types of problems

  • 5/26/2018 8. Unit # 4 Present Value for Cash Flows

    3/8

    Financial Institution

    Zaheer Swati 3

    Unit 4

    Example 4.4:You are making car payments of Rs. 315/month for the next 3 years. You know that your car loan has an

    interest rate of 12.4% per annum, discounted monthly, what was the initial price of the car?

    Solution:

    315 [12/124.0

    )12/124.01(

    11

    12*3

    ]

    Answer: Rs. 9,429.53

    Example4.5:Mr.Mohammad Ali has received a job offer from a large investment bank as an accountant. His base

    salary will be Rs. 35,000 constant to date of retirement. He will receive his first annual salary payment one year from the

    day he begins to work. In addition, he will get an immediate Rs. 10,000 bonus for joining the company. Mr. Ali is

    expected to work for 25 years. What is the present value of the offer if the discount rate is 12 percent?

    Solution:

    35,000 [12.0

    )12.0.01(

    11

    25

    ]

    PVA25 = 274,509.87

    Bonus = 10,000

    Answer: Rs. 284,509.87

    Example4.6:You have just joined the investment banking firm. They have offered you two different salary arrangements.

    You can have Rs. 50,000 per year for the next 3 years or Rs. 35,000 per year for the next 3 years, along with a Rs. 50,000

    bonus today. If the market interest rate is 16%, which salary arrangement do you prefer?

    Solution:

    50,000 [16.0

    )16.01(

    11

    3

    ] = Rs. 112,294.48

    35,000 [16.0

    3)16.01(

    11

    ] =78,606.13 + 50,000 = 128,606.14

    Answer: Option B

    PVAn= CCF [i

    in)1(

    11

    ]

    General Formula

    Constant Rate

  • 5/26/2018 8. Unit # 4 Present Value for Cash Flows

    4/8

    Financial Institution

    Zaheer Swati 4

    Unit 4

    Example4.7:You need to decide how much money to invest each month in order to have Rs. 5,000 in 6 years time. You

    will be investing at an interest rate of 7.2%, compounded monthly. What should your monthly payments be?

    Solution: CCF = 5,000

    [12/072.0

    )12/072.01(

    11

    12*6

    ]

    Answer: Rs. 85.73

    Example 4.8:Suppose you borrow Rs. 22,000 at 12 percent compound annual interest to be repaid over the next 6 years.

    Equal installment payments are required at the end of each year. What will be installment amount and prepare loan

    amortization table (rounding to Rupee)?

    Solution:

    CCF = PVA

    [i

    in)1(

    11

    ]

    CCF = 22,000

    [12.0

    )12.01(

    11

    6

    ]

    CCF = 22,0004.111

    CCF = 5,351

    Loan Amortization Schedule

    1 2 3 4 5

    Year End Installment Payments Interest Principal Repayment Outstanding

    12 % on 5 2-3 5-4

    0 --- --- --- 22,000

    1 5,351 22,000 * 0.12 = 2,640 2,711 19,289

    2 5,351 19,289 * 0.12 = 2,315 3,036 16,253

    3 5,351 16,253 * 0.12 = 1,950 3,401 12,852

    4 5,351 12,852 * 0.12 = 1,542 3,809 9,043

    5 5,351 9,043 * 0.12 = 1,085 4,266 4,777

    6 5,351 4,777 * 0.12 = 573 4,777 0

  • 5/26/2018 8. Unit # 4 Present Value for Cash Flows

    5/8

    Financial Institution

    Zaheer Swati 5

    Unit 4

    4.2 Effective Annual Rates

    Effective Annual Rates (EAR) are use to compare securities and investments with different compounding cycle

    or life

    Example 4.9 :National Bank offers a stated annual interest rate of 4.1 percent, compounded quarterly, while Allied Bank

    offers a stated annual interest rate of 4.05 percent, compounded monthly. In which bank should you deposit your

    money?

    Solution:

    National Bank EAR = (1 +4

    041.0)

    4 1 = 4.16%

    Allied Bank EAR = (1 +12

    0405.0)

    12 1 = 4.13%

    Answer: National Bank

    Example 4.10:What is the PV of $100 received in:

    a. Year 10 at a discount rate of 1 percent?

    PV = $100/1.0110

    Answer: $90.53

    b. Year 10 at a discount rate of 13 percent?

    PV = $100/1.1310

    Answer: $29.46

    c. Year 15 at a discount rate of 25 percent?

    PV = $100/1.2515

    Answer: $ 3.52

    Example 4.11:For each of the following, compute the future value:

    Present Value Years Interest Rate Future Value

    $1,000 4 10% $ 1,464.1

    $2,500 6 12.25% $ 5,001.01

    EAR = (1 + mAPR

    )

    m

    - 1

  • 5/26/2018 8. Unit # 4 Present Value for Cash Flows

    6/8

    Financial Institution

    Zaheer Swati 6

    Unit 4

    Example 4.12:A factory costs $800,000. You believe that it will produce a cash flow of $170,000 a year for 10 years.

    If the opportunity cost of capital is 14 percent, what is the PV of the factory?

    PVA10= 170,000 [ 14.0)14.01(

    11

    10

    ]

    Answer: $ 886,739.66

    Example 4.13:A machine costs $380,000 and it is expected to produce the following cash flows.

    Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

    CF ($000S) 50 57 75 80 85 92 92 80 68 50

    If the cost of capital is 12 percent, should we buy or not?

    109876

    5432

    1.12

    $50,000

    1.12

    $68,000

    1.12

    $80,000

    1.12

    $92,000

    1.12

    $92,000

    1.12

    $85,000

    1.12

    $80,000

    1.12

    $75,000

    1.12

    $57,000

    1.12

    $50,000PV

    PV= 44,642.8571 + 45,440.0510 + 53,383.5186 + 50,841.4463 + 48,231.2827 + 46,610.0632 + 41,616.1278 +

    32,310.6582 + 24,521.4817 + 16,098.6618

    Answer: $ 403,687.15

    Example 4.14:How much must you deposit today in a bank account?

    (a)If you wish to have Rs. 10,000 at the end of 3 months, if the bank pays 5.0% APR?

    Solution:

    10,000 / (1 + 0.05/12)3

    Answer: Rs. 9,876.03

    (b)If you wish to have Rs. 50,000 at the end of 24months, if the bank pays 8.0% APR?

    Solution:

    50,000 / (1 + 0.08/12)24

    Answer: Rs. 42,629.82

  • 5/26/2018 8. Unit # 4 Present Value for Cash Flows

    7/8

    Financial Institution

    Zaheer Swati 7

    Unit 4

    (c)If you wish to have Rs. 6,000 at the end of 12 months, if the bank pays 9.0% APR?

    Solution:

    6,000 / (1 + 0.09/12)12

    Answer: Rs. 5,485.43

    (d)If you wish to have: Rs. 10,000 at the end of 1 months, if the bank pays 5.0% APR?

    Solution:

    10,000 / (1 + 0.05/12)

    Answer: Rs. 9,958.51

    (e)If you wish to have Rs. 6,000 at the end of 6 months, if the bank pays 9.0% APR?

    Solution:

    6,000 / (1 + 0.09/12) 6

    Answer: Rs. 5,736.95

    (f)If you wish to have Rs. 12,000 at the end of 12 months, if the bank pays 6.0% APR?

    Solution:

    12,000 / (1 + 0.06/12)12

    Answer: Rs. 11,302.86

    Example 4.15:Which project, A or B, could be sold for the most money today? Project A will generate cash flows of Rs.

    400, Rs. 500, and Rs. 600 in the third, fourth, and sixth years, respectively, of the project's life. Project B will generate

    cash flows of Rs. 700 in year two and Rs. 800 in year nine, Investments similar to "A" return 10% on average, while

    investments similar to "B" return 11%?

    Solution Project A: 310.01

    400

    + 410.01

    500

    +

    610.01

    600

    300.5259 + 341.5067 + 338.6844

    Answer: Rs. 980.72

    Solution Project B: 211.01

    700

    + 911.01

    800

    568.1357 + 312.7398

    Answer: Rs. 880.88

    Project A is worth more since it has a higher total PV

  • 5/26/2018 8. Unit # 4 Present Value for Cash Flows

    8/8

    Financial Institution

    Zaheer Swati 8

    Unit 4

    Example 4.16:As winner of a breakfast cereal competition, you can choose one of the following prizes:

    a. $100,000 now

    b. $180,000 at the end of 5 years

    c. $11,400 a year forever

    d. $19,000 for each of 10 years

    If the interest rate is 12 percent, which is the most valuable prize?

    Solution:

    a. PV = = $100,000

    b. PV = $180,000/1.125 = $102,136.83

    c. PV = $11,400/0.12 = $95,000

    d. PVA10= 19,000 [ 12.0 )12.01(1

    110

    ] = $ 107,354.24

    Prize (d) is the most valuable because it has the highest present value

    Example 4.17: The Rs. 100 on the time points of 0, 1, 2, 3 are equivalent to Rs. 453 in the time point 4 under a 5%

    interest rate?

    PVAn= 100 [ 05.0)05.01(

    11

    3

    ](1+0.05) = Rs. 454.60

    PVn= 453 405,01

    1

    =Rs. 372.68

    -

    0 1 2

    4

    A = 100, -

    +

    FV= 453, -

    5% =

    3

    A = 100, - A = 100, - A = 100, -